SPACE FOR PEACE: USING SPACE-RELATED SCIENCE TO RESOLVE AFRICA'S CONFLICTS AND ACHIEVE POST-CONFLICT RECONSTRUCTION 5th African Leadership Conference on Space Science and Technology for Sustainable Development (ALC), Accra, Ghana, 3-5 December 2013. Dr Jo-Ansie van Wyk Member: South African Council for Space Affairs (SACSA) Lecturer: Department of Political Sciences, University of South Africa (UNISA), Pretoria vwykjak@unisa.ac.za JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Objectives & approach • • • • • Applications Applicators Use of imagery of selected cases: Libya, Sudan, Central African Republic (CAR) Implications African Union, continental space policy, strategy and agency JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Security & peace • • Achieved, inter alia, by use of space technology for border protection etc. Libya & Italian cooperation on satellite surveillance system for border protection (Nov 2013) JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Utility of space technology • • • • • • Diplomatic and political (e.g. border disputes) Humanitarian intervention (e.g. abuses & refugees) Achieving human security & state reconstruction Early warning: environmental crises (e.g. floods, fires) Forensic analysis (e.g. mass graves) State/national security (e.g. anti-government militias etc.) JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Users • • • Governments Intergovernmental organisations (UN) Non-state actors (non-governmental organisations, NGOs) JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Intergovernmental organisations UN Institute for Training and Research / Operational Satellite Applications Programme (UNITAR / UNOSAT) • specialises in satellite imagery analysis to improve responses in respect of humanitarian crises, human insecurity, and strategic territorial & development planning • UN High Commissioner for Human Rights JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Libya UN High Commissioner for Human Rights (Feb 2012 report) Removal of Gaddafi (since 1967) Actions by Gaddafi, opposition & NATO Destruction • Infrastructure (bridges, water treatment areas) • Military compounds • Buildings (factories, hospitals, houses & mosques) Military activities Casualties (body bags) Capture of Gaddafi JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA NATO airstrikes Gaddafi compound Military based next to compound JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA NATO Destruction of government communication centre in Tripoli JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Tawergha (Libya) Town supported Gaddafi Revenge crimes (despite amnesty) continue • Forced displacement of 40 000 people • 1690 damaged and destroyed infrastructure after cessation of hostilities • > 90% caused by fire (arson) to prevent residents from returning JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Role of non-state actors • • • Civil society: Non-governmental organisations (NGOs), humanitarian organisations, universities Aimed against governments that act against their own population, or against the population of another country Also tracking environmental degradation that affect livelihoods JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Sudan & South Sudan • • • • Three decades of civil war Comprehensive Peace Agreement (2005) South Sudan independence (2011) Darfur etc. JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Satellite Sentinel Project (SSP) • • • George Clooney & Harvard University Since 2010 DigitalGlobe Satellites monitor Sudan Images analysed and notifying policy makers, news agencies and international organisations JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA SSP (cont.) Detected warning signs such as: • Troop build-ups & movements • Construction of landing strips • Destruction of infrastructure such as bridges • Bombardments • Refugee movements • Violations of demilitarised zone • Scorched earth policies JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Troop movements Sudan Defence Force troop movements in offense against Sudanese Revolutionary Front (September and October 2013) JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA JKvW/SANWC/MMXIII Attacks against civilians • • 15 May 2013 South Kordofan (oil-rich and borders on South Sudan) continues to bear brunt of recent escalation in hostilities between the rebel Sudan Revolutionary Front (SRF) and Darfurian Justice and Equality Movement (JEM), and the government Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Resources, plunder & displacement • • • • December 2012 Pro-government militias gained control over lucrative gold mines in North Darfur; a continuation of state-sponsored atrocity and plunder Influx of thousands of artisanal miners into Jebel 'Amer, North Darfur (Feb 2012 - Jan 2013); major displacement since Dec 2012: Sudan's minerals ministry declared 4000 new gold mines (yielded US$2.2 billion) operate in Jebel Amir area. JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Military build-up • • • March 2013 Arrival of 10 newly-arrived main battle tanks, 10 heavy transporters (HETS), and two Mi-24 helicopter gunships, in the oilproducing Sudanese border town of Heglig (South Kordofan) Thus: total tanks in the greater Heglig area to 22; equivalent of two tank companies JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Scorched earth attacks on civilians & villages • Nov 2012 • 13 villages and approximately 82 square km of fields and forests southwest of the town of al Abassiya (Nuba Mountains of South Kordofan) burned JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Mass graves in Sudan (2011) JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Central African Republic (CAR) • • • • Amnesty International & Human Rights Watch Pres François Bozizé overthrown in March 2013 Country run by Pres Michel Djotodia of a Seleka coalition Recent human rights abuses amid spiralling violence by armed groups supporting Bozizé; and government security forces JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Evidence of 485 homes torched (yellow dots) in Bouca in CAR (Nov 2013) JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Politics of imagery and politics of the use of imagery • • • • Access to imagery: how, who and cost? Use and analyses of imagery: by whom, for what purpose? Responses to analyses: by whom and how? Impact on affected areas and populations: how, when and where? JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Implications • • • • • Space no longer domain of states only Private monitoring of government and country Google Earth Rise of private authority Accessing remote and/or restricted areas JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Implications (cont.) • • • • Ethical element to surveillance Normative: brother’s keeper Human rights organisations capitalised on satellite technology to document violations Amnesty International: Eyes on Darfur (since 2006): ‘new ground in protecting human rights by allowing people around the world to literally "watch over" and protect twelve intact, but highly vulnerable, villages using satellite technology’ JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Implications (cont.) • • • International investigations increasingly using evidence collected through satellites Then-ICC Prosecutor Luis Moreno Ocampo used satellite imagery of destroyed villages in his July 2008 application for an arrest warrant for Sudanese Pres Omar Al-Bashir on charges of war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide Bashir called on AU to act against spy satellites (2012) JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA African Union (AU) • Constitutive Act (2002) • Peace and Security Council (PSC) JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA AU (cont.) AU Policy Framework on Post-Conflict Reconstruction and Development (PCRD) adopted in 2006 • Consolidate peace and prevent relapse into violence • Address root causes of conflict • Improve planning & implementation of reconstruction activities • Enhance coordination between and among actors engaged in PCRD JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA AU (cont.) • • • Idea of African Space Agency surfaced ca. 2010 Feasibility study concluded 2012: additional support for establishment JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA AU (cont.) • • • • Establishment of AU-PCRD Centre recommended in Jan. 2012 Egypt & Uganda offered to host the Centre July 2012: AU Commission recommended that proposed AU-PCRD could have satellite institutions, located in different regions of the continent These could specialise on specific issues falling under the mandate of the AU-PCRD Centre JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA African Space Policy: Objectives 1. Addressing user needs • Harness the potential of space science 2. Accessing space services • Strengthen the space technology base 3. Developing the regional market • Develop a sustainable and vibrant space industry 4. Adopting good governance and management • Adopt good corporate governance 5. Promoting international cooperation • Promote and African led space agenda JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA African Space Policy Draft Policy endorsed by AMCOST Oct 2013 meeting Strong focus on commercialisation and regulation of space arena in Africa Little focus on conflict resolution; mere reference ‘to derive optimal socio-economic benefits that both improve quality of life and create wealth for Africans’ JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA African Space Policy (cont.) Recognition of use of space: ‘Space presents a unique opportunity for cooperation and sharing of enabling infrastructure (including data) in proactively managing, among other things... peacekeeping missions and conflicts.’ To be adopted in 2014 Development of African Space Strategy next JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Recommendations • African Space Policy: stronger focus on conflict resolution and post conflict reconstruction required • African Space Strategy: focus on using space to achieve peace JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Recommendations (cont.) • African Union: Resolve conflicts, remove impunity of leaders, address non-state armed groups • African Space Agency: establish a dedicated Directorate to liaise with the PSC on conflict resolution and post conflict reconstruction JKvW/ALC2013/GHANA Thank you. JKvW/ALC 2013/GHANA