School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Supply of geoscientists to the oil & gas industry from UK HE sector Roger Clark MSc Exploration Geophysics Programme Manager With contributions from Phil Murphy Schools & Colleges Liason: Geology & Geophysics Admissions Tutor School Earth and Environment Viewsofexpressed herein are FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT those of the lead author alone and not necessarily those of the author’s affiliation & institute jobs in oil & gas industry? HE - MSc level? HE - BSc level? Schools and supply to HE? Seismic line being shot across the (former) Selby coalfield and gypsum deposits for Leeds’ MSc Exploration Geophysics 2010-11 class School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision School provision? Geoscience incl. hydrocarbons, resource exploration remains in science syllabus to GCSE, and some A-Level and IB options - c. 5% of curriculum . BSc to MSc GCSE & A-Level geology still extant: buoyant where taught but localised e.g FE colleges: A-Level up to 50% of BSc intake BSc provision Schools Standard of teaching vastly improved by ESTU Keele (UKOOA-funded) School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision BSc to MSc BSc provision Schools School provision? cryosphere, climate change, environment impact too (e.g. Exxon Valdez case study) now: oil & gas sector seen as harmful and a twilight industry … ‘geoscience’ not understood - geology & . geophysics is (it’s on TV), but perceived as low pay relative to medicine/business. .recruitment experience is ‘earthquakes & volcanoes’ remains driver for BSc choice: options ‘fixed in’ by time of GCSE options School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision School provision? Feedback: workload in making university choice and ‘information mining’ is already resented by some . BSc to MSc Gap year as a positive choice has gone: looking to universities to provide that range of experience BSc provision .209,000 spill-over from 2010 entry Schools http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-11765127 School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision BSc provision? Overall, geoscience BScs currently moderately buoyant: none shutting (but none starting) .UK BSc to MSc BSc provision Schools intake to geophysics still fragile and erratic: ‘mathematics vs. media studies’ effect remains. International intake still keeps some courses viable . Applications up around 30% for 2011 in common with widespread recession- and fee-driven dash for places School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc BSc provision? 45% having to work in vacation or termtime of final year MSc provision . 30% having to work in vacation and termtime of final year BSc to MSc BSc provision Schools .65% give reason for working as “finding essential funding” http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-11515828 (but my emphases) Exit debt typically £15-20k School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc BSc provision - funding? • sector-average 1/3 research funding MSc provision each. base-level “QR” QR govt.higher funding • research, BSc to MSc in Russell Group teaching income • teaching higher in BSc provision Schools 1994 Group School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc BSc provision - funding? research funding MSc provision no NERC (govt.) contribution to oil & gas geoscience topics? base-level “QR” govt. funding unchanged in STEM subjects BSc to MSc teaching income BSc provision Schools DON’T KNOW! School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc BSc provision - funding? Sector-average cost ≈£7k pa per student, higher in (geo)sciences MSc provision currently government student BSc to MSc ≈£3k from student ≈£4k from HEFCE, capped via recruitment quota 2012 entry onward student BSc provision Schools gov’t ≈£6-9k from student HEFCE cut by £2.9billion: consequent allocation and policy still unknown School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc BSc provision - funding? Sector-average cost ≈£7k pa per This is the much publicised “40% cut” student, higher in (geo)sciences MSc provision “the UK will drop spendingcurrently in HE from 1% to 0.7% of GDP the only nation in the developed world to cut. The US has increased it from 2% to 3% ….” government student BSc to MSc ≈£4k from HEFCE, capped ≈£3k from see also via recruitment quota studenthttp://www.economist.com/node/17420066?story_id=17420066 2012 entry onward They even cut the “F” from the name student BSc provision Schools gov’t ≈£6-9k from student HEFCE cut by £2.9billion: consequent allocation and policy still unknown School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc BSc provision - funding? http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-11686883 MSc provision BSc to MSc BSc provision Schools “Browne review made it quite clear that it would take a fee of at least £7,000 for universities just to "maintain investment at current levels", assuming that government funding would be cut…. Spending Review … effectively remov(ed) funding for teaching in most subjects” School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision BSc to MSc BSc provision BSc provision - the future? Universities have a ‘blank page’ to redesign BScs • More, fewer, or even NO, BSc-level students? • Significant shift upward in minimum entrance criteria? • Radical changes to UK/EU-to-international balance? • “general focus on skills, employability, and student experience metrics” Schools • Abandon state involvement - “go private”? School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc BSc provision - the future? http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-11785053 MSc provision Questions tabled by opposition • details of access agreements, (to) which universities will have to commit … if they are to charge the highest level of … fees • What is meant … only charge £9,000 in "exceptional circumstances" BSc to MSc • provision … to help equip and recruit students from poorer backgrounds • Whether … the government plans to limit student numbers BSc provision Schools • plans to allow private institutions to offer degrees • plans for a National Scholarship Scheme • The estimated cost to the taxpayer of its plans, given that independent analysts have said the government has been overoptimistic in its assumption School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc BSc provision - the future? MSc provision BSc to MSc BSc provision Schools Support for living costs to be cut also School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc A large pile of … manure jobs MSc provision BSc to MSc BSc provision Schools MSc., PhD 3- and 4- year undergraduate degrees How deep in the …. might we be!? & what’s needed to dig us out!? School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision BSc provision - the future? http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-11483638 Consequent debt on 3-year degree? “At £6000 … approximately £30,000 BSc to MSc BSc provision Schools At £9000 … approximately £38,000” Repayment at 0-3% interest, starting at £18,500pa School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision beyond BSc - where most of you recruit from? Sliding scales mean most graduate employees in oil & gas sector will be repaying in full at highest interest rates Data from http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-11483638, RAC’s own inference BSc to MSc 4-year degrees increase projected debt further, potential huge impact on progression to PhD and first-degree-entry jobs in e.g contractors BSc provision Schools No position in Browne or CSR on Master’s funding (news at Christmas?) School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision? MSc provision Overall moderately buoyant: none now shutting, some (re)started where staffing allows (remain very staff-intensive), demand exceeds supply BSc to MSc c.400 places overall (inc. Pet.Eng.), c.250 in geology & geophysics (c.50% international) BSc provision Schools UK intake to geophysics fragile: lack of numerate geologists, recruit from outside geoscience. OS intake keeps most courses viable School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision? UK/EU fee structure? MSc provision BSc to MSc BSc provision Schools currently ≈£3k from Top-up fee set ≈£4k minimum, amount set by HEFCE, no cap by course & institution: varies HEFCE, paid via recruitment quota between £0-4K by NERC or student across geoscience MScs Fee ‘seen’ by student or sponsor £4-8k School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision BSc to MSc BSc provision Schools MSc provision? Geophysics: Leeds ongoing & growing, IC restarted & back to ‘full strength’, small course started at Edinburgh > about 80 Figures necessarily 80 approximate - vary year-to-year, course to20 course … 2005balance 2010 Equal between NERCindustry-self across whole geoscience sector? 10% NERC 30% industry 10% self-funding 50% overseas (self or institutional funded) School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision BSc to MSc future MSc provision? NERC: 10-15% real-term cut over 5 years. Likely to drop all Master’s funding from 2011 despite small % of its expenditure & disproportionately high return to UKplc All this cohort will have large debts at entry: may be prohibitive for self-funding 10% NERC 30% industry 10% self-funding BSc provision Schools New government rules on visas already having effect: unclear if it will improve, likely to worsen 50% overseas (self or institutional funded) School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc future MSc provision? Universities have ‘blank page’ to reconsider priorities: may retract from such staff-intensive programmes unless they were economic: fees could go up or down MSc provision BSc to MSc “UCAS” for Master’s (“PTES”) to show great detail about student experience 10% NERC 30% industry 10% self-funding BSc provision Schools Additional take-up from industry? Even in O&G sector many employers are SMEs 50% overseas (self or institutional funded) School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc future MSc provision? Creative thinking by Masters providers …. MSc provision • more bursaries … • individual and consortium support … BSc to MSc • integrate MSc modules with commercial CPD … • pre-session summer school with credit value … BSc provision Schools • restructured timetables to accommodate parttime … • international recruitment and ‘moving the brand’ overseas … School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc future MSc provision? Industry must act NOW to lobby government re. NERC, fee structure, visas….. universities have and MSc provision are (e.g. via CBI) but more is needed Broader industry involvement in Masters BSc to MSc BSc provision Schools • advisory panels … • individual and generic consortium support … • integrate MSc in new-hire training … • MSc level Foundation Degree & apprenticeships … • pre-MSc internships … • funded summer project placements … School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc MSc provision BSc to MSc Into jobs? • Recruitment - earlier (by c.3-4 months), impacting on teaching • Visa quotas for hire of non UK/EU: credibility of UK MScs for (necessary) OS intake BSc provision • Assistance with accrued debt? Schools School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Onwards from MSc The forestry helmet I shouldinhave beenprovision … So hopefully, we won’t step backwards teaching wearing …ooops MSc provision BSc to MSc BSc provision Schools QuickTime™ and a H.264 decompressor are needed to see this picture. Views expressed herein are those of the lead author alone and not necessarily those of the author’s School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT affiliation & institute summary? Schools: NOW geoscience-aware but potentially oil-industry-hostile? BSc: IN 2015 possibly better-qualified, probably ample numbers, definitely heavily in debt MSc: NOW funding sources reducing. IN 2016 possibly ample numbers including international cohorts, definitely very heavily in debt - overall very uncertain School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Thanks for listening Any questions? r.clark@see.leeds.ac.uk 0113-343-5221