SWOT ANALYSIS South- Estonia region Estonian University of Life Sciences Martin Kikas Tartu Regional Energy Agency 13. of September 2011 South of Estonia Territory of 6 counties 90 municipalities 13 towns, 77 rural municipalities Area: 15 533 sq.km Number of inhabitants 338 836 in County Jõgeva County Põlva County Tartu County … including City of Tartu Valga County Viljandi County Võru County Total in Region area 1000 ha 260,4 216,5 308,9 204,7 358,9 230,5 1579, 9 share of forest forest area land share of agricultural land 1000 ha 126,9 115,7 117,1 % 48,7 53,5 37,9 % 36,3 34,9 38,5 119,8 171,9 108,9 58,5 47,9 47,2 29,2 29,8 39 760,3 48% 34,5% 1 475 651 MWh; 21% 3 425 567 MWh; 48% heat fuel for transport power 2 180 076 MWh; 31% ELECTRICIT Y 19% COAL 0% PEAT, 4% Peat 0% FIREWOOD 12% WOODCHIP S & WASTE 19% GASOLINE 12% DIESEL 19% LIGHT OILSHALE OIL OIL 2% 3% NGAS 10% Production of power energy in Region of Tartu (2009) Kütus MWh % Hydro 1 022,7 0,8 % Nat. Gas 15 255,3 12,6 % Peat, wood 105 000,0 86,6 % TOTAL 121 278,0 100 % TOTAL production of electricity ca 9% of own consumption Backround information Estonia national targets of Share of Renewable Energy Sources Directive 2009/28/EC promotion of use energy from renewable sources Reference year 2005 18 % Target year 2020 25% 863 ktoe Compose national Renewable Energy Acton Plan Regulations in Estonia National Laws related with energy 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Sustainable Development Act Electricity Act Natural Gas Act District Heating Act LiquideFuel Act Energy efficency of equipment Act Construction (Building) Act Regulations in Estonia- National development documents Sustainable Development Act Energy Development Plan 2020 Estonian Electricity Development Plan 2018 Developement Plan of Oilshale 2008-2015 Energy efficency programm 2007-2013 Development Plan to use of Biomas and bioenergy 2007-2013 Renewable Energy Acton Plan 2020 Energy action plans / strategies in region Energy action plans/ strategies have 18 municipalities of 90 Three of six counties have or composing energy startegies or plans Põlva County – Study of renewable resources (2006) Võru County - Energy Startegy ( started 2011) Tartu County - Enegy Strategy ( plan 2012) Energy action plans / strategies in region One “regional” energy strategy: 4 municipalities from two counties ( 2 from Võru county and 2 from Põlva county) “Setomaa Common strategy for wider using of local renewable resources” Why we need strategy? Eneregy startegy is (one possible) way or tool to improve welfare and sustainability of Community CASH FLOW (MONEY) Consumption distribution Converting to energy Converting to fuels Resource Typical Energy chains ENERGY FLOW Who gets profit in energy ? Money goes from consumers to … … supplier/ owner of resources and fuels, … supplier of energy (owner of energy production units) … owner distribution network Goal for community: get as much as possible bigger share (control) of this three units in energychain SWOT analysis - STRENGHTS Availability of resources Well developed technology Possibility to involve private forestowners Possibility to make money Lot of experiences to process forest and wood Relatively cheap material (resource) Possibility to use residues and waste Independence Create local jobs Wider use of coppice( brush)lands Wood and forest processing will help rural areas SWOT analysis - WEAKNESSES Lot of workforce for collecting/ processing of material Lot of workforce for burning Usage of fossil fuels for peak demands Awareness of forestmanagemnt is low Rising costs Higher cost compare with peat Renovation of energyplants from others fuels to wood is expensive Lack of resources Dificult to get and transport wood from forest/some cases/ Burning technologies are not enough efficient Technology development is expensive SWOT analysis - OPPORTUNITIES Possibility to use wood in many types of fuels (firewood, pellets, chips etc) Boilers are available for wide range of power Good for small central heating systems Resource available from private sector More scientific Works on forestmanagement Using better sort of wood for our climate SWOT analysis - THREATS Security of supply, small producers cant quarrantee of supply Raising demand of wood in others sectors and in neibourhood countries Using wooden fuel is more complicated compared to other fuels Market influences, raising price for wood Inflammable / risk for fire Lack of modrenization of technology SWOT analysis- input for strategy Focus to issues what you can changes a. Use your STRENGHTS b. Improve your WEAKNESSES SWOT analysis- input for strategy 1. Maximal and rational use of local resources (wood and forest) in local energy production 2. New technologies 3. Get as much as possible bigger share of energy value chain to the local community. Type of fuel Coal €/t 2009 63,98 amount 2 unit th,t cost 127 951 Peat €/t 32,40 104 th,t Peat briquette, €/t 97,34 2 th,t Firewood € /tm 21,79 443 th,tm Woodchips, €/m³ 12,40 330 th,tm Wastewood, €/m³ Nat. Gas, €/tuhat m³ Oilshale €t Light oil, €/t Diesel, €/t Gasolin €/t 8,12 248,94 251,24 441,95 755,82 966,28 330 71 22 11 112 66 th,tm milj.m3 th,t th,t th,t th,t 3 369 934 194 675 9 654 684 4 091 624 2 678 537 Electricity, €/MWh 59,44 1351669 MWh TOTAL 17 674 447 5 527 207 4 861 440 84 651 746 63 774 494 80 340 272 276 947 011 Thank You for attention ! Martin Kikas Tartu Regional Energy Agency