Nationalism & Unionism in Ireland Do Economic Forces Matter? 1 Nationalist Ideology: some theory • Product of the modern industrializing world • Reaction to disruptive economic & social change • Especially where an ethno-cultural group feels disadvantaged • Nationalist intellectuals and ideologues emerge • Demand political autonomy 2 Overview: 19th century • Economic changes • Demographic changes • Political changes: movement towards greater democracy • Context: industrializing Britain; liberalizing tendencies in the direction of mass politics 3 Take five economic indicators & three time periods* • • • • • Living standards Handling or avoiding economic crises Industrialization Emigration Economic justice • *1800-1850; 1850-1880; 1880-1914 4 Tables: Five economic indicators • An uncontroversial choice of indicators (I think!) • Fundamental for economic well-being • Simple scoring system: bit like noughts and crosses • Could devise a more complex scoring system but … • Score of 1 indicates a substantial gain • Score of 0 indicates little or no improvement 5 Five economic indicators, 1800-50: Nationalist Ireland (South) • • • • • • • Living standards: no gain Handling or avoiding economic crises: no gain Industrialization: no gain Emigration: no gain Economic justice: no gain OVERALL SCORE: No gains (0) Union not working: Repealers 6 Five economic indicators, 1800-50: Unionist Ireland (North) • • • • • • Living standards: no gain Handling or avoiding economic crises: no gain Industrialization: gain* Emigration: no gain Economic justice: gain OVERALL SCORE: Two gains (+2) *Rev Henry Cooke: look on Belfast and be a Repealer if you can 7 Summary, 1800-1850 • Southern Ireland: no major gains in any of the 5 economic indicators, so no obvious economic reasons to favour the Union • North of Ireland: some gains (though limited), so some economic reasons to favour the Union 8 Five economic indicators, 1850-80: Nationalist Ireland (South) • • • • • • Living standards: gain Handling/avoiding economic crises: no gain? Industrialization: no gain Emigration: no gain Economic justice: no gain? OVERALL SCORE: One gain (1) 9 Five economic indicators, 1850-80: Unionist Ireland (North) • • • • • • Living standards: gain Handling/avoiding economic crises: gain Industrialization: gain Emigration: no gain Economic justice: gain OVERALL SCORE: Four gains (+4) 10 Summary 1850-1880 • Southern Ireland: some limited economic progress • North of Ireland: substantial economic progress on most fronts 11 Five economic indicators, 1880-1914: Nationalist Ireland (South) • • • • • • Living standards: gain Handling/avoiding economic crises: gain Industrialization: gain Emigration: no gain Economic justice: gain OVERALL SCORE: Four gains (4) 12 Five economic indicators, 1880-1914: Unionist Ireland (North) • • • • • • Living standards: gain Handling/avoiding economic crises: gain Industrialization: gain Emigration: no gain Economic justice: gain OVERALL SCORE: Four gains (+4) 13 14 Belfast 1911: the industrial success story • Industrial capital of the island • Two world-class shipbuilding yards • Major engineering works: Sirocco, Mackies, others • Internationally-renowned Linen industry • Other industries • So Ulster Unionists pro-Union? 15 Summary, 1880-1914 • Southern Ireland: substantial economic gains on most fronts • North of Ireland: maintaining economic gains • Paradox: “last years of the Union were the most prosperous!” 16 Do Economic forces matter?: Ulster Unionism • • • • Ireland’s only industrial city: Belfast Based on Free Trade and World exports Economic success group confidence Business class: financial resources for anti-HR agitation and eventually guns • DEMOGRAPHIC implications 17 18 19 POPULATION OF BELFAST, 1800-1911 ('000s) 450 400 350 300 ('000) 250 200 150 100 50 0 1800 1821 1831 1841 1851 1861 1871 1881 1891 1901 1911 20 Population: political importance • Numbers vital to political power in a democratizing era • Compacting of Protestant and Unionist population of Ireland in East Ulster • Industrialization created a critical mass of Protestants and Unionists in East Ulster • Capable of resisting Home Rule • Underpinning all this: industrializing economy 21 Do economic forces matter?: Irish nationalism • Long litany of economic woes • No great economic progress pre-1880 - Emigration, Famine & Land War • Formative period of Irish nationalism before 1880s • False optimism: political autonomy economic prosperity 22 Conclusion • Best to see economic forces in conjunction with political and other historical forces Eg Land War, 1879-1882: - Agricultural Depression (European-wide) - But role also of political leadership: Parnell & Davitt - in conjunction to mass mobilisation powerful Home Rule movement 23 Conclusion (contd.) • “If really pressed, my view is that, taking the long view, cultural and political forces take precedence over economic factors in the making of Irish nationalism and Ulster Unionism, even though arguments for and against the Union are often dressed up in economic terms.” - Liam Kennedy 24