Finance and Investments/Principles of Managerial Finance Chapter 1: The role of managerial finance Finance allows supply and demand. Supply – Firms, they make sure the needs are met Demand – Consumers, they have the needs, like food A firm is a business organization that sells goods and/or services. We can think of firms as entities where business owners and money holders meet. Firms are intermediaries that bring together investors and risky investment opportunities. Firms are interested in investors. They allow the company to invest and grow. If you don’t grow as a company, you will be destroyed by competition. Firms have short-term goals (to avoid bankruptcy) and long-term goals (investments) Goals as a firm/manager: 1. Maximize shareholder wealth. The primary goal of managers is to maximize the wealth of the firm’s owner, meaning shareholders or stockholders Share price is the best index to measure stockholder wealth. If we take into account these principles, then managers should only take action that they expect will increase the shareholders’ wealth Share prices can be affected by the size of the company (bigger company needs more investments), the company’s welfare, price of assets, number of outstanding shares (the more, the less value it has because it’s more split), but most importantly are the beliefs and interests of the consumers. 2. Maximize stakeholder welfare Management should focus on the maximization of stakeholder welfare instead of shareholder wealth. Shareholders own a part of the company; stakeholders are only affected by the company. Stakeholders can be employees, suppliers, customers, citizens etc. Critics of this view affirm that shareholders’ wealth maximization does not clash with stakeholders’ welfare. More trust from consumers, less risk of boycotting or vandalism 3. Maximize profit Profits are commonly measured in earnings per share (EPS), which is the amount earned during a specific period by each outstanding share of stock. Profit maximization does not always coincide with shareholder wealth maximization. Timing: an investment that provides small profits quickly may be preferred to one that produces higher profits, but later. Cash flow: Profits do not always result in cash flow. Profit is an estimate; cash flow shows money flowing into the company Risk: Profit maximization does not consider risk. A business that earns little but has a low risk can be more valuable. You always need to take risk for profit. Profit = revenues – costs. Dividends influence the profit Managing the firm: Managers are in charge of controlling anything that has a financial impact on or is of financial importance to the firm. Investment decisions: Focuses on how companies will spend its financial resources on long-term projects that ultimately determine whether the firms successfully creates value for the firm. Most important decisions which determine the failure or success of the business in the long run. For long-term growth, advertise the investments, for a growth in stock price and interest. Capital building: A technique that helps managers decide which projects create the most value for shareholders. In practice, this means that managers try to identify projects where the benefit exceeds the cost, as to make a revenue off it. This principle is the main guiding tool for investment decisions. Financing decisions: Financing decisions determine how companies raise the capital needed for investment opportunities. Therefore, it can also be called Capital Structure Decision. Firms have 3 options: 1. Reinvest earnings; 2. Use capital from owners of the business or to external investors interested in the ownership; 3. Request a loan to banks This tool through which the company decides to support its investment has crucial implications Working capital decision: Working capital decision refer to the management of a firm’s short-time resources. This means tracking the cash position, making sure the firm pays its bills and receive payments from customers on time. This is fundamental to ensure the company has enough liquidity to meet short-term obligations. Guiding principles: 1. Time value of money: having money today is better than having it later. 2. Tradeoff between return and risk: investors want higher returns, must bear higher levels of risk. 3. Cash is king: cash flow matters more than profits, since investors are paid with cash 4. Competitive financial markets: managers need to convince investors that their business is better than others 5. Incentives are important: whether the owner of the firm is different from the managers, there is a principal-agent problem Legal form and taxation: 1. Sole proprietorship: For profit businesses, owned by one person; Owner is also the manager; Entrepreneurs has unlimited liability; Income from business is passed through the owner and taxed at a personal level 2. Partnerships: Two or more owners doing business together; Regulated by Articles of Partnership; In regular partnership, partners have unlimited liability; Income from business is passed through each owner and taxed at a personal level. 3. Corporations: Business owned by individuals, but the legal entity is distinct from them; Owners elect a Board of Directors, which appoint the CEO; Stockholders have limited liability; Income from business is passed to the owners through dividends. This means that corporations suffer from double taxation. Chapter 2: The Financial Market Environment Sales are made when you lose/transfer ownership of the product. Financial institutions serve as intermediaries by channeling the savings in the economy into loans or investments. Individuals: Net supplier of funds; Firms: Net demanders of funds. 1. Commercial banks: They provide deposits/investment opportunities for capital of savers and provide loans to businesses and borrowers. They make and provide private money/money with a click. 2. Investment banks: they assist companies in raising capital, advise firms on major transactions and they engage in market-making activities. 3. Shadow Banking System: Financial institutions that act like commercial banks, but that do not accept deposits. Pension funds e.g. fake deposit cannot get it back till the agreed-on time has passed, 10 years as an example. The time depends on what type of investment you make. You can always add money but not add. That is a risk of this, you cannot get your money if you ever need it. Commercial banks are not an option; it is a must. The other banks are an addition to that. SBS invest in stocks or invest in companies to make money. Investment banks don’t get money for depositors. Investment for a company or social cause. Financial markets are forums in which suppliers and demanders meet to make deals. Money market where short-term trades (<1 year) happen; Capital market where long-term trades (>1 year) happen. When a security is issued the first time and money go directly to the issuer; we talk about PRIMARY MARKET. Once the securities are traded between investors, we talk about SECONDARY MARKET. Example: You buy something at the store (primary market), later you sell it because you do not need it anymore (secondary market). There are 2 approaches that firms have to raise money: 1. Private placement: sale of new securities directly to investors; 2. Public offering: sale of bonds or stock. Two types of tools are trade in Capital Markets: 1. Debt – Bonds 2. Equity – Common stock & preferred stock Trades happen at a specific price, which is in between the bid (highest price the buyer is willing to pay) and the ask (lowest price the seller is willing to accept) prices. The difference between the two is called the bid/ask spread. Common stockholders: hope to get dividend, voting right, last to get the dividend. Preferred stockholders: no voting right and get the dividend after obligatory, but they get the dividend before common stockholders. Bonds are periodical and have a fixed payment, that being interest. Preferred stock is the same, but with dividends. Preferred stockholders can become common stockholders, but not bonds. An investor would make this decision to increase their voting power, as an example. Preferred stock is like a hybrid, it is in between debt and equity. Bonds are less expensive than preferred stock and also cheaper than equity in general. Bid/ask spread example: Ask 167,79 Bid: 167,85 The bid/ask spread is 167,85 – 167,79 = 0,06 euros. 167,82 is the meet point/average. (Amount of shares x 3 cents) + commission fee = total commission fees. Chapter 3: Financial Statements and Ratio Analysis The Four Key Financial Statements: Informative financial reports constructed based on GAAPs and used for internal and external purposes 1. Income Statement: Summary of operating results, starting from the Gross value and arriving to the Net. 2. Balance sheet: Summary statement of the firms’ position at given period, comparing assets against financing instruments. Elements are that it’s expressed in book value, ordered based on liquidity (highest to lowest) and categorized based on time; Short-term: maturity < 1 year and Long-term: maturity > 1 year 3. Statement of retained earnings: it summarizes the net income earned during a given period and the relative cash dividends paid, showing the change in retained earnings between the start and the end of the period. 4. Statement of cash flow: simply, a summary of the cash flow inside and outside the company during a given period of time. Using financial ratios: Ratio Analysis involves methods of calculating and interpreting financial ratios to analyze & monitor the firm’s performance. Ratio Analysis focuses more on the interpretation of the ratio values with respect to a specific period or to peer firms. Type of Ratio Comparisons: Cross-Sectional Analysis: comparison of different units in a specific point in time Time-Series Analysis: evaluation of performance over time Combined (or Panel) Analysis: Combination of the previous two approaches. Generally, analyzing ratios individually does not provide useful information When comparing ratios between companies, ensure that you are using financial statements dated at the same point in the year. Audited values are to be preferred to self-assessment ones Financial data being compared should have been constructed using the same accounting principles. Results can be distorted by high inflation, especially when comparing ratios over a long time period. Liquidity ratio: The liquidity of a firm reflects its ability to satisfy short-term obligations as they come due. Trade-off: low or declining liquidity could be an early warning for financial distress. At the same time, overinvesting in liquidity is not beneficial for the business growth. Liquidity needed depends on different factors: firm size, access to short-term financing sources, volatility of the business, etc. Current Ratio: The Current Ratio measures liquidity by comparing a firm’s current assets to its current liabilities. Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities Quick (Acid-Test) Ratio: Quick ratio is similar to the current ratio, except that it excludes inventory (generally the least liquid current asset). Why? (i) inventory is hard to sell because it is often partially completed and (ii) inventory is typically sold on credit. Quick Ratio = (Current assets – inventory) / Current Liabilities. Activity ratios: Activity ratios measure the speed with which various assets and liabilities are converted into sales or cash. In other words, it measures how efficiently the firm operates Inventory Turnover: Inventory turnover Ratio is a metric used to evaluate the effectiveness of inventory management practices. Inventory Turnover = Costs of goods sold / Inventory Average age of inventory = 365 / inventory Average Collection Period: ACP is useful in evaluating credit and collection policies ACP = Accounts receivable / average sales per day = … days Average sales per day = cost of goods sold / 365 Average Payment Period: APP is harder to calculate, because the Annual Purchases are usually not published in the FSs Ordinarily, Average purchases per day estimated as 90% of cost of good sold. APP = Accounts payable / average purchases a day Average purchases a day = ?? / 365 Total Asset Turnover: TAT measures the efficiency of a firm in using its assets to generate sales TAT = Sales / Total assets Debt Ratios: Debt position generally indicates how much a firm relies on funds that are not provided by shareholders, but rather lenders. The greater the debt, the greater is the insolvency risk, but also the potential returns. The more debt a firm uses in relation to its total assets, the greater is its financial leverage. Leverage measures: Leverage measures are of two different types: measures of the degree of indebtedness and measures of the ability to repay debts. Degree of indebtedness: Debt ratio: The debt ratio measures the proportion of total assets financed by the firm’s creditors. Debt Ratio = Total Liabilities / Total Assets Debt-to-Equity Ratio: The D-t-E Ratio measures the relative proportion of total liabilities to common stock equity used to finance the firm’s assets D-t-E Ratio = total liabilities / common stock equity Ability to repay debts: This ratio (also called coverage ratio) compares the income that a firm earns to the fixed payments that it is obligated to make. Times Interest Earned Ratio: it measures the firm’s ability to make contractual interest payments TIER = Earnings Before Interest and Taxes / Interest (EBIT is the same as Operating Profits) Fixed Payment Coverage Ratio: it measures the ability of the firm to meet all the fixed-payment obligations Fixed Payment Coverage Ratio = (EBIT + Lease payments) / (Interest + lease payments) + [(Principal payments + Preferred Stock Dividends) x (1/(1-tax rate applicable to the firm))] Profitability Ratios: Measures that enable analysts to evaluate a firm’s profit. Common-size income statements: It is a useful tool to evaluate profitability in relation to sales. Each item is expressed as a % of sales. Gross Profit Margin: It measures the percentage of each sale dollar remaining after the firm has paid for its costs goods sold. GPM = (sales – cost of goods sold) / sales Operating Profit Margin: it measures the percentage of each sale dollar remaining after deducting all costs and expenses other than interest taxes and preferred stock dividends. In other words, it measures the “pure profits”. OPM = Operating Profits / Sales Net Profit Margin: it measures the percentage of each sales dollar remaining after all costs and expenses, including taxes, interests and preferred stock dividends, are deducted. NPM = Earnings Available for Common Stockholders / Sales Earnings per Share: Hardly comparable between companies due to the different number of common shares outstanding. EPS = EACS / number of shares of common stock outstanding Return on Total Assets: sometimes called Return on Investment (ROI), measures the overall effectiveness of management in generating profits with its assets. ROA = EACS / Total Assets Return on Equity: the ROE is similar to ROA, except this one focusses on the earnings generated by the equity invested in the firm, rather than the assets invested. ROE = EACS / Common Stock Equity Assets = (Liabilities + Equity) This means that as long as the firm has at least some liabilities: A > E The more it borrows, the bigger the gap between ROA and ROE will be 1. If positive earnings available for common stockholder, ROE > ROA 2. If there are no positive earnings available for common stockholders, ROE < ROA Market ratios: Market Ratios relate the firm’s market value, as measured by its current share price to certain accounting values. These ratios give insights into how investors believe the firm is doing. Price/Earnings Ratio: P/E ratio measures the amount of money investors are willing to pay for each dollar of a firm’s earnings. One relevant factor affection P/E ratios is the growth rate that investors believe a firm will achieve. P/E ratio = Market Price Share of Common Stock / Earnings per Share Market/Book Ratio: The M/B Ratio provides an assessment of how investors view the firm’s performance. M/B ratio compares the market price of the firm’s common stock (i.e. value investors are willing to pay) to the book value of common stock (i.e. value shown on the balance sheet). Book Value per Share of Common Stock = Common Stock Equity / Numbers of shares of common stock outstanding Market/Book Ratio = Market price per share of common stock / Book value per share of common stock DuPont System Analysis: Dupont System analysis is used to dissect and assess its financial condition. Dupont Formula: the DuPont system first brings together the net profit margins (measures of sales’ profitability) with its total asset turnover (indicated firm’s efficiency in exploiting its assets) ROA = Net Profit Margin x Total Asset Turnover This analysis shows that the company can choose its desired ROA in two ways: - Through strong net profit margins - Turning over its assets rapidly Modified DuPont Formula: this formula relates the firm’s ROA to its ROE. The key ratio linking the two is the Financial Leverage Multiplier (FLM), which is also called Equity Multiplier. FLM = Total Assets / Common Stock Equity. Chapter 4: Long- & Short-Term Financial Planning Financial Planning Process: Financial planning allows the company to draw up a strategy through which it can achieve the objective of creating value for shareholders. Two aspects of the financial planning process are: 1. Cash planning: preparation for the firm’s cash budget needs sales forecast 2. Profit planning: preparation of pro-forma statement, projecting futures figures for the future. Long-Term Financial Plan: This plan describes the strategy for how the company will compete in the market and relative impact of such strategy over period ranging from 2 to 10 years. 2 main objectives of the Long-Term Financial plan: 1. Build/create value for the shareholders 2. Whether the firm needs to raise additional external capital or whether it generates efficient cash flow. The plan specifies the magnitude, timing and return of major investments. This helps managers in forecasting funds availability and cash requirements, meaning: 1. Investment decisions. 2. Financing decisions. Short-Term Financial Plan: This plan describes short-term financial and operating decisions and their relative impact over periods ranging from 1 to 2 years. Notice that the attention remains on cash position and profits perspectives. Key inputs: sales forecast and various forms of operating and financial data Key outputs: operating budgets, the cash budget and pro forma financial statements Measuring the firm’s cash flow: Estimating cash flow is central to the valuation process of an investment. We refer to cash flow as an inflow and/or outflow of money inside and outside the company. Depreciation: Accounting principle that consider the cost of an asset as spreadable over its lifetime. This means that the cost of an asset is not accounted entirely in the year of the purchase of the same. To calculate the depreciation of an asset we use the Modified Accelerated Cost Recovery System (MACRS). - The depreciable value of an assets is its full cost, installation cost included - The depreciable life of an assets can be of six recovery years (3, 5, 7, 10, 15 and 20 years) - The Half-Year convention assumes that the firm buys the assets in the middle of the year. Developing the Statement of Cash Flow: Cash flow can be summarized into three categories: 1. From Operating activities: directly related to sales and production of a firm’s product 2. From Investment Activities: related to purchase and sale of both fixed assets and equity investments in other firms. 3. From Financing activities: it results from debt and equity financing transactions. Changes in the balance sheet reflect inflows and outflows. Interpreting the Statement: A useful way to evaluate cash flow is to split its analysis based on the classification given previously. Operating Cash Flow: First calculate the Net Operating Profits After Taxes NOPAT = EBIT x (1-t) Then NOPAT into OCF OCF = NOPAT + Depreciation Free cash flow: FCF represents the cash available to investors after the firms has met all operating costs and paid for the net investments in fixed and current assets. Net Fixed Asset Investment = Change in Net Fixed Assets + Depreciation Net Current Asset Investments = Change in Net Current Assets - Change in (Account payable + accruals) Now we can calculate Free Cash Flow FCF = OCF – NFAI – NCAI Cash budget: With the cash budget a firm plans its own flow of cash. A key input is the Sales Forecast, which considers inflows and outflows related to production, inventory and sales. There are two ways to deal with sale forecast: 1. External Forecast: top-down approach 2. Internal Forecast: bottom-up approach Preparing the Cash Budget: Total Cash Receipts: all cash inflow during a specific period Total Cash Disbursements: all cash outflows during a given period Net Cash Flow: difference between inflows and outflows Ending Cash: Net cash + cash owned at the beginning of the period Required Total Financing: Amount of funds needed if ending cash is less than the desired minimum cash balance Excess Cash balance: the excess cash available for investments. Evaluating the Cash Budget: By the analysis of the cash budget, you should be able to expect eventual cash surpluses or shortages. Your cash forecasts should be flexible enough to face uncertainty of the estimation in the same forecast: 1. Conservative Analysis 2. Simulation Analysis Profit planning: Pro Forma Statements: Of great interest to shareholders, creditors and management, since it summarizes the firm’s overall financial position. Two ingredients are needed: previous year’s financial statement and sales forecast for the coming year. Pro Forma Income Statement: Percent-of-sales method: Use % sales of previous year to forecast projected income statement items. Underlying assumption: all costs are variable. Possible adjustments: divide costs into fixed and variable. Pro Forma Balance Sheet: A balance sheet represents a summary of the firm’s assets and liabilities for a given period. Two approaches: 1. Percentage-of-sales 2. Judgmental: percentage of sales + external financing required (what is needed to bring the statement into balance) Chapter 5: Time Value of Money Time Value It is better to receive money sooner than later. This creates a tradeoff when actions that require outflow of cash today may produce cash inflows later in the future. There are two ways to pose the problem: 1. What is the future value of €x? Use the compounding approach. 2. What is the present value of future €y? Use the discounting approach. Single amount A lump sum amount currently held or expected in the future Future Value: What is the future value of an investment made today? Compound interest: Compound interest is an interest paid on an investment’s original value (principal value) and on the interest that has been accumulated over previous periods. Simple interest: A simple interest is earned only on an investment’s original principle. The higher the interest rate is and the longer the period of the investment is, the bigger the difference in the Future Value of an investment with a compounding interest will be. Future Value with a compounding interest > Future with a simple interest Present value: What is the present value of a future cash flow? Or what Is the amount that I need to invest today to obtain a specific value in the future? The process of finding the Present value of an investment consists of discounting the cash flow of the same, assuming a specific discount rate. Annuity: A period stream of cash flow. Ordinary Annuity: The cash flow occurs at the end of each period. Annuity Due: The cash flow occurs at the beginning of each period. Perpetuity: Annuity with infinite life Annuity that grows at a steady rate. A periodical stream of unequal cash flow. The solution here is to calculate individually the future or present value of each cash flow. Then sum the values up to obtain the total value.
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