A multi-compartment modeling system for estimating emissions and transport of persistent organic pollutants The case of benzo(a)pyrene Presented at the 13th Annual CMAS conference 11/27/14 • Chapel Hill, NC by Christos Efstathiou, Jana Matejovicova, Martin Tomas, Tom Rebok, Gerhard Lammel Research Center for Toxic Compounds in the Environment Centrum pro výzkum toxických látek v prostÅ™edí Kamenice 753/5, pavilon A29, 625 00 Brno, Czech Republic Outline • • • • • Introduction Setting up the models Adaptations to treat POPs Model results Summary and future aims 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 2 Rationale: POPs & Environment • POPs have been an active topic of environmental chemistry and toxicology since the 1960s • Several POPs including PCBs and agrochemicals banned – still observed! • Different intrinsic physical-chemical properties dictate environmental fate Single-hoppers, Multi-hoppers, swimmers, flyers - Persistent in various environmental compartments (e.g. soil, vegetation) – LRT a concern • Significant adverse effects at low doses • Highly bioaccumulative Object of the Stockholm Convention and the Aarhus Protocol (UNECE, 98) BaP target values for air concentrations – national policymaking EU: 1 ng/m3 (annual average) - UK: 0.25 ng/m3 Benzo(a)pyrene has received attention as a representative toxic substance for PAHs with substantial experimental and modeling efforts 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 3 Research Objectives Enhance CMAQ to account for emission and transport of POPs between environmental compartments Which POPs ? •BaP (PAH) •PCBs (representative congeners) •DDT (insecticide) Study specifics •Seasonal and inter-annual variation of the concentration and depositions •Implement and evaluate relevant Gas – Particle Partitioning (GPP) and heterogeneous chemistry schemes •Include soil-atmosphere exchange scheme – additional soil compartment 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 4 Research Objectives 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 5 Model Setup physical schemes and parameterisations Weather Research Forecast (WRF) Model version 3.2.1 • GFS inputs (spatial resolution 0.5° x 0.5°) • Long wave radiation scheme `RRTM` • Short wave radiation scheme `Dudhia` • Near-surface `Monin-Obukhov` scheme • `WSM` 3-class simple ice scheme • Land-surface scheme `Noah` with 4 soil layers Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) Model version 4.7.1 • Carbon Bond 5 (CB-5) chemistry scheme incl. aqueous chemistry • 4th Generation aerosol module (AERO4) • Emissions from SMOKE-EU model (Biogenic + Anthropogenic + BaP) Bieser, J., Aulinger, A., Matthias, V., Quante, M., & Builtjes, P. (2011). SMOKE for Europe – adaptation, modification and evaluation of a comprehensive emission model for Europe. Geosci Model Dev, 4(1), 47–68. doi:10.5194/gmd-4-47-2011 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 6 B(a)P Emissions – major sources PAHs are formed by any incomplete combustion of organic matter • Incineration of household and medical waste • Iron and steel production • Electricity generation • Residential heating • Road transport • Ship engines • Oil platforms • Wildfires Emission Inventories for legacy POPs and agrochemicals are limited (Breivik et al., 2002) 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 7 CMAQ modifications for POPs Emissions mapping to different aerosol modes (99% into accumulation) IC & BC were obtained from global model (Stemmler & Lammel, ‘12) Gas-phase chemistry •Reaction with ozone for BaP •Reaction with OH for PCBs General considerations and implicit assumptions for GPP schemes: •Instantaneous relaxation to phase equilibrium •Compound does not irreversibly reacting in particulate phase •Sorption processes do not interact 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 8 Gas-Particle Partitioning schemes • J-P adsorption model (Junge ‘77 – Pankow ‘87) • Dissolution to aerosol water (Aulinger et al., ‘07, Cooter & Hutzell ‘02) • Absorption to organic matter (OM – Harner & Bidleman ’98) • Absorption to elemental carbon (EC – Dachs & Eisenreich ‘00) Developed CMAQ Fortran modules • Set the partitioning scheme(s) configuration • Calculate the physico-chemical parameters of POPs • Solve the system of equations for the selected GPP(s) Heterogeneous chemistry • Reaction with O3 (Langmuir-Hinshelwood mech., Kwamena et al., ‘04) 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 9 Soil-atmosphere exchange module Soil-Atmosphere exchange module according to Jury 0 - mt soil Fvol = C e DE pt æ ç 1- e è L2 4 Dgt ö ÷ ø Linked to : •Initial soil burden from global model output (Stemmler & Lammel, ‘12) •WRF output (driver variables soil Temperature, moisture) •European Soil Database (key soil parameters, including OC fraction) + Harmonized World Soil Database (gap filling) •Depositions from CMAQ output 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 10 Annual means and spatial distribution of the effect of GPP schemes J-P annual mean J-P_W / J-P_W_KOA 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina J-P / J-P_W (=+ Water dissol.) J-P_W_KOA / J-P_W_KOA_EC (= + Dual Model KOA+EC) RECETOX Modeling Group - 11 Comparison against measurements: GENASIS database 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 12 Comparison against Active and passive samples: Kosetice 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 13 Comparison against GENASIS database 1119 observation – modeled pairs Measurement J-P only Median 0.022130 0.004420 Mean 0.085950 0.005175 Std. dev 0.343190 0.003519 R2 0.980519 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina JP_W JP_W_KOA 0.004398 0.007350 0.005513 0.009197 0.004130 0.006825 0.979035 0.928591 JP_W_DL 0.007527 0.009389 0.006935 0.925308 RECETOX Modeling Group - 14 Size distribution Brno, 2006 Kosetice, 2006 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 15 Concentrations of BaP Jan 17 -18 17 .1 0 17 :00 .1 2 17 :00 .1 17 4:0 .1 0 6 17 :00 .1 17 8:0 .1 0 1 17 0 :0 .1 0 1 17 2 :0 .1 0 1 17 4 :0 .1 0 1 17 6 :0 .1 0 1 17 8 :0 .1 0 2 17 0 :0 .1 0 22 18 :00 .1 0 18 :00 .1 2 18 :00 .1 18 4:0 .1 0 6 18 :00 .1 18 8:0 .1 0 1 18 0 :0 .1 0 1 18 2 :0 .1 0 1 18 4 :0 .1 0 1 18 6 :0 .1 0 1 18 8 :0 .1 0 2 18 0 :0 .1 0 22 :0 0 nanograms/m3 CMAQ model output – wet deposition Wet deposition Jan 17-18 g/ha/h 0,45 0,4 0,35 0,3 0,25 0,2 0,15 0,1 0,05 0 Aspvreten 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina Kosetice Rucava Zoseni RECETOX Modeling Group - 16 Summary • Simulations showed good correlations to measurements, improving with more complex GPP schemes • Simulations underestimate measurements – further analysis needed to evaluate usefulness of PUF samplers • Emissions seem to be missing a background winter component – possibly domestic heating? • Evaluate the new compartment with more volatile POPs (PCBs) – include soil degradation, effects of vegetation • Develop data assimilation methods to incorporate information of initial soil burdens • Evaluate different heterogeneous reactions (Perraudin et al., ‘07) • Evaluate the effect of different meteorological inputs and land surface models (LSM) on the soil-atmosphere exchange module 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 17 Thank you! 13th Annual CMAS conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina RECETOX Modeling Group - 18