A Market-backed Model for AGDSM A Market-backed Model for an Agriculture Demand Side Management Presented By – Apurva Chaturvedi USAID Rakesh K Goyal Tetra Tech Ashish Meshram Tetra Tech December 14, 2011 1 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Why Agriculture Demand Side Management (AgDSM) in India? Agriculture consumes 23% of power & 38% of water (90% groundwater) 55 – 60% population dependent on groundwater Financial health of power sector Availability of water both for irrigation & drinking Livelihood of Farmers Food & Water security of 1.2 Billion population Subsidy of 8 billion US $ per annum 2 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Pilots Conducted before the development of innovation Project Duration Location Energy efficiency through replacing pump sets 1993-1996 Warangal District, Andhra Pradesh Replacement of pipes and foot valves 1987-1990 Chittor District, Andhra Pradesh Funding agency Nature of work/Key learning JBIC (earlier, OECF) Replacement of conventional pumps with efficient pumps; savings were measured DFID Replacement of pipes and foot valves; 5-15% savings were achieved. DFID AP Transco- supplied pumps converted to single phase. Pump can work on single phase. APEEP single-phase high1998-2000 voltage distribution system for 16 villages Nalgonda District, Andhra Pradesh Implementation of power 1992 factor correction devices in the agriculture sector Madhya Pradesh -- End users reportedly refused to maintain the installed equipment. Results could not be measured. DSM for Climate Change Project Agricultural Pump Set Efficiency Improvement Programme with NPCL 2002-2005 Madhya Pradesh CIDA 2001-2002 Noida, Uttar Pradesh USAID Pump replacement achieved 2540% savings. 75 conventional belt-driven aboveground 5 hp pumps replaced by 3.5 hp Kirloskar energy-efficient monoblock pumps; metered supply. 3045% saving achieved. State government scheme 2003-2004 to improve the efficiency of agricultural pump sets 2004-2005 Three transformer areas State Government in Tamil Nadu Results not known Reach to Power Programme of MSEDCLDindori Agricultural pump Replacement 2005-2006 8,000 villages in Nasik District, Maharashtra Not Known 2006-2007 Doddaballapur USAID MERC permitted MSEDCL to charge expenses to the Load Management Charge Fund. Savings of 30-70% were achieved. 3 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM What Pilots Established –Saving Potential S.N. Measures Potential for Energy Savings 1 Efficient Pumpsets 15-25% 2 Suction Pipe & Foot Valve 3 Efficient Irrigation Methods 15-25% 4 Total Saving Potential 35-65% 5-15% 4 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Pilots Could not be Scaled Up Water & Electricity nearly free to farmers Absence of market based approach Ownership ESCO's in a nascent stage Reluctance to work in rural areas Tough geography and vast area Low literacy level of farmers Livelihood of farmers depends on irrigation. Reliability of DISCOMs getting subsidy has increased 5 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM A market-backed model developed for an Agriculture Demand Side Management Farmers - get new efficient pump, aftersales services, good quality power & required amount of water DISCOM – energy savings with greater opportunity cost ESCO – profit from saving energy, payback is less than 5 years Project based on commercial principles Long term horizon – no ‘snap back’ effect Project risks shared among stakeholders and ESCO Innovation Process adopted Rules of public procurement followed Active engagement of all stakeholders Extensive groundwork – studies, information – reduce perceived project risks 6 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Innovation – Key stakeholders Roles and Responsibility ESCO DISCOM • Up gradation and maintenance of Electrical Network suitable for efficient pumps and Metering Public Private Partnership • Support to ESCO in building relationship with farmers • Water side interventions •Capacity Building of farmers •Timely payment to ESCO for energy saving • All Approvals from Regulator & State Govt. •Feedback from farmers • Financing, Planning, procurement, replacement and maintenance, of pumps. •Obtaining farmers acceptance Farmers A free new branded energy efficient pump sets and better O&M 7 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Innovation-Tested at Site Site Profile Location : Doddaballapur (BESCOM) 70 KM from Bangalore, India Geographical area : 11,000 Acres No. of villages/population : 34/17,000 % net sown area : 75% % irrigated area : 16% Major crops : Mulberry & Grapes Depth of ground water : 400-750 ft. No. of feeders/pump-sets : 4/604 Typical pump sets capacity : 10-15 HP 8 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Innovation- Test Implementation Overview Electrical Network •Separate agriculture feeders • Data collection • Mining • Presentation • Preparing business model • Draft RFP and marketing • Pre NIT • Pre- bid meeting • Site visit • Bid evaluation • Negotiation and award Baseline Project Execution • Consumption before pump replacement • Pump replacement • Ag & Non-Ag Load • Monitoring & evaluation protocols • Supply hours • Pump running hours • Single phasing • Acceptance by stakeholders • Governing structure Savings • HVDS • Capacitor Banks Electronic meters Bid Process & Selection of ESCO Data • Keeping stakeholders informed Capacity Building of Farmers Project Monitoring 9 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Innovation-Salient Features of the Contract (ESCO and DISCOM) Sr. No Particulars Remarks 1 Contract Term 10 years from 1st April 2011. Contract was signed in July 2009 2 Area is ring faced Number of pumps are ring fenced. 3 Ownership of Pump Co-ownership between agreement. 3 Energy Saving Payment Mechanism Within 15 days of invoice. ESCROW account 4 Base Line True up Mechanism Number of hours of 3 phase supply availability. Number of hours to be determined from downloaded data. 5 O&M of pumps during the 10 years period. O&M office and call centre in the area. Price list to be decided by the committee involving farmers. Within 72 hours otherwise penalty. 6 Grievance Handling Procedure (Pump and electrical) A procedure with three tier mechanism for satisfactory resolution of the grievance. 7 Governing Structure A three tier governing structure to steer, monitor and resolve of operational issues. 8 CDM registration Mandatory. Hot country approval obtained farmer and ESCO through a written 10 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Innovation-Metering and Verification Protocol Findings Contracted Load of Pumps as per BESCOM Record Actual Connected Load of Pumps Average Capacity of a Pump as per BESCOM record Actual Average Capacity of a Pump = 2.6 MW = 5.9 MW = 4.3 KW = 9.7 KW About 16% pumps in each month have zero consumption. Supply hours are more than pump running hours Farmers run pump as per their convenience and use capacitors to convert single phase supply into three phase supply. New Tools Developed Determination of IP set and non IP set Consumption separately One meter can help in determination of up to 4 different capacity pumps consumption. Estimation of consumption for the period when meter is not working. 11 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Innovation-Pilot-Water-Side Interventions Promotion of Drip Irrigation Construction of Check Dam Construction of Field Bunds Farmer awareness - Cropping Pattern & Cultivation Practices 12 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Scaling Innovation -Business Case Study Results with Maharashtra as Sample State (worst Case 100% debt with 15% Interest) Project Parameters Option -1 Replace all (28,97,157) Option -2 Replace Pumps > 10 HP ( 94,264 ) Option -3 Replace Pumps in Ag Dominated area Baramati, Nasik & Amravati (13,13,630) 8279 416 4071 10022 503 4929 26737 2565 14435 8437 1647 5334 18 56 20 Additional savings in Generation capacity (Rs Crores) 3052 285 1635 Additional savings in Network capacity (Rs Crores) 2775 259 1486 CER Savings (Rs Crores) 2174 211 1165 30314 1287 15395 Capital Cost (Rs Crores) Debt Service (Rs Crores) Energy Savings (Rs Crores) Project NPV (Rs Crores) Project IRR (%) Subsidy & Cross-Subsidy Avoided (Rs Crores) 13 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Innovation- Pilot Status Pumps replaced by energy efficient pumps Pumps maintenance Call Centre and office established Feedback from farmers is encouraging Host country approval for CDM obtained First energy saving invoice generated and paid by DISCOM to ESCO- 25% saving A dedicated website for farmers developed (www.agripowerindia.com) and kiosk installed for use of farmers Holistic water side intervention plan is ready implementation to start soon. Capacity building is continuous process. . 14 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Sensitizing Stakeholders About Innovation Multi-stakeholder Meeting Interactive session with DISCOM officials Involving Farmers Workshop with Pump Manufacturers 15 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Scaling Innovation at India Level will Save Electricity (19 Billion Units) Save Network Capacity (83,557 ckt. Kms and 13,126 MVA) Can help to bridge existing demand supply gap of electricity (by 60%) Can improve the financial health of the power sector Saves Subsidy annually (8000 Cr INR ) Cross-Subsidy – Boost Industrialization, Reduce cost Reduce Carbon Emissions (14.8 Tera Tonnes per annum) Save Water Rural development Arrest shift from rural to urban Data from CEA Annual Report 2008 A conservative saving of only 20% has been assumed. 16 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Scaling up of Innovation at India Level - Requires CAPACITY BUILDING SITE ACTIVITIES A MARKET -BACKED MODEL for AgDSM POLICY DOCUMENTATION 17 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Coordinated Approach Ground Water Urban Development Food Security Surface Water AGDSM Rural Development Agriculture Finance Energy 18 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Key Issues Sr. No. Issues Addressed Un-addressed For Large Program 1 Market based commercial approach Public Private Partnership model in AGDSM projects is possible more risks to be shared by DISCOM/Govt 2 Financing Financing from financial institutions like NABARD is possible Guarantee for the loan ? 3 Baseline Data Methodology and tools established. Measurement and availability of data 4 Availability of NHEP Only 35 -40% pumps manufacturered today are NHEP (progressive pump manufacturer’s) Increasing it to 100% will be a challenge. Market for BEE star rated pump is developing. BEE star rated NHEP > 15 HP still not available. 5 Power supply improvement HVDS and capacitor banks Segregation of Ag feeder is very helpful. 6 Capacity Building Course material developed On going process 7 Pump Manufacturer Interested to sell energy efficient pumps Not interested to share the risk of saving. 8 Water-side Interventions Pilot successfully executed M&V protocol to be established. 9 Calculation of energy savings Truing-up mechanism for calculating energy savings. Risk associated due to change in cropping pattern, availability of power supply etc. Documentation Electrical Case Studies, RFP, Policy work, Documentary and Guide for Ag DSM under preparation On going Process. 10 19 A Market-backed Model for AGDSM Innovation won 2nd India Power Awards -2009 Project Partners 20