Renewable Energy Prof. Peter Seligman, D.Eng Inspired by Sustainable Energy – without the hot air by David MacKay FRS Google: withouthotair Definitions: Renewable: we can continue indefinitely Sustainable: we can do it for a long time but eventually will have to come up with something different. Zero carbon: we may run out in the foreseeable future but it’s still worth doing. How much energy do we use? from ABARES Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics abare-brs.gov.au Primary energy: Domestic: 5.8 exajoules per annum Export: 13.8 exajoules per annum Exajoule = 1018 Joule Our domestic primary energy use: Domestic: 5.8 exajoules per annum = 5.8 x 1018 joules or watt seconds divide by 3.6 x 106 = 1.6 x 1012 kWh/annum divide by number of people: 22 x 106 = 73,200 kWh/annum/person divide by hours in a year: 365 x 24 = 8360 Watts/person Our domestic primary energy use: 8360 Watts/person x by 24/1000 = 200 kWh/person/day UK/Europe = 125 kWh/person/day Primary energy: 8000 watts/person Heating Electricity generation Transport 80% efficient 30% efficient 20% efficient Average efficiency 50% End-use energy: 4000 watts/person Where do we use energy? • Personal – – – – – – – Food Electricity Gas Petrol Flying Stuff we buy House construction • Public – – – – – – – – – – – Factories Offices Shops Hospitals Schools Universities Public transport Sporting facilities Street lighting Cinemas, theatres Construction About a quarter of our energy use is personal: 1000 watt/person Three quarters of our energy use is public: 3000 watt/person Our energy use • Private 1000 watts (ten 100 watt globes) Our energy use • Public 3000 watts (thirty 100 watt globes) Total end-use energy • Per person: 4000 watts (forty 100 watt globes) Distribution of total energy use Elec industrial Elec commercial Elec domestic Elec Misc Fuels other than elec generation Electricity use National average electricity generation 25 GW over 22 million people: 1100 watts/person Distribution of electricity use Elec misc Elec commercial Elec industrial Elec domestic How much power can a 1000 watt photovoltaic system produce? = 160 watts average How much power per person? = 40 watts average (remember we use 4000 watts each) Output of a 1 kW solar panel • 1000 watts nominal peak in bright sunlight • 800 watts under realistic conditions (temperature and inverter efficiency) • 400 watts taking into account night time • 320 watts taking into account sun angle • 160 watts taking into account cloud • 40 watts each for a 4 person family Role of domestic solar PV • Elec. price rises due to distribution, not wholesale price • Increase distribution costs due to aircons • Each $1500 aircon adds $7000 to infrastructure cost • PV can provide power locally when it is most needed (best facing NW at steep angle) We can’t solve a big problem by thinking small Renewable energy system • • • • • • Wind Solar Geothermal Wave Utility scale energy storage High voltage DC (and AC) links How much power from the wind? 5 turbine diameter separation between turbines 2 watt/m2 2 – 3 turbine diameters in non-prevailing wind directions Typically: 4.5 watt/m2 Land is still suitable for farming Wind Power • Turbines now up to 7.5 MW • Technologically mature • Capacity factor 30% • Average output 2.3 MW per turbine Turbine technology • • • • • Enercon E126 turbines 7.5 MW Gearless design 138m hub height 127m blade diameter A question of storage Wind power in South Australia and Victoria From Wind farming in South Australia Large scale solar - California 1984 345 MW peak: 75 MW average http://www.itas.fzk.de/deu/tadn/tadn013/image37.jpg Andasol 1 to 3 Granada Spain 50 MW turbines 20MW average courtesy Ferrostaal AG. Molten salt storage Torresol Gemasolar Molten Salt Solar • solar power at night • “Baseload” “Dispatchable” solar – better than coal Gemasolar in Spain 2011 20MW turbines 12.5MW average Large scale solar courtesy Ferrostaal AG. Liquid salt storage tanks courtesy Ferrostaal AG. How much power from the sun? Solar radiation: 1000 watts/m2 • Taking into account night-time and cloud 160 watts/m2 • Taking into account 15% efficiency 24 watts/m2 • Taking into account shading and access 4.5 – 15 watt/m2 How much of Australia? • 200 km square • 4.5 watt/m2 • 8000 watt/person Geothermal energy from hot dry rocks http://sen.asn.au/renewables/geothermal Geothermal resources in Australia • Hot Dry Rocks • Heat build-up in radioactive granite + residual heat from earth’s core • Typical power flow 50 – 100 millwatts/m2 • Not renewable but usable over 400 years • Could supply about 800 watts per person (end use) Geothermal resources in Australia http://www.ga.gov.au/image_cache/GA10036.pdf How much power from waves? • • • • 2000 km of Australian south coast 100 – 160 kW/linear metre Extraction efficiency: 5 – 10% Could supply about 900 watts per person (end use) Tidal power? • North West Australia 10 metre tides: 150 watts per person (end use) • Port Phillip Bay 10 watts/Melbournian Supply, demand and curtailment From BZE Zero Carbon Australia Stationary Energy Plan Nullarbor pumped seawater electricity storage Bunda cliffs From Google Earth 200 GWh battery Okinawa pumped seawater electricity storage High Voltage DC links • Low loss power transmission over long distances • No current due to line capacitance • No eddy current losses is wires • Lower peak voltage (or higher average voltage) High voltage DC links • 1700 km in the Congo, built 1982 • Longest 2100 km, China • Highest power: 6400 MW, China and India • Basslink: 300km cable, 600 MW http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_HVDC_projects More HVDC details • May use monopole (earth return) • DC is the only practical solution to undersea cables • Power loss: 2% / 1000km, 1.5% in converters http://www.utilities-me.com/article-690-electricity-highway-powers-throughchina/ AC-DC-AC Converter http://www.energy.siemens.com/hq/pool/hq/power-transmission/HVDC/HVDCClassic/TSQ-Valvehall-b.jpg Transformer for High voltage DC power line Courtesy Siemens AG Wiring diagram for Oz An energy strategy for Australia Resource Watts/person Proportion of resource Hydro 73 Existing Geothermal 682 Currently measured resource fully used Wave 18 3% of coastline Solar 909 0.06 % of country Wind 909 0.13% of country compatible with farming Total 2600 (end use UK, Europe) Transport • • • • • • Biofuels from algae? Unwanted CO2 as feedstock for algae. Hydrogen Ammonia – NH3 ?! Electrification of road transport Use of transport batteries for large scale energy storage Efficiency and waste Why do we need to do this? We don’t have a Planet B! (Madeleine Trau – 8 years old) Beyond Zero Emissions ZCA2020 Available online and in print from MEI: www.energy.unimelb.edu.au or… www.beyondzeroemissions.org