12th National PESO Congress October 10-13. 2012 Baguio Country Club, Baguio City Helping Filipino Youth to a Good Start : Design of a youth employment facilitation program Kelly Bird Principal Economist Asian Development Bank Overview of Presentation Situation of youth in the Philippine labor market – some stylized facts Evidence on the youth transition from school-towork Lessons learned from international experience with youth employment programs MyFirstJob Project Design Features 2 (3) Unemployment in the Philippines is relatively high 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2007 2008 2009 Indonesia Philippines Malaysia Brazil Mexico Turkey 2010 Thailand (5) Shift in the demand for labor in the Philippines % point change in share of total employment (percentage change in share of total employment, 2001 to 2008) 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 Information related Sales/service Production and trades related Farm and elementary skills Youth School to Work Transition • The better the links between school and the labor market, the faster the transition from school to work for young people 2009ADB household survey in Manila and Cebu 500 households and over 1500 individuals (15 to 65 years) Construct transition indicators of young persons experience from school to work Median time to find a job Time path of this transition How fast is this transition Factors that influence this transition Where do young find jobs Ease of mobility between formal and informal employment 12 Youth School to Work Transition – Main findings • The school to work transition is characterized by a lot of uncertainty for young Filipinos • The transition to work is particularly slow for those with high school qualifications or less • And for young females from lower socio-economic groups Youth School to Work Transition – Median time to find a job All youth – 2 years to find any job and 3 years to find a wage job High school or less – 3 years to find any job and 4 years to find a wage job At least some college education – 1 year to find any job and 2 years to find a wage job OECD median is 1.1 years to find a wage job, with Australia, US, Finland with less than 1 year and Italy, Greece and Spain recording 2.3 years or more 14 Youth School to Work Transition – Time Path Youth Employment Rates 1, 5 and 8 years since leaving school 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1yr 5yrs 8yrs Number of years after leaving initial education All youth High school graduates 15 College graduates Factors that influence the school to work transition • Education gap – statistical analysis shows that high school graduates and HS undergraduates have a slower transition from school to work compared to college graduates • Age gap – teenagers have a more difficult time integrating in the labor market compared to youth • Gender gap – females have a moderately more difficult time finding a first job • Economic gap - family background also influences the transition with young persons from lower socio-economic groups experiencing longer transition from school to work Where do young persons find jobs? Most (70%) college graduates find wage employment About half of young persons with high school education find wage employment Teenagers (15 to 19 y/o) enter unpaid family work or employment in private households Young women with high school education or less are more likely to enter these precarious forms of employment 17 Youth School to Work Transition – Youth mobility The young person’s first job matters in influencing future employability If your first job is in the formal sector, then you have a 50% chance of finding your next job in the formal sector If you first job is in self employment, then you have a 70% chance of staying in self employment Temporary wage contracts are a steeping stone in to formal employment for many young persons 18 Helping Young Filipinos Get a Good Start in the Labor Market • High school graduates or drop outs • Lower socio-economic groups • Young females Examples of Youth Employment Facilitation Programs • Job search assistance programs – Public employment offices – Outsourced to private employment offices • Training programs for young persons having difficulty integrating into the labor market – Provisioned through training providers • Wage subsidies for employing young persons at entry level positions • Public job creation schemes Lessons Learned from International Experience • Monitoring and evaluation of programs is necessary to allow for adjustments to program – Programs should be assessed on their net benefits of the program • Benefits = higher employment rates and higher incomes of program participants compared non-participants • Costs = admin costs of programs and risks of employment displacement Lessons Learned from International Experience • Programs with a mix of strategies tend to perform better than programs with a main strategy – Programs that include job search assistance, counseling, vocational training and wage subsidies tend to perform better in terms of employment rates and higher incomes over the medium term – Example: Joven program in Latin America – JobStart in UK Lessons Learned from International Experience • Programs with well defined target group tend to do better than general targeting – High school graduates or drop outs, socioeconomic disadvantaged groups etc Lessons Learned from International Experience • Programs with activation strategies tend to do better – Encourage young persons to job search early in the unemployment spell – Active monitoring of job search activities and linked to benefits Lessons Learned from International Experience • Readiness of public employment offices – Good governance structure – Well trained staff – Well resourced Proposed MyFirstJob Pilot Project Background: Collaboration between ADB and DOLE MyFirstJob draws on successful youth employment programs in Latin America (i.e., Joven program in Chile), Canada, UK, and several European countries. MyFirstJob is at the design stage and we aim to pilot in 2013 Executing agency is Department of labor and Employment Implemented through selected PESOs Funded through a grant from Canada International Development Agency 26 MyFirstJob Main features • Counseling services provided to participants in the program • Grants for vocational education (4 weeks and 6 months) • Grants/wage subsidies for job internships with public and private sector employers (up to 12 months) • M&E framework – LM performance of the 1,500 beneficiaries and a similar sized control group will be evaluated – Results will inform GOP on a larger pilot. THANK YOU