Evaluating and Estimating the Effect of Land use Changed on Water Quality at Selorejo Reservoir, Indonesia Mohammad Sholichin Faridah Othman Shatira Akib University of Malaya & Brawijaya University 2006 1 Selorejo Reservoir 2 Scheme •Introduction •Methodology •Results •Conclusion 3 Introduction Recently, Non Point Sources (NPS) pollution has become the focus of water quality and watershed management. Nitrogen and phosphorous are the two nutrients • .originating from inorganic and organic fertilizer that affect the reservoir water quality due to intensive agricultural farming. High existence of Nitrogen (N) and Phosphorus (P) in the Selorejo Reservoir indicates the problem in the water quality of the reservoir. 4 Objectives The objectives of this study are : To identify the sources of pollutants from agricultural and urban area To apply the Soil and Water Assessment Tool Model (SWAT) To evaluate the present reservoir water quality status To predict the reservoir water quality which may change the land use scenario in future 5 Study Area • Brantas River is located in East Java Province on the Java Island, Indonesia • It is the second biggest river in Java Island that has a watershed of about 11,800 km2 and stretches about 320 km • Brantas is divided into six sub basins : 1. Lesti River (625 km2), 2 2. Konto River (687 km ) 2 3. Widas River (1,539 km ), 2 4. Upstream Brantas River (6,719 km ), 5. Ngorowo River (1600 km2) and 6. Surabaya River (631 km2) 6 SURABAYA 1060 K 1045 1100 LA 1039 as .M SE 1040 u ugud Wat ko dungso K . Ke a rm rmoyoK . M oyo K. K. pleng Ba nj ar K. K. Bongkok la K. .B .K ed un gb an ge r ilan g .P K tik G la Stasiun Pemantauan Kualitas Air (Lokasi Kajian Studi) eng K. nd Ba Tu ng K . Beji ek ew .M K K. Sari K. tas Br an K. B K ang o etro .M K . De m K . Ba bar K. K Am pr ong Sta. Tumpang (1108) Sta. Tangkil (5001) Sta. Poncokusumo (5003) tas K. Manten Br an berejo K . Sum g onan ran berb n -A Su m A ra K. K. ngsri Ba K. K. Sta. Kepanjen (1401) ndo ng Be u mba rbul er ba mbe mb K . Su Su K. ng K . Ba mba berputih K . Sum oto berb Mt. Semeru K. .P .K em u la n Sta. Dampit (5014) K . . S Su m um b b e er pe ran ten gk g K. rit Su mb er em is K . Ju K Su m wo k .B u K. g K . Su m bera Ba u ncar ng am ota n K. sel ng ra .G K L es ti . Ja K K K. ru rin g .S ip K K K 0280 K K. G . Pa da ng enteng Se ga ran K. Lesti le re jo D am G enteng Ba K. ga ng 0300 Su m K . bertur Pu rb en ak al a K. 0160 ma n K. M etro K. 0130 eri K. M Su m berc urah K .S um be rw K . Su un mbe gu rka K .M ra ng aha suko rdo K .G K. Ka on sim g K u ra .C K. s ma uk 0290 k Ja ra g a ntin K . La njing K. K K . Biru K. g Ge san og nd e lo .G ndogo Sta. Jabung (1107) K. Sta. Kayutangan (5021) Waduk Sengguruh Sta. Sengguruh (0004) um hg ba nteng ng go emon K. L .K ed un gk ro so ng K . Ju 0350 K . Ke dung K . Sumberk omb ang Sta. Sutami Dam Wadu k Karangk ates (0006) 0390 Mt. Bromo K . Jilu K . Cokro 0150 Am po Waduk Lahor K. K. S .T ap ak 0380 Sta. Birowo (5126) K . Te ngo K . Ma ti ng mpro K. A 0310 0400 Sta. Wlingi Dam K. Bran tas (8013) 0140 K . Ge B Bend ung Wlingi Sta. Lodoyo (2313) 0440 K. Sta. Babadan ng ba am emb ung K t Se m u K. K. Pu ith K . Glondong K . Jimb e K Waduk Lodoyo K . Jurangsusuh em K. D .G en jon g Sta. Doko (5106) Sta. Ngadirenggo 0430 Ja ri Ab ab K. ga sin an Kir i K . Jimb e an uh aw .D Sta. Wagir (5009) Sta. Tunggorono (1107) K. Ng ro K. ung Mt. Butak K Sta. Sbr. Agung alan (0009) Siw BLITAR K . Ag 3030 WATER LEVEL STATION MALANG raan K K . Tr .B K K. N K . Niama 0600 Sta. Kalidawir (5407) Ba K. Lekso .G lon do ng ntur K. K . K. La nang K. nak Mra u tih .P K Lama em as kan K . Ba ba Ke la wo K Ng uju ng K. K. 0100 0450 0470 0460 Sta. Kampak (2225) RAINFALL & METEOROLOGICAL STATION Sta. Batu (1101) Mt. Kawi Sta. Semen (5105) dak K . Ba g Son K. ng o de 0500 .B ra n ta s 3010 RAINFALL STATION K. be rgu nung S um gan B ru ba nro ndo da da p Sta. Campur Darat (2220) Sta. Besuki (2104) RIVER Stasiun Pemantauan Kualitas Air K . Co mb er 3020 ka jar ang G . Ka wi K. Sta. Tapan (2207) K K . Klodoa gung Pa sin an K K . Kromong tan K . Pika K. K. jar K . La .T K ah e nt k lete Sta. Bantaran K. Gedog Sta. Blitar (5112) TRENGGALEK mb er K. K rk .B ng K . Su 0750 a ha .L ol ok Sta. Selorejo Mt. Kelud (0020) K . Se rang Sta. Kedungrejo (5120) Sta. Wates Kediri (0015) TULUNGAGUNG 0570 K . Su Mt. Arjuno n tas Bra Le K. Sta. Pujon (5103) gar Gla Wadu k Selo rejo t Sta. Pagerwojo (0024) an K . Pil o Ju ngg K. sin bo da n sa ri Sta. Jeli (0014) ur mp Te Sta. Trawas Sta. Pacet K. Ka K. Ng o rejo 0740 K .B ra n ta s K ko K . Pinjal .G a sa nu ng K. Su KEDIRI Pa n tu Ca 0610 LEGEND : BASIN BLOCK BOUNDARY g lon ne k m po Kla K. K . Gu i K. an ng Ba be h Sta. Kediri (2102) Br u n la K. K. nger ndo Kre 0630 ng an te ba K. Mt. Wilis an gb a nron do K . Cob K K K. loat ap a nd .K ng dok K. Kedak K. Bruno a ja uw .K K. Petung kobong K . Ba gong ne lon g tan K . Pika ra K . Kle me ng K . Gu K . K onto K . Brantas K 0700 Sta. Wilis (0016) Sta. Bendo (2217) K Se K on to K. K. cir Kun Mt. Limas .B K. K. Sta. Pare (3207) K . Be ndonongol du Ke K K . Ma nting ruh K . Ge r o go .G jing K . Jura ngce lot an tas K Se ri n D ad a pa n K. .G e de K . Br K. K. Mt. Anjasmoro K. 0720 an tas ncir K . Br Pa K K . Ja njing K . K embang K. C um K . Pa ncir K . Ca ta K K. c ir Sta. Sawahan (5311) un .K Sta. Sooko (9904) Sta. Tampung (0023) k rete K. K to on as W id ot ngjet K . Roban K K. B ran ta s .K Sta. Berbek (0022) K. Ju ra kbente ng nan K . D ure K awan .K e du ng Sta. Blimbing 0770 (3113) K Ploso Be ng NGANJUK K. Ke mba ngan le ng ke ng K. te ng en .C a ta kb so ko K ge r un .A m K JOMBANG K. 0730 Sta. Porong (5510) K. Sta. Nganjuk (2410) K. Po rong K . Ke .B ra n ta s al 0995 njing g Sta. Jombang (5205) Sta. Kertosono (5217) lu bu em .G K . Ja ndang K ran gk K. B untin 0780 SIDOARJO 4100 K as Wid Sta. Tulung (9961) Sta. Tugu (5418) S ad ar urib aru K. G K. K. onto Ked ungl aran gan ng o ro .P K K Sta. Mojokerto (5501) K. K K . Go K . Widas 4110 K ek . Bluw K K . Ro .B ra n ta s tu hbun 4600 .B ra n ta s Beng K . Blu wek K. T 4600 1030 Mas K . Sa dar 0940 ulyo K . Ma K. Bran tas 0900 a rg om K. M 1050 K. K . N gemb ak ong m Kro K. ol K . K eden K . Grog K . Duren K . Sok o K . Ra K . Tayu ng wang buh K . Ka Kul ak ga ndang K . Ke dung .S aw ah pa nd an K. B eng as o ro ng K 0910 K. M .P ad un g ap D ad 0990 K . Ke dungsoro 0810 Bening Dam 1010 K .W K. K. K K . Ma rmoyo ates 0960 W 0950 0930 K . Kulak 4700 1020 1000 buk K lu K. Sta. Waduk Pacal (9902) K. K . Sumberpa jak A UR AD TM 1035 0 5 10 7 15 20 25km Brantas River Basin Map Selorejo watershed 8 Konto River Basin • The study area is Selorejo Reservoir that located at upstream of Konto River Basin. • Selorejo watershed has a Catchment area of 235 km2 • The maximum reservoir capacity is 62.30 Mm3, with an effective reservoir capacity of 50.10 Mm3 9 The function of Selorejo Reservoir • Water Supply • Water irrigation • Hydro power • Tourism 10 Selorejo Watershed & Sub-basin 1 2 3 4 4 11 Land use in Selorejo Watershed Land Use Selorejo Cacthment 2 Urban Area 3 Dry Field 4 Rice Field 5 Mixed - Dry Field 6 Forest Selorejo Sub Basin Legend !. outlet River 4 Selorejo Dam Land use 4 2000 Urban Area 20.64 Forest 92.66 Dry Field 36.35 Mixed – Dry Field 30.01 Rice Field 55.51 Total (km2) 235.17 12 Soil Type in Selorejo Watershed Legend !. Soil Type outlet REGOSOL River GRUMOSOL Selorejo Dam MEDITERAN ANDOSOL Soil Type Regosol Area (km2) % 16.41 6.976 Grumosol 164.31 69.869 Mediteran 27.03 11.492 Andosol 27.42 11.662 235.17 100% Total (km2) 13 Methodology Pre field-work (literature review, data gathering etc) Field-work (site visit, water samples on stream and reservoir, etc) Modeling & Simulation ( set up model, input data, calibration, etc) 14 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) The SWAT model was developed by the Agricultural Research Service-US Department of Agriculture. The model predicts the impact of land management of practices on: - water - sediment - agricultural chemical yields For use on large, complex watersheds with varying soils, land use, and management conditions over long periods of time 15 SWAT Input Data Digital topography map Land use (land cover) Soil type Precipitationtemperature Discharge Fertilizer-pesticide Tillage Urban area Stream water quality Pond/reservoir data Ground water Soil chemical data Water use Water Management 16 17 Schematic of input and outputs of the SWAT model 18 Land use change scenario 2000 Land use Urban Area 2005 2000 20.64 2005 22.71 Change (%) 9.11 Forest 92.66 88.96 -4.16 Dry Field 36.35 5.06 -86.08 Mixed – Dry Field 30.01 21.43 -28.59 Rice Field 55.51 97.01 42.78 235.17 235.17 Total (km2) Land Use Selorejo Cacthment 2 Urban Area 3 Dry Field 4 Rice Field 5 Mixed - Dry Field 6 Forest Selorejo Sub Basin Legend !. outlet River Selorejo Dam 4 19 2005 Land use 2010 2005 2010 Change (%) Urban Area 22.71 28.98 21.64 Forest 88.96 79.4 -12.04 5.06 12.56 59.71 21.43 13.57 -57.92 Dry Field Mixed – Dry Field Rice Field Total (km2) 97.01 100.66 235.17 235.17 3.63 Land Use Selorejo Cacthment 2 Urban Area 3 Dry Field 4 Rice Field 5 Mixed - Dry Field 6 Forest Selorejo Sub Basin Legend !. outlet River 4 Selorejo Dam 20 12/14/01 10/14/01 8/14/01 6/14/01 4/14/01 2/14/01 12/14/00 10/14/00 25 8/14/00 30 6/14/00 4/14/00 2/14/00 Discharge (m3/dt) Discharge Calibration 35 Measured Simulated 20 15 10 5 - Years Period 2000-2001 21 Results Result of SWAT simulation was divided into three phases, Land Area Stream Reservoir 22 Land Area The average monthly surface runoff for 2000, 2005 and 2010 100 90 Runoff (mm) 80 70 60 2000 50 2005 40 2010 30 20 10 0 Jan Feb Mar Ap mei Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nop Des 23 Average Organic N (kg/ha) Average Monthly N Organic (kg N/ha) SUB Basin 3 0.800 0.700 Organic N (kg N/ha) 0.600 0.500 0.400 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.000 Jan Feb Mar Aprl Mei Jun Jul agst Sept Oktb Nov Month 2000 2005 2010 24 Dec Average Organic P (kg/ha) Monthly P Organic (kg P/ha) SUB Basin 3 0.160 0.140 Organic P (kg P/ha) 0.120 0.100 0.080 0.060 0.040 0.020 0.000 Jan Feb Mar Aprl Mei Jun Jul agst Sept Oktb Nov Dec Month 2000 2005 2010 25 Stream Average Monthly Organic N Transported With Water Into Reach The Sub Basin 1 1.00 0.90 0.80 Organic N (g/lt) 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 Jan Feb Mar Aprl Mey Jun Jul Agst sept Oktbr Nov Dec Month 26 organic n 2000 organic n 2005 organic N 2010 Nitrogen Average Monthly Organic N Transported With Water Into ReachThe Sub Basin 4 0.80 0.70 Organic N (g/lt) 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 Jan Feb Mar Aprl Mey Jun Jul Agst sept Oktbr Nov Dec Month organic n 2000 organic n 2005 organic N 2010 27 Phosphorous Average Monthly Organic P Transported With Water Into ReachThe Sub Basin 1 Outlet 0.20 0.18 0.16 Organic P (g/lt) 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 Jan Feb Mar Aprl Mey Jun Jul Agst sept Oktbr Nov Dec Month organic P 2000 organic P 2005 organic P 2010 28 Reservoir Comparison of annual Nitrogen concentration from 2000-2005 3.5 Nitrogen (mg/l) 3 Simulation Measurement 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Years 29 Correlation between simulation and measurement R2=0,61 4.0 3.5 Nitrogen Simulated 3.0 R2 =0,61 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 Measured 30 Phosphorous Phosphorous (mg/lt) Comparison of annual P concentration from 2000-2005 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 Simulation Measurement 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Years 31 Correlation between simulation and measurement (R2 =0,78) 0.50 Phosphorous 0.40 Simulated R2=0,78 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Mesured 32 Conclusion Available data land use from 2000-2005 and forecast data from 2005-2010 was used to evaluate and estimate the changes of water quality of Selorejo Reservoir SWAT model has been applied to evaluate and estimate the Selorejo reservoir The simulation result was found to be under estimated The change of land use may not have the direct and significant effect to the drop of water quality Further study on other parameters is required to determine the causes of the drop of water quality in Selorejo Reservoir 33 Acknowledgement We would like to thank you the following for making this study possible – Department of Agriculture, Indonesia – Department of Surveying, Indonesia – East Java local authority – University of Malaya, Malaysia – Brawijaya University, Indonesia 34 T H A N K YOU 35