School Based Accountability and the Distribution of Teacher Quality Across Grades in Elementary Schools SARAH FULLER HELEN LADD DUKE UNIVERSITY SANFORD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC POLICY Purpose To determine how high quality teachers are distributed between upper and lower elementary school To determine the role of accountability in the distribution of high quality teachers Motivations Concern that children in early elementary are receiving low quality teachers Reduced effectiveness of investments in early childhood programs Accountability systems that test only upper grades incentivize principals to strategically place best teachers in the upper grades Previous Literature Role of Teacher Preferences Boyd, Lankford, Loeb, & Wyckoff, 2008 Bigger Role of Strategic Behavior by Principals Cohen-Vogel, 2011 Chingos and West, 2011 Data North Carolina administrative data for the school years 1995-2009 Accountability Programs 1995-1996: No Accountability 1997-2002: North Carolina ABCs 2003-2009: No Child Left Behind (NCLB) Measures of Teacher Quality Teacher Licensure Test Scores Standardized by test type and year taken Averaged across all tests taken by teacher Value-Added Index Value-added calculated for upper grades (3-5) Value-added regressed on qualifications including: Less than 3 years experience Licensure test score College selectivity Master’s degree Lateral entry Value-added index predicted for all teachers Descriptive Results N Licensure Test Score Value-Added Index Lower 13,827 -0.008 0.012 Upper 12,350 0.090 0.103 1,285 -0.100 -0.087 Lower 9,507 -0.079 -0.125 Upper 8,590 -0.016 -0.111 Within School Difference 1,016 -0.059 -0.018 PANEL A. 2009 Within School Difference PANEL B. 1995 .1 Teacher Test Scores Over Time ABCs -.1 -.05 0 .05 NCLB 1995 2000 2005 Fiscal Year Early Grades Test Score Late Grades Test Score 2010 .1 Value-Added Index Over Time ABCs -.15 -.1 -.05 0 .05 NCLB 1995 2000 2005 Fiscal Year Early Grades VA Index Late Grades VA Index 2010 School Level Regressions Outcomes Lower Grade Shortfall: Difference between lower grade average and upper grade average Independent Variables Accountability Regimes School Level Free/Reduced Price Lunch Quintiles Shortfall by Free/Reduced Price Lunch Quintile All Schools Lowest FRL Medium Highest Low FRL FRL High FRL FRL Teacher Quality Shortfall in Lower Grades 0 -0.02 -0.04 -0.044 -0.06 Teacher Test Scores Value-Added Index -0.08 -0.083 -0.1 -0.12 Note: Empty bars are not statistically different from zero. Shortfall by Accountability Regimes Teacher Test Scores Value-Added Index Teacher Quality Shortfall in Lower Grades 0 -0.02 -0.04 Pre-accountability -0.06 -0.08 -0.1 -0.12 Note: Empty bars are not statistically significant. ABCs NCLB Teacher Test Scores by Free/Reduced Lunch Quintile and Accountability Regime Teacher Quality Shortfall in the Lower grades 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 -0.02 Pre-Accountability -0.04 ABCs -0.06 NCLB -0.08 -0.1 -0.12 -0.14 All Schools Lowest FRL Medium FRL Highest FRL Value-Added Index by Free/Reduced Lunch Quintile and Accountability Regime Teacher Quality Shortfall in the Lower Grades 0.15 0.1 0.05 Pre-Accountability 0 ABCs NCLB -0.05 -0.1 -0.15 All Schools Lowest FRL Medium FRL Highest FRL Teacher Movement Moving teachers between grades is a potential mechanism for sorting by teacher quality Moving Up Expect teachers with higher qualifications to be more likely to move up to the upper grades Moving Down Expect teachers with higher qualifications to be less likely to move down to the lower grades Movement of Teachers by Test Scores Teacher Test Score Moving Down Moving Down Moving Up Moving Up -0.003** (0.001) 0.000 (0.004) -0.003 (0.004) -0.002 (0.003) 0.008*** (0.001) 0.000 (0.003) 0.015*** (0.003) 0.007* (0.003) ABCs NCLB ABCs*Teacher Test Score -0.006 NCLB*Teacher Test Score (0.004) -0.001 (0.004) Observations 99,957 99,957 0.005 (0.004) 0.011** (0.004) 122,654 122,654 Note: Coefficients expressed as marginal effects calculated at the mean of the independent variables. Movement of Teachers by Value-added Reading Value-added Moving Down -0.015*** (0.001) Moving Down -0.012*** (0.003) Math Value-added ABCs Moving Down -0.018*** (0.001) -0.012*** (0.003) -0.009** (0.003) -0.006* (0.003) -0.004 (0.003) -0.006* (0.003) 97,647 97,647 -0.009** (0.003) -0.006* (0.003) -0.003 (0.003) -0.003 (0.003) NCLB ABCs*Value-added NCLB*Value-added Observations Moving Down 97,618 97,618 Note: Coefficients expressed as marginal effects calculated at the mean of the independent variables. Summary Consistent shortfall in teacher quality in the lower grades compared to the upper grades The introduction of NCLB increases shortfall in teacher quality in the lower grades The increase is larger in the most disadvantaged schools