North East Horley
Proposed New Primary School
Consultation
12 June 2012
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
1
The Proposal
Surrey County Council is proposing to :
• Open a new one form entry (1FE) primary
school in north east Horley on
1 September 2014
• the Published Admission Number (PAN) would
be 30
• there would be a Competition to decide who
will be the Proposer of the new school
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
2
The Process
• The Government wishes to encourage a range
of providers to put forward proposals for new
schools to
– increase diversity and
– maximise parental choice
• If no Academy Proposals are made, Surrey
County Council will hold a Competition to
decide who will be the proposer of the new
school
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
3
Public consultation
• In the public consultation we find out the
views of local people about:
– the need for a new primary school
– the location of the school site
– the area it should serve
– the Specification – what the new primary
school should be like
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
4
Outcome of public consultation
• We analyse the results of the public
consultation
• the Cabinet Member for Children and
Learning decides whether:
– to proceed with the process
– the new school Specification will be the same
as described
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
5
Academy Proposals
• if there are proposals to open an
Academy :
– we forward details of Academy Proposals to
the Department for Education (DfE)
– we can state our preferred proposal
– the DfE decides who will be the Proposer
• if there are not any proposals to open an
Academy :
– we inform the DfE
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
6
The Competition
• We ask for consent from the DfE to hold a
Competition
• we publish the first Statutory Notice,
which:
– is an invitation to bid to become the proposer
of the new school
– has information about the Specification for
the new school
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
7
Proposer engagement
• There will be a seminar to inform potential
proposers about:
– the competition process
– the requirements that need to be covered in
a proposal
– what it means to win a competition
– consultancy support to help proposers
formulate a proposal
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
8
Competition outcome
• The Competition lasts at least four
months
• we analyse all the bids
• the Cabinet Member for Children and
Learning decides who has won –
– who is the Proposer for the new school
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
9
Publication of Competition Proposals
• We then publish a second Statutory
Notice, which has information about :
– all the proposals
– and who made them.
– why we made the decision on the proposer
– any differences in the new school
Specification
• we then hold another public meeting
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
10
The Specification - Location
• Entrance off
Brookfield Drive
• east of Lake Lane
• north of Tanyard
Farmhouse
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
11
The Increase in Births
• Births in the area are increasing and are
projected to continue to do so
(Source ONS)
Actual
Year (Sept to Aug)
Horley Births
Forecast
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010 2011 2012
188
223
238
237
272
303
303
304
309
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
12
298
311
312
Graph of Births
Horley Births
350
Births
300
250
200
150
100
2001
2003
2005
2007
Year
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
13
2009
2011
Planning Area Historic NOR
Year
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
PAN
238
238
240
240
240
240
1Pref Spare %
172
60
25.2
252
8
3.4
251
-3
-1.3
223
11
4.6
241
5
2.1
296
-45 -18.8
YR
178
230
243
229
235
285
Y1
210
184
236
246
229
233
Y2
209
211
191
230
241
229
I
597
625
670
705
705
747
JunPl JSpare
190
-39
220
11
220
14
220
29
210
-14
210
-1
Y3
229
209
206
191
224
211
Y4
226
226
209
208
191
216
Y5
235
226
229
202
203
194
Y6
235
233
221
234
198
207
J
925
894
865
835
816
828
Total
1522
1519
1535
1540
1521
1575
Cap Surplus
1594
72
1594
75
1594
59
1594
54
1594
73
1594
19
• applications for reception places in the area
increased but not consistently
• applications for reception places in 2011 were
significantly higher than historically
• reception numbers followed a similar pattern - they
are considerably higher in 2011 than 2006
• junior numbers follow the pattern 3 years later
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
14
%
4.5
4.7
3.7
3.4
4.6
1.2
Planning Areas Forecast
Year
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
PAN
240
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
1Pref Spare %
296
-45 -18.8
280
-16
-6.4
-18
-7.2
-25
-10
-32 -12.8
-41 -16.4
-53 -21.2
-61 -24.4
-64 -25.6
-66 -26.4
YR
285
266
268
275
282
291
303
311
314
316
Y1
233
284
267
270
278
286
295
306
313
316
Y2
229
229
280
265
269
278
286
294
304
311
I
747
779
815
810
829
855
884
911
931
943
JunPl JSpare
210
-1
210
-7
210
-8
210
-58
210
-45
210
-50
210
-59
210
-65
210
-72
210
-81
Y3
211
217
218
268
255
260
269
275
282
291
Y4
216
209
216
218
268
256
261
269
275
282
Y5
194
212
207
215
218
268
257
261
268
273
Y6
207
195
214
210
219
223
273
262
265
272
J
Total Cap Surplus %
828 1575 1594
19
1.2
833 1612 1594 -18
-1.1
855 1670 1594 -76
-4.8
911 1721 1594 -127
-8
960 1789 1594 -195 -12.2
1007 1862 1594 -268 -16.8
1060 1944 1594 -350
-22
1067 1978 1594 -384 -24.1
1090 2021 1594 -427 -26.8
1118 2061 1594 -467 -29.3
• The forecast assumes the effect of new housing
• reception numbers are forecast to dip slightly in 2012
then to increase steadily
– primary expansion is needed in the next two years
– further primary expansion is needed in following years
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
15
Funding
• The school has been allocated funding on
the Surrey Capital Programme
– Surrey has to borrow money to pay for capital
funding
– this is an area where there are not enough
primary places, both infant and junior places
• S106 developer contributions will go
towards the cost of the school
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
16
Key Dates
• End of Consultation period
– Wednesday 4 July 2012
• Cabinet Member meeting to authorise
publication of first Statutory Notice
– Thursday 12 September 2012
• End of competition
– January 2013
Horley New NES Primary School - May 2012
17