Haresh C. Shah Thalia Anagnos Roger D. Borcherdt, Interviewers Haresh C. Shah Haresh C. Shah Thalia Anagnos and Roger D. Borcherdt Interviewers Earthquake Engineering Research Institute Book Design and Production: George Mattingly, Berkeley, California, www.mattinglydesign.com Series Design: Laura Moger, Moorpark, California, www.lauramoger.com Copyright © 2025 by the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute The publication of this book was supported by FEMA/U.S. Department of Homeland Security under grant EMW-2024-GR-05423. All rights reserved. The moral rights of Haresh C. Shah and his interviewers whose words are reproduced herein have been asserted. No part may be reproduced, quoted, or transmitted in any form without the written permission of the executive director of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute. Requests for permission to quote for publication should include identification of the specific passages to be quoted, anticipated use of the passages, and identification of the user. The opinions expressed in this publication are those of the oral history subject and do not necessarily reflect the opinions or policies of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, or any funding agencies. Published by the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute 66 Franklin Street, Suite 300, Oakland, CA 94607 Tel: (510) 451–0905 E-mail: eeri@eeri.org Website: http://www.eeri.org EERI Publication Number: OHS-33 eBook ISBN-13: 978-0-943198-56-9 Paperback ISBN-13: 978-0-943198-62-0 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Shah, Haresh C. interviewee | Anagnos, Thalia interviewer | Borcherdt, Roger D. interviewer Title: Haresh C. Shah / Thalia Anagnos and Roger D. Borcherdt, interviewers. Description: Oakland, CA : Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, [2025] | Series: Connections: the EERI oral history series ; 33 | Includes bibliographical references and index. | Summary: “This is the thirty-third volume in the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute’s series, Connections: The EERI Oral History Series. EERI began this series to preserve the recollections of some of those who have had pioneering careers in the field of earthquake engineering. Significant, even revolutionary, changes have occurred in earthquake engineering since individuals first began thinking in modern, scientific ways about how to protect construction and society from earthquakes. The Connections series helps document this important history. This volume features Haresh C. Shah, a pioneer in the early development of seismic hazard and catastrophe risk models”-- Provided by publisher. Identifiers: LCCN 2025005327 (print) | LCCN 2025005328 (ebook) | ISBN 9780943198620 paperback | ISBN 9780943198569 pdf Subjects: LCSH: Shah, Haresh C. | Civil engineers--United States--Interviews | Earthquake engineering Classification: LCC TA140.S473 A5 2025 (print) | LCC TA140. S473 (ebook) | DDC 624.092 [B]--dc23/eng20250417 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2025005327 LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2025005328 Printed in the United States of America 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 Table of Contents The EERI Oral History Series . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii Foreword . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi Personal Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xiii Chapter 1: Early Life in India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Chapter 2: Graduate School at Stanford . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Chapter 3: Choosing an Academic Career . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Chapter 4: Earthquake Engineering at Stanford . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Chapter 5: Risk Management Solutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Chapter 6: Leadership In Civil Engineering . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 Chapter 7: International Earthquake Resiliency Efforts . . . . . . . . . 61 Chapter 8: Transforming NTU Singapore . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 Chapter 9: Giving Back . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 Chapter 10: Family . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 Photos of Haresh Shah . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 v The EERI Oral History Series This is the thirty-third volume in the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute’s series, Connections: The EERI Oral History Series. EERI began this series to preserve the recollections of some of those who have had pioneering careers in the field of earthquake engineering. Significant, even revolutionary, changes have occurred in earthquake engineering since individuals first began thinking in modern, scientific ways about how to protect construction and society from earthquakes. The Connections series helps document this important history. Connections is a vehicle for transmitting the fascinating accounts of individuals who were present at the beginning of important developments in the field, documenting sometimes little-known facts about this history, and recording their impressions, judgments, and experiences from a personal standpoint. These reminiscences are themselves a vital contribution to our understanding of where our current state of knowledge came from and how the overall goal of reducing earthquake losses has been advanced. The Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, incorporated in 1948 as a nonprofit organization to provide an institutional base for the then-young field of earthquake engineering, is proud to help tell the story of the development of earthquake engineering through the Connections series. EERI has grown from a few dozen individuals in a field that lacked any significant research funding to an organization with nearly 3,000 members. It is still devoted to its original goal of investigating the effects of destructive earthquakes and publishing the results through its reconnaissance report series. EERI brings researchers and practitioners together to exchange information at its annual meetings and, via a now-extensive calendar of conferences and workshops, provides a forum through which individuals and organizations of various disciplinary backgrounds can work together for increased seismic safety. The EERI oral history program was initiated by Stanley Scott (1921–2002). The first nine volumes were published during his lifetime, and manuscripts and interview transcripts he left to EERI are resulting in the publication of other volumes for which he is being posthumously credited. In addition, the Oral History Committee is including further interviewees vii within the program’s scope, following the committee’s charge to include subjects who: 1) have made an outstanding career-long contribution to earthquake engineering, 2) have valuable first-person accounts to offer concerning the history of earthquake engineering, and 3) whose backgrounds, considering the series as a whole, appropriately span the various disciplines that are included in the field of earthquake engineering. Scott’s work, which he began in 1984, summed to hundreds of hours of taped interview sessions and thousands of pages of transcripts. Were it not for him, valuable facts and recollections would already have been lost. Scott was a research political scientist at the Institute of Governmental Studies at the University of California, Berkeley. He was active in developing seismic safety policy for many years and was a member of the California Seismic Safety Commission from 1975 to 1993. Partly for that work, he received the Alfred E. Alquist Award from the Earthquake Safety Foundation in 1990. Scott received assistance in formulating his oral history plans from Willa Baum, Director of the University of California, Berkeley Regional Oral History Office, a division of the Bancroft Library. An unfunded interview project on earthquake engineering and seismic safety was approved, and Scott was encouraged to proceed. Following his retirement from the university in 1989, Scott continued the oral history project. For a time, some expenses were paid from a small grant from the National Science Foundation, but Scott did most of the work pro bono. This work included not only the obvious effort of preparing for and conducting the interviews themselves, but also the more time-consuming tasks of reviewing transcripts and editing the manuscripts to flow smoothly. The Connections oral history series presents a selection of prominent individuals in earthquake engineering who provide insights into the development of the field. The term “earthquake engineering” as used here has the same meaning as in the name of EERI—the broadly construed set of disciplines, including geosciences and social sciences as well as engineering itself, that together form a related body of knowledge and collection of individuals that revolve around the subject of earthquakes. The events described in these oral histories span many kinds of activities: research, design projects, public policy, broad social aspects, and education, as well as interesting personal aspects of the subjects’ lives. viii Published volumes in Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Henry J. Degenkolb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1994 John A. Blume . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1994 Michael V. Pregnoff and John E. Rinne . . . . . . . . . . . . 1996 George W. Housner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1997 William W. Moore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1998 Robert E. Wallace . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1999 Nicholas F. Forell . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2000 Henry J. Brunnier and Charles De Maria . . . . . . . . . . 2001 Egor P. Popov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2001 Clarence R. Allen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2002 Joseph Penzien . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2004 Robert Park and Thomas Paulay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2006 Clarkson W. Pinkham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2006 Joseph P. Nicoletti . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2006 LeRoy Crandall . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2008 Vitelmo V. Bertero . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2009 Robert V. Whitman . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2009 Eric Elsesser . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2010 William Anderson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2011 Roy G. Johnston . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2012 Ugo Morelli . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2013 George G. Mader . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2014 William J. Hall, Nathan M. Newmark appendix . . . . . . 2015 Edward L. Wilson, Ray W. Clough appendix . . . . . . . . 2016 John F. Meehan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2017 Mete A. Sozen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2018 Mary C. Comerio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2020 Roland L. Sharpe . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2020 Anil Chopra . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2021 Nigel Priestley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2021 Izzat M. Idriss . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2024 Robert A. Olson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2025 Haresh C. Shah . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2025 ix EERI Oral History Committee Thalia Anagnos, co-Chair Laurie A. Johnson, co-Chair Roger Borcherdt Ayse Hortacsu Elide Pantoli Robert Reitherman Charles Scawthorn Tony Shakal Loring A. Wyllie, Jr. x Foreword Interview sessions among Haresh C. Shah, Thalia Anagnos, and Roger Borcherdt started in September 2023 and continued through June 2024. The transcripts were created from recorded Zoom interviews. From the beginning, we were honored to have the opportunity to document the contributions of a distinguished and valued colleague that we had both worked with over the years. We knew about Haresh’s contributions to the world of risk analysis and loss estimation. However, as each interview revealed new surprises about the breadth and diversity of his contributions in the realms of education, leadership, philanthropy, and societal wellbeing, we were in awe of his limitless empathy, energy and capacity to do good. Every aspect of this interviewing experience has been enlightening and fun. We are inspired to follow Haresh’s lead in trying to make the world a better place. Charles A. Kircher and Laurie A. Johnson reviewed the manuscript. Sarah Nathe copy edited the manuscript. George Mattingly performed the page layout. Silvana Cobos, EERI Communications and Program Manager, managed the production process. Thalia Anagnos EERI Oral History Committee Co-chair EERI Honorary Member Roger D. Borcherdt EERI Honorary Member September 2024 xi Personal Introduction Haresh C. Shah is a special mentor, friend, and colleague, who has been an inspiration and pleasure to work with throughout my career. I met Haresh after returning to the USGS in Menlo Park in 1971, following my three-year diversion to UC Berkeley as a PhD engineering student interested in the theory and measurement of soil response. In the early 1970’s there were few maps depicting seismic risk and potential earth-science hazards that could be used to improve public earthquake safety. Haresh and I shared complementary interests in changing this situation. He approached the problem from a structural engineering perspective with an emphasis on the built environment and its vulnerability throughout the world. I approached the problem from a multidisciplinary earth-science perspective with emphasis on potential earth-science hazards (PESH) such as surface faulting, ground shaking variations, liquefaction, and landsliding throughout California. These complementary aspects of our research and interests in public safety led to our career-long interaction as friends and colleagues. Haresh started his career in 1959 as a structural-engineering PhD student at Stanford after arriving in the U.S. from India. He accepted a faculty appointment at the University of Pennsylvania in 1962. Then, upon earning tenure, he returned to Stanford in 1968 to accept a highly sought-after faculty position. This appointment was the beginning of his extraordinary leadership career at Stanford as an endowed Blume and Obayashi Professor, Civil Engineering Department Chair, and a founding Director of the John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Research Center. During this time, he also founded Risk Management Solutions, Inc., served as co-chair of the World Seismic Safety Initiative, and as President of the Consortium of Universities for Research in Earthquake Engineering. Haresh’s vision and efforts to establish the Blume Center in 1974, in cooperation with Jim Gere, and with the generous support of John Blume, have proven to be a very successful and lasting contribution to earthquake engineering education. The center, with its outstanding current director Gregory Deierlein, past directors, faculty, and students, is a vibrant and productive environment for research. Haresh’s many innovative contributions during his nine-year tenure as Civil Engineering Department Chair include the establishment of the endowed Obayashi and Shimizu faculty xiii positions and the Center for Integrated Facility Engineering (CIFE). CIFE has succeeded in bringing together researchers, industry professionals, and students from around the world to develop collaborative virtual design and construction solutions for major industry projects. CIFE’s initial prototype for Building Informational Modelling (BIM) provided the basis for an enthusiastic collaborative research environment that was evident to me during my Shimizu Professor appointment at the Blume Center in 1991. This enthusiasm has translated into CIFE becoming an integral part of engineering education at Stanford with a current mission to be the “world’s premier academic research center for virtual design and construction.” Haresh proposed a Joint Stanford/USGS Center for Research in Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. His visionary proposal facilitated cooperative projects and graduate student access to earth science databases and GIS mapping resources. It led to his colleague Anne Kiremidjian’s kind invitation for me to provide lecture notes on wave propagation for a portion of her CE-282A course. These lectures became the impetus for my textbook, Viscoelastic Waves and Rays in Layered Media. The book is the culmination of a theoretical journey to describe anelastic soil response in alluvial basins for purposes of site-specific design. It was never imagined that it also would yield new insights for many of the basic anelastic problems of seismology, exploration geophysics, and seismic tomography of the earth’s deep interior. Without Haresh’s vision and Anne’s encouragement, the book to document this journey may never have gotten started. Haresh possesses many outstanding abilities. His special friend and colleague, the late Helmut Krawinkler, indicated at Haresh’s retirement from Stanford that “his abilities to motivate, persuade, and communicate are truly admirable. He beams energy and optimism, and during his term as department chair he succeeded in infecting the whole department with these attributes.”1 These skills were evident when I worked with him as co-chair for the Fourth International Conference on Seismic Zonation. As EERI Vice President at the time, I was asked by the board to invite him to chair the conference. Being a very busy professor, but a clever and persuasive one, he agreed to serve, but only if I would be his co-chair. When the steering committee discussed a luncheon speaker, Haresh was quick to offer to invite George Shultz, whom he had recently met at a round table discussion with Mikhail Gorbachev of the former Soviet Union. Shultz, who had just returned to campus after having served as Secretary of State in the Reagan administration, accepted Haresh’s persuasive invitation. His well-received speech generated considerable media attention. As one might surmise, with Haresh’s leadership skills, the conference was a success, as attested to by a congratulatory letter from President Frank Press of the National Academy of Sciences, who served as honorary chair, and a letter of achievement from EERI President Chris Poland. The 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake triggered several important milestones for public safety. Being an earthquake with damages that exhibited a strong correlation with local 1 Johnson, T., 1997, Haresh’s Life, Haresh C. Shah Retirement Ceremony, John A. Blume Center Archives. xiv soil conditions, it generated revisions in building codes to account for these effects with new site coefficients and site classes defined in terms of soil shear-wave velocities (Vs30). Whether it be these geologic effects or the resultant damages, this earthquake prompted another important milestone: it inspired Haresh to establish Risk Management Solutions, Inc. (RMS) under the stewardship of his son Hemant H. Shah and his doctoral graduate Weimin Dong. This pioneering decision spawned a new risk management services industry for the financial and insurance markets. Under their excellent stewardship, RMS grew into a global catastrophe risk management corporation with offices on four continents and hundreds of employees. It also comprised a subsidiary company of many thousand people in India focused on GIS digital database development. The growth of RMS to a company with published values that exceeded $1.5 billion is a testament to the vision and leadership of Haresh, Hemant, and Weimin, as well as to the contributions of the many RMS employees, Blume Center graduates, the RMS mission, and the need for its services. The impact of RMS’s contributions is exemplified by Haresh’s receipt of The John S. Bickley Gold Medal for Excellence Award in 2000 from the International Insurance Society “for his sustained and outstanding contributions to the insurance industry.” And, what would make any father proud, Hemant has been named Most Admired CEO (San Francisco Business Times, 2014), one of the 100 Most Powerful People in the Insurance Industry (Insurance Newscast, 2005–2011), Most Influential Person of the Year (Reactions Global Awards, 2011), and one of the Top 40 Most Influential (Global Reinsurance, 2008). Another important public-safety milestone, motivated in part by the Loma Prieta earthquake, is HAZUS (Hazards US). Its prototype was developed by RMS to provide rapid standardized estimates of earthquake losses for resource allocation by the Federal Emergency Management Agency following damaging earthquakes. This initial prototype was developed using state-of-the-art GIS mapping technology and up-to-date PESH and infrastructure databases with guidelines from the nine-member Project Work Group chaired initially by the late Robert V. Whitman and then by William Holmes. This software prototype set the stage for what has become a standard for earthquake loss estimation worldwide, thanks to the initial contributions of RMS and a long list of distinguished EERI members, some of them being notable graduates of the Blume Center, such as Charles Kircher, Thalia Anagnos, and Scott Lawson. A public safety milestone on an international scale was established when the International Association for Earthquake Engineering (IAEE) formally established the World Seismic Safety Initiative (WSSI) with co-chairs Haresh Shah and Tsuneo Katayama. The WSSI was established in 1992 as an IAEE action item for the International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction to facilitate reduction efforts in needy countries. Haresh’s admirable ability to initiate and conduct meetings with leading officials including presidents and prime ministers was readily apparent to those of us serving on the WSSI Board. These High-Level Meetings were crucial for the implementation of hazard mitigation options appropriate for each country’s resources and political situation. The success of the WSSI in more than 13 xv countries with few or no previous risk reduction efforts is a true mark of Haresh’s dedication and compassion for helping those in need. Haresh’s contributions were especially evident at the celebration of his transition to emeritus status at Stanford in 1997. Helmut Krawinkler remarked that “One measure of Haresh’s success is the success of his students. His former doctoral students, a group of 44 bright individuals, have attained leading positions in education, government, and industry. They are a tribute to the outstanding quality of Haresh’s research program.”1 His contributions are also evidenced by his honorary memberships in EERI and IAEE and his multiple awards including the Alfred E. Alquist Medal, the ATC Top Seismic Engineer of the 20th Century, and the EERI Housner Medal for his “extraordinary and lasting contributions to earthquake safety worldwide through the development and application of earthquake hazard reduction practices and policies.” Those of us who participated in his retirement seminar suspected Haresh would continue to pursue new ventures; however, his former PhD student and colleague Anne Kiremidjian, put it best, “Haresh may be retiring from classroom teaching, but I am convinced he will find new ways to teach, will continue to lead new ventures, and will always be involved in a variety of professional activities.”1 She was correct, but I suspect none of us envisioned the global impact these contributions would have on education or the ways in which Haresh would help others. After becoming a Stanford emeritus professor, Haresh assumed a number of leadership positions at Nanyang Technological University (NTU) Singapore, including Senior Academic Advisor to NTU’s President, Academic Reorganization and Governance Committee Chair, NTU Board of Trustees member, and Academic Affairs Committee Chair. During his tenures in these positions, a number of advancements were made at NTU. Haresh’s coauthored book, Troika! The Remarkable Ascent of a Great Global University, Nanyang Technological University Singapore, 2003–2017, tells the fascinating story of how a leadership team of three (the “Troika”), Su Guaning, Haresh Shah, and Bertil Andersson played a significant role in the rise of NTU from an academic ranking below 500 in 2003 to one of the top universities in the world, while being the youngest university in Asia to achieve this prestigious status. Among his contributions to NTU, Haresh founded the Institute of Catastrophe Risk Management, which has now become Asia’s leading research institute in the field to help those at risk in Asia as well as worldwide. In recognition of his contributions, Haresh received in 2015 an Honorary Doctor of Letters from NTU, awarded personally by the President of the Republic of Singapore, Tony Tan Keng. Another honor of which Haresh is especially proud is the Singapore Pingat Bakti Masyarakat (Public Service Medal) awarded in 2014 for his valuable contributions to the Ministry of Education of Singapore. Haresh somehow also found time to contribute to university education in Pune, India, his childhood hometown. In recognition of his contributions as a senior advisor to the president of the university, he was awarded an Honorary Doctor of Letters from Symbiosis International University in 2014. He also was honored with the Mahatma Gandhi Samman xvi Award presented in the House of Lords, London in 2014 for being an “Eminent Achiever” in his profession. Haresh’s humanitarian work stands out as an important part of his career and who he is as a person. He was awarded the Bharat Gaurav Award in 2000 as one of the “Unsung heroes across the country (India) who are working hard for the betterment of the lives of the underprivileged.” A motto of the Bharat Gaurav Foundation describes Haresh’s work very well: “Don’t work for recognition but do work worthy of recognition.” This statement is exemplified by the Emelie Foundation established by the Shah family to improve education of women in India, the RMS project to provide computers in rural schools, the development of a rural mountain school, cooperative efforts with other philanthropic foundations, and the Asia Risk Transfer Company to assist farmers during droughts. Haresh’s philosophy that advancements in public safety are encouraged through innovation and education is exemplified by his family’s generous contributions to multiple organizations. The Shah Family Fund, established at Stanford in 1995, provides annual fellowships for civil engineering students, an annual prize for an outstanding School of Engineering staff member, and an annual lecture on catastrophe risk management. The Shah Family Innovation Prize established at EERI in 1998 is awarded annually to individuals “for creativity, innovation, and an entrepreneurial spirit in earthquake risk, mitigation, and management.” The Shah Family Award/Prize established at NTU in 1996 is awarded annually to cultivate student entrepreneurship in the NTU School of Civil & Structural Engineering. Over the years, I often have had the privilege of enjoying the Haresh’s excellent hospitality and that of his wonderful wife Joan. In each case, whether it be a wedding reception for one of their remarkable sons Hemant and Mihir, or their own 50th year wedding anniversary, the event is one of excellence, executed with gracious perfection. Haresh C. Shah has established enduring legacies that continue to improve education and public safety throughout the world. This oral history provides insights into Haresh as an outstanding humanitarian with an extraordinary career that identifies him as the father of earthquake risk management models for the insurance and reinsurance industries. These insights are important contributions to the history of earthquake engineering and civil engineering in general. Roger D. Borcherdt Scientist Emeritus, USGS xvii Haresh C. Shah Chapter 1 Early Life in India My father was always saying, “Haresh, in India we need to build so many things. You need to be an engineer.” A Carefully Selected Marriage Anagnos: Let’s start with where you grew up. Shah: I was born in Godhra, August 7, 1937, but I grew up in Pune. Anagnos: Tell us about your family. Shah: I come from a middle-class family in India. My father, Chandulal, was from a very poor family and my mother, Ramangauri (or Rama for short), was from a rich family. My mother was the only daughter, and her father was a Renaissance man. He wanted his daughter to marry somebody who had a good future. Anagnos: Chandulal, that’s your middle name. Shah: Yes, in India, in my community our middle name is always the father’s first name. I’m a son of Chandulal, so the middle name is Chandulal. My brother’s middle name is also Chandulal, Shashikant Chandulal Shah. Anagnos: You were telling us about your mother and father. Shah: My father was the only son, and my mother was the only daughter. My maternal grandfather was very careful in selecting 1 Chapter 1 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series who was coming into his family. In spite of not being rich, he selected my father as the groom for my mother, and they got married in Godhra. And true to my grandfather’s expectations, he made a good life for his family. Life Under British Rule Shah: My father was born in 1900. In those days of British rule, the British Raj as we call it, education for Indians was a privilege rather than a right. Very few Indians, male or female, went to school. However, my father graduated from high school, which was in those days an accomplishment, and he told my grandfather that he was not going to stay in Godhra, because there weren’t many opportunities. He wanted to go to a big city where there were more opportunities for growth. So, he decided to move to Pune around the mid-1920s (it was called Poona at that time). Bombay was India’s main city in those days. But in summer, the British Raj moved their administration from Bombay to Pune because it is in the hills and far cooler and less humid than Bombay. India had four military commands, the Eastern, Northern, Southern, and Western Command. Pune was the headquarters of Southern Command, which was the largest. There were many British Officers as well as British civilians and, administrators in Pune at that time. My father thought that he would get a better job with the British people if he moved to Pune. Anagnos: You haven’t mentioned your mother. Did she move with him to Pune? Shah: No. My mother and father had a 10-year age difference, and my mother was 2 married at a very young age, 15. There were no children yet. He moved to Pune to look for a job. She stayed in Godhra with her parents. He found a job in a hotel, called the Napier Hotel, where mainly Britishers who were visiting Pune stayed. My father started his job as a purchasing and supply manager for the hotel. Most of the clients were British officers and their families. Many Languages Were Spoken Anagnos: Before you go on, what was your father’s first language? What language did you speak at home? Shah: His first language was Gujarati, but his English was very good, and was proper English, British English. He was an outgoing person. Everybody knew him. They would talk to him, and he would talk to them. He merged into the environment at the Napier Hotel quite well. We all spoke Gujarati at home. As soon as we stepped out of the house, it was English. Pune is in the state of Maharashtra, and the language spoken by the general population was Marathi. So, I spoke in Marathi or Hindi with most people. With colleagues, we spoke in English, and at home, Gujarati. You don’t realize it when you are a child that you are speaking different languages. You just see a person and start talking in that person’s language, and you go shopping and start speaking in Hindi. One sentence could be in Hindi, and the next could be in English. Very natural. Haresh C. Shah • Early Life in India Growing Up in Pune Was Beautiful Anagnos: How did your father end up owning a clothing shop? Shah: There was a lady by the name of Emelie who owned a shop named Emelie Windro, Milliners, which was a hat makers and designers of dresses for wives and children of British Officers. She came to the Napier Hotel often, so my father got to know her. In 1946, a year before India’s independence, Emelie decided to go back to UK and offered to sell her business to my father. He acquired the business in 1947 and renamed it Emelie, dropping the word Windro. By that time, my mother had come to Pune from Godhra to join my father. My father had a good steady job and was relatively well settled. My parents bought a home in the Central District of Pune, and very near the Napier Hotel as well as near the Emelie store. My eldest sister was born in 1926. I have four sisters, and one brother. I am number six. Anagnos: Were all six of you born in Pune? Shah: In India the custom was that the mother always went to her parents for delivery of the child. So, even though my father was in Pune, all six children were born in Godhra. Anagnos: What kind of place is Pune? Shah: Pune is a beautiful city, lots of parks, gardens, and trees. When I left Pune in 1959 it had about 600,000 people and today in 2023, 60 plus years later, there are 6 million people. That’s 10 times more! This is partly because it is one of the Silicon Valley hubs of India together with Bangalore and Hyderabad. Chapter 1 These are the three cities where all the software and hardware companies are. Pune is known for its car manufacturing, like the Mercedes plant of South Asia. Also Pune has many small industries, because of its good climate. When India became independent, they created the National Defence Academy in Pune to train military personnel. For many reasons, Pune was attractive to Indians and to industry, so it grew very fast in the ’60s, ’70s, and ’80s. In Pune there were two parts, one was Pune Municipality, and the other was Pune Camp, where the Southern Command Military Headquarters was based. We lived in the Camp area, which was clean, beautiful, green, and with many parks. The British kept their Camp area like they do in England, so we had many grounds to play cricket. We would go hiking and climbing. We would skate on the main street at night; no traffic, no cars at night. To this day, the Camp area is distinctly different than the Municipality area. As for growing up in Pune, it was the most beautiful 19 years of my life. If I ever leave Palo Alto, I’ll go to Pune. It’s that beautiful, even now. Education Was Very Important Anagnos: Was school in India free, or did your family have to pay for school? Shah: My family was very education oriented. We all were educated in private schools. All four girls earned a college degree, which was unusual in those days. For the boys, my parents said, you keep going as long as you do well. My brother got a degree in India, and then came to the United States and earned 3 Chapter 1 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series a master’s degree. I went to the engineering college and graduated, came to Stanford and earned advanced degrees. My father said, don’t worry about the money, education is very important. My mother was not too happy that we were going away, and that we might not come back, but she was happy that we were being educated. My family was unique, because it was unusual to have all the children, even the girls, fairly well educated. My sisters were kind of a role model for many other girls. Two of them became teachers. Surya, the sister just older than I am, got a degree at Louisiana State University. She taught in American schools, and then she established her own school in Los Angeles. She was a pretty entrepreneurial type. Anagnos: What was school like? Shah: Initially I went to the G. K. H. Mandal School, which was a private school. Because of his belief in the importance of education, my father was the secretary of the board of trustees of the school. That was a very important position. The medium of education at the school was mainly Gujarati, except we all had to take English courses. I did extremely well in the school. Children and parents used to complain that I was doing well because of my father being an important person. One day my father said I’m going to pull you out of the school and send you to a bigger school in which the medium of education is English. I want to see if you do well there. This was traumatic, because suddenly after learning all my courses in Gujarati, I had to learn, take exams, and everything in English. I knew English quite well, but it was different to study in English. My father sent me to Dastur High School, a private school run by Zoroastrians (they are called the Parsis). Most of the students were Zoroastrians. The last two years of high school I went to this new school. Fortunately, even though the initial three months were traumatic, I graduated with very good grades. Borcherdt: Did you have any high school teachers that motivated you to go into engineering or mathematics? Shah: My main motivator was my father. He was always saying, “Haresh, in India we need to build so many things. You need to be an engineer.” During the late 19th and early 20th centuries, the British Raj was building the infrastructure of India with considerable urgency. Roads, railroads, bridges, dams, and canals were being constructed all over the country. Besides British-educated engineering military officers, most of the engineers needed were Indians. They were educated in colleges such as the College of Engineering, Pune (established in 1854). There were quite a few engineering colleges spread over India, but not enough to educate the needed number of engineers. IITs were not yet established.2 My father could see that most of the officers who used to come to Napier’s were engineers. He was impressed with them. “Wow! Look at 2 IIT Kharagpur, founded in 1951, was the first Indian Institute of Technology (IIT). 4 Haresh C. Shah • Early Life in India these people. They are building big bridges and canals and railroads.” Then, like a good son, I said, sure, I’ll be an engineer. Anagnos: What kinds of things did you do when you weren’t studying? Shah: In middle and high school we all played cricket, passionately. We would have cricket matches between clubs from various regions. We used to play games with the immediate neighborhood, which are Indian games. One team had to be police, and the other team had to be robbers. The robbers were on the run, and the police had to find them, and arrest one at a time. The way to arrest someone was to throw some color on their body. Anagnos: Did you ever help your father in his shop? Shah: My father never wanted me to do anything in the shop. He said, I want you to study. I want you to become either a doctor or an engineer, and I want you to do good things. So, we were not encouraged to work in the shop. He was worried that if we joined him, we would end up running the shop. Indian Independence Anagnos: I am curious about the independence of India in 1947, and what that was like for you. I read in Anil Chopra’s oral history that his family lived right on the border of what is now Pakistan, and so for his family, it was quite disruptive.3 3 Anil K. Chopra Connections, The EERI Oral History Series, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Oakland, CA, 2021, pp 1–4. Chapter 1 Shah: Because Gandhi was the main driver of the nonviolent independence campaign, he’s called the Father of the Nation. He was jailed many times. In 1942, he was jailed in Pune at the Agakhan Palace for two years. Pune was always a center of agitation in support of Gandhi. Always! Even ten to 15 years before Independence there were frequent marches. Gandhi being there, he would not allow violence, but he would have Satyagraha, that is, resistance without violence. We were very much aware of what was going on to resist the British, to tell them, it’s time for them to go home. But we were not affected by partition.4 We were too far from the so-called border. At that time, they had a commission appointed to draw the line, and these people drew the line without knowing anything about the communities. They just took a map and drew the line. It just created havoc, and that havoc displaced more than 10 million people. Many died. Never Experienced an Earthquake in Pune Anagnos: Pune is in a seismic region. Did you experience any earthquakes? Did that have anything to do with you being interested in earthquake engineering? Shah: I lived in Pune for 21 years, and I never experienced a single tremor, never, not even once. You know the Southern Peninsula, called Deccan, is considered the most stable region of India. Most of the earthquakes that 4 This refers to the partition of British India in August 1947, in which two independent nations were formed: India and Pakistan. 5 Chapter 1 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series have occurred were after construction of a very large irrigation project, not too far from Pune. They built a huge dam, and it triggered events. The area, which was relatively aseismic, or low seismicity, became seismic. Since that big dam, Pune had a few tremors, including the big one in 1967. Borcherdt: Is that the Koyna Dam? Shah: Yes, and I have visited Koyna Dam. Most of the earthquakes near Pune on the Deccan Peninsula occurred after the 1960s, when the dam was built. In ’64, I think, there was a drought, and there was a huge draw down of the lake. Then in ’65, I think, there was a good rain, and again filling up the dam, because that area is surrounded by hills. It’s the Western hills. This drawing down and filling it up may have resulted in changing the seismicity of the immediate region. College of Engineering at University of Pune Anagnos: You went to the College of Engineering at University of Pune, what was the education like there? Shah: In the 1950s, when we finished high school, we had to attend a college for the first two years. At Wadia College, which was not junior college, they also awarded bachelor’s degrees, and master’s degrees, we learned everything: general education, biology, chemistry, mathematics, science, statistics, you name it. Then there is a very competitive, very difficult general exam. Those who were inclined to go to medical school took a special exam for medical school. Those who were 6 inclined to go into engineering, they took a special exam for engineering. There were no IITs at that time. The important engineering schools were Pune, Roorkee, Banaras and two or three others. Being from Pune, I wanted to go to College of Engineering, Pune. They take, maybe one student out of a thousand. And they take only 140 students in civil, 140 in mechanical, and so on. I took the tough examination to enter engineering, and I was selected to go to Pune. I was fortunate that it was my first choice, and I was admitted. Even though my record was excellent, there were many students who were better than I was. Just unbelievably bright students, but fortunately I got in. At the engineering college we have to do three more years. When I was growing up in India, we spent 11 years in school (plus kindergarten), then two years in college with general humanities and science courses, and then finally three more years in engineering college to specialize in one of the engineering disciplines. Our choices were a Bachelor of Engineering in Civil, Mechanical or Electrical. In first year engineering, I entered civil engineering because my father wanted me to build canals and bridges and so on. I had trouble, because we had to do drawings. In those days you had to learn how to draft plans. We had to do a workshop and make different things. I was good with theory, but not with my hands. I told my father that I don’t like it. I’m really struggling. He said, “Good for you, struggle, but finish it.” So, I hung on. The second year, more theory came, and I started to excel. In the third year, I was really a top student, because we Haresh C. Shah • Early Life in India studied mathematics, statistics, all the theory, mechanics. I loved it, so I did well. Choosing Stanford for Graduate School Shah: While I was in the third year, I applied to University of Glasgow and Imperial College in London. Those two were British schools. In the U.S. I applied to MIT, Stanford and Princeton. Why did I select those three? My brother, who was already in America, said “Haresh, Chapter 1 these are the three well known schools that are similar in cost.” In 1959, Stanford was a good school, but not as well-known as it is today. I got into all of them. Then the question was, where do I go? My brother said, “Haresh, Stanford has the best climate.” That clinched it. The decision was not based on how good Stanford was, or how great the professors were. It was based on what is more comfortable for an Indian; MIT and Princeton are cold. 7 Chapter 2 Graduate School at Stanford “The world is not deterministic. The world is probabilistic. I realized that only two or three years ago. I want you to also learn how the world is probabilistic.”— Jack Benjamin Anagnos: You had a good life in India, and then you decided to come to the United States. How did you plan for it? How did you get here? A Long Ship Voyage Shah: On August 4, 1959, my mother and father said goodbye to me on a ship in Bombay. It was a P&O liner, and it was coming from Australia. The ship was full of students — Australians, Southeast Asians, and Indians going to British schools. There were no regular cruise passengers. It was my first time out of India, so of course, for my parents it was traumatic. There are my parents, letting their 21-year-old son go far away to a place that they never have been to. I really think they were bigger risk takers and bolder than I was. 9 Chapter 2 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series It was the middle of monsoon. The very first day we left Bombay there was a violent storm, the sea was really wild, and I remember the waves rose above our ship. Everybody was sick, sick as hell. I was not, I enjoyed it. The first stop was Aden, in Yemen, just as you enter the Red Sea. It was about 4 or 5 days from Bombay to Aden by ship. When we landed in Aden, we were all missing our Indian food. We asked a merchant on the dock, is there an Indian restaurant? He asked if we were Gujarati, and we replied yes. He said, “Come home, my wife will cook for you. You are Gujarati. You are from India.” His wife cooked a meal that I still remember more than 60 years later. We went through the Suez Canal, and they let us take a side trip to the pyramids. Then through Cairo, to Malta, and finally we reached Marseille, France. Tired of Ship Travel Shah: In Marseille, we decided we were tired of the ship after two weeks of travel. We hatched a plan to get out of the ship and take a train through France to the final destination, Southampton, not realizing that you need a visa, you need money, and you need permission from the ship. We were naïve and so stupid. We just took backpacks, left our bags on the ship, and went by train to Paris. The five of us saw lots of shows in Paris, and had a great time on this adventure. The ship was continuing from Marseille to Gibraltar, around the curve to Southampton. We took the ferry from Calais across the Channel, to go to London by train. At Dover we had to go through British immigration 10 and customs, and they were puzzled as to why we were in Dover. We were supposed to be in Southampton, and the ship had not yet arrived. We said, “We have the British visa to enter.” They said no, the visa was for entering in Southampton. We asked them what should we do. The immigration officer sternly said, “Since you have the British visa, I’ll let you in, but don’t do it again.” That’s all. He just said, don’t do it again. So, we took the train to London. I stayed with some relatives for a week in London. Then the day the ship was supposed to arrive, we went to Southampton to retrieve our baggage. I told the immigration I needed to board the ship to retrieve my bags. He asked why we were not on the ship. He looked at my passport and said, “This is a Dover stamp. What have you done?” We told him we took a train from Marseille to Dover to here. He gave me a long lecture about how it was not appropriate, but in the end he let me go on the ship, pick up my bags. Day 27: Hello United States Shah: Next I took a cruise ship from Southampton to New York. It was only four and a half days. We were six floors below the deck, because I had the cheapest tickets you could buy. I had left Bombay 4th of August, and I landed in New York the 31st of August. My bus the next evening was not to Stanford, but to Baton Rouge, where my brother was. That’s when my real experience of America began. The Greyhound bus goes first to eastern Pennsylvania, and then turns south to Roanoke, Virginia, and then on to Mississippi and Alabama, and Louisiana. Haresh C. Shah • Graduate School at Stanford Surprised and Confused by Segregation Shah: When morning came we were on the edge of the south. We stopped for an hour or so to have breakfast, and take a bath if we wanted. When I got out of the bus I saw signs, colored and white. I asked the driver. “What is this sign of colored and white?” He said, “Oh, these are negroes. Colored is negroes, and white are the white people.” I asked him, “I am from India. What am I?” He said, “You are white.” I was concerned that somebody might not like it if I went to the white bathroom. He insisted, “No, no, no, this is common. You can go to the white. It’s okay.” But I was very timid, so I didn’t go anywhere. I went back to my seat. It lasted like this for the two and a half days to go from New York to Baton Rouge. By the third morning when it reached Baton Rouge, I was absolutely miserable. I had not eaten, and not taken anything to drink. I didn’t know that America was like that. My first three days of experience in the U.S., I’ll never forget. That this so-called advanced country, like America, was to me worse than the caste system in India. In the caste system in India, even the lowest caste, they all look like me. So, just by looking at a person you don’t separate them. I spent a week with my brother, and then took another Greyhound to Los Angeles. When my brother and I were waiting for the bus to leave the Baton Rouge Greyhound station, there were quite a few Mexicans going to Texas. Suddenly a whole group of policemen with batons came in the station and started beating those Mexicans. I asked, “Why are they beating them? What happened?” My brother said that Chapter 2 they suspect that they were not Americans and they were in the U.S. illegally. I said, “How do they know they are illegal? They just started beating them.” He said, “That’s how it works.” That was my second eye-opening experience: the law was what the police thought was the law. Warm Welcome at Stanford Shah: In Los Angeles I changed buses and came to Stanford. When I got out of the bus, right in front of me was the president of the Foreign Students Association. He said, “Welcome Haresh to Stanford.” Wow, how nice! He took me to the foreign students’ office on campus, where my host, John Achelis, and his family were waiting for me. They said, “We are going to be your host family, to ease you into life in America.” I had two weeks to acclimatize, staying with the family. They were wonderful people and had two young children. They gave me a room, and I learned what they eat at breakfast, lunch and dinner. They would take me to campus every day. Churches invited new students from different countries to give a talk to their congregations. During those two weeks, the Achelis family took me to different churches in the Bay Area to speak about Hinduism and our education in India. They even drove us to Santa Barbara to give a talk. It was wonderful. Just 180 degrees different than when I boarded the bus in the south. But that’s when I realized that America is a big country, and everyone is not the same. 11 Chapter 2 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Anagnos: I imagine that going to the U.S. for grad school was expensive. How did you pay for it? Shah: My father had fully paid for all the education of all the children. By the time my turn came he had exhausted a lot of money on education. He said, I will send you and support you, but your brother will also have to help. My brother said, “Of course. You paid for all my education.” He was working in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, as a highway engineer, so he would provide me with tuition support. When I came to Stanford I had no support, but after the first quarter when I earned all As, they offered me support. The tuition was paid by the university, and room and board was paid by my brother. It worked out quite well. After the master’s degree I got an assistantship with my adviser. I would grade all his papers and help him with his research. Anagnos: Was the transition to the U.S. education system difficult? Shah: In our schools, I must say, science, mathematics, statistics and some of the courses like algebra, geometry, calculus, were much stronger than when I came here. Everything that I did at MS level here I had already done in my College of Engineering. So, to me the Stanford courses were relatively easy. The only courses where I didn’t get an A were French and Russian. I just was not interested. I was interested in mathematics and science. Anagnos: Stanford is such a beautiful campus. How did it compare to the campus in Pune? 12 Shah: College of Engineering, Pune was on the banks of a river, and the environment and the facilities were very good. Pune College of Engineering was well set, but nothing compared to Stanford. Stanford is 9,000 acres. Pune College of Engineering was in a city confined by the regular hum drum of the city life. It’s like being within Philadelphia. Anagnos: What were some of your first impressions of Stanford? Shah: When I met at the Greyhound Station by the president of the Foreign Students Association, I immediately felt like I had come home. I looked around and thought what a beautiful campus! Wow! What a nice place this is. Especially looking at Palm Drive and coming to a shaded, beautiful Mayfield Avenue, and entering that old building in which the Foreign Students Association was located. I met some incredibly good people. A fellow by the name of Warmbrun, who was the foreign students’ adviser, shook my hand, and said, “Welcome to Stanford.” I thought, “My goodness, the director also is here.” There were quite a few other students who had arrived a few days before me. We all got together, said hello to each other, and that was my initial shockingly-good impression. Those initial impressions stay with you. Anagnos: After two weeks with your host family, did you move into the residence halls on campus? Shah: I was assigned a room in Crothers Memorial and my roommate was John Drake. He was a little older than I was. I was 21 and he was probably 30. He was employed by Lockheed in Sunnyvale, but he was on leave for Haresh C. Shah • Graduate School at Stanford a year to do a master’s degree in aeronautics/ astronautics. We got along very well. When I moved into Crothers Memorial, I did not know any students in my class. Classes had not begun yet, but Satish Shah, one of my classmates from Pune, came to Stanford in the same class. We two spent a few days walking around the campus and being amazed by how wonderful the campus was. Food and the Social Scene Anagnos: I am curious, did you have trouble finding vegetarian food to eat? Shah: I’m a vegetarian, I do not eat meat. There were no Indian restaurants. There were no Indian grocery stores. But you could manage. At Crothers Hall, I was very popular with the other students, because I would give my meat to my friends. I ate the salads, bread and cheese and other things. I took the meat from the servers, then two or three guys would come with me, and they would take my meat so that they got more. Anagnos: You were already showing your entrepreneurial talent, with your food! Shah: Crothers Memorial housed mainly engineering graduate students, all men. I became the Crothers Memorial social secretary. I thought it would be fun. Being a social secretary, I had to arrange dances many weekends. St. Mary’s women’s college was across the bay, and I would arrange for a bus to bring their students over to have dinner and dance. Those young women would come all the way, and the Crothers Memorial residents would just take the food and disappear. I wanted the Stanford students to be hospitable Chapter 2 and talk to our visitors from across the Bay, even if they did not want to dance. After going through this awkward situation couple of times, I resigned as social secretary. Some Courses Were a Review Anagnos: Did you feel prepared for graduate school? Shah: I learned a lot that first year, but I had already learned much of it in India. Everything that they were teaching in ME 200, which is a math class, or any class in statistics or calculus, I knew. I said, “Why am I doing this again?” I would ask questions, and the questions were not for beginners who were learning it, but for people who already knew calculus. My ME 200 professor, Bill Reynolds, said, “Haresh, you disrupt the class.” I said, “What should I do during class?” He said, “You come and sit. But don’t ask any questions, and as a reward I’ll assign you grading for all the homework. You do the grading, and you’ll be paid for it.” That’s how I started my teaching assistantship in mathematics. Same thing with Jack Benjamin, who became my adviser. Jack used to say, “Haresh, why are you taking my classes?” I told him that his classes were required and hence I had to take them. After two quarters, he asked me if I wanted to go on for a PhD. He told me that he would take care of my financial needs and gave me a scholarship. Stanford Professors Anagnos: Tell us about your professors. There were some real giants at Stanford. 13 Chapter 2 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Shah: Jack Benjamin was the first professor I met.5 He liked scheduling classes at 8 AM. Half of us were asleep, and we didn’t like it. Some of us asked him if he could change his class to 10 o’clock. He said, “Absolutely not. This is an 8 o’clock class, and you come. If you cannot come, just tell me.” That was the end of that argument. The reason we had to start so early was because Don Young and Jack always played golf on the Stanford golf course at 11 o’clock on the days he had classes.6 So we couldn’t see him between 11 until about 2 o’clock. We realized that these professors are important people, and you cannot fool around with their schedule and their golf. 5 Jack R. Benjamin (1917–1998) was a professor in the Department of Civil Engineering from 1948 to 1973. He earned his Doctor of Science degree at MIT in 1942, was in the military during WWII and then taught briefly at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute before going to Stanford. He authored several important textbooks including Probability, Statistics, and Decision Analysis for Civil Engineers in 1970 with Allin Cornell. In 1973 he partnered with Roland Sharpe, Gary Kost and Haresh Shah to found Engineering Decision Analysis Company (EDAC). Then in 1979, along with several others, he formed Jack R. Benjamin & Associates, a consulting firm specializing in hazard analysis, earthquake engineering, and application of probabilistic methods to engineering, safety and management problems. 6 Donovan H. Young (1904–1979) was a professor in both the Department of Civil Engineering and the Department of Applied Mechanics from 1937 to 1969. He was Acting Head of the Department of Civil Engineering in 1952–53 and 1957–58. He completed his doctoral research on steel columns under the supervision of Stephen Timoshenko at University of Michigan. He and Timoshenko later wrote five widely used textbooks. 14 Jack Benjamin did not impress me on the first day. He started telling us how to write like an engineer, in beautiful script. The first week, we spent just practicing A to Z of how to write in a nice script. We were confused, “Why is he telling us how to write?” But he would say that, as engineers, anything we do on the plan must be legible to everybody, and it must be very clear. The first thing we need to understand is how important it is that what we do has absolutely no ambiguity, and is correctly understood by everybody. Then he started talking about approximate methods for determining forces in members. He would draw a frame, or he would draw a structure and ask, “Just looking at it, tell me how it would bend under vertical load. What is the bending under a horizontal load? How will it deform?” He perfected our understanding of how structures behave, just visually, no calculation, no nothing. Then he said, “Okay, if you can visualize the bending, can you tell me where the inflection point is? That is where the slope changes from convex up to convex down.” We thought, why does he want to know that? He then explained that the inflection point is where the moment is zero. He spent so much time making us understand that the structure is telling us, by its shape and by its bending, where it is stressed, where there are large moments, where it has a zero moment, and where the slope changes. It was amazingly effective. We could understand so many things just by looking at the deflected shape. We spent the first quarter only on that, understanding structures and how they behave. The next quarter he asked us to describe the moments and stress distributions in a frame. Haresh C. Shah • Graduate School at Stanford We could do it just by drawing the deflected shape, knowing how the deflected shape controls the moments, and from the moments determine the stresses. That was an eye opener! We never learned anything like this in India. In India, it was all analytical. You calculated your moments and stresses, whereas here was a professor, a well-known engineer, who taught us that engineering is all about understanding the structure, understanding how it behaves. We started getting impressed with him. He was a very low-key individual. He had very few words to say, but oh he knew his structures. Just about at that time he had published a book on how to understand structures and their behavior by their deflected shape.7 We read that book and learned a lot. I took courses from Wilhelm Flügge who taught us theory of plates and shells.8 It was extremely mathematical. He was an amazing German mathematician. We learned so much from him, especially mathematics, and I felt very comfortable because mathematics was 7 Jack R. Benjamin, 1959, Statically Indeterminate Structures: Approximate Analysis by Deflected Structures and Lateral Load Analysis, McGraw-Hill. 8 Wilhelm Flügge (1904–1990) was a professor in the Department of Applied Mechanics. His early career was in Germany, and in 1934 Flügge published his most noted work Statik und Dynamik der Schalen, which was translated into English in 1960. He and his wife, Irmgard Flügge-Lotz, both came to Stanford in 1949 at the invitation of Stephen Timoshenko. Flügge-Lotz was a pioneer in the development of the theory of discontinuous automatic control. In 1970, Wilhelm Flügge was awarded both the Theodore von Karman Medal in Engineering Mechanics, and the Worcester Reed Warner Medal from the American Society of Mechanical Engineers. Chapter 2 something I really enjoyed. Flügge’s classes were entirely new. I had never before learned anything that he taught. We had classes from Harry Williams, who taught soil mechanics.9 The topic was new to me, but I didn’t like any of his classes, mainly because I was not interested in soil mechanics. I took some courses from Jim Gere, who was an associate professor at the time.10 He was an 9 Harry A. Williams (1901–1982) earned an Engineer’s Degree from Stanford in 1933 after working for Standard Oil Company for five years. He joined the Civil Engineering faculty in 1933 and taught for 38 years. During the 1940s, he saw a void in Stanford’s Civil Engineering curriculum in the then-developing area of soil mechanics. To fill this gap, he developed a soil mechanics laboratory and created undergraduate and graduate courses, which he taught until 1966. He studied the fatigue properties of building materials, and effects of dynamic loads on buildings with Professor Lydik Jacobsen (who was the first president of EERI and the engineer’s thesis advisor for John A. Blume). With Professor Jack Benjamin, he performed a series of now classical experiments on shear walls. Other investigations included the behavior of light-weight concrete, masonry, and plywood. 10 James M. Gere (1925–2008) was a professor in the Department of Civil Engineering and co-founder of the John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center at Stanford. After earning a master’s degree at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, he was awarded one of the first NSF Fellowships and went to Stanford to earn his PhD. His PhD thesis, Bending and Torsional Vibrations of Thin-walled Bars of Open Cross Section (1954), was completed under the supervision of Donovan H. Young. Gere authored nine textbooks, many of which were co-authored with Stanford colleagues including, Stephen Timoshenko, William Weaver, Helmut Krawinkler, and Haresh Shah. 15 Chapter 2 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series amazing professor. Bill Weaver, who was an assistant professor, was the one who started teaching us matrix methods.11 Matrix methods were new, just coming online, and that was his research. None of that was familiar from India. In India, it was very traditional, moment distribution and the general way of calculating stresses and moments. We never discussed that these things are related to deflected shape, or why a shell structure is better in terms of economy than a conventional structure. Things like weight versus cost versus behavior were something that we did not learn. Borcherdt: I was curious, as to whether you knew Professor Timoshenko.12 11 William Weaver. Jr. (1929–1994) was a professor in the Department of Civil Engineering from 1969 to 1984. He was responsible for pioneering research, including six textbooks, on the application of matrix methods and finite element methods to the static and dynamic analysis of complex structural systems. 12 Stephen P. Timshenko (1878–1972), was born in Ukraine and performed some of his early research on the Rayleigh method, elastic bucking, theory of elasticity and beam deflection at several universities there. He left Ukraine for political reasons, and took a professorship at Zagreb Polytechnic Institute (1920–1922). In 1922 he moved to the U.S. and worked at Westinghouse Electric Corporation (1922–1927), University of Michigan (1927–1936) and Stanford University (1936–1944). He remained an emeritus professor at Stanford until his death. He authored 13 influential textbooks, including Strength of Materials and Engineering Mechanics. In 1957, the American Society of Mechanical Engineering established the Timoshenko Medal to recognize his important contributions in the field of applied mechanics. 16 Shah: Professor Timoshenko stopped teaching before I came, but he was regularly on campus. He collaborated quite a bit with Don Young. I’ll tell you an incident. I was a Teaching Assistant for Don and was meeting with him to prepare the final exam and go over the solutions. There was a knock on the door, and before Don said anything, Timoshenko burst in. Don looks at him and says “Don’t you know I am meeting my teaching assistant and working on solutions for the upcoming examination?” My goodness, he was telling Timoshenko that because Haresh was sitting with him, he’s busy. So Timoshenko apologized and he left. I was completely embarrassed because these were the giants of mechanics during those times. Timoshenko used to give special lectures after he was no longer teaching, at least one lecture a quarter. His lectures were about his experiences over the years in Germany, his experiences working for General Electric or some of his colleagues in this country, and he would give lectures on that, or why he got involved in mechanics. I attended every seminar or lecture he gave, and his English was Russian-English, wonderful accent. Really, you know, you were just thrilled to sit in a room in which Timoshenko was lecturing, because we were using all his works, whether theory of plates and shells, structural dynamics, … so many books. What impressed me the most about these great professors — Timoshenko, Gere, Young — is that they had one thing in common, they treated everybody with great humility. It’s amazing they had no arrogance. They were so good in treating their students. To them, their students were the ultimate important people. Haresh C. Shah • Graduate School at Stanford Fellow PhD Students Anagnos: Some of your fellow students, like Allin Cornell and Ted Zsutty, later became well known academics in the field of earthquake engineering. Shah: When I came in ’59, Allin Cornell was in his senior year.13 He was not yet a graduate student, so we did not interact in the first year at all. Ted Zsutty14 and Bill Venuti15 were already PhD students, so initially we did not interact with them very much. All these people, with whom I later interacted intensely, were not in my cohort. Anagnos: You didn’t overlap very much at Stanford with John Blume. When you were a student, did you interact with him at all? 13 Carl Allin Cornell (1938–2007) earned his BA in architecture (1960) and MS (1961) and PhD (1964) in civil engineering from Stanford. He became a professor at Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1964–1983), and then returned to Stanford in 1983 as a research professor. His research was foundational in the development of the field of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. 14 Theodore C. Zsutty (1929–2022) earned his PhD in 1961 and became a professor at San José State University (1961–2005). He was heavily involved in the development of codes and served as editor for several editions of the SEAOC Blue Book and the initial Seismic Design Manuals. 15 William Venuti (1924–2024) earned his PhD in 1963 and taught at San José State University (1955–1997). His research and consulting activities focused on prestressed concrete. In 1971, Bill taught Jack Benjamin’s classes when Jack took a personal leave. Chapter 2 Shah: John Blume knew both Don Young and Jack Benjamin quite well. John would come to Stanford often to see Don. When he came, we students would meet John on campus, and a few times Don arranged for us to go to Blume’s office to see what a San Francisco structural engineering office looks like. John very graciously showed us around and talked about various projects. He had quite a few projects on nuclear shelters, and also nuclear power plants. We all looked up to him as a big time engineer owning an office in San Francisco. We got to know him enough that he confided in us that he really would like to do a PhD. But he felt uneasy at his age that his opportunity is gone. Don Young used to say, “There is never a lost opportunity. If you want to do it, come back and I’ll be your advisor. I’ll give you a problem that even you will find interesting.” So that’s how John came back to Stanford in ’64. I was already at Penn. He finished his degree before I came back in ’68. The World Is Not Deterministic Anagnos: When I came to Stanford, we all took probability and statistics for civil engineering (CE 203). Did you have any class like that at that time? Shah: No, there was no class like that in civil engineering at that time. That happened later. Anagnos: How did you get so involved with probabilistic methods? Shah: I was really attracted to the work Jack Benjamin was doing, so I talked to Jack. “What should I do after my Masters? Should I take a job somewhere and then go back to 17 Chapter 2 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series India, or should I go on for a PhD?” He said, Haresh you are doing quite well. But you need to learn a few new things. I’m also learning, so you will learn with me. He said, “The world is not deterministic. The world is probabilistic. I realized that only two or three years ago. I want you to also learn how the world is probabilistic. If you take ten cylinders of concrete and break them, why don’t they all fail at the same time, even though they were made together? Because there are so many uncertainties and variables and hence each one is different. Just like every person is different, even twins are different.” He said, you need to learn statistics. So I took the first course, STAT 110 taught by Gerald Lieberman.16 Just statistics, how to deal with data. And I aced it, I really liked it. Shah: Next, Jack suggested that I take STAT 116, which is probability. Almost every student in the classroom was a statistics major. They had already taken many other statistics classes and we engineers were thrown into that class. It was tough, and we struggled, but made it through. Every time we took these types of courses, Jack and some of his students, 16 Gerald Lieberman (1925–1999) was hired in 1953 in both the Department of Industrial Engineering and the Department of Statistics at Stanford. He later played a key role in founding the Department of Operations Research in 1967, held numerous administrative positions, including Provost, and retired in 1994. He made significant scholarly contributions to statistics and operations research in the areas of sampling inspection, quality control, regression, system reliability, replacement policies, inventory control, and stochastic assignment problems. He wrote several widely-used textbooks on statistics in engineering and operations research. 18 Ted Zsutty included, would discuss what we learned. As Jack told us, he himself had a lot to learn. So through him and through our discussions we realized that there is a lot to be understood in engineering about why things sometimes happen unexpectedly. Anagnos: What was Jack Benjamin like as an advisor? Shah: Jack was a guy of very few words. He did not speak if he didn’t want to or if he didn’t have to. But as time went by, we got to know each other quite well. As a matter of fact, my thesis was typed by his daughter, completely free. I would invite him to my apartment for dinner, and we would sit down and talk. Usually the talk was about his work, his golf, and his background. He was a superb adviser in the sense that in just a few words he would say “You dummy, that’s not the way to do it.” But, he never underestimated you or overestimated you. He had a knack for understanding what you could or could not do. Jack was kind of an enigma, in the sense that I couldn’t figure out until the very last few days of his life that he was a real philosopher. Students either loved him or hated him because of his style. When I would tell classmates what a fantastic guy he was, some students would look at me like I was crazy. But he really was wonderful. Without him I wouldn’t have been given all the opportunities that I got. He would go out of his way to make sure that his students were placed in the right place. He did that for all his students. Anagnos: Would you say that Jack Benjamin was ahead of the state of the practice? In other words, this focus on statistics and variability wasn’t being done elsewhere in the U.S. Haresh C. Shah • Graduate School at Stanford Shah: He was the pioneer. Everybody used to say, what is he talking about? Why is he interested in statistics? He would insist that if you don’t understand statistics, you will not understand engineering, and especially civil engineering, where materials are not homogeneous, materials are not all exactly the same, whether it’s wood, concrete, or even steel. He said, if you cannot master why there is variation and what’s the range of values in terms of strength and deformation and so on, you’ll never be able to understand good engineering. So we all learned together. Research on Probabilistic Methods Shah: Ted Zsutty was researching probabilistic methods for determining strength of concrete beams.17 Jack asked me to do similar work, but for columns, because in columns there is the additional problem of buckling. I had to compile data from all over the country wherever columns and frames were tested, and then use that data and regression analysis to understand the variation. When identical columns, in identical situations, are tested under identical loads, why do they behave differently, that was my research.18 Looking back it seems so trivial, but at that time we did not understand how much variation there was. Chapter 2 We wanted to understand this variation so it could be included in the code to provide proper safety. Anagnos: And how did you get all the data from these experiments around the United States? How did you even know that these experiments were going on? Shah: It was very easy—Jack Benjamin. Everybody knew Jack. He was getting data from everywhere, through his contacts. He would just give us the data and say, this is from Illinois, this is from Berkeley, this is from wherever there was testing. You know, he earned his PhD at MIT, then he taught at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, and then he came to Stanford. He knew faculty from these schools, and he would get data from them. Ted and I got heavily involved, because we were doing similar work, though on different parts of the structure: he on beams and me on columns. 17 Zsutty, T. C., 1961, A Statistical Analysis of the Ultimate Strength of Reinforced Concrete Beams Without Web Reinforcement, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Stanford University. I learned a lot from Ted. He was very frustrated many times trying to figure out why there was so much variation. It turned out that the samples and data were from two different universities using different equipment and testing methods, and hence, it was difficult to compare their results. In 1961, Ted finished his PhD and Bill Venuti started to collaborate more with Jack. Bill had taken a leave of absence from San José State to come full time to Stanford to finish his PhD, which he had been doing in bits and pieces while he was working.19 Ted, Bill, Allin Cornell and I used 18 Shah, H.C., 1962, Application of Regression Analysis for Predicting Ultimate Strength of Reinforced Concrete Columns, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Stanford University. 19 Venuti, W. J., 1963, Probability of Fatigue Failure of Bonded-type Prestressed Concrete Beams, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Stanford University. 19 Chapter 2 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series to meet at Bill’s house quite often to talk about our work. It was amazingly friendly, a good learning environment. Everyone was trying to help each other. Everyone was trying to learn also from Jack. Jack, as I said, spoke very little. He would say two words, and then we had to decipher; what did he say, what does that mean? But it was good, because together we developed a system for deciphering what Jack was trying to tell us. Anagnos: What was Allin’s particular take on this whole thing? What was his PhD research? Shah: During my second year at Stanford, Allin joined the master’s program. He was a wizard. I was a TA for Jack, and I remember Allin in those classes, and he was very good, right from the beginning, from day one. For his PhD, Allin worked on stochastic processes.20 It was more related to dynamics. 20 Cornell, C. A., 1964, Stochastic Process Models in Structural Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, Stanford University. 20 His background at Stanford, in mathematics and statistics, was very strong. So he came with a very strong interest, as well as knowledge, in statistics. He was a natural at deciphering how to deal with a problem. We all trudged along, and in September 1962 Bill Venuti and I submitted our theses. They did not award your PhD degree at the endof-summer. Instead they told us our degrees would be at the end of fall quarter, and if we wanted to walk through the ceremony, come back in June. So our degrees were awarded in January ’63, and Bill and I walked through graduation in June ’63. Chapter 3 Choosing an Academic Career Even though living in Philadelphia is not like living at Stanford, “Go there” was the very best decision and advice Jack Benjamin gave. Anagnos: What were your options after you finished your PhD? Shah: NASA in Mountain View had lots of jobs for PhDs at that time. That was one opportunity. Second, was the academic world, but jobs in the academic world were few and far between. I talked to Jack and he said “Why don’t you work with me here? I will give you a postdoc, and during the time you are doing the postdoc, we can find a job for you. I have a project on nuclear shelters. You will have to understand everything about nuclear explosions, the blast loads, the protective systems of concrete and other materials, and how much protection the earth itself gives, so that we can build these types of shelters with the right materials, and determine how deep underground they should be.” I ended up working on that project in the summer of ’63, after I had been teaching at Penn for a year. 21 Chapter 3 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series First Job at University of Pennsylvania About February ’62, before I had even submitted my thesis, Jack talked to the head of the Civil Engineering Department at the University of Pennsylvania. His name was Sidney Shore.21 Sidney knew Jack quite well; they both were structural engineers. Jack must have said that I was a good student, and I would be a good assistant professor, because Sidney asked me to meet him at a conference he was attending in Berkeley. We talked for about ten minutes while he was busy with his conference. He didn’t say anything about a job, and he left. A couple of weeks later I got a letter of appointment. I said, “What? I have not applied yet.” He said, “Jack did. Jack told me that you are good, so I am the committee of one, and I decided. Come to Penn on August 1.” Although I wouldn’t have finished my PhD, he said he would give me an instructor position until the degree was granted. So, I became an instructor in civil engineering starting August 1, 1962. The position was changed to Assistant Professor in January ’63, as soon as I earned my PhD. Anagnos: Before we talk in detail about your life at Penn, I want to ask about your wife Joan. Were you already married when you moved to Pennsylvania? Shah: When I was finishing my PhD in ’62, I was one of the few students who had a car. 21 Sidney Shore (1921–1981) began his career as an Assistant Professor at Princeton University from 1946 to 1952. He then spent 30 years at the University of Pennsylvania as a civil engineering faculty. He was a pioneer in the use of electronic computers for civil engineering analysis. 22 Since many didn’t have a driver’s license, they would ask if I could be a driver to take them wherever they wanted to go. I had a friend who had a girlfriend who worked in the German Consulate in San Francisco. On weekends, he would go on a date with her. I was the official chauffeur, acting like a chauffeur, never telling her that I am his friend. I did this for a few weeks and then told him it was getting to be too much. Next time he wanted a ride, he would need to find me a date. He told me, that’s not a problem, his girlfriend has a roommate from Holland who she can bring. So that’s how I met Joan in February ’62, being a chauffeur. She was completing an undergraduate degree in psychology at San Francisco State at the time. When I went to Penn, I left as friends with Joan, but we kept in touch. She came to Pennsylvania and we got married in December 1965, and our older son Hemant was born in 1966. Anagnos: That was pretty brave of her to pick up and move across the country to Pennsylvania. Getting back to being a professor at Penn, did you introduce probabilistic methods to the curriculum, or did they already have it? Shah: I gave a graduate seminar on probabilistic methods, but there was no course. At Penn, all graduate courses were in the evening to take care of the students who worked during the day. I used to teach three courses at Penn, one seminar and two other courses. The seminar was on probabilistic methods. That seminar turned into a course when I came to Stanford. Jack already had started teaching probabilistic methods, but as an ad hoc seminar, not a formal course. Haresh C. Shah • Choosing an Academic Career Anagnos: You’re saying that when you came to Stanford, that’s when the CE 203 class got started. Great class! It was fun and covered all new content for me as master’s student. Shah: Yes, that’s when it really got started. Exploring Career Options in India Anagnos: Why did you decide on an academic career? Did you think about any other kinds of careers, or did it just sort of fall in your lap? Shah: When I finished my PhD, I had tremendous pressure to go back to India from my family, especially my mother. Even though I had an offer from Penn, I applied to the Indian Space program as soon as I finished my thesis. I also applied to the Indian Space and Research Organization, and a center for research on armament in India. I got interviews with both. One was in Pune, where I came from, and the other one was in southern India, where the space station was. I went to southern India for the interview and they had me stay in a guest house. In the morning I saw a huge snake in the bathroom. I thought, this is not a place for me. I told them, “Thank you for inviting me, but I’m not interested. You have a snake in the guest room where I was sleeping, so I don’t want your job.” I left without any interview. What is funny is that without an interview, and my bad behavior, I still got an appointment letter. Of course, I didn’t go. Anagnos: Well, I would be put off by a snake in my bathroom too. Chapter 3 Shah: The other job, which was in Pune, was doing research on armaments. My family knew the director of that center, so I was assured that I’ll get a job. I had a good chat with him, but I wasn’t interested. This is not what I wanted to do. I wanted to be with students so I could learn continuously all my life. You know, after a few years it’s not only you who teaches the students, the students also keep you current. I knew that through my own experience with Jack Benjamin that we taught him a lot related to some analytical things. The academic world was something very attractive to me. Anagnos: Between 1959, when you left India and 1963, when you came back for interviews (fortunately flying this time), had you gone back to India at all? Shah: No. Anagnos: This is the first time you saw your family. Wow! Shah: They were very happy that I was there to look for a job. But they were very disappointed that I did not accept either job. Research on Helicopter Rotor Fatigue Anagnos: Tell us about your first faculty position at Penn. Shah: The University of Pennsylvania was the best thing that happened to me as a young new faculty member. For the first time, I realized that you have to think about your research on your own. There is nobody to hand you a research project. You have to support your students financially. The ecosystem of 23 Chapter 3 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series writing proposals, getting research funds, and supporting students was unknown to me until I had to do it. Philadelphia was an excellent location, because Boeing Vertol Aircraft Company had their headquarters for all their Chinook and other helicopters in Philadelphia. The first thing I did was write a proposal on probabilistic methods of determining fatigue failure of rotor blades. Fortunately, I was funded, which meant that in the very first year I could support PhD students. I was there for six years, ’62 to ’68, and produced four PhD students. There are a couple of reasons I could do this. One, availability of funding and understanding how the system worked. Two, a couple of summers I could get a consulting job working at the helicopter facility. I realized how good some of the designers and the engineers were, and how real problems in the field were challenging them, like rotor blades failing due to fatigue. They just couldn’t figure out why they had such a large safety factor and still those blades were failing. Finally, my position at Penn gave me an opportunity to publish in my own name with my students as co-authors. Later Jack hinted to me that one of the determining factors in my Stanford faculty application was that all my publications were in my name and my students’ names. This showed that I had started my career independently, rather than relying on my former professors to help me. It made me independent. It made me struggle, and it made me a faculty member. When I came to Stanford I was ready. I was ready to write proposals to NSF or anybody within my universe of opportunities. Penn worked out well. 24 Anagnos: That’s an interesting story, because your background was in civil engineering, and then you’re researching fatigue on rotor blades for helicopters. I guess mechanics is mechanics, but nonetheless it was a very different application of all the theory that you had learned. Shah: Essentially it was mechanics, as you say, but a very different type. As a matter of fact, during that rotor blade problem, I had to learn something about entropy and theory of maximum entropy. I learned all kinds of things. Even though living in Philadelphia is not like living at Stanford, “Go there” was the very best decision and advice Jack Benjamin gave. Job Opportunity at Stanford Anagnos: How did you end up going back to Stanford? Shah: Jack still wanted me to work on this project with nuclear fallout shelters. So in summer ’63, when I came to walk through the graduation ceremony, I worked with Jack on the nuclear explosions and shelters for the public. Shelters were a craze in those days, because the political environment and the nuclear environment around the world was very dangerous, and all Americans were afraid of some accident where people would be subjected to nuclear fallout. During that summer Jack asked if I would like to stay at Stanford. I said, yes, I would like to come back from Penn. He told me, we can get you a job as an assistant professor, but if I were you I wouldn’t do this. For your own good, stay where you are. Publish some papers, make Haresh C. Shah • Choosing an Academic Career a name as a young faculty member, and then when Don Young retires, you will be a good candidate. So, I stayed at Penn. Don planned to retire in ’67. By that time Jim Gere had become the department chair, so he announced the position. All of Jack’s students applied because the position was about probabilistic methods in civil engineering. Over a period of three months we all came to give the usual candidate’s lecture to the students. I was told that something like 80 candidates had applied and all of Jack’s students were the finalists. Anagnos: At that time, which universities had students completing PhD theses in probabilistic methods? Shah: MIT did. Berkeley was just getting started, but they didn’t yet have any PhD graduates in probabilistic methods. I think a couple of universities in Canada. The University of Waterloo had a few people working on probabilistic methods. Davenport, in Canada, was doing work in probabilistic methods for wind loads. But somehow Jack’s students ended up as finalists. Chapter 3 with, like Jack Benjamin, Jim Gere and Bill Weaver, had been your professors. What was it like to come back and suddenly be their colleague? Shah: It was fun. For a long time, I still would call them Professor Benjamin, Professor Weaver, Professor Gere. And they kept insisting, call me Bill, or call me Jim. I would say, “Okay, Jim, oh I mean, okay, Professor Gere.” He would say, “There you go again.” It took me a while to become a colleague, rather than being a student. Especially coming from India, you’d never call anybody by their first name. You would always call someone by their official name, professor, or doctor, or whatever. That’s what is nice about this country. Very quickly you become friends, rather than hierarchical. Unlike in the UK where there is one professor and everybody else is the worker. Here there can be ten professors and everybody works collaboratively. There are some incredibly good cultural issues in America that do not exist anywhere else. And that’s what makes it great here. In December ’67, Jim called and said, “Haresh, congratulations. You have a job with us.” That’s how I began my career at Stanford in September 1968, as associate professor of civil engineering. The department was just called Civil Engineering. At that time, specializations of environmental, construction, hydrology, soil mechanics, etc., were under civil engineering, and here was even an architecture specialization. Anagnos: When you came back in ’68, some of these people whom you were now working 25 Chapter 4 Earthquake Engineering at Stanford Application of their tools to the development of seismic hazard maps . . . and quantifying vulnerability was an area with enormous potential for research and discovery. Anagnos: You weren’t going to work on helicopters anymore. How did you establish your research focus when you came back to Stanford? Shah: When I decided to explore earthquake engineering as a research field, I studied earthquake disasters around the world. I did this not for any research, but just for my knowledge of what’s going on, especially in developing countries of Central America, Asia, China, India. Some truly great earthquakes occurred in these areas. I learned that there is no equity in the world in terms of how people suffer, die, lose their houses, lose their livelihoods. While indeed it is part of the solution, I didn’t believe that the highest priority was to fine tune our U.S. codes and building practices. Mind you, this is about 1970, more than 50 years ago. In my own mind, we needed to take simple steps in countries that 27 Chapter 4 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series have the greatest losses and casualties to make significant change with respect to earthquakes and the disasters. When I looked at the history of earthquake engineering, I realized that with all that great work done by George Housner and others, and the great geology work that was going on at Stanford and other places, there was really no change in the number of deaths. If you look at the history, there was not even a blip in the effect that research had made on the number of people dying globally. In my own mind, we needed to start looking at the broader cause of the problem, and not the fine tuning of the engineering. That problem was awareness, resiliency, and making the governments aware that you can minimize, not eliminate losses. Even if you decrease losses by five percent, it would be a huge change. I wanted to go to countries that were completely off the map of earthquake engineering. They had no idea that they could improve their resiliency, by which they could decrease their risk and decrease the impact of the resulting disaster. Anagnos: Now you had an area of focus, what were your next steps? Shah: My first task was to see what the other universities were doing in earthquake research and what aspects of that research needed to be augmented. Most of the research in those days was focused on structural-component testing and structural models for purposes of understanding their behavior under dynamic loads. Researchers were doing plenty of work related to collapsed or damaged structures, but not much on understanding why earthquakes create so many losses and casualties. I wanted to focus on the impact of earthquakes. 28 I wanted to understand the global picture of earthquake impacts. Our observations showed that poorer countries were experiencing more significant impacts than richer countries for the same size earthquake. That is, a magnitude 6 earthquake would be a major disaster in Nepal, but here it would be just a big headline with severe damage and a lot of inconvenience, but not a major disaster. Another motivating factor was the influence of Jack Benjamin and his students on our thinking about how to use some of the available statistical tools to explore earthquake damage and loss. Application of their tools to the development of seismic hazard maps, collection of exposure data, and understanding and quantifying vulnerability was an area with enormous potential for research and discovery. Anagnos: What other work was available for you to build on? Shah: Earlier work, especially by Giuseppe Grandori and others, used empirical methods to develop vulnerability curves, expressed as intensity versus damage.22 However, it was clear we needed to strengthen our understanding of the vulnerability of structures and to incorporate statistical methods in order to estimate uncertainty. We needed to determine how to use uncertainty measures and bounds 22 Giuseppe Grandori (1921–2011), Professor at Politecnico di Milano, worked in probabilistic seismic hazard, seismic risk, structural dynamics and seismic design. He served as president of both the European Association for Earthquake Engineering and the International Association for Earthquake Engineering. Haresh C. Shah • Earthquake Engineering at Stanford Chapter 4 to provide better estimates of damage from the next Los Angeles or San Francisco earthquake. to understand why certain areas are more hazardous than the others.” Bob Whitman and Allin Cornell at MIT were looking at seismic risk of multi-story buildings and nuclear power plants. We undertook development of a similar methodology for cities and civilian society. Stanford’s strength was in structural dynamics, matrix methods, and structural analysis. At the time, we didn’t have the breadth of faculty to create a robust earthquake engineering center that could evaluate all aspects of seismic risk, but that is what we wanted to do. Believe it or not, the Central Bank of Nicaragua gave me a few hundred thousand dollars and said, “Okay, let’s draw the map.” I got in touch with our geology/seismology department, and had some students like Anne Kiremidjian, Chris Mortgat and a few others help me.24, 25 First Seismic Hazard Maps Anagnos: What were some of your first projects? Shah: The first thing I focused on was nearby countries that I could work with. Emilio Rosenblueth was a well-known earthquake engineer in Mexico.23 He introduced me to people in Guatemala and Nicaragua. When the Managua earthquake occurred in 1972, I went to Nicaragua to talk to the government. They didn’t know me from Adam. I just went there and said, “Can we work together to do something about increasing the awareness and resiliency of your country? The first thing to do is to draw seismic hazard maps of your country 23 Emilio Rosenblueth (1926–1994), consulting structural engineer and professor at Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM). Some of his contributions are discussed in Vitelmo V. Bertero Connections, The EERI Oral History Series, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Oakland, CA, 2009, pp 85–86. Nicaragua led me to Guatemala.26 Guatemala led me to Costa Rica 27, which led me to Honduras.28 I was working throughout Central America, and at one time I had a problem with not enough students. Because each country needed two or three students, and there were not enough students to do the work. Some of 24 H.C. Shah, C.P. Mortgat, A. Kiremidjian, and T.C. Zsutty, 1975, A Study of Seismic Risk for Nicaragua, Part 1, John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center Technical Report 11, Stanford University. 25 H.C. Shah, T.C. Zsutty, H. Krawinkler, C.P. Mortgat, A. Kiremidjian, and J.O. Dizon, 1976, A Study of Seismic Risk for Nicaragua, Part 2, John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center Technical Report 12, Stanford University. 26 A.S. Kiremidjian, H.C. Shah, and L. Lubetkin, 1977, Seismic Hazard Mapping for Guatemala, John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center Technical Report 26, Stanford University. 27 C.P. Mortgat, T.C. Zsutty, H.C. Shah and L. Lubetkin, 1977, A Study of Seismic Risk for Costa Rica, John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center Technical Report 25, Stanford University. 28 A.S. Kiremidjian, P. Sutch and H.C. Shah, 1979, Seismic Hazard Analysis of Honduras, John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center Technical Report 38, Stanford University. 29 Chapter 4 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series it was field work. You had to go to the country, understand the local geology, what the seismologists were saying there, and what the state of knowledge was. Anagnos: These projects you just mentioned spanned many countries. What kind of lessons did you learn? Shah: Thinking about risk analysis on a global scale, one thing became very clear to me. I learned from my trips to Nicaragua, China, Costa Rica, Panama, Honduras, Guatemala, Algeria, Myanmar, and Vietnam that every country had different problems. In all cases, something beyond engineering came into play. Sometimes it was corruption, sometimes politics or economics, sometimes lack of education, and sometimes lack of motivation. Sometimes it was combination of all of these. For example, China and India are two huge countries with a very large supply of very talented people, who could do anything we can do in this country, and maybe even better and cheaper. But still in the 1960s and ’70s during the Cultural Revolution and the early years of India’s independence, they were struggling and unable to implement effective risk reduction policies. As a result, we tried to account for the socioeconomic factors in our efforts to encourage implementation of earthquake risk reduction policies in developing countries. I will tell you about a big political mistake. In Guatemala, I knew the owner of the biggest engineering company. He, together with our Stanford team and some funding agencies in Guatemala, developed a Guatemalan seismic hazard map (not a risk map). When we drew the map, Guatemala City came in the Red Zone. It was one of the worst areas in 30 Guatemala, and the government didn’t like that. The government called me and said we would like you to remove the city from the Red Zone. I said, “Look, you asked me to draw a seismic hazard map with whatever little information we have. It looks like Guatemala City is in a Red Zone.” They said, “You are not going to remove it?” I said, “No, you can remove it if you want, but my final report will say that it is what it is.” The next morning, the newspaper said that the government determined that I am incompetent and that I should be declared as persona non grata. The headline was something like, Stanford Professor declared persona non grata, and he must leave the country. I got a letter at the same time that we must leave the country. So I was thrown out of the country. Borcherdt: Was there another map that had been made? Shah: They were working with USGS on one. Anagnos: But you did publish the seismic hazard map as Blume Center Report No. 26. There are two versions. There’s the USGS version, and then there’s your version as a report. Right? Shah: Correct. I don’t know what the USGS did later on, officially, but one of the consultants advising Guatemala was from USGS, and he was the one who was responsible for saying that I’m incompetent. Anyway, they called me back after a few months and asked if I could now continue the risk work, and get the data on the population and housing and the economy. I said “Sure, I have no problem with working. If you think this is something that needs to be done, let’s do it.” So we did the second part of the project. Haresh C. Shah • Earthquake Engineering at Stanford Same thing in Algeria. In Algeria we did all the work, developed the map, and analyzed the risk, with Ted Zsutty. Ted wrote a model code for Algeria, and we published it. We recommended that it should be mandatory, and the government didn’t want it mandatory. We argued that if it’s not mandatory, it won’t work, nobody will use it. They didn’t like it, and eventually they made its use voluntary. What can you do? Politics is more powerful than science Anagnos: When you did that first work in Nicaragua, had you ever drawn a seismic risk map before? How did you know where to start and what to do? Shah: It was Allin Cornell’s idea. Allin and his colleagues at MIT were working on seismic risk for individual buildings.29 And they gave me an idea. I said, “If they can do it for individual structures, why can’t I do it for a whole region?” But I had never created a risk map before. The students and I learned from each other, made mistakes, so many times we made mistakes. John Blume sent one of his top employees, Jagat Dalal, to do his PhD under me.30 We initiated a plan to develop methodologies for assessing the impact of large earthquakes on cities and urban areas. We developed site-specific 29 R.V. Whitman, J.M. Biggs, J.E. Brennan III, C.A. Cornell, R.L. de Neufville, and E.H. Vanmarcke, 1975, Seismic Design Decision Analysis, ASCE Journal of the Structural Division, 101(5), 1067– 1084. 30 J.S. Dalal, 1975, Probabilistic Seismic Exposure and Structural Risk Evaluation. John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Report No. 15. Chapter 4 analysis procedures for probabilistic estimates for damage and loss along the lines of what Allin Cornell described in his 1968 Engineering Seismic Risk Analysis paper.31 At that time, we did not realize that extrapolation of these procedures to risk assessments for urban areas would lead to procedures useful for the insurance industry. I also came to know Franz Sauter, a famous engineer who was running a large office in San Jose, Costa Rica.32 He came to Stanford, heard about our ideas and suggested that we collaborate. He showed me some of the work he was doing and provided advice about what could be done in a country that did not have a very sophisticated understanding of the behavior of structures. He was pivotal in helping us understand that each country has a different level of understanding and that seismic hazard and risk assessments for each country must account for that level of understanding in order to be effective. 31 C. Allin Cornell, 1968, Engineering Seismic Risk Analysis. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 58 (5): 1583–1606. 32 Franz Fabian Sauter (1933–2003), professor at University of Costa Rica and founder of Franz Sauter y Asociados, a pioneering company in earthquake-resistant structural engineering in Costa Rica. He performed research in the areas of earthquake insurance and damage assessment, earthquake hazard and vulnerability, and earthquake-resistant design for construction projects. 31 Chapter 4 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center Founded Anagnos: Did these efforts contribute to the founding of the Blume Center? Shah: At the same time that we started our research program we were also very diligently looking at funding. The department and the provost gave us initial startup money with the proviso that we would have to raise additional operation and development funds. I was selected to do the fundraising and started talking with John Blume. We also talked to a few other companies in San Francisco to see if they would partially support or become members of the future center. Fortunately, John said he was thinking about it, and he wanted to do something for Stanford. He always said that he wanted to leave his legacy at Stanford in any way he could.33 This discussion went on for a year or so, and finally in 1973 we all agreed that John would provide enough funding to set up the lab and establish the center. I would then have to get external funding from various other agencies to do the research. In 1974 we set up the John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center. The building that became the Blume Center was used previously by the mechanical engineering department, and it housed a wind tunnel.34 We convinced 33 John Blume discusses his role in the founding of the Blume Center in John A. Blume, Connections, The EERI Oral History Series, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Oakland, CA, 1994, pp 90–91. 34 Before it housed the wind tunnel, this same building housed the 9-ft by 12-ft shake table designed by Lydik Jacobsen that was used for the 32 the Provost, the President, and the ME department that the building should be converted into an earthquake engineering lab and center. The Blume Center opening was on September 17, 1976. Provost Bill Miller and John Blume were there. As the founding Co-Directors, Jim Gere and I, were very pleased with the opening ceremonies. In all this, Jim was the most stable person. I was running here and running there, but he was the person who always made sure that the paperwork was done, and signed and agreed upon. He was the person who made it possible. Jim was a perfect partner. I was the person who had many ideas, and who ran around asking people to provide funding. But that doesn’t create a center. Without Jim, the center would not have been possible. Anagnos: Did the founding of the Blume Center affect who you hired as faculty later? Shah: Absolutely. As years went by, we hired people to fill in the gaps that we had in this bigger vision of the Blume Center. Our vision was that this center should impact mitigation of earthquake risk globally, not only for the United States. We wanted to be known worldwide. We wanted to partner with everybody everywhere, including extremely underdeveloped or developing countries. We wanted to make sure that we could understand their needs and what we could do to work with them. Today, I think the Blume Center is probably as well known around the world as in this country. In the U.S. we are part of the various consortia, so people know about us, and our testing of the 15-story Alexander Building described in the engineer’s thesis of John A. Blume and Harry L. Hesselmeyer. Haresh C. Shah • Earthquake Engineering at Stanford Chapter 4 former students are all over the country now. They have contributed tremendously. into the socioeconomic aspects of earthquake engineering. We were very careful in making sure that we kept a bigger picture of why losses occur. It was very clear at that time that losses occur not only as a result of engineering, but there are social, economic, and political aspects, and we wanted to understand all of this together. Seismic Hazard Methodology Public Policy Research Anagnos: Did that lead to your work in public policy research? Shah: Yes, that’s how public policy research came in. For example, as a country or as a research organization, should we invest in prediction or in engineering? Of course, it is not this or that, but where should the focus be? Is prediction going to help in reducing the losses, or is better engineering and better understanding going to help reduce the losses? That was our question. Anagnos: Who funded that public policy research? Shah: We had a center at Stanford, it was called Ethics in Society. I used to talk to their faculty about what we should do. I also started talking to Elisabeth Pate in the Department of Engineering-Economic Systems, and then asked her professor if she could work jointly with him and me.35 The Blume Center partially funded her work. At that same time, there were several students who started looking 35 M.-E. Pate, 1978, Public Policy in Earthquake Effects Mitigation: Earthquake Engineering and Earthquake Prediction, John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Report No. 30. Anagnos: The Blume Center reports indicate that early work focused on stochastic or probabilistic aspects such as exposure, load combinations, soil-foundation interaction, dynamic characteristics, seismic hazard analysis, and risk analysis techniques for different kinds of structures. Then in 1979, the Center published STASHA, Computer Programs for Seismic Hazard Analysis.36 Is this one place where it all came together? Shah: We had a group of students working in the Blume Center over the years who were providing the foundation of good engineering and frameworks for looking at risk, risk management and earthquake resiliency. Each one was contributing, in their own way, pieces of the puzzle, which when put together, help society to better resist negative effects of earthquakes. STASHA, which stood for Stanford Seismic Hazard Analysis, brought much of this work together. Anagnos: Was anyone else involved in the development of the seismic hazard research program? 36 G.A. Guidi, 1979, Computer Programs for Seismic Hazard Analysis — A User Manual (Stanford Seismic Hazard Analysis — STASHA), John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Report No. 36. This was later revised to W. Chiang, G.A. Guidi, C.P. Mortgat, C.C. Schoof, & H.C. Shah, 1984, Computer programs for seismic hazard analysis: a user manual (Stanford Seismic Hazard Analysis— STASHA), John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Report No. 62. 33 Chapter 4 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Shah: USGS provided tremendous support in many areas: seismology and geology. They were very generous in teaching us and letting us use some of the work that was going on there. USGS was always a good partner, even without a formal relationship, their people and our people worked together all the time. More importantly, we had contact with the State Department of Water Resources. They were concerned about the weakest links in the California State Water Project, particularly after the 1971 San Fernando earthquake. Millions of acre-feet of water are transported from Northern California to Central Valley farmland and multiple areas in Southern California. All along the 700-mile system there are huge pumping stations, each one with a very large switching yard. We performed a risk analysis of the system with an emphasis on the vulnerable electrical equipment in the switchyards of the power and pumping plants.37,38,39 Importantly, the Department of Water Resources provided us with State of California funding to understand the behavior of the switching yards. In particular, we did dynamic testing of 230 37 H.C. Shah, M. Movassate, & T.C. Zsutty, 1976, Seismic Risk Analysis for California State Water Project — Reach C. John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Report No. 22. 38 H.C. Shah, M. Movassate, & L. Lubetkin, 1976, Seismic Risk Analysis for California State Water Project — Reach B. John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Report No. 24. 39 A.S. Kiremidjian & H.C. Shah, 1978, Seismic Risk Analysis for California State Water Project. John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Report No. 33. 34 KV circuit breakers with and without seismic isolation of the supporting structure.40 Through the Department of Water Resources, we met the dam safety program people in California and then nationally. This developed into a very successful program to develop and implement risk-based analysis of existing dams with funding from FEMA.41,42,43 Partnerships with China Anagnos: You started the center in 1974, and not long after, in 1976, the Tangshan earthquake occurred, which was a shocking event in terms of damage and loss of life. You and Jim Gere traveled to Tangshan in summer of 1980. Can you tell us a little bit about how that trip came about? Shah: In 1979, in collaboration with EERI, 40 C.A. Kircher, G.C. Delfosse, C.C. Schoof, O. Khemici, & H.C. Shah, 1979, Performance of a 230 KV ATB 7 Power Circuit Breaker Mounted on GAPEC Seismic Isolators. John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Report No. 40. Note: Seismic isolation of the support structure of circuit breakers is the first U.S. application of base isolation to a stucture. 41 R.T. Sewell, 1984, Simplified Seismic Reliability Analysis on Earth Dams. John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Report No. 66. 42 M.W. McCann Jr, J.B. Franzini, E. Kavazanjian Jr, & H.C. Shah, 1985, Preliminary Safety Evaluation of Existing Dams, Volume I. John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Report No. 69. 43 M.W. McCann Jr, J.B. Franzini, E. Kavazanjian Jr, & H.C. Shah, 1985, Preliminary Safety Evaluation of Existing Dams, Volume II — User Manual. John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Report No. 70. Haresh C. Shah • Earthquake Engineering at Stanford we hosted the Second U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering at Stanford. It was the tail end of the Cultural Revolution in China, and we invited some of the top people in earthquake engineering and building research in China to that conference. We went through official channels and invited them, and to our shock they accepted. It was really surprising because that was a time when an official Chinese delegation to the U.S. was very rare. They came, they attended the full conference, and they became very good friends during that conference. During the final conference meeting, they said they would like to reciprocate and invite us. We said we would be delighted, not knowing if we would be allowed to go there or not. Anagnos: What was the trip like and what did you learn? Shah: Jim and I, and our spouses, went to China, and they had a 15-city tour arranged for us. They planned for us to spend three days in Tangshan. We were the first foreigners allowed to visit Tangshan. The Chinese were so embarrassed about the building performance in Tangshan that they didn’t want foreigners to visit. It was like a state secret. They did not want anyone to know how many buildings fell, how many people died, what kind of buildings failed, or what was wrong. But when we went there, it just opened up everything. They started giving us everything. Jim and I authored a report about the Tangshan earthquake when we came back.44 We included 44 J.M. Gere and H.C. Shah, 1981, A visit to Tangshan, China, Earthquake Information Bulletin (USGS), Vol 13. No. 1. Chapter 4 a couple of pages about the Tangshan earthquake in the book Jim and I wrote.45 We also authored an article for the Stanford Daily on the Tangshan Earthquake. Communication Barrier Was Broken Anagnos: What were some takeaways from your trip? Shah: The interesting thing is we didn’t realize how much research they were doing. In 1978, George Housner and some of his colleagues had gone to China, but they were not allowed to go to Tangshan.46 They went to China before we did, but we were the first ones allowed to go to Tangshan. That was the beginning of really understanding how intensely the Chinese were working on earthquake engineering. Their research lab at the Institute of Engineering Mechanics (IEM) in Harbin was the main center. They were doing research in Beijing, in Shanghai, and at many universities in China, but the main center was IEM in Harbin. We visited all the places of interest in earthquake engineering. 45 J.M. Gere and H.C. Shah, 1984, Terra Non Firma: Understanding and Preparing for Earthquakes, Stanford Alumni Association, pp 134–135. 46 Housner discusses this 1978 trip to China in George W. Housner, Connections, The EERI Oral History Series, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Oakland, CA, 1997, p. 205. A report about that trip is also available: P.C. Jennings, 1980, Earthquake Engineering and Hazards Reduction in China: A Trip Report of the American Earthquake Engineering and Hazards Reduction Delegation. National Academy of Sciences, CSCPRC Report No. 6. 35 Chapter 4 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Anagnos: Were there long-term relationships or collaborations that came out of that earthquake? Shah: Once that communication barrier was broken, it became a flood. There were many, many American groups going to China, and Chinese coming here to see us.47 We hosted many of them. In fact, Weimin Dong, who became one of my PhD students and a major developer of RMS, was part of those collaborations.48 In 1982 he was selected to come to Stanford, even though he had no degree because of the Cultural Revolution. Thanks to Stanford and its wisdom, they let him come here as a graduate student. They said, “We don’t only believe in a piece of paper, but we believe in the knowledge that he has.” Anagnos: Did you meet Weimin on that 1980 China trip? Shah: Yes, I met him at a mechanical research lab, doing some work among hundreds of other people. He was one of the senior people, and we were told by our friend, the minister for construction, that he was very smart and had a great future. If possible, they would like to send him to America, to Stanford. 47 As an example, in September 1980 EERI sent a delegation, led by John Blume, to China for the purpose of expanding cooperation in earthquake engineering. A report of the trip is found in the EERI January 1982 report, EERI Delegation to the People’s Republic of China. 48 RMS was the acronym for Risk Management Solutions (now Moody’s), which is discussed in detail in Chapter 5. 36 And that’s how he came to Stanford. He came with two others: Quan Qi and Ibin Bao. The collaboration with the Chinese was excellent for many years, and there were many talented students from China at the Blume Center. World-wide Partnerships Borcherdt: The Blume Center had numerous international relationships in addition to China. Is that correct? Shah: I had a fantastic relationship with Japan. I used to go there every six to eight weeks to learn from them, to talk to them, to understand them. Japan was doing incredibly good work, but one of their problems was their bureaucracy did not allow them to implement what they knew as quickly as other countries. To give an example, in Nepal I could go to the president of the country or the mayor of Kathmandu and say we need your help. The next week there will be a note from the president saying, yes, we are going to try this. When I went to Uganda, Museveni was president (amazingly, years later he still is president). He came to a WSSI (World Seismic Safety Initiative) event. He gave the keynote lecture about his childhood, and how he grew up on the great African Rift, where he used to feel earthquakes. He said he would do anything and everything that is required, as recommended by Stanford, to reduce the seismic risk. We used methods that would be possible to implement for a particular region. For example, we had a very good relationship with then president of Nicaragua Samoza, and I consulted with him regularly. When we went to Haresh C. Shah • Earthquake Engineering at Stanford Algeria, the prime minister was my host every time I went there. The head of the National Building Safety Lab was a friend, and I still keep in touch with him. Same with Nepal. In every country we developed relationships to make it happen. Even though I’m an academic, I understood that academia has two important goals for its research: develop new knowledge, and make sure that it’s used by society. Anagnos: When we first started talking about this oral history, you told us a story about a scary incident in Algeria that showed the dangerous side of earthquake engineering. Shah: I got a project from Algeria, and I took Chris Mortgat with me, because he was an expert in hazard and risk analysis, spoke French and knew the area. Auguste Boissonade, who was our student, used to work with a French government organization (CTC) that helped Algeria with development of codes, earthquake engineering, wind engineering, etc. At that time Auguste was on loan by CTC to Algeria, that is, he was a French engineer helping Algerians. On weekends, which were Friday and Saturday, Auguste’s boss Jean Moulan, Chris and I would go sightseeing. One Friday, we went from Algiers into the mountains to a camel fair, where people buy and sell camels. We spent our day going around the fair eating and taking many pictures. It was a natural tourist thing to do. About 4 o’clock we decided to leave for Algiers. As we were driving we could see behind us flashing lights. We didn’t know whether it was police or what. We moved to one side, and then they moved with us. We thought maybe they wanted to ask us some questions. So we stopped and stayed in the car. It turns out it was a military police. Chapter 4 They came out with automatic rifles and told us to get out of the car, all three of us. We got out of the car and we were told to lie down with our face down on the pavement, on a freeway, with those guys pointing guns at us. Chris and Jean started talking to them. The police only spoke French, so it was not possible for me to converse with them. I asked why are they asking us to do this. Jean said, “They think we are American spies. They thought we were taking very secret pictures at the fair.” It turned out that behind the fair’s fence there was a big military setup. Of course, we had no idea. They were watching us as we were taking pictures. So, they told us to get in the car. With one car in front of us and one behind us, they took us to a military prison nearby. There we were in a military prison. It was January or February, so it was very cold. The military police took our passports, our tickets, and everything important we were carrying. Then another military policeman asked Chris for the camera. Then Chris made a major mistake. He said “We didn’t take any pictures except the camels and the fair” and then opened the camera and exposed the film. The military police said, “You see, you destroyed the evidence. However, we are going to send the exposed film to Paris. They will find out what was on it.” He told us it would take about a week and we would stay in jail. In the meantime, they looked up that we were staying in a very good hotel in Algiers. They looked up our host, for whom we were doing the work, which was their government, the political arm of the government. Later on, the guy for whom we had the project, became a Prime Minister of Algeria. 37 Chapter 4 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series We were really scared. Now at this time, 1975, I was still an Indian citizen. Chris was a citizen of Belgium. Jean was a citizen of France. We had an Indian and Belgian working in America, and a Frenchman working in Algeria. At that time Algeria was fighting Spain for the Spanish Sahara (now called Western Sahara), and America was helping the Spanish. So, there was bad blood between Spain and Algeria. My ticket and Chris’ ticket were to go from Algiers to Madrid, and then from Madrid to California, back to Stanford. They said, what are you as an Indian doing in America? I said, I teach there. No, this is all fake. So I told them to call my university. I gave them all the details about me, and they left. Until now all the conversation was in French. A few hours later, a senior military officer came, and in faultless English he said, Professor Shah, we are very sorry. We made a mistake. You are free to go. We checked you out. Everything you said is correct, so you are free to go. However, you are deported. I said, “Chris, we need to pack up, we have to leave.” But the military guy said to Chris, “Not you. You stay. You destroyed evidence by exposing the film, so we want to investigate a little bit more.” I insisted, “I cannot do that, he’s my student, he has to go with me.” So they talked amongst themselves and said, “You are not going to go to your hotel. We will bring all your baggage from your hotel to the airport. We will escort you to the airport, and you go on the first available flight out of Algeria.” They took us in their military vehicle to the airport, and sure enough, all of our bags were there. The first flight was to Mallorca, and then from there we went to Madrid. It was a close call. 38 While we were waiting, Jean Moulan said, “You know, last week the same thing happened to one of my colleagues, and they shot him. The military here think that the politicians work for them. The real power is the military, and the politicians are put there just for show.” I said, “Why are you telling us this story? Do you want to scare us more than we already are scared?” He said, “I just want you to know that these people are ruthless.” It was scary. Anagnos: Did you ever go back to Algeria after that? Shah: Oh, many times because they invited us back. In 1980, for example, when the El Asnam earthquake occurred, they sent me a ticket by the Concorde supersonic plane from here to Washington, and from there to Paris and from Paris to Algiers.49 And I was in El Asnam the next day. Oh, yeah, I did a lot of work in Algeria after that incident. Impact of the Blume Center Borcherdt: From a historical perspective, the Blume Center was established at an important time and transition for earthquake engineering. The San Fernando earthquake of 1971 had taken place. The Earthquake Hazard Reduction Act of 1978 had been passed with major new funding resources allocated for earthquake engineering and earthquake prediction. You and your colleagues were involved in the 49 Haresh Shah and Vitelmo Bertero led the EERI reconnaissance team to Algeria which, in cooperation with the Organisme de Contrôle Technique de la Construction (CTC) of Algeria, produced the 1983 EERI/NRC report El-Asnam, Algeria Earthquake of October 10, 1980. Haresh C. Shah • Earthquake Engineering at Stanford development of the U.S. National Earthquake Hazard Research Program (NEHRP). What are your thoughts on the impact that establishment of the Blume Center had on defining new directions for research and its applications for earthquake engineering? Shah: If you look at the literature at the time, some of the research was focused on developing new relationships between spectral acceleration, spectral velocity, and spectral displacement, which is not the vibration itself, but an extract of information from the vibrations, such as spectra. My thought was, people in some of these countries don’t even have a record, how are they going to talk about earthquake losses by using spectral acceleration? As I mentioned earlier, my focus, when I was active with the Blume Center, was how the Blume Center could make an impact on losses around the world. I wanted to develop methods that were not $10 methods, but instead were $1 methods. That is, develop much simpler methods, which use what is available, yet don’t produce the conclusions that nothing new can be done. My philosophy was, you can always do something to make the situation better, that is, reduce the risk and losses. Where needed, we used the most fundamental, simple rules of how to connect earthquake shaking with losses. Yet in some places we used sophisticated correlations between the earthquake characteristics (the summary of earthquake vibration, the soil, the soil structure, and all those things) with the losses. I think one of the Blume Center’s biggest contributions was the concept of moving ahead with what you have. Don’t wait until you Chapter 4 catch up with the latest developments at the top research centers doing cutting edge work in their field. It was only after about 1985 that people realized that the world needs a mixture of methods. At that point, industry said they cannot wait for sophisticated methods to come online everywhere. Earthquake insurance became a global thing only after some of the work we did was applied from Myanmar to the San Francisco Bay Area. These assessments showed that taking the whole picture into account was important. They showed that quality of research, quality of knowledge, amount of knowledge, and socioeconomic factors are important. The insurance and reinsurance industries, as well as investment firms, were quick to realize that these assessments were going to help them. Borcherdt: It seems that establishment of the field of seismic risk management and its application are real legacies of the Blume Center and RMS. Shah: As years go by, people will have to make that judgment. But from my perspective, I saw that for the Blume Center partners (many universities, USGS, many small research efforts around the world, from the smallest schools in Guatemala to the finest research in China, India, or the United States), once people were given a map of a direction to take, they all started working and collaborating. Perhaps the Blume Center’s greatest contribution would be making it possible for any country to develop a much better understanding of earthquake risk, even though they are not at the same technological level, or geological and seismological understanding as the United States or Japan. 39 Chapter 4 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Ted Zsutty: A Remarkable Colleague Anagnos: Ted Zsutty, one of Jack Benjamin’s former students and a professor at San José State, was an early collaborator of yours, right? Shah: Now here is one person that stands out very tall. Ted Zsutty was one of the most remarkable engineers I’ve ever met, period. He had such a knack of understanding structures and their behavior, and besides, he was a lot of fun. He had the best sense of humor. He and I traveled to many developing countries, and we had a lot of problems, but he never stopped smiling and cracking jokes. He taught me a lot about codes, how to develop codes, how to make them understandable by a particular country, and how to make sure that we use the latest technology and understanding, while at the same time applying them in the simplest way. Ted did not just take the American code or British code and apply it to a different country. Instead, he was able to look at those codes and say, “This will not work in Nicaragua, let us develop something different.” Over the ten to 15 years that we worked together, in every country outside of the U.S., he guided us to solutions that were appropriate and could be applied. Many times, he was frustrated because we would modify the code or design guidelines that the stakeholders would like, but then the legislative body of that country would make its application voluntary even though he recommended mandatory use. We did a lot of good things on the development of applicable codes, but we were not successful at the time in making them mandatory. Today, slowly, some of the seismic codes are being made mandatory. Even in developing countries 40 there are a few types of structures which are required to use the code. So, things are improving, but nothing happens quickly. Personally, I have no patience, but I learned patience working with the decision makers. For example, we would develop what we thought they should implement. They would say, “Okay, let’s think about it. How about next year?” We would say, “Hello, Hello! We have finished it. We want to present it.” And the response was “No. Next year, six months from now.” To them time had a different scale than for us. But we learned. Foundation for Risk Management Solutions Anagnos: I would like to go back to the development of the seismic hazard methodology, the STASHA computer program, and later the IRAS risk system.50 Seems like this research laid the foundation for the development of Risk Management Solutions (RMS). Shah: Without the kind of support that we developed over the years at the Blume Center, it would not have been possible to build a company like RMS. As an example, RMS combined all of the work we did at the Blume Center and put it in a form that society could use. RMS could be responsible for consulting and for making sure that it worked, because in a university we don’t have the resources to 50 W. Dong, J.E. Kim, F.S. Wong, and H. Shah, 1988, A Knowledge-Based Seismic Risk Evaluation System for the Insurance and Investment Industries (IRAS). Center for Integrated Facility Engineering, Stanford University, Technical Report No. 5. Haresh C. Shah • Earthquake Engineering at Stanford Chapter 4 take that responsibility. Typically, we do the research and disseminate it through presentations and publications, and that’s the end of it. However, the Stanford Office of Technology Licensing felt the work we were doing was very important and encouraged us to put it into practice. They wanted to help us create a company. 41 Chapter 5 Risk Management Solutions Really it is the Blume Center students who, one page at a time, taught the world what earthquake risk and earthquake risk management are. RMS Was Not Planned Anagnos: You mentioned that, way back when, the only kind of risk analysis that was being done was in the business world. Now we talk about risk analysis for earthquake, wind, flood, and fire. RMS is part of that revolution. Your students’ research helped develop that foundation. How did that finally come together and result in RMS? Shah: RMS was not planned, it just evolved. RMS is the work of our Blume Center. Mainly students, all of them. Unfortunately, they could not benefit and get the reward of their contribution. Really it is the Blume Center students who, one page at a time, taught the world what earthquake risk and earthquake risk management are. It is the work of giants like Rosenblueth and Cornell, people at MIT, and some very innovative young people in the investment banking area who I came to know over the years. It was 43 Chapter 5 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series a mixture of many things and many people’s contributions. We had done a lot of work around the world. I had worked with investment banks, and learned how desperate they were to monetize earthquake risk. Aetna insurance company and Solomon Brothers said to us, “You have done work in many countries about risk and risk management, let’s work together.” They became our partners. Between ’83 and about ’87, they taught us the insurance business, such as how they work, how they monetize risk, and what is of interest to them. We learned a lot from them, and in return, we showed them what we were doing. They were very interested, so these two companies gave a research project to Stanford, with me as principal investigator. Consequently, the Blume Center’s sources of funding really increased: state government, U.S. and foreign companies, international organizations, National Science Foundation, and FEMA. Weimin Dong was one of the research students. Over the years, there were so many fantastic people on this: Chris Mortgat, Anne Kiremidjian, Auguste Boissonade. Through osmosis we learned a lot. Slowly we approached a realization of a very amorphous idea of what the industry needed to improve risk management. Loma Prieta Revealed the Need to Form a Company Shah: Then the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake occurred, and I talked to the Stanford Office of Technology Licensing. They have helped many Stanford faculty form companies and create alliances between Stanford and 44 those companies. They were amazing. They were so good. I had no idea how this whole thing worked. So, they took me under their wing and showed me how to do it. Anagnos: You and your son Hemant were running a Silicon Valley startup. Shah: Right. They held our hand, helped us start up, and create a company. Because of all the help, they had investment in it, and we collectively decided to name it Risk Management Software [later it became Risk Management Solutions]. The ’89 earthquake suddenly made many insurance, reinsurance companies and investment banks come to us and say, “Can we be part of this?” And without knowing what they were going to get, they provided some funding. Not a whole lot, but some funding. They were not investors, but they were funders of getting the company going. Before we knew it, in couple of years we had enough critical mass that Stanford said, you can do well now on your own. So, Stanford got out. Anagnos: You know what year it was that Stanford got out? Shah: I think they bought out in ’92 or ’93, something like that. Hemant formed the company and became the first vice president.51 His first hire was Weimin Dong. The two of them worked hard. 51 Hemant Shah, Haresh’s son, co-founded the company and led RMS until 2018. In 2019 he founded Archipelago, a data network for insurance brokers and providers. Haresh C. Shah • Risk Management Solutions Hiring Talent to Grow RMS Anagnos: How did RMS pick a CEO? Shah: In 1990, Sutter Hill Ventures wanted to invest. Their condition was we get a CEO. Hemant was still a student. He was 22 years old, just finishing his master’s degree. Since Weimin was from communist China, they didn’t think that he had the knowledge to grow an American company. They recommended a person, Tom Hutton, who was heading the McKinsey office in Los Angeles. If we could convince him to come, they would give us enough funding to pay him. He was introduced to us, and we explained our concept. After some time, he decided it was a great opportunity, and he became the CEO. We were fortunate, Tom is a very bright guy, an incredibly good strategist and strong analyst. We all learned quite a bit from him. Anagnos: Who were some of the other key people that RMS hired to help and why did you bring them on board? Shah: You know, RMS over the years brought in some incredible people, very smart people and collectively, they did a fantastic job. But I will keep the discussion to people from Stanford. I’ll start with Weimin Dong who was there from the beginning and was the Chief Risk Officer. Chris Mortgat became VP of Modeling. He was a consultant on the risk management tools and the hazard and risk management modeling. He helped out anyone who was having trouble understanding what’s going on. Then there was Auguste Boissonade, PhD from Stanford, who became VP of Probabilistic Modeling. He was working on specific models for different Chapter 5 parts of the world and different markets. Fouad Bendimerad, another Stanford PhD, became VP and Chief Scientist. Mohsen Rahnama was Helmut Krawinkler’s PhD student, and served as kind of a chief structural engineer and design person who later became the Chief Risk Modeling Officer. Brilliant fellow, very good, very level-headed. Then there was, Pane Stojanovski, VP of Model Development Operations. Pane came to Stanford as a Fulbright post-doc. He did his PhD in Skopje, Macedonia. He was a very senior fellow who was doing modeling and consulting and helping younger people understand what to do. Surya Gunturi, another Stanford PhD, became Director of Model Development Operations. All these people continued working on things similar to what they did at the Blume Center. Paul VanderMarck was an all-rounder who became the Chief Product Officer. He was a person who could explain to the clients the complexities of the model and how to interpret their results. He was in marketing, but really a chief technical person who understood the modeling to help the clients understand what they were doing. Anagnos: As I recall, Paul was one of the recipients of the EERI Shah Family Prize for Innovation, wasn’t he? Shah: Correct, he received the Shah Family Innovation Prize in 2003. I was Paul’s advisor when he was an undergraduate getting his bachelor’s degree. Then he was my advisee when he got his master’s degree. After his master’s, I said, “Paul, why don’t you join RMS and you’ll enjoy working with them.” 45 Chapter 5 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series There was a time when the technical side of RMS was run by Stanford engineers. Then we brought in some other Stanford people from the School of Business, our Chief Financial Officer was Steve Robertson, who believe it or not, was a roommate of Weimin when they were students. There are too many to remember, but this gives you a picture of how heavily RMS, the Blume Center and Stanford were closely tied. And I would say that RMS helped Stanford students and Stanford students helped RMS. Anagnos: You had to have technical talent. You had to have people who could run the company and manage the company, and you had to have people who could help you with marketing and working with the clients. You had to have a very broad spectrum of people. Shah: A huge spectrum of people who understood everything from finance to marketing to technology to mathematics to statistics to sales. There was a time, at the turn of the century, when RMS was hiring more Stanford civil engineering graduates, than any other employer. Students who wanted to work in a field other than design and construction, came to RMS. We created a whole new opportunity for our students. Because of RMS, there were so many other companies that were created and they all started hiring Stanford graduates because most of the know-how for the insurance industry was residing in the Stanford students. Attracting Potential Clients Anagnos: As you grew from this little company—just you, Hemant, Weimin and Tom—to an enormous company, what were some highlights of early projects, or milestones that were momentous for the development of RMS? Shah: The highlight for the initial years was to show what we were doing, and convince potential clients that it was something that was new and innovative. To convince them that we were creating a workable model that combined hazard, vulnerability and exposure in a statistical, consistent manner so that we could estimate what the damage would be to their portfolio in the event of an earthquake. Anagnos: Did you start with a single insurance company, or did you have your software and then you just went out and started marketing it? Shah: The latter. Hemant and Weimin would pack up their PC in their car and go to various companies that I knew through my contacts. I knew quite a few people in the industry. So I would set up a meeting for them to go and explain. They were very clever. Initially, they started hiring some of the people from those companies, because they were excited that this was something new, and they wanted to work with us. Hemant, Weimin and Tom said, “Why don’t you join us? Maybe you can tell us something about what your company needs and we can help you.” So, they created mutually beneficial dynamics between the employer, employee and the client. Anagnos: Who were your first clients? 46 Haresh C. Shah • Risk Management Solutions Shah: Initially, a few small companies who were willing to take the risk said they would join us and take a chance. We offered, for a reduced fee, to work together and see how we could develop the model for real issues the company was facing. This continued for a while, and while we were doing that, we realized that insurance companies are good clients but they are small, relatively speaking. They are not capable of paying sufficiently, because their portfolio is local by definition. I came to know the CEO and the chairman of the board of American Re, based in Princeton. His name was Ed Jobe. I told him, “You insure many insurance companies. You depend on their modeling and their ability to insure. Don’t you want that portfolio to be robust so that you don’t lose your shirt?” We tried to convince a few reinsurance companies like that, starting with America Re. He said, let’s do it, and he became our client. Suddenly we became big, because those clients had huge portfolios. Many insurance companies were insured by American Re. When that happened, Munich Re said, hey, why don’t we do it? Then Swiss Re. There was a time when every reinsurance company of the world was a client of RMS. Companies I had never heard of became clients of RMS, because they all realized that they were falling behind. They better find out what’s going on in America. That is when the business of RMS became a real business, when the reinsurance companies joined. Chapter 5 RMS Becomes a Global Company Anagnos: Then you had to open some offices outside of the country. Shah: We opened many offices. For example, Palo Alto, that was the headquarters. We had offices in Chicago, New York, Vancouver, and Toronto. Then we had offices in London, Paris, Munich, and Zurich. Then going further east, we had an office in Delhi. We had more than 4,000 people in the Delhi office doing GIS. That’s all they did. For example, we digitized all the flood maps of the United States. For Toyota Motors, we created the GPS driving maps and we digitized every street, everything for many countries. GIS was something we were doing night and day. We used to have three shifts in Delhi, and they were working 24 hours a day. At one time we had 12,000 people in Delhi office. We didn’t think of GIS as a separate thing, but as part of understanding what’s going on. We had offices in Singapore, Beijing, Tokyo, Sydney, and Auckland. Tokyo was a big office. I created a partnership Oyo-RMS in Tokyo, a whole company with Oyo Corporation. At one time, we had more than a hundred people. I had to create a new position of a CEO in Tokyo, because it was so big. All the Japanese reinsurers wanted to be our clients. These are just the big offices with maybe 60 to 80 people. Then we had locations where some people wanted to work remotely. We had maybe 20 or 30 locations, where somebody had a home office with a couple of employees. We were fine with that. One guy had a house on the slope of one of the volcanoes in Hawaii, and he worked from his home there. Why not? We 47 Chapter 5 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series were very innovative. We were pro-employees, because if they were happy, they would do good job. We gave them lots of freedom, and this was way before COVID changed the way people work. needed to grow, and therefore it grew by itself. The only thing the management did was to make sure that they listened to the right advice. We guided it in the right direction, but the ideas were not exclusively ours. RMS grew by itself because of the good people. The idea was at the perfectly right time, because suddenly insurers realized that they were losing a lot of money in every earthquake event anywhere. We didn’t stay local. Earthquakes occur everywhere all the time. Somebody’s losing something every year on earthquakes. And that insurer is not the only one who loses, but the reinsurer in America who has insured that insurance company in that country also loses. So it became a global business. Borcherdt: Later it expanded to all kinds of catastrophes. Borcherdt: It seems that RMS was well positioned when the 1994 Northridge earthquake revealed a major vulnerability in the insurance industry and the need for major improvements in estimation of monetary risk. Shah: Let me comment on this obliquely. Many startups fail, not because they don’t have a good idea, but because of the arrogance and the fear of founders. Fortunately, Hemant and I had absolutely no ego about starting RMS. We were aware that we knew very little about the whole field of venture capital, or funding and starting a company, so we always listened, analyzed, and even gave up lots of shares to get the right person who could help. This realization that you need experts to do something good is what makes a company successful. It is interesting to note that contributions from many people created RMS. RMS in return grew with the founders, who let it grow where it 48 Shah: We took on other perils because of requests from insurance companies, mainly reinsurers, that we start modeling hurricane and flood. So those came a little later on. But it was really anchored first around earthquakes, then hurricanes. There was a time when hurricane modeling dominated, because they occurred every year, and billions of dollars were lost due to hurricanes in the Gulf Coast and U.S. and in Asia. Japanese companies were losing a lot of money in Asia due to hurricanes. Australian companies were losing a lot of money. We could not think about only America as a client. We had to think about the world. And, we were good at it because we are a global people. HAZUS Development Anagnos: Roger and I both worked on HAZUS.52 Roger performed oversight on the Project Work Group, and I worked from the very beginning with Hemant and others on the model development. Why did RMS get involved in that project? 52 Hazards US (HAZUS) began as an earthquake loss estimation platform for the U.S. managed by FEMA. It later expanded to include floods, tsunamis, and hurricanes. Haresh C. Shah • Risk Management Solutions Shah: It wasn’t part of our strategic plan for the growth of RMS. We weren’t keen to go for the project. The main reason being that the budget was very small compared to the budgets we were used to with reinsurance companies. Secondly, the scope of work was not well defined. When the scope of work isn’t clear, you are in trouble. You do everything, and then the funder says you didn’t do something. We would respond with you didn’t tell us that you were interested in it. So we do the something, and then somebody in their oversight committee will say, but you left this out. There is no end to it. Anagnos: Roger, didn’t you help write that scope of work? Borcherdt: I can remember this a little bit. [He laughs.] Shah: Management evaluated the pros and cons of this. We knew all the cons. Some of us listed the pros. We said you must remember that you are part of the American ecosystem. The government and its funding agencies, industry, and researchers know what you are capable of doing. Even if the scope of work is ill-defined, it is the right thing to do. Start with an assumption that this is a money loser. Which came true, RMS did lose money. Borcherdt: I think RMS taking on this initial project really set the stage for HAZUS. FEMA’s objective at that point was to come up with a standardized loss estimation procedure that they could use for estimating losses of future earthquakes. I was on the steering committee, and we were talking about how is this going to be implemented. I said, “I happen to know a company that is doing just this.” RMS Chapter 5 had already developed software for modeling earthquake losses for the insurance industry. Then RMS came in and they combined their technical knowledge along with developing new methodologies and databases to create a GIS-based system that grew into HAZUS.53 RMS Investors Anagnos: What prompted you to sell RMS? Shah: You know, we never sold RMS. The concept of selling versus getting more investment is very different. Ever since I founded RMS, we did not even dream of having the kind of money that would be needed to make it a global company. You talk to people who understand the potential and they ask if they can be your partner. We would say, “You can be a partner, but it will cost you.” This is called investment. The first investment was me. I was alone, because the other two partners were Hemant and Weimin, and they didn’t have the money. My capacity was limited. When we reached the point where we wanted to hire Tom Hutton, paying big bucks, we went to Sutter Hill, a venture capital firm in Palo Alto. We showed them our business model, and they agreed with us that this had huge potential. They said they would give us capital, but in return we had to give them a specified amount of the company. We said fine. Their money was as important as our intellectual contribution. So they came 53 The development of HAZUS is also discussed in Robert V. Whitman, Connections, The EERI Oral History Series, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Oakland, CA, 2009, p. 73–75. 49 Chapter 5 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series in and, over time, we went from owning 100% of RMS to a point where we were owning maybe 50%. The remaining 50% was owned by investors. Then in ’93 or so, Sutter Hill said it is the time to can cash in their investment. In response, we brought in a bigger investor. Morgan Stanley came in big because they understand insurance, reinsurance, investment banking and so on. They bought Sutter Hill’s shares plus some of our shares, and invested. So it was not selling, they bought in. We needed money to grow. After some time, for a variety of reasons, we needed to bring in an independent investor who was not involved in the insurance industry. We looked far and wide and found Daily Mail, in London. They had a division that was trying to find a big investment in Silicon Valley. We interviewed them, we talked to them, we understood them and we realized that they were the perfect new investors. We convinced them to buy out Morgan Stanley completely, and we also sold a few more shares to them, because there were still young people like Weimin, Hemant, Tom Hutton and few others, who could use the cash. We owned quite a few shares, so we also sold some, but they essentially bought out Morgan Stanley. Daily Mail remained as co-investors and were the biggest investors in RMS until 2017. We created an equation for the price of a share. Based on that equation, in 2017 they bought us out. I got away earlier. I retired from RMS in 2005, and RMS India in 2007. Anagnos: Can you explain the difference between RMS and RMS India? 50 Shah: RMS India was a wholly owned subsidiary of RMS. RMS owned some portion of RMS India, I owned some portion of RMS India and the general managers of the India office owned some portion. RMS owned a major share of RMS India, but RMS was owned by another group of investors. So it was complicated. Evolution of an Idea Borcherdt: As I recall, the core idea or basic concept of developing solutions to risk management problems emanated from you and Hemant. Shah: My concept was that we needed to do something in my profession to bring in other areas to help reduce risk. We didn’t know a lot of things. We just happened to be at the right place at the right time, thinking about the right issue and knowing that all around us were some great people. Let’s bring all of that talent, their thought processes and minds together and create something, and it worked. You know, the risk of a community, of an urban area, is a civil engineering problem. It’s not a business problem. It is not a statistician’s problem. It is a problem in which we as civil engineers make an urban community livable. One aspect is, you have to make it safe, or at least minimize risk. You need to look at how much risk you are taking versus how much it costs you to mitigate that risk. We brought that into the equation and we showed them how to do it. The software that was developed showed not only that you are in a danger zone, but what you can do to minimize your personal risk in terms of monetary loss. Next that evolved from monetary loss to personal safety, better codes, Haresh C. Shah • Risk Management Solutions better building centers, identification of areas you should not build. But originally everybody, especially insurance companies, was worried about the quantification of monetary risk. Borcherdt: It seems to me that the innovative spirit at RMS was a key factor in its success. During the 70’s and 80’s seismic zonation maps that delineate potential earth science hazards were being published by the USGS, but incorporating them in a GIS (Geographic Information System) with maps of the built environment to develop estimates of monetary risk for the insurance industry was a pioneering effort that helped set the stage for a new emerging industry. Shah: I want to impress upon you that there were a lot of creative minds behind what we see today. Dr. Weimin Dong’s innovative work really helped RMS take technological leadership. Anagnos: Haresh, it seems like it’s more than just civil engineers involved making a community safe. You have to have the sociological side, the economic side, the medical side, our earth science friends, like Roger here. Safety is a multidisciplinary problem. You mentioned civil engineers, but I feel that one of the big strengths of this innovation was bringing together all of these different disciplines and talking together about how they impact one another. Shah: That is very true. Because we were at Stanford, a lot of people were willing to talk to us, even though they were not engineers, and we were willing to talk to them, even though they had backgrounds in sociology or psychology or urban planning. We all learned quite a Chapter 5 bit from each other. I would go to conferences where every paper was, the concept of risk, voluntary risk, involuntary risk, risk of this or that. Never engineering. But it was an eye opener that, my goodness, the word risk is so loaded and complicated. Depends who and where and context and so on. And all that had to go into creating what we did with RMS. Anagnos: Let’s go back to the 2000-foot level in our discussion. Catastrophe risk modeling has grown to a somewhat mature field. There are companies and practitioners all over the world that are doing this. Now we’re seeing this kind of modeling for wildfires and climate change. It seems to me that there’s been a huge impact on the way we think about catastrophe risk. What do you think the impact has been and what do you think is the future of catastrophe risk modeling? Shah: I think you are right. The future is looking at wildfires, as an example. If you look at the most recent models of wildfires, they are built using exactly the pieces that we use for earthquake or hurricane or floods. That is, the way we go about looking at all major catastrophes and bringing in finance, urban resilience and urban stability. We use the same concepts: How does nature perform? That is hazard. What is the human interaction or value in terms of exposure? And what is the vulnerability in terms of weaknesses with respect to the hazard? Every single catastrophe model is built around these three concepts and combines them seamlessly so that eventually we understand what is our option for making a decision. Such as, do we get out of that area, do we insure it, what do we do, what are our options? To evaluate those options, we need to 51 Chapter 5 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series understand the risk. And this risk is something we created, not for an individual structure, not for an individual like you or me, but for the society. That thinking did not exist until we came around. Anagnos: It seems to have completely changed the way that people think about catastrophes. Like you said, once you combine those three concepts, you can start using the results for decision making. Where do we put our resources? What are the most important interventions that we can apply? 52 Shah: It’s very simple actually. Complicated in the details, but simple conceptually. That we need to understand these three things interacting with each other to understand a risk. Intuitively, we always knew that. We didn’t know how to put it together. Chapter 6 Leadership In Civil Engineering … if we all work together, we will be stronger than the sum of the individuals. … That was the Blume Center. That was CIFE, and that was the same with many other things that I did as a faculty member. Stanford Leadership Beyond the Blume Center Anagnos: You have a history of going beyond being a professor at Stanford to establish long-term programs with broader engineering applications. Can you tell us about some of these activities? Shah: After the Blume Center was well established, I moved from being its director to Chair of the Civil Engineering Department. My thinking and my goals were a little different as a chair than they were as a Blume Center Director. I like to build, but I wanted to first study the situation. If it is not broken, why repair it? So, when I became a chair, I wanted to look at our department and see where we could make it more accessible to all the partners around the world. I’m a global guy. I do not think in terms of Stanford-only or California-only or U.S.-only, because Stanford gets our students 53 Chapter 6 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series from all over the world. I, as an example, came from India and there are many such foreign born students around the country. The head of Google is an Indian. The head of Microsoft is an Indian. So there are many, many, many very good, smart people coming from all over the world. So why not talk to them, and be a partner with them, and work with them? Jim Gibbons, the School of Engineering Dean, and I thought very much alike at the time we were in our leadership roles.54 I discussed with Jim why we were trying to raise money only in the U.S., and that we should expand our efforts to raise money from all our alumni or their families around the world. There is plenty of money, not just in the U.S., but everywhere. Jim agreed. Then we focused on where wealth was. The wealth in Japan and in Asia was in the construction business. Some of the world’s largest construction companies were in Japan and in Germany. Endowed Professorships Funded Shah: We looked up who from these companies had been educated at Stanford and noted a few. We decided to focus on the elder Obayashi. First, his son was a student at Stanford in our construction program. We talked to him over many meetings, many trips to Japan. We told him that it was his responsibility to create something at Stanford that would keep his legacy in America and give opportunities to the many engineers in his companies, like the 54 James F. Gibbons (1931 –) earned a PhD in electrical engineering from Stanford University (1956) and then joined the electrical engineering in 1957. He served as Dean of the School of Engineering from 1984 to 1996. 54 opportunities his son got. We convinced him, and that resulted in the Obayashi Professorship in the School of Engineering. Jim and I went to Japan around 50 times over five years. Makoto Watabe was a top professor at the University of Tokyo and a researcher in earthquake engineering whom I had met previously. Professor Watabe was a senior consultant to Shimizu, and also ran their research program after his retirement from University of Tokyo. He helped us connect with the president of Shimizu Company, and Shimizu donated funds for another Civil Engineering professorship. I met the president of Kumagai Gumi, who endowed the Kumagai Professorship. So we got to know quite a few companies in Japan. They all gave us funding, not just funding, but a huge amount of funding. When I became department chair, we were the poorest department in the whole School of Engineering, with just a couple of endowed chairs. When I left, we were the richest department in the School of Engineering. Center for Integrated Facility Engineering Shah: Some of the money I raised was for CIFE (Center for Integrated Facility Engineering) and the idea was to bring high-power computing into civil engineering. So even though Kumagai Gumi was a civil engineering endowed chair, we selected a professor in computer science to have that chair. Borcherdt: What was the research focus of CIFE? Haresh C. Shah • Leadership In Civil Engineering Shah: When I became chair, the construction group within the department had five people who were very innovative, but each doing their own thing. Construction is a complex problem that requires collaboration all the way from the soil mechanics and foundations, to structural, to the critical path method, to economics, to materials, to plumbing, you name it. You are developing a system. I brought all the construction faculty together and said, “Tell me how we can develop a research center to make the construction business come together and look at the bigger picture.” The construction faculty and I agreed that if I could raise the money, they would set up a center like the Blume Center. That center was called the Center for Integrated Facility Engineering (CIFE). I wanted to change the construction group culture, so I hired Dr. Paul Teicholz from industry as CIFE director. He, using the funding I brought in from large construction companies from around the world, managed CIFE. It really became one of the top groups of people working in the construction industry. CIFE looks at how to make the whole project work like a machine, like a system. For example, logistics, how does everything work together? CIFE is supposed to bring all this from the lowest technology to highest technology together into one working system. Borcherdt: I remember the excitement about CIFE. It was very innovative as it brought together various aspects of a discipline to address the whole problem. Chapter 6 with that. They did important research, but it did not do enough to change the way the world was working. I wanted to take our research to the world, but to do that we needed to develop a system that industry could adopt. To give it to them, we had to develop it ourselves first. The Blume Center focused on developing earthquake risk management systems. CIFE was aimed at how to develop an integrated facility engineering system. Borcherdt: Was it about developing a computer platform with software to address various aspects of the problem? Shah: Yes. I wanted to plant the idea that if we all work together, we will be stronger than the sum of the individuals, because it really works. I learned that from statistics. If you take five buildings at separate locations and insure each one individually, your cost is very high. On the other hand, if you own all five buildings and insure them as one risk, the cost is about 15 to 20%. Your money goes much further in managing that risk if you put all of them together, because the likelihood is very low that something is going to happen to all five at the same time. An insurance company will insure all five of my properties for a much lower premium than for five individual properties. Similarly, if five professors work together to create a system, it is much more valuable to society than each one working individually. That was the Blume Center. That was CIFE, and that was the same with many other things that I did as a faculty member. Shah: Unlike medicine or physics, engineers traditionally worked as individual professors completing their research. Nothing wrong 55 Chapter 6 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Computerizing the Building Process Borcherdt: You came up with so many innovative ideas and approaches. Borcherdt: Did you set up a company to do just that? Was it called Buildfolio? Shah: It was a problem, an age-old problem of running out of time. Too many things to do and limited time at hand. That’s why I left Stanford early, because RMS along with Stanford was getting to be just too much. I just could not handle it. I was never available. I was always on the plane. You must give up something, so I gave up Stanford. I was 60 when I left Stanford in December 31, 1997. Shah: You see, construction people were doing their purchasing and acquisition of materials from many individual companies, which was a very cumbersome process. That is why you needed a lot of people in a construction project to acquire things at a good discount. I thought, why don’t we develop a company, like Amazon, that has computerized everything needed in the building process, from a bulb to a pipe, to a screw, to a nail, to a whatever. During the first two years of that company we were just collecting data in terms of nomenclature and descriptions for construction materials. We gave a name to everything and entered it in a database. The idea was if a company needed to order something, they would go to the company database and say that our building is so many square feet, has so many rooms, has so many floors, and the company was supposed to estimate how many nails, how many pipes, how many bulbs, how many wires, and how much concrete they would need. And they could order directly on a computer all that from one source, to make it easier and cheaper. When I started that, I thought, why can’t I do something similar for earthquakes? That’s how RMS came about. My expertise was earthquake engineering and not building construction, so I focused more on RMS. I sold Buildfolio to some people in Singapore and did not pursue it after that. 56 Anagnos: I heard that you had so many miles flying that they painted your name on an airplane. Shah: Yes, Pan Am had a frequent flyer program where if you had a certain number of miles, you would get your name on the wing for one month. And my name was on one of the Pan Am planes because I had so many miles. Anagnos: I counted 48 PhD students and another 14 Engineer’s Degree students under your mentorship. Wow, that is quite a contribution. Mentor For Many Women Students Anagnos: I want to point out another very important contribution you made. You had women PhD students at a time when there were very, very few women in the field: Anne Kiremidjian, Elisabeth Pate, Joy Pauschke. Shah: Many people do not know that even before Anne, Elisabeth, and Joy, there was another woman from Argentina who was doing a PhD at Stanford. I was responsible for recruiting her. But later she did her PhD Haresh C. Shah • Leadership In Civil Engineering Chapter 6 Table 1 – Graduate Students Supervised by Haresh Shah phd students 1965 1967 1968 1969 1970 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1978 1979 1980 1981 John A. Lepore (Penn) John A. Burnes (Penn) T.Y. Chow (Penn) Pradyot K. Niyogi (Penn) Masaru Hoshiya Wilson Tang Kennon D. Vaudrey Sylva Bolduc K. Steven Ott Gerhard Schueller Frederick A. Webster Jagat Dalal Victor Vagliente Ram B. Kulkarni Kenichi Ukaji Charles A. Kircher Christian P. Mortgat Anne S. Kiremidjian Elisabeth Pate-Cornell Jean Savy Shayan Pazargadi Martin McCann Milton DeHerrera Omar Khemici Joy M. Pauschke Jean-Lou Chameau 1982 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1992 1993 1994 1997 1999 2003 Hector Monzon-Despang Ben Tilliouine João Azevedo Auguste Boissonade Jorma K. Arros Craig Schoof M. Fouad Bendimerad Weimin Dong Vahid Sotoudeh I-Kwang Chang Howard K. Thurston Wei Ling Chiang Michele Lamarre Glenn H. Miyasato Mohan Sharma Said Salah-Mars Surya Kumar Gunturi Gregory L.F. Chiu Anju Gupta Rachel Davidson Abhijit Kakhandiki T. L. Murlidharan engineer degr ee students 1969 1970 1973 1977 K. Steven Ott Gerhard Schueller Frederick A. Webster Yung Hoon Yu Charles A. Kircher Francisco Silva John O. Dizon Robert B. Narver 1979 1980 1981 1982 1988 Gino A. Guidi John T. Egbert Omar Khemici Robert Yibirin Richard J. Nielsen Robert T. Sewell 57 Chapter 6 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series in engineering mechanics, good for her, and she went back to Argentina and taught in a university. When I came to Stanford in 1968; there were no women PhD students in civil engineering. You know, I come from a family of four sisters. My father used to say that he is going to educate every one of them, and he instilled in me that if you educate a woman, you educate a whole future generation of families. I believe that. In fact, I’ve set up a foundation, called The Emelie Foundation, that supports women in India who are poor and cannot go to college for some reason. For example, they are the daughters of single mothers, and because they need to bring in income, they cannot get an education. The Emelie was my father’s business, so after he passed away, I set up a foundation in his memory. I always wanted to make sure that we give an opportunity to women. Who is going to stop me if I take a woman who is extremely qualified, but not recognized enough and tell her, “I’ll work with you, and I’ll support you.” Who is going to say no? That is how I started. You know, start at the individual level, and then others see it. I have set up a few schools in India, and you know who the top of the class is? Always a girl. Always, no exception. They are very smart, they are diligent, but somehow society did not want to recognize it, accept it, or admit it. At Stanford I did not wait for anyone to tell me about affirmative action or anything, I just did it. I started accepting women as my PhD students. And later there were quite a few. You know, if you break the barrier, then others see that it doesn’t make sense not to do it. So they do it, and before you know it, it becomes the 58 norm. The ’60s and ’70s were changing times, lots of changes occurred. California Universities for Research in Earthquake Engineering (CUREE) Anagnos: Let’s talk about CUREE as another foundational organization that catapulted earthquake engineering forward. I’m saying something you already know, but before CUREE it seemed as if everyone was siloed. People were doing their own research then putting their data in their filing cabinets rather than freely sharing it with one another. With CUREE , suddenly you had this growth in cross-institutional collaboration. What prompted this major change? Shah: The formation of CUREE has a strange history. In the 1980s UC Berkeley, Stanford, Caltech, and a few other universities in California, submitted a joint proposal to the National Science Foundation to create a national center on earthquake engineering on the west coast. Others from the East Coast, and in the Midwest also submitted proposals. We were very cocky. We thought, who is going to beat California with all of us working together? Because we were cocky, in my opinion we didn’t do a good job in submitting the proposal. We did not do our homework well, and for whatever reason, we lost. The center went to the east coast and was established as the National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research (NCEER) headquartered at the University at Buffalo in 1986. All of us kicked ourselves and said, how did this happen? Our response was that we must Haresh C. Shah • Leadership In Civil Engineering synergize our intellectual and physical resources in California. We all agreed that we would create California Universities for Research in Earthquake Engineering (CUREe). Later, it changed the name to Consortium of Universities for Research in Earthquake Engineering (CUREE) when universities from outside of California joined.55 When CUREE was formed, we had to figure out what we could offer as a package, jointly! So CUREE created an environment and a platform by which we could share who is doing what and researchers would talk to each other. The silos were not broken down, but they put a door in each silo so you could go through it, and that helped over the years. I must say, Berkeley and Caltech did a fantastic job of promoting CUREE . Bruce Bolt and Bill Iwan were key players along with Housner, Donald Hudson and Clarence Allen from Caltech.56 The Blume Center was a later entrant. They did a fantastic job of 55 CURE e incorporated as a non-profit public benefit organization on March 1, 1988. The eight founding university members were California Institute of Technology, Stanford University, University of Southern California, and University of California campuses at Berkeley, Davis, Irvine, Los Angeles, and San Diego. It later changed its acronym to CUREE when other universities joined. 56 Bruce Alan Bolt (1930–2005) was a professor of earth and planetary science at UC Berkeley (1963–1993) and served as director of the Berkeley Seismological Stations (1963–1989). His many contributions include development of robust methodologies to estimate earthquake epicenters, modeling of seismic wave propagation, and strong-motion array development. Chapter 6 bringing everyone together and agreeing on a vision. Later on, we all learned quite a bit from each other. Bill Iwan was the founding President (1988–1991). I was President from 1992 to 1993, then Steve Mahin (1994–1996), Helmut Krawinkler (1997–1998), and so on. It was a good thing to bring everyone together to understand, collectively, what our greatest strengths were and that we could attract funding to CUREE as a joint effort more effectively than we could individually. CUREE’s Major Projects Anagnos: CUREE was responsible for some major transformational projects like the SAC Joint Venture Project and the CUREE-Caltech Woodframe Project.57 Shah: There were quite a few projects. For example, the CUREE-Kajima Joint Research Program, which went on for 20 years, intended to bring Japanese technology and industry into American university research. That is, some of the very complex issues brought by the Japanese megacompanies were tackled by various researchers within the CUREE consortium in collaboration with Japanese researchers. Bill Iwan was very much involved in initiating the collaboration 57 The SAC Joint Venture was a partnership of the Structural Engineers Association of California (SEAOC), Applied Technology Council (ATC), and California Universities for Research in Earthquake Engineering (CUREE) to address performance problems with welded steel moment frame connections discovered following the 1994 Northridge earthquake. 59 Chapter 6 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series with Kajima Corporation.58 CUREE did a tremendous number of things for funding the young researchers in California during the years when funding was difficult. In this case, the funding came from Japan. Borcherdt: Did CUREE help define the framework for PEER? 58 Joe Penzien discusses starting the CUREE -Kajima Joint Research Program in Joseph Penzien, Connections, The EERI Oral History Series, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Oakland, CA, 2004, p. 75–77. George Housner discusses the formation of CUREE in George W. Housner, Connections, The EERI Oral History Series, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Oakland, CA, 1997, p. 145–149. 60 Shah: All these efforts were related. One thing led to another. Each effort supported the other. None of us can say we stand on our own. It does not work, because the available resources for research were limited, the competition, and the number of people in the game were increasing. Somehow the community of researchers had to compromise somewhere. What we did was to create a consortium which made it possible for all of us to get stronger. Chapter 7 International Earthquake Resiliency Efforts The World Seismic Safety Initiative was established to bring awareness throughout the world of what is available to improve resiliency for earthquakes. WSSI went to countries where there were a few isolated people doing earthquake research, but they had no voice. Anagnos: An important international or global effort that you were involved with was the International Decade for Natural Hazard Reduction (IDNDR). International Decade for Natural Hazard Reduction Shah: That was more of an international collaboration. Bill Iwan and I, together with many of our colleagues, were involved. IDNDR was the decade of the ’90s. The International Association for Earthquake Engineering (IAEE) asked, what can we contribute to IDNDR as a global earthquake organization. That’s when we 61 Chapter 7 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series created the World Seismic Safety Initiative (WSSI). At the Tenth World Conference in Madrid in 1992, IAEE asked Housner, Iwan, and me as a committee of three to produce a proposal for how IAEE could contribute to IDNDR . The three of us drafted a report to IAEE and recommended that IAEE create a World Seismic Safety Initiative to bring awareness throughout the world of what is available to improve resiliency for earthquakes. WSSI became an international “go and do it” type of organization, for IAEE . Anagnos: I was reading a 1993 IAEE publication called A Time for Action: The World Seismic Safety Initiative, which is the justification and framework for WSSI. Roger, I see you were involved. Borcherdt: Yes, I was honored to be a member of the board. WSSI under Haresh’s leadership was very successful in bringing together the leadership and limited resources in small countries to take steps to help reduce the effects of future earthquakes. For example, one of the activities undertaken under the auspices of WSSI was the SAFER Cities seismic-safety initiative, which aimed to encourage public awareness and the need to measure strong earthquake shaking from future earthquakes.59 Significant numbers of reliable analog strong motion accelerographs were provided by the federal and state strong-motion programs at 59 R.D. Borcherdt, et al., 2002, SAFER Cities (Strong-motion Accelerographs for Earthquake Loss Reduction in Cities); A COSMOS — WSSI Initiative for Seismic Safety, 7th National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Boston, MA. 62 no cost for installation and maintenance in the countries. These initial programs helped spawn larger programs and more interest in reducing the effects of earthquakes. Shah: A lot of good people were on the WSSI board such as Shel Cherry, Sudhir Jain, and Tsuneo Katayama. Bill Iwan was very active. Giuseppe Grandori was one of the founders. Good group. World Seismic Safety Initiative Shah: Its funding initially came from RMS so that they could set up a system. The first WSSI meeting was in Bangkok, because Bangkok is a hub for issues in Asia: India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Vietnam, China, Japan. All these Asian countries can easily travel to Bangkok. We had a four-day meeting. We paid for everybody’s stay there, and we talked about which issues the Asians wanted to address first. Out of that meeting came the concept that WSSI should develop the High Level Meeting (HLM) project. The HLM meant if a country had an earthquake engineering organization like EERI, we would write to them, if not, then we would write to the ministry. We would indicate that we wanted to meet and tell them about the resources available to make their country more earthquake resilient. Our plan was to invite that country’s engineering groups, university community, media, and political infrastructure. We wanted all of them collectively to hear about our understanding of earthquake risk in their country. We offered to help them to contact all the resources that were available globally, so that they could ask for Haresh C. Shah • International Earthquake Resiliency Efforts assistance. We made it clear that WSSI was not going to solve all their earthquake risk-related problems, but would be able to tell them how to get the resources from the world, because we were part of IAEE . Good Response to WSSI Shah: We got a good response everywhere, from the highest level, like President Museveni of Uganda. We would get invitations from the prime minister or president of the country saying, please come. Except in Myanmar. We were invited by the Ambassador of Japan to go, because Japan had a big project to help Myanmar. We were naive politically. We went there, and the Myanmar military government got upset. Who gave the Japanese ambassador permission to invite this foreign group without local invitation? So they told us to leave the country and we left. Soon after, they invited us back, and we worked there for a decade. Anagnos: Is there a specific outcome or country where you felt particularly proud of what WSSI was able to accomplish? Shah: There are several. Amazingly, these are the countries that had previously done the least in terms of seismic resilience. Myanmar is one of them. There is still an organization in Myanmar that is highly active. They meet, they have national conferences on earthquake engineering. Uganda is another one. Until we went there, East Africa had no earthquake engineering group. We set it up in Uganda [while he is telling this story, Haresh proudly shows us the Uganda earthquake engineering shirt he is wearing], and Uganda became the center of earthquake engineering for all East Africa. Now Kenya, Zambia, Rwanda, all Chapter 7 meet in Uganda once a year for an earthquake engineering conference. Anagnos: Did they implement any new codes or other measures in Uganda? Shah: Yes. Uganda has a code that is mandatory for certain types of buildings, but for general home construction it is recommended. Again, those are political issues, and there is not much we can do. Economics, politics, and other things come into the picture. But those two countries stand out. Other successes are, of course, Algeria and Nepal. Anagnos: Was your work in Algeria part of the WSSI network? Shah: Absolutely. I already had projects in Algeria, so it was easy to bring in WSSI and put them into the network. We went to many countries. We even went to Sri Lanka, even though they don’t have too many earthquakes. They invited us. Indonesia was part of the WSSI network. We went to places that nobody else goes, because we felt that these were the countries needing collaboration support. High Level Meetings Had Challenges Borcherdt: As a board member of WSSI, I thought it was amazing how successful you were in arranging High Level Meetings with influential officials in the various countries. What were some of the challenges of these meetings? Shah: Five or six of us from WSSI were in Bangladesh, and they had a coup. The High Level Meeting was over, and the military coup occurred while we were still there. Our 63 Chapter 7 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series concern was how to get out of Bangladesh and go to our next stop, which was Sri Lanka. Our flight was from Dhaka to Bombay (at that time it was called Bombay) and from Bombay to Colombo. Fortunately, Dhaka airport was operating. The question was, how do we get from the downtown hotel to the airport? Rioters and military were killing people on the streets. The mobs would drag people out of the car and beat them to death. We talked to the police, and we talked to various government people. They suggested we put on doctors’ clothes and they would give us an ambulance and take us in the ambulance with the siren to the airport. We went through this mob, and they all just let us go through. We would slow down for them to see what was going on. They would look at us, and then the driver would say, “Emergency.” We made it to the airport and caught a flight to Bombay. Anagnos: If you recall, we also had a coup at the Seventh World Conference on Earthquake Engineering in Istanbul in 1980. Shah: In Istanbul, I had to escape to Bulgaria. I couldn’t get any flight from Istanbul airport, so I took a bus to a city named Burgas, in Southern Bulgaria. A Global Seismic Safety Community Anagnos: As a follow up, what do you think was the most important contribution of WSSI? Do you feel that it was successful in reducing seismic risk globally? Shah: The most important contribution of the WSSI was developing support in communities and countries that were not 64 in the “recognized” group of nations doing earthquake research. The IAEE requires that a country has a national earthquake engineering organization, like EERI. Then through their national organization, they can participate in the World Conference. All the countries that participate have their own earthquake engineering membership group. WSSI went to countries where there were a few isolated people doing earthquake research, but they had no voice. They did not have a structure to come together, talk about their problems, identify what needs to be done, go to the global experts, invite global experts, go to the world conferences and be part of the community for dialog. For these countries, the greatest contribution was not that we changed their codes or anything, but we brought them into a room or a community where they could talk, listen, find out, and make decisions about what to do. A few examples are Uganda, Myanmar, and Algeria. Anagnos: You are saying that WSSI created the infrastructure and the community for them to really effect change in their own country. Shah: I would write a letter to an individual I knew in the country. There was no organization in that country. I would send a copy to a local newspaper and a copy to the government. The letter would say that we are part of the International Association for Earthquake Engineering and are called the World Seismic Safety Initiative. As part of the earthquake engineering community, we want to come for a high-level meeting, not to do technical work, but to talk to all of you, and discuss how the world can work with you to reduce your earthquake risk. Haresh C. Shah • International Earthquake Resiliency Efforts Then when we talked to them, we would say, “If after telling you that the world is available to work with you and bring you into the discussion groups, you don’t participate, we’ll let the world know that you had a chance but didn’t do it. When the next earthquake occurs, we will write to your newspapers and remind you that we told you so.” And everywhere, from the president of the country, like Museveni in Uganda, to ministers, they all showed up to the first meeting. Because they were eager. They knew that they needed to do something, but they didn’t have the expertise, or the contacts, or network to do this. We were willing to give them a network that they could exploit, and then throw us out. That’s fine, our purpose was not to become the bosses, but just to get them access to a network. That was the greatest contribution that WSSI made. We went where nobody else thought about going. It has worked very well in those countries. Every country where we went has a national organization, and they are part of IAEE . Anagnos: So you think that WSSI has helped reduce seismic risk globally. Shah: Now they send students to Stanford and MIT or wherever. Their professors and professionals participate with people who are in the know around the world. But most importantly, they are talking and working, and they have a voice. That was why WSSI was established, and that is why after a while it was dissolved. Chapter 7 WSSI Dissolved Anagnos: The World Seismic Safety Initiative was active from 1993 to 2009. What caused it to end? Shah: One of the reasons was funding. WSSI funding came from private sources. For years it was funded by RMS. Some years, I funded it. Some years NTU Singapore funded it. In some years IAEE provided support. But it was always a struggle, so the foremost reason was funding. The second reason was, as an international organization, WSSI had people from all over the world on the board, from Italy to Algeria to Thailand. They all were very dedicated, but as the years went by the senior people who were board members started retiring. WSSI could not have junior people coming in as the experts to advise a country. Just because we came from a developed country, it does not mean everybody is an expert. We just didn’t feel we could continue to offer advising and support at a level that was needed to run WSSI. Anagnos: Sometimes an organization is about the people who are running that organization. Shah: Correct. Also, I was getting older, and the energy level needed, besides all the other things I was doing, WSSI was just too much. When I said I was quitting, Professor T. C. Pan from NTU, who was the secretary of the organization, agreed with the board to wind up the operations of WSSI. The WSSI was a non-profit organization registered in Singapore because it’s a neutral country, and no country in the world felt that Singapore was controlled by the U.S. or China or anybody else. So they felt independent and good working with WSSI. 65 Chapter 7 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Because of the time needed to keep it going, particularly the travel, it was too much. If I were ten years younger at that time, I would have done it. But I was involved with numerous other activities, so I said to IAEE that organizations such as WSSI should have a sunrise and a sunset. And now it was time for WSSI to 66 wind up its activities. We gave them a reason. We brought something like 12 or 13 countries under the IAEE-fold. As you know, each country has to apply to become a member of IAEE . And we brought in many countries that had never been part of IAEE . We said we did what we could, and now it was time to close. Chapter 8 Transforming NTU Singapore Su Guaning said, “Let’s change all these things,” and from 2002 to 2005, I became his senior academic advisor. This history is actually written in a book: Troika! The Remarkable Ascent of a Great Global University, Nanyang Technological University Singapore, 2003–2017 Sabbatical at Nanyang Technological University Singapore (NTU) Anagnos: How did you get involved with NTU in the first place? Shah: In 1992, I was chair of the department at Stanford, and I was tired of the work. I wanted to take a sabbatical so that I could catch up with earthquake research. One of the areas I wanted to study was the subduction zone just west of Sumatra. The area is very seismic, and as you know, in 2004 a magnitude 9 earthquake occurred and sent a tsunami all over Asia, and even to Africa. I was interested in what Indonesians were doing about seismic risk, what kind of codes and building standards they have. I didn’t 67 Chapter 8 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series want to take sabbatical in Indonesia. It’s a tough place to be. So, I contacted Professor T.C. Pan at NTU. He used to work for John A. Blume Associates, and joined NTU in ’85 as an associate professor.60 I wrote to him to ask if he would host me for three months. To my shock, I was told, NTU doesn’t do that. I sent my resume and told them I am a chairman of the department at Stanford University and so on. They were very reluctant. Nevertheless, after some internal discussions, they said they would host me and give me an office. When I went there, I discovered that even to make a one-page photocopy, I had get a note from my host, which was T.C., to get permission. At that time, RMS was growing and a company wanted to invest. I got a call from the investor at about midnight. A security guard came and said, there’s a call for you from America, you have to come to his office. I asked why I have to go to the security guard’s office to take a call from America. He said you don’t have international calling or receiving in your room. I felt like I was at a prehistoric university. Three months went by, and I kept thinking that this is not a place where you can thrive. When I returned to Stanford, I was asked to be on the advisory board of the Stanford Center 60 Tso-Chien Pan earned his MSCE (1978) and PhD (1983) from UC Berkeley, and BSCE (1975) from National Cheng-Kung University, Taiwan. He held senior engineering positions with Bechtel and URS/John A Blume & Associates in San Francisco, where he worked on analysis and design of nuclear power facilities against earthquake loading and other dynamic loadings. He served as chair of CEE (2005), and Dean of the College of Engineering (2006–2011) at NTU. 68 for International Studies. Lee Kuan Yew, who was the founding Prime Minister of Singapore, was also on the board. Lee Kuan Yew, being an important and busy person, did not attend all the meetings. When he did not attend, he would send his ambassador, Dr. S.R. Nathan, to attend for him. Nathan is Singaporean for many generations, but of Indian origin. I am an Indian in America. So we hit it off. Then, to my surprise, I got a note in 1999 that said that the new president of Singapore is Nathan.61 Request to Help Change NTU Shah: After a few years, he called me and said, “Haresh, our education system here needs some changes. I have seen how Stanford works. Can you come here and help us out?” At about the same time, the president of NTU was retiring, and they were going to install a new president. Amazingly, the new president, who was the head of the Advanced Research Projects Agency of Singapore, happened to be a Stanford PhD. His name was Su Guaning.62 President Nathan must have told him that when you go to Stanford, look up Professor Shah, talk to him and see if he is willing to come here. I had a lunch with him, and we hit it off quite well. He agreed that the way NTU was, and the way education was, and the way that professors did work was no good for Singapore, no good for students, no good for 61 Sellapan Ramanathan Nathan (1924–2016) served as the sixth president of Singapore between 1999 and 2011. 62 Su Guaning served as the president of Nanyang Technological University (NTU) between 2003 and 2011. Haresh C. Shah • Transforming NTU Singapore anybody. They needed to change. The crux was it was all based on the British system, which is top-down. I said, at Stanford, we are bottomup, and your country may not like it. S.R. said, “I’m the president of the country and I want it that way. I want NTU to be like Stanford. If Su Guaning agrees and you hit it off, you come.” Senior Academic Advisor to NTU President Shah: In 2002 I decided to go and do some research of my own: who are the people, what they are doing, what’s going on, why do they need approval to make a photocopy, why don’t they have telephones, why don’t they have simple things that every university has? Su Guaning said, “Let’s change all these things,” and from 2003 to 2005, I became his senior academic advisor. This history is actually written in this book.63 Anagnos: What a remarkable story. Connections you made at Stanford led to a long-term international relationship. What were some of the main outcomes of your experience at NTU? Shah: In 2005, the Singapore Ministry of Education made all universities autonomous, in the sense that they were not run by the Ministry of Education. Instead, each university was run by a board of trustees. I became one of the board members of NTU. I spent 17 years at NTU bringing it up, and now NTU has a fantastic environment. They 63 B. Andersson, H.C. Shah, G. Su, & T. Mayer, 2022, Troika! The Remarkable Ascent of a Great Global University, Nanyang Technological University Singapore, 2003–2017, World Scientific Publishing Company, Singapore. Chapter 8 have as many companies from around the world working with the students and doing research as we have at Stanford. Employees of those companies, together with students are working on new innovations. That is a better way of bringing innovation to students, letting students be entrepreneurial, and joining these companies to do great things. Raised NTU Ranking to the Top Three in Asia Shah: Su and I recruited faculty from all over the world. We hired an unbelievable quality of people. Suddenly the university started publishing more, started taking students with goals similar to those of NTU, and it became a cycle. When we started, they were not ranked in the top 500. When we left in 2017, they were in the top three in Asia. In the world they were either in the top ten, top 15 or top 50, depending on which measure. Why? Because the faculty and their students were a new breed who understood what a university is. It is innovation, education, transfer of knowledge and supporting students in terms of their ability to change the world. The philosophy is that professors don’t change the world, professors through their students change the world. Anagnos: Based on your experiences at Stanford, did you try to create an atmosphere as Stanford-like as you could, with a very open and bottom-up approach? Shah: The whole academic governance system is exactly like Stanford. It turned out that every leader in the country was amenable to it. They were very much looking forward to it. I could not have done it unless they wanted to do it. They were eager on their own and 69 Chapter 8 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series pushed by the top leadership of the country. So, there was not much choice. Anagnos: The Institute of Catastrophe Risk Management (ICRM) at NTU was launched in 2010. What is the focus of that institute? Shah: When I went to NTU, I found that in Asia, besides Japan, there is no major university center for catastrophe risk research. I felt that we needed to do something in Singapore to help countries like India, Southeast Asia, Africa to be part of this community who can access the most modern research in the area of catastrophe risk. When I became senior advisor and a board member at NTU, one of the first things I did was to recruit Kerry Sieh, who was a top geoscience researcher from Caltech. When I approached him he said, “Haresh, are you kidding? Why would I go to Singapore? I’m at Caltech.” I said that’s exactly why you should go to Singapore. Create another Caltech, for Asia. We took a while talking, and I convinced him that maybe he should try it out for a few years. Then I gave him an offer that he could not refuse, and he accepted it. We asked the government to float a request for proposal in the area of innovation for Singapore. I asked Kerry to write a proposal, and he won it. Eventually it ended up being $50 million (SGD), a ton of money. So he established the Earth Observatory of Singapore (EOS). Then I talked to T.C. Pan and said you need on the engineering side something similar to the Blume Center, but he was worried about not having the right people. I said, “As a leader, what do you want to establish? We’ll get the 70 people. Don’t worry, whether they will come or not. That’s our job.” So I went to my friend, S.R. Nathan, president of the country, and I told him I want you to back me in establishing an Institute of Catastrophe Risk Management. He had lots of political questions, lots of financial questions and lots of questions about justification: why in Singapore if we don’t have earthquakes. But I convinced him. So he called Koh Boon Hwee, the Chairman of the Board of Trustees and said, “I want you to establish, with the help of Haresh Shah, this institute.” He didn’t give it a name. Boon Hwee and I talked to NTU President Su Guaning, and of course, he agreed because the president of the country said do it. The center funding came through the university, but that came from the Singapore President’s budget. In the end, we started two big centers. One was Kerry Sieh’s EOS, which focused on geohazards research throughout Southeast Asia, and T.C. Pan’s Institute of Catastrophe Risk Management (ICRM), which focused on interdisciplinary research on catastrophetriggered risk. The center was established in one year. We started getting projects, internal projects through internal funding. Then we got projects from the government of Singapore. All the countries of Southeast Asia, the government of Singapore said “We will provide you all that you need in terms of vulnerability, collection of exposure data, collection of anything that you need.” All that came to ICRM. I was the Chairman of the Board of ICRM until I retired in 2017. Anagnos: How did developing these institutes fit into the strategic plan for the transformation of NTU? Haresh C. Shah • Transforming NTU Singapore Shah: What is a university? It’s a relationship among students, their professors, and the contributions they make to the literature and knowledge to the world. Our idea was to build centers, bring some leading academics (we called them elephants), give enough money to these elephants to hire gazelles (the brightest young researchers), and let that team start generating and disseminating knowledge.64 They would become a magnet for people to come, attend conferences, share knowledge. Asia previously did not have that kind of thing. NTU started creating it, not just in our field, but in artificial intelligence, chips, materials … they are one of the very best in the world in materials. Anagnos: This is just such an amazing story, because it shows how you’ve used your creativity and innovation in so many ways. [Haresh shows us a graph of the change in NTU’s rankings over time from his book. NTU rises dramatically compared to other schools.] Shah: This is very interesting. Can you see? This is where NTU was when we started, at the bottom. This is where it is now. [He giggles with pride.] This includes Stanford, Harvard, Cambridge, Oxford, everybody in terms of a certain scale. So, it can be done. But you need the right people. 64 The elephants and gazelles strategy is discussed on pages 181–188 of Troika! The Remarkable Ascent of a Great Global University, Nanyang Technical University Singapore, 2003–2017. Chapter 8 Recognizing Contributions to NTU’s Transformation Anagnos: In 2015 NTU awarded you an honorary doctorate to recognize these significant contributions to their academic development. When you went there to receive the award, it must have been something to stand up on that stage and see all those students who had benefited from NTU’s transformation. Shah: It was interesting. I was Chairman of the Academic Affairs Committee of the Board of Trustees. My committee selected the honorary doctorates. Every year they would bring up my name, and I would say “No, that’s a conflict of interest, I am a chairman.” In 2015 I retired from the Board of Trustees, which means I was also off the Academic Affairs Committee. They must have nominated me for the honorary doctorate as soon as I retired. It so happened I was also a special advisor and on a similar academic advisory committee for a large private university in India, called Symbiosis International University. The President of India, Pranab Mukherjee, was going to be the chief guest for their convocation, so they wanted somebody like me to receive an honorary degree. They must have gotten together and quickly approved my name. Symbiosis awarded me an honorary doctorate in India in November, 2014. So NTU was not the first. I knew the inside discussion of how this is done, so I could imagine what they must have talked about, because I used to lead those discussions. I’m not sure if I was very elated or proud. I just knew what was going on, the inner working of how doctorates are given. 71 Chapter 8 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Anagnos: That’s actually a funny story, but I do think it shows how appreciative they were for what you did. By reading the forward of your book I can see that there’s so much admiration and gratitude for the work you and your colleagues did to transform NTU. Shah: I want to show you the medal that I received in 2014, which I am particularly proud of. It is called Pingat Bakti Masyarakat [the title is in Malay and translates to Public Service Medal]. This medal is the highest honor given by the Government of Singapore to somebody 72 who has given all he or she can to make the society better. Whenever I go to Singapore, I have to wear it like this [he shows us that he must wear it on the left side of his jacket]. Anagnos: Are you involved at all anymore? Shah: No involvement now. You see my philosophy is when you are done, you are done. Don’t interfere because the new people have their own ideas. They want to do their thing. And you need to let them. We meet each other as friends, but nothing else. Chapter 9 Giving Back We learned as a family, make sure that if somebody needs help, you provide what you can. Just be happy that you were lucky enough to be able to help. Motivation Anagnos: You have developed, or helped develop, numerous organizations, foundations, and awards that have supported a wide range of people and causes. Some of them support advancement of earthquake engineering and reduction of seismic risk, but others support individual people in living day to day and in achieving their goals. What has motivated you to be so generous? How did your upbringing shape your worldview and your academic as well as personal goals? Shah: I grew up in a middle-class business family. We lived in a community of middle-class business people who were reasonably well-off, so there was not much misery immediately around us. My parents and the community in which I grew up were very conservative in the sense of how they viewed the world and in terms of religion. They hammered certain concepts into us: don’t be arrogant, show empathy, make sure that anybody’s pain is your pain, don’t cause pain for others, and if you give anybody pleasure 73 Chapter 9 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series or you are successful, don’t take credit for it. These kinds of things. Although money was not a problem to people in our community, we could see extreme poverty in many parts of town, and through the people who worked for us, such as those who cleaned the house, and people who worked in my father’s business. I always sympathized with them, and wanted to know what we can do besides just helping with money. How can I help them so that they can get out of that cycle? I realized that education is the key, right from the beginning. People who were having trouble had dropped out of school, not because they wanted to. They were capable, but they had to focus on earning a daily wage. They needed money to buy food and eat. A key path out of that is to stay in school. No matter how difficult it is, just stay in school, keep going as long as you can. And when it becomes very difficult, ask somebody for help, but don’t get out. My father was a very big supporter of high schools and elementary schools. He was on the board of trustees of the school. His position was secretary of the board of trustees. So, everything went through him. As a result, I knew how difficult it was for many families to educate their children. Fortunately, in the community I lived in, there were many support structures. They had free lunch every day. Anyone who came, no questions asked, they would get lunch. When you see all of this, you realize that everybody needs help. Once in a while, no matter who you are, where you are, you need help, and there is nothing wrong with it. If you 74 really need help, take it. We learned as a family, make sure that if somebody needs help, you provide what you can. Just be happy that you were lucky enough to be able to help. The Emelie Foundation Anagnos: Were these the principles that led you and your family to establish the Emelie Foundation? 65 Shah: Yes. The problem is, families want their boys to go to school and have a job, but for the girls, they say no they are needed at home. Initially, there was a huge amount of social objection to women taking a job in an office or a factory. The society was looking for an excuse to do what they were used to, and every time we proved them wrong. Now it is happening. But these are social issues that are difficult to overcome. If you wait for the government, or you wait for somebody else to do it, it will not happen. So you just do it. Who is going to say no to you? It is your money, your time, your effort, and your ideas. One of the first things we say at the Emelie Foundation is that if every young woman is educated for a few more years, the impact is enormous. The impact is much larger than focusing on educating a limited number of additional women. In India, it was very visible because poor girls were pulled out very quickly. It’s a complex issue. For example, in poor 65 The Emelie Foundation was established in 2016 in memory of Chandulal M. Shah, Raman Gauri C. Shah, and Induben C. Shah. The mission is to increase educational opportunities for single mothers and their daughters. https://www.theemeliefoundation.org/ Haresh C. Shah • Giving Back families, the girls do not have sanitary napkins. When they get their period, they don’t want to go to school. After a while, they are behind and they feel so ashamed that they just don’t go to school. They tell their mother I’m not going anymore. They will pull out on their own, because they get behind and then they can’t keep up. It’s just terrible. We set up the Emelie Foundation in 2016 to provide financial support for single mothers and their daughters. We wanted to do things in a focused way so that we can have more impact. We started with vocational training for mothers: tailoring and data entry. Then slowly the mothers put us in touch with their daughters. They would say “My daughter wants to go to school, but we don’t have money.” So, we took the daughters. We support girls from the poorest of the poor families until they reach their capacity. Some of them go through school, then to college, and some of them are postgraduates. Some of them are in middle class working families. We have changed many, many families. There are many girls all over India now who are supported, and we support them fully. All their tuition is paid; all their expenses are paid. One requirement is they must be or have single mothers, that is, the husband has died or run away. In poor societies it is common that men abandon their wives either to take a mistress, or they just do not want the responsibility nor have the financial capacity to support a family. So their children are condemned to a poverty cycle forever. We are pulling them out. It is working. We started slowly, and now there are some women in college and some are doing master’s degrees in things like business, pharmacy and Chapter 9 accounting. They are not going to be poor. They are going to get fantastic jobs and enter, what I call, a middle class. And that is what Emelie Foundation is all about. Anagnos: The Emelie Foundation supports the education of only women, but you also personally support education for all kinds of students. Family Foundation for Educational Support Shah: Requests continuously come up, and the Emelie Foundation is not capable of taking care of so many requests. Just last week, I got a request from a tribal school near Bombay. Imagine, the financial capital of India, and about 30 miles from Bombay there’s a school that has something like 500 or 600 tribal children, and none of them have a desk or a chair to sit on. They all sit on the classroom floor. And when it is rainy and wet or cold, it’s very difficult. They asked if I would I help them build chairs and desks for all of them. I said, “I can’t do it for 600 at once, but you develop a plan, and we’ll do 100 at a time.” Anagnos: Are your children involved, or is it just you and your wife, Joan? Shah: My two boys are involved. Joan is involved, of course. There are quite a few well-off people in India who are running their own companies, who are donating their time as the board of trustees and actually running the foundation. It is funded 100% by my family. I didn’t want to spend money in fundraising, because 75 Chapter 9 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series fundraising takes tremendous resources. Many nonprofit corporations spend anywhere from 15% to 35% in fundraising. I didn’t want that. Instead, I decided, no bricks and mortar at all. No spending money on that. The only thing we do is, for every dollar, we take 15 cents and put it back into the endowment for future inflation. The foundation is doing well, it’s small still. We still talk in terms of hundreds of people supported, but in a few years it will reach thousands, and then it will have some measurable impact in communities. Anagnos: What is it like working with these philanthropic organizations in India? Shah: You know, it is very interesting that once you have a foundation like this, and everyone knows that you are supporting single mothers and their daughters, other foundations who are also in similar philanthropic areas join you. They say, look, if you need somebody for birth control, send them to us and we’ll take care of them. Then we tell them, if you have people who need support for college, please send them to us. Now there is a network of these foundations who help each other reach candidates and support people who are in need. By joining a network of foundations, each one specializing in a particular kind of support, we help each other, so that lots and lots of people are supported. Being a relatively wealthy city, Pune has many foundations. I would say there are hundreds of foundations in Pune that do different things, and they all join with each other, help each other, and the impact is increased because of this network. 76 Computers for Rural Schools Anagnos: You were involved with an impressive project that provided computers and then created a school in a rural area in the Himalayas. Can you tell us a bit about that? Shah: I come from Gujarat, a western state in India. One thing Indians are very sensitive about amongst themselves is they think I will support only people from Gujarat or Maharashtra. To me, poverty has no religion, class, creed, color or anything. When somebody needs support, they could be from anywhere. To make sure that I was egalitarian, I spent a lot of effort during the 1980s in supporting tribal people, hill people, in the north of India. They are totally different than I am. They look different, they speak a language that I don’t understand. I saw that they had a lot of problems. Young people would leave their parents, when they were maybe 14 or 15, go to the valley, take a menial job, and remain in poverty all their lives. This has two negatives. One, they remain in poverty, and two, the poor parents are old and the communities in the mountains slowly die out. That is, there is no recycling of human capital. I wanted to help keep the children in the north, where they were born, and develop that area enough so that they have job opportunities and an opportunity to learn. One of the first things I did was to start a computer school in the far away mountains where there was no internet, so I connected through satellite. Roads were almost nonexistent, but there were children. The RMS office in New Delhi donated about 50 computers to their school. There was such an incredible mad rush for young people to join the school that it was Haresh C. Shah • Giving Back Chapter 9 more difficult to get a position in that school than to go to Stanford, because there were many, many children, and we could only take 50. I didn’t want one computer being shared by ten people. I wanted every child to have one computer, so we could take only 50. children are leaving the area. The community still remains in danger because there are better jobs in Mumbai, Bangalore and Pune, and places like that. But most important, the girls who are not allowed to live too far away from the parents are getting good jobs locally. Jobs in the Local Community Response to Perception of Bias Amazingly, in one year they all got jobs, locally! In the town council and local bank office, to enter data, and they knew how to deal with the internet. Then some local people, retired judges and retired teachers, asked if we could start a dedicated school. You could see how hungry the people were. So, we started a school with four grades, in the mountains in little huts. Anagnos: You faced some criticism and challenges with perceptions that the Emelie Foundation needed to broaden the population it serves. Then some highly respected people raised a lot of money, and we built a school in the village of Milethi, literally the middle of nowhere. To get there, children had to come down the mountains, or go up a mountain and come down into this village. But nevertheless, we built it. Initially, the children would come by walking. That was impractical, so the government helped us build some dirt roads, and we bought a bus and started bringing children on busses. Today, 15 years later, there are 1200 students from kindergarten through pre-college. All these young people are getting educated. Some of them are going now to the colleges in big cities and some of them are working locally. But most important, the government of the state called Himachal Pradesh started putting offices there, because they knew that these children need jobs, and the government needs work done. Now there is active intellectual exchange and work going on. Hopefully fewer Shah: Yes, we were accused of only supporting Hindus. In response, we started reaching out to schools that cater mainly to Christian families, like church schools, and communities that mainly cater to the Muslim community through their mosque. We talked to the principals and said, “We are sure you have students who need financial help. Could you please send some names and ask them to apply?” They were very, very nice and they sought out support from the foundation, and now we are supporting their mothers and daughters. Recently, I came across a community in Kashmir. You know, Pakistan and India have been in a territorial war over Kashmir for a long time. I wanted to make sure that we support children from that area who may be anti-India but living in India. That is, they want to be with Pakistan, but due to partition they are in India. We started supporting them. Suddenly people were mad and asked why we were supporting Muslims. I told them, “Look, when I didn’t support them, you blame me for supporting mostly Hindus. Now you are asking me why I support them.” 77 Chapter 9 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series But you can’t listen to that. As I said, poverty and need have no color, no religion or anything. So we try to do what we can. You know, the world is very complex, extremely complex, and you just have to take the criticism and move on. What can you do? EERI Shah Family Innovation Prize Anagnos: Your family has supported a number of prizes and awards to support education and innovation in the engineering community. In particular, you funded the EERI Shah Family Innovation Prize. Why an innovation prize? Shah: You know we civil engineers are very traditional. I graduated in ’59, and we did the usual things civil engineers had done forever. Let me take a few minutes and tell you the story of the locomotive engineers. It’s important for us to learn. When locomotives were invented and the train system came into being, the locomotive engineers were the cream of the crop. They were running the iron horse, and nobody could be as powerful as they were. As time passed, it became a job. As time further passed, automobiles came. And as time further passed, electric trains came, and so on. The locomotive engineers refused to accept the fact that their importance was changing. Unless they kept up with the world as it was moving along and learned new things, they would be obsolete. They did become obsolete, and they had no jobs. Yet, only 100 years ago they were considered as the elite of the elite. That story reminds us that as the world changes, civil engineers need to adapt to new challenges. The environment is one of those 78 challenges. We civil engineers should be responsible for the quality of air we breathe, the quality of food we eat, the quality of water we drink. Do we as civil engineers understand community? Building a city is not just building a building, but building a community, an area where people live. How do you make these communities thrive? Civil engineers were not doing enough of these things. They were becoming, in my view, sort of the locomotive engineers of the previous generation. I wanted to create new opportunities for civil engineers. You know, my whole thrust in the insurance sector and on risk management was very planned. I wanted to make sure that we went into something that no one else had done. The only risk analysis that was done 50 years ago was in business schools and related to funding money. There was no risk management for the environment, for summer fires, for earthquakes, for hurricanes. I saw a small opening. I felt we needed to create a new opportunity for our students who can create change. We as professors cannot change the world. We are just a catalyst for our students who are going to change the world. We have to give them an intellectual chemical thrust, so that they can go into it and literally change the boundaries of the profession and create new ideas. Anagnos: So, the goal of the EERI Shah Family Innovation Prize was to acknowledge young professionals who were innovating. Shah: Yes, pushing the boundaries. As professors, we don’t have enough bandwidth for the tremendous opportunities that are in the world. But our students together have that. If you have ten students, the bandwidth is 20 times more than one of us. That was Haresh C. Shah • Giving Back my philosophy, and it still is. We are only providing incentives, and the students make themselves leaders. Stanford Shah Family Fund and NTU Shah Family Prize Anagnos: There are two other incentive programs you have funded, the Stanford Shah Family Fund and the NTU Shah Family Prize. Are these similar prizes? Shah: They have identical goals with a slightly different philosophy of setting them up. Singapore is a unique country where 80% of the good jobs are well-paid government jobs. So, the incentive for young people to take another job, take a risk and start another Singapore Google or Singapore Meta was not there. In 2000, I started consulting with the Singapore government on higher education issues. The Straits Times interviewed me and asked what I thought about Singapore as an entrepreneurial hub. They published a few articles about our interview. Then I decided to see if there was a spark in Singapore, in the university and in the community of students by starting an NTU entrepreneurship prize. I purposely made it one for a male and one for a female. I asked the professors to select a male and a female who were the most innovative students graduating. They selected three males and three females because each category had prize number one, two and three. I was very happy. They asked me to go and award the prize at the graduation, which I did. After the ceremony I asked how they selected the awardees. They told me it was very simple. Chapter 9 They selected the top three male students, and the top three female students. I was surprised and asked how they knew they were the most innovative. They said, don’t you think they are the smartest? I said, yes, on one scale they are smart. On another scale, they could be the least intelligent. I went to the president of the university and said please tell them entrepreneurship and innovation are not identical and congruent with grades. The next year, the same thing happened. They only awarded the top three students, and I got very upset. I said, I will give you three more years. If you don’t change the way you select, I’m going to pull the award. The professors tried hard, but they did not understand entrepreneurship, because they grew up in an environment of government-supported grants. Anything they wanted, the government gave. You didn’t have to write a huge, fantastic proposal and compete with ten other proposals to get funding. They never realized that you have to be a real innovator and entrepreneur to get research money. Anyway, after three years I did pull the award. I started providing support for students through other means. Now there is a relatively better and more thriving environment for venture capital firms in Singapore. For most of Asia, the VCs are in Singapore. They are demanding much more robust evaluation to determine who are entrepreneurs and who are not. Anagnos: I understand that now the name is the Shah Family Prize for Innovative Undergraduate Student Projects, and the students have to submit their project to a committee. Then there’s some kind of a review of their projects. 79 Chapter 9 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Shah: Yes, but it’s still not working well. There is still probably some money, so they use it, but it is working much better to work with external non-university stakeholders. Helping Farmers: Asia Risk Transfer Solutions Anagnos: I saw something on your resume about Asia Risk Transfer Solutions Inc. What is that? Shah: After RMS was very successful, I went back to one of my old passions, how to help poor farmers. Many countries in Asia do not depend on irrigation as much as we do in the Western world. They depend on rain. When the rain comes, they are fine. If the rain doesn’t come, they are wiped out. They cannot pay off the loan that they have taken for seeds. They commit suicide. We wanted to do something to help. It turns out that in many Asian countries, the government provides subsidies to farmers for crop failure. But in some countries like India, for example, farmers are on their own. The government started a crop insurance scheme, but they did not know how to run it. They did not have well-organized data of when, how often, at what level, which crops fail, how much it cost, and how much subsidy they would have to provide. 80 I saw that as an opportunity, based on what we had learned from RMS. As a subsidiary of RMS, I started a group within RMS called Crop Insurance Scheme. It turns out that most of the schemes that we were looking at were in Asia. The project started taking too many resources from RMS, so the owners of RMS at that time recommended that we separate it. We started a separate stand-alone company called Asia Risk Transfer Solutions, and I was the Chairman. It did well. Later on, when I left RMS, I removed myself from everything related to RMS, including the Asia Risk Transfer Solutions chairmanship. Then, it didn’t do well, and the investors decided to wind it up. I decided that it was still needed. So, I personally started a company called Asia Risk Transfer Solutions (ARTS), which to this day exists. It was doing fine and was profitable, but I recently shut it down because this requires a lot of travel, and I can’t really do it anymore. Chapter 10 Family As they say, the greatest pleasure is in giving, not receiving. And it’s true, at least for me, it’s true. I do what I enjoy and I enjoy it, this kind of thing. Joan Anagnos: Tell us about Joan’s family and background. Shah: Joan is from a Dutch Indonesian family. The Dutch occupied Indonesia for several hundred years as a colonial power, and many Dutch government people were sent from Holland to manage infrastructure and services. Joan’s mother comes from a pure European family: Austrian, Dutch and Swiss mix. Her father, Willem Dersjant, comes from a mixed Indonesian Dutch family. He was a lawyer for the Dutch government working in Indonesia. His job was to oversee tax collection in the huge archipelago, which consists of thousands of islands. So he had to go to all the small islands to make sure that their tax collection was done properly. Wilhelmina and Willem had three children. Joan is the eldest, and Helen is second. They were both born in Indonesia. Roland Willem is the youngest, and was born here. Joan was born during the World War II when the Japanese occupied Indonesia. Most of the Dutch 81 Chapter 10 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series families were considered enemies of the Japanese, and they were put in internment camps. Joan was born in 1942 in one of those camps, in a town called Bukit Tinggi on Sumatra. Food was not available. Joan’s grandmother (Wilhelmina’s mother) was a wealthy lady, and she would somehow smuggle food into the internment camp to feed the children. So Joan was raised under very difficult circumstances the first few years, until they were liberated after the Japanese were defeated in ’45. Indonesia achieved full independence from Holland in December 1949. Things became difficult in the 1950s, and it was obvious that they had to leave. So in 1955, Joan’s father took the family and immigrated to Holland. Holland is a tiny country, making it a challenge to absorb hundreds of thousands of people from Indonesia. America and other countries also offered to take these immigrants. In 1958 Joan’s father, mother, and the two daughters came to America from Holland through a church group. They stayed on the East Coast with some relatives, and then moved to the Sacramento area, also with a church group. Joan’s father was educated in Holland, but that legal education was no good here. He had to find a job. So they struggled initially but they finally established themselves in Daly City and then moved to a community near San Rafael in Marin County. Anagnos: You and Joan both dealt with moving from your home to an unfamiliar and faraway place. Shah: For me it was easy, because I came to Stanford from a well off family and was always 82 taken care of. For her and her family it was tough. Anagnos: How was Joan involved in all of your philanthropic work? Shah: Joan is very interested in education. She worked for the Palo Alto Unified School District for 15 years, first for the principal at Gunn High School and then for the school district Deputy Superintendent. She was very much the driver for our work with schools in the mountain region of North India. She was the main spokesperson for helping the needy with tools and education. Whether it was the Family Foundation, an EERI grant, a Stanford gift, or women’s education in India, Joan was very enthusiastic with our plans and contributed many ideas to implement those plans. Without her and my two sons’ enthusiastic participation at every step, we could not have implemented our combined wishes. Anagnos: Joan has been your partner almost 60 years. And she’s traveled with you all around the U.S. and the world attending professional meetings, entertaining students and visitors, participating in philanthropic endeavors. She’s always there participating, providing support, welcoming people, and making everyone feel comfortable. Shah: We learned a lot together. Meeting people, rich, poor, powerful, and not so powerful. Basically, everybody’s the same. Hemant Anagnos: You have two sons and nine grandchildren. Tell us a little bit about your older son Hemant. Haresh C. Shah • Family Shah: I must say, Hemant is an unbelievably smart kid. Really! When he was four or five years old he would pick up my books and read them. He’d say, “Pop, I’m reading.” He still loves to read. He went to Stanford where he earned a civil engineering bachelors and an engineering management masters. Anagnos: What was it like having your son in the same department? Shah: It was tough, but Jim Gere was of great help. When Hemant would take some of the fundamental classes that I used to teach like statics, I was very uncomfortable about that. I would ask Jim to do me a favor. Jim personally graded Hemant’s homework, exams, everything. We had a very good working relationship, Jim, Hemant and me; we worked it out. Anagnos: How did Hemant become your partner at RMS? Shah: When he was doing his engineering management master’s degree in ’89, one of the projects was to develop a business model. Hemant came to me and said, “Pop, can we make a business model for your work on risk management?” He started out and he was fascinated. He realized that there was a lot more to it than what I knew. I knew mostly the civil side, but we needed to learn a lot about the finance and business side. He developed the whole model, including what we needed to learn, and what was missing. He earned an A on the project, and then told me, “Pop, I want to use this plan to start a risk management business. I think I can make it happen, but I need money.” I said, “I’m a professor. I don’t have a ton of money.” But I Chapter 10 gave him some money, and he started out. You see what happened then. Anagnos: How does the business plan that Hemant created connect with the Stanford Office of Technology Licensing (OTL) we talked about earlier? Shah: He knew them before I did. He started talking to OTL while he was doing his project. He’s very resourceful. He would go and talk to them, ask all kinds of questions. Anagnos: So Hemant was working with Stanford OTL before you officially established a relationship with that office. Shah: Absolutely, because for his project he needed to learn how to start a company. He approached them on his own as part of his class project. Since the technology was owned by me, Stanford OTL came to me and said we would like to work with your son to start a business. Would you give permission? The university will invest in it. Anagnos: What was it like for you to be working with your son so intensely on developing a company. Was it hard to work with a family member? Shah: No, I considered him like another smart student. I never thought of him as my son in terms of RMS. Whenever I wanted to see him, I would make an appointment. I didn’t consider that just because he’s my son I can walk in his office. He was a big shot, he had other things to do. I had to treat him with respect. I cannot speak for him, but I was never uncomfortable. I trusted him very much. 83 Chapter 10 Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Anagnos: He co-founded another company now called Archipelago Analytics. What is that company? Shah: After he was done with RMS, he took a year off. He was tired after 29 years as RMS CEO. For a year he did nothing, but that’s not Hemant. He would talk to his friends in the industry. He was elected to the Aspen Institute as one of the movers and shakers. He got the 2014 Most Admired CEO, Bay Area award from San Francisco Business Times. He received many awards. Anyway, he wanted to figure out how he could use his knowledge to start a small company, with five to ten people and have fun. He thought he could work with a new class of models for insuring portfolios. That idea was extremely attractive to reinsurance companies, because they designed their portfolios so that the properties they insure are geographically widely distributed. Hemant started developing mathematical models of how to insure portfolios. For example, a large corporation like Marriott has maybe 10,000 properties around the world, maybe more. Historically, they would insure each property in each market and pay individual premiums. The reason being that there was no insurance or reinsurance company capable of taking the whole set of properties because they were not big enough to handle such a large exposure. However, with the advent of the new world after RMS, there are companies which are so huge that they can. The impact of RMS on the industry has been tremendous. The insurance and reinsurance industry have become huge. 84 When Hemant saw this, he said this is the time to develop portfolio risk. Archipelago is developing systems for big owners of properties. Hemant’s idea of keeping his new company small didn’t succeed. He is growing big like RMS. Mihir Anagnos: Mihir is three years younger than Hemant. What is he like? Shah: Mihir is extremely outgoing. He is very lovable person. After high school, he first enrolled in University of California, San Diego and then transferred to Stanford, where he graduated with a degree in economics. We used to own a restaurant called Gaylord. When Mihir graduated, I asked him to run that business because, we were losing lots of money. I wanted him to figure out why and where we were losing, and what could be done. After a year he said, “Pop, sell it. There’s no way it can make a profit.” There are many people in the business looking for an easy way to make money. Unless it’s your son, no matter who you hire, they will make an agreement with the suppliers. If you order three bottles of Scotch, the supplier will only send one, and the manager will sign off for three. Then they will split the remaining two. So you will pay for three, but get only one to sell, and you lose money. The more clients you have, the more money you will lose. The more guests in the restaurant, the more you lose. He wanted to join Hemant at RMS. Hemant was happy for him to join, but I said no. I don’t want to put my two eggs in one basket. If Hemant fails, you both fail. If he succeeds, Haresh C. Shah • Family he will succeed on his own. I want you to start something different on your own. If you fail, you always have family support. If you succeed, it’s you who succeed. He started his own company, Stanford Management Group. Then Stanford University called him one day and said you have started a company called Stanford Management Group. How did you do that? Because we have a Stanford Management Group, which runs a $20 billion portfolio for Stanford. We want you to change the name. Mihir said he wasn’t going to change the name. He did it legally, went through the proper process to get the name. Stanford asked him how much money he wanted in order to change the name. Mihir explained that to change the name was changing a brand, and asked them to pay for the expenses to change the name. Stanford did, so he started something different. He has been a serial entrepreneur for the last 25 years. He took two or three companies from early investment to big investment. Chapter 10 Passion for People Anagnos: You are always very busy. When you aren’t working, or innovating, changing the world, or running non-profit foundations, or teaching people things, what are your favorite pastimes? What do you like to do? Shah: What I am doing now. That’s what I like to do. I love people. I truly love people. Irrespective of their station in life. Nowadays I like to work with people who are just unfortunate to be in a bad situation, but good people. So I work with our own foundation. I work with motivating people as to why they should educate themselves, and get out of the vicious cycle of poverty. I do things like that quite a bit now, and I enjoy doing it because it gives me personal satisfaction. As they say, the greatest pleasure is in giving, not receiving. And it’s true, at least for me, it’s true. I do what I enjoy and I enjoy it, this kind of thing. Anagnos: Very entrepreneurial. Shah: Very entrepreneurial. People love him as soon as they see him, how can we support you? Can we be part of what you are doing? He’s amazing, really amazing. 85 Photos Photos of Haresh Shah 87 Photos Connections: The EERI Oral History Series 1943 photo of the Shah family. Sitting on ground (L to R): Vinod Shah (brother of Manhar Shah), Surya (sister), Haresh, Shashikant (brother). Sitting in chairs (L to R): Vijya (sister), Ramangauri (Mother), Chandulal (Father), Manhar Shah (Chandrakanta’s husband), Chandrakanta (sister), Indu (sister). Standing: children’s caregivers and mother’s helpers. 88 Haresh C. Shah Photos Chandulal Shah’s Emelie shop in Pune that sold women’s and children’s clothes. 89 Photos Connections: The EERI Oral History Series High school trip to New Delhi to visit Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru in 1954. Haresh is to the right and behind the man in the tie who is standing next to the Prime Minister. 90 Haresh C. Shah Photos Haresh’s mother and father wishing him farewell as he is about to board the SS Strathnaver of the P&O Line to travel from Bombay to Southampton, August 4, 1959. 91 Photos Connections: The EERI Oral History Series William Venuti and Haresh Shah at PhD graduation ceremony, Stanford 1963. Wedding of Haresh and Joan, 1965. 92 Haresh C. Shah Photos Helen (sister), Wilhelmina (mother), Joan, Roland (brother) and Willem (father) Dersjant. 93 Photos Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Haresh Shah and Jim Gere preparing a shake table demonstration for the John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center opening on September 17, 1976. 94 Haresh C. Shah Photos Haresh Shah at the Blume Center opening in 1976 showing John Blume the Fourier analyzer, which was gifted by HP to Stanford. 95 Photos Connections: The EERI Oral History Series John Blume, Provost Bill Miller and Haresh Shah at the John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center opening, September 17, 1976. 96 Haresh C. Shah Photos California Department of Water Resources engineer, Arnold Eskel (lower left) at one of the switchyards for the California Aqueduct (early 1970s) when Blume Center researchers were studying dynamic properties of switchyard equipment. 97 Photos Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Chinese delegates to the 2nd U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering from the People’s Republic of China, 1979. Front row (L to R): Haresh C. Shah, Nie Fenglan, Li Jingzhao, Ye Yaoxian, Xie Junfei, Gong Yongsong. Back row (L to R): Jin Guoliang, Yu Li, Chen Dasheng, Sun Shaoping, Liu Xihui. 98 Haresh C. Shah Photos Jim and Janice Gere, and Haresh and Joan Shah with colleagues and hosts 1980 trip to Tangshan, China. 99 Photos Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Haresh Shah reviewing damage to the Stanford Memorial Church after the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake. Anne Kiremidjian is on the far right. 100 Haresh C. Shah Photos L to R: Joan Shah, S. R. Nathan, Umi Nandey (wife of Nathan), Haresh Shah at the National Technical University of Singapore, 2008 101 Photos Connections: The EERI Oral History Series First school built in the village of Milethi to provide computer education (2004). As of 2024 the school has expanded to a new site that supports 1200 students, grades K through pre-college. 102 Haresh C. Shah Photos Members of the Uganda Seismic Safety Association, including founding president Badru M. Kiggundu (directly to the left of Haresh) at WSSI High Level Meeting in Uganda, 1997. 103 Photos Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Haresh giving talk at 1997 WSSI High Level Meeting in Kampala, Uganda. 104 Haresh C. Shah Photos Shah family 2015: (L to R) Hemant, Haresh, Joan, and Mihir. 105 Index Index A C Asia Risk Transfer Solutions 80 California State Water Project electrical equipment 34 seismic risk analysis 34 California Universities for Research in Earthquake Engineering (CUREE) 58 CUREE-Kajima Joint Research Program 60 SAC Joint Venture Project 60 Center for Integrated Facility Engineering (CIFE) 54 Cornell, C. Allin 17, 29, 31 Stanford PhD thesis 20 B Bendimerad, Fouad 45 Benjamin, Jack R. 13–15, 17–19, 24 Blume Earthquake Engineering Center founding 32 impact 38 public policy research 33 seismic hazard methodology 33 Blume, John A. 15, 17, 32, 36. Alexander building 32 Blume Earthquake Engineering Center 32 Boissonade, Auguste 37, 45 Bolt, Bruce 59 D Dalal, Jagat 31 Dersjant, Wilhelmina mother-in-law 81 Dersjant, Willem father-in-law 81 Dong, Weimin 36, 44, 45, 46 107 Index Connections: The EERI Oral History Series E Earth Observatory of Singapore 70 EERI Shah Family Innovation Prize 78 El-Asnam, Algeria Earthquake 1980 38 Emelie Foundation 58, 74–75, 77 Emelie store 3, 89 F International Decade for Natural Hazard Reduction 61 Iwan, Wilfred D. 60, 61 J Jacobsen, Lydik 15, 32 Jobe, Edward 47 Flügge, Wilhelm 15 K G Kiremidjian, Anne S. 29, 56 Koyna Dam 6 Kumagai Professorship 54 Gere, James M. 15, 25 Blume Earthquake Engineering Center 32 Stanford colleague 83 Tangshan, China 34 Gibbons, Jim 54 Grandori, Giuseppe 28, 62 Guaning, Su 68, 70 Gunturi, Surya 45 H Hutton, Thompson 45, 46 I International Association for Earthquake Engineering (IAEE) 61 108 L Lieberman, Gerald 18 M Mortgat, Christian P. 29, 37, 45 N Nathan, S.R. 68 National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research (NCEER) 58 NTU Shah Family Prize 79 NTU Singapore 67–72 Earth Observatory of Singapore 70 Guaning, Su 68, 70 Haresh C. Shah Institute of Catastrophe Risk Management (ICRM) 70 Nathan, S.R. 68 Pan, Tso-Chien (T.C.) 68 Senior Academic Advisor 69 Sieh, Kerry 70 O Obayashi Endowed Professorship 54 P Pan, Tso-Chien (T.C.) 65, 68 Pate Cornell, Elisabeth 33, 56 Pauschke, Joy 56 Probabilistic methods research 19–20 R Rahnama, Mohsen 45 Risk Management Solutions (RMS) Crop Insurance Scheme 80 first clients 46 founding 43 global company 47 HAZUS development 48 investors 49 IRAS risk system 40 Oyo-RMS, Tokyo 47 Robertson, Steve 46 Rosenblueth, Emilio 29 Index S Sauter, Franz 31 Second U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering 35 Seismic hazard maps 29 Algeria 31 Guatemala 30 Nicaragua 29 Seismic hazard methodology STASHA computer program 33, 40 Shah, Chandulal father 1 Shah, Haresh C. Algeria incident 37 Asia Risk Transfer Solutions 80 Civil Engineering Dept. Chair 53 Dastur High School 4 EERI Shah Family Innovation Prize 78 G. K. H. Mandal School 4 graduate students supervised 57 helicopter rotor fatigue 24 Milethi school 77 NTU Senior Academic Advisor 69 NTU Shah Family Prize 79 nuclear fallout shelters 21, 24 Pingat Bakti Masyarakat medal 72 probabilistic methods courses 22 public policy research 33 seismic hazard maps 29 Stanford graduate school 11–16 Stanford PhD thesis 19 Stanford professor 24 Stanford retirement 56 Stanford Shah Family Fund 79 Tangshan, China 34 University of Pennsylvania 22, 23 University of Pune 6 Wadia College 6 women students 58 109 Index Connections: The EERI Oral History Series Shah, Hemant 82 Risk Management Solutions (RMS) 44, 46 son 22 Shah, Joan Dersjant Emelie Foundation 75 family and backbround 81 marriage 22 wife 22 Shah, Mihir 84 son 84 Shah, Ramangauri mother 1 Shah, Shashikant C. brother 1 Shah, Surya sister 4 Shore, Sidney 22 Sieh, Kerry 70 Stanford Shah Family Fund 79 STASHA computer program 33, 40 Stojanovski, Pane 45 Symbiosis International University 71 T Tangshan, China 34 Timoshenko, Stephen P. 16 Troika! The Remarkable Ascent of a Great Global University 69 V VanderMarck, Paul 45 Venuti, William 17 Stanford PhD thesis 19 W Watabe, Makoto 54 Weaver, William 16 Whitman, Robert V. 29 Williams, Harry 15 World Seismic Safety Initiative (WSSI) Bangladesh 63 dissolved 2009 65 first meeting 62 framework 62 global seismic safety community 64 High Level Meeting (HLM) project 62, 63 Myanmar 63 Uganda 36, 63 Y Young, Donovan 14, 16 Z Zsutty, Theodore C. 17, 40 seismic hazard maps 31 Stanford PhD thesis 19 110 Today catastrophe risk models are widely used to estimate casualties and other losses for natural and human-caused hazards ranging from earthquakes to cyber data breaches. In the 1960s, when Haresh C. Shah began his career as a Stanford professor, he and his students were pioneers in the early development of seismic hazard and risk models. This EERI oral history documents establishment of the John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center at Stanford and its groundbreaking research, the founding of Risk Management Solutions (RMS) and its growth into a global corporation with hundreds of employees on four continents, and Haresh’s contributions to the broader earthquake engineering community through the California Universities for Research in Earthquake Engineering (CUREE) and the World Seismic Safety Initiative (WSSI). Haresh discusses his passions for education, public safety, and humanitarian work and how he has applied his passions to transforming the Nanyang Technological University Singapore, as well as establishing numerous prizes to foster innovation and foundations to support the needy. ISBN 978-0-943198-56-9 9 7 8 0 9 4 3 1 9 8 5 6 9
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