Overview of the Green Industry Special thanks for some of these slides to Dr. Charles R. Hall Professor & Extension Economist Texas A&M University Outline 1. The economic importance of the GREEN industry. 2. Interesting technological advancements that have caused structural changes in the green industry. 3. Marketing systems in the GREEN industry. Aalsmeer Flower Auction Largest flower auction in the world Dutch-based – Amsterdam See highlights Source: Images from Aalsmeer Dutch auction Dutch Auction • Auctioneer starts with one high price and goes down until there is a bid – first bid takes the lot. • Advantage of moving large number of lots of flowers quickly 1. Economic importance of the GREEN industry. Green Industry • Also referred to as “environmental horticulture” – Nursery & floriculture – Sod – Greenhouse for ornamental and annual vegetable/tobacco plant stock – Landscaping services • Markets include – Home construction/home improvement – Golf courses, parks, outdoor sport facilities, public spaces – Retail garden centers, florists Kentucky’s “green” industry includes … Nursery and greenhouse growers/auctions, firms providing landscape services such as contracting and maintenance, and retail operations including independent garden centers, home improvement centers, and mass merchandisers/chain stores. The nursery and greenhouse industry comprises the fastest growing segment of U.S. Agriculture Number of nursery and greenhouse farms continue to increase Grower cash receipts increasing at ~ $500 M per year Third most important sector in U.S. crop agriculture Seven states account for 2/3 of all U.S. nursery crop production --- CA, TX, FL, NC, OR, OH, MD Perspective on Nursery, Greenhouse and Sod Industry U.S. value of agriculture production U.S. value of all crops U.S. value of nursery, greenhouse, sod Note: Source: 2007 Census of Ag; 2009 Census of Horticulture Specialties. $202 Billion $ 143 Billion $ 17 Billion 1. Farm sales for nursery & greenhouse for U.S.: $14.5 billion in 2012 ($16.6 billion in 2007) 2. $6 billion in floriculture crops 3. $5.1 billion nursery stock 4. $1 billion in sod 85 sod farms: 52% acres, 53% sales 5. 68% of cut flowers are imported, primarily from Columbia and Ecuador 6. California, Florida & Hawaii major U.S. producers Recession Impacts • Highly dependent on housing starts • Consumer disposable income • Major industry contraction during recession National Nursery and Greenhouse Sales 2000-2014 Source: USDA/ERS Farm Income and Wealth Statistics, 2014 Economics Greenhouse & Nursery Sales ($million) 2007 2012 KY 87.748 79.283 -8.465 -9.6% OH 444.855 437.723 -7.132 -1.6% IN 126.241 110.838 -15.403 -12.2% IL 435.073 332.104 -102.969 -23.7% TN 325.079 294.740 -30.339 -9.3% 16632.734 14517.593 -2115.141 -12.7% Natl change Percent change Source: 2012 Census of Agriculture Economics Most Important Factors Facing Nursery Business During Next 2 Years Business Issue % Rating as #1 Issue Excessive Overhead 21 Recession impact on premium/specialty products 18 Labor management & availability 17 Uncertainty of government regulation 16 Retaining key buyer relationships 13 Retaining key personnel 10 Source: Woods, 2011 Nursery Buyers Survey Output of US Green Industry Sectors, 1987-2003 Landscape & Horticultural Services Billion Dollars (deflated 2004) 40 35 Nursery & Greenhouse 30 25 Lawn & Garden Equipment Manufacturing 20 15 Retail Nurseries & Garden Stores 10 5 0 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 Landscaping Services in Kentucky Year Employees Annual Payroll Million $ Firms 2011 5128 146.7 876 2010 4931 135.7 898 2009 5025 136.8 889 2005 4801 124.0 839 2000 4186 76.8 702 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns Demand factors impacting nursery products and services 1. 2. 3. 4. New construction (and mortgage rates) Disposable income Home improvement trends Multiple worker households • U.S. New Housing Starts: Where we came from • Thousand Homes. Annual Rate Seasonally Adjusted. 2014-15 Housing Outlook Housing starts trending upwards * Source: www.census.gov/construction/nrc/ thousands Estimates of the Total Housing Inventory for the United States: 2000 to Present recession Source: U.S. Census Bureau; Housing Vacancies and Homeownership Daily Stock Prices 2008-2013 Lowes Home Depot Home improvement sector showing recovery signs 2. Technological advancements in the GREEN industry that have revolutionized plant production and marketing systems. tissue culture and plug production biotechnology container technology slow-release and soluble fertilization automation technology climate control systems irrigation technology All of these technologies have been important, but… the technological driving force that is shaking things up the most today in the Green Industry is… INFORMATION technology! examples of information technology in green industry precision agr. applications bar code and scanner technology Flowchart of the Green Industry Marketing System Final Consumers Retail Home Centers 38% Garden Centers 32% Mass Merchants 30% Landscape E-commerce Contractors & Maintenance Direct to Consumer Re-Wholesale Distribution Centers Infomediaries Shipping Point Firms - nursery growers - greenhouse growers - combination growers - B2B alliances Allied Input Suppliers The NEW Green Industry Structure Final Consumers Retail Home Centers 38% Garden Centers 32% Mass Merchants 30% Landscape E-commerce Contractors & Maintenance Direct to Consumer Re-Wholesale Distribution Centers Infomediaries Shipping Point Firms - nursery growers - greenhouse growers - combination growers - B2B alliances Allied Input Suppliers