Faculty of Business and Economics, Chair of Business Administration, esp. Environmental Management and Accounting „Climate Change as Opportunities for Cities— Innovations in Adaptation Policy “ Jo-Ting Huang, Prof. Dr. Edeltraud Guenther ICREP Conference: Improving energy access through climate finance University of Twente, The Netherlands, 28 March 2013 Introduction Perception • It is costly to adapt to climate change. • Adaptation is counter-effective to local economic development. • Current state-of-art literature mainly addresses the cost of inaction. Hurdles of climate adaptation • Mitigation vs. adaptation • Expensive costs • Priority Research interests Research contribution • Does it pay for cities to adapt to climate change? • To present benefits of local climate change adaptation to motivate local governments to address climate change. • To provide the positive cases which exploit opportunities of adaptation to the current literature. Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 2 Literature review • Climate change adaptation is critical for long-term sustainability for economies, societies, and environments (O’Brien et al, 2012). • Relatively small amount of information and literature on adaptation benefits. The current literature mainly addresses the costs of inaction in climate change (Stern, 2007). • The lack of positive literature of local adaptation options to provide a positive influence on motivating local economies to address climate change adaptation (Eisenack and Hoffmann, 2012). • A wider definition benefits should be also considered, including social and environmental costs and benefits, for instance, job creation, institutional adaptive capacity or ecosystem services (UNFCCC, 2011). • First mover advantage addresses that innovation creates competitiveness (Porter, 1995) • Definition of adaptation by UNFCCC “an adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climate stimuli or their effects, which moderates harm or exploits benefit opportunities” (IPCC, 2001). Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 3 Research questions and Methodology Main research questions 1. How are economic opportunities driven by cities’ efforts to adapt to climate change? 2. What is the role of innovation in cities’ climate change adaptation? Chair of Business Administration Data availability Methods CDP database and questionnaires responded by cities (65 cities in 2012) Content analysis, descriptive statistics, crisp-set qualitative comparative analysis, public sector innovation model Environmental Management and Accounting slide 4 Questionnaires of CDP Cities 2012 Risks • Do current and/or anticipated effects of climate change present significant physical risks to your city? • Effects of climate change Opportunities • Does climate change present any economic opportunities for your city? • If yes, please indicate the opportunities and describe how the city is positioning itself to take advantage of them. • Economic opportunity • Describe how the city is maximizing this opportunity • If not, why not? • Please describe any other opportunities (e.g. social or physical) that climate change presents for your city. Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 5 Questionnaires of CDP Cities 2012 Adaptation • Do you have a plan for increasing your city's resilience to the expected physical effects of climate change? • Effects of climate change • Actions to reduce vulnerability • What is the current status of this initiative as it relates to your city? • Which statement best characterizes the type of initiative? • Which statement best describes how this initiative is funded or financed? • Please describe any other efforts you have undertaken or will undertake to ensure business and operational continuity - for both the city government and the businesses located in your city - in the event of a significant weather-related event. • If not, why not? Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 6 Sample: 65 Cities Source: CDP cities 2012 Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 7 Findings: opportunities in cities Risks and opportunities of climate change in cities Cities (N=65) No Don’t know Yes Risks 1 4 60 Economic 5 6 (4+2) 54 opportunities Finding 1: Among 65 responding cities, 86% of cities confirmed that they have economic opportunities in climate change efforts. 38 Cities presented other climate change opportunities (e.g. social or physical). Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 8 Findings: Climate change opportunities Economic opportunities in cities Number of cities (N=65) Green jobs Development of new business industries Additional funding options Improved efficiency of operations 49 37 22 17 Increased green entrepreneurship Increased energy security Carbon finance income 15 13 6 Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 9 Findings: relation between economic opportunities and adaptation efforts Cities Economic opportunities Adaptation Plan Adaptation Actions Addis Ababa Ethiopia ? 1 1 Bangkok Thailand 0 1 1 Basel Switzerland 0 0 0 Curitiba Brazil ? 0 0 Ekurhuleni South Africa 0 0 0 Rome Italy 0 0 0 San Salvador El Salvador 0 0 0 Taipei Taiwan 0 1 1 Warsaw Poland ? 1 1 Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 10 Findings: relation between economic opportunities and adaptation efforts Cities Economic opportunities Adaptation Plan Adaptation Actions San Francisco United States 1 0 0 Manchester United Kingdom 1 0 0 Dallas United States 1 0 0 1 1 1 53 Cities Results of set-theoretic method qualitative comparative analysis (crisp-set): ~P~A(X)=~O (5 cases confirmed; 4 cases contradictory) PA(X)=O (53 cases confirmed; 3 cases contradictory) What is X? Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 11 Types of innovation Oslo Manual (private sector) Public sector product innovation service innovation process innovation process innovation organisational innovation organisational innovation marketing innovation communication innovation (Source: European Public Sector Innovation Scoreboard (EPSIS) – Methodology report, 2012) Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 12 Typology of public sector innovation Typology Product innovation Definition new products (e.g. new instrumentation) Service innovation new ways in which services are provided to users (e.g. online tax forms). new ways in which organizational processes are designed (e.g. administrative reorganization into front- and back-office processes; process mapping leading to new approaches); Process innovation Position innovation new contexts or ‘customers’ (e.g. the Connexions service for young people (http://www.connexions-direct.com/)); Strategic innovation new goals or purposes of the organization (e.g. community policing; foundation hospitals) new forms of citizen engagement, and democratic institutions (e.g. area forums; devolved government) Governance innovation Rhetorical innovation Chair of Business Administration new language and new concepts (e.g. as used for the introduction of congestion charging for London, or a carbon tax). Environmental Management and Accounting (Source: Hartley, 2006; OECD, 2009) slide 13 Policy innovations based on regional innovation system Institutions Animators Universities, research institutes Formal rules Building code, Bidding rules, municipal plans Physical infrastructure Adaptive buildings, floating housing Infrastructure Social capital Stakeholder engagement: scientists, academics, economists, risk management, insurance, Public financial and legal experts support Firms: specialization and concentration of firms and knowledge in the center of the cluster A to develop nine cluster Supports of businesses fields, for example, environmental technology, health, living, well-being, and etc. Technological infrastructure Mapping software, future scenario software, green roofs for storm water Municipal budget, international and national funding Venture capital Project-based adaptation plans Knowledge infrastructure Working platform for stakeholders, assessment tools, committees Incentives (adapted from Andersson and Karlsson (2004); Eriksson, 2000) Conclusion In the sample of selected 65 cities: • 86% of cities confirmed that they have economic opportunities in climate change efforts. 58% Cities presented other climate change opportunities • There is correlation between climate change adaptation efforts and economic opportunities in selected 65 cities. • Innovation is a sufficiency condition for cities to obtain economic opportunities. Further steps: • Regression analysis on financial performance of cities Chair of Business Administration slide 15 References CDP, 2012, Measurement for management - CDP Cities 2012 Global Report - Including special report on C40 Cities. Eisenack, K., Hoffmann, E., A Synthesis of Barriers to Adaptation. 6. Workshop on Social Sciences in Climate Change Adaptation. University of Kassel, Germany. (Presentation) Eriksson, A. (2000), Regionala Innovationssystem – Från Teori till Genomförande (Regional Innovation Systems – from theory to accomplishment), Swedish Office of Science and Technology, Stockholm European Public Sector Innovation Scoreboard (EPSIS) – Methodology report, 2012 Hartley, J. and J. Benington (2006). Copy and Paste, or Graft and Transplant? Knowledge Sharing Through Inter-Organizational. Public money & management, 26 (2): 101-108 IPCC, 2001. Climate change 2001; impacts, adaptation and vulnerability, Report of WorkingGroup II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Johansson, B., Karlsson, C. & Stough, R.R. (eds.), 2004, The Emerging Digital Economy: Entrepreneurship, Clusters and Policy, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Nauta, F., & Kausbergen, P. (2009). OECD Literature review. Public sector innovation. Lectoraat innovatie rapport. O’Brien, K., Pelling, M., Patwardhan, A., Hallegatte, S., Maskrey, A., Oki, T., OswaldSpring, U., Wilbanks, T., Yanda, P.Z., 2012: Toward a sustainable and resilient future. Porter, M.E., van der Linde, C., 1995. Toward a new conception of the environmentcompetitiveness relationship. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9, 4, pp. 97–118. Stern, N., 2007. The economics of climate change: the Stern review. Cambridge University press. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), 2007. Climate Change: Impacts, Vulnerabilities and Adaptation in Developing Countries. UNFCCC: Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 16 Bonn. Thank you for your attention! For more questions: www.tu-dresden.de/wwbwlbu/en E-Mail: jo-ting.huang@tu-dresden.de Technische Universität Dresden is validated according to EMAS regulations since January 2003, successful revalidation in December 2006 and in December 2015. Information: http://tudresden.de/die_tu_dresden/umweltschutz?set_language=en&cl=en Chair of Business Administration Environmental Management and Accounting slide 17