Wet Gas Pipeline Internal General Corrosion Prediction Based on Improved De Waard 95 Model Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. Linshuang Wu 1; Kexi Liao 2; Guoxi He, Ph.D. 3; Min Qin, Ph.D. 4; Zhongyuan Tian 5; Nan Ye 6; Minan Wang 7; and Jihui Leng, Ph.D. 8 Abstract: Corrosion perforation of wet gas pipelines occurs frequently, threatening the safe production on gas fields and bringing huge economic losses. Therefore, wet gas pipelines need to use a suitable corrosion prediction model to predict the corrosion rate along the pipeline and anticipate the corrosion risk. However, current corrosion prediction models have problems such as large errors and inaccurate predictions. This paper compares four common corrosion prediction models and combines these four models with OLGA multiphase flow simulation calculations to predict the corrosion condition of the same pipeline under three different conditions. Finally, it compares the model predictions with the actual corrosion internal detection data. The predicted value of the De Waard 95 model was closer to the corrosion internal detection data, but the error result still reached 82.03%. To further improve the accuracy of the corrosion prediction model for wet gas pipelines, the De Waard 95 model was optimized using the linear fitting method to obtain a new corrosion prediction model, W22. And the corrosion prediction experiment was conducted for the multiphase flow corrosion loop using the W22 model, and the error between the prediction results and the experimental results was only 6.8%. Compared with the De Waard 95 model, the average error of the W22 model was reduced by 81.32%. Therefore, the W22 model has high accuracy in predicting wet gas pipeline corrosion, which lays the foundation for improving the essential safety of wet gas pipeline operation. DOI: 10.1061/JPSEA2.PSENG-1477. © 2023 American Society of Civil Engineers. Author keywords: CO2 ; Wet gas pipeline; Corrosion prediction; De Waard 95. Introduction The problem of corrosion in the industry has long been a major concern. The typical cost of corrosion is 3%–5% of the gross domestic product of industrialized countries. The cost of corrosion in the production and manufacturing sector in the United States was 1 College of Petroleum Engineering School, Southwest Petroleum Univ., No. 8 Xindu Ave., Xindu District, Chengdu 610500, Sichuan, PR China (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3461-1427. Email: 1012232256@qq.com 2 Professor, College of Petroleum Engineering School, Southwest Petroleum Univ., No. 8 Xindu Ave., Xindu District, Chengdu 610500, Sichuan, PR China. Email: liaokxswpi@163.com 3 Associate Professor, College of Petroleum Engineering School, Southwest Petroleum Univ., No. 8 Xindu Ave., Xindu District, Chengdu 610500, Sichuan, PR China. Email: heguoxicup@163.com 4 College of Petroleum Engineering School, Southwest Petroleum Univ., No. 8 Xindu Ave., Xindu District, Chengdu 610500, Sichuan, PR China. Email: 1329314986@qq.com 5 Intermediate Engineer, Hainan Branch of CNOOC (China) Co., Ltd., No. 8 Changbin San Rd., Xiuying District, Haikou City, Hainan Province 570312, PR China. Email: 1165729292@qq.com 6 College of Petroleum Engineering School, Southwest Petroleum Univ., No. 8 Xindu Ave., Xindu District, Chengdu 610500, Sichuan, PR China. Email: 1169054068@qq.com 7 College of Petroleum Engineering School, Southwest Petroleum Univ., No. 8 Xindu Ave., Xindu District, Chengdu 610500, Sichuan, PR China. Email: 928787068@qq.com 8 College of Petroleum Engineering School, Southwest Petroleum Univ., No. 8 Xindu Ave., Xindu District, Chengdu 610500, Sichuan, PR China. Email: 383116590@qq.com Note. This manuscript was submitted on January 19, 2023; approved on May 25, 2023; published online on September 13, 2023. Discussion period open until February 13, 2024; separate discussions must be submitted for individual papers. This paper is part of the Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice, © ASCE, ISSN 1949-1190. © ASCE $34.4 billion in 2014, with the oil and gas industry accounting for more than half of this amount. Corrosion of oil and gas pipelines directly leads to natural gas leaks and explosions, causing pollution of the environment and potentially threatening the lives of people. CO2 internal corrosion is a common phenomenon in oil and gas gathering and transmission pipelines (Sun et al. 2021). This is due to CO2 and the water in the transmission medium generating corrosive carbonic acid (H2 CO3 ), causing pipeline internal corrosion, which causes the pipeline to leak or fail (Mohamed et al. 2012). In addition, changes in flow parameters along the pipeline leads to different corrosion rates at various locations, especially with corrosion monitoring equipment usually set up only at the beginning and end of the pipeline. To understand the internal corrosion situation along the pipeline, it is necessary to predict it. Therefore, the internal corrosion prediction model has become a focus in the field of internal corrosion protection, and many scholars across the world have studied and optimized the internal corrosion prediction model. In field production, the internal corrosion situation in the middle part of the pipeline usually cannot be grasped in time, thus the need to use the corresponding internal corrosion prediction model to predict the corrosion rate along the pipeline. However, there are large errors between the calculation results of common internal corrosion prediction models and the actual corrosion situation. To understand the corrosion situation inside the pipeline and improve the integrity management of natural gas pipelines, the corrosion prediction model needs to be further optimized (Olsen et al. 2005). The collection pipeline for the MX gas field discussed in this paper has a partial pressure of CO2 of over 100,000 Pa. It uses a wet gas transmission process, and the composition of the medium inside the pipe is complex, along with the topography of the fluctuating. For MX gas field corrosion rate prediction, this paper summarizes four types of common CO2 corrosion rate prediction models; compares and analyzes the applicability, advantages, and disadvantages of each 04023041-1 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. model; selects the most applicable corrosion prediction model for the MX gas field by combining the corrosion internal detection results of the MX gas field; and carries out optimization based on this model. The commonly used CO2 corrosion rate prediction models are mainly divided into mechanistic, empirical, and semiempirical types (Peng et al. 2020). For different pipe inclinations (horizontal, vertical, inclined), different fluid media (oil, gas, water) mixing types and different flow patterns formed a large number of semiempirical, semitheoretical models based on experimental data, and each model applies to different pipeline parameters and flow conditions. The Norsok M506 model was proposed by the Norwegian Institute of Energy Technology and was established mainly by integrating high-temperature field data and low-temperature test data. At present, the model has been widely used in China for the selection of external corrosion-resistant materials and corrosion margin design (He 2019). The De Waard 95 model (DW95 for short) is a common CO2 corrosion rate prediction model (Gao 2020). This model is modified based on the Norsok M506 model and takes into full consideration the influencing factors such as partial pressure of CO2 , temperature (De Waard et al. 1995), the transfer process of CO2 dissolved in water, and electrochemical kinetic reaction rate (Wang et al. 2019). The Srinivasan model introduces a correction factor on the De Waard 95 model. The first step of this method is to calculate the system pH. And it can be used for the corrosion prediction of CO2 and H2 S coexistence solution systems (Srinivasan and Tebbal 1998). Lafayette Corrosion Research Center proposed the Lafayette model, which considers the corrosion characteristics of gas-liquid two-phase flow and calculates the corrosion rate of annular, intermittent, and stratified flows. In this model, because the calculation of corrosion rate is related to the flow pattern, the flow pattern of the pipe needs to be evaluated before predicting the corrosion rate. Among them, the flow pattern is, in turn, related to many factors, such as medium composition, content, and liquid properties (Yao 2012) (Table 1). Abbas et al. (2018) developed high-pressure work modeling of high-pressure CO2 corrosion, which required extensive training using test data from multiple sources conducted under a variety of experimental conditions and different environments, factors that introduced uncertainty into the modeling and therefore imposed some limitations on the results predicted by the neural network, resulting in its inability to be widely applied to corrosion prediction of wet gas pipelines in all environments. The Norsok M506, De Waard 95, Srinivasan, and Lafayette models apply to MX gas field wet gas pipeline corrosion rate calculation. However, they are subject to many errors in practical application. Therefore, there will be errors in the application of the domestic oil and gas field pipeline corrosion rate prediction process. For the domestic corrosion prediction model, Long et al. (2008) established a corrosion rate with CO2 partial pressure, temperature, flow rate, and Cl− concentration of the relationship model, but only four influencing factors are considered, in addition to the prediction results and the actual value of a large error. Zhang et al. (2006) introduced the partial pressure ratio of CO2 and hydrogen sulfide into the pipeline corrosion prediction model, but the model only takes into account the influence of CO2 and hydrogen sulfide on the pipeline, with a single influence factor of corrosion and a small scope of application. Wu et al. (2006) and Song et al. (2008) both studied the effect of seven factors on the corrosion of 20# pipe, including the medium flow rate, oxygen content, pH, mineralization, temperature, partial pressure of carbon dioxide, and water content of the gathering pipeline, and established the corresponding corrosion prediction model. However, they both © ASCE used a single experimental material, and only for the medium flow rate of less than 2-m=s pipes. Li et al. (2021a) created a model based on principal component analysis-artificial bee colony algorithm-support vector regression (PCA-ABC-SVR) that performs well in corrosion prediction of subsea pipes, and the influences it uses for training were specific to subsea pipes and are not applicable for predicting long-distance wet gas pipes on land. Li et al. (2021b) established a computational model for corrosion under supercritical carbon dioxide conditions based on the finite-element method, which not only predicts the corrosion rate over time but also tracks the transient motion of the corrosion surface and deposition interface in real time through the arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian (ALE) technique. However, the model has a complex calculation process and is more suitable for calculating the corrosion rate of pipelines under the same working conditions over short distances. The model is no longer applicable due to the large differences in conditions along the long-distance transport pipeline. Qin et al. (2022) also used the multiple linear regression method to optimize the corrosion prediction model under the CO2 =H2 S synergistic corrosion mechanism. Through experiments to verify that the model prediction error was less than 20%, the reliability of the multiple linear regression method was illustrated. However, its model contains H2 S, which is not fully applicable to the corrosion calculation of wet gas pipelines containing only CO2 . The described seven domestic corrosion prediction models do not apply to the MX gas field and cannot provide a correct model for corrosion rate prediction. In this paper, the common Norsok M506, De Waard 95, Srinivasan, and Lafayette models were used to predict the corrosion of the same pipeline under different operating conditions. Over 1,000 corrosion internal detection points were set up along the pipeline and over 12,000 sets of corrosion prediction data were calculated using four corrosion prediction models. A new model, W22, was developed using linear regression and validated with another pipeline under two different operating conditions in combination with the multiphase flow corrosion (MPFC) loop experiments. Methods MX8 Wet Gas Pipelines The MX8 wet gas gathering pipeline contains CO2 acidic gas and uses a wet gas transport process with complex media composition inside the pipe. The terrain along the pipeline is undulating, there is liquid accumulation in the pipeline, and it is difficult to clear the pipeline. A mileage elevation map along the MX8 pipeline is shown in Fig. 1. The specific parameters are shown in Table 2. The three representative operating conditions selected for the OLGA multiphase flow simulation are shown in Table 3. OLGA-Based Multiphase Flow Simulation for Wet Gas Pipelines The OLGA software version 2020 is the first transient simulation software developed for the flow of mixed oil and gas transport pipelines and is at the world’s leading level. This paper uses the Benedict-Webb-Rubin (BWRS) equation in the OLGA software for calculations. The fluid package components used in the simulations are shown in Table 4. After multiphase flow simulations, parameters such as temperature, pressure, velocity of gas flow and the velocity of liquid flow (UG/UL), partial pressure of carbon dioxide, and pH along the pipeline were calculated for the three operating conditions. 04023041-2 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Table 1. Corrosion model formulas and the scope of application Model Norsok M506 Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. De Waard 95 Formula 0.146þ0.0324 logðfco Þ 2 τ w fðpHÞt V corr ¼ Ktf 0.62 co2 19 PCO2 10Pð0.0031−1.4=rÞþ1 p ≤ 250 bars f co2 ¼ PCO2 10250ð0.0031−1.4=rÞþ1 p > 250 bars Scope of application 20°C–150°C; CO2 =H2 S > 500; pH 3.5–6.5. It includes several parameters, including partial pressure P, temperature T, shear force τ w , and pH value, which applies to offshore and onshore oil and gas fields (Liu 2017). 1 1 1 ¼ þ V corr V r V m 1119 þ 0.58 log PCO2 − 0.34ðpHact − pHCO2 Þ log V r ¼ 4.93 − t þ 273 u0.8 V m ¼ 2.45 0.2 PCO2 d pHCO2 ¼ 3.82 þ 0.00384t − 0.5 log PCO2 Srinivasan pH1 ¼ C1 − logðPH2 S þ PCO2 Þ ðt ¼ 20°CÞ pH2 ¼ C2 − logðPH2 S þ PCO2 Þ þ logðH2 CO3 Þ ðt ¼ 20°CÞ logðPCO2−eff Þ ¼ ðC1 − pHÞ=2 logðV corr Þ ¼ 5.8 − Lafayette Temperature <80°C. Considers the transfer process of CO2 dissolved in water and the influence of the dynamic electrochemical reaction rate of corrosion (Zhang et al. 2008). The model is suitable for the coexistence of CO2 and H2 S, and the concentration of H2 CO3 is known. 1710 þ 0.67 logðPCO2 Þ T 1. Stratified flow corrosion rate: When V L < 0.45 m=s, the expression is (Xu 2018) V corr ¼ −1.33V 3L þ 1.12V 2L þ 2.53V L þ 2.33 When V L > 0.45 m=s, the expression is V corr ¼ 1.92V L þ 6.33 2. Calculation of intermittent flow corrosion rate: Replace all the V L in the two equations for the stratified flow with V LTB . The corrosion rates of the liquid film and liquid plug portion of the final pipe determine the corrosion rate of the segment plug flow and is calculated as (Xue 2016) 1 LS 1 LF V corrs þ V corrf V corr ¼ 3 L U 1.1 3 LU r 12 tyear ¼ 54.91 0.8 þ 5.7 V LTB δ 3. Circumferential flow corrosion rate calculation formula: 1,000r V corr ¼ tyear The flow pattern should be judged in advance, and the flow velocity of liquid should be known for stratified flow. For intermittent flow, slug length must be known; for annular flow, liquid film velocity and thickness must be known. Calculation of Corrosion Prediction Models Models Prediction Based on the results of the OLGA multiphase flow simulations, the corrosion rates along the pipeline were calculated by substituting the parameters of temperature, pressure, gas-liquid flow rate, pH, and partial pressure of carbon dioxide along the pipeline into the Norsok M506, De Waard 95, Srinivasan, and Lafayette models. The predictions from the four models were compared to the corrosion internal detection values, and error analysis was performed. Fig. 1. Mileage elevation map along the MX8 pipeline. © ASCE Error Calculation By calculating the relative error, the deviation between the corrosion prediction model and the corrosion internal detection value can be further understood so that the prediction model that is closer to the corrosion internal detection value can be compared and analyzed. In addition, the standard deviation can also be used as a measure of uncertainty. The standard deviation of a collection of measured values represents the accuracy of these measurements. A large standard deviation represents a large difference between 04023041-3 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Table 2. Pipeline parameters of MX8 Parameter Value External diameter Length Wall thickness Steel grade Design pressure Carbon dioxide content 273 mm 2.50 km 8 mm 20# 8.5 MPa 1.990% Table 3. Pipeline working conditions of MX8 Pipeline name Working condition Inlet temperature (°C) Outlet temperature (°C) Operating pressure (MPa) Flow (kg=s) 1 2 3 30.90 27.80 30.00 26.90 22.30 26.00 6.82 6.45 6.68 5.37 5.26 5.07 Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. MX8 was 529.4 MPa, and the average elongation was 26.31% as measured by a tensile tester. A pendulum impact tester was used to measure the average impact work of 41.38 J. The average hardness of the pendants was 156.54 HV measured by a Vickers hardness tester, and the tensile stress, impact force, and hardness of 20# steel coupons all met the requirements. 20# steel was cut into a 15 × 10 × 2-mm corrosion coupon and placed in the MPFC annulus for corrosion weight loss experiments. Fig. 2. shows 20# steel metallographically under a microscope; 20# steel is mainly composed of ferrite and lamellar pearlite, with uniform tissue distribution and good material properties. The size of 20# steel specimen was 15 × 10 × 2 mm, and three pieces were used for corrosion rate calculation in each group of experiments. Before the experiments, the specimens were polished with 60#, 400#, 800#, 1000#, 1200#, and 1500# sandpapers. Then the specimens were cleaned with petroleum ether and alcohol. After drying, the specimens were weighed. At the end of the experiment, the specimens were de-filmed. Table 4. Fluid composition Substance fraction Content (molar %) 96.621 0.140 1.961 0.923 0.355 CH4 C2 H6 CO2 N2 He most values and their mean, indicating poor predictive accuracy. The calculation formula of error value and the average error are shown in Eqs. (1) and (2), and the formula for calculating the standard deviation is shown in Eq. (3) ðPvalue − Mvalue Þ × 100% M value Pn E EAvalue ¼ i¼1 value i n ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi rP n 2 i¼1 ðEvalue i − EAvalue Þ σ¼ n Evalue ¼ ð1Þ ð2Þ MPFC Loop Experiments The schematic diagram of the MPFC loop channel experiment is shown in Fig. 3. The 100-L solution prepared in the section “Solution Preparation” was poured into the reservoir, which was capped with an empty finger gap, and carbon dioxide was continuously passed into the liquid to keep the liquid oxygen-free. A controller was used to control the pump speed and display the temperature of the annulus solution. After the experiment had been carried out for 12 h, the specimens were removed. The MPFC experimental loop working conditions are shown in Table 6. ð3Þ MPFC Loop Experiment In terms of flow corrosion experiments, the MPFC loop experiment is mainly used to study the corrosion of pipelines under field conditions. Corrosion Rate Assessment The three coupons were immersed in the film removal solution and cleaned with an ultrasonic cleaner for 10 min to remove the corrosion product film from the surface of the specimens. They were then cleaned with alcohol, dried, and weighed. The corrosion coupons were weighed using a Sartorius (Shanghai, China) electronic balance with an accuracy of 0.0001 g (parts per million) and the weighing was repeated three times to prevent errors caused by reduced weighing. The following is a general corrosion rate calculation formula of the sample (Dong et al. 2020): Solution Preparation One hundred liters of the solution was required for the ring channel. Deionized water and NaCl were used to prepare the solution in proportion to the Cl− concentration of 6,000 mg=L. N2 was used to deoxygenate the solution for 2 h before the experiment to ensure an oxygen-free environment. After the end of deoxidation, CO2 was passed into the solution for 1 h until the CO2 concentration reached saturation. Sample Materials The experiments were carried out using 20# steel for the MX collector piping, the elemental composition of which is shown in Table 5. The average tensile strength of 20# steel coupons V corr ¼ 8.76 × 104 Δm ρ · A · ti ð4Þ Table 5. 20# steel chemical composition Element Fe Mn Si C Cr Cu P S Ni % by weight ≥98 0.35–0.65 0.17–0.37 0.17–0.27 ≤0.25 ≤0.25 ≤0.035 ≤0.035 ≤0.030 © ASCE 04023041-4 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. 2 Optimization of DW95-Based Corrosion Prediction Model for CO2 Wet Gas Pipelines In the DW95 formula, as the formula for the reactive corrosion rate involves the most factors, including temperature, CO2 pressure, actual pH, and the pH of the CO2 -saturated solvent, the formula for the reactive corrosion rate V r is finally selected for numerical optimization using linear regression in this paper. Linear regression is a statistical analysis method that uses regression analysis to determine the quantitative interdependent relationship between two or more variables and is widely used. First, the along-line parameters Pco2 , u, and d from the multiphase flow simulation in the MX8 pipe are substituted into the third equation in the DW95 model to obtain the value of V m . Then t and Pco2 are substituted into the fourth equation of the model to obtain pHCO2 , whereas V m and V corr are brought into the first equation of the model to obtain V r . Second, the calculated V r , pHCO2 , and the multiphase flow simulation results t, Pco2 , and pHact are substituted into the second equation of the model, and linear regression is performed as shown in Eq. (5) 6 1 6 6 ::: 6 6 6 ::: 6 4 1 1 t þ 273 1 ::: 3 log PCO2 1 ::: ::: ::: 1 log PCO2 4,395 t þ 273 4,395 × ½ ε A B C T ¼ ½ log ðV r Þ1 ::: ðpHact − pHco2 Þ1 7 7 7 ::: 7 7 ::: 7 7 5 ðpHact − pHco2 Þ4,395 : : : log ðV r Þ4,395 T ð5Þ Let log V r be y; 1=ðt þ 273Þ be X 1 ; log Pco2 be X 2 ; and (pHact − pHCO2 ) be X 3 . At the same time, multiple linear regressions are fitted to the constants ε, A, B, and C of the DW95 model based on 4,395 sets of corrosion data along the MX8 pipeline under three different operating conditions predicted by the DW95 model. Results OLGA Multiphase Flow Simulation Results of MX8 Wet Gas Pipeline The pipeline has an elevation minimum of approximately 500 m, but the overall trend is upward. As can be seen from Fig. 4, the pipeline starts at a pressure of 6.82 MPa and ends at 6.52 MPa with a total pressure drop of 0.3 MPa. There is an upward pressure trend at approximately 500 m due to the large undulations in the pipeline here. The start temperature is 30.9°C and the end temperature is 20.9°C, with a temperature drop of 10.0°C. The maximum gas flow Table 6. MPFC multiphase flow experimental loop pipe working conditions Fig. 2. 20# steel under a microscope. Working condition PCO2 (MPa) Temperature (°C) Velocity (m=s) Experimental duration (h) 1 2 3 × 10−2 1 × 10−2 30 35 0.5 1.0 12 12 Fig. 3. MPFC multiphase flow experimental loop diagram. © ASCE 04023041-5 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. rate is 3.59 m=s and the minimum is 2.50 m=s. The maximum liquid flow rate is 3.05 m=s, and the minimum is −0.20 m=s. This is due to the presence of uphill piping here and the backflow of the accumulated liquid, which the flow simulation specifies as a negative flow rate (Xu and Wang 2021). The CO2 partial pressure is mainly related to the CO2 content and total pressure in the pipe and therefore decreases gradually along the line, reaching a peak at 500 m. The CO2 partial pressure decreases gradually from 7.32 × 10−2 MPa at the inlet to 6.99 × 10−2 MPa at the outlet. The pH fluctuates with the ebb and flow of the pipe. When the fluid is at the lower part of the pipe, the partial pressure of CO2 is higher and the amount of CO2 dissolved in the accumulated fluid is higher, so the pH decreases rapidly. In the rising section of the pipe, the partial pressure of CO2 is lower and the amount of CO2 dissolved in the fluid decreases, so the pH rises rapidly. As can be seen from Fig. 5, the starting pressure of the pipeline is 6.45 MPa and the end pressure is 6.14 MPa, with a total pressure drop of 0.31 MPa. There is an upward pressure trend at approximately 500 m, which is due to the large undulations in the pipeline here. The start temperature is 27.8°C and the end temperature is 22.6°C, with a temperature drop of 5.2°C. The gas flow rate ranges from a maximum of 2.87 m=s to a minimum of 2.59 m=s. The liquid flow rate ranges from a maximum of 3.05 m=s to a minimum of 9.33 × 10−2 m=s. The partial pressure of CO2 is mainly related to the CO2 content and total pressure in the pipe and therefore decreases gradually along the line, reaching a peak at 500 m. The partial pressure of CO2 decreases gradually from 6.92 × 10−2 MPa at the inlet to 6.59 × 10−2 MPa at the outlet. The pH fluctuates with the ebb and flow of the pipe. The pH trend pattern is consistent with Working condition 1. As can be seen from Fig. 6, the starting pressure of the pipeline is 6.68 MPa and the end pressure is 6.35 MPa, with a total pressure drop of 0.33 MPa. There is an upward pressure trend at approximately 500 m, which is due to the large undulations in the pipeline here. The start temperature is 30.0°C and the end temperature is 26.0°C, with a temperature drop of 4.0°C. The maximum gas flow rate is 3.38 m=s, and the minimum is 2.42 m=s. The maximum liquid flow rate is 2.88 m=s, and the minimum is 8.96 × 10−2 m=s. The partial pressure of CO2 is mainly related to the CO2 content and total pressure in the pipe and therefore decreases gradually along the line, reaching a peak at 500 m. The partial pressure of CO2 decreases gradually from 11.35 × 10−2 MPa at the inlet to 10.81 × 10−2 MPa at the outlet. The pH fluctuates with the ebb and flow of the pipe. The pH trend pattern is consistent with Working condition 1. Models Prediction Results Under Working condition 1 (Fig. 7), the corrosion internal detection data vary evenly and with a flat amplitude. The average Fig. 4. OLGA simulation results (Working condition 1). © ASCE 04023041-6 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. Fig. 5. OLGA simulation results (Working condition 2). corrosion rate is 0.163 mm=y. The maximum value of the corrosion internal detection is 0.351 mm=y, and the minimum is 0.059 mm=y. The Lafayette model corrosion prediction results fluctuate, with many sudden drops and increases. The maximum value is 9.907 mm=y, the minimum is 2.540 mm=y, and the average is 3.233 mm=y, the highest average among the four models. The Srinivasan model corrosion prediction results gradually decrease with mileage, but the downward trend is gentle. The maximum value of corrosion prediction is 0.948 mm=y, the minimum is 0.848 mm=y, and the average is 0.896 mm=y, which are higher than the corrosion internal detection data. The De Waard 95 model corrosion prediction results are relatively flat, except near the 150-, 250-, and 2,150-m peaks. This because at 150 and 250 m near the station, the temperature and pressure are high, and the gas-liquid flow rate is large, so the corrosion prediction rate peaks. At 2,150 m, as the total pressure along the pipeline gradually decreases, the gas in the pipe expands, and the pipeline elevation fluctuates, so the gas-liquid flow rate becomes larger, resulting in the corrosion prediction rate reaching the peak. The average value of the De Waard 95 model is 0.022 mm=y, and the predicted results are relatively close to the corrosion internal detection data, with a maximum of 0.219 mm=y and a minimum of 0.008 mm=y. The corrosion prediction results of the Norsok M506 model have a gentle trend. The corrosion prediction maximum value is 0.004 mm=y, the minimum is 0.002 mm=y, and the average is 0.003 mm=y. The results are lower than the corrosion internal © ASCE detection data, and the average value is the lowest of the four prediction models. Under Condition 2 (Fig. 8), the corrosion internal detection data vary evenly and with a gentle amplitude. The average corrosion rate is 0.163 mm=y, the maximum corrosion internal detection value is 0.348 mm=y, and the minimum corrosion internal detection value is 0.058 mm=y. The Lafayette model corrosion prediction results fluctuate, with many sudden drops and increases. The maximum value is 9.365 mm=y, the minimum is 2.511 mm=y, and the average is 3.139 mm=y, the highest average value of the four prediction models. The Srinivasan model corrosion prediction results gradually decrease with mileage, but the declining trend is gentle. The maximum value of corrosion prediction is 0.777 mm=y, the minimum is 0.691 mm=y, and the average is 0.732 mm=y, which are higher than the corrosion internal detection data. The De Waard 95 model corrosion prediction results are relatively flat except near the 150- and 2,150-m peaks. This is because close to the station at 150 m, there are high temperature and pressure and the gas-liquid flow rate is large, so the corrosion prediction rate peaks. At 2,150 m as the total pressure along the pipeline gradually decreases, the gas expansion in the pipe, and the pipeline elevation fluctuates, so the gas-liquid flow rate becomes larger, resulting in the corrosion prediction rate reaching a peak. The average value is 0.020 mm=y (the prediction result is relatively close to the corrosion internal detection data), the maximum is 0.227 mm=y, and the minimum is 0.007 mm=y. The Norsok M506 model corrosion prediction 04023041-7 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. Fig. 6. OLGA simulation results (Working condition 3). Fig. 7. Comparison between calculation results of four corrosion prediction models and actual monitored values (Working condition 1). © ASCE 04023041-8 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. Fig. 8. Comparison between calculation results of four corrosion prediction models and actual monitored values (Working condition 2). Fig. 9. Comparison between calculation results of four corrosion prediction models and actual monitored values (Working condition 3). results trend is flat. The maximum value is 0.002 mm=y, the minimum is 0.001 mm=y, and the average is 0.001 mm=y. The results are lower than the corrosion internal detection data, and the average value is the lowest of the four prediction models. © ASCE Under Working condition 3 (Fig. 9), the corrosion internal detection data vary evenly and with a gentle amplitude. The average corrosion rate is 0.163 mm=y, the maximum corrosion internal detection value is 0.351 mm=y, and the minimum corrosion internal 04023041-9 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. detection value is 0.060 mm=y. The Lafayette model corrosion prediction results fluctuate, with many sudden drops and increases. The maximum is 8.182 mm=y, the minimum is 2.467 mm=y, and the average is 2.957 mm=y, the highest average value of the four prediction models. The Srinivasan model corrosion prediction results gradually decrease with mileage, but the downward trend is gentle. The maximum value of corrosion prediction is 0.951 mm=y, the minimum is 0.825 mm=y, and the average is 0.885 mm=y, which are higher than the corrosion internal detection data. The De Waard 95 model corrosion prediction results are relatively flat, except near the 1,000-, 1,500-, and 1,600-m peaks. This is due to the gradual reduction of the total pressure along the pipeline, the expansion of the gas in the pipe, and pipe elevation fluctuations, so the gas-liquid flow rate becomes larger, resulting in the corrosion prediction rate reaching a peak. The DW95 model has an average corrosion prediction value of 0.024 mm=y. The prediction results are relatively close to the corrosion internal detection data; the maximum is 0.250 mm=y, and the minimum is 0.009 mm=y. The Norsok M506 model corrosion prediction results trend flat. The maximum is 0.002 mm=y, the minimum is 0.001 mm=y, and the average is 0.001 mm=y. The results are lower than the corrosion internal detection data, and the average value is the lowest of the four prediction models. As can be seen from Figs. 7–9, the values of the De Waard 95 prediction model are relatively close to the corrosion internal inspection values, with an error of 82.03% and a standard deviation of 48.48%. The De Waard 95 model is followed by the Norsok M506 model and the Srinivasan model, with average errors of 94.86% and 2,087.10% and standard deviations of 3.14% and 625.72%, respectively. The Lafayette model results differed significantly from the corrosion internal inspection results, with a mean error of 9,189.58% and a standard deviation of 16,129.51%. From the peak prediction of the DW95 model in Working conditions 1–3, the DW95 model has inaccuracies in its calculations, which is due to the limited parameters considered in the DW95 model, and the coefficient values in the formula applied to the MX pipeline still have deviations. The overall trend is that the corrosion rate calculated by the Norsok M506 corrosion model is small. The corrosion rate calculated by the Srinivasan prediction model is large, and the corrosion rate calculated by the Lafayette corrosion model is too large. This is because the Lafayette corrosion model does not consider the fluid medium but focuses on the flow rate. In the Lafayette calculation formula, even if the flow rate is 0 m=s, the corrosion prediction value reaches 2.33 mm=y. In general, the aforementioned four corrosion prediction models have large errors and cannot provide effective corrosion prediction for domestic gas fields. Although the DW95 corrosion prediction model is relatively close to the corrosion internal detection data, the error is calculated by Eq. (1), and the average error of the DW95 corrosion prediction model has been calculated as high as 82.03% by Eq. (2). Optimization Results of DW95-Based Corrosion Prediction Model for CO2 Wet Gas Pipelines Optimization Model Based on De Waard 95—W22 After processing, the values of the parameters of the obtained linear regression model are shown in Table 7. The substitution of the parameters leads to Eq. (7). The final W22 model is shown in Eqs. (6)–(9) 1 1 1 ¼ þ V corr V r V m Table 7. Linear regression processing results Parameter Value ε A B C −4.54 −167.85 −0.16 1.68 167.85 − 0.16 log PCO2 t þ 273 þ 1.68ðpHact − pHCO2 Þ ð6Þ log V r ¼ −4.54 − ð7Þ Fig. 10. Experimental steel corrosion macroscopic appearance: (a) Working condition 1; and (b) Working condition 2. © ASCE 04023041-10 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. Fig. 11. Shape and energy spectrum of 20# steel under SEM. Table 8. Comparison of experimental results with the predicted results of W22 model Working condition 1 2 Average corrosion rate (mm=y) W22 model prediction data (mm=y) Error 0.298 0.334 0.271 0.305 9.06% 8.60% V m ¼ 2.45 u0.8 PCO2 d0.2 ð8Þ pHCO2 ¼ 3.82 þ 0.00384t − 0.5 log PCO2 ð9Þ Verification Based on MPFC Loop Experiment After 12 h of MPFC loop experiments, the macroscopic morphology of 20# steel before going to the film under different working conditions is shown in Fig. 10. The products on the surface of the steel sheet are mainly black. The structure is loose and porous, and the products have more local bump accumulation. The microscopic morphology and structure of the products were further tested and © ASCE Fig. 12. Mileage elevation map along the MX204 pipeline. 04023041-11 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Table 9. Pipeline parameters of MX204 Parameter External diameter Length Wall thickness Steel grade Design pressure Carbon dioxide content 219 mm 2.53 km 7.1 mm 20# 8.5 MPa 1.46% Value Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. Table 10. Pipeline working conditions of MX204 Table 11. Fluid composition Pipeline name Working condition Inlet temperature (°C) Outlet temperature (°C) Operating pressure (MPa) MX204 1 2 35.80 34.20 21.10 20.02 7.28 7.14 analyzed by scanning electron microscopy (SEM). In the experiments, the corrosion rate of the hanging sheet is 0.298 mm=y for Condition 1 and 0.344 mm=y for Condition 2. The hanging sheets in both conditions have very serious corrosion. As the flow rate increases and the temperature increases, the uniform corrosion rate of 20# steel increases. This is because the increase in flow rate increases the rate of material and charge transfer. The temperature increase also accelerates the corrosion reaction. This experiment contained only CO2 corrosive gas. The fact that corrosion of CO2 facilitates the formation of a denser film of corrosion products, to a certain extent, prevents the corrosion of steel. Fig. 11(a) shows 20# steel under Condition 1 with the surface microstructure of corrosion products; Fig. 11(b) shows the energy spectrum analysis. The microscopic morphology and energy spectrum under Condition 2 are shown in Fig. 11(c) and Fig. 11(d), respectively. The results show that the corrosion products are mainly round particles stacked on the surface of the specimen, and the substrate has a certain degree of protection. Corrosion product elements are C, O, Mn, and Fe. Corrosion product adhesion is good, and corrosion rate is uniform. Corrosion product energy spectrum results show that the product elemental composition is more consistent, and corrosion products are mainly composed of iron oxides, with a small amount of FeCO3 . MPFC Loop Test Verification Results The parameters were substituted into the W22 model to predict the corrosion rate of 20# steel under the experimental conditions, and the results are shown in Table 8. The average error of W22 model prediction results is only 8.83%. Substance fraction CH4 C2 H 6 C3 H 8 iC4 H10 nC4 H10 iC5 H12 nC5 H1 Cþ 6 CO2 N2 He Content (molar %) 84.905 6.486 2.818 0.458 0.911 0.231 0.673 0.945 1.959 0.600 0.014 Fig. 13. Comparison diagram between W22 model and DW95 model (Working condition 1). Discussions To further verify the accuracy of the W22 model, the W22 model was applied to the wet gas pipeline field in this paper. For the MX204 pipeline in the MX gas field, the terrain along the pipeline is undulating, and the map of the mileage elevation along the MX204 pipeline is shown in Fig. 12. The pipeline parameters and pipeline working conditions are shown in Tables 9 and 10. The contents of the different gases in the pipeline are shown in Table 11. In this paper, two working conditions were selected for OLGA multiphase flow simulation, and the results of flow velocity and partial pressure of carbon dioxide along the line were directly substituted into the W22 model and compared with the predicted results of DW95. Finally, the error calculation Eqs. (1) and (2) were used to calculate the error between the predicted values of the DW95 and W22 models and the corrosion internal detection results, and the comparison results are shown in Figs. 13–15. © ASCE Fig. 14. Comparison diagram between W22 model and DW95 model (Working condition 2). 04023041-12 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. Fig. 15. Comparison diagram of relative error between W22 model and DW95 model. Figs. 13 and 14 show that the W22 model prediction results are consistent with and close to the corresponding corrosion internal detection data fluctuation trend, unlike the case for the DW95 model. From the error comparison chart (Fig. 15), it can be seen that the error value domain of the W22 model is always small, ranging from 0.03% to 24%, with an average error of 8.30%. In contrast, the DW95 model has a larger error, ranging from 1.39% to more than 930.01%, with an average error of 89.62%. In addition, the standard deviation of the DW95 model is 42.95%, whereas the standard deviation of the W22 model is 5.25%. Therefore, the accuracy of the model W22 presented in this paper is higher, and the error is reduced by 81.32% on average compared to the DW95 model. Conclusions Based on the comparison of the corrosion prediction values of wet gas pipelines with the field corrosion internal detection values by the Norsok M506, De Waard 95, Srinivasan, and Lafayette models, the De Waard 95 model with the lowest error was selected. The coefficients of De Waard 95 were optimized by linear regression method to obtain the W22 model, which is more suitable for wet gas pipeline corrosion prediction. Finally, the W22 model was validated using MPFC multiphase flow loop experiments and field applications, and its prediction error was less than 10% on average in the working condition range. 1. Norsok M506, De Waard 95, Srinivasan, and Lafayette are common corrosion prediction models. Norsok M506 is a purely empirical model, and the prediction results are relatively conservative. The De Waard 95 corrosion prediction model pioneered the resistivity model, and taking into account the steel structure and corrosion products film and other factors, the scope of application is wide. The Srinivasan model can be used for CO2 and H2 S coexistence solution systems, but the pH value of the environment must be known. The Lafayette model can calculate the corrosion rate under the stratified, segment plug, and annular flow types, but the key parameters of the relevant © ASCE flow type must be known. Each of the four types of models has a different scope of application, theoretically all applicable to MX gas field wet gas pipeline. 2. The corrosion prediction results of the four models for the field pipeline are as follows: The De Waard 95 prediction model value is the closest to the corrosion internal detection value, with an average error of 89.62%, followed by Norsok M506, Srinivasan, and Lafayette. 3. The experiments verified that the experimental corrosion rate of the MPFC loop differed from the corrosion rate predicted by the W22 model by an average of only 6.80%. In field applications, the DW95 model predicted an error of 89.62%, whereas the W22 model had an average error of only 8.30% in corrosion prediction values. Overall, the average error of the W22 model was 81.32% lower than that of the DW95 model, indicating that the W22 model has higher accuracy in predicting wet gas pipe corrosion. 4. The W22 model was optimized based on field data from the MX gas field and is suitable for CO2 -corroded pipelines in 20# steel and without H2 S. The pressure range is approximately 6.45– 7.28 MPa, the temperature range is approximately 20.02– 35.80°C, and the partial pressure of carbon dioxide ranges from approximately 65,850–113,790 Pa. Overall, its applicability is somewhat limited, but this paper mainly provides a model optimization method for corrosion prediction of specific objects. We hope that more researchers will continue to optimize on this basis in the future to expand its applicability. Data Availability Statement All data, models, and code generated or used during the study appear in the published article. Acknowledgments This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (52174062). 04023041-13 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract., 2023, 14(4): 04023041 J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract. Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by China University of Petroleum on 10/22/25. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved. Notation The following symbols are used in this paper: A = area of sample (cm2 ); d = pipeline internal diameter (m); Evalue = error value; EAvalue = average error value; FCO2 = modified partial pressure of CO2 (bar); fco2 = fugacity coefficient of CO2 ; fðpHÞt = pH influence factor; H2 CO3 = H2 CO3 concentration (meq=L); h = pitting depth (μm); K t = constant that depends on temperature; LF = length of liquid film (m); LS = length of plug (m); LU = length of slug element (m); M value = corrosion internal detection value; PCO2 = partial pressure of CO2 (bar); PCO2 -eff = effective partial pressure of CO2 (bar); PH2 S = partial pressure of H2 S (bar); Pvalue = corrosion prediction value; p = absolute pressure of system (MPa); pH1 , pH2 = pH of environment; pHact = actual pH; pHco2 = pH of CO2 -saturated solvent; r = pipe wall thickness (m); T = temperature (K); t = medium temperature (°C); tc = corrosion time (day); ti = immersion time (h); tyear = failure time (year); u = flow velocity of a liquid medium (m/s); V corr = corrosion rate (mm=y); V corrf = corrosion rate of liquid film (mm=y); V corrL = local corrosion rate (mm=y); V corrs = liquid plug corrosion rate (mm=y); V LTB = liquid film velocity (m/s); V r = reaction rate (mm=y); V m = mass transfer rate (mm=y); Δm = weight loss of sample (g); δ = thickness of liquid film (m); ρ = density (g=cm3 ); σ = standard deviation; and τ w = wall shear stress (Pa). 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