MAINSTREAMING AGRICULTURAL INNOVATIONS: The experience of PICS bags in West and Central Africa Purdue Improved Crop Storage (PICS) Workshop Accra, Ghana April 2012 Study objective To better understand the challenges and opportunities for commercial mainstreaming of PICS storage bags (and future agricultural innovations) © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 2 - Agenda • Objectives of Study • Methodology • Constraints/Challenges • Supply Chain Investments • Key Lessons Learned • Recommendations © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 3 - Key Questions • What is the current status of the supply chain in each PICS country? • What are key constraints (i.e., financial, structural, social) that hamper supply chain development? • What are key factors that drive decision-making among actors to invest in the supply chain? • How effective have strategies been to date in expanding distribution channels and increasing bag sales? • What are possible investments to reduce costs and enhance efficiencies in the PICS supply chain? • What are the key risks and critical success factors for the supply chain’s growth and sustainability? © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 4 - Methodology • Review of project documentation • Review of existing literature • Adoption of case study approach • Develop set of tools (SC maps, timelines, SC cost structure, interview guides) • Broad-based stakeholder consultations • Cross-country analysis © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 5 - Mapping the supply chain NIGER NIGERIA PICS Niger Omarou DAN MALKA (Niamey, Tillabery) Husa’a Enterprise (Dosso) Ibrahim ZANGUINA (Dosso) Assoumane SALIFOU (Tahoua) Lela Agro (Kano, Nigeria) NIGER BURKINA Maman NA IYA (Maradi) ETS Nassamou ABDOUL (Niamey) Malan Manirou OUMAROU (Zinder) NGOs OPVN Fasoplast (Ougadougou, BF) MANUFACTURING N=2 NAT’L DISTRIBUTION N=5 REGIONAL WHOLESALING N=61 SEMIWHOLESALING RETAILING FARMERS COOPS/TRADERS PROCESSORS GOV’T © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 6 - Timeline © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 7 - Cost Structure © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 8 - Innovation ecosystem © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 9 - PICS Mandate ① DESIGN determine best design for onepiece, commercially viable 3-layer storage bag; © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 10 - PICS Mandate ① determine best design for onepiece, commercially viable 3-layer storage bag; ② disseminate information on nonchemical cowpea storage methods DESIGN DISSEMINATE INFO © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 11 - PICS Mandate ① determine best design for onepiece, commercially viable 3-layer storage bag; ② disseminate information on nonchemical cowpea storage methods ③ demonstrate the most effective cowpea storage methods DESIGN DISSEMINATE INFO DEMONSTRATE © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 12 - PICS Mandate DELIVER ① determine best design for onepiece, commercially viable 3-layer storage bag; ② disseminate information on nonchemical cowpea storage methods ③ demonstrate the most effective cowpea storage methods ④ Develop SC for 3-layer plastic bags DESIGN DISSEMINATE INFO DEMONSTRATE © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 13 - PICS Mandate DELIVER ① determine best design for onepiece, commercially viable 3-layer storage bag; ② disseminate information on nonchemical cowpea storage methods ③ demonstrate the most effective cowpea storage methods ④ Develop SC for 3-layer plastic bags DESIGN DISSEMINATE INFO DEMONSTRATE © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 14 - Key Assumptions • PICS technology responds well to the needs of smallholders • Training/promotional activities have been critical in stimulating demand for PICS bags • At $2-3 retail, PICS bags are accessible to the average smallholder farmer • Lack of availability of PICS bags among rural farming households represents a formidable constraint • Distribution networks are based largely on informal business relationships and trust-based social capital • Poor access to credit represents a significant SC growth constraint • Agro dealer networks represent optimal delivery channels to reach rural smallholders © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 15 - What have we learned? • Constraints • Investments (project, partners, SC actors) • Lessons Learned • Recommendations © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 16 - Key constraints - Market • Poor access to better and more timely information handicaps profit-maximization and efficient allocation of resources • Variability and high price of raw materials raise manufacturing costs • Low cowpea production dampens demand • Limited applications for niche product trims demand • Thin margins at the retail level discourages downstream investments • Slow turnover raises risks and costs of capital © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 17 - Supply Chain Cost Structure © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 18 - Supply Chain Cost Structure © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 19 - Gross Margin vs. Interest Rate (6 months) 8000 50 FCFA 6000 100 FCFA 4000 200 FCFA FCFA 2000 0 24% 18% 12% 6% -2000 -4000 -6000 -8000 -10000 -12000 6-Month Interest Rate © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 20 - Gross Margin vs. Interest Rate (2x, 6 months) 15000 50 FCFA 10000 100 FCFA 200 FCFA Return on Invetment (FCFA) 5000 0 24% 18% 12% 6% -5000 -10000 6-Month Interest Rate © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 21 - Key constraints - Market • Lack of competition impedes potential efficiency gains (via price/process upgrades) • Upstream payment defaults cause systemic SC bottlenecks • Poorly adapted vendor networks (e.g. grain traders, FBOs) • High up-front costs of PICS vs. alternative chemical-based storage discourage cowpea traders’ uptake © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 22 - PICS vs. Chemical Methods (10 tons) 120,000 Chemical Methods 100,000 PICS Bags COST (FCFA) 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Storage Period (in months) © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 23 - Key Constraints - Logistics • Delayed delivery/availability of bags due to poor organizational and inventory management capacity • High transportation costs reduce margins • Lack of coordination b/w technical, promotional and SC actors © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 24 - Key Constraints – Enabling Environment • Inflated prices at harvest due to food security programs discourages storage • Donor-drive, large-scale distribution programs dampen demand • High import tariffs/taxes on raw materials • Weak contract and regulatory enforcement mechanisms © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 25 - Key Constraints - Social • Project bias and “project price” • Religious laws (i.e., interest ban) • Reliance on informal, social networks © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 26 - Investments - Project • Promotional activities (training, radio, TV, posters, cell phone videos) • Tripartite arrangements with co-financed procurement • “Guaranteed market” thru purchase of PICS bag demos • Support for organization of mobile caravans • Hiring of PICS Business Consultants • Organization of vendor meetings © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 27 - Investments - Partners • Vouchers, trade fairs and storage competitions • Training and sensitization of trainers/farmers • Distribution of PICS bags © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 28 - Investments – SC Actors • Radio advertisements • Mobile caravans • Credit/consignment sales • Use of mobile vendors • Phone marketing, word of mouth • Developing branded 3-ply bags (Fasoplast) © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 29 - Key Lessons • Direct procurement financing carries significant risks • “Guaranteed market” purchase of demos offers strong incentive • Agrodealer networks offer optimal distribution channel, but not only game in town • Relying on Public Extension services can be an effective way to expose farmers but it is not a viable distribution channel. © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 30 - Key Lessons • NARC’s play an instrumental role in building awareness of the technology and promoting adoption • Output market orientation and revenue model of grain trader networks are inimical to PICS bags distribution • Mobilizing existing social capital fundamental to SC development • Good coordination/communication among technical, promotional and SC participants can enhance ROI • Price does not impinge significantly upon farmers’ purchasing decisions © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 31 - Key Lessons • Strong advantage in presence of multiple wholesalers with direct sourcing arrangements to the manufacturer • Sensibilization of vendors and vendor meetings can greatly strengthen SC capacity • Farmer sensitization and training and promotional activities are critical in creating and stimulating demand © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 32 - Key Lessons • PICS brand as mark of quality offers compelling value proposition • Price setting can discourage SC investments, especially downstream • Business consultants can play an influential role in facilitating SC relationships and encouraging SC investments • Progressive project launch over time allowed for refinement and validation of strategies for improved impact © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 33 - Recommendations • Avoid direct investments, maximize use of guaranteed market and other zero-risk mechanisms • Where feasible, channel promotional resources through manufacturers to encourage early buy-in in product development and marketing • Promote the setup of inventory credit programs in collaboration with NGO partners • Lobby for PICS bags to be included in the list of agricultural inputs © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 34 - Recommendations • Ensure well-defined TORs and strategic recruitment of Business Consultant (rural business experience, entrepreneurial bent/history, broader market perspective) • Reinforce vendor inventory management and marketing skills through training and sensitization • Enhance emphasis on PICS quality brand/certification during training events • Promote broader awareness of health concerns and risks associated with chemical-based storage methods © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 35 - Recommendations • Promote vendor meetings and better communication among PICS partners • Conduct a feasibility study into the potential for patenting the PICS technology • Explore exclusive licensing arrangements with manufacturers, leveraging “licensing fees” to incentivize marketing and product/brand development investments • Encourage large volume buyers (e.g., NGOs, food security programs) to procure cowpea stored exclusively in PICS bags © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 36 - Thank You!! © 2012 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation | - 37 -