INTERNATIONAL COMPETITION FOR TALENTS The 2013 International Metropolis Conference Tampere, Finland, 9 September 2013 Jean-Christophe Dumont Head of International Migration Division Directorate for Employment Labour and Social Affairs OECD Recent trends in high-skilled migration to OECD countries The increasing role of Asia and foreign students Inflows stabilize at relatively high levels Inflows to OECD countries by destination (base 2000 = 100) Source: OECD International Migration Database Today’s immigrants are more educated than those who came in the past Percentage of high-educated among the foreign-born population,2000 and 2010 Source: OECD International Migration Outlook (2012) New immigrants fuel the growth of the highly educated labour force Changes in tertiary educated labour force, 2000-10 by source, Thousands Source: OECD International Migration Outlook (2012) Between 2000 and 2010, immigrants represented 21/14/31% of the increase in the tertiary educated labour force in the US, European OECD countries and Canada. Migrants from Asia make a large share of skilled labour migration Share of skilled migrants in selected OECD countries, by permit programme, 2010-12, by nationality Source: OECD (2012), “The Changing Role of Asia in International Migration”, International Migration Outlook, except Germany (2011) and Denmark and Norway, pooled 2011-2012. DNK Asia includes only Bangladesh and Pakistan. NLD: Other Asia is Japan only. Sweden is based on ISCO classification 1-2. Norway is geographical Asia, other countries exclude Southwest and Central Asia. 6 In 2010/11, more than 10 million tertiary educated migrants in the OECD are originating from Asia Immigrant stocks from selected Asian countries in AUS, FRA, UK and US, 2000-10 India Philippines China Preliminary data from DIOC 2010/11 (Database on Immigrants in OECD and non-OECD countries) show that, one in two recent tertiary educated migrants is originating from Asia More and more students choose to study abroad … • Foreign students in the world and in the OECD area (millions) 2000 Source: OECD International Migration Outlook (2013) 2010 … and transition to work permits has been eased in most countries Maximum duration of job-search for post graduates schemes in selected OECD countries, in months (2012) Source: OECD International Migration Outlook (2013) Outside of Europe, a large share of international students are from Asia International students from Asia (including Japan and Korea) in OECD countries, 2009, thousands and percentage change from enrolment in 2004 Source: OECD International Migration Outlook (2012) Policy framework for high-skilled labour migration Are models converging ? Many policy initiatives to foster highly skilled migration despite slack labour markets • Major recent reforms of the labour migration system in selected OECD countries Sweden (2008) : pure demand driven labour migration system Australia (2012) : skills select EU (2009) : implementation of the blue card Directive Germany (2013) United States (?) • Countries with a supply driven component AUS, AUT, CAN, NLD, DNK and NZL [until recently NOR and the UK] • Countries using a point system to select skills in a demand driven system AUT, CZE, JPN and the UK [possibly the US] • Other policy changes International students (All), Investors (AUS, CAN, IRL etc.), temporary workers (CAN, AUS) Paradoxes and future challenges in the global competition for talents The integration paradox More and more high-educated migrants Large under-use of migrants’ skill Difference in employment rate of foreign- and native-born populations by educational level, 2009-10, 15-64 (excluding persons still in education) RFQ may pay off but few migrants get it Overqualification of migrants aged 15+ in OECD countries, by origin countries’ income group, 2000 and 2005/06 Source: Dumont JC. And S. Widmaier (2011) , OECD SEM Working Paper 126 Source : OECD (2012), Settling In: OECD Indicators of Immigrant Integration 2012 The labour market paradox Policy focus on the best and the brightest Most skill needs are observed at intermediate level Percentages of German employers who reported unfilled vacancies at the respective skill level, out of all employers with unfilled vacancies, by company size and skill level, 2011 Source: OECD (2013), Recruiting immigrants. Germany The migration policy paradox Countries are competing for talents Distribution of skill levels by reason for migrating, recent non-EU migrants, Southern Europe and Northern and Western Europe, 2008. Benchmarking convergence of migration policies Less impact more role for employers Still few of them try to recruit directly abroad In practice, employers hire migrants who are already in the country. Future challenges Respond to skill needs Attract and retain foreign students Compete with a larger pool of potential destination countries Promote skill dev. and utilisation of existing skills vs. ease international recruitment Courses in international vs. national languages Selection vs. attractiveness (e.g. time/cost, visa facilitation, RFQ, spouses) Adopt a workable selection criteria for skills which corresponds to the “real needs” Facilitate work during studies and transition vs. integrity of the system Increase policy focus on harnessing the skills of the Diaspora Tuition fees International mobility of skills vs. brain drain Ensure equal access for SMEs to foreign skilled labour 18/11 Thank you for your attention For further information: www.oecd.org/migration jean-christophe.dumont@oecd.org