2-1 STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin Chapter 2 Analyzing the External Environment of the Firm McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-3 Learning Objectives After studying this chapter, you should have a good understanding of: The importance of developing forecasts Why environmental scanning, monitoring, and collecting competitive intelligence are critical inputs to forecasting Why scenario planning is a useful technique The impact of the general environment on a firm’s strategies and performance How forces in the competitive environment can affect profitability How a firm can improve its competitive position by increasing its power vis-à-vis forces in the competitive environment How trends in the general environment and forces in the competitive environment can affect performance The concept and implications of strategic groups STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-4 Exhibit 2.1 Inputs to Forecasting Environmental Scanning Environmental Forecasts Monitoring Competitive Intelligence STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-5 General Environment: Key Components Demographic Technological Aging population Genetic engineering Changes in ethnic composition Emergence of Internet technology Greater income disparities CAD/CAM Sociocultural Economic More women in the workforce Postponement of family formation Political/Legal Tort reform Americans with Disabilities Act Interest rates Changes in stock market valuations Global Currency exchange rates Emergence of the Indian and Chinese economies STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-6 Exhibit 2.3 (adapted) Impact of General Environmental Trends on Various Industries Segment/Trends/Events Industry Demographic Aging population Sociocultural More women in the workforce Political/legal Tort reform Health Care Baby products Clothing Baking Products Legal Services Auto Manufacturing Technological Genetic engineering Pharmaceutical Publishing Economic Interest Rate Increases Residential construction Grocery products Global GlobalMANAGEMENT Trade STRATEGIC Positive Shipping CHAPTER 2 Neutral Negative Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-7 Exhibit 2.4 Porter’s Five Forces Model of Industry Competition POTENTIAL ENTRANTS Threat of new entrants Bargaining power of suppliers INDUSTRY COMPETITORS SUPPLIERS Bargaining power of buyers BUYERS Rivalry Among Existing Firms Threat of substitute products or services SUBSTITUTES Reprinted with the permission of The Free Press, a division of Simon & Schuster, Inc. from Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors by Michael E. Porter. Copyright © 1980, 1998 by The Free Press. STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-8 Rivalry Among Competitors: Influences • • • • • • Number of competitors Industry growth rate Fixed costs, scale issues Lack of differentiation Low switching costs High exit barriers (specialized assets, emotional commitment, restrictions) STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-9 Rivalry among Competitors: Outcomes • • • • • Using price competition and price wars Staging advertising battles Increasing warranties or services Making new product introductions Jockeying for strategic position STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-10 Threat of New Entrants: Entry Barriers • • • • • • Economies of scale Differentiation/brand loyalty Capital requirements Switching costs Access to distribution channels Other cost disadvantages: – Location – Raw materials – Proprietary technology STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-11 Bargaining Power of Suppliers and Buyers: Influences • • • • • • Their size Number Ability to switch Availability of substitutes Criticality of product Ability to vertically integrate – Suppliers vertically integrate forward – Buyers vertically integrate backward STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-12 Bargaining Power of Suppliers and Buyers: Outcomes • Outcomes are a function of the relative bargaining power and dependencies of parties • Bargaining power is evidenced through – Price – Quality – Service STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-13 Threat of Substitute Products • Places an upper limit on prices • Consists of products with a similar function – – – – Electronic security/security guards DSL/Cable modem Coffee/tea/cola Fax/overnight delivery of documents STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-14 Results of Industry Analysis To one in the industry --• Unattractive industry: intense rivalry, low entry barriers, strong suppliers and buyers, strong product substitutes • Attractive industry: little rivalry, high entry barriers, weak buyers and suppliers, weak product substitutes STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-15 Competitor Analysis • What are the competitor’s capabilities • What is the competitor currently doing and what is the competitor capable of doing • What are the competitor’s current and future objectives • What are the competitor’s beliefs about himself, us, others, the environment • What are the competitor’s beliefs about the future STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin 2-16 Exhibit 2.6 The World Automobile Industry: Strategic Groups High Ferrari Lamborghini Porsche Mercedes* BMW Price Toyota Ford General Motors Chrysler* Honda Nissan Hyundai Kia High Low Low Breadth of Product Line * Chrysler and Mercedes (part of DiamlerChrysler) are separated for purposes of illustration. Note: Members of each strategic group are only illustrative – not inclusive. STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 2 Gregory G. Dess and G. T. Lumpkin