WHARTON CONSULTING CLUB CASEBOOK 2023-2024 KNOWLEDGE FOR ACTION Editors’ Note Dear Wharton Consulting Club Member We are happy to present this year’s casebook to aid you in your preparation. This casebook will provide you with a brief overview of consulting recruiting and interview preparation, as well as a number of practice cases. Please note that this is meant to supplement the excellent work done by our and other schools in earlier casebooks, so we encourage you to use diverse resources to prepare. Additionally, we wish to thank Bain and EY Parthenon for providing some of their former interview cases to the casebook. Finally, a few words of advice. Remember - recruiting is a marathon, not a sprint. While it may sometimes feel so, you’re not alone in this process. Take care of your mental health and lean on your peers, and fellow 2Ys, for support. We are all cheering for you! We wish you a productive and successful recruiting experience. Coty Wallach, Ram Sriram, Rishabh Israni and Soumya Dubey WCC Resource Development Team (2023-24) TABLE OF CONTENTS Item Page Type Difficulty Format Industry Case Interview Introduction 7 Behavioral Interview Introduction 28 Case 1: Pulp Friction 33 Profitability Easy Interviewee-Led Retail Case 2: Bring Your Own Bus 43 Market Entry Easy Interviewee-Led Manufacturing Case 3: Sweat Equity 52 Revenue Growth Easy Interviewee-Led Fitness Case 4: Stick A Needle In My Eye 61 Market EntryN Easy Interviewee-Led Healthcare Case 5: (Not So) Quiet Quitting 70 HR Medium Interviewer-Led Government Case 6: SoapCo* 77 Revenue Growth Medium Interviewee-Led Consumer Goods Case 7: Must The Show Go On? 90 Profitability Medium Interviewee-Led Entertainment * Former Bain Interview Case TABLE OF CONTENTS Item Page Type Difficulty Format Industry Case 8: Beyond Borders 103 Market Entry Medium Interviewee-Led Manufacturing Case 9: Going Nuts 111 M&A Medium Interviewer-Led Food Case 10: Circling The Drain 120 Profitability Medium Interviewee-Led Healthcare Case 11: Highway To Hell 131 Market Entry Medium Interviewee-Led Transportation Case 12: Flickering Fortune 140 Profitability Medium Interviewer-Led Consumer Goods Case 13: The Claim Game 151 Market Entry Medium Interviewee-Led Insurance Case 14: CraftCo* 159 Profitability Medium Interviewer-Led Consumer Goods Case 15: Build, Baby, Build! 169 Profitability Hard Interviewee-Led Sports Case 16: Eye Can See Clearly Now 179 M&A Hard Interviewee-Led Healthcare * Former EY Parthenon Interview Case TABLE OF CONTENTS Item Page Type Difficulty Format Industry Case 17: To Bid, or Not To Bid 189 Market Entry Hard Interviewer-Led Retail Case 18: Cents and Sensibility 199 Profitability Hard Interviewee-Led Government Appendix Case Math Drills 210 Chart Drills 217 Brainstorm Drills 226 Sample Behavioral Interview Questions 231 Common Interview Formats* • MBB firms rely on power rounds (multiple interviews in one day) • Bain ○ 3 total interviews ○ 2 interviewee led case-interviews lasting 40 minutes each ○ 1 behavioral interview with 5-8 questions lasting 40 minutes • BCG ○ 2 total interviews ○ Each interview starts with 2-3 behavioral questions lasting 15 minutes in total ○ Followed by 40 minutes of an interviewee led case-interview • McKinsey** ○ 3 total interviews ○ Each interview starts with one behavioral question picked out of previously shared prompts ○ The interviewer does a deep dive on a single story that addresses the prompt (for 15 minutes), with multiple questions and detailed interactions with the interviewee ○ Followed by 40 minutes for an interviewer led case-interview * based on previous year experiences for US offices ** Some McKinsey offices may not hold power rounds, but two separate rounds with 2 interviews each Introduction to the Case Interview What is a case? Business problem: The case interview is a method used by management consulting firms to evaluate a candidate's ability to analyze complex business issues, develop strategies, and communicate Answers effectively Conversation driving to a recommendation: The best cases are a structured dialogue between the candidate and the interviewer that help the candidate come to a specific conclusion Evaluation of analytical and communication skills: The case interview enables the interviewer to evaluate a candidate's ability to analyze data and articulate recommendations Just one part of the recruiting process: While this may seem daunting, it is helpful to remember that the case interview is just one part of the recruiting process. Types of cases INTERVIEWER-LED INTERVIEWEE-LED Interviewer drives the case. The candidate should suggest next steps, but follow the interviewer on where to go next Many times do not require a recommendation at the end The candidate drives the direction of the case through their questions Accenture McKinsey Oliver Wyman Generalizations based on candidate experience Recommendation is almost always required Bain EY Parthenon BCG LEK Deloitte Strategy& Case Prompts Profitability Mergers and acquisitions Market study Revenue growth Valuation Market entry Declining profits Return on investment Product launch Cost optimization Synergy analysis Growth strategy Not an exhaustive list Case Industries Consumer/Retail Energy Manufacturing Financial Services Media & Entertainment Transportation Telecommunications & IT Healthcare & Life Sciences Govt./Non-profit Not an exhaustive list Having familiarity with common industries may help you generate business insights leading to “brownie points”. The following casebooks provide briefs on common industries - Kellogg (‘23), Darden (‘22) and Ross (‘22) Case Interview Components 2-3 minutes 4-5 minutes 3-5 minutes 8-10 minutes 2-3 minutes Background, Setup, and Recap Framework Development & Explanation Brainstorming Math Exhibits & Analysis Synthesis & Rec ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● Active listening/taking thorough notes during prompt Summarize the problem Ask clarifying Q’s Anticipate structure ● ● ● Structure thoughts in organized manner (<2 min) Give interviewer high level overview of buckets Drill down into each bucket Develop hypothesis & prioritize ● ● Probe for information Organize brainstorming into multiple buckets Be MECE mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive - with your ideas ● ● ● Provide overview of information Point out insightful details, utilize data from charts Note conclusions 12 Walk through math problem steps BEFORE you calc ● ● ● ● Drive case to conclusion Be answer FIRST, then provide supporting facts from case Take a definitive stance Utilize hard data from case Address risks & next steps Components of the Case Interview Case Prompt Clarifying questions Asking 2-3 clarifying questions after hearing the prompt provides useful information that can feed into your frameworks. We recommend choosing from the below buckets: Business model: How does the business make money? Geography: Where are we operating? Objective: What is the goal/target that the client has set? 15 Case Opening and Framework Timeline: By when do we need to meet the objective? Case Type 1: Profitability Problem: Client’s earnings / profits has declined or stopped growing Objective: Recommend ways to increase profits / grow Overview Framework 1. Market 2. Revenue Industry ● Growth trends ● Market size ● Specific regulations Competition ● Market shares ● Competitive advantage/weakness ● Entry barriers Price ● Pricing trends ● Compare to market Volume ● Demand v Capacity ● Sales trends Product Mix ● Demand v Capacity ● Sales trends 3. Cost Fixed Costs ● PPE ● Overhead ● SG&A Variable Costs ● COGS ● Labour ● Utilities Supplier Power Market Benchmark 4. Customers Customer Segment ● Demographics ● Characteristics ● Preferences ● Willingness-to-pay Channels ● Sales mix ● Operational efficiency ● Customer reach ● New opportunities Always order buckets based on perceived importance to the case Case Type 2: Market Entry Problem: Client is considering entering a new market Objective: Recommend whether or not to enter (considerations: financial attractiveness, implementation success, risk assessment) Overview Framework 1. Market 2. Financial Industry ● Growth trends ● Market size ● Specific regulations Competition ● Competition intensity ● Competitor response ● Entry barriers Current State ● Current profitability ● Financial capitals New Market ● Capital investment ● Potential revenues ● Potential costs ● ROI on investment 3. Capabilities Business Competency ● Market knowledge ● Comp advantages Technical Competency ● Scaling operations ● Expansion management ● Other technical capabilities needed 4. Entry Strategy Entry Methods ● Direct entry ● Acquisition ● Joint Venture Considerations ● Market entry timing ● Piloting options ● Centralized vs Decentralized control ● Risks Always order buckets based on perceived importance to the case Case Type 3: Merger & Acquisition Problem: Client is considering acquiring another company Objective: Evaluate the target company and recommend whether or not to pursue the deal Overview Framework 1.Market Market 2. Deal Evaluation Are buyer and target in the same market? Industry ● Growth trends ● Market size ● Specific regulations Competition ● Competition intensity ● Competitor response Target’s Financials ● Current profitability ● Revenue growth ● Cost reduction Target’s Competency ● Management culture ● Technical capabilities ● Business expertise Deal ROI ● Price vs Breakeven 3. Strategic Fit 4. Risk Assessment Acquisition Rationale ● Vertical integration ● Horizontal integration ● New market entry Synergies ● Cost driven ● Revenue driven ● Technical acquisition ● Response to competitor move A. Buyer capability ● Prior acquisition experience ● Capital expenditure A. Post acquisition ● Company cultural fit ● Integration process ● Organizational structure change ● SEC regulations Always order buckets based on perceived importance to the case Structuring Structuring is about breaking down a complex question into more manageable parts; it is important for both framework-building and brainstorming There is no one right way to structure frameworks, but good structuring is always: Mutually Exclusive, Collectively Exhaustive (MECE): ME: Buckets do not contain overlapping or repeated information CE: Buckets are comprehensive in addressing information needed to solve the problem Answer-focused: The problem is clearly defined, and the framework focuses on answering that specific problem Case-specific: Buckets and points are tailored to the specifics of the client and problem Structuring Suggested mechanism: After asking clarifying questions, take 1.5-2mins to draw your framework Talk through your framework (<2min) with logical flow and transitions Talk across your buckets (left to right), then down your data points (top to bottom); numerate your points Objectives: Aim for a clear, logical structure that could be visually presented Incorporate explanations of why you included certain points Utilize case facts from the prompt and use case-specific nomenclature Be conversational in your delivery Incorporate interviewer feedback, if given Case Math It’s a conversation Talk through thought process prior to starting calculations Keep conversation going while doing the math - let the interviewer know what you are doing Demonstrate Case Leadership Every number calculated should have an associated insight What else do we need to know? How does this help answer the question? Keep your cool All 2Ys have goofed up in math, even in their final round interviews What is important, is spotting your mistake, and not letting it impact the rest of the case Charts Charts test important skills in the consulting toolkit ● ● ● Quickly skim through a wide range of data Elicit key information Derive top-down takeaways Chart interpretation are commonly coupled with calculations Best practices Take a moment to digest the chart Focus on key information Communicate top-down: answer first supporting evidence relation to overall goal Common pitfalls Immediately reading back the chart Listing information without structure Lack of second-level insights: stopping at the numbers failure to drive case forward Common Chart Types Familiarize yourself with the following common chart types, which are frequently encountered in case interviews Value comparison: stacked bar, clustered bar Relationship identification: scatterplot, bubble Composition analysis: pie, 100% bar, Marimekko (mosaic) Change illustration: waterfall, line Brainstorming You might be asked open-ended questions mid-case, and asked to “brainstorm” Answers ● ● What do you think drives profitability in this market? What are some challenges or risks with introducing this new product? You may have time to organize your thoughts (<60 seconds). Sometimes, you may not Brainstorming There are certain frameworks that might be useful during brainstorming: ● Financial vs Non-financial considerations ○ Financial: Revenue Drop, Costs increase ○ Non financial: Dilution of brand equity, loss in employee morale ● “3Cs” - Company, Customer, Competitors ○ Company: Chane the hiring strategy ○ Customer: Understand unmet customer needs ○ Competitor: Analyze product portfolio to check competitiveness ● “4Ps” - Product, Price, Place, Promotion ○ Product - Retool product to address customer demand ○ Price - Change price according to customer elasticity ○ Place - Explore sales per distribution channel ○ Promotion - Find sales per marketing dollar ● Internal vs External factors ○ Internal - Related to functioning of the company ○ External - Anything not related to the company’s functioning Tips for Case Interviewers Your peers have trusted you to case them, please ensure they have a fruitful and pleasant experience! ● ● ● ● Prepare: Spend time before the case interview reading through the case, making sure you understand the flow and the calculations Be patient: Give adequate time for the candidate to structure their thoughts. Provide candidates with timing for key sections such as framework and brainstorming Be Supportive: In case the candidate is stuck, guide them towards the answer, providing adequate hints Document: Jot down any observations, you’ll be surprised how much you forget at the end of 30 minutes. Use the scoring criteria (next slide) to structure your feedback Tips for Case Interviewers | “Scoring” a Case Interview We recommend using a five-pronged framework to give feedback to candidates at the end of the case interview Case Structure Quantitative / Analytical skills Creativity Case ownership / Leadership* Collaboration / Coachability *less relevant for interviewer led cases Introduction to the Behavioral Interview Behavioral Interviews • Showcase EQ: Cases test your IQ - fit is your chance to show EQ • Be Memorable: Answer all questions with a story/ example - show vs. tell. Stories are compelling way to articulate and demonstrate fit for firm. And let personality shine! • Delivery Matters: Be authentic, confident, structured and succinct. Demonstrate presence in front of a client • Firms really care: Consulting is a highly interpersonal business • You’re always in control (unlike cases): Use fit questions as a source of confidence Use fit prep to boost a strength or shore up a weakness Framework for personal stories The key is to be structured and try out different outlines to see what works for you Headline: Tell the interviewer where the story is going (~15%) Situation: Set up the problem or conflict/ give background (~15%) Action: What did you do? (~55%) Result: Highlight the outcome, the impact on the organization and what you learned (~15%) • • • • STAR Situation Task Action Result • • • • • SCARF Situation Complication Action Result Future Lessons The interviewer should understand the “so what?” before and after your story Common questions during the behavioral interview Most questions asked during the behavioral interview fall into one or more categories of the IMPACT framework I - Individual contribution M - Managing teams P - Persuading peers/managers A - Analytical skills C - Challenging situations T - Teamwork and collaboration Preparing 1-2 stories for each category is a helpful strategy. The Appendix fleshes out specific examples of questions in each category Additional Resources The following resources will help you in preparation: ● ● ● ● Peer school casebooks: 2Ys have used Kellogg, Ross, Columbia and Darden casebooks in the past Rocketblocks: For drills on charts, market sizing and math Casecoach: For videos on each component of the case, frameworks, structuring drills Behavioral interview question bank: For preparing for the behavioral component of the casing process Case 1: Pulp Friction Type: Profitability Difficulty: Easy Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Retail Pulp Friction - Prompt Problem Statement Your client, TissueCo, is a large facial tissue manufacturer that sells to retailers. While the US facial tissue market suffered operational challenges due to Covid-19, the market is forecasted to recover and grow in 2021. While TissueCo has seen some improved numbers as they adapt to the pandemic, their profitability margin has fallen below their main competitors Kelly-Clark and Proxy and Gumbo. The CEO has invited you to help them out. Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● ● The client is focused on US sales only TissueCo’s profitability margin dropped below its competitors before the COVID-19 outbreak but has further worsened after COVID-19 TissueCo produces tissues that are standard, extra soft, and tissues with lotion There is no specific goal to improve profitability The expected CAGR in 2021 is 5.8% Pulp Friction - Structure Framework 1. Facial Tissue Market 2. TissueCo A. Industry ● Growth trends ● Market size ● Recent changes in customer behavior / trends B. Competition ● # of competitors and market share ● Profit margin / Cost structure C. Regulatory environment A. Product differentiation ● Product characteristics (e.g., soft, lotion, anti-viral) ● Packaging options (e.g., horizontal or vertical box, pocket) B. Customer segment (e.g., at home, vs away from home) C. Marketing strategy D. Distribution strategy (e.g., supermarkets, convenience stores, online) 3. Financial Analysis A. Revenue analysis ● Pricing strategy ● Volume dynamics ● Break-down by client groups and locations B. Cost structure ● Fixed (e.g. rent, SG&A) ● Variable (e.g. labor, raw materials, utilities) 4. Growth Opportunities A. Sales growth opportunities ● Lower prices ● New or improved characteristics ● Different packaging B. Margin improvements ● Reduced volume per package ● Technology to reduce production costs Pulp Friction - Brainstorming Question 1: What revenue growth ideas can you suggest? Sample Revenue Growth Ideas 1. Upgrade marketing strategy 2. Change pricing (model) 3. Increase distribution efficiency A. Campaign ● Aggressive marketing campaign and promotions A. Pricing ● Maintain price, but slightly slower volume per package ● Bundle packages together and/or offer bundles together with hand-sanitizer A. Distribution ● Online channels (online retailers and D2C) ● Volume dynamics B. Channels ● Expand to new social media channels to reach and cultivate younger audiences (a more germ-aware generation) B. Pricing model ● Subscription model (e.g., Amazon weekly) B. Partnerships ● Build partnerships with sectors affected by the rising concern of sickness (airlines, workspaces, schools) 4. Expand value proposition A. New kinds of tissues ● Anti-viral ● More sustainable B. New kinds of packaging ● The box could include a coupon for the next purchase Interviewer notes: - A strong candidate will remark that given low differentiation between facial tissues, high brand awareness and active marketing are likely key drivers of sales Pulp Friction - Math Question 2: The rise in the number of bacterial and viral infectious diseases, COVID-19 being top of mind, has led to the rise in demand for antiviral products. The client is considering launching a new product line to meet this demand, anti-viral tissues. How big do you think the US market in $ dollars is for anti-viral facial tissues? Sample approach on next slide; allow candidate flexibility with assumptions or provide inputs if asked Pulp Friction - Math Sample approach US Population ~320M people % population that is very germ-conscious 10% # of colds / flu per year per persons and duration ~2 colds per year that last 5 days # tissues used per day while sick ~20 tissues # tissues used per year for other reasons (e.g., allergies) ~50 tissues # tissue used per year 320M * 10% * [(2*5*20)+50] ≈ 8B # tissues per box 100 # of boxes 80M $ Avg price per box $5 $ Total market $400M Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) Market sizing ● US population is 320M ● ~10% of the population uses tissues, so around 32M people ● Avg price for a box of tissues with 100 tissues is $5 Interviewer Notes: ● A strong candidate will highlight the higher WTP of germ-conscious consumers which could help improve profitability (in spite of smaller market share) ● Alternate approaches are okay as long as candidate splits the demographics into multiple segments and considers multiple use cases for tissues Pulp Friction - Math Question 3: [Present Exhibit A] The rise in the number of bacterial and viral infectious diseases, COVID-19 being top of mind, has led to the rise in demand for antiviral product. The client is considering launching a new product line, anti-viral tissues. Will this increase their profitability? Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● Total sales in 2020 were $3.1B (candidate can and should round to $3B to simplify calculations). Show Exhibit A for revenue share and costs for other tissue segments. The candidate should calculate profit margins of all categories Anti-viral tissues are forecasted to generate $150M in sales and $30M in profit Pulp Friction - Math Calculations Product Calculations Profits ($) / Profit Margin (%) Standard 3B * 65% * 10% $195M Super soft 3B * 25% * 15% $112.5M Lotion 3B * 10% * 20% $60M Overall 195M + 112.5M + 60M = 367.5M / 3B ≈ 12% Anti-viral 30M / 150M 20% The antiviral product line is forecasted to have a 20% profit margin, thus increasing the profitability of the company. Pulp Friction - Recommendation The TissueCo CEO has arranged a meeting to discuss your findings shortly. What is going to be your final recommendation? Answer Recommendation: In order to improve profitability, our recommendation is that the client launch the new antiviral tissues. 1) Demand for antiviral products has been increasing due to the recent pandemic; 2) Germ-conscious consumers’ WTP is higher and we forecast a higher profitability margin of 20% compared to Standards 10% and Super Softs 15%. Risks: While we forecast profitability, competitive response could force us to lower prices. The current rise in demand due to the increased sensibility during the pandemic could subside over the next few years. Clogs in the supply chain for antiviral products could limit production and increase COGS Next steps: 1. Evaluate the competitive landscape and build a sensitivity analysis based on different competitive responses 2. Take a deep dive into the market model to identify main growth drivers and determine which ones will be more sustainable 3. Map out TissueCo’s supply chain, identify possible weak points, and offer potential workarounds. Pulp Friction - Exhibit A TissueCo financial metrics Product line Sales share, % Profit margin, % 65% Standard 25% Super soft Lotion 10% 10% 15% 20% Case 2: Bring Your Own Bus Case Type: Market Entry Difficulty Level: Easy Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Manufacturing Bring Your Own Bus - Prompt Problem Statement Your client is a private equity fund considering the acquisition of the Big Yellow Bus Co, one of the leading manufacturers of school buses in the US. The client has engaged your firm to help determine whether or not to proceed with the investment. Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● ● BYB is the #2 player in the market by revenue, #3 by volume There are only 3 competitors in the market with relatively equal share. However, BYB was the clear leader 5 years ago BYB’s price are 25-50% higher than its competitors The market has a fairly steady long-term 3% growth rate driven by GDP / population growth The customers are almost exclusively local cities and towns in the US Bring Your Own Bus - Structure Framework 1. School Bus Market 2. Big Yellow Bus A. Industry ● Growth trends ● Market size ● Recent changes in customer behavior / trends B. Competition ● # of competitors and market share ● Profit margin / Cost structure C. Regulatory environment A. Product differentiation ● Different kinds of buses ● Bus attributes vs competitors ● Extra services (e.g., maintenance, warranties) B. Customer (key demographics) C. Marketing strategy ● Salesforce effectiveness and customer journey 3. Financial Analysis A. Revenue analysis ● Pricing strategy ● Volume dynamics ● Break-down by client groups and locations B. Cost structure ● Fixed (e.g. rent, SG&A) ● Variable (e.g. labor, raw materials, utilities) 4. PE Transaction A. Deal Price ● Financing ● Expected ROI ● Opportunity cost B. Growth opportunities ● Revenue synergies ● Cost synergies ● Cultural synergies D. Management expertise Sample business insights - “In my experience, there isn’t a lot of differentiation between yellow school buses. As such, I would assume that the cost structure would drive the key competitive advantage.” - “I would assume that our main customers would be price-sensitive school districts. Therefore, the pricing strategy is going to be an important factor in the growth or decline of market share.” Bring Your Own Bus - Math Question 1: How large is the market for school buses in the US? Sample approach US Population ~320M people Life expectancy ~80 years People per decade ~40M people School age commuters (~15 years) ~60M children % Taking buses ~33% School-age children taking buses ~20M children Children per bus ~50 Buses required 400K buses Average life of buses 10 years Buses sold per year 40k Interviewer notes: Strong candidates will recognize that this is a good size market with consistent growth. However, to get a fuller picture, they would ask about competitors and market share trends Bring Your Own Bus - Exhibit Question 2: [Present Exhibit A] Based on the available data, what does the competitive landscape look like? Answer There are two major takeaways: ● BYB’s share of revenue is higher than its share of volume ○ This is because its prices are higher than peers by 20%. This is important because its a commodity product and customers are highly price-sensitive. ○ 5 years ago, BYB’s market share was at 60%. The decline in share is precipitous. ● BYB’s cost structure is high relative to peers ○ The gross margin is a big differentiation and BYB needs to focus on reducing its COGS ○ Some possible hypotheses: ■ Materials, equipment, and labors will probably be most significant cost drivers. Competitors could be more successful in outsourcing or achieving economies of scale ■ Competitors A & B could be a part of larger industrial trucking firms where there are synergies Bring Your Own Bus - Exhibit Question 3: [Present Exhibit B] Based on the available data, what do the customer perception trends indicate? Answer ● ● ● ● Customer perception trends indicate an uphill battle for BYB to gain market share The single most important metric for customer satisfaction is price, which is the one where BYB’s perception is lowest compared to competitors BYB has great perception among all other parameters, but those are not factors that are driving customer purchase decisions Perceptions for Competitor B are almost the mirror image of BYB - BYB can stand to analyse Competitor B’s marketing and strategy to grow market share Bring Your Own Bus - Recommendation What is your final recommendation? Recommendation Recommendation: We recommend that the PE fund NOT acquire Big Yellow Bus Company. Reason #1: Even if the transaction is at an attractive price, BYB is in a difficult competitive position. BYB is losing share to two lower-cost competitors with significant built-in cost advantages given their ownership structures. Reason #2: Further, price is the biggest driver for purchase decisions as buses become increasingly commoditized and local cities & towns become more price sensitive in the face of budget deficits. Conclusion: Overall, not an attractive investment.The client can look into Competitor B for investment Risks: ● Public perception might swing towards buses with higher safety, reliability and quality, making BYB attractive Next steps: ● Conduct a detailed customer perception survey to stress test current data Bring Your Own Bus - Exhibit A Competitive Landscape Big Yellow Bus Co Competitor A Competitor B Market share ($) 30% 29% 40% 2023 Market share (units) 25% 30% 50% 2018 Market share (units) 60% 18% 22% Normalized bus price 150 120 100 Gross margin 25% 35% 36% Operating margin 15% 25% 26% Market share analysis Margin analysis Bring Your Own Bus - Exhibit B Customer Preferences and Perceptions* Importance to Customer Customer Perception Big Yellow Bus Customer Perception Competitor A Customer Perception Competitor B Price 5 1 4 5 Brand awareness 1 5 3 2 After sales support 1 4 2 1 Quality 3 3 3 3 Safety 3 4 3 3 Reliability 2 4 2 2 Parameter *Perceptions on a scale of 1-5 Case 3: Sweat Equity Case Type: Revenue Growth & Market Entry Difficulty Level: Easy Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Consumer Goods Sweat Equity - Prompt Problem Statement Your client is a gym franchisor. The client focuses on small gyms (average of 3000 square feet) with standard fitness equipment, but no group fitness classes. The gyms are typically located in local strip malls. They are open 24 hours per day and 7 days a week. Members enter the gym via an access card and staffing at the gym is minimal. The business is growing rapidly. Our client has asked for your help to understand where to grow their business and how to improve profitability in this highly competitive market. Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● Our client’s primary goal is to grow their business and improve profitability Gym membership is a flat monthly fee Our client has franchisees across the U.S. Sweat Equity - Structure Framework Problem Statement 1. Market Opportunity 2. Financial Analysis 3. Target Customers Market size and growth ● Size of the market ● Growth expectations ● Current and upcoming trends in the market Revenue Streams ● Monthly membership fees ● Personal training ● Merchandise (if any) ● Vending machines/snacks Customer segmentation ● Demographic segmentation ● Geographic segmentation ● Behavioral segmentation ● Socioeconomic segmentation Competition in the market ● Market concentration/fragmentation ● Ease of market entry/barriers ● Key differentiating factors Cost Structure ● Fixed Costs: space rental, fitness equipment, franchise fees, SG&A ● Variable Costs: utilities, labor, maintenance Customer preferences ● Willingness to pay ● Basic vs upscale gyms ● Additional services and product offerings Business insights - Since client’s gym only offers standard fitness equipments, they are targeting customers who want lower price and basic fitness products and services - Client’s gym is only very minimal in terms of staffing and equipments that cutting cost could be more challenging here. The biggest cost contribution here is probably rent Sweat Equity - Exhibit Question 1: Our client wants to determine which geographic location to focus their growth efforts. Based on the customer segment analysis presented (provide Exhibit A), what advice do you have for the client? Answer Key Takeaways: ● Rural segment is very attractive because of the lower cost, high availability of gym space, and low competition ● Even though convenience for members is low in rural areas, the customers still have relatively high fitness interest which is favorable for our client ● Given our client’s current no-frills business model, a low cost and low competition market is the best option for growth Sweat Equity - Math Question 2: Our client is currently not making any profit. If our client wants to increase revenue by 10%, how many more members on average does a location need to acquire? Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) Cost Revenue Per Member Monthly Membership Dues Rent $2 / sq ft / month Equipment $144k initial cost (3 year depreciation, $0 salvage value) Labor $20 / hour (2 people on staff at a time) Utilities $400 / month Franchise Fees $300 / month Marketing $100 / month $40 / month Vending Machine $5 / month Personal Training $15 / month Sweat Equity - Math Calculations Revenue Total: $60/month Per Member $60 / month Cost Total: $37,680 Rent 2*3000 = $6,000 / month Equipment (144,000-0)/3/12= $4,000 / month Labor 2*20*24*7*4 = $26,880 / month Others Costs 400+300+100 = $800 / month Current # of Members 37680 / 60 = 628 Members New Revenue with 10% increase $41,448 / month New # of Members 41448/60 = ~ 690 Members Additional Members Needed 62 Members Key Takeaways: ● Additional 62 members is about 10% of current number of members ● This numbers seem achievable, especially if the client targets rural areas where there is still relatively strong interest in fitness with low competition Sweat Equity - Brainstorming Question 3: What are some potential revenue growth opportunities the client can pursue? Answer 1. Price 2. Quantity 3. Product/Service ● Increase current membership fees ● Utilize tiered membership based on accessibility ● Consider multi-period discounted pricing ● Add initiation fee for the first month ● Increase # of gyms franchised ● Offer family plans to gain more members ● Partner with corporate companies to offer discounted memberships ● Use referral bonuses to acquire more members ● Juice and snack bar ● Selling merchandise (clothing, weights, yoga mats, etc.) ● Adding group workout classes or other training services ● Offer day pass options for short term gym usage Sweat Equity - Recommendation Please provide a recommendation for our client Recommendation Recommendation 1. Based on our client’s current business model, it makes more sense to focus on expanding franchising effort in rural markets where cost and competition are low 2. Our client could improve profitability by 10% if they can increase membership by 62 members per gym which seems to be feasible goal 3. Our client could explore attracting more members by adding new product/service offerings such as new workout classes, or by offering more attractive pricing plans Risks ● Adding new services/products might make client’s gym less distinct from competitors ● Target audience might not want the new services/product offerings Next Steps ● Conduct a customer preference survey to understand what new services/products best align with target customer interests ● Identify best rural market locations to add new franchise locations Sweat Equity - Exhibit A Customer Segment Analysis Case 4: Stick A Needle In My Eye Case Type: New Product Launch Difficulty Level: Easy Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Healthcare Stick A Needle In My Eye - Prompt Problem Statement VaxCo, a leading vaccine manufacturer, has innovated a hybrid method of vaccine delivery, where instead of using a vial for storing the vaccine and a syringe for injecting it, a vial with a needle would be used to both store and inject the vaccine by a nurse. VaxCo has hired us to understand whether a market exists for such a product, and how to price it. Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● VaxCo has spent $5M in R&D for this hybrid method. The method is ready, and is patented VaxCo is yet to obtain regulatory approvals from medical agencies for this hybrid method Currently, VaxCo only manufactures vaccines and the vial it goes in, and has no syringe manufacturing experience, but with suitable investments, has the capability to manufacture the needled vials in-house Typically, vaccines are administered to the patients via syringes by nursing staff. Doctors take up that responsibility in rare instances Stick A Needle In My Eye - Structure Framework 1. Market Potential A. Market study ● Market sentiment analysis ● Understand whether there exists dissatisfaction with status quo B. Market size ● Direct sales pipeline to existing customers ● Indirect sales pipeline to other vaccine manufacturers Problem Statement 2. Pricing strategy 3. Capabilities and Risks A. Cost-based pricing ● Understand manufacturing cost for status quo and hybrid method ● Price hybrid method cheaper than status quo to undercut market ● Investments required for manufacturing hybrid vials ● Probability and cost of regulatory approvals ● Customer behavior shift ● Additional training required for safe administrations B. Value-based pricing ● Understand potential for premium on ease of operation ● Charge premium over status quo to reflect the ease of operation Interview Notes: - An ideal candidate should be able to come up with a framework that covers both cost-based and value-based strategies for product pricing Astute candidates will point out that the true market potential lies with selling to current rivals to drive market shift towards hybrid vials Stick A Needle In My Eye - Math Question 1: Before assessing market potential, we would like to understand how VaxCo should price their new product. What do you believe is the most optimal price for the hybrid vials? If not obvious, share that the traditional vaccine involves buying both the vaccine vial and the syringe Answer Candidate should ask for relevant data to make pricing calculation. Provide only requested data. Traditional vaccine vial cost to customer = $14/vial Traditional vaccine vial COGS*= $7/vial Syringe cost to customer = $6/syringe Hybrid vaccine vial COGS = $10/vial * COGS = cost of goods sold Stick A Needle In My Eye - Math Question 1: Before assessing market potential, we would like to understand how VaxCo should price their new product. What do you believe is the most optimal price for the hybrid vials? Answer Sample price calculations: Option 1: Keep margin same Current margin for traditional vaccine = (14-7) = $7 per vaccine Keeping margin same, price for new hybrid vaccine = 10+7 = $17 per vaccine Note that this price is less than what customers currently pay, ask why firm should not increase the price. Option 2 : Keep end price to customer same Current price = 14 + 6 = $20 per vaccine [Customer needs to buy both traditional vaccine vial and syringe currently] COGS for new hybrid vaccine = $10 per vaccine Margin for new hybrid vaccine = 20-10 = $10 per vaccine Note that since the price is same as currently paid, ask why customers should switch to the hybrid vaccine. Stick A Needle In My Eye - Exhibit Question 2: We conducted a stakeholder survey across a representatively large sample and three of our four key stakeholders seem to favor the hybrid vaccine vial. Given such positive stakeholder feedback, what should VaxCo keep in mind before deciding how to launch the product through the right channels? (Provide Exhibit A) Answer Candidate should push back against assumption of positive stakeholder feedback since the primary stakeholder (nursing staff) has been overwhelmingly negative. If candidate has not uncovered yet that the nursing staff are the main stakeholders since they administer the vaccines and the other stakeholders are only tangentially relevant, nudge them towards that line of thinking, and provide that information if it proves to not be intuitive. Strong candidates should push back and ask for deeper analysis for nursing staff’s disapproval. Ask them to brainstorm potential reasons. Stick A Needle In My Eye - Brainstorming Question 3: What could be potential reasons for the nursing staff’s disapproval? Answer Strong candidates will structure their response: 1. 2. Patient-related a. Safety: They might think this method is not as safe as previous delivery b. Drug delivery: This makes it difficult to use one vial to deliver partial doses to different people, for fear of contamination Nurse-related a. Training: Nurses may not feel inclined to learn a new method of injecting vaccines, since they are already overworked b. Job security: Nurses may feel threatened by medical innovation and worry this may cause job loss Interviewer Notes: If the candidate has not caught on to the challenges with partial dose delivery, mention this during the brainstorm. Additionally, share that 30% of vials are actually used to deliver partial doses. Stick A Needle In My Eye - Recommendation The CEO of VaxCo is on their way to the meeting room, what recommendation do you have for them? Recommendation Recommendation Risks Next Steps No, VaxCo should not roll-out the hybrid vaccine vial without further stakeholder analysis despite the potential to increase profit margins as the primary stakeholder (nursing staff) seems to be extremely disapproving of the product. ● Nursing staff could hamper adoption ● Re-training of nursing staff challenging ● Even with all stakeholders on board, regulatory approvals could prove challenging ● Understand stakeholder concerns and find out ways to work around them ● Discuss with R&D department whether there are workarounds possible to address concerns or whether the money spent for R&D represents a sunk cost Stick A Needle In My Eye - Exhibit A Stakeholder survey across 3000 hospitals “Making vaccine delivery process easier and reducing complexity would be very helpful.” - Dr.Anonymous “No reason why there should not be technological developments in this space. Has there been any improvement in vaccine delivery since the 1900s? This seems to be it!” - Patient Anonymous (works in tech) “This would require re-training for a lot of our nursing staff and make partial doses, which are 30% of all doses, harder to administer.” - Nurse Anonymous “A hybrid vial seems to a good way to push hospital costs down in addition to taking innovative steps in the right direction! Huge fan of the proposal.” - Admin, Anonymous Hospital Case 5: (Not So) Quiet Quitting Case Type: HR Difficulty Level: Easy Case Format : Interviewer-Led Industry: Government (Not So) Quiet Quitting - Prompt Problem Statement Our client is the US Department of the Interior, which is responsible for the National Park Service. The NPS employs 4 types of rangers: Law Enforcement, Education, Maintenance, and Administrative. The client is concerned that job retention is low among the rangers. They would like you to explore how big the problem is and think about ways to improve it. Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● The Park Service is responsible for maintaining all the national parks in the continental United States The Department of the Interior has no specific targets in mind, but would like to implement Answers immediately Interviewer Notes: This is an example of an interviewer led case that does away with a traditional framework at the start, and the recommendation at the end. Pose the first question to the candidate once they are done asking clarifying questions (Not So) Quiet Quitting - Brainstorming Question 1: What are some of the costs to the park service associated with Rangers leaving? Sample Answer ● People Costs ○ Direct: Sunk costs of recruiting former rangers, severance payments, hiring and training costs ○ Indirect: Decline in morale, damage to the reputation of the parks industry ● Operational Costs ○ Direct: Higher maintenance costs due to inexperienced employees ○ Indirect: Loss of institutional knowledge of park operations Interviewer Notes - “Great” response should have a structure and include 4-5 ideas about potential costs. Push interviewee to consider more costs if provided with only 1-2 (Not So) Quiet Quitting - Exhibit Question 2: (Share Exhibit A) What insights do you see from these numbers? Answer Interviewer Notes Strong candidates will share the below insights before asking to calculate the total costs of rangers leaving. Lowest overall number of rangers are leaving from Law Enforcement, but they cost the most Maintenance and Administrative rangers had the most rangers leave, but they cost the least Focus should thus be on retaining law enforcement rangers Law Enforcement 98 rangers leaving * $35,300/ranger leaving = $3.46M cost of leaving rangers Education 175 rangers leaving * $6,200/ranger leaving = $1.09M cost of leaving rangers Management 215 rangers leaving * $3,500/ranger leaving = $0.75M cost of leaving rangers Maintenance 251 rangers leaving * $3,500/ranger leaving = $0.88M cost of leaving rangers (Not So) Quiet Quitting - Brainstorming Question 3: What should the NPS do to increase retention? Potential Recommendations Strong candidates will be structured in their brainstorm, and think about measures that can be implemented immediately, as is NPS’ ask ● Short term financial incentives ○ Implement overtime ○ ● ● Improve benefits: salary, travel, health insurance, etc. Long term career growth opportunities ○ New leadership tracks to escalate law enforcement rangers to leadership positions ○ Mentorship opportunities to link leaders and rangers ○ Better matching between rangers and assignments based on needs Improve off-the-job quality of life ○ Source rangers from local areas rather than require them to move/travel ○ Employment opportunities for spouses of rangers (Not So) Quiet Quitting - Math Question 4: The NPS has planned to spend $200,000 on a mentorship program that connects newly hired rangers with senior rangers, in order to ease their first weeks on the job and provide guidance. NPS estimates it will lead to 2% less in overall attrition. Should it implement the program? Answer Overall attrition cost = 3.46 + 1.09 + 0.75 + 0.88 = $6.18M 2% reduction in attrition implies a reduction of $123,000 in costs The cost of $200,000 is greater than the financial benefits of the program. Implementing the program does not make financial sense. Strong candidates will also include a discussion on non-financial considerations. Candidates can argue that as a government organisation, the NPS is not driven only by financial considerations. The intangible benefits of lesser attrition (morale, reputation, institutional knowledge) could push the NPS to implement the mentorship program (Not So) Quiet Quitting - Exhibit A Ranger Type Law Enforcement Education Maintenance Administrative # Quit in 2022 98 175 215 251 Total rangers in 2022 2100 3750 8615 9143 Cost per lost ranger ($) $35,300 $6,200 $3,500 $3,500 Case 6: SoapCo Case Type: Revenue Growth Difficulty Level: Medium Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Retail SoapCo* - Prompt Problem Statement Our client is SoapCo. Soap Co is a market leader in the Decorative Bar segment of the soap market. SoapCo has grown profitably over the past several years. However, sales in the ‘Decorative Bar’ market have slowed over the last year. Their management aspires to be one of the largest soap manufacturers in the U.S. over the next 5 years. Where should Soap Co focus to achieve its growth goals? Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● Product Mix: SoapCo only plays in the Decorative Bar segment, where it has about 10% market share Geography: SoapCo sells only in the US Goal: SoapCo’s current revenue is $5M per year, which it would like to triple in 5 years *Former Bain interview case SoapCo - Structure Framework 1. Company Financials 2. Growth Vectors 3. Capabilities 4. Competitive Landscape A. Current revenue ● Market size and share ● Current distribution segments (online, retail) and customer base (households, artisans) ● Recent changes in customer behavior / trends (shift to liquid soap, environment friendly products) A. Market growth (Growth outlook by segment, channel and customers) A. Manufacturing ● Increase or modify production capacity to meet customer requirements ● Improved distribution to retailers to increase stock and fill rates A. Key players ● Size (revenue, profits) ● Segments targeted (how do these differ from ours) ● Product lineup (how is that different from ours) ● M&A activity among competitors B. Products (can the client manufacture new products in line with customer trends) C. Consumers (are there profitable groups like boutique retailers, artists, rich individuals we don’t sell to) D. Channels (opportunities for increased retail presence at key customer locations, SEO for online sales) E. Geography (outside US) B. Marketing (targeted towards specific customer segments - online ads, social media influencers) C. Regulatory concerns to enter new markets SoapCo - Exhibit Question 1: [Share Exhibit A] What insights does the exhibit provide on the segment SoapCo is in? Answer It is unlikely that Soap Co can gain significantly more share within the Decorative Bar segment ● ● ● ● Soap Co is the leader in Decorative Bar with 10% market share All the market segments are similarly fragmented Other market leaders have 10-15% share in their respective segments Even if Soap Co expands Decorative Bar share to 15%, revenue will only increase by $3M, short of target goal Hence, Soap Co should explore entering new segments Once candidate has recognized this, move to the next question. SoapCo - Exhibit Question 2: [Share Exhibit B] What insights does the exhibits provide on SoapCo’s distribution channels? Answer Soap Co is well-distributed in most segments except Discount ● ● ● ● Increasing Discount distribution may help Soap Co reach goal Discount market = 10% * $700M total market = $70M $70M * 40% not customer = $28M of addressable market SoapCo not present in Decorative bar customers may not be a match with the discount segment Hence, increasing distribution alone will not achieve growth goal Once candidate has realized that, move to the next question. SoapCo - Exhibit Question 3: [Share Exhibit C]. What insights does the exhibits provide on SoapCo’s capabilities? Answer Soap Co has strong capabilities in Bar and some capabilities in Liquid ● Capabilities should be compared to segments in Exhibit A to figure out attractive segments to enter Strong case takers will suggest calculations to size opportunities of segments Soap Co can enter. After case taker has identified segment expansion and possibly increased distribution as growth levers, present Exhibit D SoapCo - Exhibit Question 4: [Share Exhibit D]. What are the expected revenues from expanding into other segments? Which one segment do you recommend SoapCo to expand into? Answer See next slide for detailed Math ● ● ● Body Bar, Liquid Hand and Liquid Body are all acceptable Answers depending on justification Strong candidates won’t calculate revenues for all segments, but will only perform calculations for segments that SoapCo has current capabilities to manufacture Additionally, strong candidates will not only evaluate the financial opportunities, but also qualitative considerations: brand power, consumer profile, competitive response, merchandising options,etc. SoapCo - Math Question 4: [Share Exhibit D]. What are the expected revenues from expanding into other segments? Which one segment do you recommend SoapCo to expand into? Answer SoapCo - Recommendation Question 4: The SoapCo CEO has arranged a meeting to discuss your findings shortly. What is going to be your final recommendation? Answer Recommendation: SoapCo cannot triple revenue by remaining only in Decorative Bar. Even if SoapCo expands Decorative Bar share to 15%, revenue will only increase by $3M. SoapCo must enter (Body Bar, Liquid Body, Liquid Hand) segment and achieve ~10% market share, representing ($28, $15, $11M) in incremental revenue Risks: 1. Assumes Soap Co can attain sizeable shares in new segments within 5 years. Competitive response, customer accommodations, etc. can challenge this goal 2. Assumes consumers will continue current purchasing behaviors of soap segments. Concerns around environmental impact, brand preferences, etc. could change SoapCo’s outlook in select segment - Next steps: 1. Assess competitive landscape in Body Bar, Liquid Hand, and Liquid Body segments to understand likely competitive response to Soap Co entry 2. Conduct consumer research to understand how soap purchase behaviors may change in future SoapCo - Exhibit A SoapCo - Exhibit B SoapCo - Exhibit C SoapCo - Exhibit D Case 7: Must The Show Go On? Case Type: Profitability Difficulty Level: Medium Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Entertainment Must The Show Go On? - Prompt Problem Statement Our client is Brutus', one of the largest gaming and resort companies in the world. Tenn and Peller have been the headlining show at the Janeiro Hotel since 2001, and they are currently the longest-running headlining show in Vegas history. Brutus', who owns the Janeiro Hotel where the duo performs in the 1,500 seat T&P Theater, is wondering if their act has become stale. Tenn & Peller's annual contract is about to expire, and before Brutus' has a meeting with the duo, they have asked our firm’s advice on whether or not to re-sign them for another year. Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● ● As one of the largest entertainment companies on the Strip and around the world, Brutus' solely cares about the company’s bottom line profitability As is the Vegas standard, all contracts are for a one-year time period The show has plateaued with no change in bottom line profitability in the past five years Brutus' biggest competitor is GMG Resorts, which also operates about 33% of the Strip T&P competes against a whole bevy of nighttime entertainment, such as other shows, nightclubs, and gaming Must The Show Go On? - Structure Framework 1. Revenue from T&P show A. Price ● Types of tickets ● Price of tickets B. Volume ● Capacity of the theatre ● Sell through of said capacity by ticket type 2. Costs A. Variable ● Consumables (props, handbills, etc.) ● Labor (cleaning, ushers, stagehands, etc.) ● Utilities (electricity, etc.) B. Fixed ● Marketing ● SG&A ● Annual contracts ● Insurance 3. Knock-on effects on revenue ● Increased room occupancy ● Gambling footfall increase ● Dining ● Souvenirs ● Concessions 4. Alternatives for Brutus' ● Book another performing act ● Alternate use of the space (more casino space, conference rooms, etc.) Interviewer notes - Great candidates will go beyond just the direct P&L impact to Brutus', and try to understand what other benefits (knock -on effects) the show provides Must The Show Go On? - Brainstorming Question 1: How much revenue does the Tenn and Peller Show generate? Answer Ask candidates to brainstorm key revenue drivers, and only share the below numbers when the candidate mentions them. Share that other drivers of revenue (concessions etc) are insignificant 1. Seat Logistics ● The theatre has 1500 seats ● There are three seat categories, A, B, and C ○ A - best seats, 300 ○ B - 800 seats ○ C - back of theatre, 400 seats ● Fill Rate ○ A - 100% ○ B - 80% ○ C - 50% ● ● ● 2. Seat Pricing 3. Other Considerations Category A Seats ○ Priced at $120 Category B Seats ○ Priced at $75 Category C Seats ○ Priced at $55 ● Number of Shows ○ 6 shows per week ○ 40 weeks per year ● These figures have been static for the past 5 years, which is why Brutus' is worried about stagnation Must The Show Go On? - Math Question 1: How much revenue does the Tenn and Peller Show generate? Answer Category A Revenue Revenue = 300 seats * 100% Sold * $120/show = $36,000 in revenue for Category A tickets Category B Revenue Revenue = 800 seats * 80% Sold * $75/show = $48,000 in revenue for Category B tickets Category C Revenue Revenue = 400 seats * 50% Sold * $55/show = $11,000 in revenue for Category C tickets Total Revenue Revenue = $36,000 + $48,000 + $11,000 = $95,000/show * 6 shows/wk * 40 wk/yr = $22.8M in revenue Must The Show Go On? - Brainstorming Question 2: What are the costs of the Tenn and Peller show? Answer Ask candidates to brainstorm key cost drivers, and only share the below numbers when the candidate mentions them 1. Salaries ● Tenn and Peller each make $2,000,000 per year ● Their salaries have stayed the same over the past 5 years 2. Other Fixed Costs ● ● ● ● Utilities cost $52,000 per year SG&A cost $15,000 per month SG&A is paid year-round Costs have stayed the same over the past 5 years 3. Variable Costs ● ● ● ● ● The crew (ushers etc.) cost $2,000 per show Housekeeping costs $1,000 per week Props cost $200 per show Housekeepers only needed 40 weeks/yr (same as show) Costs have stayed the same over the past 5 years Must The Show Go On? - Math Question 2: What are the costs of the Tenn and Peller show? Answer Tenn and Peller Fixed Costs Variable Costs Total Costs Annual Salary = $2,000,000 p/actor/yr *2 actors = $4,000,000/year =$52,000/yr (Utilities) + $15,000/m * 12 m/yr (SG&A) = $232,000/yr =$2000/show * 6 shows/wk *40 wks/yr (Staff) + $1,000/wk * 40 wk/yr (housekeeping) + $200/show * 6 show/wk *40wks/yr (Props) = 480,000 + 40,000 + 48,000 = $568,000/yr TC = $4,000,000/yr + $232,000/yr + $568,000/yr = $4,800,000/yr Must The Show Go On? - Math Question 3: What is the profit for Brutus'? What is the profit margin? Answer Total Revenue Total Costs Total Profit Margin Total Revenue = $22.8M/year Total Costs = $4.8M/year Total Profit = Total Revenue - Total Costs = $22.8M/yr - $4.8M/yr = $18M/yr Profit Margin = Profit/Total Revenue) = 18/22.8 = ~79% profit Must The Show Go On? - Brainstorming Question 4: What can Brutus' do to make the current show more profitable? Answers Candidate should brainstorm revenue drivers, cost drivers, and synergies Revenue ● ● ● Ticket Prices ○ Increase prices? Quantity Sold ○ Switch some B seats into A’s, C’s into B’s (higher margin seats) ○ Offer bundle discounts ○ Put on more shows Other sources of revenue ○ Retool concession stand ○ Add gift shop with better Souvenirs ○ Shorten the show so viewers gamble more (higher margin activity) ○ Bundle tickets with dinner or other activities (like an overnight stay) Costs ● ● Revisit contract with T&P Check union vs non union labor Must The Show Go On? - Brainstorming Question 5: Brutus' has the opportunity to switch the T&P show for one featuring the recent winner of America’s Got Talent. Should they? Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) How long is a contract for the new AgS show? As is the Vegas standard, all contracts are for a one Candidate should brainstorm revenue drivers, cost drivers, and synergies year time period Are there any costs to making the switch? Putting in a new show will require a reconfiguration of the theater and a one time marketing blitz. This would cost $2.4M to do and would occur before the first show What are the revenues of the new show? The new show would bring in $90,000 in ticket sales per show. All other sources of revenue (concessions, etc) are insignificant What are the costs of the new show? The new show would cost a total of $3M per year Must The Show Go On? - Math Question 5: Brutus' has the opportunity to switch the T&P show for one featuring the recent winner of America’s Got Skills. Should they? Answer Difference in Revenue = $90,000/show - $95,000/show = -$5,000/show * 6 shows/wk * 40wk/yr = -$1.2M/yr Difference in Costs Difference in Yearly Costs = $3M - $4.8M = -$1.8M Total Difference in Profit Profit Difference = $-1.2M - (-$1.8M) = +$600,000/yr by switching Other Considerations Upfront Switching Costs = $2.4M = 4 years before net profit is achieved over staying with T&P Must The Show Go On? - Math Question 5: Brutus' has the opportunity to switch the T&P show for one featuring the recent winner of America’s Got Skills. Should they? Candidates can argue either ways, below are Recommendations. Decision - Switching to AgS Tenn and Peller is stale - Audiences might demand an interesting new show, like the winners of AgS AgS is more profitable - By switching to AgS, Brutus' can make $600,000 more per year in profit Decision - Keeping T&P Switching is too slow - 4 additional years of ticket sales to become profitable is a very long time in such a competitive market T&P is already profitable - Tenn & Peller already bring in $18M of profit per year, with a margin of nearly 80% Moving forward we can work on increasing revenue / decreasing costs for T&P Must The Show Go On? - Recommendation Please provide your recommendation to the client Candidates can argue either way, below is the recommendation to stick to T&P Recommendation Recommendation Risks Next Steps The client should re-sign T&P for another year. T&P is already profitable, bringing in $18M of profit per year, with a margin of nearly 80%. Switching to an alternate show is too Slow 4 additional years of ticket sales to become profitable is a very long time in such a competitive market ● T&P has been running for a while - audiences might get bored and revenues may drop ● The client will be leaving money on the table by not switching to a more profitable show ● Work with T&P to refresh the show with new bits ● Find auxiliary sources of revenue to complement ticket sales Case 8: Beyond Borders Case Type: Market Entry Difficulty Level: Medium Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Manufacturing Beyond Borders - Prompt Problem Statement ShoeCo, a leading U.S. shoe manufacturer, is currently manufacturing its entire product line domestically. Because of increased labor costs and competitive pressure, the manufacturer is now interested in understanding whether they should offshore some or all of their production and, if so, where should they offshore to. What factors should the client consider as it compares onshore to offshore manufacturing? Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● Client scope: The client currently specializes in shoe manufacturing, but also manufactures some apparel as well Geography: The client currently sells its products in developed markets (North America, Europe, and Australia) where speed of delivery is paramount Competitive landscape: Most of the clients’ competitors currently do not offshore their production due to manufacturing and managerial complexity Product: The client earns $500M in revenue from 5 product lines, that sell at an average price of $50 per product. Beyond Borders - Structure Framework 1. Demand ● Demand volatility ● Demand growth ● Demand diversity (foreign vs. domestic) ● Competition (foreign vs. domestic) ● Required service level 2. Supply ● Supply volatility ● Supply lead time / responsiveness ● Availability of suppliers ● Direct labor vs. total costs ● Capital investments and economies of scale 3. Capability 4. Macro and regulatory ● Access to human ● Tariffs, quotas, and capital (knowledge and skills) ● Manufacturing infra ● General infra (roads, electricity, ports) ● Process innovation other protectionism ● Trade and global institutional agreements ● Exchange rates ● Political stability ● Cultural affinity and managerial alignment Business insights - An ideal candidate should be able to come up with a framework that is appropriate for assessing a shoe manufacturer, and be able to ask relevant questions in each aspect to assess the situation properly - It’s important to consider not just the operations aspects of shoe manufacturing but also factor in the macroeconomic and regulatory aspects to present a MECE framework Beyond Borders - Math Question 1: Offshoring to either Vietnam or the Dominican Republic have emerged as lucrative options. An important factor in considering offshoring decisions comes down to unit profitability. Based on preliminary market studies, here are operating costs associated with those regions: ● ● ● United States: COGS*: 35%, Labor: 35%, Logistics: 15% Vietnam: COGS: 22%, Labor: 13%, Logistics: 35% Dominican Republic: COGS: 30%, Labor: 23%, Logistics: 27% Based on the operating financials, is the decision to offshore sensible? If so, which region makes most sense? Answer Operating Margins: United States: 15%; Vietnam: 30%; Dominican Republic: 20% Candidates should reflect that Vietnam offers best operating margins but before recommending offshoring, they should redirect towards capital considerations (set-up costs and other CapEx) and non-financial considerations (lead time, tariffs, quality) *COGS = Cost of Goods Sold Beyond Borders - Brainstorming Question 2: Is operating margin a sufficient proxy to make the offshoring decision? What could be some other considerations that should be weighed into this decision? Answer Below are possible factors to consider in addition to operating margins: 1. Lead time 2. Quality Provide data if candidate mentions lead time: Provide data if candidate mentions quality or yield: ● US: 2 weeks ● Vietnam: 8 weeks ● DR: 3 weeks ● US: 99% yield ● Vietnam: 96% yield ● DR: 97% yield 3. Other factors ● Many other answers possible: supply chain network, tariffs, CapEx, etc. ● Probe candidate to list additional factors or provide hints until they list lead time Beyond Borders - Brainstorming Question 3: (Share data on lead times, if the candidate hasn’t asked for it already) Does the lead time data swing the offshoring decision in any way? Why/why not? Answer Candidates should reference to the initial clarification information that the customer base is in developed countries and that makes quicker turnarounds important. Also, higher lead times lead to higher working capital costs. Hence, DR should be the lead option to explore. Beyond Borders - Math Question 4: The client has estimated that it would take an investment of $50M to set up a plant in DR. How much of the production needs to be offshored to DR to break even in 3 years? Answer Candidates first need to find the profit per product sourced from DR. Selling price = $50, Operating margin = 20% Profit per product = $10 Total investment required = $50M Total product to be sold = $50/10 = 5 million units in 3 years = 1.67 million units annually Total units sold per year currently = 500/50 = 10 million units Hence, 16.7% of the production needs to be outsources yearly to DR. Interviewer notes: Candidates can disregard time value of money, and assume selling price does not change. Share data on revenue and price per product, if that candidate did not ask for it in clarifying questions. Beyond Borders - Recommendation Please make a recommendation for our client. Recommendation Recommendation Yes, the client should continue to explore offshoring ● Offshoring, especially to the Dominican Republic, provides an option to save operating costs in a cost-competitive industry, maintaining similar lead-times despite a slight drop in quality measures ● The client would need to offshore ~17% of its production annually to justify investment in production capacities in DR Risks ● Fashion is a fast-evolving space and the impact of lead-time increase on product design-to-market timeline needs to be assessed ● Offshoring manufacturing comes with political pressure and potential backlash ● Manufacturing in developing markets opens up potential risk of IP theft Next Steps ● Understand capital requirements to execute proposed offshoring plan ● Prepare offshoring phase-out to avoid disruption - which products to offshore first, pressure test revised distribution network, and re-assess unit profitability actuals ● Understand ways to improve quality to six-sigma quality standards Case 9: Going Nuts Case Type: M&A Difficulty Level: Medium Case format : Interviewer-Led Industry: Retail Going Nuts - Prompt Problem Statement A US snack foods company specializing in snacking peanuts, PeanutCo is planning to acquire another company specializing in snacking almonds, AlmondCo. PeanutCo is currently the market leader in snacking peanuts and has annual revenues of $50 million, but the overall segment is growing slowly compared to the broader market and they want to diversify. Your firm has been engaged to assess the merits of the plan. Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● Are we only looking at the snacking almond market? ○ Yes – all other almonds (e.g., for cooking) are excluded Since the snacking peanut market growth is slowing, is this trend affecting the entire snacking nut industry? ○ No. The almond industry is not impacted because almonds are considered to be higher in nutrients 1 snack almonds packet weighs 16 ounces, Price of 1 packet: $8 PeanutCo wants to diversify its revenue while not hampering current profitability Going Nuts - Structure Framework 1. Market Industry ● Growth trends ● Market size ● Specific regulations Competition ● Competition intensity ● Competitor response 2. Deal Evaluation 3. Strategic Fit 4. Risk Assessment Target’s Financials ● Current profitability ● Revenue growth ● Cost reduction Target’s Competency ● Management culture ● Technical capabilities ● Business expertise Deal ROI ● Price vs Breakeven Acquisition Rationale ● Vertical integration ● Horizontal integration ● New market entry Synergies ● Cost driven ● Revenue driven ● Technology driven ● Competitor driven Buyer capability ● Prior acquisition experience ● Capital expenditure Post acquisition ● Company cultural fit ● Integration process ● Organizational structure change Going Nuts - Math Question 1: What is the market size for almonds in the United States? Sample Approach Customer Type Do Not Consume Casual Consumers Regular Consumers Avid Consumers 75% 10% 10% 5% 225M People 30M People 30M People 15M People Number of Almond Packs Consumed/person/year 0 25/year 60/year 120/year Total Consumption/year 0 750M 1800M 1800M % of US Population Population Size Market Sizing ● Total packets ~ 4.5B ● Price per packet = $8 ● Market size ~ 36B ● ● If asked, share size of US population = 300M Alternate approaches are fine as long as candidate cuts the US demographics in multiple segments, and provides rationale for consumption Going Nuts - Math Question 2: Peanut Co. plans to pay $2 billion to acquire Almond Co. Is this a reasonable amount? Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● Guide the candidate to calculate ROI of this investment (If they do not know about ROI, share that it is the ratio of initial investment to annual profits) ● For ROI, candidate needs to calculate the annual profit, for which the below information can be provided on request ○ The almond market size is roughly 36B ○ Almond Co’s current market share = 10% ○ Almond Co’s profit margin = 20% ○ Revenue and Cost structures stay the same over the next few years ○ Disregard time value of money Going Nuts - Math Question 2: Peanut Co. plans to pay $2 billion to acquire Almond Co. Is this a reasonable amount? Answer Almond Co Profits Revenue = 10%*36 = $3.6B Profit margin = 20% Profit = Revenue*margin = $3.6B*20% = $720M Payback Period Payback Period = Purchase Price/Yearly Profit = $2B/$0.72B ~ 3 years 3 years is a reasonable time period for payback. The candidate should now ask to explore synergies on costs and revenue, which would further make the acquisition attractive Going Nuts - Brainstorm Question 3: What are the arguments for and against acquiring AlmondCo? Answer Push the candidate until they mention cannibalization risk. ● ● Acquire AlmondCo ○ Revenue Synergies ■ Cross sell almond products to existing peanut customers ■ Leverage current distribution network to expand reach of Almond Co. and drive sales ○ Cost synergies ■ Can extend innovation from peanuts to almonds (e.g., flavor, packaging, etc) ○ If competitor acquires Almond Co and succeeds, Peanut Co’s competitive position would be weaker Do not acquire AlmondCo ○ Potential for cannibalization of existing sales ○ Potential of brand dilution ○ Ties up free cash, which could be used to grow current business Going Nuts - Math Question 4: The client has estimated that acquiring AlmondCo will lead to a cannibalization of 5% of its current sales. What is the impact to the business as a result? Answer PeanutCo’s current sales are 50M annually (included in the prompt). Cannibalization will thus reduce sales by 2.5M annually. To check impacts on profits, candidates will need the operating margin for PeanutCo. Once they ask, share that it is 30% Cannibalization will thus reduce profits by 750,000. What this means, is that all the gain in profits on acquiring AlmondCo are wiped off by cannibalization of PeanutCo’s sales. Going Nuts - Recommendation Question 5: Please provide your recommendation to the client Recommendation Recommendation Risks Next Steps The client should not acquire AlmondCo. The gains in profit post acquiring AlmondCo ($720,000) are wiped off by cannibalization of PeanutCo’s sales ($750,000). ● PeanutCo will continue to exist in a market growing slower than average without any diversified source of revenue ● AlmondCo’s profitability might improve through synergies with PeanutCo’s business ● Evaluate other potential targets ● Explore potential synergies to reduce cost for AlmondCo Case 10: Circling the Drain Case Type: Profitability Difficulty Level: Medium Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Healthcare Circling the Drain - Prompt Problem Statement Princeton-Plainsboro Hospital is a large single-site hospital in New Jersey serving a wide range of patients. The hospital's board is concerned because they have noticed a decline in the hospital's earnings from medical services even though the number of patients has remained static. The hospital has hired you to help them figure out what the problem is and to come up with a strategy for increasing earnings. Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● Patients have a variety of insurance - from private insurance, to public (government) insurance (Medicare/Medicaid) to being uninsured The hospital provides outpatient services, and inpatient surgeries which include hips and joints replacement, cosmetic surgery and elective procedures for weight loss. Additionally, it has a state of the art emergency room, ICU and Neonatal ICU (for babies) Circling the Drain - Structure Framework 1. Market 2. Financials 3. Growth opportunities A. Market Size ● Market growth (global and local) ● Demand (segmented by services or patient type e.g., long-term vs short-term care, check-ups vs operations) B. Competitors ● Number and size ● Differing services offered ● Price per service, margin for similar services C. Trends ● Private and public insurance ● Pandemics, supply shortages, etc. A. Revenue ● Price (avg price per operation or department) ● Volume (number of patients, insurance vs cash mix, service mix) ● Payment timelines (how long to receive payment - private vs public insurance, uninsured) B. Cost ● Variable (consumables, drugs etc.) ● Fixed (rent, equipment, utilities, malpractice insurance) A. Pricing strategy ● Increasing the price and/or offer more flexible payment plans ● Bundle services B. Volume dynamics ● Marketing towards patients who need more expensive services D. Cost reduction ● Improve efficiency and patient turnover ● Move certain services online D. Expansion ● Expand organically, or through M&A Circling the Drain - Math Question 1:What was the operating margin for the hospital in 2017, and what is it in 2022? [Provide Exhibit A] Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ○ ○ Per patient costs: 2017: $4,000 2022: $4,800 ● ○ Patient Mix by Insurance type was constant over time: Private: 50% - Public: 40% - Uninsured: 10% *Interviewer notes: Make sure the candidate reads the correct numbers from the graph for revenues, since this may require a bit of extrapolation. Circling the Drain - Math Answer Product Calculations Operating Margin % 2017 Average per patient revenue for all patients = 6,800*(50%) + 5,300*(40%) + 3,300*(10%) = $5,850. Margin = (Rev-Costs)/Rev = ($5,850-4,000)/$5,850 = 31.6% 31.6% 2022 Average per patient revenue for all patients = 6,300*(50%) + 3,700*(40%) + 3,300*(10%) = $4,960. Margin = (Rev-Costs)/Rev = ($4,960-4,800)/$4,960 = 3.2% 3.2% ● Takeaways: overall, revenues are dropping ○ Operating margin has dropped ten fold from 32% to 3.2% ○ Biggest problem is drop in public insurance (Medicare/Medicaid) reimbursement amounts. ○ Private reimbursement also fell ○ Costs are rising steadily over time Circling the Drain - Brainstorming Question 2: How can the hospital increase its profitability? Answer Increase Revenue Decrease Costs A.Price ● Charge more for services (could partner with other hospitals in state when negotiating reimbursement rates) B. Marketing ● Attract more high margin private insurance patients via advertising, etc. C. Expansion ● Corporate development (M&A or joint venture) with local speciality clinics serving private insurance patients with high reimbursement rates B. Lobbying ● Lobby the government to raise public reimbursement rates A. Suppliers ● Partner with other hospitals in the state when negotiating prices B. Customer targeting ● Target lower cost patients with selective advertising, etc. (e.g. target young rather than old) C. Synergies through M&A ● Find efficiencies / synergies somewhere with a purchase of a clinic ● Outsource some services that can be handled more efficiently elsewhere (urgent care clinics). Interviewer Notes: Move to questions 3 and 4 when candidate mentions reducing costs and M&A, respectively. Push the candidate if they don’t come up with these drivers Circling the Drain - Math Question 3: The hospital is considering partnering with CMS (Center for Medicare and Medicaid) to become part of an Accountable Care Organization (ACO). ACOs are typically able to offer care for patients enrolled with public insurance at lower costs (through care coordination), but need to pay out of pocket if patient bills exceed a specified threshold. The hospital has run the numbers and believes for 80% of its patients under public insurance, costs will go down by 30%. For the remaining 20% of patients, costs will shoot up to $10,000 per patient. Should the hospital become a part of the ACO? Answer The question (intentionally) has a ton of information, most of which is not relevant Per patient cost in 2022 = $4800 Under an ACO, the average cost per patient would be (80%)*(70%)*(4800) + 20%*10,000 = $4,688 Since this is lesser than the average cost without ACO, the hospital should enrol in the ACO. Circling the Drain - Math Question 4: The client is considering acquiring MedCo - a local specialty clinic that has desirable (profitable) patients. What will be the impact to profitability if MedCo is demanding $40M, all in cash? Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● Per patient cost for MedCo is $3000, since MedCo has a younger clientele: ● MedCo’s Patient Mix by Insurance type: ○ Private: 80% - Public: 15% - Uninsured: 5% ● MedCo serves 5,000 patients a year Circling the Drain - Math Calculations Item Calculations Profit per patient Average per patient revenue for all patients = 6,300*(80%) + 3,700*(15%) + 3,300*(5%) = $5760. Margin = (Rev-Costs)/Rev = ($5,760-3,000)/$5,760 = 47.9% Total profits Profit per patient = $2760 Profit per year = $13.8M ● Takeaways: ○ Post acquisition, there is an increase in annual profits of 13.8M ○ The acquisition cost of $40M will be recouped in ~3 years ○ There is potential for further reduction of costs through synergies and economies of scale Circling the Drain - Recommendation Please make a recommendation for our client. Recommendation Recommendation Risks Next Steps Our analysis observed that the operating margin has dropped ten fold from 32% to 3.2% and that the biggest problem is in the public insurance reimbursement amounts. In response, we recommend ● Partnering with other hospitals to renegotiate reimbursement rates and ● Adjust the marketing strategy to attract more high margin private insurance patients ● Work with the government to become a part of the ACO ● Consider acquiring MedCo. that focuses on high margin operations, to improve annual profit by 13.8M ● Lobbying efforts could incite public backlash and would need to make a convincing case as to why the rates are to0 low ● Targeting higher margin activities could provoke a competitive response ● Develop a marketing campaign to educate consumers as to the costs and values of the services in order to justify to the increase in reimbursement rates ● Initiate negotiations to acquire MedCo Circling the Drain - Exhibit A 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Case 11: Highway To Hell Case Type: Market Entry Difficulty Level: Medium Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Transportation Highway To Hell - Prompt Problem Statement BuildCo, a leading Brazilian highway construction company is looking to expand internationally. Economic growth in Brazil has stalled, and in order to continue to grow both top-line revenues and bottom-line profitability, the client wants to diversify its portfolio and decrease its exposure to the Brazilian economy. What factors should the client consider as it thinks through its international expansion options? Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● ● BuildCo operates only in Brazil, and have scoped opportunities in South America. Their staff speaks primarily Portuguese The client currently only focuses on building and operating public roadways BuildCo primarily wants to diversify its revenue. It has no specific goals on revenue or ROI The clients’ customers are always municipal, state, or national governments. They bid, usually through competitive RFPs While BuildCo wants to consider all geographies, they have a bias towards opportunities in South America Highway To Hell - Structure Framework Culture and management complexity ● Language and cultural barriers ● Countries fitting organizational culture ● Management adaptability ● Geographical distance from home base Pipeline and economic prospects Political environment Competitive environment ● Project pipeline ● Size, complexity and future value of projects ● Target country’s growth estimates and trends ● Existing infrastructure ● Existing regulations ● Political volatility and potential hostility ● Ease of doing business in target country ● Existing market landscape ● Industry concentration ● Potential bidding dynamics Highway To Hell - Math Question 1: (Share Exhibit A) After several conversations with the client and an initial analysis by our team, we’ve decided that opportunities outside of South America are not worth pursuing because of cultural differences and managerial complexity. The team has gathered the following data in order to assess which countries in South America would be the most attractive. Based on the graph, which markets should our client focus their efforts on? Which should it definitely eliminate? Answer Correct answers for BuildCo to focus on here are Mexico, Colombia, Chile and Peru (upper right quadrant). All other countries are to be avoided. Highway To Hell - Math Question 2: Assuming the client chooses to enter one or more of these markets, how should it approach market entry? What are the primary pros and cons of each market entry approach? Answer Greenfield expansion / Primary Investment: ● ● Pros: Provides the most control, avoids reputation and legacy issues with existing firms Cons: The client has limited knowledge about foreign markets, difficult to exit the market once invested into assets Merger / Acquisition: ● ● Pros: Provides a way to get local market knowledge, faster way to enter the market Cons: Provides less direct control, merger or acquisition might later be blocked by regulations, disrupting business Highway To Hell - Math Question 3: (Share Exhibit B) How does this data help you decide what investment route to follow? Answer Input Primary investment M&A Annual revenue $30,000,000 (300*5*20,000) $9,000,000 (30,000,000*30%) $21,000,000 (30,000,000 - 9,000,000) ~7 years (150,000,000/21,000,000) 14% (21,000,000/150,000,000) $50,000,000 Annual opex Annual profit Payback period ROIC $20,000,000 (50,000,000*40%) $30,000,000 (50,000,000 - 20,000,000) ~8 years (250,000,000/30,000,000) 12% (30,000,000/250,000,000) Candidate can either calculate the ROIC, or the payback period. Once candidate has come up with the numbers, ask them for recommendation. Highway To Hell - Recommendation Please present our findings and recommendation to the client. Recommendation Recommendation The client should enter a South American market (preferably Mexico, Chile, or Colombia) through a primary investment: ● Mexico, Chile, Peru, and Colombia all have large pipelines and attractive business environments relative to other South American markets. ● A primary investment in one of these markets will likely yield a higher ROIC and shorter payback period relative to existing M&A opportunities Risks ● ● There might be significant wait before the client can start up in the new country The govt. of the new country might block foreign investment to protect local firms Next Steps ● ● Evaluate if further negotiations may yield a lower price for an M&A opportunity Assess likelihood of winning deals as a primary investor in the new country. Highway To Hell - Exhibit A Highway To Hell - Exhibit B Forecasted Cash Flow Parameter Primary investment M&A Number of toll stops built on the highway 300 NA Average toll collected per car per toll stop $5 NA Expected traffic (vehicles/year) on each toll stop 20,000 NA Annual revenue received from partner firm as per contract* Annual operating expenditure (% of revenue) NA $50,000,000 30% 40% $150,000,000 $250,000,000 0% 0% Initial Investment needed Discount rate * Under the terms of the M&A contract, BuildCo will receive a lump sum “revenue” payment each year. In return, it will need to operate and maintain the existing highways and toll stops Case 12: Flickering Fortune Case Type: Profitability Difficulty Level: Medium Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Consumer Goods (supply chain) Flickering Fortune - Prompt Problem Statement Your firm has been engaged by Vivid, a consumer electronics screen manufacturer, for a pricing optimization project. Vivid’s main product is HDTV (high-definition TV) screens. Its main customers are well-known TV manufacturers in Asia and the US, who buy other components, build the finished TVs and sell them to retailers who use global distribution channels to reach end-users. Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● Objective: Client is looking at pricing in search of opportunities to grow revenue Patents: Vivid technology is patent-protected, and for manufacturers to switch suppliers would require costly plant reconfiguration Revenue trends: While sales volumes have been increasing, revenue has remained flat Competitive landscape: No insights available Flickering Fortune - Structure Framework FInancials Revenue ● Pricing structure ● Quantity Cost ● COGS ● Discounts ● Sales incentives Customers ● Segmentation ● Technology trends ● Willingness to pay ● Switching costs Product ● Feature sets ● Quality ● Substitutes Competition ● Relative performance ● Market share ● Benchmarking for relative pricing Flickering Fortune - Brainstorming Question 1: We have gathered some information on the client’s costs. What do you infer from the following data? Production costs for HDTV screens: 2021: $400/screen 2022: $250/screen 2023: $200/screen 2024: $180/screen (forecasted) The retail price (street price) each year has been $1,000/screen Answer ● The client has realized significant reduction of costs, but has also experienced decreasing economies of scale (37.5%, 20%, 10% savings year on year). ● Profit margins have increased every year across the value chain, but we still need the wholesale price to understand client profitability (the client sells to manufacturers, not end consumers) Flickering Fortune - Exhibit Question 2: [Provide Exhibit A] Your case team has collected data comparing contract prices at which the screens were sold to manufacturers and the corresponding contract volumes. Additionally, the client’s product marketing team has set a discount authority ceiling of 40% for the sales team. What does the graph reveal about sales agent behaviour and marketing strategy? Answer Almost 40% of sales violate the 40% discount ceiling, and there’s a peak at the stated limit. This implies that salespeople are discounting as much as they can get away with. This hints at a potential volume-based incentive in place for the sales team, and Vivid should consider a profit-based component to sales compensation. Flickering Fortune - Math Question 3: [Provide Exhibit B] The HDTV supply chain (SC) consists of a supplier for backlighting, Vivid, our client who provides the screens, the TV manufacturer, and the retailer. Given the average selling price of the Vivid screens is $228/screen, with the information gathered so far, what do you infer regarding the distribution of surplus (profit) in the supply chain? Answer (A) (B) Sum of known SC components Avg Price – Cost = Profit $228 - $200 = $ 28 $200 + $20 = $220 $200 + $28 = $228 $300 + Profit = $150 + $30 = $300 + Profit $180 Subtotal: $928 Retail price – subtotal = Manuf. profit $1,000 – 928 = $72 Flickering Fortune - Brainstorming Question 4: [Provide Exhibit C] What insights can you gather on Vivid’s value-add and compensation strategy for the sales team? Answer Manufacturing customers exhibit both a high willingness-to-pay for Vivid’s quality and a high switching cost to any other supplier. There’s a clear opportunity for Vivid to explore a price increase. Vivid’s salesforce is subject to a high-pressure sales quota with the aim of increasing market share. As we’ve seen, this is likely creating a discount-heavy sales culture which leaves profit on the table due to excessive price erosion. Flickering Fortune - Recommendation Please present our findings and recommendation to the client. Recommendation Recommendation Risks Next Steps ● Scope to increase selling prices while retaining customer base ● Sales alignments need re-visiting to incentivize profit-maximization and disincentivize margin erosion via heavy discounting ● Switching costs might be overestimated ● Rivals or upstarts could undercut Vivid ● Validate switching costs ● Conduct price sensitivity analysis ● Implement new sales incentivization program Flickering Fortune - Exhibit A Sales volumes vs Discounts Flickering Fortune - Exhibit B HDTV value chain Supplier (backlighting) Vivid (screens) TV Manufacturer Retailer Cost: $200 $200 $300 $150 Profit: $20 (A) (B) $30 Flickering Fortune - Exhibit C Interview insights Customer interviews (manufacturers) “Although other screen technologies are cheaper, this product gives the quality we need to charge the prices we charge on the street.” Internal interviews (sales) “Although we have discount floors in the TV division, when we are getting closer to the end of the quarter, I need to close the deals to reach my sales quota. The competition is too strong in this market and I need to give the discounts.” “We built a $1 billion plant to produce HDTVs this year. The plan only works with VIVID’s screens” “If the management keeps asking us to grow our market share, we need to lower our prices to increase our sales, it’s the law of demand, basic economics!” “We can give higher discounts every year because our costs go down every year too.” Case 13: The Claim Game Case Type: Market Entry Difficulty Level: Medium Format: Interviewer-Led Industry: Insurance The Claim Game - Prompt Problem Statement The Indian insurance market is heavily underpenetrated. The majority of insurable, adult population either is not insured and this has serious consequences. The government of India is thinking of using the Indian postal network as a creative way of reaching the underserved insurance population. The infrastructure already exists and this can be leveraged for distributing much-needed insurance products. The objective would be to provide a safety net to as many people as possible in the underserved markets. What considerations should the government keep in mind? Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● Primary objective is not to monetize insurance offerings, but instead to improve quality of life by providing insurance-based safety nets. However, profitability is seen as an important metric Insurance, for the purpose of this case, covers both life and non-life insurance such as health, crop insurance, etc. The Claim Game - Structure Framework Market Sizing ● Total underserved population by Age / Income / Social classes ● Willingness to Pay ● Coverage Indian Postal Penetration Profitability ● Serviceable Post Offices ● # of agents ● Sales to different social classes ● Costs - Commission, Salary, Claim rates ● Revenue - Premium collected ● Non-financial considerations: financial stress, moral hazard The Claim Game - Math Question 1: [Provide Exhibit A] In terms of social classes, the underserved population is defined as the “aspirers” and the “strugglers”. If the Indian Government decides to sell insurance to so aspirers and strugglers, what is the total income of the market interested in buying insurance (in USD)? Answer Allow candidates to assume uniform distribution of income within each social class, so that midpoint is representative of the average income Total market size = Market size for Aspirers + Market size for Strugglers Market size = Average household income x Number of households x Expenditure percentage Market size (Aspirers) = $15K x 80M x 1.5% = $18B Market size (Strugglers) = $5K x 120M x 1% = $6B Total Market Size = $24B [Note that market size refers to total premium amounts] The Claim Game - Math Question 2: The Indian government has a network of 150,000 post offices, two-thirds of which can hire one insurance agent and thus be used to penetrate the underserved insurance market. The Govt. believes that within the first three years of launch, they can capture 66% of the Strugglers market and 33% of the Aspirers market. Assuming they pay out 80% of the total premium in claims, is the program profitable? Answer Captured market = 66% x $6B + 33% x $18B ~ $4B + $6B = $10B Probe candidate to brainstorm additional, non-claim costs that would be incurred while running the program. Should the candidate accurately indicate insurance agent salaries, commissions, and other operational costs as some of the potential costs, give them the below data: - Insurance agent payroll = $15,000 per agent (15,000 x 100,000 = $1.5B) - Agent commissions = 10% of total premium amount ($1B) - Operational costs = $5,000 per post office ($5000 x 100,000 = $500M) Total costs = Non claim costs (1.5 + 1 + 0.5 = $3B) + Claims ($8B) = $11B Although the program appears unprofitable, strong candidates will refer to primary goal of creating safety net for the underserved The Claim Game - Brainstorming Question 3: Given the program is unprofitable, what are some externalities that can be used to justify the roll-out of this program? Are there ways the Govt. can make up for the deficit? Answer Potential positive externalities: ● Safety net removes possibility of medical bankruptcy ● Leads to lesser financial stress and higher productivity ● Indirectly boosts economy and GDP ● Improves national health outcomes Potential ways to reduce deficit: ● Consolidate post-office coverage or insurance agent coverage to reduce costs ● Encourage private sector participation The Claim Game - Recommendation Please present our findings and recommendation to the client. Recommendation Recommendation Risks Next Steps ● Since the primary objective is to create safety net, the Govt. should go ahead with the insurance program for the underserved social classes ● After the three-year rollout, the Govt. would capture $10B of the $24B market, at a cost of $11B ● The additional cost could be considered an investment in public health leading to positive externalities, or the deficit could potentially be reduced ● Might put excessive load on medical system ● Moral hazard concerns ● Understand ways to reduce deficits, potentially by capturing larger market share ● Explore potential pricing programs that increase access without increasing costs ● Lay out implementation strategy The Claim Game - Exhibit A Segment Annual Household Income Number of Households (Millions) Percentage of income willing to spend on insurance Globals > $40K 12 2% Consumers $20K - 40K 38 1.5% Aspirers $10K - 20K 80 1.5% Strugglers < $10K 120 1% Case 14: CraftCo Case Type: Profitability Difficulty Level: Medium Format: Interviewer-Led Industry: Retail CraftCo* - Prompt Problem Statement Our client, Craft Co., is a subscription service that will send customers kits for adult crafting and DIY projects (e.g., watercolor painting, woodworking). Customers pay a monthly fee based on the number of kits they would like, Craft Co. sends them a box with craft supplies. Craft Co. had grown its customer base rapidly during the COVID-19 pandemic, but has seen a dip in recent quarters as new competitors have entered the field. Our client would like our help in answering two questions (i) how has Craft Co. performed recently? and (ii) what strategies can it implement to grow profitability and increase share? Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● Craft Co’s products are typically marketed towards young adults ages 18-35 It was seen as the first major player in this market, but new competitors began to enter by the end of 2020 There is no specific ROI or objective that our client is aiming to achieve related to this analysis, but they are most interested in short-term strategies in the next 1-3 years as opposed to longer-term opportunities Craft Co. is currently focused solely on the U.S. market *Former EY Parthenon Interview Case CraftCo - Structure Framework 1. Company Financials 2. Market Dynamics A. Revenue ● Price (Monthly fee for the kits, discounts for annual subscription services) ● Quantity (Number of kits sold for each product type) ● Current distribution segments (online, retail) B. Costs ● Fixed (manufacturing equipment, marketing, rent costs) ● Variable (COGS, shipping, utilities ) A. Market growth (Growth outlook by segment, channel and customers) B. Products (can the client manufacture new kits in line with customer trends) C. Consumers (are there profitable groups like artists, rich individuals we don’t sell to) 3. Execution Strategies A. Increase revenue ● Increase of price of monthly subscriptions ● Increase of quantities sold through launch of new products and marketing B. Reduce costs ● Reduce fixed costs (renegotiate rent agreement, optimize marketing spend) ● Reduce variable costs (negotiate with suppliers, bulk discounts) CraftCo - Exhibit Question 1: [Share Exhibit A] How would you estimate Craft Co.’s monthly profitability in Q3 2024? Answer Total number of subscribers are needed to calculate profitability. When candidate asks, share that it is $75M. CraftCo thus incurred a loss of $8.2M in Q3 of 2023. CraftCo - Brainstorm Question 2: How can Craft Co. become more profitable? Answer Push the candidate to share at least 4-5 ideas to become profitable Brainstorm ideas: ● Revenue growth ○ Increase revenue from existing customers by price increase, buying more kits per month ○ Enter new geographic markets outside the US ○ Expand into new channels (e.g., children's kits, cooking kits) ● Cost control ○ Analyze marketing mix and effectiveness to reduce spending without losing subscribers ○ Negotiate supplier agreements to get bulk discounts CraftCo - Exhibit Question 3: [Share Exhibit B]. How would you describe Craft Co.’s pattern of subscriber growth? Answer ● ● Subscriber levels have seen a steady decline in 2023, even though interest in crafts likely increased due to the pandemic Earlier growth could be due to strong investment in marketing and lack of initial competitors and/or pandemic-related demand increase across the market Question 4: [Share Exhibit C]. Based on Exhibit C, what do you notice about Craft Co.’s performance? Answer ● ● Craft Co. outperforms competitors on price and quality, but underperforms on delivery and convenience Exhibit C in context with profitability analysis suggests Craft Co. has likely lost customers to higher-priced competitors positioned as “premium”, therefore there may be opportunity to increase price to restore profitability since Craft Co. is perceived as high-quality CraftCo - Brainstorming Question 5: How might Craft Co. stabilize its subscriber decline? Answer Stabilization levers ● ● Addressing reasons for dissatisfaction: ○ Improving on delivery speed (changing delivery partners, opening up more number of smaller warehouses) ○ Improving on time required for craft (selecting simpler options, providing more detailed instructions) Addressing new entrants: ○ Better differentiating its product relative to new entrants ○ Loyalty incentives for existing customers ○ Acquiring one of its competitors CraftCo - Exhibit A CraftCo - Exhibit B CraftCo - Exhibit C Case 15: Build, Baby, Build! Case Type: Profitability Difficulty Level: Hard Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Government Build, Baby, Build! - Prompt Problem Statement Philadelphia is among the host cities for the FIFA World Cup 2026 to be held in the US. Currently, the MLS team Philadelphia Union plays at the Subaru Park in Chester, PA, and your client, the city council, has turned to you, debating whether to build a new stadium within the city limits in time for the World Cup and whether such a move would help boost a stagnating Philadelphia economy. Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● ● ● Primary goal of the Philadelphia city council is to help boost the economy The city council will proceed with the stadium build if it pays for itself within a 10-year period The council currently has three sites in mind – Center City (urban, commercial locality), Chinatown (urban, less commercial), and the Philadelphia Sports Complex (city outskirts) If a suitable site is approved, rezoning is not considered a challenge Ticket proceeds will not go to the city council, but they will receive a stadium rental fee Subaru Park was built 20 years ago, with no further information on stadium life available Build, Baby, Build! - Structure Framework* 1. Costs A. Capital expenses ● Land costs (by location) ● Construction costs ● Permitting and re-zoning costs B. Recurring expenses ● Stadium maintenance costs ● Utilities costs (electricity, WiFi, water, etc.) ● Labor costs Problem Statement 2. Revenues A. Direct revenue ● Stadium rental ● Concessions licenses ● Club shop license ● Stadium tours ● Stadium naming rights ● Advertisement hoardings B. Indirect revenue ● Neighborhood sales tax increase ● Public transit revenue increase 3. Other considerations ● Potential GDP boost with cash influx into otherwise-stagnating economy ● Sustainability of revenue flow (tied to stability of Philadelphia Union and other soccer teams in region) ● Potential price war with Subaru Park and other stadiums for stadium rental contracts *Nudge candidate until they cover the cost and revenue buckets in red before proceeding, provide hints as needed Business insights - An ideal candidate should be able to come up with a framework that covers both financial and non-financial considerations, keeping in mind that the primary incentive for the city council is to boost the economy It is crucial to consider both direct and indirect sources of revenue, from both a matchday and non-matchday perspective Build, Baby, Build! - Math Question 1: We conducted a study that showed that the neighborhood housing the stadium experienced a 50% increase in local sales tax generation. Before we discuss sales tax estimates, what would be the expected directional order of sales tax generations in the neighborhoods surrounding the three locations. Interviewer note: Once candidate guesses the directional order, ask them to calculate sales tax increases based on our study and provide below data City council’s estimates of sales tax generated in proposed stadium neighborhoods over 2025-2035: ● ● ● Center City: $800M Chinatown: $500M Philadelphia Sports Complex: $300M Answer Sales tax increases: ● ● ● Center City: $400M Chinatown: $250M Philadelphia Sports Complex: $150M Build, Baby, Build! - Math Question 2: Including the sales tax increases, what is the total revenue generated over the ten-year period? (Provide Exhibit A) Answer (Continued) Revenues over ten-year period: ● ● ● ● Stadium rental fee: - Philadelphia Union: $30M/year * 10 = $300M - FIFA World Cup 2026: $50M - US Men’s and Women’s National Teams: $10M/year * 10 = $100M Concessions licenses: $15M/year * 10 = $150M Stadium naming rights: $300M Tax increase (based on chosen location): $400M (Center City) or $250M (Chinatown) or $150M (Philadelphia Sports Complex) Total revenues = $1300M Center City; $1150M Chinatown; $1050M Philadelphia Sports Complex Interviewer note: Ensure candidate uses only the sales tax increase instead of the total sales tax as the increases alone could be attributed ot the stadium Build, Baby, Build! - Math Question 3: Based on the city council’s cost estimates, does building a stadium seem attractive over a ten-year period? Which location makes the most sense? (Provide Exhibit B) Interviewer Note: Ask candidate to calculate costs for all three locations and even in case of negative NPV, provide preference Answer Costs over ten-year period for building new stadium: ● ● ● Land costs: Center City: $450M, Chinatown: $300M, Philadelphia Sports Complex: $180M Construction costs: $600M Stadium maintenance costs: $45M/year * 10 = $450M Total costs = $1500M Center City; $1350M Chinatown; $1230M Philadelphia Sports Complex Building a stadium presents a negative NPV for each of the locations: ● Center City: ($200M), Chinatown ($200M), Philadelphia Sports Complex: ($180M) An excellent candidate will debate the non-financial merits by noting that though Philadelphia Sports Complex offers a slightly less negative NPV, Center City offers the highest tax revenue increase and thus might be preferred by city council. Build, Baby, Build! - Brainstorming Question 4: What are some ways in which the city council can boost the revenue flow or reduce costs? Which line items among the current cash flow could be a potential cause for concern? Answer Nudge candidate to provide non-sporting events (concerts, business events and offsites, etc.) as potential avenue for revenue generation during the off-season, and exploring alternate locations with cheaper land and construction costs as ways to reduce costs. Probe for additional creative answers for increasing revenues or decreasing costs, and reveal $15M/year as the total amount from all those measures. Strong candidates will note that NPV is still negative with this additional $150M over 10 years. Current cash flow assumes the Philadelphia Union and the US National Teams will sign a 10-year contract with the new stadium - potential for price war with Subaru Park and other stadiums threatens this assumptions. Build, Baby, Build! - Recommendation Please present our findings and recommendation to the client. Recommendation No, the client should not proceed with the construction of a new stadium as it presents a negative NPV in each of the three locations. Recommendation Risks Next Steps Alternative recommendation: Yes, the client should proceed with the construction of a new stadium in Center City despite the negative $50M NPV as the stimulus provided to the economy would act as a huge intangible benefit. ● Revenue flows uncertain ● Cost overruns not budgeted ● “Phantom stadium” potential boondoggle for city ● Understand proposed sites better to re-evaluate costs ● Investigate alternative options to constructing new stadium (repurpose/revamp existing stadium) Build, Baby, Build! - Exhibit A City council’s estimates of key revenue line items (2025-2035) Revenue line item Frequency Amount ($) Stadium rental fee - Philadelphia Union* Yearly $30M - FIFA World Cup 2026 One-time $50M - US Men’s and Women’s National Teams* Yearly $10M Concessions licenses Yearly $15M Stadium naming rights One-time $300M *The city council believe the Philadelphia Union and the US National teams will sign a 10-year contract Build, Baby, Build! - Exhibit B City council’s estimates of key cost items (2025-2035) Cost line items Amount Land costs: - Center City $450M - Chinatown $300M - Philadelphia Sports Complex $180M Construction costs $600M Annual stadium maintenance costs $45M Case 16: Eye Can See Clearly Now Case Type: M&A Difficulty Level: Hard Format: Interviewer-Led Industry: Healthcare Eye Can See Clearly Now - Prompt Problem Statement Your client, a PE firm, is considering an investment in Dr Kelso’s Ophthalmology Practice, located outside Philadelphia. Dr. Kelso’s Practice is requesting $15M for a 50% stake in the business. Should they make the investment? Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● What is ophthalmology? How does Dr. Kelso’s business make money? ○ An ophthalmologist is an eye doctor ○ Dr. Kelso’s practice provides a full range of ophthalmology services (exams, surgeries) What is the ownership structure today? ○ Today, Dr. Kelso and 3 other doctor partners are equity owners in the business ○ They are only paid their share of the profits. They do not take a salary What are the PE firm’s objectives? ○ To make a good ROI on the investment Does the PE firm have similar investments? ○ The firm has invested in other hospitals, but they do not offer ophthalmology as a service Eye Can See Clearly Now - Structure Framework 1. Market 2. Financials 3. Synergies A. Market Size ● Number of customers (Insurance vs cash) ● Market growth B. Competitors ● Number and size ● Focus - full suite of services vs focused ● Affiliation with referrers C. Trends ● Teleconsultation ● Growth of cosmetic surgeries like LASIK A. Revenue ● Price (avg service fee, insurance vs cash price) ● Volume (number of patients, insurance vs cash mix, service mix) B. Cost ● Variable (drugs, consumables etc) ● Fixed (rent, equipment, utilities, labor etc.) C. Deal terms (ROI/payback period) A. Revenue Synergies ● Increase rates via greater market power ● Increase volume via patients from other portfolio investments ● Increase collection rate via better business management B. Cost Synergies ● Decrease practice management costs through scale with other assets in portfolio Eye Can See Clearly Now - Math Question 1: The PE firm prepared a financial projection (shown in the below table) for revenues and costs for Dr. Kelso’s practice for next year before the deal takes place. As a first step, what is the implied valuation of the company today? Product 2022F Revenue $20M Costs $16M Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● ● ● WACC = 13% Growth Rate= 3% Taxe Rate = 20% Assume 0 depreciation, debt, or investment in CapEx Eye Can See Clearly Now - Math Answer Product 2022F Revenue $20M Value = FCF / (WACC-g) Costs $16M Valuation = 32M Operating Profit $4M PE stake at 50% is worth $16M. Taxes (20%) $0.8M Net Profit* $3.2M The firm is investing $15M to get $16M, which is a return of (1/15) ~7%. This return is less than the WACC, indicating a poor investment. Calculations: *Note that net profit is equivalent to FCF because we assume no depreciation or capital expenditure Eye Can See Clearly Now - Brainstorming Question 2: If the PE firm acquired a stake in Dr. Kelso’s practice, how could they increase the value of the company? Answer Candidate should brainstorm at least 4-5 revenue drivers, cost drivers, and synergies A. Revenue Synergies ● Increase reimbursement rates via greater market power ● Increase volume via combination with referrals ● Increase collection rate via better business management B. Cost Synergies ● Decrease practice management costs through scale with other assets in portfolio Eye Can See Clearly Now - Math Question 3: After initial research the PE firm believes they can improve revenue by 5% via improved pricing and collections. In addition, through cost synergies, they believe they can reduce practice management costs by $1M. What would the PE client’s stake be worth with these changes? Answer Revenue Revenue = 1.05 * $20M = $21M; Costs = $16M - $1M = $15M Operating Profit Operating Profit = $6M; Taxes = $1.2M Net Profit $4.8M; Valuation = $48M. PE stake = $24M Takeaway The return on investment is (9/15) =60%, greater than WACC, implying a good investment Additional Insights An outstanding candidate would also perform a sensitivity analysis: say, if volume declines by ~10% from $21M in revenue to $19M in revenue (due to increase in prices), then the value of the business declines to just $32M, the PE firm’s stake drops to $16M (equal to previous stake), and the PE firm would earn a return less than WACC (bad investment) Eye Can See Clearly Now - Brainstorming Question 4: Today, Dr. Kelso and 3 other doctor partners are equity owners in the business. They are only paid their share of the profits. They do not take a salary. How would compensation for Dr. Kelso and his 3 partners change after the deal? How do you think this would impact patient volume? Assume the firm can realize the synergies indicated in the previous question Answer Current Setup Dr. Kelso and partners receive no salary; compensation today (pre-deal) = Net profits of the business, $3.2M New Setup After the deal, with $4.8M net profit, the partners receive a $15M payout from the PE firm for 50% of their stake, and 50% of the profit stream, or $2.4M per year How does this affect motivation? As 50% equity owners, the doctors have less incentive to work hard. They only get 50% of incremental profits from their efforts How will this affect volume? Given this incentive change, we would expect patient volume to go down, and after receiving a $15M payout, even less incentive to work hard (They’ll have new ski houses to enjoy!) Takeaway Given the reduced profit, doctors’ incentive decreases, which drives down patient volume, and reduction of volume leads to the value of the business decreasing. Eye Can See Clearly Now - Brainstorm Question 5 (Time Permitting): How can the deal be changed to make sure we keep current volume growth at 3%? Answer ● ● ● Incentive-based salaries / bonus tied to volume Vest the payout over multiple years and make it conditional on patient volume Hire new doctors/other staff to improve leverage per doctor Question 6 (Time Permitting): The client determines that they need to pay $0.6M in performance-based compensation to Dr. Kelso and his partners to keep them sufficiently incentivized and continue to grow volume. With this change, what would the value of the PE firm’s stake be? Answer Operating profit = $5.4M, or $0.6M lower Taxes = $1.08M; Net Profit = $4.3M (ok to round); Valuation = $43M; PE stake = 21.5M; ROI = 43% (still greater than WACC) Eye Can See Clearly Now - Recommendation Please make a recommendation for our client. Recommendation Candidate can make an argument either way, but provided below is a recommendation to invest Sample Arguments ● Strong ROI of 60% with synergies ● Good ways exist to de-risk effort dis-incentives Sample Risks ● Synergies may not get realized ● Incentive programs a drag on bottom line Sample Next Steps ● Explore which incentive structures will be the most effective and is agreeable to the doctors Case 17: To Bid, Or Not To Bid Case Type: Market Entry Difficulty Level: Medium to Hard Format: Interviewer-Led Industry: Retail To Bid, Or Not To Bid - Prompt Problem Statement A PE fund is thinking about acquiring a clothes retail specialist which is a leader in the French market. The French clothing retail market is composed of 2 segments: 1. Urban: trendy, high quality, quite expensive 2. Suburban: mass market, lower quality, low prices The PE fund has hired us to help them assess whether this opportunity is worth bidding for. Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) ● ● The Client has no specific financial target or timeline The target has total annual sales of $800M across 800 stores. It consists of 4 brands on each of the urban and suburban market segments To Bid, Or Not To Bid - Structure Framework Problem Statement 1. Market 2. Target 3. The Deal A. Industry A. Quantitative A. Synergies ● ● ● ● ● Revenue models ● Key financials/specific assets ● Cost structure ● Revenue synergies ● Cost synergies ● Operational synergies B. Qualitative ● Competitive advantage ● Capabilities & resources ● Management structure/culture ● Expertise & knowledge B. Risks ● Implementation ● Regulation-trust ● External factors ● Management culture clash Market size & growth French clothing retail trends Market segment characteristics Competitive landscape B. Market Drivers ● Buyer & supplier powers ● New entrants & substitutes ● Distribution channels Interviewer Notes: - An ideal candidate should be able to come up with a framework that is appropriate for assessing a clothing retail company, and be able to ask relevant questions in each aspect to evaluate the target properly - It’s important to consider the synergies and risks of a deal even if the target is financially attractive. There could be potential problems down the road if the deal does not fit well with the PE fund To Bid, Or Not To Bid - Brainstorming Question 1: The market is flat in value over the last 5 years (~$25B), but volumes have been growing over the same period (~2% per year). What could explain this? Answer The only reason that can explain this situation is a decrease in price that offsets that increase in volume. Below are possible drivers of price reduction. 1. Customers 2. Competition 3. Supply Chain Customers are looking for lower price and promotions ● New competitors in the market are driving down the price ● Competitors are achieving price parity by pricing similar products similarly Decrease in landed cost achieved through outsourcing to lower cost base countries, decrease in raw material costs To Bid, Or Not To Bid - Math Question 2: An important metric in retail is floor space, specifically “sales/sq feet”. For one given brand, we have: ● ● 15 suburban stores - average size of 1600 sq ft and average profitability of $1,500 per sq ft 20 urban stores - average size of 800 sq ft and average profitability of $2,750 per sq ft What is the total annual sales for this brand? Additionally, what is the average profitability (in terms of sales/sq feet) for the brand? Answer Suburban segment: 1,600 * $1,500 * 15 = $36M Urban segment: 800 * $2,750 * 20 = $44M Total annual sale = $80M Average profitability = Total sales / Total Size = $80M / (15*1600+20*800) sq ft = $2,000 / sq ft To Bid, Or Not To Bid - Exhibit Question 3: The PE fund looked into the target company’s investment plan over the last few years (see exhibit A). Overall operating margin kept decreasing over the past years and the PE fund is worried about that. Is the fund right to worry about it? Why or why not? To Bid, Or Not To Bid - Exhibit Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) Additional Information to be provided upon request: ● ● ● All stores are similar No cannibalization or coordination diminishing returns Opening new stores impact mainly fixed costs Answer ● There is little need to worry ● ● ● There is a “ramp up” in the first few years, with increasing brand awareness and operating margin Brand reached full potential at an average operating margin of 25% Average margin will tend to decrease as the brand continues to expand, since the footprint will be a mix of matured stores and new stores Opening new stores is financially expensive and will impact average operating margin in the beginning as the store goes through a ramp up period The fund should also look at individual store operating margin to ensure mature stores are maintaining healthy operating margins ● ● To Bid, Or Not To Bid - Brainstorming Question 4: If there were 3 additional stores in year 7 and 2 additional stores in year 8, what do you expect to happen to the overall operating margin? Answer ● ● The total margin should increase as the expansion slows down and more existing stores would reach their mature state. The overall impact of opening new stores on total operating margin should decrease An ideal candidate should be able to draw on this question to identify the conclusion and implication. Candidate should state that if the target’s total operating margin increased after year 7 and 8, then the fund should not worry as the decrease in total operating margin in previous years was due to rapid expansion To Bid, Or Not To Bid - Recommendation Recommendation Please make a recommendation for our client. Recommendation Yes, the client should continue to look into this deal ● Despite the total market being flat, the business volume is increasing. The decrease in price may drive the less competitive players out ● During this time, the target seems to have maintained a healthy margin and the interim drop in margin was due to the rapid expansion ● It looks like there is still room for further expansion until the market becomes saturated Risks ● This is a competitive and rapidly changing market that the client still doesn’t know very much about and does not have the requisite expertise in ● The target company’s margin while healthy, is still fairly low even when the new stores reach full potential Next Steps ● Conduct a market competitive analysis to understand how other competitors are playing in the market ● Analyze target company’s organizational structure and culture to evaluate management/portfolio fit To Bid, Or Not To Bid - Exhibit A Target’s Investment Plan Case 18: Cents and Sensibility Case Type: Profitability Difficulty Level: Hard Format: Interviewee-Led Industry: Government Cents and Sensibility - Prompt Problem Statement The city of Philadelphia is planning to sell the rights to all of its parking meters for 20 years to a private company. The idea is that in exchange for a lump sum, the city of Philadelphia would turn over the operation and revenue stream of its 40,000 parking spaces to a private operator. The deal will bring in a big amount of cash for a cash-strapped city and relieve it of the responsibility of maintaining meters – something it isn’t very good at. The city is planning to use a competitive bidding process with the highest bidder winning the contract. Additionally, the contract also requires a high-tech upgrade replacing the old coin-based meters with new machines that accept cash, cards and digital NFC payments, which is a service enhancement that should be incorporated in the bid. Your consulting firm has been hired by the company Parking GenNext to give a reasonable price to win the competitive bid, and help estimate whether the ROI is attractive. How would you go about estimating it? Motivation for the case: In 2008, Chicago, trying to balance its budget, sold the rights to all of its parking meters for 75 years to Morgan Stanley for $1.15 billion. The bank has recouped its investment as of 2023, with 60 years left. Cents and Sensibility - Structure Additional Information (Provide Upon Request) Proceeds from collections: Company keeps all proceeds from parking meter collections for 20 years after buying rights for the lump sum amount Parking space tiers, pricing, number of spaces: Difference currently by regions, data to follow Prior experience for Parking GenNext: No prior experience in PA, but run similar operations in Chicago Bidding rivals: Rivals expected, but not our primary concern Expected ROI: Parking GenNext would like to make $2 B net profit from this deal over 20 years Framework 1. Revenue ● Pricing by region ● # Parking spaces ● Occupancy rates ● Potential ways to increase revenue flows 2. Expenses 3. Deal specifics 4. Risks and Capabilities ● Cost of new meters ● Bid price ● Execution bandwidth ● Meter maintenance cost ● Labor costs ● Potential ways to reduce expense flows ● Non-financial considerations for deal ● Potential competition for auction ● Managerial capabilities ● Demand trend shifts to more cabs or public transportation Cents and Sensibility - Math Question 1: How much revenue would the parking spaces generate over the next 20 years? (Provide Exhibit A) Answer Region # Spaces Usage (Hrs/day) Price ($) Annual Revenue* ($) Rittenhouse Square 10,000 12 3 ~130 M Center City 14,000 5 2 ~50 M Rest of Philadelphia 16,000 7 1 ~40 M Annual Revenue from parking spaces ~220 M Revenue over 20-years from parking spaces ~4,400 M Allow reasonable approximations as long as candidate arrives close to $4.4B. While candidates can propose discounting future cash flow to present value, inform them that discount rate is zero * Annual Revenue = # Spaces * Daily usage * Price * 30 days * 12 months Cents and Sensibility - Math Question 2: How much would setting up and operating the parking spaces cost over the next 20 years? Answer Tell candidate to assume lifetime of new parking meter is 20 years. Provide hints and probe for inputs, eg: “what are the costs involved with setting up and running parking meters”, “from what you’ve seen your city, what is the ratio of number of parking spaces per parking meter”... Once candidate has identified correct levers, provide information in bold to arrive at the right cost. Fixed costs: New parking meters with new payment features. 1 meter covers 8 spaces. Meters required = 40,000/8 = 5,000 Each meter costs $200K. Therefore, total fixed costs = 40,000/8 * 200,000 = $1 B Variable costs: - Monthly maintenance cost per meter = $500 => Total maintenance cost = 500 * 5000 * 12 * 20 = $0.6 B Labor costs = Number of employees (500, 1 per 10 meters) * Annual Wages (40,000) * 20 = $0.4 B Total costs over 20 years = Fixed costs ($1 B) + Variable costs ($1 B) = $2 B Cents and Sensibility - Brainstorming Question 3: Parking GenNext’s government liaisons inform you that $1.5 B would be a winning bid in the auction. At that purchase price, would the firm meet its ROI requirements? If candidate answers affirmatively, probe the reasoning, otherwise ask for ways to increase revenue or decrease costs to meet Net Profit requirements. Answer Revenues over 20 years = $4.4 B; Costs over 20 years = $2 B; Purchase price = $1.5 B Net Profit = $0.9 B [Short of $2 B ROI requirement by $1.1B] Probe candidate to brainstorm ways to bridge $1.1 B gap. Potential answers include price adjustment, increasing meter coverage to require fewer meters, using meters as advertising spaces, etc. Once candidate mentions price adjustment, ask for potential impact of increasing price (answers include public backlash, lower utilization, and more). Then provide Exhibit B. Cents and Sensibility - Math Question 4: Which pricing plans should each of the regions be assigned? Optional question (if time is available): Once candidate answers question around pricing plans, ask if there are any benefits to having lower utilization Answer The best pricing plan for each region would be the one yielding the highest multiple of Price and Usage. Therefore, Rittenhouse Square - Plan B, Center City - Plan A or B, Rest of Philadelphia Plan A or B. New annual revenue (ballpark numbers acceptable): Rittenhouse Square: 10,000 * 6 * 7 * 30 * 12 = ~$151 M Center City: 14,000 * 4 * 3 * 30 * 12 = ~$60 M Rest of Philadelphia: 16,000 * 3 * 4 * 30 * 12 = ~$69 M Revenue increase over 20 years = ($280 M - $220 M) * 20 = $1.2 B => ROI requirements are met! (Optional): Lower utilization could allow cost reduction (eg: eliminating need for 5,000 parking meters by consolidating regions where demand drop is expected or by increasing staff coverage) Cents and Sensibility - Recommendation Question 5: Please present our findings and recommendation to the client. Recommendation Yes, the client should purchase the rights to operate Philadelphia’s Parking Meters for the next 20 years at the bid price of $1.5 B. Upon purchase, the client should incorporate changes to new pricing plans in order to meet ROI requirements of $2 B over 20 years. Recommendation Risks Next Steps Alternative recommendation: No, the client should not purchase the rights to operate Philadelphia’s Parking Meters for the next 20 years at the bid price of $1.5 B. The ROI requirements would only be met by an aggressive price increase which might not play out as expected. ● Public backlash ● Price sensitivity analysis not accurate ● Government intervention on pricing change ● Pressure test sensitivity analysis ● Explore alternate ways to increase revenues and decrease costs Cents and Sensibility - Exhibit A Number, daily usage, and price of parking spaces by region Parking space region Price ($ per hour) Rittenhouse Square 3 Center City 2 Rest of Philadelphia 1 Note: Assume no growth in # meters or change in pricing or usage over the 20-year period Cents and Sensibility - Exhibit B Price sensitivity analysis for parking spaces Existing Pricing Plan Plan A Plan B Plan C Region Price ($) Usage (Hrs/Day) Price ($) Usage (Hrs/Day) Price ($) Usage (Hrs/Day) Price ($) Usage (Hrs/Day) Rittenhouse Square 3 12 5 8 6 7 7 5 Center City 2 5 3 4 4 3 5 2 Rest of Philadelphia 1 7 2 6 3 4 4 2 Note: Each parking space region will have its own pricing plan, ie - Region 1 could have Plan A, Region 2 could have Plan B and Region 3 could have Plan C at the same time Appendix Case Math Drills Problem Set 1 1. You're considering a upfront $5 million investment to switch to an alternative product B that will bring in additional $2 millions in revenue but cost $750K more than the current product A to produce. What is the payback period for this investment? 2. A competitor brand sells product for $8 with a $6 margin. Our product sell for $12 and our unit cost is $4. By what dollar value do we need to cut costs to have the same percentage profit margin as our competitors? 3. A new hybrid can travel 50% more miles per gallon (MPG) in comparison to the original car which travels 10 MPG. What is the annual cost saving if the owner on average drives 12,000 miles and fuel costs average $3.00/gallon 4. A microwave costs $100 to produce. The producer made a total profit of $6 million by selling microwaves. If the markup percentage is 20%, how many microwaves did the producer sell? 5. A company with revenue of $99 million is operating at a loss that is equivalent to 10% of its costs. By how much does cost need to decrease so that 10% of its costs are profits? Problem Set 2 1. 2. A Private Equity (PE) fund is considering a $100M investment in a company expected to generate profits of $10M in the first year. The fund typically invests keeping a return of 12% in target. Is this a feasible investment for the company? A multiplex is planning to launch a line of casual clothing with a store in its complex. The expectation is that the store footfall should increase by $200,000 annually. Based on the following data, should the multiplex continue with their launch plan? To estimate the actual footfall increase, the multiplex hired a market research company which generated the following results: Possible increase in attendance Annual revenue ($) Probability 3% 135,000 20% 5% 225,000 40% 7% 315,000 30% 9% 405,000 10% Problem Set 2 3. A burger company sells 30,000 burgers per year with price of each being $3. The company makes a margin of 50% on burgers and is planning to also stock donuts in its stores now. It expects to sell 50,000 donuts each at a price of $2 and a 60% margin. It is expected that 10% fewer burgers will now be sold as customers might switch from consuming burgers to donuts. Should the burger company go ahead with selling donuts? 4. Our client is expecting to spent $300,000 on internet marketing for their new album in CD format. The cost of manufacturing the CD is $2/CD, distribution is $3/CD and royalty to the band are expected to be $3/CD. Each CD sells for $12. How many CDs do our client need to sell to break even on its investment? Answers - Problem Set 1 1. Profit: $2M (Revenue) - $750K (Cost) = $1.25 M Payback period: $5M/$1.25M = 4 years 2. Competitor margin = $6/$8 = 0.75 Our new margin = 0.75*$12 = $9 Our new cost = $12 - $9 = $3 We need to cut cost by $1 to be competitive 3. Original fuel cost = 12,000 miles/10 MPG*$3 = $3,600 New fuel cost = $3,600*(10/15) = $2,400 Annual fuel savings = $3,600 - $2,400 = $1,200 4. Unit selling price price = 120% *$100 = $120 Unit sold = $6 million / $120 = 50,000 5. We know that Operating cost - 99 = 10% * (Operating cost) This means, Operating costs = 110M New Profit: 99 - Operating costs = 10% * (Operating cost) New Operating costs = 90M Operating cost reduction =20M Answers - Problem Set 2 1. To make this decision, the fund needs to calculate ROIC - Return on Invested Capital ROIC = Return / Invested Capital In this example, ROIC = $10M/$100M = 10% which is less than the target 12%. Hence the fund should not invest in this company basis ROIC 2. To make this decision, we would need to calculate the expected value of the revenue increase. If expected value > target ($200,000) investing in the new business line makes sense Expected value = Sum of expected value of individual cases Expected value = 20%*$135,000 + 40%*$225,000 + 30%*$315,000 + 10%*$405,000 = $252,000 which is greater than the target $200,000, hence investment can be considered Answers - Problem Set 2 3. One product eating into other product’s sales is called cannibalization, 10% in this example To make this decision, we should calculate the net impact on burger company’s profitability Current earnings by selling burgers = 30,000 * $3 * 50% = $45,000 Expected earnings by selling donuts = 50,000 * $2 * 60% = $60,000 Expected loss in burger sales due to cannibalization = 10% * $45,000 = $4,500 Since $60,000 > $4,500, the burger company can consider stocking donuts 4. We need to calculate break-even volume here Breakeven volume = Investment / (Profit per unit) Profit per unit (also known as Contribution Margin) = $12 - ($2 + $3 + $3) = $4 Breakeven volume = $300,000 / $4 = 75,000 CDs Chart Drills Practice Problem 1 Prompt: Your client is a chemical company, ChemCo. Revenue for one of their segments has been growing at 3-5% per annum for the last few years. The CEO is unhappy with this and wants to achieve 10% growth in revenue in the next year. You have been hired to help bridge this gap and achieve this target. What are some implications from this Exhibit? Answer - Practice Problem 1 ● ● ● ● Total revenue per category has a strong correlation with R&D spend per category ChemCo has the lowest R&D spend among competitors Revenue growth can be achieved by increasing R&D spend It is important not to just chase revenue growth, but grow profitably and sustainably. ChemCo should also anaylse its operating margins to decide how much to increase R&D spend Practice Problem 2 Prompt: The CEO of Fire Proof Inc. wants to find new ways to diversify her revenue. Currently, Fire Proof only sells fire resistant jackets, gloves, hard-hats, and tools to government sponsored fire departments nationwide. The CEO believes the company can expand their operations to make equipment for other industries. Which type of equipment would you recommend they look into? Source: Darden Casebook Answer - Practice Problem 2 ● ● ● Riot shields is an attractive segment with significant overlap, high growth rates and not too crowded a market Bullet proof vests and weapon holsters are reasonable options too. The crowded market landscape makes it difficult to gain significant market share and hence reduces attractiveness Officer uniforms should be avoided as it is a declining market Practice Problem 3 Prompt: Our client is a large national health care payer exploring the launch of a new disease management program. The idea is to hire and train a team of “health coaches” to specialize in a single disease area (heart disease, diabetes, etc.). Studies show that once a month contact with each patient reduces health spending by 5%, on average. Using Exhibit 1, discuss which segments and disease areas are most important to explore. Answer - Practice Problem 3 ● ● ● The 65+ segment, while not a major part of the population, should be targeted as they presumably use healthcare most frequently. Significant health care spending reduction can happen in this segment Diabetics is the key ailment in this group, which should be targeted, followed by chronic pain The group segment is the largest part of the population. Further information is needed on how much they spend on healthcare before deciding to target them. Practice Problem 4 Prompt: Where should our client focus their efforts on in order to improve ROE moving forward? Answer - Practice Problem 4 ● ● ● Operating inefficiencies are biggest drivers of low ROE and should be targeted first These are closely followed by margin deterioration ROE is higher in 2056 partly due to “Fines and other” group, which presumably is not linked to core operations and may not recur in the future. Operational concerns are hence more dire than they appear. Brainstorm Drills Brainstorm Exercises 1. You are nearly finished with a case for a shaving company that sells its products to younger men. Profits are down due to lower sales: all products are type of men’s razors sold in retail stores nationally. How would you go about improving sales? 2. You are helping a movie theater solve their declining profitability problem. After analyzing some financial data, you realize that the declining profitability is driven mainly out of dwindling revenue. What are some ways your client can improve revenue? 3. You client is a PE firm looking to invest in an Airforce and Defense company that manufactures military grade helicopters. Based on the analysis so far, this seems like a good opportunity for your client, but the client wants to better understand additional growth potential of this target company. What are other potential avenues the Airforce and Defense company should consider to sell helicopters? 227 Answer Q1 1. Marketing of Current Products a. Social media (influencers) b. Free samples c. Billboards 2. Launching New Products a. Women’s razors b. Products targeting older men c. Different sizes products (travel pack) d. Shaving cream, soap, other complements 3. Exploring new channels for new and existing products a. E-commerce (Amazon) b. Hotels c. Specialty stores/ Salons Answer Q2 1. Improving pricing of current products a. b. c. 2. Increasing volume of current products a. b. c. 3. Tier pricing for different movies and days Tier pricing for different seat options in the theater Offer monthly movie pass and loyalty program Secure free marketing through movie production companies Partner with online ticket vendors (ex: Fandango) Partner with credit card companies (ex:opening early access) Exploring other revenue streams (new products) a. b. c. d. Offer more food and beverage options Rent out movie theaters for events Sell movie merchandise in the theater Cultural and management alignment Answer Q3 1. Public Sector a. b. c. 2. Private Sector a. b. c. d. 3. Other US federal departments: coastguards, homeland security Other state governments: state police, fire department Non-US avenues: armed forces of overseas governments Oilfield Services Leisure and Travel (private tours & transportation) Media companies/News channels Shipping packages (UPS, FedEx, Amazon deliveries) Non-profit sector a. b. Emergency medical services Transport supplies for disaster relief Sample Behavioral Interview Questions Individual Contribution 1. Tell me about your proudest accomplishment 2. How would you describe your top 2 strengths and top 2 weaknesses? 3. Tell me about a time you set an ambitious goal, and what did you do to achieve it? 4. What is the biggest asset you can bring to your project team? 5. What makes you a good fit for consulting? Managing Teams / Leadership 1. Tell me about a time when you made an unpopular decision 2. Tell me about a time when you managed a difficult team member or client 3. What is an example of a time when you led a team through a difficult situation? 4. Tell me about a time when you had to provide someone negative feedback 5. Tell me about a time when you lead a team where there were a lot of differing opinions Persuasion / Influence 1. Describe a time you had to convince someone who had an opposing viewpoint 2. Tell me about a time you had a disagreement with your manager 3. How do you convince others to change their viewpoint? 4. Tell me about a time when you had to get buy-in from stakeholders 5. Tell me about a time you had to influence someone over whom you did not have formal authority Analytics / Problem Solving 1. What is an example of a project that you worked on that was highly analytical? 2. Tell me about a time when you used data and analytics to solve a problem 3. Tell me about a time when you had to simplify technical data 4. Tell me about a time when you used data to drive a conclusion. 5. Describe an example of when you had to work on a technical project with someone who did not have analytical skills. How did you manage the interactions? Challenge / Failure 1. Tell me about a time when you had to overcome an obstacle 2. Tell me about a time when you were wrong and someone had to convince you 3. Tell me about a time when you had to navigate a difficult situation under time pressure 4. Tell me about a time you didn’t succeed as a leader 5. Tell me about a time when you failed to meet a deadline or goal Teamwork / Collaboration 1. Tell me about a time when you had to work with people from different backgrounds 2. Tell me about the usual role you play in a team 3. How have you dealt with differences in a team? 4. Tell me about a time when you had to work with a teammate whom you clashed with 5. Tell me about a time when you were in a difficult teamwork situation. How did you respond?
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