Health Psychology and the future of Public Health Falko Sniehotta, PhD Newcastle University www.fuse.ac.uk Why is health psychology relevant for Public Health? Actual Causes of Death Leading Causes of Death* Actual Causes of Death† Heart Disease Tobacco Cancer Poor diet/lack of exercise Stroke Chronic lower respiratory disease Unintentional Injuries Alcohol Infectious agents Pollutants/toxins Firearms Diabetes Pneumonia/influenza Alzheimer’s disease Sexual behaviour Kidney Disease Illicit drug use Motor vehicles 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Percentage (of all deaths) 35 0 5 10 15 20 Percentage (of all deaths) *Minino AM, Arias E, Kochanek KD, Murphy SL, Smith BL. Deaths: final data for 2000. National Vital Statistics Reports 2002; 50(15):1-20. †Mokdad AH, Marks JS, Stroup DF, Gerberding JL. Actual causes of death in the United States, 2000. JAMA. 2004;291 (10): 1238-1246. Foci of behaviour change interventions general population – primary prevention – “Lifestyle” behaviours: major cause of illness and premature death 48% avoidable deaths in US in 2000 from • smoking • alcohol use • poor diet • physical activity • unsafe sex • driving habits • violence Mokdad et al, 2004 patients – secondary prevention – reduce delay in seeking help – adherence to treatment health professionals – implementation of evidencebased practice – Knowledge Translation Gap – Influence population behaviour Structure of the evidence base for behaviour Interventions change interventions Behavioural determinants e.g. cognitive, social, motivational & environmental Behaviour e.g., exercise; physical activity Physiological & biochemical variables e.g. neurological & muscular processes Health outcomes health, mobility and quality of life Hardeman, et al. (2005) A causal modelling approach to the development of theory-based behaviour change programmes for trial evaluation. Health Education Research, 20(6):676-687 Determinants of health Where and how to intervene Individual interventions Societal interventions • reduce motivation to engage in unhealthy behaviours • increase motivation to engage in healthy behaviours • motivation into action and sustain healthy behaviours (behavioural skills) • enhance self-regulation • • • • attitudes and culture Choice architecture (nudging) incentive structures restrict or enhance opportunities Dynamic process of interaction between societal and individual level. E.g. walking/cycling: motivation + opportunities ‘Behaviour change at population, community and individual levels’: NICE review 2007 Structure of the evidence base for behaviour Interventions change interventions Behavioural determinants e.g. cognitive, social, motivational & environmental Behaviour e.g., exercise; physical activity Physiological & biochemical variables e.g. neurological & muscular processes Health outcomes health, mobility and quality of life Hardeman, et al. (2005) A causal modelling approach to the development of theory-based behaviour change programmes for trial evaluation. Health Education Research, 20(6):676-687 Effects of behavioural interventions on health Interventions Good evidence from systematic reviews of RCTs for effectiveness of behavioural interventions on all outcome levels Key challenges: • Considerable heterogeneity of effect sizes • Small to medium effects • Lack of sustainability Behavioural determinants e.g. cognitive, social, motivational & environmental Behaviour e.g., exercise; physical activity Physiological & biochemical variables e.g. neurological & muscular processes Health outcomes health, mobility and quality of life Hardeman, et al. (2005) A causal modelling approach to the development of theory-based behaviour change programmes for trial evaluation. Health Education Research, 20(6):676-687 RE-AIM: A model of sustainable implementation of effective, generalisable, evidence-based interventions Reach - How do we reach the targeted population with the intervention? Efficacy - How do we know our intervention is effective? Adoption - How do we develop organizational support to deliver our intervention? Implementation - How do we ensure the intervention is delivered properly? Maintenance - How do we incorporate the intervention so that it is delivered over the long term? Glasgow et al. (2001) The RE-AIM Framework for Evaluating Interventions: What Can It Tell Us about Approaches to Chronic Illness Management? Pt Educ Couns 2001;44:119-127. Public Health interventions are often complex • Number of interacting components • Number and difficulty of behaviours involved • Number of groups or organisational levels targeted • Number and variability of outcomes • Degree of flexibility or tailoring permitted Features of Behaviour Change interventions 1. Behaviour change techniques (BCTs), e.g., prompt goal setting or self-monitoring of behaviour 2. Modes of delivery, e.g., individual vs. group delivery; intensity, duration, technology use, materials, facilitator variables, etc 3. Theory: theoretical mediators, rationale for combining elements, cover story of intervention 4. Procedural and clinical features: e.g., techniques and features to establish rapport, adherence, communication and fidelity as well as facilitator skills, features and training. Abraham & Michie, 2008; Hardeman et al., 2002; Araújo-Soares et al., 2009; French et al (submitted) MRC framework for development and evaluation of complex interventions Phase IV Phase III Phase II Phase I Pre-clinical Theory Modelling Exploratory trial Definitive RCT Cumulative knowledge base Long term implementation Development & evaluation of complex interventions Craig P et al. (2008) BMJ 337, a1655 Warning The next slide shows upsetting public health campaign posters. You might wish to close your eyes for a moment The problem with behaviour change • Attempts to change people’s behaviour are often geared towards: – Raising Knowledge (lecturing) • – Providing Advice (instructing) • – “Did you know that…” “Why don’t you…” Motivating (scaring) • “If you don’t … then …” Why are many public health campaigns not informed by behaviour change evidence? • Behaviour change evidence is not good enough? • Behaviour change evidence is not relevant for public health? • Behaviour change evidence is not effectively disseminated? • Commissioners don’t listen to psychologists? • A lack of sustainable infrastructure to coproduce relevant evidence? Why theory? • Enables cumulative science • Provides a shared language • Summarises known evidence • Explains observations • Allows prediction • Enables intervention • Problem of ‘implicit’ theory ‘a theory is a set of statements that organizes, predicts and explains observations; it tells you how phenomena relate to each other, and what you can expect under still unknown conditions’ Bem, S and Looren de Jong, H (1997) Theoretical issues in Psychology, Sage publications: London. p. 15 How does Theory help in developing and delivering interventions? • Identify targets (e.g., cognitive or social determinants of behaviour) • Suggest behaviour change techniques • Suggest sequences or combinations of techniques and determinants • Allows for tailoring of interventions (e.g., stage theories such as the ‘TTM’ /’stages of change model’ Evidence very weak! • Provides a ‘cover story’ for intervention content Choosing a theoretical approach (too) many theories of behaviour • 33 theories and 128 constructs generated • In four overlapping areas: – motivation – action – organisation – behaviour change • Simplified into 11 domains of theoretical constructs • Interview questions associated with each domain Michie, S., Johnston, M., Abraham, C., Lawton, R., Parker, D. and Walker, A. (2005) Making psychological theory useful for implementing evidence based practice: a consensus approach, Quality and Safety in Health Care, 14, 26-33. Simplifying theory: domains of behavioural determinants 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. Knowledge Skills Role and identity •Self-efficacy Beliefs about capabilities •Control – of behaviour, and material and social Beliefs about consequences environment Motivation and goals •Perceived competence Memory, attention and decision processes•Self-confidence •Empowerment Environmental context and resources •Self-esteem Social influences •Perceived behavioural Emotion control •Optimism/pessimism Plans Michie, S., Johnston, M., Abraham, C, Parker, Lawton, R, Walker, A (2005) Making psychological theory useful for implementing evidence based practice: a consensus approach. Quality in Health Care, 14, 26-33. Progress in theorising: the decline of landmark theories • Popular landmark theories such as the Transtheoretical Model and the Theory of Planned Behaviour have passed their prime. • They conflict with experimental evidence and showed limited utility for research and practice • Development of more comprehensive theories with better evidence fit is ongoing West, R. (2005). Time for a change: Putting the Transtheoretical (Stages of Change) Model to rest. Addiction 100 (8), 1036-1039. Sniehotta, FF, Presseau, J & Araujo-Soares, V (2014-March). Time to retire the Theory of Planned Behaviour. Health Psychology Review. Identifying the evidence base: My involvement in Systematic Reviews Identifying the evidence base: Problems with systematic reviews of behaviour change interventions • Interventions are often poorly reported in terms of content, delivery, theory and fidelity. • Often considerable risk of bias within and across trials • Limited evidence about sustainability of effects • It is surprising how little we know about how best to change people’s health behaviour. Are theory based interventions more effective? • In depth analysis of studies included in two systematic reviews of physical activity and healthy eating interventions (k 190). • Interventions based on Social Cognitive Theory or the ‘Transtheoretical’ Model were no more effective than interventions not explicitly based on theory • Implementation of theory variable and overall poor Prestwich, A., Sniehotta, F. F., Whittington, C., Dombrowski, S. U., Rogers, L., & Michie, S. (2013, June 3). Does Theory Influence the Effectiveness of Health Behavior Interventions? Meta-Analysis. Health Psychology. Biomedicine vs behavioural science … Example of smoking cessation effectiveness Behavioural counselling Varenicline JAMA, 2006 • Intervention content • Mechanism of action Cochrane, 2005 • Intervention content • – Activity at a subtype of the nicotinic receptor where its binding produces agonistic activity, while simultaneously preventing binding to a4b2 receptors – Review smoking history & motivation to quit – Help identify high risk situations – Generate problem-solving strategies – Non-specific support & encouragement Mechanism of action – None mentioned Behaviour change techniques: reliable taxonomy to change physical activity and healthy eating behaviours Involves detailed planning of what the person will do including, at least, a very specific definition of the behaviour e.g., frequency (such as how many times a day/week), intensity (e.g., speed) or duration (e.g., for how long for). In addition, at least one of the following contexts i.e., where, when, how or with whom must be specified. This could include identification of sub-goals or preparatory behaviours and/or specific contexts in which the behaviour will be performed. 1. General information 2. Information on consequences 3. Information about approval 4. Prompt intention formation 5. Specific goal setting 6. Graded tasks 7. Barrier identification 8. Behavioral contract 9. Review goals 10. Provide instruction 11. Model/ demonstrate 12. Prompt practice 13. Prompt monitoring 14. Provide feedback 15. General encouragement 16. Contingent rewards 17. Teach to use cues 18. Follow up prompts 19. Social comparison 20. Social support/ change 21. Role model 22. Prompt self talk 23. Relapse prevention 24. Stress management The person is asked to keep a 25. Motivational interviewing record of specified behaviour/s. 26. ThisTime could management e.g. take the form of a diary or completing a questionnaire about their behaviour. Identifying Effective Change Techniques in Interventions Designed to Promote Physical Activity and Healthy Eating • Systematic review and meta-analysis • 84 interventions • average of 6 techniques • small effect d = 0.37 (95% CI 0.29 to 0.54, N = 28,838) • self-monitoring – associated with effectiveness (14.6% variance explained). – Interventions including this technique had a medium effect size of d = 0.57. – Interventions combining self-monitoring with at least one other technique derived from control theory were more than twice as effective as the other interventions with d = 0.60 d = 0.26 respectively Michie S, et al (2009) Identifying Effective Techniques in Interventions: A meta-analysis and meta-regression Health Psychology The Behaviour Change Wheel Behaviour source Intervention type Modelling Environmental/ social planning Policy type Michie, van Straalen & West 2010 Physical Reflective Non reflective Social Psychological Physical Evaluating Public Health Interventions – Newly introduced interventions often not evaluated – Ask Fuse – a feature for commissioners and practitioners to collaborate with Fuse, the UK CRC Centre for Translational Research in Public Health – Current work commissioned by the NIHR School of Public Health Research to develop guidelines for the evaluation of local public health interventions Example 1: A&E admission after Stroke • People often delay seeking medical help, typically 3-6h • Pre-hospital delay prevents access to best treatment • Various reasons for delay including clinical, contextual and cognitive Teuschl et al., 2011 Act FAST Campaign • UK national awareness raising campaign • Rolled out in multiple waves: – Feb 2009, Nov 2009, Feb 2010, May 2011, March 2012 • Targeted : – Population: television, press and radio – Health professionals: emails, newsletters, posters and leaflets Act FAST Campaign • FAST = Face, Arms, Speech, Time to call 999 • Developed for rapid ambulance protocol to increase diagnostic accuracy of stroke in paramedical staff (Face, Arms, Speech, Test) • High levels of diagnostic accuracy and good agreement between professionals • Since been adapted as a public awareness instrument in English speaking countries Act FAST Campaign Recognition (Face, Arm, Speech) Response (Time) Call 999 Act FAST Campaign Recognition (Face, Arm, Speech) Response (Time) Call 999 Research Question Can people apply the FAST acronym to recognise and respond to stroke? Study Design 5000 people randomly selected from Electoral Roll from Newcastle upon Tyne and randomised to two groups n=2500 Questionnaire + FAST leaflet n=2500 Questionnaire only Reminder and 2nd pack sent after 2 and 8 weeks Hypotheses Leaflet group will have: 1.Better knowledge what FAST stands for 2.Better recognition of stroke 3.Better response to stroke Results • Familiar with Act FAST 100 90 80 70 60 Leaflet 50 No leaflet 40 30 20 10 0 Leaflet No leaflet The difference in proportions is significant, χ²(1, 1525) = 9.20, p=.001 Results • Knowledge of FAST elements • FAST right: 66.1% vs. 45.3%, t(1613)=9.30, p<.001, d=0.46 100 % correctly naming element 90 80 70 60 Leaflet 50 40 No leaflet 30 20 10 0 F correct A correct S correct T correct Results • Response to stroke scenario 100 All 12 stroke scenarios t(1601)=-1.0, p=.32, d=0.05 90 % correct response 80 70 60 50 Leaflet 40 No leaflet 30 20 10 0 All 12 FAST only Non-FAST FAST scenarios only t(1609)=-1. 05, p=.30, d=0.05 Non-FAST scenarios only t(1608)=-0.63, p=.53, d=0.03 What helps and hinders midwives in engaging with pregnant women about stopping smoking? Smoking at time of delivery, by region from 2004/05 to 2011/12 30% Percentage 25% England North East 20% North West Yorkshire & Humber 15% East Midlands West Midlands 10% East of England 5% London South East Coast 0% South Central South West Year Why? Service concerns Good evidence base NICE guidance – behaviours described for health professionals How to ask a pregnant woman about her smoking behaviour How to refer a pregnant woman to the stop smoking service How to give advice to a pregnant woman about her smoking behaviour How to use a carbon monoxide monitor What & How? Survey based on theoretical domains of behavioural determinants and NICE guidance Participants – all midwives employed by eight acute NHS trusts in North East region Audit of NICE guidance in north east midwifery units Advisory group Workshop Workshop Mean domain scores (n= 364) Mean domain scores (n=364) Extent of agreement Strongly 5 agree 4 3 2 1 Strongly 0 disagree Domain Trust Group Work Trust name: What are we doing well – and should keep doing? 1. 2. 3. 4. How will we do this? 1. 2. 3. 4. What are we going to do? 1. 2. 3. 4. And by when? babyClear systematic approach •Systematic approach to CO monitoring and referral by all midwives at first booking appointment •Standardised referral pathways •“Risk Perception” intervention by midwives at time of scan clinic •Skills training for midwives and NHS SSS staff (advisors and admin teams) •Supply of all key resources •Systematic monitoring and evaluation • Stepped Wedged Design Evaluation ongoing funded by the NIHR School of Public Health Research Concluding remarks • Let’s work together to improve public health by changing behaviour • We need sustainable collaboration between Public Health and academic partners • Joint agenda setting • Co-production of knowledge fit for implementation • Funding • Creating pathways to impact Healthy People Acknowledgements falko.sniehotta@ncl.ac.uk The work was undertaken by Fuse, a UKCRC Public Health Research: Centre of Excellence. Funding from the British Heart Foundation, Cancer Research UK, Economic and Social Research council, Medical Research Council, and the National Institute for Health Research, under the auspices of the UK Clinical Research Collaboration, is greatly acknowledged. Opinions expressed in this presentation do not necessarily represent those of the funders. Spare slides Buildings blocks of behaviour change • Self-monitoring • Awareness of standards • Means and skills Planning • Action Planning • Coping Planning Motivation •Attitudes •Perceived Norms • Self-efficacy •Emotion Knowledge & Skills Environment & Social influence Increased likelihood of behaviour change Self-regulation Buildings blocks of behaviour change • Self-monitoring • Awareness of standards • Means and skills Planning • Action Planning • Coping Planning Motivation •Attitudes •Perceived Norms • Self-efficacy •Emotion Knowledge & Skills Environment & Social influence Increased likelihood of behaviour change Self-regulation Buildings blocks of behaviour change Implemental phase • Self-monitoring • Awareness of standards • Means and skills Planning • Action Planning • Coping Planning Decisional phase Motivation •Attitudes •Perceived Norms • Self-efficacy •Emotion Knowledge & Skills Environment & Social influence Increased likelihood of behaviour change Self-regulation Buildings blocks of behaviour change Implemental phase • Self-monitoring • Awareness of standards • Having means and skills How can I change? Planning • Action Planning • Coping Planning Decisional phase Motivation •Attitudes •Perceived Norms • Self-efficacy •Emotion Knowledge & Skills Environment & Social influence Would I like to change? Increased likelihood of behaviour change Self-regulation Intervention types Education Imparting knowledge e.g. on health risks Persuasion Incentivisation Using communication to induce belief or knowledge Creating expectation of reward Coercion Creating expectation of punishment or cost Training Imparting skills Restriction Reducing availability Environmental restructuring Modelling Changing the physical context Enablement/ resources Increasing means/reducing barriers Providing an example for people to aspire to Policy types Communication/ marketing Guidelines Fiscal Regulation Using print, electronic, telephonic or broadcast media Creating documents that recommend or mandate practice Using the tax system Legislation Establishing rules or principles of behaviour or practice Making or changing laws Environmental/ social planning Service provision Designing and/or controlling the physical or social environment Delivering a service Persuasive communications and targeted cognitions: UK safer sex leaflets 1. disease severity 2. knowledge/info 3. susceptibility 4. self-efficacy 5. others’ attitudes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 6. attitudes to behaviour 7. intention to change Impact on behaviour (correlation) Average number of messages in UK health leaflets Krahé, B., Dominic, R., & Fritsche, I. (2002). Does research into the social cognitive antecedents of action contribute to health ontent analysis of safer-sex promotion leaflets. British Journal of Health Psychology, 7, 227-246. Motivation theories explain why people want to do things • Theory of Planned Behaviour • Theory of Reasoned Action • Protection Motivation Theory • Health Belief Model) • Social Cognitive Theory • Locus of control theories • Social Learning Theory • Social Comparison Theory • Cognitive Adaptation Theory • Social Identity Theory • Elaboration Likelihood Model • Goal Theories • Intrinsic Motivation Theories • Self-determination theory • Attribution Theory • Decision making theories eg. social judgment theory, “fast and frugal” model, systematic vs. heuristic decision making • Fear arousal theory Action theories explain why people do things • • • • • • • • • • • Learning theory Operant theory Modelling Self-regulation theory Implementation theory/automotive model Goal theory Volitional control theory Social cognitive theory Cognitive Behaviour therapy Transtheoretical model Social identity theory Organisation theories explain how groups and organisations influence what people feel and do • • • • • • • • Effort-reward imbalance Demand-control model Diffusion theory Group theory eg. group minority theory Decision making theory Goal theory Social influence Person situation contingency models