World Bank Group Support to PublicPrivate Partnerships FY02-12 Lessons from an IEG Evaluation of World Bank Group Experience World Bank Group Launch July 14, 2014 Stefan Apfalter Senior Evaluation Officer, IEG 2 Can the WBG’s $1.9 billion really make a difference? IEG evaluated 134 countries on 811 PPP interventions through the entire PPP cycle over the period FY02-12 Title of Presentation 3 What works • More strategic country approach • Address political economy factors • Shift IFC investments • Better M&E 4 More Strategic Country Approach Advise Governments on If and How Comprehensive diagnostics Readiness of sector Public sector capacity Fiscal implications Integrated in NIPs 6 PPP diagnostics 1 Government committed Space for PPPs Civil society engaged 2 Sector regulations PPP policy Capable institutions 3 Capital markets Continent liabilities Pipeline of bankable PPPs 7 Target the right countries • WB and IFC AS reaches nascent countries • MIGA support nascent and emerging countries • IFC IS too often in developed countries 8 WB in nascent countries SIGNIFICANT OVER WEIGHTING OF NASCENT COUNTRIES % = relative share of accumulated GDP 9 Addressing Political Economy Factors Engaging with stakeholders Sector reform is foundation of success, but 45 % of WB efforts fail Government commitment required Start with low hanging fruit Broad and early engagement 11 Commitment for PPP structuring • 50 % of IFC AS‘ PPP structuring mandates did not materialize due to lack of government commitment 12 Shift IFC Investments Overemphasizing mature countries OVER WEIGHTING OF DEVELOPED COUNTRIES % = PPP market in these countries 14 Increasing development footprint • IFC can increase its additionality by investing more in less mature countries • Development outcome ratings unchanged • Set early demonstration effect 15 MIGA is more pioneering EFFECTIVELY TARGETS EMERGING AND NASCENT COUNTRIES 16 Better M&E PPP’s effect on the poor unknown NO Data Data 18 Moving Forward More strategic advice Improved stakeholder consultation PPP CCSA Shift IFC investments Improve M&E and steer PPP 19 Thank you!