The Massachusetts Early Education and Care and Out-ofSchool Time Quality Cost Model Presentation to the Massachusetts Department of Early Education and Care January 8, 2013 Andrew Brodsky Anne Mitchell Project Goals Identify child care cost drivers of levels from licensing through QRIS levels Create interactive model to estimate costs of child care quality in MA Estimate cost implications of changing reimbursement rates Identify current and potential financing strategies for child care quality Cost Methodology Baseline cost estimates based on cost of licensing Cost to achieve given distribution of quality based on analysis of costrelated components of QRIS system If data are available, costs determined separately by region Excel Model Features Allows user to change distribution of quality (beginning at licensing) Allows user to adjust supports for high quality child care (such as grants) and view resulting costs Allows user to adjust reimbursement rate structure Excel Model Output Current and projected enrollment by age and setting Additional costs based on changes to enrollment and quality distribution, by setting Additional costs based on changes to reimbursement rates Cost of quality grants to providers Factors Affecting Quality Higher quality ECE costs more than most families can afford Market-based ECE encourages price competition – low tuition fees – and discourages investments in quality Considerations for Estimating Costs Expense drivers: Ratios Group size Staff compensation (salary and benefits) Revenue drivers: Parent tuition fees/other revenue Revenue collection Enrollment efficiency Provider perspective: Iron Triangle Full Enrollment Full Fee Collection Revenues Cover Per-Child Cost Supporting Financial Stability State can… Set family income eligibility high for entry and higher for exit Use contracts more than vouchers Set rate ceilings as high as feasible Providers can… Fill vacancies immediately to keep enrollment as close to 100% as possible Collect all revenue on time Diversify revenue: Participate in CACFP, PreK & other revenue sources Considerations for Estimating Cost: QRIS Requirements in licensing rules QRIS expectations increase by levels Primarily better qualified staff as quality increases (higher compensation) More staff time for assessment, family activities and conferences, curriculum planning, staff meetings One-time costs for equipment Massachusetts Cost of Quality Survey (2012) Used in the model Data confirms BLS wages, cost of training and continuing professional development Data informed non-personnel costs Materials and equipment Child screening and assessment The Massachusetts Early Education and Care and Out-of-School Time Quality Cost Model – Screen Shots Massachusetts QRIS Cost Model CENTERS Items in yellow shaded cells ONLY may be changed to model different scenarios SIZE # Children/Age 7 9 20 20 26 82 TOTAL Children Age Groups # of Classrooms Infants-15 months 1 Toddlers (15-33) 1 Threes 1 Fours 1 Fives & SA 1 5 TOTAL Classrooms Group Size 7 9 20 20 26 Please change only yellow cells Ratios in Just FYI: MA regs NAEYC (max) 1:3 2:8 1:5 2:10 1:10 2:18 1:10 2:20 1:13 INCOME MIX of CHILDREN 70% 185% FPL&above 15% <185% FPL 15% <130% FPL EFFICIENCY QUALITY Enrollment as % of total capacity Bad Debts as % of tuition 85.0% 3.0% Typical 85% 3% By age cohort Across all ages Net Annual P/L with mix of child ages Level 1 Cost per hour Overall Cost/hour Infants $7.26 $3.78 $620,249 Expense Ones $6.40 $721,701 Revenue Twos $5.93 $101,452 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp Threes $3.34 Fours $3.34 Fives $2.88 Level 2 Infants Ones Twos Threes Fours Fives $8.10 $7.13 $6.60 $3.68 $3.68 $3.16 $4.18 Level 3 Infants Ones Twos Threes Fours Fives $9.38 $8.37 $7.73 $4.35 $4.35 $3.64 $4.88 Level 4 Infants Ones Twos Threes Fours Fives $10.02 $9.18 $8.47 $4.77 $4.77 $4.16 $5.35 Net as % Net as $$/child 16.4% $1,237 $685,598 Expense $721,701 Revenue $36,103 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp 5.3% $440 $800,652 Expense $781,303 Revenue ($19,349) Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp -2.4% $236 $877,415 Expense $852,363 Revenue ($25,052) Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp -2.9% $306 Scenario 1: BLUE line on graph Scenario 1. Center: 5 classrooms (infants, toddlers, threes, fours and fives/school-age) Quality Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Net Annual P/L Net as % of Expenses Net as $$/child $620,249 Expense $721,701 Revenue $101,452 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp 16.4% $1,237 $685,598 Expense $721,701 Revenue $36,103 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp 5.3% $440 $800,652 Expense $781,303 Revenue ($19,349) Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp -2.4% $236 $877,415 Expense $852,363 Revenue ($25,052) Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp -2.9% $306 Scenario 2: RED line on graph Scenario 2. 5 classrooms (toddlers, threes, 2 fours and fives/school-age) Net as % of Net as Quality Net Annual P/L Expenses $$/child Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 $639,632 Expense $813,329 Revenue $173,697 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp 27.2% $1,828 $704,981 Expense $813,329 Revenue $108,348 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp 15.4% $1,141 $820,230 Expense $891,989 Revenue $71,758 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp 8.7% $755 $896,993 Expense $973,836 Revenue $76,843 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp 8.6% $809 Scenario 3: GREEN line on graph Scenario 3. Preschool & Fives/SA only (106 children) Quality Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Net Annual P/L Net as % of Expenses Net as $$/child $656,033 Expense $888,706 Revenue $232,673 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp 35.5% $2,195 $721,382 Expense $888,706 Revenue $167,325 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp 23.2% $1,579 $836,796 Expense $985,502 Revenue $148,706 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp 17.8% $1,403 $913,559 Expense $1,076,136 Revenue $162,577 Profit/(Loss) Rev less Exp 17.8% $1,534