New regulation enabling Sweden’s digital agenda Brussels, Robert Liljeström April, 2014 Agenda 1. Sweden – Our situation and digital agenda 2. New regulation – EOI, only a first step 3. EOI – What does it mean in practice? 4. Implementation – Key success factors and risk 1 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development Vi Swedish Digital Agenda: Best in the world in using the opportunities from the digitalization 2 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development Challenging broadband target for a large country with small population Sweden Germany Population (million) 9 81 Area (000 km2) 450 350 Population density (per km2) 22 40% of households to have 100Mbit/s 1 (Stockholm) by 2015 233 90% households 1574ofkm to have 499 km 100Mbit/s by 2020 73% of area is forest, lakes and mountains 876 km 640 km Cities over 1M pop. Distances • North – South • East – West Other facts Source: CIA world fact book; Wikipedia; visitsweden.se; travel-to-germany.net 3 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development 4 Fiber driving growth of 100Mbps+ access High speed broadband Coverage in Sweden % of 60% population 50% 40% 100 Mbps 30% Fiber Cabel-TV 20% 10% 0% 2010 4 April, 2014 2011 TeliaSonera Business Development 2012 2013 Agenda 1. Sweden – Our situation and digital agenda 2. New regulation – EOI, only a first step 3. EOI – What does it mean in practice? 4. Implementation – Key success factors and risk 5 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development Necessary to create a regulatory situation that enables deployment of fiber in increasingly expensive areas Increasingly expensive areas to deploy Broadband target: From 53% today to 90% 2020 Cost to deploy FTTH /SDU Less expensive if optimal deployment applied Single dwelling units in Sweden 6 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development The regulatory challenge – From 1 access network (copper) to 200 local city networks (fiber) City Networks (owned by municipalities) Skanova (Part of TeliaSonera) IP-Only (private equity) Geographical coverage 200 of 290 municipalities National Plans to become a national fiber provider % offering dark fiber % offering capacity > 95 % > 80% Yes No Yes Yes Annual investments (fiber access network) 1.5-2 billion SEK/year ~1 billion SEK/year Plans to invest 30 billion SEK in city networks Estimated market share fiber (access) 66% 33% A new regulation needed to secure access to relevant bottlenecks 7 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development A new regulation is necessary to enable investments and secure freedom of choice Regulation enabling • Investment in new infrastructure • Freedom of choice for all consumers EOI is only a first step 3. Access to relevant bottlenecks 2. Reduced cost for rolling-out infrastructure 1. Predictability and flexibility in pricing New EU-directive. Secure access to civil infrastructure (electricity, water) Replace price regulation with increased nondiscrimination(EOI) 8 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development SMP is replaced with “Symmetric access regulation” Agenda 1. Sweden – Our situation and digital agenda 2. New regulation – EOI, only a first step 3. EOI – What does it mean in practice? 4. Implementation – Key success factors and risk 9 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development What will be different with EOI? Same Product - Same quality - Same service(SLA) - Same contract Same Price - Same price list - Same discount scheme = Not implemented today Same Information Same process - Same interface for information - Same order interface, - Same process from order to delivery Same delivery -Same delivery -Same suppliers Same billing - Invoice generated in the same system Same KPI´s that are measured in the same systems guarantee that EOI is working 10 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development Significant need for IT and process changes, in particular for Telia SP Current situation TS-TelSims 11 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development Wanted Position - EOI Agenda 1. Sweden – Our situation and digital agenda 2. New regulation – EOI, only a first step 3. EOI – What does it mean in practice? 4. Implementation – Key success factors and risk 12 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development Clear scope of implementation of EOI is crucial – Risk of regulatory uncertainty during several years • Clear scope of requirements to fulfill the coming 3 years (Not only EOI directive) • Definition of limitations of scope. What is outside the scope for the coming 3 years? • Clear rules regarding when and how price regulation will be lifted • An economic replicable test that fulfills its purpose (not a new LRIC-model) 13 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development Wrap-up • A new regulation is necessary to achieve digital agenda targets • Assuming PTS decision 2014 EOI finalized within 3 years • Clear scope of implementation of EOI is crucial – Risk of regulatory uncertainty during several years • EOI is only the first step. Long-term view and goal not defined – e.g. symmetric regulation 14 April, 2014 TeliaSonera Business Development Thank you!