UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY DEEP WATER HORIZON SITUATION UPDATE 26 MAY 2010 JTF-FL Commander: BG James D. Tyre J3: COL William Beiswenger AS OF 261245RMAY10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY INTELLIGENCE UPDATE MAJ Theo Polet J2 AS OF 261245RMAY10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY DEEP WATER HORIZON J2 - Situation Update 55 miles 290 miles St. Pete Onshore projection 175 miles St. Pete • Last 24 hrs: Threat to NW FL no change. Threat to St. Pete sector no change. Threat to Keys sector no change. Threat to Miami sector no change. • Weather conditions remain favorable to keep oil plume away from the FL coast for the next 72 hrs AS OF 261245RMAY10 Offshore projection Forecasts as of 25 May 10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Estimates for 1200 CDT 26 May 10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY DEEP WATER HORIZON J2 - Situation Update 1 NE sheen projected to break up Oil interaction with Tortugas Eddy Onshore projection 24 HOUR FORECAST 1. Sheen break up allows for greater natural dispersion. 2. Loop Current disruption continues to carry bulk of offshore oil to N / NW. AS OF 261245RMAY10 Offshore projection Forecast as of 25 May 10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Estimates for 1200 CDT 27 May 10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY DEEP WATER HORIZON J2 - Situation Update • Trajectories of observed oil suggest some sheens will continue to be caught up in the counterclockwise eddy. • A smaller portion may move into the Loop Current and persist as widely scattered tarballs. Offshore projection Forecast as of 25 May 10 AS OF 261245RMAY10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Estimate for 1200 CDT 28 May 10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY DEEP WATER HORIZON J2 - Situation Update LOOP CURRENT • Recent modeling reveals a shift in the Loop Current which could significantly reduce the amount of oil forecasted to reach Florida. • It is less likely oil presently in Loop Current will make it to the FL west coast unless a strong tropical weather system emerges in the Gulf pushing surface oil east. • Keys could still experience tar balls in the next week. AS OF 261245RMAY10 Graphic as of 25 May 2010 For Visual Reference Only UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY SIMOPs DEEP WATER HORIZON J2 - Situation Update • Conditions remain favorable for SIMOPS next 72 hours. • Top Kill procedure to be executed today. Results of effectiveness will not be immediately known. • Involves reconfiguring existing wellhead equipment to provide a conduit for pumping heavy fluids into the well. • Intent is to stop flow and allow for a permanent seal. • Method has proven successful on land; has never been tried in deep water. • Riser Insertion Tube Tool (RITT) removed to make room for Top Kill procedure. • Other SIMOP activity will continue as weather conditions permit. • RITT, Top Hat remain available for reuse. AS OF 261245RMAY10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY OPERATIONS UPDATE LTC Mike Forson Deputy J3 AS OF 261245RMAY10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY DEEPWATER HORIZON AO/AI AS OF 261230RMAY10 SEOC ØØ U UAC UC 244 1 3 X LNO 2 X LNO 1 X LNO II TRP III III CMD CBJTC 125 Ø 1 IC IC FW U H 111 JTF Coast Guard District 8 X HQ TF 164 UAC 1 X LNO X Coast Guard District Boundary HQ TF 53 Planned FLANG Local States of Emergency Incident/ Area/ Unified Command FLARNG Major Commands JTF Joint Task Force HQ Total Deployed = 21 AS OF 261245RMAY10 Coast Guard District 7 IC III -Unified Command Center (UCC) located in Mobile, AL -Operational CP and BP response HQ located in Houma, LA -RADM Landry (Federal On-Scene Coordinator) located in Robert, LA -Executive Orders 10-99, 10-100, 10-106 declares a state of emergency for coastal counties from Escambia to Palm Beach -Future Incident Command Posts planned for Miami and possibly Jacksonville UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY HQ (-) IC ASG TF LOG UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Activities • Past – Conducted planning and coordination for potential FLNG missions • Present – JOC remains at Level 2 (Partial Activation) – 1 X LNO in Mobile, AL; 1 X LNO in Robert, LA; 1 X LNO in St Pete, FL – 3 PAX at State EOC in support of Emergency Support Function -13 (ESF-13). 1X PAX reported to SEOC today. – Conduct daily conference calls with SERT and LNOs – 26 May - Deploy 1 X LNO to JIC in Robert, LA – 26 May - Deploy 2 X UH-60 to LA (EMAC) – Submit extension FAAs for an additional 31-day authorization • Future – Update LNO deployment and rotation plan – Publish Deepwater Horizon FRAGO #1 – Continue planning and coordination for potential FLNG missions – 27 May – Deploy 1 X CH-47 to LA (EMAC) AS OF 261245RMAY10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY OPERATIONS UPDATE LANG, MSNG, ALNG AS OF 261245RMAY10 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY JFHQ-LA Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill National Guard Bureau Situation Report # 16 Governor – Bobby Jindal TAG – MG Bennet Landreneau J-3 – COL Barry Keeling Current Operations: • Marina OPS • HAZMAT training • Security • C3 and sustainment • LNO support • Sandbagging emplacement Future Operations: • Continue regional support • Security Operations Situational Overview: • JFHQ-LA has placed members on T-32 status due to a request from the US Coast Guard Incident Commander after a large oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico State Declaration: 29APR10 Federal Declarations: None SAD STATE AVAILABLE REGION AVAILABLE 0 5,030* 25,188* STATE AIRCRAFT COMMITTED STATE AIRCRAFT AVAILABLE CUMULATIVE SORTIES CUMULATIVE HOURS FLOWN RW 0 FW 0 RW 24 FW 1 RW 0 FW 0 RW 649.9 FW 0 *State availability number reflects 70% of total numbers provided by ARNG and ANG data as of 26APR10. AS OF 261245RMAY10 TOTAL NG RESPONSE 1,074 (9) National Guard Personnel: SAD: 0 (0 ARNG, 0 ANG) T32: 82 (78 ARNG, 4 ANG) 502 (f): 992 (964 ARNG, 28 ANG) National Guard Submitted Sourced EMAC 0 0 RFA 0 0 Bldg Damage Injuries Deceased N/A N/A N/A UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY JFHQ-MS Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill National Guard Bureau Situation Report # 8 Current Operations: • 3x LNO to Robert , LA • 2x LNOs to Unified Command Center in Mobile, AL • 16x CST DMR/DEQ in Biloxi, MS • 1x LNO to Jackson County EOC in Pascagoula • 1x LNO Hancock County EOC in Waveland • 1x LNO to Harrison County EOC in Gulfport • 11x Incident Command Center, Biloxi, MS • 9x Air Crew in Gulfport, MS • 10x JOC in Jackson, MS • 9x Air Crew in Jackson MS Future Operations: • Continue to support federal, state and local authorities Situational Overview: • Explosion on oil rig in Gulf of Mexico has caused a massive oil spill that threatens the Gulf Coast areas of the United States • Multi-state and federal response being commanded by U.S. Coast Guard State Declaration: 30 April 2010 Federal Declarations: None SAD STATE AVAILABLE REGION AVAILABLE 0 5,954* 25,216* STATE AIRCRAFT COMMITTED STATE AIRCRAFT AVAILABLE CUMULATIVE SORTIES RW 0 FW 0 RW 16 FW 1 RW 0 FW 0 AS OF 261245RMAY10 TOTAL NG RESPONSE 68 (5) Governor – Haley Barbour TAG – MG William L. Freeman J-3 – COL David O. Smith National Guard Personnel: SAD: 0 (0 ARNG, 0 ANG) T32:, 0 (0 ARNG, 0 ANG) 502(f) : 68 (61 ARNG, 7 ANG) National Guard Submitted Sourced CUMULATIVE HOURS FLOWN EMAC 0 0 RFA 0 0 RW 54.8 FW 32.3 Bldg Damage Injuries Deceased N/A N/A N/A UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY JFHQ-AL Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill National Guard Bureau Situation Report #11 Current Operations: • 5 LMTVs and 9 HMMWVs vehicles in use • Providing Hercules protection (Hercules Engineering Solutions Consortium) HESCO Barrier support on Dauphin Island • MPs providing security • Multi-Purpose Response Force conducting/awaiting additional taskings • 1 X UH-60, Aerial Boom Recon: AL / MS Coast and Barrier Islands • Aviation supporting oil spill operations. Approved 21 May 10 Governor – Bob Riley TAG – MG Abner C. Blalock J-3 – COL Scott Gedling Future Operations: • Continue to support federal, state and local authorities • Obtain incident action plan and staff to determine military requirements • Continue protective Barrier missions on Dauphin Island/ FT. Morgan Situational Overview: • Explosion on oil rig in Gulf of Mexico has caused a massive oil spill which threatens Gulf Coast areas of the United States • Multi-state and federal response commanded by U.S. Coast Guard State Declaration: 30APR10 Federal Declarations: None SAD STATE AVAILABLE REGION AVAILABLE 0 7,540* 33,156* STATE AIRCRAFT COMMITTED STATE AIRCRAFT AVAILABLE CUMULATIVE SORTIES RW 0 FW 0 RW 13 FW 1 RW 0 FW 0 *State availability number reflects 70% of total numbers provided by ARNG and ANG data as of 26APR10. AS OF 261245RMAY10 TOTAL NG RESPONSE 361 (1) CUM. HOURS FLOWN RW 9 FW 0 National Guard Personnel: SAD: 0 (0 ARNG, 0 ANG) T32: 5 (5 ARNG, 0 ANG) 502(f): 356 (353 ARNG, 3 ANG) National Guard Submitted Sourced EMAC 0 0 RFA 0 0 Bldg Damage Injuries Deceased N/A N/A N/A UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY