NIGERIAN CONTENT IMPLEMENTATION Roadmap for Industrialization by Engr. E.C. Nwapa (FNSE), Executive Secretary, NCDMB November 2012 HISTORIC TREND OF NIGERIAN OIL & GAS SECTOR PERIOD 1960s – 1970s 1980s – 1990s 2000s – 2010s 2020 POPULATION 63 million 100 million 165 million 195 million EDUCATED <5% EMPLOYABLE ADULTS 10% 30% >50% COMMUNITY DEMANDS Insignificant Basic Amenities Infrastructure Participation Equity ownership REVENUE 20% 50% 80% > 60% GDP IMPACT <10% (Contribution) <20% >20% LAWS & POLICIES JOAs, PSCs NOGICD/ PIB Petroleum Act NATIONAL REVENUE PROFILE Over Dependence on Oil A Threat to Oil will threaten National Survival Oil & Gas Industry is repositioning to Promote Utilization of Local goods & Services Building capacity on the back of mega Projects and Operations Other Linkage sectors need to be mobilized PETROLEUM ECONOMICS VS NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PETROLEUM ECONOMICS BALANCE NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS • Dollar per barrel? • How many jobs? • Profit for shareholders? • In country Value creation • How fast to first oil? • Legacy, spinoffs, infrastructure? • Government take, taxes, royalties? • Sustainability, Safety, Environment Two Strategic Development Options Revenue - Focussed 1 Operators seek cheapest fastest route to first oil. Govt uses Taxes & Royalties for Development Little attention to value addition from operations Promotes import of Goods & Services 2 In-Country Value - Focussed Operators consider long term value Govt takes lower revenue for higher ICV Greater attention to life cycle support for ops Promotes development & use of local capacity Changing the Pre – NOGICD Act Footprint Bringing Nigerian Jobs Back Pre-Nigerian Content Implementation 2006- 2020 Nigerian Content the Implementation Defining Roadmap for Change Buying rather than selling. Exporting Nigerian Jobs Estimated capital flight $380 billion Estimated lost job opportunities 2 million Bringing Nigerian Jobs Back Hub for oil and gas services Estimated $191 billion could be retained 300,000 new direct job opportunities -(Engineering, Sciences, Technicians etc) $14b $78b Technical Services $39b $20b Fabrication $20b $39b Engineering $214b $107b Procurement $9b $7b Research & Development Over 95% of industry spend Abroad 30yrs 10yrs Over 65% of industry spend domiciled What makes a great oil producing Nation? A robust supply chain Facilities Asset ownership Industrialists Pipemills& Machine shops Fabyards & workshops Ship/dockyards Logistics bases Manufacturing Local service coys Drilling Rigs Marine Vessels Drilling Tools OEM Reps & SMEs Valves &' Pumps Spares & components Switchgear & control panels Chemicals & fluids Machinery & equipment Human Capital - skilled workforce In country training and certifying bodies Pupilage programs in local companies Drilling Value out of the O & G Chain We need to maximize value from these activities Thrust of the NOGIC Act 2010 Nigerian Content aspiration derived from the thrust of the NOGIC Act are focused on ensuring that companies benefitting from our natural resources also contribute to economic development of Nigeria . 1 Maximize utilization of Nigerian made goods 2 Maximize utilization of Nigerian human resources 3 Link the oil and gas industry with other sectors of the Economy 4 5 •Develop local capacity in key areas such as manufacturing fabrication, engineering etc •Promote indigenous ownership of assets and utilization of indigenous assets in oil and gas operations •Develop indigenous skills pool across oil and gas value chain •Provides mandatory training requirements on the back of projects •Creates JQS to manage and track available skills •Promote establishment of support industries that will sustain oil and gas industry operations •Enhance multiplier effect of oil and gas investments in economy Focus on community •Develop pool of competitive supply chain rooted in oil bearing communities participation in the supply •Create customized training and sustainable employment opportunities chain • structured awareness and enlightment campaigns Foster institutional collaboration •Institutionalize inter-agency collaboration on local content development •Integrate NCDMB into planning and contracting process to ensure Nigerian Content COUNTS •Dedicated NCDF for capacity building Distribution of Oil and Gas Assets. Foreign Vs Indigenous IOCs CONTROL OVER 90% PRODUCTION DPR: Oil blocks in Nigeria Snapshot of reserves: Oil-36.22 billion barrels (2.92% of world reserves) Gas- 178 TCF (2.98% of the world reserves) 1.6 Majors •Addax, Chevron, Eni-Agip, Exxon Mobil, Shell and Total •Control 98% of reserves and production assets 2.Indigenous companies •Over 30 operators (Afren, Oando, Seplat etc) •Over 30 independents and local operators ( Summit, Conoil etc) •Own 2% of reserves NDPR NOC/INDIGENOUS BUILDING FOR MID-TERM GROWTH OF PRODUCTION SHARE TO 20% 1.Combined daily production capacity of 80,000 bpd 2.With aggressive equity participation indigenous players will increase market share 3.NPDC making significant progress , hitting the 100 barrels per day equivalent mark. 4. Full Field Development by indigenous companies being promoted New developments in Nigeria for Energy Utilization GAS DEVELOPMENT •Nigeria Gas Master Plan •Domestic Supply Obligations •New IPPs •BrassLNG, NLNG Train 7, OKLNG REFINING •Greenfield refinery projects – 3 new refineries + 1 Petrochemicals Plant UPSTREAM •Deep offshore – EGINA, ERHA North, OPL245, Bonga SW, BONGA NW Stakeholder Collaboration Implementation Model Investment policy Contracts approval Bid rounds NCDF Capacity development NC regulation Interministerial Interface Legislation on Local content Legislation on favourable fiscal regime Government Nigerian content scope on projects (NCCC) Capacity development 1% remittance to NCDF Oil companies Service providers International partners Foreign Direct Investment Benchmark models (learning from others) Nigerian Content Consultative Forum (NCCF) Capacity development Nigerian Content Equipment Certificate (NCEC) 1% remittance to NCDF NCDMB act as facilitator, bringing together a broad array of stakeholders Nigerian Content Road Map R&D Steel mills Facility / upgrades Human Capital Dev Rig/vessel owner Dry dock/shipyard Manufacturing/assembly Manufacturing/ Assy A MULTI LANE HIGHWAY TOWARDS INDUSTRIALISATION Various Initiatives in: i) R&D ii) Human Capital Development iii) Steel Pipemills and associated industries iv) Manufacturing and Component Assembly v) Marine Vessel and Rig Ownership vi) New facilities and Upgrade of existing infrastructure vii) Dry Docks and Shipyards Nigerian Content Measurement Partial NC Real NC Based on proportion of value of contracts awarded to Nigerian Companies Based on proportion of contract sums spent on Nigerian made goods NC VALUE NC VALUE (70% - 85%) (12% - 18%) • There is marked increase in contract award to Nigerian companies • Spend proportion in Nigeria has peaked • Without manufacturing, no further NC Growth – steel products major input in manufacturing • No employment growth • We need power to “power” Local Content Current Performance levels 100 80 Sub-optimal utilization of locally made goods by industry 90% case for strong linkage between manufacturing and oil and gas industry 60 NCDMB as facilitator of growth 50% 40 20 7% 0 Engineering Fabrication Manufacturing Implementation challenges • Strict compliance without disrupting industry activities – Capacity Gaps • Handling increased cost + schedule • Transparent effective model for NCDF Management • Ensuring Quality of delivery • Absence of manufacturing capability and confidence to use local goods• Extending implementation to Downstream • Growing new organization to meet wide responsibility • Funding the Boards operations from appropriation • Policy inconsistencies - require legislative streamlining • Exposure to frequent litigation Nigerian Content Roadmap developed to manage challenges , deepen capacity and maximise utilisation of Nigerian goods and services Impact of Implementation Programs UTILIZATION OF LOCAL FACILITIES AND ASSETS •Indigenous Companies acquiring and deploying rigs •Major rig operators have complied – Seawolf, Oando, Transocean, Pidwal •Existing fabrication yards upgrading to accommodate increased workloads – Nigerdock, Saipem, Aveon . •New yards being developed – Samsung , HHI, Daewoo •Existing pipe mill over 50% capacity utilization. •Indigenous marine vessel replacing hitherto foreign Impact of Implementation Programs Before 2010 – Only $200k of over $2Bn spend domiciled Now – 50% of about $3.5Bn spend domiciled Impact of Implementation Programs Nigerian Made Security Vessel Nigerian Owned DP2 Vessel Naming of MV Osayame STRATEGIC INTERVENTIONS Training & Employment Social Employment PUBLIC SECTOR (Regulator) ~30,000 jobs Compared to rising prices of oil, the capacity of operating companies to employ nationals has been on the decline since 2008 INTERVENTIONS: SERVICE PROVIDERS (Services, equipmt) <1 million jobs OPERATOR (Opportunities and finance) ~25,000 jobs LINKAGE INDUSTRIES (Manufactrg) >2 million jobs 1.(NOGETTS) Project Based Training and Attachment •Over 8,000 candidates captured on JQS Platform •Over 1,500 attached to O & G Projects •Sponsoring geosciences Training for 1,000 Nigerians •Sponsoring environmental remediation training for 3,000 Nigerians 2.Institutional Development •Established OGTAN •Establish Engineering Academy with PPP •NIW Welding Technology Complex (NIW/NCDMB/Shell) Productive Employment Environmental remediation training sponsored by the Board to create a pool of Nigerians with adequate environmental management skills ,to address reoccurring environmental degradation •Establish Subsea Academy 3.Expatriate Quota Management •EQ allocation supported by robust succession planning •Monitor utilization of EQ slots Oil and Gas Training Centre of Excellence Model GOVERNMENT INDUSTRY NIW+ OTHER OGTAN COYS PETROFAC + OGTAN IPS, SITP IADC PTI AKER SUBSEA ACAD SCHLUM TECH CENTRE MAN ORON CPSK Nigerian Content Employment Initiative (NCEmI) 1 Pupilage program - Job categories - Criteria for selection - positions to train for - Skills required - Duration of training - Certification 2 Nomination of Candidates - - - Minimum qualification - Age - Skills (NCEMI) 3 OGTAN and PETROFAC Training Center -Training curriculum -Training Duration - Types of Certifications - Job categories - facility incountry for training 4 Prequalificatio Technical Commercial publish candidates for specific service areas Acknowledgemen t Qualification List Select TCE for NCEMI Employment Qualification List Provisional employment letter - Update Nigerian content plan section Employee costs included in commercial template , Show actual position to be ORAS – Offshore Rig Acquisition and Utilization Key elements of ORAS Strategy: 1. Using a Nigerian Operating Company for Contracting 2. Putting equipment and technology in the Company 3. Phased increase in indigenous equity to meet Acts requirement of 50% 4. Assisting with long term funding and equity Financing TYPICAL PROJECT SPINOFFS Equipment Manufacturing Capability Topside Integration capability EPC PROJECT Training & Certifying Academy Heavy Industry Fabrication Yard Legacy Programs. EGINA/GAS MP/ BONGASW/ERHA NORTH/BRASS LNG FPSO Topside Integration Facility •TUPNI committed to EGINA topside integration •Integration Facility set by 2014 Pipe Mills •Consolidate existing Mill •NLNG, BLNG focus •Erha North/ Egina •3 new Pipe mills •LNG carrier size Dockyard •Umbilical facility & Tree assy •Complete by 2015 •Start Production by 2015 •Cost of $250m •Cost of $250m each • Generate 55000 Jobs • Generate 5000 Jobs •20 000 training opportunities •2000 training opportunities •Start Production by 2015 •Cost of $150m each •Cost of $150m to $200m • Generate 15000 Jobs •Generate 30000 jobs •3000 training opportunities •Training opportunities Dock Yards Subsea Equipment Manufacturing Complex STRATEGIC INTERVENTIONS Nigerian Content Equipment Certificate (NCEC) •Guidelines issued to the industry makes NCECs a requirement in tenders • Over 300 applications being processed • Attributes of certificates issued to date: •Establishment of equipment assembly plants •Manufacture of equipment parts for repairs/maintenance • Manufacture of equipment components •Investment commitment of over $600m •IOCs are taking initiatives to support OEM presence in Nigeria - Shell •Investors supported by Government general and specific incentives STRATEGIC INTERVENTIONS Nigeria Oil & Gas Industry Content Joint Qualification System NOGIC JQS •Expatriate Quota Utilization and 1.Categorization of oil and gas service companies Succession data •Marine Vessels data •Contract Processing data •Equipment Ownership •Nigerian Content Compliance Certificate Data •Skill Base Tracking 2.Industry data base for skills verification. 3.Verification of available in-country capacity 4.Effective information exchange across stakeholders •Training and Employment data 5.Compliance Monitoring •Nigerian Content Plans and reports 6.Test data uploaded repository 7.Launch Q2 2012 Nigerian Content Development Fund Model (Clause 104 of the Act) Letter on NCDF implementation 30% NCDF Direct Intervention Lte 1% Upstream contract sums Direct Capacity Development intervention by the Board Equity Participation to stimulate Investments in Critical facilities Industry Advisory Committee Fund Managers (BGL/UBA global) Skills Development & Job Creation interventions 70% Guarantee Ltd Provide Guarantees for low interest lending Industry Advisory committee & SPV to strengthen Governance Fund will not be depleted Other Participating Commercial Banks Nigerian Content Governance on Monitoring ….COMES COMPLIANCE MONITORING & ENFORCEMENT STRATEGY ( COMES) THIRD PARTY INSPECTION TASK FORCE Section 68 – Prescribes fine or cancellation of the project for non compliance Compliance monitoring activities of the Board has brought about : 1. Reversal of contracts hitherto awarded in contravention of the NOGICD Act 2. EPC contractors and operators taking extra effort to build local capacity for their critical input needs 35 THANK YOU FOR LISTENING 35