Chapter 5 Poverty, Inequality, and Development Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Measuring Income Distribution Relative Income Share: • The ratio of the highest 20% to lowest 40% of the population • The higher the ratio, the greater is income inequality Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-2 Typical Size Distribution of Personal Income Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-3 Lorenz Curve of Income Distribution • Depicting: quintile percentage of population vs. cumulative percentage of income received • The closer the Lorenz curve to the line of equality, the better is the size distribution of income Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-4 Lorenz Curve of Income Distribution Data for the United States in 2000: Quintile % Income % Cumulative Income Lowest 20% 3.6 3.6 Second 20% 8.9 12.5 Third 20% 14.9 27.4 Fourth 20% 23.0 50.4 Richest 20% 49.6 100.0 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-5 Lorenz Curve of Income Distribution Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-6 Lorenz Curve of Income Distribution The greater the curvature of the Lorenz Curve, the greater is the degree of income inequality Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-7 Improved Income Distribution Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-8 Worsened Income Distribution Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-9 Crossing Lorenz Curves Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-10 The Gini Coefficient Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-11 The Gini Coefficient 0 < The Gini Coefficient < 1 • 0.41 for U.S. • 0.30 for Ethiopia • 0.57 for Brazil • Gini Coefficient is higher for the OPEC and Middle-income countries than Low-income countries Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-12 The Gini Coefficient Income inequality had had a tendency to increase. 1960 1980 LDCs 0.544 0.602 Low income countries 0.407 0.450 Middle-income countries 0.603 0.569 The OPEC 0.575 0.612 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-13 Income Distribution Measures Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-14 Income Inequality Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-15 Functional Income Distribution • Assume a traditional economy in which labor is the only variable input (capital and land are fixed): Output = Wages + Profits • Functional income distribution = Wages as a percentage of Profits • The higher the ratio, the greater is income equality Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-16 Functional Income Distribution Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-17 Poverty Gap Average percent of income shortfall below the poverty line. Over 10.5% in LDCs • Latin America & Caribbean: about 9% • Middle East and North Africa: about 1% • Sub-Saharan Africa: about 15% • South Asia: 13% • China, East Asia & Pacific: 8% Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-18 Measuring Poverty Gap • Poverty and income inequality depend on type of economic, political and institutional arrangements according to which rising national incomes are distributed among broad segments of a population • A middle-income country may have a higher poverty rate and poverty gap than a lowincome country (South Africa vs. Sri Lanka) Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-19 Measuring Total Poverty Gap Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-20 Growth and Distribution The “Inverted-U” Kuznets Curve • Income inequality increases during the early stages of growth • Income equality increases during a later stage of growth with redistribution of income and wealth Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-21 The Kuznets Curve Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-22 Evidence on Kuznets Curve • Cross country evidence supports the hypothesis • Time series data show some countries have been able to grow and improve income distribution at the same time Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-23 Kuznets Curve in Latin American Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-24 Income Inequality Across Time Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-25 Growth & Inequality, 1965-1996 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-26 Change in Inequality with or without Growth Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-27 Absolute Poverty • International Poverty Line: $1 per day per person • The Headcount Ratio: The percentage of people living below the International Poverty Line Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-28 Regional Poverty Incidence, 2004 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-29 Poverty Incidence in Selected Countries Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-30 Poverty Incidence in Selected Countries Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-31 Human Poverty Index Human Poverty Index is measured in terms of deprivation of • Life: years of life expectancy • Basic education: adult illiteracy • Basic needs: lack of access to health services , access to safe drinking water, and number of malnourished children Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-32 Characteristics of Poverty Groups • Rural population • Women and children • Ethnic minorities and indigenous population Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-33 Poverty: Rural vs. Urban Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-34 Indigenous Poverty in Latin America Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-35 Policies of Income Distribution • Remove factor price distortions: Get factor prices right! • Land redistribution and supportive farm services • Income redistribution – Progressive taxation – Transfer payments Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-36 Policies to Reduce Poverty • Invest in human and social capital of the poor • Provision of public goods and social services • Reduce concentration of economic and political power Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-37 Appendix 5.1: Appropriate Technology and Employment Generation • Choice of techniques • Factor price distortions and appropriate technology • Possibilities of labor-capital substitution Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-38 Choice of Techniques: The Price Incentive Model Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-39 Ahluwalia-Chenery Welfare Index • Constructing poverty-weighted index of social welfare Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-40 Income Distribution and Growth Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-41