全球海準面變遷 --兩萬年來的記錄 黃文樹 Introducation • The importance of sea level change…… • Paleoclimatic, paleoenvironmental change could be recognized by the identification of sea level change. • Hence, it is important to many scientist of varied fields, such as geologist, geomorphologist, geographer, archeologist, oceanographer, paleobiologist… and so on. Mean sea level (MSL) • When periodical and random sea movements are filtered out, a stable sea surface can be obtained. • Altimetric measurements are related to a reference level which corresponds to MSL calculated at a selected tide-gauge station over a specified period. • However, accurate levellings have shown that along the coasts of a continent MSL varies from place to place, and at each place it also varies over time. • As a generalization, if tidal forcing, differences in water density, currents and atmospheric forcing are left aside, MSL can be defined as an equipotential surface of the gravity field. Causes of sea-level change • Climate change: Glacial time and deglacial Causes of sea-level change • Climate change: Glacial time and deglacial Warm climate cold climate Oxygen isotope record for the past 2.6Ma from benthonic foraminifera of ODB core 677 (Shackleton et al., 1990) Causes of sea-level change • Isostatic imbalance Glacio-isostasy Volcano-isostasy Sediment-isostasy Hydro-isostasy Causes of sea-level change Coseismic uplift • Neotectonic deformation Gradual sea-level fall A sea-level flucutation superimposed on a gradual uplifting trend Causes of sea-level change • Compaction of sediments • Human-induced subsidence • Steric changes • Tidal changes Evidence of former sea levels • Biological features, fossils, residuals in littoral (marine) environment. • Erosional features: geomorphologic features. • Depositional features: coral reef, reef plat …and so on. • Sedimentary shores: mangrove, grain-size distribution, beach-rock, peat layers…… • Archaeological and historical sea-level indicators: two main categories—(1)located near shoreline; (2)depending for their use on tidal fluctuations and marine conditions. Dating a sea-level indicator • The predominant dating methods is: Carbon 14. The convention of C14 dating: 1. 2. 3. 4. The 14C activity is defined internationally and is assumed to have always been the same; There has been no inclusion of new 14C in the sample after its death; The 14C half-life used is 5568 years; 14C ages are given in years before present (BP), i.e. before AD 1950 and have to be corrected for isotope fractionation, based on the measure 13C/12C ratio. • Uranium/thorium dating. Sea-level (m) To construct a sea-level curve C14 time The ice age Earth • Glacial-interglacial sequences, constructed by oxygen isotope analyses, show an approx. 100 ka periodicity. • The last interglacial: 140-110 ka BP; (up to 4 oC warmer than the Holocene) • The last glacial period: approx. 18 ka BP The ice age Earth • But, under high-resolution isotopic analysis of icecore: • The duration of these interstadials ranges from about 500 to 2000 years, and their irregular occurrence suggests complexity in the behavior of the North Atlantic Ocean circulation. The sea-level positions during the last ice age • Shackleton and Opdyke (1973) suggested that a change of about 10m in the global sea level corresponded with 0.1 0/00 change in isotope record. • The global sea-level rise since the last glacial maximum can be estimated to be about 130m (Chappell and Shackleton, 1986) • However, inferences to the end of the last glacial was different according to varied investigations. Moreover, the rise volume of sea-level since last glacial was estimated discrepantly. Low sea-level land bridges • Many continental shelf areas which are now submerged were exposed land at the last glacial maximum. Low sea-level land bridges Two migratory waves from Asia to north America: one was at least 25ka ago; one is dated from the early holocene. Geat Britain was indeed connected to the European continent when the channel and the southern part of North Sea were emerged land. A land bridge connected Asia, New Guinea and Australia. Some evidences pointed out two episodes of invasion: the first is more than 50ka ago; the 2nd is about 10 or 20 ka. Low sea-level landscape-oceanic island case Paleoriver valley submerged terrace Emerged land Sea floor paleolagoon Deglacial sea-level changes • The last deglaciation seems to have started earlier in Antarctica (17ka BP) than in Greenland (15 ka BP). o • The coldest periods of the last glacial were probably 21 C colder than at present over the Greenland ice sheet. • Increasing evidence supports the idea that the deglaciation occurred in two steps: a first warming period which peaked at the Bolling (about 13-12 ka BP.); a second warming period after about 10.3 ka BP, separated by a temporary cooling and southward migration of the polar front, very marked in North Atlantic areas. the Younger Dryas • Broecker et al. (1985, 1989)suggested that it may have been caused by a rapid lowering of salinity in the surface water of the whole northern part of the North Atlantic, following a diversion of the Canadian ice-sheet meltwater flow from the Mississippi to the St. Lawrence River. Global isostatic model results • Global isostatic models may predict relative sea-level changes forced by deglaciation. • The models are usually based on the mathematical analysis of the deformation of a viscoelastic Earth produced by surface mass loads. • Isostatic effects of deglaciation have also been modelled on a regional scale: Global isostatic model results Near-field sites (zone I): the dominant contribution to sea-level change comes from ice-load effects, and the characteristic late-glacial and postglacial relative sea-leve curve is one of almost exponential fall up to the present because of rising land Ice-margin sites (zone I-II): the relative sealevel change is characterized by and initially rapid fall during the late-glacial stage, followed by a period of relative stabiligy, then by a rise in level, and finally by a more less uniform sealevel fall to the present position. Intermediatefield sites: the relative sealevel continues to rise even when deglaciation has ceased, though at gradually decreasing rates. Far-field sites: relative sea-level rise only predominates during the deglaciation period. Case: far-field sites from East Asia However, insufficient to provide precise local relative sealevel histories in the east Asia A gradually rising or a fluctuating sea-level • • 1. 2. 3. Major climatic changes which lead to substantial variations in the world balance. A long-debated point is whether minor sealevel fluctuations may also have occurred during the last glacio-eustatic sea-level rise…… In fact, the major problem is related to different scales: Global scale—a eustatic oscillation occurred in the past, it has produced the same sea-level fluctuation everywhere around the world. Regional scale—relative sea-level oscillations may have occurred during the same time interval throughout wide areas. Many factors will effect the regional sea-level. Local scale—possible causes of relative sea-level oscillation are even more numerous. Relative sea-level changes in the late Holocene • Rates of relative sea-level change decelerated considerably during the period from 10 to 6 ka BP. • At about 6 ka BP, most of deglaciation had been completed and most present-day deltas and coral reefs were already in place. • Any relative sea-level change after the period is a consequence of: ice and water loading changes in deglaciaion period; tectonic effects; climate and oceanographic changes. Continuance of isostaty The near-field localities, the ice load effects are predominant! Continuance of isostaty The intermediated-field sites, a gradual rise, at rates varying with the distance from the ice load. Continuance of isostaty The far-field sites, mild-Holocene emergence up to few meters……. Seismo-tectonic displacements Site to site differences in height between late Holocene shorelines cannot always be explained only by glacio and hydroisostatic processes. Present-day seal-level trends • In some regions archaeological and historical data may help to identify the present-day sea-level changes. • But poor supported by reliable sea-level indicators. According to oxygen isotope…… • The present interglacial period may be nearing an end and another cold glacial phase is likely to ensue? BUT, In the future…… • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment (IPCC, 1990): the “best estimate” scenario for 2100: a sea-level rise of 66 cm (high 110 cm to low 31 cm) Thank you for your attention!