Economic Performance & Investment Environment in Lebanon Beirut April 13, 2015 0 Outline Lebanon: The Gateway to the Middle East A Stellar Economic Performance Strong Economic and Legal Fundamentals Investment Opportunities 1 LEBANON: THE GATEWAY TO THE MIDDLE EAST 2 LEBANON – CROSS ROAD TO EUROPE, ASIA, AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE EAST… Direct Access to all European Markets GCC access Direct Air Services to African Subcontinent home to …. Facilitated by very liberal trade policies 3 LEBANON IN FIGURES Overall Country Characteristics Capital Form of Government Official Language Population Beirut Parliament Democracy Arabic – French 4,224,000 Literacy Rate 90% Lebanon Main Economic Indicators 2009 GDP at current prices (USD billion) 34.5 Real GDP growth (%) 8% GDP/Capita ( Current USD) 8,175 Average Inflation Rate (%) 1.20% Exchange rate (LL per USD ) 1507.5 Bank Assets to GDP (% of GDP) 334.1% 4 SOLID REASONS TO INVEST IN LEBANON: A STELLAR ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE 5 The Lebanese economy has registered a stellar performance over the last few years… REAL GDP GROWTH RATES (2006-2010) Worldwide financial crisis 11% 9.30% 8.5% 9% Lebanon 8.70% 8.20% 7.50% 7.50% 7% 6.50% 5.80% 6% 5% 5% 7.30% Emerging Economies 3.80% 3% 3% 2.70% MENA Countries 3.00% 2.50% 2% 1% 0.60% -1%2006 0.20% 2007 2008 2009 Advanced Economies 2010 -3% Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010 6 … and was one of the best performers internationally despite the global slowdown regionally and ANNUAL GROWTH RATES (2009-2010) 9.03% Qatar 8.00% Lebanon 5.20% Morocco Egypt 4.67% Sudan 4.52% 3.99% Syria 3.35% Oman Tunisia 2.95% Bahrain 2.89% Jordan 2.75% 2.03% Algeria 0.14% KSA -0.67% UAE -2.66% Kuwait Japan -6.29% Ireland -7.58% -10% -5% 0% Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010 5% 10% 7 Confidence in the Lebanese economy has sustained with FDI inflows growing at a steady rate of 15% FDI INFLOWS TO LEBANON (2006-2010) 15% CAG R 4.84 4.65 4.33 3.38 2.68 2006 Source: UNCTAD: IDAL Estimates and Calculations 2007 2008 2009 2010 8 Enabled mainly by strong interests from foreign investors and Arab expatriates particularly in the Lebanese real estate and residential sectors FDI DISTRIBUTION BY SECTOR (2009) Agriculture 1.8% Education 1.3% Financial Trade 1.5% 2.3% Tourism 22.2% Real Estate 44.4% Residential 26.3% 9 Lebanon is actually one of the largest recipient of FDI in the region, If we exclude oil rich economies FDI INFLOWS TO MENA COUNTRIES (in 2009) (Bn $) KSA 35.0 Qatar 8.7 UAE 8.5 Egypt 6.8 Lebanon 4.8 Morocco 2.5 Jordan 2.3 Algeria 2.3 Syria Kuwait Source: UNCTAD/World Investment Report (WIR)2010 Oil Rich Economies 1.5 0.2 10 Actually Lebanon has the highest degree of internalization with FDI stock as large as the economy FDI STOCK % GDP (2009) Canada 35 France 40 UAE 30 Saudi Arabia 40 Lebanon 100 UK 60 Sweden 80 Ireland 85 Switzerland 90 Belgium 175 Singapore 200 Luxembourg 230 Hong Kong 430 0 Source: 100 200 300 400 500 UNCTAD STAT 11 SOLID REASONS TO INVEST IN LEBANON: STRONG FUNDAMENTALS 12 FREE MARKET ECONOMY Lebanon is one of the freest economy regionally and internationally due to the lack of restrictions on capital flows RESTRICTIONS ON CAPITAL FLOW (2010) Ranking Tunisia 4.1 Egypt 4.1 117 Kuwait 4.3 Turkey 5.0 Jordan 5.1 Australia 5.1 Saudi Arabia UAE Qatar How restrictive are regulations in your country related to international capital flows. 2009-2010 weighted average Score over 10 5.3 5.5 5.7 Singapore 5.9 Lebanon 5.9 5 Finland 1 Source: Hong Kong 6.1 Lowest restrictions 6.5 World Competitiveness Report 13 Lebanon boast one of the soundest banking system in the world, ranking 4th only after some of the largest economies SOUND BANKING SYSTEM Soundness of Banks* SOUNDNESS OFWorld BANKS Rank 2010(2010) 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Rank 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Canada New Zealand Australia Lebanon Chile South Africa Panama Hong Kong Singapore Source: Global Competitiveness Report, 2010-11 14 COMPETITIVE TAXATION ENVIRONMENT Lebanon has one of the most favorable taxation environment regionally and internationally CORPORATE TAX RATE (%) (2009) Syria High 45% Japan 40% France 33% Germany 33% Jordan Hig 30% Tunisia 30% UK 25% Greece 24% Turkey 20% Egypt 20% Singapore Jordan Low 15% Lebanon 15% Ireland Cyprus Source: 17% 13% 10% Countries website 15 TOP NOTH HUMAN CAPITAL Lebanon has one of the best educated workforce that is endowed with a top-notch higher education system Education Capability Index Selected Regional countries (2010) Number of Higher Education Students per 100,00 Inhabitants (2010) USA 5339 Korea 4974 Argentina 3117 Lebanon 2712 Turkey 1960 Egypt 1900 Syria 1559 Qatar 1509 Saudi Arabia 80 Jordan 57 Tunisia 57 Qatar 55 Morocco 52.6 UAE 41.3 Kuwait 40.4 Egypt 39.8 1380 Tunisia 1253 Algeria 1236 UAE Lebanon 801 Bahrain 35.2 32.7 Saudi Arabia Algeria 20.6 The Education Capability Index10 represents CEO satisfaction levels regarding the education system, based on current quality, the adequate skills acquired by students upon graduating, and the ability of the education system to meet future market requirements. Source: www.pwc.com; ttp://www.educationdev.net 16 QUALITY HEALTH CARE The healthcare system is amongst the best performer internationally as measured by the ratio of physicians to population and beds to population Physicians per 10,000 Population – Selected Regional and OECD countries (2000-2009) Cuba 64 37 France Lebanon 33 Ukraine 31 30 Bahrain USA 27 Jordan 26 Egypt 24 UAE 139 Japan 87 Ukraine France 72 60 Cuba 34 Lebanon 31 USA Bahrain 20 Saudi Arabia 22 Egypt* 21 15 Saudi Arabia Syria Beds per 10,000 Population – Selected Regional and OECD countries (2000-2009) UAE 19 Jordan 18 16 5 Syria 15 Source: WHO Report 2010 17 The Quality of Life has been an important factor in channeling investments to Lebanon LIFESTYLE Quality of Life Indicators in MENA (Scale of 100) (2010) Saudi Arabia 45 Algeria The Quality of Life Index is based on variables relating to the cost of living, environment, culture and leisure, political freedom, health, infrastructure, safety & risk. 50 UAE 50.45 Egypt 51.5 Qatar 52.4 Syria 53.5 Bahrain 53.5 + Lebanon 54.3 Morocco 54.45 Kuwait 54.42 Jordan 55.05 30 40 50 60 Source: International Living 18 SOLID REASONS TO INVEST IN LEBANON: VAST INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES 19 Lebanon boast at least 9 sectors with growth potential and readiness for development SECTORS WITH HIGH GROWTH POTENTIAL INDUSTRY FOOD & BEVERAGE FINANCIAL SERVICES TOURISM INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY MEDIA AGRICULTURE Source: UNDP Report 2003- Investor Perception Survey 20 SECTORS WITH PROMISING POTENTIAL – Overview ICT: Great potential as Lebanon ranks 16th worldwide for the quality of its education and 7th for sciences. ERICSSON, US INTEL CAPITAL, NOKIA with operations in Lebanon FOOD AND BEVERAGE: Great export potential for local industry mainly olive oil, wine and processed food– Made in Lebanon Products very successful internationally FASHION INDUSTRY: A booming sector with enormous potential: Designers such as Elie Saab, Rabih Keyrouz, already serving the international market HEALTH CARE TOURISM: Lebanon already attracts health tourists from GCC countries and boasts one of the top notch medical centers in the world and highest ratio of physicians to population in the world PROFESSIONAL SERVICES / CALL CENTERS: Lebanon offers a strategic location for serving the “Levant”/MENA markets, with an educated, multilingual and commercially minded workforce. MEDIA: Significant Hub for the media and entertainment industry; Opportunities in High End Publishing, advertising, TV and audio Production; Promising market due to very young market 21 The Investment Development Authority of Lebanon (IDAL) has played an important role in attracting investments to growth promising sectors Main Authority responsible for promoting Lebanon and attracting investments. Attached to the Presidency of the Council of Ministers Created in 1994 and Investment Law 360 ratified in 2001 Provides a wide range of services: – Provide economic, financial and legal information important for investors – Grants fiscal incentives and other types of fee reduction to investors – Facilitates the issuance of permits and licenses – Identifies investment opportunities across various sectors – Provide Business Matchmaking Services to investors and entrepreneurs Follow a sector oriented approach with specialists in growth promising sectors 22 INVESTMENT INCENTIVES IN LEBANON offered by INVESTMENT LAW 360 TWO TYPES OF INCENTIVES SCHEMES REGION AND SECTOR BASED INCENTIVE JOB CREATION BASED INCENITVE • Also called Package Deal Contract • Also called Investment Projects incentives • Provided to projects based on their geographical location across 3 Zone: A, B, C and investment size • Incentives Provided: Up to 100% tax exemptions for 10 years for projects located in remote areas Work Permits granted • Provided to projects based on their investment size and number of jobs created • Incentives Provided: 100% exemption of Income Tax and Taxes on Project Dividends for up to ten years Up to a 50% reduction on Work and Residence Permit Fees Up to a 50% reduction on Construction Permit Fees Full exemption from Land Registration Fees 23 REGION AND SECTOR BASED INCENTIVE Sectors Minimum Inv. Size US$ Regions with Socio Economic Challenges Sectors Minimum Inv. Size US$ Tourism 1,000,000 Industry 1,000,000 1,000,000 Tourism 10,000,000 Industry 5,000,000 Agro-Industry 2,000,000 Agro-Industry Agriculture 1,500,000 Agriculture Technology, ICT & Media C Technology, Media 200,000 Beirut C 500,000 ICT & 200,000 B A Sectors Minimum Inv. Size US$ Tourism 4,000,000 Industry 3,000,000 Agro-Industry 1,500,000 Agriculture 1,000,000 C Technology, ICT & Media 100% income tax exemption for 10 years 50% income tax exemption for 5 years 200,000 24 JOB CREATION BASED INCENTIVE Sector Minimum Inv. Size US$ Minimum Job Created Tourism 15,000,000 200 Industry 10,000,000 100 Agro-Industry 3,000,000 60 Agriculture 2,000,000 50 200,000 25 Beirut Technology, ICT & Media 100% income tax exemption for up to 10 years + 100% exemption from taxes on project dividends for up to 10 years 25 Today a multitude of Foreign Investors are operating in Lebanon 26 Thank You for your Attention For queries and more information please contact IDAL at: Info@idal.com.lb or 00961 1 9833 06 Or Visit our Website at www.idal.com 27