AJAYI AKPOJOTOR ALLEN ASSIGNMENT 1 TRADE-OFFS AND CONFLICTS OF SDG-7 (AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY) WITH SDG-17 (PARTNERSHIP FOR THE GOALS) The overall target of the SDG is to achieve a more sustainable future for all by 2030 and SDG-7 (affordable and clean energy) would be one of the most fundamental and important components of the overall SDG target as it is directly or indirectly connected to other SDGs. But the most required to meet the 2030 target is SDG-17 (partnership for the goals) as without agreement, partnership, and commitment to the set goals, the SDG project will be unattainable. Thus, it will be important to show how SDG-7 conflicts with SDG-17. Partnership can be described as a variety of arrangements with different purposes, time scales, structures, operating procedures, and members (Lowndes V. 2001). Who then can be identified as members involved in partnership for the SDGs; Governments of nations around the world, industries, financial institutions, non-governmental organizations, OPEC member states, and other oil-exporting countries, individuals including women and children. The Paris climate agreement of 2015 to reduce earth’s surface temperature to a maximum of 2 oC and greenhouse gas emission to decline by at least 40% below 1990 levels (UK committee on climate change, 2019, P.9) , shows that clean energy from renewable will be heavily relied upon to replace fossil fuels (oil, gas, and coal) as a global energy source. But with statistics that nearly half of the world lives on less than $5.50 a day and 9.2% of the world’s population or 689 million people live in extreme poverty on less than $1.9 a day (world bank 2018). The affordability of clean energy by 2030, is therefore, a huge question mark. Unfortunately, with currently available technology on renewable energy, fossil fuels are still relatively easier to access than renewable, therefore, making fossil fuels cheaper and more affordable and consequentially making it impossible for a significant percentage of the world’s population to consider the clean energy option as the price will always be a factor when individuals, homes, families, and industries are to make energy choices. Developing and underdeveloped countries will have more people less interested in an energy transition to clean energy due to cost although they are interested in other SDGs and this affects the partnership to the goals (SDG-17) in relation to SDG-7. Vivien Lowndes and Chris Skelcher in their publication on ‘the dynamics of multi-organizational partnership (1998, P.14) argued that inter-agency working involves a high degree of competition among organizations. Therefore, the influence/resistance of OPEC (organization of the petroleum exporting countries) and leading oil and gas companies will heavily influence the partnership for the goals and in return have an impact on SDG7 as these countries will see the clean energy route as competition to their oil market and also threat to their economies due to most OPEC member states being heavily dependent on revenues generated from petroleum and petroleum product exports economically. With OPEC possessing 79.4% of global proven crude oil reserves and currently supplying about 45% of total global oil use (OPEC, 2018), member states will prefer the option of generating revenue through continued petroleum exploration than investing huge sums in developing renewable energy sources. Examples are Nigeria, Algeria, and Gabon which are nations with high potentials in solar and wind energy but whose economies depend 60-80% on oil exportation. Also, the currently available technologies available to energy companies indicates that investing in fossil fuels is more profitable than renewable due to accessibility and availability. Thus a 1 silent resistance to clean and affordable energy goals (SDG-7) due to OPEC not being willing to lose its control of the world energy market with clean energy sources replacing fossil fuels which in turn affects partnership for the goals (SDG-17) in relation to SDG-7 negatively as not everyone will put in maximum contributions due to economic reasons. REFERENCES: Committee on Climate Change (2019). Net Zero: The UK’s contribution to stopping global warming. Available at: https://www.theccc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Net-Zero-The-UKs-contributionto-stopping-global-warming.pdf. (Accessed 8 September 2021) Lowndes V. (2001). Local partnership and public participation. London: Institute of public policy research. OPEC (2018). OPEC Share of Wold crude oil reserves. Available at: https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/data_graphs/330.htm. (Accessed 10 September 2021) The World Bank (2018). Nearly half the world lives on less than $5.50 a day. Available at: https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2018/10/17/nearly-half-the-world-lives-onless-than-550-a-day. (Accessed 8 September 2021) Vivien Lowndes and Chris Skelcher (1998). The Dynamics of Multi-organizational Partnerships: An analysis of changing modes of governance. Available at: https://online.library.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1467-9299.00103 (Accessed 8 September 2021) 2 ASSIGNMENT 2 STAKEHOLDERS AND THEIR MOTIVES An Analysis of stakeholders and their motives for the establishment of onshore wind farms in Norway The world is constantly changing, with climate changes becoming more noticeable and consequences of global warming felt in many parts of the world. This resulted in the Paris agreement and the European Union’s 2018 climate and energy framework up to 2030. The aim is to have clean, affordable, and reliable energy systems in Europe (Agora Energiewende, 2018, P. 3). In accordance with the Paris agreement in the European Union, which states that carbon emissions should be reduced by 49% by the end of 2030 with respect to the emissions in 1990 (Gerbrandy 2017). This has increased the involvement of stakeholders in the energy sector to seek greener energy sources. Norway has a very high potential for wind energy and investment in this sector has been evident in the onshore wind energy capacity in Norway increasing from 2912 to 3975 megawatts between 2019 and 2020 (statista.com) Eden and Ackermann, in their publication on strategic stakeholder management (2011, P. 179) mentioned that the origin of stakeholders is related to the diverse nature of what they can demand from a company or project. Eden and Ackerman also created a version of the power-interest grid to show the proactive management of stakeholders (1998, P. 349). Subjects Players Crowd Context Setters Int Power Figure 1.1 Power-Interest grids From the figure, it can be attributed that the major players for a project involving the establishment of onshore winds in Norway are; the people, the government/policymakers and Industry/Business. For industry/business, the motive will always be a capital reward. Karen Collins defined business as any activity that provides goods and/or services for the purpose of making profits (An Introduction to Business, 2012, P. 16). This is evident in the investment patterns of energy companies in Norway with firms that are energy power-houses still investing a larger percentage of expenditure on fossil fuels despite awareness of the 2030 climate targets. Business and Industry concerns are the cost of windmill developments, installations, and energy distribution of onshore wind facilities in comparison to offshore and also in comparison to other energy sources with major consideration on the financial benefits on the long and short run. This means investors will always go for investment projects with higher economic feasibility. Thus, the establishment of onshore wind farms in Norway is very much dependent on how lucrative the energy sector sees onshore wind energy to be. 3 The next stakeholder is the Norwegian government who on the other hand is driven by the need to support and accelerate the energy transition but also economic benefit through taxations. Also, the government is driven by the responsibility of making decisions to protect the Norwegian continental shelf and Fjord. In 2019, The Norwegian government unveiled proposed new rules for assessing onshore wind farms development, including 800-meter minimum distance rule for projects from buildings. This shows the government’s role in protecting its people as democracy was regarded as a government for the people by the people (U.S President Abraham Lincoln, 1863). The third group of stakeholders is ‘the people/consumers’. The motive of the people is price/affordability. As people’s energy consumption increases, the demand for cheaper energy alternatives increases and onshore wind energy is relatively cheap in comparison to some other power sources and also environmental preservation. But in Norway, the development of onshore wind farms has also met some backlash from the people as the Norwegian government was forced to scrap ‘the national wind power plan’ in 2019 after protests with the serving Energy and Petroleum minister Kjell Borge Freiberg making this statement:” Several of the major developments we are now seeing have created great commitments and conflicts. First locally, later regionally and then nationally” This statement was a reflection of how people at various levels viewed and felt affected by onshore wind farms as some did not want wind farms in their municipalities due to proposed sites, transmission channels, and safety. Therefore there is a motive by the people to protect their immediate environment with also reference to history, like the case of Mount Lofoten being scrapped as a potential wind farm site to a national park. The clash of all these interests/motives between these three groups of stakeholders determines and directs the establishment of onshore winds in Norway as sometimes one or more groups need to compromise to accommodate the motive of another. 4 References: Agora Energiewende (2018). European Energy Transition 2030: The big picture. Ten priorities for the next European Commission to meet EUs 2030 targets and accelerate towards 2050. Available at: https://www.agoraenergiewende.de/fileadmin/projekte/2019/EU_Big_picture/153_EU_Big_pic_WEB.pdf (Accessed 8 October 2021). Eden and Ackeman (2011). Strategic Management of Stakeholders; Theory and Practice. Available at: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S00246301100000452 (Accessed 9 October, 2021). EU reporter (2017). EU climate law rapporteur Gerbrandy: Europe acts on its climate commitments, with or without Trump. Available at: https://www.eureporter.co/frontpage/2017/06/15/euclimatelaw-rapporteur-gerbrandy (Accessed 8 October 2021). Karen Collins (2012).An Introduction to Business. Available at: https://2012books.lardbucket.org/pdfs/anintroduction-to-business-V2.0pdf (Accessed 9October 2021). Recharge news (2019). Norway scraps the national wind power plan after protests. Available at: https://www.rechargenews.com/wind/norway-scraps-national-wind-power-plan (Accessed 10 October 2021). Figures Eden and Ackerman (1998) Power interest grid. Available at: https://www.researchgate.net/figure/powerinterest-grid-Eden-Ackerman-1998-p-349-fig1-275956777 (Accessed 8 October 2021). 5 ASSIGNMENT 3 TERM PAPER PROPOSED TOPIC: THE ROLE OF SOLAR ENERGY IN MEETING THE ENERGY DEMANDS AND ENABLING AN NERGY TRANSITION IN SUBSAHARAN AFRICA AJAYI AKPOJOTOR ALLEN Email: aaj004@uib.no , akposoma@yahoo.com 6 Global warming is a reality impossible to ignore in today’s world. Greenhouse gases are known to be the major contributors to global warming but the world still relies mainly on fossil fuels as an energy source. With 192 countries pledging to the Paris climate agreement, there is an evident urgency to tackle the challenges of global warming and this can be done by an energy transition to greener/renewable energy sources. Of the 192 countries that pledged to the climate agreements, 33 are in Africa. That raises the question of ‘how does a region with insufficient energy supply keep up with the pace of an energy transition?’ In 2020, approximately 592 million people in Sub-Saharan Africa had no access to electricity. That is about 50% of the region’s population. Those who have access to electricity pay relatively higher costs than other consumers elsewhere in the world. The energy demand in this region will only increase as its population is expected to double by 2050 from 1 billion to 2 billion. Africa sometimes called ‘the sun continent’ is known to have the highest potential for solar energy with some parts in east Sub-Saharan Africa seeing up to 4,300 hours of sunlight in a year. Therefore, the solar energy potential in the region is very high. This study will aim to analyze how solar energy can be of importance in meeting the energy demands of Sub-Saharan Africa and how it can result in a shift in the regions heavy reliance on fossil fuels while enabling an energy transition, thus helping it to contribute significantly to the climate targets of 1.5 – 2oC average earth’s surface temperature by 2050. Quantitative analysis of available energy data of at least one country from western, eastern, central, and southern Sub-Saharan Africa will be done. Data from The Africa Energy Commission (AFREC) and International Energy Agency (IEA) will also be analyzed. With the use of empirical research methods and decision-making tools, the study will assess the solar energy potential, relative cost of solar energy to fossil fuels, climate effect, and advantages, challenges of establishment, and economic impact in Sub-Saharan Africa. 7 Solar Energy: The Sub-Saharan Africa Energy Analysis There are a total of 54 countries in Africa with a total electricity demand of 700 terawatthour (Twh) (IEA, 2018). The 7 North African countries with South Africa account for 70% of this total electricity demand which means the remaining energy is shared between 46 other countries which make up the vast majority of Sub-Saharan Africa (South Africa excluded). That is, 210 terawatt-hour (TWh) of electricity is shared between these 46 countries. This explains why the region has approximately 592 million people without access to electricity and that is the highest number of people with no access to electricity in any region in the world. Countries like Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Senegal, and Rwanda have made some progress on improving energy distribution and accessibility but the efforts have not been able to meet up with population growth and energy demand. The African population is the youngest and fastest-growing in the world with the continent expected to be the most populous region by 2023 ahead of India and China and double its current population by 2040. This means if actions are not taken now to solve the energy insufficiency in the region, the future might 8 be worse and an energy crisis in the region is a possibility with crude oil predicted to last just another 46 more years (British Petroleum 2014). Sub-Saharan Africa is said to have a theoretical solar energy reserve of 60,000,000 Twh/year which is about 40% of the world solar potential reserve. But currently in the region, solar and wind energy combined contributes to just 3% of energy generation/use (IMF, 2020). The region has about 62.6 billion barrels of combined proved crude oil reserves (IEA, 2013) with the middle-east having thirteen times the amount of crude oil reserves while South America and Central America has 5 times that amount, but yet the region is heavily dependent on crude oil as its energy source alongside coal and traditional biomass such as; firewood and charcoal. Women in Sub-Saharan Africa combined are believed to spend about a billion hours per year searching for firewood (World Bank, 2017) and this is time that can be used in other activities, thus costing the sub-Saharan African economy $30 billion/year. Also, the health implications of this practice cannot be ignored as an estimated 98,000 women die yearly in Nigeria from the use of firewood (World Health Organization, 2016) and a total of approximately 600,000 Sub-Saharan Africans die yearly due to firewood use and millions more suffer from chronic illnesses. 9 With so much energy potential in solar energy available to Sub-Saharan Africa, solar energy is definitely the main option to solve the energy imbalance in the region, considering its ease of accessibility. Comparative Energy Analysis and Solar Development of Key Countries from Each Sub-Saharan Zones Nigeria: (West Sub-Sahara Africa) Nigeria is the most populous country in Africa and the largest producer of oil and gas in the continent with an oil and gas driven economy. Nigeria had a total electrical energy consumption of 26.7 Terra-watts hours since 1990 (IEA). Most of the nation’s energy production comes from oil and gas, biofuels and waste, and also coal. This has resulted in a total of 92.02 Mt of C02 emissions since 1990. Nigeria currently has an energy deficit of about 28,000 Megawatts, making it the country with the highest energy deficit in the world with only 56.5% of its population having access to electricity. Energy firms in the country can only generate about 4,000-5,000 MW of electricity of which 3,000MW is available for distribution and consumption. The main sources of electricity generation are dams of which the largest is the Kainji dam which has a capacity of 960MW. Although a new ‘Mambilla Hydroelectric Power Station’ is being built and is expected to generate 3,050MW of electricity, this still would not be enough to meet the nation’s energy demand. Solar energy is an alternative for Nigeria just like the rest of Africa and little has been invested in this sector as the current energy consumption from both solar and wind combined is less than 1%. In 2012, HQMC Korea Company Ltd. Announced a plan to invest $30billion to build a 10,000 Megawatts solar photophobic solar plant in the country over a period of 10years (Williams, 2012). Also, there have been other solar plant projects in the country such as; Karshi solar plant, which produces 7.5MW of electricity. South Africa: (South Sub-Saharan Africa) South Africa is a major contributor to global CO2 emissions with 433,57Mt oCO2 emitted since 1990.This is due to its heavy dependence on coal. In the mid-1990s during the post-apartheid South Africa’s energy supply exceeded electricity consumption. Thus, there was no urgency for the South African government to diversify the sources of electricity supply (Nevin, 2005). Coal accounts for about 77% of the energy generated in South Africa (AFREC, 2017). In recent history, however, there have been shortages of electrical energy in the country; in 2005, the consumption demand peaked at around 4000 MW per day which exceeded the supply capacity of 3,500MW and this led the government to develop policies to diversify the energy sources. With climate agreement and target of reducing atmospheric carbon footprint, South Africa being a major CO2 emitting nation faces more pressure to reduce its coal utilization, and thus, there is an urgency to transition to renewable and solar energy is a major alternative energy path. The country has invested little in solar energy although it is insignificant in comparison to coal, oil, and biofuel utilization. South African government built a solar park in Northern Cape Province which combines both PV and CSP technologies with electricity capacity of 100MW. Small-sized rooftop solar panels for homes are also becoming more common in South African society. 10 Kenya : (East Sub-Saharan Africa) Kenya is one of the Sub-Saharan countries leading in solar energy development and investment. A country with 20.1 Mt of CO2 emitted since 1990 and lesser oil dependency although having 560 million barrels of proven crude oil reserves (0.032% of world’s oil reserve). The major source of energy for households are biofuels and wastes such as; firewood, and charcoal stoves which kills 215,000 Kenyans yearly (Nita Bhalla, 2019). However, Kenya’s solar PV business is relatively on the successful side as, since 2014, solar has contributed up to 15% of the country’s electricity generation. Small-sized PV panels are common and the country holds an annual Solar PV market which is mostly dominated by small PV panels, The Solar industry is relatively more successful in Kenya than in other Sub-Saharan countries due to the lack of abundance of conventional fossil fuel resources thus a need to drive for alternative energy. Also, Kenya is most suitable for solar innovations as the country sees an average of 5-7 hours of peak sunshine daily. Equatorial Guinea: (Central Sub-Saharan Africa) Equatorial Guinea is a relatively low population country with an estimated population of 2.23 million and energy production of 637.65 Terra-Joules since 1990, and also very low carbon emission of 2.45 Mt of CO2 emitted since 1990. The country is the 6th largest producer of oil and gas in the African continent and is also very dependent on oil and gas. 33% of the country’s population does not have access to electricity and just 5% of its energy is generated using renewable. Solar has seen a netzero capacity increase in the last decade in Equatorial Guinea despite being cheap and accessible due to environmental factors favoring solar plants establishments. The Future: A solar-driven Sub-Saharan Africa energy system The potential energy in the amount of sunlight that reaches the surface of the earth within two hours is sufficient to meet world energy demand for one year. With oil expected to ‘phase out’ soon and various parts of the world are working towards transitioning to greener energy (Europe, China, and United states playing leading roles}, Sub-Sahara Africa must also connect itself to the energy transition by searching for energy sources that will cut down carbon emission while tackling the problem of inadequate electricity amongst its population. The region has 40% of solar energy potential is therefore recommended to invest massively in solar energy. Governments of countries in the region should invest in the two types of available solar panels; photovoltaic and concentrating solar-thermal power. Funding should be available for solar energy research to encourage innovation. Policies should be made to address the soft costs associated with solar energy generation such as design, siting, permitting, financing, installation, and other non-hardware costs involved with solar energy. Rural electrification projects can also be drafted to provide small-sized rooftop panels for homes and schools in areas where the cost of extending connection/distribution cables may seem uneconomical and impossible. The ‘big is beautiful’ concept can be applied by governments of the region by building mega-stations for solar energy and electricity from solar must be connected to the electricity grid in large densely populated cities. This will, reduce the use of biofuels at the rural levels and diesel generators in large cities which emit a lot of CO2. Electrification of rural areas is very vital as it is a means of reducing the number of people without access to electricity and this will 11 reduce/remove the amount of time spent by women looking for firewood and other biofuel materials which in turn is of economic benefit as the net GDP of $30billion lost by the region when women spend so much time looking for firewood. Also, massive investment in solar could also lead to a transition from diesel/high octane based vehicles in the region to electric vehicles as it will be cheaper to build multiple charging stations due to solar energy being cheaper than conventional fuels since it was confirmed that solar is the cheapest electricity in history (IEA, 2020). Countries such as Kenya and Ethiopia with relatively higher sunset could serve as Solar batteries for other countries. Collaborations also need to be made with countries with better expertise in solar energy such as; China, U.S, and Norway. Also trade between the region and China is important as China possess the mineral resource needed to build solar panels. Challenges of establishing solar-driven Sub-Saharan Africa The major challenge of accomplishing a Solar driven is the investment capital and willingness to switch from current energy sources. Countries like Nigeria and South Africa who have an abundance of crude oil and coal respectively will find it difficult to switch energy forms as the available conventional fossil fuels are relatively easy to produce. These two nations are the most influential in the region and whatever trends they practice will be followed by others. Technological advances and expertise may be lacking and also distribution of produced energy could also be a major challenge. Conclusion It can be agreed upon that with the very high potential of solar energy in Sub-Saharan Africa and its relatively low cost when compared to other sources of energy, it is the best renewable energy option for the region to meet its increasing energy demand amidst population growth while also contributing to a greener climate. Also, it will be helpful in solving the current situation of 592million people not having access t electricity through rural electrification projects. 12 References: International Monetary Fund (IMF, 2020). Powering Africa with Solar energy. Available at: https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2020/03/pdf/powering-Africa-wit-solarenergy-sy. (Accessed 10 November 2021). International Energy Agency (IEA, 2019). Africa Energy outlook 2019. Available at: https://www,iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook. (Accessed 6 November 2021). IRENA (2014). Estimating the renewable energy potential in Africa: A GIS-based approach. Available at: https://www.irena.org//media/files/IRENA/agency/publication/2014/IRENA_Africa_Resources_Potential_Aug2014.pdf. (Accessed 11 November 2021). Nita Bhalla (2019). Reuters. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/eternal/news/kenya-vows-to-cut-emissions-as-dirty-stovesand-fuels-kill-21500-a-year. (Accessed 9 November 2021) 13
0
You can add this document to your study collection(s)
Sign in Available only to authorized usersYou can add this document to your saved list
Sign in Available only to authorized users(For complaints, use another form )