FP7 FUPOL Project –
Innovation in Policy Science
Egils Ginters, Artis Aizstrauts, Dace Aizstrauta, Ieva Lauberte, Sociotechnical Systems
Engineering Institute, Vidzeme University of Applied Sciences, Valmiera, Latvia, e-mail:
{egils.ginters, artis.aizstrauts, dace.aizstrauta, ieva.lauberte}@va.lv
Miquel Angel Piera Eroles, Roman Buil, Dept. de Telecomunicacio i Enginyeria de Sistemes,
Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain, e-mail: miquelangel.piera@uab.es
Peter Sonntagbauer, Susanne Sonntagbauer, Cellent AG, Ziegelofengasse 33, 1050 Vienna,
Austria, email: peter.sonntagbauer@cellent.at
IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic
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FUPOL: EC FP7-ICT-2011-7 IP project Nr. 287119
(2011-2014) “Future Policy Modelling (IP)”
–
Preliminary assessment of potential results of
political decisions gives possibility to avoid of
voluntary decision making what could make
important loses for economy. The aim of the
FUPOL project is elaboration of the new methods
granting direct and convenient access to modelling
tools for politicians.
–
Project Coordinator: CELLENT AG (Austria)
IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic
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FUPOL: FACTS AND FIGURES
 FP7 Research Project 2011 – 2015 with a budget of 9,0 Mio EUR
 17 Partners from Austria, Croatia, China, Cyprus, France, Germany,
Latvia, Romania and Spain
 Good balance of international ICT companies, universities and political
Institutions
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FOCUS: URBAN POLICY DOMAINS
Urban segregation
Land Use
Transport
Housing
Immigration
Economic development
Tourism
IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic
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POLICY DESIGN PROCESS
Automatically collection, analysis and
interpretation opinions expressed on a large
scale from the Internet – input data for policy
use case modelling and simulation
„Hot“ Topic sensing
Involving Stakeholders and respecting their
opinions through Multichannel social
computing and crowd sourcing change the way
how politicians communicate with citizens
Stakeholder Involvement
Transparency of decisions: Simulation shows
the effects of potential policies and laws
Scenarios, Simulation
IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic
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METHOODLOGY
 Data Sources: EUROSTAT, Corine, Internet, Social Media, Local data
 Use Case Requirements: Beneficiaries (European and Chinese cities)
 Policy Modelling: FCM and CPN
 FUPOL Simulator: ABM/MAS and SD (Repast Symphony) (OSS)
 Visualisation: SemaVIS (Fraunhofer)
 Integration: ESB (Mule)
IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic
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FUPOL – BENEFITS FOR ALL
 Politicians can get a better understanding of the needs of
citizens and businesses
 Direct and better feedback through multichannel social network
based communication between politicians and citizens
 Improved prediction of impacts of policy measures leading to
more efficient implementation of government policies
 Better decisions through forecasting of the potential impact of
political decisions
IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic
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FUPOL SIMULATOR ARCHITECTURE
Heterogeneous Multilevel simulation –
ABM/MAS and SD
Distributed simulation
models – Easy
Communication
Environment (ECE)
On Web Services
based SOA approach
Ready for Future
Internet and/or Cloud
Open Source Software
IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic
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SUSTAINABILITY OF FUPOL APPROACH
 The Integrated Acceptance and Sustainability Assessment Model (IASAM)
introduces a new approach for evaluation of technologies at any chosen point of
time of the technology life cycle, by combining socio-economical aspects and
socio-technical characteristics of technology development and exploitation
• First Step: IASAM model
involves Unified Theory of
Acceptance and Use of Technology
(UTAUT) (Venkatesh, 2003) for
acceptance assessment
• Second Step: IASAM system
dynamics simulation model
IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic
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IASAM USE FOR SUSTAINABILITY ASSESSSMENT
IASAM consists of four groups of
flows that have an impact on
integrated technology acceptance
and sustainability:
Management – successful
management of every asset
Quality of technology – quality of
the product, quality of production,
including supporting services
Acceptance and economical
context
Domain development – the impact
of domain and societal
development
IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic
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CONCLUSIONS
• Policy modelling is complex task due to huge amount of important
influencing factors comprised. Sometime decisions are intuitive, voluntary and
wrong. To change the situation FP7 FUPOL project develops new approach
which is based on innovative solutions comprising advanced semantic search
methods, data mining, and simulation and visualising technologies granting
possibilities for policy decision makers to verify their decisions before
introduction in real life
• FUPOL simulator ensures simultaneously running of heterogeneous use
case models enhancing performance of simulation session. Belonging to open
source software group, and granting multilingual support spread potential
users’ network reducing errors in software and policy decision making. SOA
enhances integration with other decision making and service tools.
• The policy modelling and simulation approach will be further developed
introducing relationships between simulation model and FCM, where FCM will
be used for simulation driver’s weight assessment and correction. The
sustainability research will be adjusted and updated.
IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic
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FP7 FUPOL Project – Innovation in
Policy Science
•
Thank you for attention
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