The complexity of psychopathology: ! A network approach Denny%Borsboom% University%of%Amsterdam www.psychosystems.org Overview • The network idea! • Conceptual consequences:! • Disorders and their boundaries! • Kinds or categories! • The particular and the general! • Discussion The standard model error mood error error sleep interest Depression Reductionist daydreams Great expectations, limited yields • Research%into%the%“biological%basis”%for%disorders% has%proven%exceptionally%tricky% • Limited%advances%in%pinpointing%neurobiological% correlates,%let%alone%causes% • Genetic%findings%suggest%no%large%and%specific% genetic%effects%for%common%mental%disorders% • Also%note%that%although%medication%prescription% has%risen%spectacularly,%prevalence%is%relatively% constant The network alternative sleep tired conc worry I: Disorders and their boundaries What magnetism and depression have in common 8 fal X1 = 1 X5 = 1 X9 = 1 sle X13 = 1 wak pan sen hyp anx X2 = 1 X6 = 1 X10 = 1 X14 = − 1 fut irr bod mod sui sad sel res qmo X3 = − 1 X7 = − 1 X11 = − 1 con X15 = − 1 rmo ple par ene dig int X4 = 1 X8 = 1 X12 = 1 ach X16 = 1 slo app sex wei fal: falling asleep sle: sleep during the night wak: waking up too early hyp: hypersomnia sad: feeling sad irr: feeling irritable anx: feeling anxious rmo: respons of mood to events mod: mood in relation to time of day qmo: quality of mood app: change of appetite wei: change of weight con: concentration problems sel: view of oneself fut: view of future sui: suicidal thoughts int: general interest ene: energy level ple: capacity for pleasure (not sex) sex: interest in sex slo: feeling slowed down res: feeling restless ach: aches/pains bod: other bodily symptoms pan: panic/phobic symptoms dig: digestion problems sen: interpersonal sensitivity par: leaden paralysis (b) e repressented by a network shaped as a lattice as in is alligned upwards and ≠1 indicates that the south (b) adheres to a PMRF in that the probability of a only dependent on the state of its direct neighbors. only depends on the direct neighbors (north, south Figure 1: Network constructed with `1 regularized logistic regression of each variable on the other variables. Neighborhood selection is optimized with EBIC. Ising model for the entire DSM-IV 4 9 8 14 3 3 6 17 2 6 3 15 4 5 4 1 9 5 1 2 7 2 5 7 8 12 4 1 3 Mania or hypomania 7 3 13 9 9 3 7 8 Agoraphobia 6 3 4 5 4 19 5 18 17 1 7 11 1 18 13 3 8 3 14 12 10 2 5 4 12 16 2 6 15 13 9 3 1 9 Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder Alcohol abuse or dependence 4 14 11 Post-traumatic stress disorder 2 1 2 2 8 2 4 5 2 1 4 3 1 17 Specific phobia Panic disorder 3 5 16 10 4 5 8 1 6 Social phobia 4 15 Generalised anxiety disorder 1 7 6 6 10 3 2 10 2 11 12 11 Dysthymia 7 8 4 7 Major depressive episode 6 10 5 1 5 13 10 7 1 16 2 6 Nicotine dependence Psychotic symptoms So... • From a network perspective, boundaries between disorders are inherently fuzzy! • Excessive comorbidity cannot be avoided, as it is inherent in the structure of the network! • This may imply that diagnostic practice should be revised (no more “diagnostic silos”) II: Mental disorders: Kinds or continua? Diathesis-stress • Two ways we can manipulate a network:! • by putting the network under stress: activating and deactivating symptoms! • by changing network vulnerability (diathesis): increasing and decreasing connectivity strength LOW Connectivity MEDIUM Connectivity HIGH Connectivity So... • From a network perspective, the “kinds or continua” question is misguided! • Networks can behave as kinds or as continua, depending on their parameters! • Many possible extensions: early warnings, dynamical systems models, other constructs III: Personalized networks C P E F D T !"#$%&%! + "' (')$*'%+ "+ (+)$*' + ... + #! H Bringmann, L.,Vissers, N., Wichers, M., Geschwind, N., Kuppens, P., Peeters, F., Borsboom, D., & Tuerlinckx, F. (2013). A network approach to psychopathology: New insights into clinical longitudinal data. PLoS ONE.! When qualitatively analyzing the network structure, it may be concluded that the data of this Patient 1 (diagnosed with panic disorder) patient seem to group in two clusters, which can be labeled as a positive and a negative cluster. The positive cluster assembles the variables feeling excited and relaxed, being physically active, having pleasant daily experiences and a pleasant social environment. The negative cluster assembles feeling tired, depressed and stressed, physical inconvenience, and unpleasant experiences. Being excited seems to have a bridge function between these two clusters. Feeling excited often co-occurs with feeling less tired, stressed, and depressed, whereas physical activity and pleasant daily experiences are associated with feeling excited. Visualizing the lag-1 correlation matrix of the same patient showed the following weighted graph in Figure 4. Figure 4. Lag-1 correlation network of Patient 1. Patient 2 (diagnosed with depression) Version: October 2013 between mood and context, and thus less autonomous mood processes, than in the first measurement period. Physical activity is still not significantly related to e.g. mood. The lag-1 correlation network of the second measurement period is shown in Figure 10. Figure 10. Lag-1 correlation network of Patient 3 during the second measurement period. Early warnings? So... • From a network perspective, the “general” structure of mental disorders may be an amalgam of individual patterns! • Because structure and dynamics are coupled in networks, such individual differences can have large consequences! • This may help in identifying targets for intervention Discussion • Network approaches change the conceptualization of disorders, and hence nature of the research game! • Networks motivate the study of feedback and interconnection, rather than a search for latent “diseases”! • The holistic nature of network modeling de-emphasizes searches for “the” genes or “the” neural correlates of disorders People • Psychosystems group: Angélique Cramer, Verena Schmittmann, Lourens Waldorp, Sacha Epskamp, Claudia van Borkulo, Mijke Rhemtulla; Collaborators: Laura Bringmann, Arjen Noordhof, Francis Tuerlinckx, Sophie van der Sluis, Kenneth Kendler, Steve Aggen, Hilde Geurts, Marieke Wichers, Erik Giltay, Han van der Maas, Marten Scheffer, Ingrid van de Leemput, Gunter Maris, Robert Schoevers. Students: Noémi Schuurman, Robert Hillen, Michel Nivard, Susanna Gerritse, Janneke de Kort, Charles Driver, Laura Ruzzano, Esther Lietaert-Peerbolte, Jonas Dalege, Jolanda Kossakowski, Tessa Blanken Papers • • Borsboom, D., & Cramer, A. O. J. (2013). Network analysis. Annual Review of Clinical Psychology.! • Cramer, A. O. J., Borsboom, D., Aggen, S. H., & Kendler, K. S. (2011). The Pathoplasticity of Major Depression. Psychological Medicine.! • • • • • Bringmann, L.,Vissers, N., Wichers, M., Geschwind, N., Kuppens, P., Peeters, F., Borsboom, D., & Tuerlinckx, F. (2013). A network approach to psychopathology: New insights into clinical longitudinal data. PLoS ONE.! Borsboom, D., Cramer, A. O. J., Schmittmann,V. D., Epskamp, S., & Waldorp, L. J. (2011). The small world of psychopathology. PLoS ONE.! Schmittmann,V. D., Cramer, A. O. J., Waldorp, L. J., Epskamp, S., Kievit, R. A., & Borsboom, D. (2011). Deconstructing the construct: A network perspective on psychological phenomena. New Ideas in Psychology.! Cramer, A.O.J., Waldorp, L.J.,Van der Maas, H.L.J., & Borsboom, D. (2010). Comorbidity: A network approach. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 33, 137-193.! Borsboom, D. (2008). Psychometric perspectives on diagnostic systems. Journal of Clinical Psychology, 64, 1089-1108. Software Epskamp, S., Cramer, A. O. J., Waldorp, L. J., Schmittmann,V. D., & Borsboom, D. (2011). qgraph: Network representations of relationhips in data. R package version0.4.10. Available from http://CRAN.R-project.org/ package=qgraph. dennyborsboom@gmail.com www.psychosystems.org