EGS1003: Section on International Environmental Justice and the Climate Change Challenge Mary Lawhon (marylawhon@gmail.com) This work by Mary Lawhon is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported License. The earth has always experienced natural variability of different degrees Ice ages Extinctions Current challenge Rate of change Potential tipping point? http://mmazroui.kau.edu.sa/Files/0003580/Galleries/450/earth.jpg Water resources Agriculture Disease Social, Economic, Industry, transport Political and Urban issues Biophysical costs Tourism Biodiversity Development and poverty alleviation Temperatures are very likely to increase by between 1.4 and 5.8 deg C by 2100 Sea levels are very likely to rise by between 0.1 and 0.9 m Extreme events are very likely to increase (such as droughts and floods) Vulnerable people will be impacted most http://panda.org/about_our_earth/aboutcc/problems/people_at_risk/personal_stories/witness_st ories/ http://wwf.panda.org/about_our_earth/aboutcc/problems/people_at_risk/personal_stories/witne ss_stories/?200208/Nosy-Hara-Madagascar Mugaaju Asman, Uganda - biophysical impacts - socio-economic impacts Mitigation Decreasing emissions Protocols for decreasing emissions are in place More efficient energy use is possible Adaptation Adaptation to climate change is possible Humans can adapt in anticipation Natural system can only adapt in response to change http://panda.org/about_our_earth/aboutcc/problems/people_at_risk/personal_stories /witness_stories/ http://wwf.panda.org/about_our_earth/aboutcc/problems/people_at_risk/personal_st ories/witness_stories/?200208/Nosy-Hara-Madagascar All web links were checked in November 2011 Acknowledgements Some of the slide material in this presentation is from Gina Ziervogel and Bruce Hewitson.