ww.free-powerpoint-templates-design.com STRATEGIC CAPACITY PLANNING FOR PRODUCTS AND SERVICES http://www.free-powerpoint-templates-design.com CAPACITY 01 INTRODUCTION - An upper limit or ceiling on the load that an operating unit can handle 02 • The load may be in terms of the number of physical units produced or number of services performed. • The operating unit might be a plant, department, machine, store, or worker 03 04 • Capacity needs include equipment, space, and employee skills • 01 INTRODUCTION The goal of strategic capacity planning is to achieve a match between the long-term supply capabilities of the organization and the predicted long-term demand. 02 03 • Overcapacity causes operating costs to be high. • Under capacity causes strained resources and possible loss of customers • Key Questions in Capacity Planning 1. What kind of capacity is needed? 2. How much is needed to match demand? 3. When is it needed? CAPACITY DECISION IS STRATEGIC 1 Capacity decisions have a real impact on the ability of the organization to meet future demands for products and services 2 3 4 5 Capacity decisions affect operating costs Capacity is usually a major determinant of initial cost Capacity decisions often involve a long-term commitment of resources Capacity decisions can affect competitiveness CAPACITY DECISION IS STRATEGIC 6 Capacity affects the ease of management 7 Globalization has increased the importance and complexity of capacity decisions 8 It is necessary to plan capacity decisions in advance Defining and Measuring Capacity Two Useful Definition of Capacity Design Capacity • Maximum output rate or service capacity an operation, process, or facility is designed for. • The maximum designed service capacity or output rate. Availability of Inputs • Measure of capacity. Effective Capacity • Design capacity minus allowances such as personal time , maintenance and scrap. Actual Output • Rate of output actually achieved which cannot exceed effective capacity. Defining and Measuring Capacity ❖ Different measures of capacity are useful in defining two measures of system effectiveness: efficiency and utilization Capacity Utilization Efficiency The ratio of actual output to design capacity The ratio of actual output to effective capacity Efficiency = Actual Output Effective Capacity X 100% Utilization = Actual Output Design Capacity X 100% Determinants of Effective Capacity FACILITIES ➢The design of faciltiies, including size and provision for expansion, is key. ➢Location factors, such as transportation costs, distance market, labor supply, energy sources and room expansion are also important ➢Layout of the work area and environmental factors also play a significant role. Determinants of Effective Capacity PRODUCT AND SERVICE FACTORS ➢Product and service design can have a tremendous influence on capacity. ➢The ore uniform the output, the more opportunities there are for standardization of methods and materials Determinants of Effective Capacity PROCESS FACTORS ➢The quantity capability of a process is an obvious determinant of capacity but subtle determinant is the influence of output capacity. ➢Process improvement that increase quality and productivity can result in increased capacity. Determinants of Effective Capacity HUMAN FACTORS ➢The tasks that make up a job, the variety of activities involved, also the training, skill and experience required to perform a job all have an impact on the potential and actual output. ➢Employee motivation has a very basic relationship to capacity, as do absenteeism. Determinants of Effective Capacity POLICY FACTORS ➢Management policy can affect capacity by allowing or not allowing capacity options such as overtime or second ot third shifts. Determinants of Effective Capacity OPERATIONAL FACTORS ➢Inventory stocking decisions, late deliveries, purchasing requirements, acceptability of purchased materials, quality inspection and control procedures also have an impact on effective capacity Determinants of Effective Capacity SUPPLY CHAIN FACTORS ➢It must be taken into account in capacity planning if substantial capacity changes are involved. EXTERNAL FACTORS ➢Product standards, especially minimum quality and performance standards, can restrict management options for increasing capacity Strategy Formulation • An organization typically base its capacity strategy on assumption and predictions about long-term demand patterns, technological changes, and the behavior of its competitors Key Decisions of Capacity Planning ❖The amount of capacity needed ❖The timing of changes ❖The need to maintain balance throughout the system ❖The extent of flexibility of facilities and the workforce. Strategy Formulation Capacity Cushion which is an amount capacity in excess of expected demand when there is some uncertainty about demand ❖ The greater the degree of demand uncertainty, the greater the amount of cushion used. • Deciding on the amount of capacity involves consideration of expected demand and capacity cost Strategy Formulation Steps in the Capacity Planning Process Estimate future capacity requirements Evaluate existing capacity and facilities and identify gaps. Identify alternatives for meeting requirements. Conduct financial analyses of each alternative. Assess key qualitative issues for each alternative. Select the alternative to pursue that will be best in the long term. Implement the selected alternative. Monito results. FORECASTING CAPACITY REQUIREMENTS • Long-term vs short-term capacity needs • Long-term relates to overall level of capacity such as facility size, trends, and cycles. • Shirt-term related to variations from seasonal, random, and irregular fluctuation in demand Calculating Process REquirements • The task of determining capacity requirements should not be taken lightly. • Substantial losses can occur when there are misjudgments on capacity needs. The Challenge of Planning Service Capacity • Three Important Factors: ✓ The need to be near customers ✓ The inability to store service ✓ The degree of volatility DO IT IN-HOUSE OR OUTSOURCE IT? FACTORS: Available Capacity • If the organization has available equipment, necessary skills, and time, if often makes sense to produce an item or perform a service in-house. • The additional cost would be relatively small compared with those required to buy items or subcontract services. Expertise • If a firm lacks the expertise to Content Here do the job satisfactory, buying might be alternative Content Here a reasonable DO IT IN-HOUSE OR OUTSOURCE IT? FACTORS: Quality Considerations • Firm that specializes can usually offer higher quality than an organization that can attain itself. • Conversely, unique quality requirements or the desire to closely monitor quality may cause an organization to perform a job itself The Nature of Demand • When demand for an item is and steady, the organization is often better off doing the work itself. Content Content Here high Here DO IT IN-HOUSE OR OUTSOURCE IT? FACTORS: Costs • Any cost savings achieved from buying or making must weighed against the preceding factors. • Cost savings might come from the item itself or from transportation cost savings. • If there are fixed cost associated with making an item that cannot be reallocated if the service or product outsourced, that has to recognized in the analysis. Risk • Outsourcing may involved certain risks. Content Here• One is loss of control over operations. is the need to Content• Another Here disclosed proprietary information. DEVELOPING CAPACITY STRATEGIES 1. Design flexibility into system • The long-term nature of many capacity decisions and the risks inherent in long-term forecasts suggests potential benefits from designing flexible systems. • Other considerations in flexible design involve the layout of equipment, location, equipment selection, production planning, scheduling, and inventory policies. DEVELOPING CAPACITY STRATEGIES 2. Take stage of life cycle into account • Capacity requirements are often closely linked to the stage of the life cycle. Introduction Growth Maturity Decline DEVELOPING CAPACITY STRATEGIES 3. Take a “big picture” approach to capacity changes. • When developing capacity alternatives, it is important to consider how parts of the system interrelate. • Evidence of an unbalanced system is the existence of a bottleneck operation • Bottleneck Operation is an operation in a sequence of operations whose capacity is lower than the capacities of other operations in the sequence. • The capacity of the bottleneck operation limits the system capacity. DEVELOPING CAPACITY STRATEGIES 4. Prepare to deal with capacity “chunks” • No machine comes in continuous capacities 5. Attempt to smooth out capacity requirements • Unevenness in capacity requirements also can create certain problems. DEVELOPING CAPACITY STRATEGIES 6. Identify the optimal operating level • Production units typically have an ideal or optimal level of operation in terms of unit cost of output. • Economies of Scale. If the output rate is less than the optimal level, increasing the output rate results in decreasing average unit costs. • Diseconomies of Scale. If the output rate is more than the optimal level, increasing the output rate results in increasing average unit costs. DEVELOPING CAPACITY STRATEGIES o Reasons for Economies of Scale: 1. Fixed costs are spread over more units, reducing the fixed cost per unit. 2. Construction costs increase at a decreasing rate with respect to the size of the facility to be built. 3. Processing costs decrease as output rates increase because operations become more standardized, which reduces unit costs. DEVELOPING CAPACITY STRATEGIES o Reasons for Disconomies of Scale: 1. Distribution costs increase due to traffic congestion and shipping from one large centralized facility instead of several smaller, decentralized facilities. 2. Complexity increases costs, control and communication become more problematic. 3. Inflexibility can be an issue. 4. Additional levels of bureaucracy exist, slowing decision making and approvals for change. DEVELOPING CAPACITY STRATEGIES 7. Choose a strategy if expansion is involved • Consider whether incremental expansion or single step is more appropriate. • Factors include competitive pressures, market opportunities, costs and availability of funds, disruption of operations, and training requirements. CONSTRAINT MANAGEMENT Constraint Something that limits the performance of a process or system in achieving its goals. Steps in Resolving Constraints Issues 1.Identify the most pressing constraint. 2.Change the operation to achieve the maximum benefit, given the constraint. 3.Make sure other portions of the process are supportive of the constraint 4.Explore and evaluate ways to overcome the constraint. 5.Repeat the process until the level of constraints may be an option EVALUATING ALTERNATIVES Cost-Volume Analysis • Focuses on relationship between cost, revenue, and volume of output. • The purpose is to estimate the income of an organization under different operating conditions. • Useful tool for comparing capacity alternatives Fixed Cost Variable Cost • Remain constant regardless of the volume of output. • Vary directly with volume of output Indifference Point • The quantity at which a decision maker would be indifferent between two competing alternatives Break-even Point • The volume of output at which total cost and total revenue are equal EVALUATING ALTERNATIVES FINANCIAL ANALYSIS Use to rank investment proposals, taking into account the 04 time value of money. 02 Cash Flow The difference between cash received from sales and other sources and the cash outflow for labor, materials, overhead, and taxes. 01 03 Present Value Expresses in current value the sum of all future cash flows of an investment proposal Most commonly used methods of financial analysis: Payback focuses on the length of time it will take for an investment to return its original cost Present Value summarizes the initial cost of an investment, its estimated annual cash flows, any expected salvage value in a single value called equivalent current value Internal Rate of Return summarizes the initial cost, expected annual cash flows, and estimated future salvage value of an investment proposal in an equivalent interest rate EVALUATING ALTERNATIVES Decision Theory Waiting Line Analysis • helpful tool for financial comparison of alternatives under conditions of risk or uncertainty • Useful for designing or modifying service systems. • Involves identifying a set of possible future conditions that could influence results, listing alternative courses of action, and developing a financial outcome for each alternative-future condition combination • Useful in helping managers choose a capacity level that will be cost-effective through balancing the cost of having customers wait with the cost of providing additional capacity Simulation • Useful tool in evaluating what-if scenarios. THANK YOU Stevenson, W. J. (2021).Operations management. 14th edition. McGraw-Hill
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