Reducing CO2 from transport: What is happening in Europe? Vicenç Pedret Cuscó European Commission Transunion Brussels, 3 November 2011 Transport GHG emissions between 1990 and 2006 Transport sector Emission from transport accounts for 19%-24% of overall EU GHG Emissions increased of + 1.9% per year corresponding to + 35.8% Road transport only Emission from road transport accounts from 71% of overall transport GHG Emissions increased of + 1.6% per year meaning two thirds of the increase in emissions from the transport sector Source: EEA Road trasport The share of emissions among road transport modes is: Passenger cars account for about 70% Light commercial vehicles (vans) account for about 10% Heavy duty vehicles (trucks) account for about 30% 100% 90% 80% CO2 (Mt) 70% bus and coach heavy duty vehicle light duty vehicle motorcycle moped medium/big car small car 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% year 1995 2000 2005 Year 2010 2015 EU27 Reference Scenario 300 Index (1990=100) GDP 250 200 Freight transport 150 100 Passenger transport 50 Population 0 1990 2010 2030 Source: PRIMES modeling for EC’s Impact Assessments 2050 Developments in EU transport GHG emissions Decomposition of Transport CO2 Emissions 2.0% average annual % change 1.98% 1.85% 1.5% 1.29% 1.0% 0.85% 0.5% 0.61% 0.25% 0.0% -0.29% -0.5% -0.66% -0.71% -1.0% 1990 >> 2000 CO2 Activity Modal Choice 2000 >> 2010 Energy Intensity Carbon Intensity Transport COCO decomposition Transport 2 emissions 2 Emissions - Decomposition average annual percent change 2% decarbonisation reference 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% CO2 emissions Activity Modal Share Energy Efficiency Fuel Choice -4% -5% -6% 2010>2030 2030>2050 Source: PRIMES modeling for EC’s Impact Assessments 2010>2030 2030>2050 European CO2 strategy on road transport COM(95)689 Pillar 1: volontary agreements with car manufacturers in 1998/9 to reach 140 g/km within 10 year failed. Regulation (EC) 443/2009 now sets a target of 130 g/km by 2015 and 95 g/km by 2020. Pillar 2: Taxation of vehicles proportional to emission. Commissione proposal COM(2005)261 stopped ad the council since 2005 as unanimity is required. Pillar 3: Consumer Information (Labelling Directive 1999/94) Historical fleet CO2 emissions performance and current or proposed standards US-LDV Grams CO2 per kilometer, normalized to NEDC 270 Solid dots and lines: historical performance Solid dots and dashed lines: enacted targets Solid dots and dotted lines: proposed targets Hollow dots and dotted lines: unannounced proposal 250 CaliforniaLDV Canada-LDV EU 230 Japan 210 China S. Korea 190 Australia 170 150 130 China 2020: 117 110 US 2025:107 Japan 2020: 105 90 2000 EU 2020: 95 2005 2010 2015 2020 [1] China's target reflects gasoline fleet scenario. If including other fuel types, the target will be lower. [2] US and Canada light-duty vehicles include light-commercial vehicles. 2025 New car CO2 emissions/km Limit value curve in Regulation 443/2009 Limit value curve in Regulation 443/2009 300 Porsche t 2006 trendline average mass 250 average CO2 [g/km] Subaru Mitsubishi GM 200 BMW Mazda Daimler Chrysler Nissan Suzuki Toyota 160 Volkswagen 150 Hyundai Fiat PSA 100 1000 1100 Renault 1200 Honda 1300 Ford 1400 average mass [kg] 1500 1600 1700 Regulation on cars and vans: current status At present the Commission is: Defining the implementing rules for the Regulation, in particular the content and evaluation procedure for derogations and eco-innovation Discussing with the Council and Parliament on the features of the Vans proposal Derogation: small volume manufacturers can apply for an ad-hoc target considering their market segment and potential for reduction Eco-innovations: technologies not captured by the CO2 measurement procedure for cars can receive credits. Applications for each technology to be evaluated by the Commission. Vans: the proposal, as finally approved, has the same features of the Cars proposal with a target of 175 g/km in 2017 and 147 g/km in 2020. Heavy Duty Vehicles state of play 28% of all road sources 5% of total EU GHG emissions Bigger than international shipping and aviation Continues to grow Rising interest by policy makers in US and Japan Interest by the EU industry in establishing a global fuel efficiency certification method Heavy Duty Vehicles activities in the EU Gathering information Launched a contract finishing in early 2011 gathering data on HDV market structure and explore technology & policy options Certification method Currently there is no standard way to assess the emission of HDV for whole truck. Engine emission only are measured neglecting the emissions due to aerodynamic drug and rolling resistance. Launched a contract finishing in early 2012 for proposing and testing a method to measure CO2 emissions of whole tracks, single tractors and trailers. Pillar 3 - Labelling Directive 1999/94/EC The purpose of the Directive is “to ensure that information relating to the fuel economy and CO2 emissions of new passenger cars offered for sale or lease in the Community is made available to consumers in order to enable consumers to make an informed choice.” The Directive contains four different provisions. A poster or display, showing the fuel consumption data and CO2 emissions of all car models displayed at a point of sale A label displayed near each passenger car model at the point of sale A guide on fuel economy and CO2 emissions All promotional literature has to contain fuel consumption and specific CO2 emissions data of the car models to which it refers (i.e. all printed matter including technical manuals, brochures, advertisements in newspapers, magazines and trade press and posters) Pillar 3 - Labelling Directive 1999/94/EC Confusing information is prohibited Member States shall : ensure information on CO2 and fuel consumption is available co-operate with car manufacturers report on the effectiveness of the Directive Tractor Aerodynamics No sun visor and no trap door on the roof MOBILE SPOILER (inflatable solution) to close the GAP cab-semitrailer In combination with a dedicated surface on the semitrailer Optimized A-pillar cover Chassis REAR CLOSURE (stylistic add-on with new lights) Optimized fix dam SIDESKIRTS Trailer Aerodynamics Requires changes of legal requirements Adaptor for cab inflatable spoiler Optimized FLOOR Complete SIDESKIRTS with AIR INTAKE REAR MOBILE SPOILER (inflatable solution) REAR DIFFUSER to guide the flow Semi-Trailer Aerodynamics Transport volume No specific EU policy objective on traffic volume. Actions mainly at Member State level May be mainly driven by other local concerns such as noise, air quality, landscape, e.g: Low emissions zones – see www.lowemissionzones.eu Sectoral lorry ban – Austria http://www.tirol.gv.at/themen/umwelt/luft/nachtfahrverbot/ Congestion charges – London, Stockholm Promotion of alternatives to road freight Rolling road Incentive programmes eg “Marco Polo” http://ec.europa.eu/transport/marcopolo/ Economic Instruments Internalisation of external costs an EU policy objective. Eurovignette sets framework for HDV road user charges. Latest revision permits some charging of external costs Road user charges in Member States German HDV charges on main road network Plans for HDV charges on main road network in France Netherlands abandoned intended road charging system Toll motorways in many countries Congestion charging Introduced in London and Stockholm Approx 15% reduction in traffic Public support Conclusions Wide range of policies enacted by EU to manage transport GHG emissions. Most recently implemented so too early to draw conclusions on their impact. Most analysis suggests further policy action needed to reduce emissions in line with EU goals. Further work underway in a number of areas e.g. shipping and HDV. Grazie per la vostra attenzione http://ec.europa.eu/environment/air/transport/co2/co2_home.htm