Risk Communication
Vincent T. Covello, Ph.D.
Director
Center for Risk Communication/
Consortium for Risk and Crisis Communication
29 Washington Square West, Suite 2A
New York, New York 10011
Tel.: 646-654-1679; Fax.: 212-749-3590 email: vincentcovello@ix.netcom.com
web site: www.centerforriskcommunication.org
Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication:
Three Case Studies
• NYC – 9/11
• CDC (Centers for Disease
Control) – Smallpox and Bioterrorism
• WHO -- SARS
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication – Definition
“A Science-based Approach for
Communicating Effectively in:
High-Concern
High Stress
Emotionally Charged, or
Controversial Situations”
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication:
Key Messages
• Risk communication is a science based discipline
• High stress, high concern situations change the rules of communication
• The key to success is anticipation, preparation and coordination
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication Science
• 8000 Articles in Peer Reviewed
Scientific Journals
• 2000 Books
• Reviews of the Literature by Major
Scientific Organizations (e.g., US
National Academy of Sciences; Royal
Society of Great Britain)
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Center for Risk Communication
2001
“...the major public health challenges since 9/11 were not just clinical, epidemiological, technical, issues.
The major challenges were communication. In fact, as we move into the 21st century, communication may well become the central science of public health practice.” (December,
2001) Edward Baker, MD, MPH,
Center for Risk Communication
“Emergency Risk
Communication CDCynergy:
A Guide to Emergency Risk
Communication Planning”
CD ROM
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication
• Don’ts (Research Based on Non-
Research Based)
• Do’s (Research Based and Non-
Research Based)
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication
Examples of Do’s and Don’ts
• Dealing with the Media
• Anticipating Questions
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication
Examples of Do’s and Don’ts
• Dealing with the Media
Dress Codes
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication
Examples of Do’s and Don’ts
• Anticipating Questions
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Center for Risk Communication
Message Develpment
95% Rule
“95% of all questions and concerns that will be raised by any stakeholder in any controversy can be anticipated and predicted in advance.”
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Implications?
Identifying Stakeholders and
Their Specific Concerns
• Historical Record (e.g., meeting documents; media reports; logs)
–Specific
–Related
–General
• Subject-matter experts
• Role Playing Copyright, Dr. V Covello,
Center for Risk Communication
Sources of Concerns and
Questions
Lower Perceived Risk Higher Perceived Risk
1. Trustworthy sources Untrustworthy sources
2. Substantial benefits Few benefits
3. Voluntary
4. Controllable
5. Fair/equitable
Involuntary
Not controllable
Unfair/inequitable
6. Natural origin
7. Familiar
8. Not dreaded
9. Certain
Human origin (man made)
Unfamiliar/exotic
Dreaded
Uncertain
10. Children not as victims
Children as victims
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication Templates
1) AGL-4 (clear messages)
2) 27/9/3 (concise messages)
3)
4) …
5) …
6) …
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Center for Risk Communication
AGL-4 Template
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Center for Risk Communication
AGL-4 Template (Message Clarity
Rule)
Average Grade Level Minus 4
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Center for Risk Communication
27/9/3 Template
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Center for Risk Communication
27/9/3 Template
• 27 words
• 9 seconds
• 3 messages
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication Templates
1) AGL-4 (clear messages)
2) 27/9/3 (concise messages)
3) Message Maps
4) …
5) …
6) …
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Center for Risk Communication
Message Maps (Tiered
Layers of Triplet
Messages)
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Center for Risk Communication
Key Word Message Map 1
Key Message/Fact
1.
(9 Words Avg.)
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 1.1
Message Map
Stakeholder:
Question/Concern:
Key Message/Fact
2.
(9 Word Avg.)
Key Message/Fact
3.
(9 Word Avg.)
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 2.1
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 3.1
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 1.2
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 2.2
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 3.2
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 1.3
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 2.3
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Center for Risk Communication
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 3.3
Key Word Message Map 1
Key Message/Fact
1.
I came
Message Map
Stakeholder:
Question/Concern
Key Message/Fact
2.
I saw
Key Message/Fact
3.
I conquered
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 1.1
Long journey
The journey was long and hard.
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 1.2
Heavy
Losses
We suffered heavy losses along the way.
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 1.3
Arrived safely
Despite the difficulties, we arrived safely.
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 2.1
Large armies
The enemy armies were large.
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 2.2
Well armed
They were well
Armed and equipped.
Keywords:
Supporting They were well
Fact 2.3
Well positioned.
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Center for Risk Communication
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 3.1
Engage
We engaged them immediately
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 3.2
Fought bravely
Our legions fought bravely
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 3
Defeated enemy
The enemy is
(totally) defeated.
Overarching Message Map (O Map)
• Addresses:
– What should people know about “x”
– What you want them to know about
“x” regardless of questions asked
– What you would put in your opening statement about “x”
• Be sure it gets delivered
– “Bridge” to it if necessary: e.g., “I want to remind you again…”
Center for Risk Communication
Message Maps
• O Map (Overarching, Core, Key
Messages)
• I Maps (Informational Maps)
• C Maps (Challenging Question Maps)
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Center for Risk Communication
Message Maps
• O Map (Overarching, Core, Key
Messages)
• Informational Maps
• Challenging Question Maps
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Center for Risk Communication
Key Word Message Map 1
Key Words
“Remove
Standing Water”
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 1.1
West Nile
Virus Map
Key Words
“Wear Protective
Clothing”
Key Words
“Use Repellent
With DEET”
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 2.1
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 3.1
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 1.2
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 2.2
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 3.2
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 1.3
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 2.3
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Center for Risk Communication
Keywords:
Supporting
Fact 3.3
Message Maps: Uses
• Information Forums
• Fact Sheets
• Press Releases
• Video Scripts
• Scripts for Hot Lines
• Web sites
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Center for Risk Communication
From: Risk Communication PowerPoint Slides, Vincent T. Covello, Ph.D., Director,
Center for Risk Communication/Consortium for Risk and Crisis Communication
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Center for Risk Communication
Means
The larger and more diverse the audience, the less effective the communication.
Implications?
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication Templates
1) AGL-4 (clear messages)
2) 27/9/3 (concise messages)
3) Message Maps
4) IDK
5) …
6) …
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication Templates
1) AGL-4 (clear messages)
2) 27/9/3 (concise messages)
3) Message Maps
4) IDK
5) …
6) …
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Center for Risk Communication
I.D.K. (I Don’t Know) Template:
Short Form
Say You Don’t Know/Can’t
Answer/ Wish You Could Answer *
Give the Reason Why You Don’t
Know or Can’t Answer*
Indicate Follow Up with Deadline*
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Center for Risk Communication
I.D.K. (I Don’t Know) Template
Acknowledge/Repeat the Question
Say You Don’t Know/Can’t
Answer/Wish You Could Answer*
Give the Reason(s) Why You Don’t
Know or Can’t Answer*
Indicate Follow Up with Deadline*
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Bridge to What You Can Say
I.D.K. (I Don’t Know) Template:
Uses
You are not prepared to answer
You are not the expert
You are not the responsible party
You don’t have information or data
(e.g., it is being investigated)
You are limited in what can say (e.g.,
Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication
• Message
• Messenger
• Means/Media
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Center for Risk Communication
Messenger
• People judge the messenger before the message
• People judge the messenger primarily in terms of trust
• Information about trust comes from non-verbal communication, verbal communication, and actions
Center for Risk Communication
Trust Factors
In High Concern Situations
Listening/Caring/
Empathy
50%
Assessed in first
30 seconds
Competence/
Expertise
15-20%
Dedication/
Commitment
Honesty/
15-20%
Openness
15-20%
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication Templates
1) AGL-4 (clear messages)
2) 27/9/3 (concise messages)
3) Message Maps
4) IDK
5) CCO
6) …
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Center for Risk Communication
CCO Template (Churchill)
• Compassion
• Conviction
• Optimism
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication Templates
1) AGL-4 (clear messages)
2) 27/9/3 (concise messages)
3) Message Maps
4) IDK
5) CCO
6) 1N = 3P
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Center for Risk Communication
1 N = 3P Template
One negative equals a minimum of three positives
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication Templates
7) Credibility Transference
8) …
9) …
10) …
11)
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Center for Risk Communication
CREDIBILITY TRANSFERENCE
“A lower credible source takes on the credibility of the highest credible source that agrees with its position on an issue.”
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Center for Risk Communication
CREDIBILITY REVERSAL
“When a lower source attacks the credibility of a higher source, the lower source loses further credibility.
The only information source that can effectively attack the credibility of another source is one
Center for Risk Communication
Credibility Transference
• Trusted Intermediates
• Trusted Authorities
• Trusted Sources
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Center for Risk Communication
• High
HSE Credibility Ladder
– Health Professionals (e.g., Nurses, Physicians,
Pharmacists)
– Safety Professionals (e.g., Fire, Police,
Paramedics)
– University Scientists
• Medium
– Media
– Activist Groups
• Low
– Industry
– Federal Government (in General)
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Trust
Non-Verbal Communication
• 75% Rule
• Negative Dominance
• Cultural Meaning
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication-
Non-Verbal Communication
• Eyes
• Hands
• Posture
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication-
Non-Verbal Communication
• Eyes
-- Eye contact
• Hands
-- Visible; waist level; small movements
• Posture
-- Slight lean forward; relaxed;
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Additional Templates
• Guarantee Template
• Interrogation Template
• False Allegation Template
• Worst Case Template
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Center for Risk Communication
GUARANTEE TEMPLATE
Main Point :
Bridge to known facts, processes procedures or actions “Here’s what I can guarantee (assure; promise…)”
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Center for Risk Communication
GUARANTEE TEMPLATE
•
•
•
•
Additional Points :
Indicate that the best way to talk about the future is to talk about the past / present…
Focus on processes rather than results or outcomes
Avoid saying “there are no guarantees”
Avoid saying that you can guarantee
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Guarantee Template
Short Form
“What I can [guarantee; assure; tell; promise] you is…”
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Center for Risk Communication
Guarantee Template
Long Form
“You’ve asked me about the future.”
“The best way I can talk about the future is to talk about the past and present.”
“What the past and present tell us
Center for Risk Communication
Additional Templates
• Guarantee Template
• Interrogation Template
• False Allegation Template
• Worst Case Template
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Center for Risk Communication
Interrogation Template
• Offer your 27/9/3 response
• Say “Let me repeat..”
• Say “I believe I have answered that question.”
• Bridge to another topic or ask if there are more questions
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Center for Risk Communication
Additional Templates
• Guarantee Template
• Interrogation Template
• False Allegation Template
• Worst Case Template
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Center for Risk Communication
False Allegation Template
Main Points:
• Don’t repeat the allegation
• Do use only the opposite of the false allegation, accusation, or criticism, or negative in your response
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Center for Risk Communication
Allegation
• Liar
• Baby killer
• Negligent
• Greedy
• Con Man
• Snake oil salesman
False Allegations
Opposite
• …
• …
• …
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Center for Risk Communication
False Allegation Template
Indicate what the question is about, using the opposite of the false allegation, accusation, or criticism
Indicate that the “opposite” of the allegation is important to you
Bridge to three facts that indicate what you have, are, or will do to maximize/achieve the opposite of
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Additional Templates
• Guarantee Template
• Interrogation Template
• False Allegation Template
• Worst Case Template
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Center for Risk Communication
Worst Case Template
Indicate that the question is a “What if” question.
Focus your response on “What is”
Bridge to three facts that respond to the concern, e.g.,
(1) emergency response plans;
(2) containment; (3) prevention.
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Center for Risk Communication
Risk Communication:
Key Messages
• Risk communication is a science based discipline
• High stress, high concern situations change the rules of communication
• The key to success is preparedness
Copyright, Dr. V Covello,
Center for Risk Communication