AUCTION Abdullah Yassıörenli Ahmet Yazar M. Turgay Erol Serhat Sayan Serkan Nural 1 General Overview • • • • • • • • Definition of Auction Advantages and Disadvantages Auction Terminology Valuation Auction Types Selling and Buying at Auction Auction Strategies in Negotiation Process Haphazard Systems 2 Auction • An auction is a method of allocating scarce goods, – a method that is based upon competition: • A seller wishes to obtain as much money as possible, • A buyer wants to pay as little as necessary. 3 Auction • An auction is ; – universal (…may be used to sell any good) – anonymous (…the bidders’ identities play no role) 4 Auctions : When? • Auctions are useful when – selling a commodity of undetermined quality. – the goods do not have a fixed or determined market value, in other words, when a seller is unsure of the price he can get. 5 Auctions : Where? • • • • • • • • • internet auctions art and antiques flowers, fish real estate spectrum licences bonds and stocks treasury bills drilling rights houses 6 Advantages of Auctions • An auction offers the advantage of simplicity in determining market-based prices (for both). • It is efficient in the sense that it usually ensures that – resources accrue to those who value them most highly; – sellers receive the collective assessment of the value. 7 Advantages of Auctions • The price is set by the bidders (for bidders). • Choosing to sell an item by auctioning is – more flexible than setting a fixed price; – less time-consuming and expensive than negotiating a price (for sellers). 8 Disadvantages of Auctions • "Winners curse" is widely recognized as being that phenomenon when a "lucky" winner pays more for an item than it is worth. Auction winners are faced with the sudden realization that their valuation of an object is higher than that of anyone else. 9 Auction Terminology • First Price--when a single item is sold for the exact amount bid. • Second-Price Auction--The winner pays the second highest bid price. • One-Sided Auction-- only bids are permitted, but not "asks". • Two-Sided auction--bids and asks allowed. 10 Auction Terminology • Reserve Price--lowest acceptable price. Useful in discouraging buyer collusion • Rings--Some subset of bidders who band together and agree not to compete against each other. 11 Bidder Valuations • Private valuation – Goods are acquired goods for personal consumption; – The bidder makes his own private valuation of the item for sale. – All bidders have private valuations and tend to keep that information private. 12 Bidder Valuations • Interdependent values: – A bidder’s value might be affected by information available to the other bidders. 13 Bidder Valuations • Common valuation – Goods are acquired goods for resale or commercial use; – An individual bid is predicated not only upon a private valuation reached independently, but also upon an estimate of future valuations of later buyers. – The item is really worth the same to all, but the exact amount is unknown 14 Auction Types • William Vickrey established the basic taxonomy of auctions based upon the order in which prices are quoted and the manner in which bids are tendered. He established four major (one sided) auction types: – English: Ascending-price, open-cry; – Dutch: descending-price, open-cry, – First price-sealed bid – Vickrey or second price-sealed bid. 15 English Auction • Most common auctions in practice. • The auctioneer begins with the lowest acceptable price (the reserve price) • The item is 'knocked down' (sold) to the highest bidder • Winner pays the amount of the bid. • Winning price will be close to the valuation of the second highest bidder. 16 English Auction • Factors that Affect the Strategy: – his value; – his prior estimate of the other players' valuations; – the past bids of other players. • Optimal Strategy is to bid a little more than last bid until valuation is reached, then stop. 17 English Auction • Problems : – There must be enough competition to drive up bids (for the seller). – Open outcry can also reveal information to others. – Can encourage collusion • Bidders agree to keep prices low, possibly reselling later. 18 English Auction • Problems : – In an English auction, the underbidder usually forces the bid up by one small step at a time. Often a successful bidder acquires an object for considerably less than his maximum valuation simply because he need only increase each bid by a small increment. • The seller does not necessarily receive maximum value. 19 Dutch Auction • Bidding starts at an extremely high price • Bidding is progressively lowered until a buyer claims an item. • Buyers have no information about the bids of other buyers • Item sold to first buyer who accepts the sellers offer. 20 Dutch Auction • When multiple units are auctioned, normally more takers claim the item as price declines. – The first winner takes his prize and pays his price – Later winners pay less. • When the goods are exhausted, the bidding is over. 21 Dutch Auction • Factors that Affect the Strategy: – his own valuation of the object; – his prior beliefs about the valuations of other bidders. • Optimal Strategy is to offer a little less than last offer until a bidder accepts the offer. 22 Dutch Auction • Advantage; – In the Dutch system, if the bidder with the highest interest really wants an item, he cannot afford to wait too long to enter his bid. • That means he might bid at or near his highest valuation. 23 First Price-Sealed Bid Auction • Sealed and thus hidden from other bidders. • A winning bidder pays exactly the amount he bid. • Usually each participant is allowed one bid. • Simultaneous move process – Bidders have no information about bids of other buyers 24 First Price-Sealed Bid Auction • a sealed-bid format has two distinct periods – a bidding period in which participants submit their bids; – a resolution phase in which the bids are opened and the winner is determined. 25 First Price-Sealed Bid Auction • When multiple units are being auctioned, the auction is called "discriminatory" because not all winning bidders pay the same amount. • In a "discriminatory” auction, sealed bids are sorted from high to low, and items are awarded at highest bid price until the supply is exhausted. 26 First Price-Sealed Bid Auction • From a bidder's point of view, a high bid raises the probability of winning but lowers the profit if the bidder is victorious. • A good strategy is to shade a bid downward closer to market consensus, a strategy that also helps to avoid winner's curse. 27 First Price-Sealed Bid Auction Example Auction Item MONARIZA 28 First Price-Sealed Bid Auction Example $ 5.000.000 $ 6.000.000 MrMrs. Ersoy bids $ 8.000.000 29 Vickrey Auction • The uniform second-price auction is commonly called the Vickrey auction. • The bids are sealed, and each bidder is ignorant of other bids. • The item is awarded to highest bidder at a price equal to the second-highest bid. 30 Vickrey Auction • The dominant strategy for each participant is to bid their actual valuation. – Prevents needless and expensive counterspeculation – Ensures that goods go to those who value them most. 31 Vickrey Auction • Bidding high carries the risk of winner's curse. • When auctioning multiple units, all winning bidders pay for the items at the same price – the highest losing price. 32 Vickrey Auction Example Homer Auction Item $5 Bart Lisa $3 $2 Homer wins and pays $3 33 Double Auction • Although not classified as one of the major four auction types, the double auction has been the principal trading format in financial institutions. 34 Double Auction • Both buyers and sellers select bids. • Most often, these auctions are continuous – Any time there is a possible match, it is made. – Trading do not stop as each auction is concluded. • The İMKB, NASDAQ, most futures markets work this way. 35 Online Auctions • In the physical world, certain types of auctions require all parties to be geograpfically colocated (in an auction house). – higher transaction costs. • Online auctions do not require participants to be colocated geographically. – Serious cut on transaction costs. 36 Online Auctions 37 Selling at Auction • From a Seller’s Perspective – Finding out the value of your item • Visit an auction house to get your item valued • Provide the auction house with as much information as possible • Try to get more than one valuer’s opinion – Should you decide to sell • Decide a reserve price • Find out how soon your item will apperar at auction • Choose a specialist auction for a specialist item 38 Buying at Auction • From a Bidder’s Perspective – What to do before an auction • Go to auctions regularly • Buy the auction catalogue • Look at the estimate • Attend saleroom previews • Ask for a condition report • Find out if you need to register • Check the auctioneer’s commission 39 Buying at Auction – What to do at an auction • Set yourself a bidding limit • Work out your timing • Follow the bidding • Attract attention to your bid 40 Haphazard Systems 1. The Written-Bid Auction: All bids Should arrive in written form. 2. The Handshake Auction: Buyers communicate their bids to an auctioneer by squeezing his fingers. 3. The Whisper Auction: The auctioneer announces that an item is for sale, and buyers whisper their bids in his ear. 41 Non-Haphazard Systems 1. The time-Interval Auction: It is similar to an English form, however all bidding must be completed within a certain time allotment 2. The Silent Auction: The silent auction is a variation of the writtenbid auction, but in this format the participants bid knowing how much competitors have offered, and so prices move steadily upward. 42 Non-Haphazard Systems 3. The Audible-Bid Rotation Auction The auctioneer writes the current high bid on a blackboard and erases it as larger bids are made. Each bidder, in turn, either raises his bid or passes. The merchandise is awarded to the highest bidder at the highest price. 4. The Swiss Auction If the designated winner does not wish to accept the project, the architects will usually (but not always) allow him to withdraw the bid. 43 Auction Strategies In Negotiation Process • When the auctioneer wants to receive highest possible price and the bidders want to pay lowest possible price, competitive goals can be seen both between the potential buyers like bidders and between auctioneer and bidders a little different. 44 Auction Strategies In Negotiation Process • There is generally a zero – sum game between bidders and self- centered goals can play a role with competitive goals. • Some aggressive goals can be used to take competitive advantage. • Auctioneer makes some tricks not to lose a good bidder with defensive goals. 45 Auction Strategies In Negotiation Process • No Concession strategy – Especially after the first price is decided, because of short time and the same item is available to everyone in the auction, would be implemented by the aim of receiving the highest possible price. 46 Auction Strategies In Negotiation Process • No Further Concession strategy – Can be implemented after some concessions have been made in the auction. When the opening price given by auctioneer is less than the bid that one of the bidders thinks, this price would be thought as Concede First strategy. – Sometimes in auctions there would be no sell, so the auctioneer could focus on Goals Other Than To Reach Agreement. 47 Auction Strategies In Negotiation Process • Auctioneer can act to finalize negotiation with an agreement by Moving for Closure rather than risk not making the sale in the auction. 48 Thank You… 49