Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
Geert BORSTLAP
AMESD – TA
BOTSWANA DEPARTMENT OF
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
OVERVIEW OF SADC THEMATIC ACTION

Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
4.
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6.
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3.
Agenda
Preparation
SADC THEMA Services Overview
Agricultural Service
Drought Service
Fire Service
LRF Support Service

1) Preparation: Definition
SADC-THEMA : “Agricultural and Environmental Resource Management”
REC
 SADC Secretariat
Participating countries
 Angola , Botswana, Lesotho, Malawi, Namibia, South-Africa,
Swaziland, Zambia, Zimbabwe
 Mozambique and Tanzania
Regional Implementation Center
 BDMS (Botswana Department of Meteorological Services)
Partners
 ARC, BCA, CSIR-MERAKA, SAC, SAWS, UB, UZ
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

2) SADC THEMA Services: Overview
SADC Services
Agriculture
Service
Drought
Service
Fire
Service
Long Range Forecast
Capacity Building, User Interaction, Data Access
Ministries of Environment Ministries of Agriculture
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

3) Agricultural Service
SADC Services
Agriculture
Service
Drought
Service
Fire
Service
Long Range Forecast
Capacity Building, User Interaction, Data Access
Ministries of Environment Ministries of Agriculture
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

3) Agriculture Service : Users
Key-Users
 National Level : Ministries of Agriculture (MoA)
 Regional Level : SADC FANR
Secondary Users
 Regional and National Food Security Services
 Farmer Associations
 National Statistic Offices
 Agrometeorological Departments
 Agricultural Research Counsils
 Disaster management Offices
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

3) Agriculture Service : AMESD Work Plan
Principle:
 Improve and expand the current REWS systems from SADC-RRSU
Allow agricultural remote sensing analysts:
 To perform Crop Condition Monitoring
 But also a view to forecasting yield and production scenarios
The Agricultural service
 Assist decision makers in answering the following questions:
 What crops are where?
 What is the crop condition?
 What is the crop stage?
 What is the likely yield?
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

3) Agricultural Service: Products
Products:
 Agriculture Mask, Crop Statistics Map, Crop Specific Maps
 Current Rainfall Map
 Cumulative Rainfall Map
 R ainfall Estimates Compared with average [difference]
 Current Temperature estimate Map
 Vegetation Index Map (+difference)
 C-NDVI graphs for zones of interest
 Dry matter Productivity (+cumulative)
 Current Water Requirements Satisfaction Index (WRSI) Map
 Onset of Rains Maps + anomaly
 Soil Moisture Index Estimates
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

3) Agriculture Service : AMESD Work Plan
Activities:
 Get Products >> Data Exploration
 Analysis >> Drill down in anomalies
 Agricultural Report
 Condition of the crops
 Expactations of the future
Final Result:
 Monthly report with traffic light system
 Decadal updates
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

3) Examples from in-situ data
 Example of Rainfall events in Zimbabwe during 2008-2009
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

 Example of Rainfall Anomaly Map
Rainfall Anomaly Map for the 2008-2009 Season
Main maize areas
FullSADC Map
3) Example of RS data
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

 Example of Cumulative Rainfall Graph
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
3) Examples of graph

3) Examples of anomaly map
 Example of Vegetation index Compared with long-term average
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

4) Drought Service
SADC Services
Agriculture
Service
Drought
Service
Fire
Service
Long Range Forecast
Capacity Building, User Interaction, Data Access
Ministries of Environment Ministries of Agriculture
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

4) Drought Service : Users
Key-Users
 National Level :
 Ministries of Agriculture (MoA)
 Ministries of Environment (MoE)
 Department of Water Affairs, Dept. Forestry and
Rangeland, Department of Tourism and Wildlife, etc)
 Regional Level : SADC FANR
Secondary Users
 District Councils
 Weather Services
 Civil Protection Agencies
 Farming Communities
 Disaster management Offices
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

4) Drought Service : Products
Product Comments
Rain_10 10 day rainfall in mm
NDVI_MSG10 10 daily MSG NDVI composite
PASG
Percentage of Average Seasonal
Greenness
Drought Map Current drought situation
Drought Risk
Map
Drought outlook for coming 3 months
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

 Example of PASG for January – August 2010.
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
4) Example Product

 Example of NDVI Difference map
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
4) Example Product

4) Example Report
Based upon Drought Monitoring System of ARC & BDMS.
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

5) Fire Service
SADC Services
Agriculture
Service
Drought
Service
Fire
Service
Long Range Forecast
Capacity Building, User Interaction, Data Access
Ministries of Environment Ministries of Agriculture
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

5) Fire Service: Users
Key-Users
 National Level : Ministries of Environment
 Regional Level : SADC FANR
Secondary Users
 District Counsils
 Ministries of Transport
 Police and Fire Brigades
 Weather Services (National Televsion)
 Civil Protection Agencies
 Farming Communities
 Disaster Management Offices
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

5) Fire Service: Existing Capacity
AFIS: Advanced Fire Information System (AFIS) of CSIR ( ° 2004)
1.
Fire Danger prediction
2.
Early detection of active fires
3.
Monitoring of existing fires
4.
Burned area assessment
Cell phone alert service
Online mapping tool
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

5) Fire Service : Products
Product Comments
Active-Fires MODIS + MSG Active Fires
FDI Fire Danger Indexes (2x)
MODIS-BAE MODIS Burnt Area Estimates
MODIS-721 MODIS 721 Band Combination
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

5- Examples FDI
Fire Danger Rating Categories:

Blue – Insignificant
Green – Low
Yellow – Moderate
Orange – High
Red – High-Extreme
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

5) Example of use of Fire information
• Active fire detection
• Active fire monitoring
• Fire mapping
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

SADC Services
6) LRF Support Service
Agriculture
Service
Drought
Service
Fire
Service
Long Range Forecast
Capacity Building, User Interaction, Data Access
Ministries of Environment Ministries of Agriculture
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

6) LRF: AMESD Work Plan
Intro
 LRF has become mature
 Not used in agricultural and environmental sector yet
Principle:
 Use existing LRF and integrate into 3 core-services
Dissemination Side:
 Use EUMETCast for distribution
Crop
LRF Drought
Fire
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

6) LRF: Products
• 1, 3 and 6 monthly forecast
• Updated every month
• Products
 Rainfall Forecast
 Maximum Temparature Forecast
 Minimum Temparature Forecast
Example from
SAWS
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

7) Remarks: Data Access
Principle:
 All start with access to data: for Universities, MoA, MoE
Work:
 Rx: Build up Receiving Stations

“AMESD” Receiving Stations (Agriculture)

“AMESD Fire” terminals (Fire)
 PUMA Stations (Meteorological Service, drought)
 Datasets on 1TB Harddisk, delivered by SAC
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

7) Remarks: Data on EUMETCast
Data on EUMETCast:
 Satellite Data (L1 from MSG / METOP and NOAA)
 Atmosphere (CC, Ozone depletion, atmospheric pollution, etc)
 Marine (Sea level, SST, Sea Ice Changes, etc)
 Land (LAI, fCover, SWB, LST, etc for agriculture, forestry, fire, floods)
 Climate (Water Vapour, cloud, etc)
 Software (updates)
 Disaster / Training Channel
Data Navigator:
 www.eumetsat.int
 www.DevCoCast.eu
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011

Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
Thank you.
The END