- No category
Canadian Riding Polls: March 2025 - Ontario & BC
advertisement
Riding Polls March 27 - April 2, 2025 Methodology Contact Field Dates Weights / Error Live agent telephone, IVR, and door-to-door survey of Canadian residents 18 years of age and older This survey was carried out between March 27 - April 2, 2025 Survey results are weighted to age and gender, to be reflective of their respective electoral districts Margin of error varies by electoral district ONTARIO RIDINGS Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Eglinton—Lawrence Etobicoke—Lakeshore Mississauga—Erin Mills Mississauga—Lakeshore Mississauga—Streetsville Oakville East Oakville West Richmond Hill South York Centre Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 443 213 230 97 173 173 CPC 41% 40% 32% 45% 37% LPC 43% 42% 49% 42% NDP 4% 5% 4% GPC 2% 1% OTH 1% UND 9% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 443 213 230 97 173 173 35% CPC 45% 45% 37% 48% 44% 39% 41% 47% LPC 47% 47% 56% 45% 48% 53% 2% 4% 4% NDP 4% 6% 5% 2% 5% 5% 1% 1% 3% 1% GPC 2% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 1% 3% 0% 2% OTH 1% 2% 1% 3% 0% 2% 11% 12% 6% 15% 11% Margin of error for decided sample is ±4.6%, 19 times out of 20. Eglinton—Lawrence Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 945 429 525 229 334 382 CPC 31% 29% 21% 31% 37% LPC 49% 54% 65% 44% NDP 5% 3% 2% GPC 2% 1% OTH 2% UND 11% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 945 429 525 229 334 382 22% CPC 35% 33% 23% 36% 40% 24% 45% 64% LPC 55% 61% 71% 52% 50% 71% 5% 5% 2% NDP 6% 3% 2% 6% 5% 2% 2% 4% 2% 1% GPC 2% 1% 2% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% OTH 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 11% 9% 15% 8% 10% Margin of error for decided sample is ±3.2%, 19 times out of 20. Etobicoke—Lakeshore Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 845 414 431 254 287 304 CPC 28% 27% 21% 22% 42% LPC 49% 52% 62% 51% NDP 7% 4% 3% GPC 3% 2% OTH 2% UND 11% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 845 414 431 254 287 304 21% CPC 31% 31% 24% 26% 48% 23% 37% 62% LPC 55% 59% 69% 58% 42% 69% 9% 4% 3% NDP 8% 5% 3% 10% 5% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% GPC 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% OTH 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 12% 10% 12% 13% 11% Margin of error for decided sample is ±3.5%, 19 times out of 20. Mississauga—Erin Mills Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 506 242 263 167 162 177 CPC 29% 30% 26% 22% 48% LPC 44% 46% 55% 44% NDP 7% 4% 4% GPC 4% 2% OTH 0% UND 16% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 506 242 263 167 162 177 25% CPC 35% 36% 30% 27% 53% 29% 37% 54% LPC 52% 55% 62% 54% 41% 63% 9% 2% 3% NDP 8% 5% 4% 11% 3% 4% 2% 6% 2% 2% GPC 5% 2% 2% 7% 3% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% OTH 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 17% 12% 19% 9% 16% Margin of error for decided sample is ±4.4%, 19 times out of 20. Mississauga—Lakeshore Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 1006 483 523 332 322 352 CPC 25% 29% 21% 23% 30% LPC 54% 52% 62% 55% NDP 4% 2% 3% GPC 2% 2% OTH 1% UND 14% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 1006 483 523 332 322 352 24% CPC 29% 34% 24% 28% 33% 28% 52% 58% LPC 63% 59% 70% 65% 58% 66% 3% 3% 2% NDP 5% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 4% 1% GPC 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% OTH 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 13% 12% 17% 10% 12% Margin of error for decided sample is ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20. Mississauga—Streetsville Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 722 354 368 224 231 267 CPC 30% 33% 25% 29% 36% LPC 43% 47% 52% 38% NDP 6% 3% 2% GPC 2% 1% OTH 1% UND 18% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 722 354 368 224 231 267 27% CPC 37% 39% 31% 37% 41% 33% 45% 52% LPC 52% 55% 64% 48% 51% 63% 8% 4% 2% NDP 7% 4% 2% 10% 5% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% GPC 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% OTH 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 15% 19% 23% 15% 17% Margin of error for decided sample is ±3.6%, 19 times out of 20. Oakville East Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 616 296 320 142 240 234 CPC 38% 34% 24% 42% 41% LPC 43% 51% 60% 33% NDP 5% 3% 1% GPC 1% 1% OTH 2% UND 11% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 616 296 320 142 240 234 26% CPC 43% 37% 27% 48% 43% 29% 47% 58% LPC 48% 56% 68% 38% 49% 66% 6% 3% 2% NDP 6% 3% 1% 7% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% GPC 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% OTH 2% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 10% 12% 13% 4% 13% Margin of error for decided sample is ±4%, 19 times out of 20. Oakville West Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 898 422 476 180 359 359 CPC 32% 29% 24% 31% 38% LPC 48% 47% 57% 46% NDP 7% 4% 3% GPC 2% 2% OTH 2% UND 9% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 898 422 476 180 359 359 24% CPC 35% 35% 27% 33% 41% 28% 47% 54% LPC 53% 56% 66% 50% 51% 64% 8% 3% 3% NDP 8% 5% 3% 9% 3% 4% 2% 5% 2% 2% GPC 2% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% OTH 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 15% 13% 8% 8% 15% Margin of error for decided sample is ±3.3%, 19 times out of 20. Richmond Hill South Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 583 271 306 133 196 254 CPC 35% 30% 23% 44% 27% LPC 45% 51% 59% 34% NDP 3% 3% 2% GPC 2% 1% OTH 1% UND 14% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 583 271 306 133 196 254 25% CPC 41% 35% 27% 51% 31% 30% 53% 57% LPC 52% 59% 68% 40% 61% 66% 2% 3% 2% NDP 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% GPC 2% 1% 3% 4% 2% 1% 1% 0% 3% 2% 1% OTH 1% 1% 0% 3% 2% 1% 14% 14% 16% 13% 14% Margin of error for decided sample is ±4%, 19 times out of 20. York Centre Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 505 232 273 131 177 197 CPC 34% 39% 28% 26% 44% LPC 35% 36% 49% 28% NDP 10% 5% 5% GPC 3% 2% OTH 2% UND 16% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 505 232 273 131 177 197 31% CPC 40% 46% 32% 32% 49% 37% 35% 46% LPC 42% 43% 57% 35% 38% 55% 14% 7% 3% NDP 12% 6% 6% 18% 8% 4% 2% 9% 2% 3% GPC 4% 2% 2% 11% 2% 4% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% OTH 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 17% 15% 21% 9% 16% Margin of error for decided sample is ±4.3%, 19 times out of 20. BRITISH COLUMBIA RIDINGS Burnaby Central Burnaby North—Seymour Cloverdale—Langley City Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville North Vancouver—Capilano Surrey Centre Vancouver Fraserview—Burnaby South Vancouver Granville Vancouver Quadra Burnaby Central Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 453 222 231 159 140 154 CPC 28% 27% 16% 32% 25% LPC 32% 37% 38% 29% NDP 16% 16% 18% GPC 2% 2% OTH 0% UND 22% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 453 222 231 159 140 154 20% CPC 36% 32% 21% 43% 31% 25% 33% 38% LPC 41% 44% 50% 38% 40% 49% 14% 20% 17% NDP 21% 19% 24% 19% 24% 22% 3% 0% 4% 2% GPC 3% 2% 4% 0% 4% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% OTH 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 2% 17% 24% 25% 18% 21% Margin of error for decided sample is ±4.6%, 19 times out of 20. Burnaby North—Seymour Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 745 365 380 224 238 283 CPC 27% 33% 16% 27% 30% LPC 38% 40% 57% 34% NDP 7% 6% 5% GPC 2% 2% OTH 1% UND 25% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 745 365 380 224 238 283 22% CPC 36% 39% 19% 39% 40% 26% 36% 53% LPC 51% 48% 70% 48% 47% 63% 7% 7% 6% NDP 9% 7% 7% 10% 9% 7% 2% 2% 2% 2% GPC 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2% OTH 1% 3% 1% 0% 1% 2% 16% 18% 30% 24% 16% Margin of error for decided sample is ±3.6%, 19 times out of 20. Cloverdale—Langley City Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 1362 654 708 354 545 463 CPC 33% 43% 29% 26% 41% LPC 35% 28% 37% 39% NDP 6% 7% 5% GPC 1% 1% OTH 1% UND 23% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 1362 654 708 354 545 463 34% CPC 43% 54% 40% 35% 56% 42% 26% 37% LPC 45% 35% 50% 54% 35% 46% 5% 6% 7% NDP 8% 8% 8% 7% 8% 8% 1% 1% 0% 1% GPC 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% OTH 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 20% 27% 26% 26% 20% Margin of error for decided sample is ±2.7%, 19 times out of 20. Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 558 268 290 134 212 212 CPC 25% 33% 21% 22% 27% LPC 49% 44% 55% 43% NDP 12% 8% 5% GPC 3% 3% OTH 1% UND 10% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 558 268 290 134 212 212 27% CPC 28% 37% 24% 24% 29% 31% 55% 50% LPC 54% 50% 64% 48% 59% 58% 16% 7% 6% NDP 13% 9% 6% 18% 8% 7% 3% 6% 4% 1% GPC 3% 3% 3% 7% 4% 2% 0% 2% 3% 0% 2% OTH 1% 0% 3% 3% 0% 2% 11% 13% 11% 7% 13% Margin of error for decided sample is ±4.1%, 19 times out of 20. New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 407 201 210 127 136 144 CPC 19% 24% 20% 9% 28% LPC 37% 34% 40% 41% NDP 22% 20% 22% GPC 3% 3% OTH 0% UND 19% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 407 201 210 127 136 144 22% CPC 23% 29% 24% 12% 30% 27% 33% 37% LPC 46% 41% 48% 56% 36% 45% 20% 26% 20% NDP 27% 24% 26% 27% 28% 24% 2% 3% 5% 2% GPC 4% 4% 2% 4% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% OTH 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 17% 15% 27% 9% 16% Margin of error for decided sample is ±4.8%, 19 times out of 20. North Vancouver—Capilano Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 779 366 413 171 273 335 CPC 29% 28% 20% 28% 33% LPC 42% 48% 62% 36% NDP 9% 6% 2% GPC 2% 2% OTH 1% UND 17% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 779 366 413 171 273 335 21% CPC 35% 32% 23% 33% 39% 25% 42% 59% LPC 51% 57% 71% 43% 49% 68% 16% 3% 3% NDP 11% 7% 2% 19% 4% 4% 2% 0% 5% 2% GPC 2% 2% 3% 0% 6% 3% 1% 1% 4% 2% 0% OTH 1% 1% 1% 5% 2% 1% 14% 13% 17% 15% 13% Margin of error for decided sample is ±3.5%, 19 times out of 20. Surrey Centre Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 1638 835 803 672 491 475 CPC 29% 38% 28% 24% 41% LPC 29% 27% 31% 29% NDP 13% 11% 11% GPC 0% 1% OTH 0% UND 29% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 1638 835 803 672 491 475 29% CPC 41% 49% 39% 36% 54% 37% 23% 36% LPC 41% 35% 43% 44% 30% 46% 13% 12% 9% NDP 18% 14% 15% 20% 16% 12% 1% 0% 0% 1% GPC 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% OTH 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 22% 29% 34% 24% 21% Margin of error for decided sample is ±2.4%, 19 times out of 20. Vancouver Fraserview—Burnaby South Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 313 150 163 97 97 119 CPC 29% 36% 14% 35% 26% LPC 27% 31% 49% 23% NDP 21% 16% 15% GPC 5% 2% OTH 3% UND 15% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 313 150 163 97 97 119 21% CPC 34% 42% 17% 39% 33% 25% 26% 46% LPC 32% 37% 59% 26% 33% 55% 28% 20% 13% NDP 25% 19% 18% 31% 26% 16% 2% 4% 3% 2% GPC 6% 2% 3% 4% 4% 2% 0% 3% 0% 3% 1% OTH 4% 0% 3% 0% 4% 1% 16% 17% 10% 21% 16% Margin of error for decided sample is ±5.5%, 19 times out of 20. Vancouver Granville Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 577 271 306 202 179 196 CPC 19% 27% 13% 15% 24% LPC 51% 45% 63% 45% NDP 8% 10% 7% GPC 2% 2% OTH 0% UND 20% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 577 271 306 202 179 196 19% CPC 24% 32% 16% 20% 29% 22% 55% 55% LPC 64% 53% 73% 60% 67% 64% 10% 4% 9% NDP 10% 12% 9% 13% 4% 10% 1% 5% 0% 2% GPC 3% 2% 1% 7% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% OTH 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 15% 14% 25% 18% 14% Margin of error for decided sample is ±4.1%, 19 times out of 20. Vancouver Quadra Respondents With Undecideds All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 729 342 386 255 226 248 CPC 26% 26% 14% 31% 27% LPC 53% 56% 64% 49% NDP 6% 4% 5% GPC 2% 3% OTH 1% UND 12% Decided And Leaning All Men Women 18-34 35-54 55+ Sample 729 342 386 255 226 248 18% CPC 30% 29% 17% 33% 30% 21% 54% 62% LPC 60% 63% 74% 53% 60% 71% 8% 5% 4% NDP 7% 4% 5% 9% 6% 5% 3% 1% 3% 3% GPC 2% 3% 3% 1% 4% 3% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% OTH 1% 0% 1% 4% 0% 0% 11% 13% 7% 10% 13% Margin of error for decided sample is ±3.6%, 19 times out of 20. About Cardinal Research is a Canadian polling company deeply committed to understanding and analyzing the perspectives of Canadians across the nation. Our work, which values and amplifies the voices of Canadians, identifies the key issues influencing voter behaviour, providing valuable insights that contribute to a more informed and engaged electorate. Leading our team is Curtis Fric, the founder and managing director of Polling Canada, the largest online public data aggregation organization in the country. With over six years of experience in political data, Curtis has built a reputation for delivering insightful and engaging content that resonates with diverse audiences. His collaborations with non-partisan organizations, market research firms, and political figures have positioned him as an influencer in the Canadian political scene. Contact Us Email: info@cardinalresearch.ca Website: www.cardinalresearch.ca
0
advertisement
Download
advertisement
Add this document to collection(s)
You can add this document to your study collection(s)
Sign in Available only to authorized usersAdd this document to saved
You can add this document to your saved list
Sign in Available only to authorized users