1A. Financial Statements P2 Unit 1. External Financial Reporting Decisions Statement of Cash Flows • 1A. Financial Statements P1 • Income Statement Provide information about revenues, expenses, gains and losses associated with company operations during a period • • • Investors: profitability and value Lenders: creditworthiness Managers: useful decision making Provides information on sources and uses of cash and cash equivalents Assesses liquidity and solvency Classification of activities • • • • Operating: income statement, current operating assets, current operating liabilities Investing: purchases and sales of non-current assets Financing: cash inflows and outflows from noncurrent liability (creditors) and equity (owners) Significant Noncash Investing and Financing: material transactions not involving cash receipts or disbursements Limitations Limitations Cash basis does not match accrual basis recognition of revenues and expenses Manipulation through assumptions and estimates, not true representation Management decisions may not be fully reflected: • • • Depreciation: method, modify useful life, salvage value Bad debts: evaluation of receivables risk Warranties: likelihood and amount of future claims Income Smoothing • • Benefit: better able to project future performance Detriment: disguises risk, alters true picture of performance Putting operating nonoperating • expense in Issuing debt reflected as cash inflow does not represent future cost Buying equipment reflected as cash outflow does not represent future benefit Cash flows from Operating Activities • Classification Shifting • • • Direct method: If elected the company still must present indirect method, there is no reconciliation from the income statement Indirect method: Start directly from net income Cash flows from Financing Activities Indirect method connects very explicitly to accrual basis financial statements Add back noncash expenses (depreciation and amortization) and +/- gains/losses in investments: expenses that affect NI but have no cash impact Changes in Current Assets and Current Liabilities • • Decreases in CA and Increases in CL: either collecting money (A/R decreases receives cash) or postponing paying money Decreases in CL and Increases in CA: Putting off collecting money or paying off money owed Typically, a healthy company has a positive Operating Cash Flow (OCF) Cash flows from Investing Activities • Trading securities are current assets, but long-term TS are non-current Net change in Cash • • • Total all operating, investing, and financing cash flow Reconcile total change in cash and cash equivalents Include material noncash investing and financing Summary • 1A. Receivables Accounts Receivables • • Oral promise to pay debts; represents future cash receipt Generally current assets: do not want to wait for more than a year to receive payment on an outstanding receivable Types of Accounts Receivables • • Trade: from purchasers of company’s good and services Nontrade: from any other persons Reported at Net Realizable Value: factors in uncollectible accounts (customer is unable to pay), sales discounts (purchases in bulk), and sales returns (sending back purchases) • • Trade discount • • Recorded at net, quantity-based price reduction E.g: If x purchases then 5% off, so only 95% will be recorded Uncollectible Accounts • *How much we are going to collect Changes in AR in an accounting period Discount: 2/10, n/30 -> 2% paid within 10 days, net amount due within 30 days Gross method: record receivables at 100%, discount recognized if/when paid within discount period Net method: record receivables at 98%, forfeited discount recognized when paid after discount period • GAAP requires use of allowance method (based on total receivables, what you believe is not going to be collected out of the grand total, creating an allowance) Allowance is an estimate of current expected credit loss (CECL) CECL: factors current conditions, past experience, future expectations of cash collection over the life of each receivable Basis of Allowance Computation Percentage of accounts receivable • • • Subsequent cash collections to be received Write-offs where it is decided we are not going to get paid for money owed Conversion to NR: spread out payments typically in x years and AR is moved to NR Sales and Cash Discounts Incentive for prompt payment • • • Based on year-end receivables balance Adjusted using debits/credits to bad debt expense and the allowance for uncollectible accounts E.g: with $100k year-end assume 1% going to go bad, so there is an allowance of $1k then adjust bad debts to correct for the allowance Aging of accounts receivable • • • • Accounts grouped into categories based on relative age of each account receivable The older the receivable is the more likely it is to go bad, more accurate Percentage of each category is combined to determine the total allowance Older receivables are less likely to be collected; therefore, larger uncollectible percentages are used Bad debts expense • • At the end of the day, how much are we giving back to bad debts? Provision calculated during the year, +/- year-end adjustment Sale of accounts receivable, conversion of receivables into cash by selling them to a factor either with or without recourse Factor: the person we are selling to Without recourse (sale) • • With recourse (loan) • • Journal entries for AR adjustments • • • Write-off: get rid off general allowance since it cannot be collected anymore, P&L/NI effect is 0 since it’s written off Reversal, same accounts but reverse it then record normally Increase in allowance account: Bad debts expense (DR) Allowance for uncollectible account (CR) Factoring of Accounts Receivable Factor (buyer) assumes any risk of loss on collections/no recourse against seller Recorded as true sale with recognition of gain/loss as appropriate Factor (buyer) has the option to sell uncollectible receivables back to the seller Recorded as a loan with a recognition of a liability for the potential recourse of the factoring Potential that there will be payment to the factor to re-acquire receivable at a future point 1A. Inventory Inventory Systems Inventories Purpose: What type of system is used to track the goods while it is in possession of the company? Wholesale/Retail • Purchased and resold merchandising companies by Manufacturing Raw Materials • Periodic Inventory System • • Held for use by manufacturing companies in production Quantity of inventory determined by physical count Cost of goods sold computed indirectly Work-in-Process (WIP) • • More than 0% but less than 100% production completed Includes raw materials, direct labor, and manufacturing overhead Finished Goods • Production completed and ready for sale Goods and Costs to be included in Inventory Goods-in-Transit: key consideration is when the title passes from seller to buyer • FOB shipping point: title passes to buyer when transferred from seller to common carrier o ✅ Supplier SP – include Cost of goods available for sale: If the company could sell everything it has, how much would it be? Logically, it’s what the company currently has (beg) and the goods it has purchased (purchases) Ending inventory: There will be some inventory not sold so it has to be deducted from CoGAS, it will end up with the inventory sold – COGS When selling inventory journal entry: Cash (DR) o ❌ Customer SP – exclude • FOB destination: title passes when transferred from common carrier to buyer o ❌ Supplier D – exclude Sales (CR) When purchasing/buying inventory journal entry: Purchases (DR) o ✅ Customer D – include Nonconforming goods: title reverts upon buyer’s rejection of goods Consigned goods: consignor retains title until consignee sells Cash (DR) Perpetual Inventory System • • Always current because it is constantly, perpetually updated Inventory quantity updated with each purchase and sale • Physical count used to check/adjust inventory balance - Represents most recently incurred cost Approximates replacement cost Cash (DR) – selling price Cost of goods sold and ending inventory are the same whether using periodic or perpetual COGS (DR) – historical cost Weighted Average When selling inventory journal entry: Inventory value based on weighted average of all costs Sales (CR) – selling price Inventory (CR) – historical cost When purchasing/buying inventory journal entry: Best suited to homogenous products recorded using periodic inventory Inventory (DR) Cash (DR) Perpetual system is constantly updating the inventory Inventory Cost Flow Assumptions • • • Used for valuing the inventory US GAAP does not require cost flow assumption to mirror physical inventory Objective is that the method clearly reflects the income earned • • Cost of each item is uniquely identified and tracked Typically used for physically large and/or high-dollar items o Car dealerships Potential for manipulation if there are two identical items with differing costs Ending inventory Moving Average Inventory value based on average cost per unit recalculated after each purchase Compared to weighted average, valuation is more current Requires use of perpetual inventory Last In First out (LIFO) Last cost inventoried transferred to COSGS -> first cost LIFO is prohibited under IFRS First In First Out (FIFO) First cost inventoried -> first transferred to cost of goods sold End Inv: Weighted avg cost per unit x units not sold Same as WA calculation but it’s different averaged again after new purchases Specific Identification Method • COGS: Weighted avg cost per unit x units sold cost Ending inventory - Represents oldest costs Not representative of replacement cost • • • Typically, not how companies sell their inventory Electing LIFO for tax purposes = required use under US GAAP Susceptible to manipulation by adjusting purchases General rule: at cost (applying inventory cost flow assumptions) When inventory value is less than cost, depart from cost basis since you will not be able to recover from the loss Typical adjustments include to market or to NRV LIFO Layers In periods of rising prices, if purchases exceed sales LIFO layers are created Matches old costs to currents sales, distorting income, aka LIFO Liquidation Dollar value LIFO Recorded through COGS or separate line item if material Reversal of losses prohibited under US GAAP but allowed in IFRS Lower of Cost and NRV By what degree IFRS: all is fine and US GAAP: fine unless using LIFO or retail Inventory is measured in dollars and is adjusted for changing price levels Can be applied by item, by category or to the inventory as a whole When converting from LIFO to dollar value LIFO, a price index will be used NRV = Selling price (Completion cost) (Disposal Cost) In some problems, the price index will be internally computed, others supplied Lower of Cost or Market US GAAP (LIFO or Retail only) Can be applied by item, by category or to the inventory as a whole Market value = Replacement cost Advantages and Disadvantages of Cost Flow Assumptions Valuation of Inventory Market value subject to limits: • • Ceiling: NRV Floor: NRV – Normal profit margin Inventory Errors Inventory Differences Between US GAAP and IFRS 1A. Investments and Long-Term Assets Reported at Amortized Cost Investments in Debt Securities No unrealized holding gains or losses are recognized Debt securities represent relationship with an entity Include Corporate Bonds Redeemable preferred stock Government securities Convertible debt Commercial paper a creditor Exclude Options Future Impairment Reported at Fair Value Current expected credit loss (CECL) is based on net amount expected to be collected Trading • Bought and held with intent to sell in the near term Generally recorded as current asset Available for Sale (AFS) • • Neither trading nor HTM Generally non-current, based on intent ultimately Reported at Amortized Cost Held-to-maturity • • • Reclassification Forwards Leases Accounts receivable Notes receivable Classification • No realized gains or losses from the sale of HTM securities because they are held to maturity Positive intent to hold maturity Ability to hold maturity Current or non-current based on time to maturity Valuation Reported at Fair Value Unrealized holding gains/losses Trading securities – recognized in net income AFS securities – recognized in OCI Realized gains/losses result when the security is sold Recognized as period expense allowance against investment and For investments in debt securities, a credit loss is recognized if it is determined that all principal and interest will not be collected HTM: should be reported at the present value of the principal and interest to be collected, difference between PV and amortized cost is credit loss AFS: credit losses are limited by the amount that FV falls below amortized cost Sale of Debt Securities Trading Difference between current book value and selling price recognized as a realized gain/loss Available-for-sale Difference between original cost and selling price is recognized as realized gain/loss in IS Accumulated OCI for unrealized holding gains/losses written off 1A. Liabilities and Equity Liabilities Stockholders’ Equity Probable future sacrifices of economic benefits arising from present obligations Capital Stock Trade Accounts Payable • • Owed for goods/raw materials/supplies Not evidenced by a promissory note Current Portion of Long-Term Debt Principal due within the next year is current liability When the debt is refinanced • • • Debtor must intend to refinance Debtor must have the ability to refinance Ability = actual refinancing prior to financial statement issuance or existence of noncancelable financing agreement Warranties Promise to correct product defects or compensate the buyer Assurance Warranty Legal capital: capital that must be retained for protection of creditors, represented by par/stated value Authorized shares: Corporate charter will provide the par value as well as the amount of each class of stock that may be legally issued Issued shares: When shares/portion of it are issued Outstanding shares: shares in the hands of shareholders not held as treasury stock by the corporation Classes of stock Common Basic ownership interest with right to vote and management oversight Not guaranteed dividends or assets upon dissolution Right to share in earnings and bear ultimate risk of loss Not a separate performance obligation so no related revenue regulation Preferred Accrued warranty the liability and expense recorded at time of sale to match revenue and expenses May have preferential rights for dividends in liquidation Service Warranty (Extended Warranty) Separate performance revenue recognition obligation and Recognition of liability at time of sale Warranty revenue recognized over time/as earned Typically does not have voting rights Dividend rights may be • • Cumulative or noncumulative Participating or nonparticipating Additional Paid-in Capital Generally represents capital contributions in excess of par/stated value Can arise from other transactions: • • • • Property: Distribution of noncash assets, restate of FV with gain/loss recognized in income Sale of treasury stock at a gain Liquidating dividends Bond conversion Small stock dividends Treasury stock Corporation’s own stock – issued -> reacquired by the corporation -> not retired Not entitled to vote, receive dividends, etc Retained earnings may be restricted due to treasury stock presence Retained Earnings (Deficit) Accumulated earnings (losses) during the corporation’s life not paid out as dividends Small stock dividend: less than 20-25% of shares outstanding are distributed, not expected to impact the market price of the stock, transfers at market value from RE to common stock and APIC Large stock dividend: more than 20-25% of shares outstanding are distributed, expected to impact the market price, transfers at par value from RE to common stock only Stock Splits Issues additional shares of its own stock Reduces par value per share in proportion to shares issued Dividends Pro rata distribution of earnings Preferred stock: fixed dividend, set amount as percentage of par value Common stock: total dividend amount less preferred dividends Key dates Date of declaration: board of directors’ approval Date of record: determined date ownership Date of payment: date dividend is paid Dividend Type Cash: Distribution of cash is 1A. Special Valuation Considerations: Taxes and Leases Accounting for Income Taxes Intraperiod tax allocation Matches tax provision to components of net income and retained earnings Interperiod tax allocation Results from differences between the IRS Tax Code-based return ang GAAP-based financial statements Current year taxes Payable (liability) or refundable (asset) Future year taxes Deferred tax asset or liability Accounting for Interperiod Tax Allocation Total tax expense (benefit) Total of current tax expense (benefit) and deferred tax expense (benefit) Current income tax expense (benefit) Amount payable (refundable) based on the current year per the corporate income tax return (Form 1120) Affects either book income or taxable income but not bothDoes not reverse -> no deferred tax -> no interperiod tax allocation Examples include: Tax-exempt interest (municipal, state) Life insurance proceeds on officer’s key man policy Life insurance premiums when corporation is beneficiary Certain penalties, fines, bribes, kickbacks, etc. Nondeductible portion entertainment expense Dividends-received corporations of meal deduction and for Excess percentage depletion over cost depletion Temporary differences Four basic causes of temporary differences, which reverse in future periods Can also result from differences in book and tax basis of assets and liabilities, liabilities stemming from an acquisition, or certain foreign currency transactions Deferred income tax expense (benefit) Change in deferred tax liability or deferred tax asset during the period (balance sheet approach) Permanent Differences Deferred Tax Assets/Liabilities Liability Lessee Account for Operating Lease Future taxable income will be greater than future financial accounting income Balance sheet Asset Anticipated that future taxable income will be less than future financial accounting income If more likely than not that some or all of the asset will not be realized, a valuation allowance must be recognized against the asset value Right-of-use (ROU) asset and lease liability Amortized using the effective interest method over the life of the lease Value based on PV of lease payments at an appropriate discount rate Income statement Lease expense expense) (inclusive of interest Accounting for Leases ROU Asset and Liability Calculations Lessor Inputs into the calculation of the ROU asset and lease liability must be properly evaluated and calculated Conveys the right to control the use of real/personal property Lessee • • • Agrees to pay consideration for this right over a period Contract must depend on an identifiable asset where lessor does not have a substantive right of substitution Right to control the asset must be conveyed to the lessee Lease term: Noncancellable period for which a lessee has the right to use Lease payments: Fixed payments, variable payments based on an index rate, exercise price or penalties associated with options that are reasonably certain to be exercised, or any amounts profitable under a residual value guarantee Discount rate: Rate implicit in the lease; if that rate is not readily determinable, the lessee must use its incremental borrowing rate Lessee Accounting for Finance Lease Balance sheet Right-of-use (ROU) asset and lease liability Asset includes the amount of the lease liability initial direct costs connected to lease execution, any lease payments made by lessee, and lease incentives received Liability represents the present value of lease payments owed over the lease term Income statement Interest expense recognized based on amortization of lease liability ROU asset amortized on a straight-line basis, unless another systematic basis is more representative of the pattern in which the lessee expects to consume the future economic benefits of the asset Balance Sheet Presentation May be recognized as a separate asset and liability or may be recognized with other assets and liabilities with specific amounts disclosed in the footnotes Portion of lease liability due within one year (or operating cycle if longer) is presented as current liability Lease liability – reduced as principal paid down Income and Presentation Cash Flow Statement Income statement Operating lease includes lease expense Finance lease includes ROU amortization and interest expense asset Cash flow statement – Operating Lease Generally classified as operating cash flow Costs to prepare the asset for its intended use classified as an investing cash flow Cash flow statement – Finance Lease Principal payments classified as financing cash flows Interest payments classified as operating cash flow Variable/short-term payments not in lease liability classified as operating cash flow Differences Between US GAAP and IFRS – Lessee Accounting 1A. Revenue Measurement Recognition and Income Revenue Recognition Occurs when an entity satisfies a performance obligation by transferring either a good or service to a customer Amount recognized is based on expected consideration entity is entitled to receive for the good or service Unless a specific contract type is covered by another standard, contracts with customers to transfer goods, services, and nonfinancial assets adhere to the revenue recognition principles Five-Step Approach 1. Identify the contract with the customer 2. Identify the separate obligations in the contract performance 3. Determine the transaction price 4. Allocate the transaction price to the separate performance obligations (identified in Step 2) 5. Recognize revenue when or as the entity satisfies each performance obligation Step 1: Identify the Contract(s) With the Customer Contract = Agreement involving two or more parties that creates enforceable rights and obligations Five conditions must be met in order to be considered a contract under the revenue recognition standard: • • • All parties have approved the contract and are committed to perform their obligations Rights of each party are identified Payment terms are identified • • Contract has commercial substance Collection of all consideration is probable Step 2: Identify Separate Performance Obligations Performance obligation = Promise to transfer a good or service to a customer Performance obligation can be for an individual good or service, a distinct bundle of goods or services, or a series of goods or services that are substantially the same Step 3: Determine the Transaction Price Consideration expected for transferring goods or services to a customer Variable Consideration: use either expected value based on range of potential values or most likely single amount Significant Financing: if the timing of payments provides a significant benefit to either party, the time value of money should be factored into the price Noncash Consideration: measured at fair value should be Consideration Payable to a Customer: treated as a reduction in the price Step 4: Allocate the Transaction Price to the Separate Performance Obligations If there is more than one performance obligation in a contract, allocate the transaction price to each separate performance obligation based on the consideration that would be expected to satisfy each separate obligation. Step 5: Recognize Revenue When/as Entity Satisfies Performance Obligations Satisfies over time if any one of the following criteria is met: • • • Performance creates/enhances an asset Customer receives benefits of performance as it is performed Performance does not create an asset with alternative use and the seller has enforceable right to be paid for work performed to date Progress measured by output measures (e.g., units produced, units delivered, time elapsed, milestones achieved) or input measures (e.g., costs incurred vs. total expected costs, labor hours expended, time elapsed) Step 5: Recognize Revenue When/as Entity Satisfies Performance Obligations Otherwise, satisfies at a point in time when the customer has asset control • • • • • Entity has a right to payment and customer has an obligation to pay Customer has legal title to the asset Entity has transferred physical possession of the asset The customer has the risks and rewards of ownership The customer has accepted the asset 1A. Consolidated Financial Statements Introduction to Consolidations Companies often invest in the debt and equity securities of other companies as a strategic move to: • • • • broaden their portfolios explore new market opportunities gain a competitive advantage; or utilize surplus funds. The extent of ownership a company obtains in an investee depends on factors like available resources and the desired level of influence or control over the investee. Lack of significant influence: Investor holds less than 20% equity interest Significant influence: Investor holds between 20% and 50% equity interest Controlling interest: Investor holds greater than 50% equity interest • • Investing entity is referred to as the parent company Investee entity is referred to as the subsidiary company Controlling ownership) interest (more than 50% Subsidiary companies are considered separate legal entities and prepare financial statements for their own operations. Under U.S. GAAP, parent companies are required to issue statements that provide an overall view of the combined financial position and operating activities of the parent and all its subsidiaries as if it is one single economic entity. Consolidated financial statements combine the assets, liabilities, revenues, and expenses of a subsidiary and its parent company. • • The process of developing long-range goals for an organization and defining the strategies and policies that will help the organization achieve those goals. A mission statement articulates the entity's reasons for existing and serves as the foundation for the organization's strategic plan. A vision statement establishes a forwardlooking view of the ideal state of the entity. The strategic plan becomes the blueprint for the organization to follow in order to achieve its goals, objectives, mission, and vision. Time Frame Strategic planning typically involves a time frame ranging from three to five years. Capital expansions often require even longer time frames. Strategic plans are contingent upon the ability of a company to translate the plan into desired results. Attributes of successful strategic plans include: • • • • • Accurate assessments of a company's current condition and assumptions about future trends Comprehensive and significant Flexible and adaptable Goals that are specific, measurable, achievable, realistic, and timely (SMART) Supported by leaders and employees • • • Continual monitoring and review of the strategic plan Emphasis on meeting objectives of the plan and commitment to achieving outlined objectives Plan supports the mission and vision of the company and capitalizes on core strengths Easily understandable and results are reported to employees to gauge progress toward achievement Focus, discipline, and commitment to achieving objectives External Factors External factors affect the direction and ultimate success of a strategic plan. These factors are beyond the control of management but must be factored into planning. • • • • • • • • Economic conditions Political stability Market competition Legal/regulatory environment Technology Climate Demographic Media An evaluation of the external factors helps an entity take advantage of opportunities, work around potential limitations, and react to threats. Opportunities represent situations in which the entity can take advantage of a potential benefit. Limitations represent constraints that may reduce the ability of an entity to achieve its goals. Threats represent potential issues that could limit profitability and impede success. Internal Factors Internal factors are within the control of a company. The assessment of internal factors includes the following: Market Penetration An analysis of expansion into new markets or focus on expansion in existing markets. Management and the leadership team Organizational structure and culture Human resources Financial status and asset base Tactical Plans Operational and tactical planning is the process of determining the specific objectives and means by which strategic goals will be achieved. An evaluation of the internal factors helps an entity identify strengths, weaknesses, and competitive advantages. Tactical plans are short-term and cover periods up to 18 months. • • • • Strengths represent core competencies of an entity, which create a competitive advantage in relation to its peers due to the given circumstance or condition. Weaknesses represent disadvantages of an entity in relation to peers. The identification of weaknesses is important; however, competitive advantages are developed and maintained by focusing on strengths. Long-Term Mission and Goals Long-term planning is the map the organization creates for the future and typically covers a period ranging from 3 to 10 years and should capture the following items: Porter's Strategies Michael Porter's generic strategies describe three potential strategic directions for any company or business, including: • • • Cost leadership Differentiation Focus/niche Product Lines An analysis of existing products and profitability of each, along with considerations including potential new lines of business, capacity issues (if any), and the discontinuation of unprofitable lines. Business Diversification An analysis of new markets, products, or industries for potential opportunities that could be further developed. Cost Leadership Cost leadership focuses on a company's ability to produce and sell its product for less than rival companies, which creates a competitive market advantage. Companies can use this competitive advantage in one of two ways: The company can build market share by lowering the price of its product below the prices set by competitors. The company can also match the pricing of rival companies for products and capitalize on the ability to provide goods and services at reduced costs, which increases profits. When cost leadership strategies work well: In markets where buyers have amounts of bargaining power. large In markets with substantial price competition where companies can influence buyers to switch by cutting prices. Cost leadership does not work well when companies focus on cutting costs and overlook technological advances (buyers have less price sensitivity to brands that have good technology). Differentiation Advantage Differentiation strategies work well in markets where customers perceive the company's product to be superior and are therefore willing to pay higher prices. The company can build market share by lowering the price of its product and cover premiums with the increased customer base as a result of reduced pricing. The company can also increase the pricing of its product at points that offset or exceed the value perceived by the customer. When differentiation strategies work well: In markets where buyers can see the value in the product, the appeal of the products attracts buyers for varying reasons, and competing companies choose different features to differentiate their products. Differentiation does not work well when consumers do not see the value in relation to premium. Additionally, if the customer base is indifferent to the unique features, customers will bypass the product and elect to purchase lower priced, more generic goods. Focus/Niche Strategies In focus or niche strategies, companies will focus on a select or smaller group of customers within a market. Companies focus on specialized needs of a certain market/customer base in lieu of attempting to attract an entire customer base. When focus/niche strategies work well: In markets where the focus group is large enough to create profits for the company. In markets where competitors are unable to either compete in price or address specific needs through specializations required by the niche group. When focus/niche strategies do not work well: If competing companies are able to successfully enter the market and attract a portion of the customer base. These strategies also fail when customers do not require specialized features and prefer the existing products in the market. Planning Tools and Techniques • • • • • • • • SWOT analysis Porter’s five forces Situational analysis PEST analysis Scenario planning Competitive analysis Contingency planning BCG growth-share matrix Planning Tools and Techniques: SWOT Analysis Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT) analysis involves the analysis of both internal and external factors in developing the strategic plan for a company. Planning Tools and Techniques: Porter's Five Forces Michael Porter's five forces have a significant effect on the competitive environment and profitability of a company. The barriers to entry can also motivate existing companies to keep their existing price structures at competitive levels. Porter's Five Competitiveness Competition) Market competitiveness is often the most significant of the five forces for a company. Market competitiveness can be evaluated in the context of the following factors: • The five forces include: • • • • • Barriers to entry Market competitiveness (intensity of competition) Existence of substitute products Bargaining power of the customers Bargaining power of the suppliers • • • • Porter's Five Forces: Barriers to Entry The barriers to entry represent the hurdles new companies entering the market must overcome in order to operate. Barriers to entry come in various forms including: government regulation; up-front capital requirements; preexisting customer preferences and loyalties; learning-curve issues; and other competitive costs including patents, trade barriers, and any other restrictions. New companies will attempt to enter when the barriers to entry are low and the potential for profits exist, and the risk of retaliation by rival companies is low. When opportunities for profits exist other companies will attempt to enter the market, and as new companies enter the market profits will fall to a competitive level. Forces: Market (Intensity of • • The ability of rival companies to respond to changes and the amount of money spent on advertising The level of research and development of rival companies Existing alliances between rival companies and suppliers Markets with slower growth rates Numerous, equal-sized companies exist within the market to serve customers Customers do not have strong brand preferences Costs of exiting the market are in excess of the costs to continue operating within the market Porter's Five Forces: Substitute Products Existence of The existence of substitute products in a highly competitive environment will affect the ability of the company to sustain profits. Companies must evaluate the sensitivity of the demand for products based on changes in price. If customers perceive no difference between substitute products, price increases will result in a reduction in demand for the good. If few substitutes exist within the market, price increases will not have a substantial effect on the demand for the good. Porter's Five Forces: Bargaining Power of Customers When buyers within a market are in a position to negotiate with suppliers on the conditions of service, price, and quality, they possess a strong force within the competitive environment of the company. Examples of customer bargaining power include: • • • • The existence of high buyer concentration The availability of information to buyers within the market The ability of a buyer to change suppliers with relatively low costs associated with the change The number of suppliers within the market are high Porter's Five Forces: Bargaining Power of Suppliers When suppliers within a market are in the position to change the prices of inputs into production for companies, they possess a strong force within the competitive environment of the company. Examples of the bargaining power of suppliers include: The inability of a company to change suppliers. The reputation of a supplier, which requires companies to purchase inputs from the supplier in order to meet quality demands necessary for the company's products. If the demand for inputs from suppliers are high, price negotiations are more complex. If suppliers have existing established relationships and strategic alliances with other companies, obtaining inputs can be more difficult. Planning Tools and Situational Analysis Techniques: Situational analysis is a broad term used to describe the method used by managers to analyze an organization's internal and external environment to better understanding the organization's capabilities, its customers, and its business environment. Examples of situational analysis include: • • SWOT Analysis Competitive analysis using Porter's five forces This form of analysis helps an organization understand the risks and benefits associated with a specific course of action within the context of internal and external factors that affect the success of an entity. Planning Tools and Techniques: PEST Analysis A PEST analysis is a tool used to identify, assess, organize, and keep track of macroeconomic factors that can potentially affect operations currently and in the future. Macroeconomic factors are broad elements that impact the overall market and are outside of the control of an individual entity. Planning Tools and Techniques: Scenario Planning Scenario planning requires forecasting and creating alternatives for the future. Under each scenario, estimates of revenues and costs are made and a plan is in place to which the organization can adapt in the event that each forecasted scenario occurs. Forecasted scenarios should consider the following: Planning Tools and Contingency Planning The likelihood of occurrence (most to least likely) Contingency planning addresses the need for the development of an alternative plan in the event that adopted plans do not work, assumed variables prove to be faulty, or objectives are impractical or irrelevant. Outcomes should range from positive to negative If a company only creates scenarios in which positive sales growth exists, no plan will be in place to handle a downturn in sales. Planning Tools and Competitive Analysis Techniques: A competitive analysis studies a company's competitors in order to better understand their strengths and weaknesses in relation to its own. The analysis assists a company in determining areas for improvement and opportunities for differentiation. The analysis will attempt to answer the following questions: What products/services are offered and how are those marketed? currently products What are the strengths and weaknesses of the company and its current strategies for growth? What share of the market does the company currently hold? Is the company gaining or losing market share? What are potential threats? Are there opportunities to address an unmet consumer demand? What drives the success of the company and are there any mistakes made that we could avoid making? Techniques: Characteristics of Contingency Planning Contingency plans are developed around the probability that variables or premises used in the development of strategic plans and tactical plans are not valid. These plans attempt to determine the effect of changes in variables and evaluate corrective actions to deal with the impact of those changes. These plans focus on the ability of a company to respond to changes in product or adapt to new markets as the situations arise. Contingency planning is crucial in maintaining competitive footing in a changing business environment. The identification of the variables that make up the strategic plan and how those variables affect the contingency play is an integral part of contingency planning. Planning Tools and Techniques: BCG Growth-Share Matrix The BCG (Boston Consulting Group) growthshare matrix is a method of analyzing a portfolio of products or businesses based on growth and market share to assist companies in making decisions regarding whether to sell, keep, or invest additional resources into a product or service. The matrix consists of four categories: dogs, cash cows, stars, and question marks. 1B. Budgeting Concepts Operations and Performance Goals The Role of the Budget Budgeting serves as a roadmap for achieving the strategic objectives and for the overall planning set by the organization. Master budgets communicate criteria for performance and should be established in alignment with overall strategic objectives. Budgeting serves to control operations in order to meet short-term objectives in the following ways: • Budgets help in: • • • identifying priorities; allocating resources; and ensuring that the organization's plans are financially feasible. Budgeting provides the financial framework to support the broader overall planning process and not only guides day-to-day decisions but also aids in assessing the feasibility of the strategic plan. Budgeting is an integral part of the planning and control process. A budget: • • • • Outlines the quantitative plans of an organization Follows the strategic plan to help achieve objectives of the organization Allows an organization to investigate variances from budget and establish planned responses Creates accountability for achieving budgetary goals Short-Term Objectives Short-term objectives are shaped by strategy, previously achieved results, and expected or desired outcomes. A master budget outlines specific operating performance goals for one year or less (typically). The budget is broken down into both an operating budget and a financial budget. • • Promoting the alignment of individual and organizational goals (goal congruence) Developing incentive compensation plans Establishing standards based on relevant production ranges Measuring Performance Against Goals Planning requires an organization to establish goals that are defined and therefore able to be measured. Goals can be financial, customer-focused, developed for business processes or human resources, and consistent with critical success factors. Performance measures become a quantifiable means of assessing the achievement of goals. Budgets are based on the objectives and goals of management and staff. Actual performance during the period is frequently compared with budgeted amounts. Comparisons between actual and budgeted performance provide insight into the achievement of objectives and goals set by the organization. Performance Evaluation Performance evaluation is the process of determining the degree of success in accomplishing a task in terms of both efficiency and effectiveness. All employees are subject to performance evaluation. A budget is a financial performance goal. Budgets are compared with actual results and used for performance evaluation. Internal Factors Internal factors influencing the planning and development of the budget include: • • • • Management and leadership team New product development and marketing efforts Organizational structure and culture Financial status and assets cannot be changed by the manager whose performance is evaluated, and therefore management should not be accountable for these costs. Examples include: • Rent, insurance, and depreciation Characteristics of Successful Budgeting Processes Successful budgeting processes have the following characteristics: Communication ─ The budget process and budget details are communicated throughout the organization. External Factors Established Process for Resource Allocation External factors influencing the ability of a company to execute its budget and strategic plans include: ─ Limited funds available require that management be methodical and careful about where budget funds are allocated. • • • • • • • State of the economy and political environment Market competition Legal/regulatory environment Technology Climate Demographics Media Controllable Costs Managers should be held accountable for all controllable costs. Controllable costs are identified in the budgets for strategic business units and evaluated in comparison to standards. Common controllable costs include: • • • Direct materials Direct labor Advertising, supplies, and travel Uncontrollable costs are costs authorized at a different level in the organization that Personal Participation and Ownership ─ Involvement of the individuals who are held accountable by the budget creates an atmosphere of personal ownership for the budget. The budget becomes a tool to achieve success rather than a measurement of performance imposed by top management. Employee Perception ─ Perception that the budget is a tool to assist in meeting performance objectives, instead of placing blame, makes the budget more effective. Goal Orientation ─ Top managers should use the budget to properly and positively communicate goals. Accuracy of Information ─ Use of logical, complete, technically correct, and accurately computed data adds credibility to the budget and contributes to its success. 3. Determining where those resources are most efficiently deployed. Consistent With a Time Frame and Process Appropriate for the Budget Type Deployed Participation ─ There are several budget methodologies that an organization can choose, with each following a unique timeline and process. Communication The budget processes and budget details must be communicated throughout the organization in order to coordinate activities between organizational units. Budgets establish and describe the operating requirements of each division and therefore serve as a means of communication of the expectations from one division to another. ─ For example, estimated sales forecasts influence the development of production budgets, which consequently influence direct material, direct labor, and overhead budgets. Performance in comparison to standards/budgets is often communicated through monthly financial statements and variance analyses to show performance during the period relative to established standards. The communication between organizational units is a critical factor in the achievement of short-term objectives established in the planning process. Resource Allocation Budgeting is used to allocate and manage limited resources. The planning process involves: 1. Reviewing strategic plans and objectives; 2. Assessing available resources; and Participatory budgeting is an approach that encourages wide participation by the individuals affected by the budget. Two-way communication is required, as budgets are negotiated between management levels. Advantages System of a Participatory Budget Employees are motivated and stimulated to think creatively. Employee productivity and morale are boosted. Employee ownership of goal achievement is increased because of direct involvement in the development of budgets. Comprehensive input helps align individual goals and organizational goals. Budgets are more likely to be realistic. Job satisfaction and fulfillment is often experience by budget participants. Employees view themselves as part of a team. Employees gain valuable insight into the overall goals of the organization. Disadvantages of a Participatory Budget System Competing priorities within departments can distort corporate objectives. The budget process may be slower and more expensive. Conservative projections could lead to budgetary slack in order to boost future performance evaluations. Management's Role Top management must be involved in the budgeting process, including setting the organization's goals at the beginning of the process and communicating information, assumptions, and approval throughout the process. The rationales for involvement include: top management Communication ─ The budget is used to communicate organizational goals to the employees, and management's involvement should not be limited to the formal budget establishment. Participation ─ Budgets that are created as part of a collaborative, partnership-type process tend to be much more realistic and aligned with the goals of individuals and the collective organization. Motivation ─ When upper management oversees the budgeting process, lower-level managers are less likely to "pad" the budget. This motivates employees to embrace the budget and organization goals. Time Frames The budget process is complex and there are many types of budgets an organization may choose to implement. The different types of budgets and the timelines most frequently associated with each are shown in the table. Use of Budget Standards The budget is a tool to monitor operations and initiatives. Once developed, management should regularly review (at least monthly) actual expenditures and compare them with the budget to ensure that there are no significant deviations from that plan. Deviations should be investigated to determine both the cause and corrective actions/adjustments necessary to keep making progress toward strategic goals and objectives. Types of Standards Standards present revenues and cost on a per-unit basis. Standards are used in variance analysis and in flexible budgets. There are different types of standards: • • Ideal standards vs. currently attainable standards Authoritative standards vs. participative standards Ideal Standards Participative Standards Ideal (theoretical) standards represent the costs that result from perfect efficiency and effectiveness in job performance. Ideal standards are forward-looking and tend to better reflect long-term goals. No provision is made for normal spoilage or downtime. Participative standards are set by both management and the individuals who are held accountable for achieving the standards. An advantage of using ideal standards is the implied emphasis on continuous quality improvement (QCI) to meet the ideal. An advantage of using participative standards is the acceptance of standards by workers. A disadvantage is the demotivation of employees as a result of using an unattainable standard. A disadvantage of using participative standards is the length of time to implement because of the involvement of more people in the standard-setting process. Currently Attainable (Practical) Standards Developing Standards Currently attainable standards represent costs that result from work performed by employees with appropriate training and experience but without extraordinary effort and without perfect efficiency. Properly set standards encourage higher productivity and lower costs by encouraging compliance with policies and reduction of wasted resources. A key advantage of currently attainable standards is the perception that the standards are reasonable and that incremental improvement is possible. A disadvantage is the required use of judgment and potential manipulation, which could result in budgetary slack. Authoritative Standards Authoritative standards are set by management without involvement from employees held accountable for achieving the standard. An advantage of using authoritative standards is the quick implementation of the standard. A disadvantage is that workers might not fully accept imposed standards, and the standards may result in demotivation of employees in meeting standards. Sources of data to develop standards include: Activity Analysis ─ Organizations may evaluate each of the steps necessary to produce the product or service. This analysis allows management to identify areas where value is added or where time and effort are wasted. Observation ─ Organizations may deploy people to watch production processes to see how long a process takes, the number of employees involved, the intensity of the process, the materials and machinery used, and where inefficiencies may exist. Historical Data ─ Organizations may use historical information to determine operational standards. Although the use of averages is common, organizations focused on improvement will develop standards that challenge rather than replicate historical performance. Benchmarking ─ Organizations may use the best practices of other organizations to develop their standards. Data from trade associations or other companies as well as information from companies in different industries that use similar processes for subcomponent operations are good sources for benchmarks. Steps to Develop Direct Material Standards Management and personnel work together to establish standards. Direct material standards are developed using the following steps: 1. Consult operation personnel to come to an agreement on the quality of the materials to be used. 2. Consult accounting personnel to determine the associated cost based on the quality of the materials. 3. Consult engineering and production personnel to agree on the quantity of material appropriate for each unit of output. 4. Compare the outputs from the steps above with historical standards to determine whether the new figures are reasonable. 5. Share the draft of standards with relevant personnel to ensure that everyone agrees. 6. Formally issue the standards. Steps to Develop Direct Labor Standards Direct labor standards are developed using the following steps: 1. Assess the type of work involved. 2. Determine the complexity of the product. 3. Assess the skill level of the employees performing the work. 4. Review the nature of the manufacturing process to determine where efficiencies may be gained. 5. Assess the type and condition of the equipment used in the production process to adjust time for repair and maintenance requirements. 6. Determine a reasonable amount of time needed to produce each unit. 7. Determine the hourly rates associated with employees performing the work. 8. Share the draft standards with relevant personnel to ensure that everyone is in agreement. 9. Formally issue the standards. Revising Standards Policies typically allow for budget revisions when there are significant changes in budget assumptions. Budget revisions improve performance evaluations because expected results are modified for current conditions. Changes to the budget are typically limited to significant, uncontrollable changes. Standards and Budgetary Slack Budgetary slack is purposely overestimating budgeted expenses to hedge against the unexpected or to pad budgets to make objectives easier to achieve. Most likely to introduce budgetary slack – middle and lower management Reasons for budgetary slack include: Employees are concerned about implications of unfavorable variances and the effect it will have on their compensation. Economic uncertainty may lead to padding the budget to avoid the risk of being personally harmed by the outcomes of uncertain, uncontrollable events. 1B. Forecasting Techniques Regression Analysis Predictive method used to study the relationship between two or more variables. The goal is to determine which independent variables, x, have the most significant effect on the outcome of the dependent variable, y. Can involve one independent variable or multiple independent variables. costs will remain constant in total and variable costs will remain constant on a perunit basis. Given these assumptions, the total cost can be estimated for any level of activity. Multiple Regression Multiple regression includes multiple independent variables with coefficients assigned to each variable. Can be used to: Predict the value of the dependent variable in future periods. Explain the variation in a dependent variable as a function of one or more independent variables. Simple Regression Simple regression involves only one independent variable using the equation: Multiple regression is appropriate when multiple factors (multiple independent variables) drive the outcome of the equation (the dependent variable, y). For example, the number of units expected to be produced in a given month (the dependent variable) may depend on a combination of several independent variables, including: • • Simple regression can be used to estimate total cost (y), where: • • • (a) represents total fixed costs/amount of y when x = 0; (b) represents variable costs per unit; and (x) represents the production output and is the independent variable. Within the relevant range, cost behaviors are assumed to remain the same. Therefore, within the relevant range, fixed • • the number of working days in a month; worker counts and average hours per workday; machine capacity; and materials availability. Regression: Benefits Benefits of regression analysis include: It is easy to use when variables are known. If a strong relationship exists between the dependent variable and the independent variable(s), the equation will function as a valuable tool for forecasting outcomes. Simple linear regression only requires the use of one independent variable. Multiple regression is generally more accurate than simple regression, because most dependent variables are the function of more than one independent variable. Multiple regression considers the unique weight of each independent variable. Regression: Shortcomings It can be difficult to determine the appropriate independent variable(s) and the strength of the relationship between the independent variable(s) and the dependent variable. Perfectly positive correlation (+1.00) implies that the dependent and independent variables move together in the same direction. Perfectly negative correlation (–1.00) implies that the dependent and independent variables move in opposite directions. An increase/(decrease) in the independent variable produces an equivalent increase/(decrease) in the dependent variable. Factors selected as independent variables may not have a significant impact on the dependent variable. No correlation (0.00) implies that the dependent and independent variables are not related and movement in the independent variable cannot be used to predict movement in the dependent variable. The accuracy of a regression equation varies based on the data used to create the equation. A strong correlation does not necessarily imply that a change in one variable causes a change in the other (causation). The more volatile the historical data, the less likely a single equation will accurately predict outcomes. A qualitative question asked about each independent variable is, "Does this variable drive the outcome of another variable?" Coefficient of Correlation (r) If the answer is no, correlation will not indicate causation. The coefficient of correlation (r) measures the strength of the relationship between an independent variable (x) and the dependent variable (y). The higher the coefficient of correlation, the more accurate the regression model will be at forecasting values for the dependent variable. The range of (r) is from –1.00 to 1.00 When predicting total cost (the dependent variable) as a function of fixed costs, variable costs, and volume (independent variables), management's expectation is that the correlation coefficient will be from 0.00 to 1.00. Coefficient of Determination (R2) The coefficient of determination, R2, measures the strength of the relationship between the independent variable(s), x, and the dependent variable, y. The coefficient of determination: Represents the proportion of the total variation in the dependent variable explained by the independent variable(s). Has a value between 0 and 1. The higher the R2, the better the fit of the regression line and the more useful the regression equation is at forecasting values. For example, an R2 value of 0.85 indicates that the model explains 85 percent of the variation in the dependent and independent variable(s). This would indicate that the regression equation can be used to predict outcomes with a relatively high degree of accuracy. Learning Curve Analysis Learning curve analysis is based on the premise that the number of labor hours required to produce a unit will decline as experience is gained and production becomes more efficient. Increase in speed as production doubles For the learning curve analysis to be applied, the activity itself must be: • • • repetitive in nature; involve a significant amount of labor (where efficiencies from repetition can be gained); and have little to no labor-force turnover or breaks in production. Calculation Learning curve calculations require time estimates for production and reflect decreases in per-unit and average costs as production increases. To apply the cumulative average-time learning model, the calculation begins with the first unit/batch. As cumulative production doubles (from one unit to two units, to four units, to eight units, etc.), cumulative average time per unit falls to a fixed percentage (the learning curve rate) of the previous average time. Interpretation The output of the learning curve is used to interpret the magnitude of efficiency gains arising from increased production. Learning Curve: Benefits and Shortcomings Benefits Learning curve analysis produces a graphical and mathematical illustration of cost savings over time. A learning curve analysis can help a company predict costs based on varying levels of production by assuming that perunit costs will go down as efficiencies are gained. The steeper the learning curve the greater the cost savings. Shortcomings The cumulative average-time learning model requires a doubling of production to be applied, with the result that other production quantities, such as three units, six units, nine units, etc., are not included in the calculation. Over time the learning curve flattens, indicating that opportunities to reduce costs have diminished and that efficiencies may already be maximized. Expected Value Expected value is the weighted average of the outcomes of an action in which the values of the possible outcomes weighted by their probabilities. are Each outcome has value along with an associated probability, ranging from 0 percent to 100 percent. The sum of all probabilities must total 100 percent. To calculate expected value, each value is multiplied by its associated probability and the amounts are summed to produce the total expected value. Estimating Future Cash Flows A valuable application of the expected value technique is the estimation of future cash flows. When developing a cash budget, the amount and timing of inflows and outflows must be estimated. If a company estimates that outflows will exceed inflows over time, it may have to borrow from a line of credit or identify other funding sources. Benefits Easy to calculate The only inputs required are the individual values and their associated probabilities. Amounts and weights are easily adjusted to produce a new expected value. Shortcomings Expected values are based on estimates at a specific point in time. Probabilities are best guesses and, like estimated values, can easily be wrong. An expected value is likely to be different from any of the inputs used to create it. Analysis method to use if the economy changes: Sensitivity analysis 1B. Annual/Master Budgets Annual/Master Budgets Purpose: Created to provide the overall budget picture for an entity, consisting of operating and financial budgets based on multiple smaller budgets. Use: Used to provide comprehensive guidelines and financial targets. Time Frame: Built to capture activity for a one-year period (typically aligned with the fiscal year). Annual/Master Budgets: Components 1.Operating Budgets 1. Sales budget 2. Purchases budget 3. Production budgets 4. Selling and administrative budgets 2.Financial Budgets 1. Cash and capital purchases budgets 2. Pro forma balance sheet & statement of cash flows 3.Capital Budgets Annual/Master Budgets: Development • • • Strategy drives objectives Objectives drive the sales budget Sales drive most other budgets Annual/Master Limitations Budgets: Benefits and Benefits Most common budget system Attention given to resources to sustain sales forecast High-level view of component budgets Quick assessment of plan reasonableness and achievability Limitations High-level view confined to one year at a single level of activity May not account for seasonality or volume fluctuations if divided into equal monthly budgets Master Budgets: Incremental Changes Budget changes may result from: • • • • Economic changes Changes in the competitive landscape Technological advances New production efficiencies Project Budgeting Purpose: Created to estimate resources required to complete a large project. Use: Used to hold people accountable for spending relative to the budget. Time Frame: Appropriate for projects that span multiple time periods. View over multiple periods allows oversight of overall spending Allows for prioritization of project components when resources are limited Limitations Overspending the budget can negatively impact the rest of the organization Potential for understating time and resources needed for the purposes of gaining approval to proceed Project Budgeting: Incremental Changes Incremental changes impact both timelines and costs: Project Budgeting: Components 1.Funding Sources • • • Cash reserves Donor and grant dollars Debt or stock issuances 2.Estimated Expenses • • Materials, labor, and overhead Capital equipment purchases Project Budgeting: Development The project budget is directly tied to the scope of the project. Includes timetable for administrative approvals, reviews, and prioritization, as well as overall timetable for project completion. Timing of inflows (sources) and outflows (uses) is critical. Historical information and lessons learned from past projects are critical inputs Project Budgeting: Benefits and Limitations Benefits Frequent adjustments to start and end dates Refinements of cost estimates Calculating an incremental change: Start with the base project budget Adjust the timeline and/or cost estimates accordingly Activity-Based Budgeting Activity-Based Budgeting: Development Purpose: Created to allocate budget resources toward critical activities. 1.Record main and secondary activities that incur costs in an organization. 2. Assign costs based on resources needed by each activity. 3. Separate costs into homogeneous cost pools (units, batches, products, facilities). 4. Review historical data to accurately calculate cost pools logically tied to activities. 5. Identify the cost objects. 6. Forecast activities and related costs for each cost object. 7. Prepare the budget with costs specifically linked to individual activities. Use: Used in tandem with activity-based costing (ABC) to focus budgets on resourceconsuming activities and total cost management. Time Frame: Applied annually, but can be used for shorter periods. Activity-Based Budgeting: Components Activities: Production processes used to process a job that consumes resources Resources: Labor, materials, capital, and other inputs Resource Drivers: Measures of the quantity of resources consumed by an activity Activity-Based Limitations Budgeting: Benefits and Benefits Cost Pool: Collection of cost elements that have a common cause Clearly defines the relationship between activities and outputs Cost Object: Function, subdivision, contract, or work unit where costs are accumulated Compatible with continuous improvement efforts Cost (Activity) Drivers: Factors that influence or change the total cost of an activity Cost drivers should link an activity to the costs incurred to conduct the activity; e.g., number of shipments or weight of shipments (cost driver) drives shipping costs (activity) Forward-looking view More control over the budgeting process Limitations Time and effort needed to assess activities, determine cost pools, and identify related cost drivers Relationship between costs and activities not always possible to identify Short-term focus over long-term needs Zero-Based Budgeting Nonessential expenses are eliminated. Purpose: Created to eliminate the carryover of previous budgeted items that may no longer be needed or valid in the current period. Any legacy costs must be justified (rather than simply being carried over from a prior year). Limitations Use: Used to hold people accountable for defending all planned expenditures each year. Resource-intensive (annual preparations and justifications require significant work). Time Frame: Typically, these are annual operating budgets. Longer-term investments (training, R&D) may be sacrificed for shorter-term initiatives that tie directly to revenue. Zero-Based Budgeting: Components Starts with an expense baseline total of zero dollars. The budget is built by adding in expenses that are needed to maintain operations and achieve operating or financial goals. An expense justified in one year is not necessarily justified in the next year. Zero-Based Budgeting: Development 1. Establish the cost of existing services in the upcoming year. 2.Determine the budgetary and programmatic impact of not performing a service. 3. Prioritize the necessary services. 4. Select the services to be funded and the level at which each service is to be provided. 5. Prepare written justifications for all expenses and be prepared to defend them. Zero-Based Limitations Budgeting: Benefits and Benefits Budgets are more accurate and efficient because management is more aware of inefficient or wasteful programs and activities. Continuous (Rolling) Budgets Purpose: Created to provide a moving projection of financial operations for a series of weeks, months, or quarters immediately ahead. Use: Used to adapt to regularly changing circumstances and keep management involved in budgeting on a continuous basis. Time Frame: Generally covers one year at any point in time. The lapsed portion of the budget is removed at the end of each period and a new portion is added to the end, maintaining the length of the budget period. Information from the current period is used to adjust forecasted revenues and expenses for the rolling 12-month period. Continuous (Rolling) Budgets: Development To implement continuous budgeting effectively, several specific conditions are required: Overall volume of information must be reasonable proactive Benefits Allows a company to always have a full-year forecast in place Timely adjustments provide more accurate results because performance is based on current circumstances Requires a smaller amount of concentrated time to prepare Budget process stays in the forefront because it occurs so frequently Continuous (Rolling) Budgets: Mechanics Management must be critiquing each revision Continuous (Rolling) Budgets: Benefits and Limitations in Re-budgeting must be thorough Time must be allocated periodically to review actual results and adjust budget forecasts accordingly Limitations May over emphasize short-term results Timeliness and frequency required may lead to incomplete analysis Targets are ever changing, making performance management difficult Flexible Budgeting Purpose: An adjustable economic model designed to predict outcomes and accommodate changes in actual activity based on multiple sales targets and other input changes. Use: Answers the question: What should our revenues, expenses, and operating income be if we sell X number of units? Useful for performing variance analysis and what-if scenario analysis. Most useful when a significant level of uncertainty exists regarding sales volume, when per-unit revenues can be associated with per-unit costs, and when fixed costs are constant over the relevant range. Time Frame: Normally designed for shortterm periods, one year or less. Flexible Budgeting: Development Mechanics and The flexible budget establishes what the cost should be to produce at a specific level and what the impact on operating income should be at that level. The starting point is the master budget. The flexible budget uses the same unit sale price, variable costs per unit, and total fixed costs as the master budget. Revenues are calculated using sales units and a sale price per unit Expenses are separated into variable (perunit) and fixed (total) amounts Created over a relevant range of production, where variable costs per unit and total fixed costs are assumed to remain constant Multiple sales scenarios are then created Once the flexible budget is established, the operating income or loss is compared with the master budget to show the impact solely attributable to changes in sales volume. Flexible Budgeting: Benefits and Limitations Benefits Can be displayed for any volume level within the relevant range. Comparisons between actual and budgeted activity are not distorted by volume differences. Cost controls are stronger. Management is able to make decisions based on actual volume as it changes. Limitations Dependent on the accurate identification of costs and the relevant range; costs must be predictable and not change on a per-unit (variable) or total (fixed) level. Errors in the determination of the relevant range or inaccurate forecasts can distort performance evaluations. 1B. Annual Profit Plan and Supporting Schedules P1 Operating Budget Sales Budget Foundation for the entire budget process • • • First budget prepared Anticipated sales in units and dollars Drives the development of most other components of the budget Relationship Between Sales Budget and Other Budgets Sales Budget Serves as the starting point for various interconnected budgets The sales, production, and selling and administrative budgets collectively make up the operating budgets. Based on the sales forecast, which is developed using the following factors: • • • • • Production Budget Linked to the sales budget Outlines the number of units to manufactured to meet sales targets be Requires consideration of the direct materials, direct labor, and factory overhead budgets These budgets ultimately contribute to the cost of goods sold budget, providing insights into the cost structure and helping ensure production aligns with sales goals, promoting effective cost management and profitability. • • Components of the Sales Budget • • Estimated number of units sold for each product/service Estimated sales price per unit Considerations of the Sales Budget • Administrative Expense Budget The sales budget is not only the starting point for the production budget but is also the starting point for the sales and administrative expense budget. Past patterns of sales Sales staff estimates General economic conditions Competitors' actions Changes in the company's prices and product mix Results of market research studies Advertising and sales promotion plans • Broken into smaller periods, such as months or quarters Should include the impact of seasonal variations in sales Production Budget • • • Shows the units an entity expects to produce. Based on expected sales in units, and – budgeted beginning and + ending finished goods inventory levels. Foundation for each of the materials, labor, and overhead cost budgets. Inventory in the Production Budget Ending Finished Goods Inventory: function of sales volume, risk of stockouts, and cost of inventory maintenance Stockouts: company sells all inventory and cannot meet customer demand Inventory Maintenance Costs: insurance, rental fees, storage fees, obsolescence risk Relationship between sales, production, and inventory: Other Factors Impacting the Production Budget Policies Regarding Stable Production The goal should be to minimize production variability to reduce idle time during low production times and labor shortfalls during high production times. Condition of Production Equipment Newer Equipment: higher volume production at a more efficient pace of Older Equipment: often slower and needs more maintenance Availability of Production Resources Plentiful resources enhance production Scarce resources lead to lower production and sales Direct Materials, Overhead Budgets Direct Labor, and Relationship Between Direct Materials, Direct Labor, and Overhead Budgets The production budget drives direct materials, direct labor, and overhead budgets. Direct Materials: raw materials directly assigned to an individual unit of production Direct Labor: based on labor hours and rates associated with the individuals directly responsible for production Overhead: fixed and variable production costs not captured in direct materials or direct labor budget Direct Materials Budget: Inventory and Procurement Impact Examples of procurement policies include: • • • • • • • • Procurement objectives Procurement authority Procurement procedures Supplier selection and supplier diversity Competitive bidding Contract management Ethical standards Procurement key performance indicators (KPIs) Direct Materials Purchases Budget Number of units to be purchased: of The direct materials budget is based on: • • • • The number of units of raw materials needed for each unit of finished product + Desired beginning level inventory – Desired ending level of inventory Safety stock requirements o Reliability of suppliers o Time to receive inventory Direct Materials Policies Budget: Procurement Desired inventory levels and procurement policies play a role in the direct materials budget. Procurement policies are the set of rules that an organization establishes to acquire raw materials and components for its production processes. The effectiveness and efficiency of procurement policies can have a direct impact on the direct materials budget. Cost of materials to be purchased: Cost of direct materials used: Direct Labor Budget Examples of Variable Factory Overhead The direct labor budget is affected by several factors, including: • • Skill levels Contracts and hiring policies Benefit costs • • • • • Direct labor costs: Relationship Between Production Budgets Overhead and Overhead Costs: Necessary for production; cannot be directly assigned. Generally include both fixed and variable costs Production budget precedes overhead budget, as variable overhead varies directly with production levels Factory overhead applied using a cost driver such as labor or machine hours Overhead Cost Examples Examples of Fixed Factory Overhead • • • • • Depreciation (buildings/equipment) Insurance Taxes Indirect labor (production supervisors) and associated fringe benefits Utilities (flat rate) Supplies Indirect labor (quality assurance) and associated fringe benefits Utilities (tied to production levels) Maintenance (tied to production) Cost of Goods Sold Budget Cost of Goods Manufactured Budget Contribution Margin: Amount available for fixed costs and profit after paying variable costs Contribution margin per unit = Selling price per unit – Variable costs per unit Increases in variable SG&A reduce the contribution margin, unless the investment drives sales higher Use of the Contribution Margin Cost of Goods Sold Budget Understanding contribution margin is crucial in order for management to make informed decisions. The concepts of contribution margin per unit and total contribution margin are fundamental in performing breakeven analysis. Nonmanufacturing expenses The contribution margin per unit is used to calculate the breakeven point, which is the number of units a company must produce and sell in order to achieve zero operating profit or loss. Can be fixed or variable Operating Budget Combination of variable costs, step costs, and fixed costs Combines the following budgets: Selling and Administrative Budget Selling and Administrative Expenses and the Contribution Margin Contribution margin: how much a product contributes to covering its fixed cost Contribution margin = Sales – Variable costs • • • • • • • Sales Production Direct materials Direct labor Overhead Cost of goods sold Selling and administration 1B. Annual Profit Plan and Supporting Schedules: Part 2 Cash Budgets Ties together all the various components of operating, capital investing, and financing activities. Aligns with operating budgets, such as sales, purchases, production, and selling and administrative costs, by forecasting cash inflows and outflows derived from these activities. Aligns capital budgets with available funds and can provide insight on additional funding requirements for investing. Cash is included in the financial budgets on the balance sheet in pro forma financial statements, where we can see changes in long-term debt, common stock, and dividends being paid. Cash Receipts Budgets specify the amount and timing of cash expected to be collected from budgeted sales. Collections stem from current and prior period sales. To speed up collection, consider: • • • • Payment discounts Timely billing Electronic funds transfer Lockbox systems Credit Policies: Collections Credit policy impacts the demand for a company's products or services. Credit Period: length of time buyers given to pay for their purchases Credit Standards: required financial strength of customers paying on credit Detailed projections of cash receipts and disbursements derived from operating and capital budgets Collection Policy: how stringent a company is in collecting delinquent accounts Three major sections: Discounts offered to customers can speed up receivables collection. • • • Cash available Cash disbursements Financing Cash Balances Amount of cash on hand to fund operations and investments Balances available for use are limited by: • • Minimum cash-on-hand requirements Compensating balance agreements specifying the minimum amounts to be maintained in bank accounts Preparation of a Cash Receipts Budget The relationship between credit policies, purchasing (payables) policies, and the cash budget is important to financial management. Credit policies governing the terms offered to customers can significantly impact the timing and amount of cash receipts. The cash budget reflects the timing of cash inflows and outflows, requiring alignment with credit policies to predict cash collections from credit sales accurately. Cash Disbursements The cash outlays purchases, including: associated with Cash paid for purchases for the period Cash disbursements accounts payable to pay current Loan payments due in the current period Payables due and paid in the current period Current period expenses paid in cash during the current period Purchasing policies, including payment terms with suppliers, directly affect cash disbursements. There is a balance between: • • lenient credit terms to increase sales; and conservative payables policies. Timely payments from customers, influenced by credit policies, contribute to liquidity, highlighting the relationship between credit and cash receipts, purchasing and cash disbursements, and the cash budget for effective financial planning and control. Purchasing Policies: Disbursements Purchasing policy can significantly impact the cash budget. Companies may want to take advantage of discounts offered by vendors to pay faster. Balance the desire to receive the discount versus desire to maintain cash to fund other needs. Discounts may also be available for buying in bulk (bigger immediate outflow). Companies may also utilize lines of credit from the bank if cash is low. Financing Budget Used to project any shortfalls in the amount of cash available to meet needs. Shows the manner in which excess cash will be invested to ensure liquidity and adequate returns. Financing reflects a company's minimum cash requirements against its projected cash on hand after: • • All cash receipts are received. All cash disbursements are made. Preparation of Cash Budget The cash budget shows the planned receipts and disbursements for the period, plus any additional financing needs: Capital Expenditure Budget Budgets cover capital additions or continuations of capital projects over a multiyear period. Highly dependent on the availability of cash or credit Budgets require the development of a time line and assessment of purchase costs (and other outflows). Expenditure timeline to include: Asset purchase Associated costs to prepare asset for use Additional investments over the life of the asset Financing comes from borrowing and/or creation of cash reserve 1B. Top-Level Planning and Analysis Pro Forma Financial Statements Used to illustrate goals and objectives in financial terms. Visual projection of the effects of budgeting assumptions on financial statements and financial ratios. Three main pro forma statements: • • • Pro Forma Income Statement: Used to show expected revenues, expenses, and profits based on assumptions today. Pro Forma Balance Sheet: Used to identify balances of critical assets and amounts owed in the future. Pro Forma Statement of Cash Flows: Used to show probable cash inflows and outflows and to align purchases with available cash. Prepared from the following budgets: • • • Sales budget Cost of goods sold budget Selling and administrative expense budget Pro Forma Income Statement: Strategic Objectives Evaluation Strategic Objectives: organizational goals, long-term Projected impact of strategic objectives on long-term financial performance shown via the pro forma income statement Compare the pro forma to the actual results to assess the achievement of strategic goals. Preparation of Pro Forma Balance Sheets and Pro Forma Statements of Cash Flows Pro forma balance sheet requires forecasts of: Cash balances and other current assets (AR, inventory) Long-term asset acquisitions and disposals Anticipated accounts and notes payable New debt issuances or payoffs impacting long-term liabilities Equity, impacted by stock issuances, and retained earnings Pro forma cash flow created from: Pro forma income statement and balance sheet Forecasting Cash Short-Term Cash Forecasting Period: one to three months Focus on cash to fund working capital needs. Timing of cash receipts and disbursements is critical. Medium-Term Cash Forecasting Period: three months to one year Focus on working capital, investments, loan needs, impact of credit terms, and compliance with loan covenants. Pro formas are a critical component. Long-Term Cash Forecasting Period: excess of one year Focus on long-term liquidity needs and incorporates strategic objectives, capital expenditures, impact on ratios, and resource shortfalls. Pro formas are used to forecast. Projections: Impact Dividend Decisions of Financing and Effective financial management involves utilizing financial projections to assess the need for external financing and to determine an appropriate dividend policy. When projected cash inflows from operations fall short of meeting the requirements for future initiatives, companies can explore various avenues, such as: • • • • utilizing lines of credit; negotiating extended payment periods with vendors; adjusting spending plans; or raising additional funds through debt and/or equity financing. A company’s dividend policy plays an important role in shaping the company's cash position. Dividends are not mandatory, and the dividend policy is set and approved by a company’s board of directors. Determining the amount and frequency of dividend payouts is a strategic decision that directly impacts cash. Companies must consider the importance of providing returns to shareholders against the need to retain funds for reinvestment in the business. Balancing external financing and dividend policies is important. Aligning these financial decisions with the company's long-term goals ensures that the chosen strategies contribute to sustained growth. By managing external financing and dividend policies based on accurate financial projections, companies can: ─ improve their ability to meet future obligations; and capitalize on opportunities for growth. Benefits 1C. Cost and Variance Measures: Part 1 Budgets and Variances Variances: Definition and Uses Used as both a control and a performance management tool • • Cost center: managers are evaluated based on differences between actual and planned costs. Actual < Budget Revenue center: managers are evaluated based on differences between actual and budgeted revenue. Actual > Budget Profit center: evaluated based on differences between actual and budgeted profits. Actual > Budget Variance Budget Analysis Using the Master Performance Analysis: Actual to Budget The master (annual) budget uses a single level of activity. Variances compare the master budget with actual performance. Favorable variances occur when: • • Actual revenue exceeds budgeted revenue Actual expenses are less than budgeted expenses Unfavorable variances occur when: • • Relatively easy to calculate Useful in identifying variances that require further investigation Limitations Variances stem from differences between reality (actuals) and expectations (budget) • • • Actual revenue is less than budgeted revenue Actual expenses are greater than budgeted expenses • • Variances due to volume are not isolated Variances due to inefficiencies are not isolated Flexible Budgets Budgets presented volumes for multiple sales A more accurate reflection of expected sales, costs, and profits based on actual output Variances compare actual performance with budgeted performance given actual volume Main question: If I was correct about everything except my sales estimate, what would my numbers be expected to look like at the end of the period? Sales Variances Sales Variance Analysis Sales Mix Variance Accounts for sales of multiple products with different contribution margins Actual revenue and net income may differ from budgeted amounts even if sales volume meets projections Caused by an actual sales mix difference from budgeted sales mix Remember: The contribution margin must be per unit, multiply first total units sold by CM per unit then difference between actual and sales mix ratio 1B. Cost and Variance Measures: Part 2 • Management by Exception Focus is on areas with the largest variances between actual results and budget standards Effort is devoted to problem areas requiring further analysis and potential correction Analysis of variances can performance improvements lead to Variable (VOH) manufacturing overhead Favorable (F) variances result in higher operating income and unfavorable (U) variances result in lower operating income. Controllable variances are preventable and within management control, while uncontrollable variances are not preventable. Standard Costing System An accounting system aligned with flexible budgeting that captures standard costs per unit of output Standard costs are budgeted for all manufacturing costs (raw materials, direct labor, and manufacturing overhead) Standard input = Quantity of input allowed for a unit of output Standard price of a unit of input = Estimated price per unit of input used in the production of a unit of output DM Price Variance – Materials purchased Standard costing is useful for: • • • Cost control and improvements Performance evaluation analysis) Simplified bookkeeping process (variance DM quantity usage variance – Materials used Variance Calculations Using Standards Comparisons of actual costs to standards provide information on the efficiency and effectiveness of operations. Variances are typically manufacturing costs: • • • Direct Materials Variance calculated for Direct materials (DM) Direct labor (DL) Fixed manufacturing overhead (FOH) Interpretation for DM variances Favorable Price – purchasing dep was able to buy materials at a lower price: volume discount, bought lower quality items Unfavorable Price – Inflation or supply shortage increased costs, more expensive supplier, higher quality materials Favorable Usage – higher efficiency in production: better process, higher quality materials led to fewer defects/work, skilled labor minimized material waste Unfavorable rate – paid higher wages due to overtime labor shortages, more skilled workers, wage increase Favorable efficiency – higher productivity, skilled workers, better training, improved processes, technology/automation Unfavorable efficiency inefficient workflows, poor supervision, machine breakdowns, untrained workers, lower quality materials caused production delays Unfavorable Usage – Inefficiency in production, low quality material led to waste/spoilage, strict quality control rejecting more units Materials Mix Variance Direct Labor Variances Changing relative percentages for materials creates variances. DL Rate Variance Usage of multiple types of materials requires dividing the materials quantity variance into mix and yield variances. Materials quantity mix variances result from changing the actual mix of materials used relative to the planned standard mix of materials. DL Efficiency Variance Interpretations of Direct Labor Variances Favorable rate – lower-skilled workers, better labor contract (overtime avoided), lower wage inflation Materials Yield Variance Labor Yield Variance (Similar to DM Yield) Results from changes in the actual total quantity used for all types of materials compared with the planned quantity given the actual output. Result from changes in the actual total hours used by all classes of labor relative to the planned hours allowed for the actual output. Labor Mix Variance (Similar to DM Mix) Usage of multiple labor rates for different workers requires dividing the labor efficiency variance into mix and yield variances. Manufacturing Variance One-Way Variance Labor mix variances result from changing the weighted average rate for labor due to changing the actual mix relative to the standard mix Two-Way Variance Three-Way Variance Variances for Service Companies Product costs include direct labor costs and overhead costs. Labor efficiency and rate variances are very useful, as spending more time than anticipated or paying a higher rate per hour will produce unfavorable cost variances Selling more services or charging higher rates than planned will produce favorable revenue variances Sales mix and sales quantity variances are useful when the entity provides more than one service Summary for Overhead Variances Four-Way Variance 1C. Responsibility Centers Contribution Margin Types of Responsibility Centers Measures the excess of revenues over variable costs Responsibility centers = strategic business units (SBUs) Responsibility centers are classified into four groups based on how managers are held accountable for financial performance: Cost Center: performance based controlling costs (not exceed budget) • • • on Sales of merchandising department Financial services Consulting firms Profit Center: performance based managing both revenues and costs • on Store location of chain restaurants Investment Center: performance based on return on assets invested • Controllable margin by responsibility center = Contribution margin – Controllable fixed costs (done by management) Human Resources/IT Accounting Department Legal Department Revenue Center: performance based on generating revenues (how much was made) • • • Reflects the dollar amount available to cover fixed costs with the excess as profits Subsidiary companies Common Costs Common costs are the costs of support services, such as accounting, IT, and HR, that are shared by more than one responsibility center. Common costs are uncontrollable costs. Costs of operating a business that cannot be allocated on any cause-and-effect basis to any specific user or division. Examples of common costs are • • Reporting Segments Responsibility centers can be subdivided into additional areas of accountability where managers are held accountable for: • • • • • • Product lines or service Geographic areas Customers Production Process Time/Shifts Distribution channels wholesale, retail) • Chief executive officer's salary, Costs of the financial reporting function of the accounting department Costs of the budget department Common costs should be allocated among benefiting responsibility centers using one of the following methods: ─ Dual allocation ─ Stand-alone cost allocation (agent, ─ Incremental cost allocation Allocation of common costs links responsibility centers to the performance of the larger organization. Common Cost Allocation: Dual Method The dual method, or dual pricing, allocates variable overhead costs based on utilization and fixed overhead costs according to capacity. Common Method Cost Allocation: Stand-Alone Each user department is allocated part of the common costs based on usage. Common Method Cost Allocation: Incremental The largest department (primary user) is allocated all the costs it would bear if it was the only department. All fixed common costs and a portion of the variable costs go to the primary user, with the remaining variable costs allocated to the other departments. Issues With Common Cost Allocation Common costs do not cease to occur because a segment is discontinued. All common costs should be allocated to the segments and are factored into the prices charged to customers. Allocation of centralized departmental costs to benefitting segments should be fair, reasonable, and transparent. Segment managers cannot control the common costs allocated to their areas. Systems and training are required for staff to gather the information needed to allocate common costs equitably. Reasons to allocate the common costs of a firm to the individual centers include: • • Proper valuation of inventory Proper matching of revenue and expense • Desire to show the full cost of products to aid in pricing decisions 1C. Transfer Pricing Involves setting a price for a product or service when an exchange occurs between different units within the same organization Most relevant within vertically integrated organizations where one department produces component units (intermediary products) used by another department Used to determine departmental operating income Has no impact on financial statements because these transactions are eliminated in a consolidated presentation Transfer Pricing Methodologies The five recognized methods are: • • • • • transfer pricing Variable cost Full cost Market price Negotiated price Dual-rate pricing Arm’s length transaction: Neither part has anything to do with the other, fair price between two parties Variable Cost Method Transfer price is set equal to the incremental variable costs incurred by the selling unit Advantages Useful when the division is operating below full capacity = no operating cost Incentivizes managers to buy internally Disadvantages Fixed costs are not covered, resulting in a loss to the selling division Losses may performance managers reflect negatively on the of selling department Full Cost Method Transfer price set equal to variable cost per unit plus fixed costs of the selling unit Advantages Useful when SBUs are cost centers and all costs must be covered Easy to implement and understand Preferred by taxing authorities Disadvantages Standard costs must be used to avoid potential price manipulation Standard costs require selling division to bear all inefficiencies as result of production Using actual costs may lead to inefficiencies of the selling division transferred to the buying division Market Price Method Transfer price is the current external selling price between willing buyers and sellers Advantages Optimal method when the market is wellestablished Easier to comply transaction standards with arm's-length Incentives for units to remain autonomous and maintain competitive pricing Disadvantages Market prices may not be readily available External supplier discounts not recognized. (no bulk discounts etc) Negotiated Price Method Transfer price established as a negotiation between the purchasing manager and the selling manager Advantages Practical and honest approach Works well when market information is available and known Transfer prices should not be set higher than market prices. In case of excess capacity the decision rule for an acceptable transfer price: Variable cost + Opportunity cost < Transfer Pricing < Market Price Internal negotiations are needed to determine a fair price for both departments Disadvantages Effect of International Operations on Transfer Pricing Related party negotiations may not meet arm's-length standards Operational and Transactional Issues That Impact Transfer Pricing Potential asymmetric power and experience between sides Expropriation: the risk of foreign governments seizing a multinational corporation's (MNCs) assets may lead a department in an area with high risk of expropriation to lower its transfer prices and profits Time-consuming Dual Pricing Method Selling department records the sale at the market price and buying department records the purchase at variable cost Advantages Both departments benefit: the seller earns a profit and the buyer minimizes costs Encourages internal transfers because profit is shared between departments Disadvantages Adds complexity to the accounting records Transfers must be eliminated at their original prices, causing the creation of a pending account until the transactions are reduced to zero Outside Suppliers and Opportunity Costs The overall profit margin for a company is negatively impacted when outside suppliers who charge more than an internal department are used. Minimization of Customs Charges and Tariffs: lower transfer prices reduce the customs charges and tariffs to be paid by the importing department Currency Restrictions: lower transfer prices limit foreign subsidiary profits and reduce/eliminate earnings restrictions Exchange Rate Fluctuation: managers may set transfer prices designed to protect the company from fluctuations in exchange rates Availability of Skills and Materials: the availability of skills and materials in a country may impact transfer prices Arm's-Length Test: Taxation The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)'s model treaty establishes transfer prices using an arm's-length test. Transfer prices between units should be valued in the same manner as third-party transactions to avoid undervaluing transactions in order to reduce taxes. Acceptable Methods Comparable Price Method: transfer prices set using the market prices for unrelated parties Resale Price Method: transfer price set as the sale price less the markup associated with unrelated parties Cost-Plus Method: transfer price is set as the cost of production plus normal markup Advance Pricing Agreements (APAs): transfer prices set in an agreement between MNC and taxing authorities 1C. Performance Measures: Part 1 Performance Measures Alignment With Strategy Operational goals and objectives for an entity should align with its strategic objectives. Individual employee performance should be evaluated relative to goals and objectives for the entity overall. Performance Assessment Involves identifying measures (drivers) of success and tracking performance against those measure Measures (both financial and nonfinancial) should be quantifiable Examples of drivers include: • • • • • • • • • Profitability Productivity Quality Inventory management Preventive maintenance Performance to schedule Capacity utilization Innovation and internal processes Human resource management Employee Feedback To be effective, feedback should be: • • • • • • Tangible and actionable Aligned with goals User-friendly and transparent Timely Ongoing Consistent Product Profitability Analysis Used to evaluate profitability for a product or products at a point in time or over a given period of time Unprofitable products may need to be discontinued or repriced with potential adjustments to the production process Marginal (incremental) costs and opportunity costs must be analyzed to determine whether to continue to invest resources Factors to incorporate into the analysis include: • • • • • Contribution margin Avoidable fixed costs Reallocating capacity for another more profitable purpose Impact on sales revenue of other products (loss leaders may attract customers to profitable products) Impact on employee morale Business Unit Profitability Analysis Higher-level decisions made regarding continuing operations or closing segments or units Decision point involves comparing avoidable fixed costs to lost contribution margins from dropping a segment Keep the segment if: lost contribution margin > avoidable fixed costs Drop the segment if: lost contribution margin < avoidable fixed costs Factors to incorporate into the analysis are the same as the factors for product profitability analysis Customer Profitability Analysis Used to understand profitable customers and the resources consumed by each customer Helps management identify customers who contribute the most to operating income and should therefore receive the most attention Customers who contribute low margins or are unprofitable should be converted into profitable customers or eliminated Challenges With Profitability Assessments It may be difficult to accurately measure costs. Contingent on ability to measure. Whereas direct costs are easily measured and attributable to an individual unit, product, or customer, indirect (overhead) costs must be allocated using cost drivers. Investment decisions require accurate assessments of resources and the timing and amount of resources needed. Valuation of assets and liabilities assigned in business unit profitability analysis can be challenging. Conducting Profitability Analysis Performed by matching product revenues with product costs Key considerations: Allocation of fixed costs costs are Business Unit Profitability Analysis Performed by matching revenues and costs business unit Key considerations: Margin is the difference between total revenue and total costs. "Controllable margin" here refers to the portion of the margin that a company can directly influence or control through operational and strategic decisions. Controllable costs typically include variable costs and can be adjusted through management decisions; Materials, labor, and some overhead. Controllable margin is a key performance indicator for many businesses as it indicates how well a company is managing its controllable expenses to generate profit 1. Divide the customer base into segments (needs of customers, product, geography, demographics). 2. Calculate total revenue by segment. 3. Allocate direct and indirect overhead costs to each segment and determine the contribution margin by customer. 4.Analyze customer segments to determine relative customer profitability. 5. Decide which customers to focus efforts on and which to let go. 6. Review strategies to evaluate the overall effect on company profitability. Profitability Analysis: Disadvantages Allocation of fixed costs Determining whether fixed controllable by unit managers Decisions based on controllable margin refer to business or financial decisions where the focus is on controlling and optimizing margin. Customer Profitability Analysis: Steps Product Profitability Analysis Determining whether fixed avoidable or unavoidable Decisions Based on Controllable Margin costs are Advantages and Advantages Maximizing time and resources away from unprofitable areas and toward profitable ones Better understanding of costs for products, units, and customers Better data analysis helps managers understand long-term profitability and make informed decisions Disadvantages High costs to invest in systems that capture data Challenging to implement advanced management and cost accounting techniques Risk of dropping unprofitable products or services to the detriment of customers Long time period required to truly benefit from profitability analysis Profitability Analysis: Nonfinancial Factors Nonfinancial factors should be considered before discontinuing a product line, business unit, or relationship with a customer, including: • • • • • • • Growth and long-term potential Market share potential Marketing and advertising Resource alignment Leadership and management Customer loyalty Network Results of Profitability Analysis As a result of managers may: • • • • profitability analysis, Change the pricing structure Identify products to promote Identify the focus of promotional efforts Identify customer segments to target and maintain • • Identify which customers, products, or business units to target for improvement and growth Take action regarding unprofitable products, business units, or customers 1C. Performance Measures: Part 2 Measures of Profitability • • Return on Investment (ROI) Assessment of percentage return relative to the level of assets Good performance measure for investment SBUs Useful when measured against a hurdle rate Used to compare performance over several accounting periods Limitations • • • Short-term focus Potentially misleading due to differences in accounting policies or valuation methods Additional investments increase the denominator and lower the ratio, creating a disincentive to invest in new assets Residual Income Used to measure the excess of operating income earned over the return required Rate of return (hurdle rate) options: WACC, cost of equity, or a target return Return on Investment (ROI)—Alternative Formula In the numerator, ROI may be calculated using net income (income after taxes) instead of operating income In the denominator, ROI may be calculated using the amount of investment capital instead of total assets Performance measure for investment SBUs Positive = Meeting standards Negative = Not meeting standards Residual Income: Benefits and Limitations Benefits • ROI: Benefits and Limitations Benefits • Relatively easy to calculate • Profitability measure based dollars, not percentages Straightforward interpretation on Limitations • Target rate subjective of return highly • Comparisons are distorted due to dollar comparisons of units that may differ in size Appropriate Usage of ROI and RI • • • • Comparing investment opportunities Short-term decision making Resource allocation Communicating performance to stakeholders Benchmarking performance against industry standards or competitors Tracking marketing and sales effectiveness Evaluating capital expenditure projects Start-up and entrepreneurial ventures RI is suitable in the following situations: • • • • • • • • Evaluating decentralized business units Aligning management incentives with organizational goals Long-term performance assessment Investment project evaluation Identifying underperforming units Measuring value creation Comparing alternative business strategies Shareholder value analysis Measurement Profitability Issues • • ROI is suitable in the following situations: • • • • • Affecting Large investments in advertising and promotions for a new product Significant gains on asset dispositions (or losses) Differing methods of depreciation Other Measurement Issues • • • • • • Differences in inventory costing methodologies (LIFO, FIFO, weighted average, etc.) Cost allocation methodologies used for joint assets shared among departments Variations in the value of assets used in rate-of-return calculations Differences in asset capitalization policies and thresholds Using full absorption costing versus variable costing Disposition of variances may be entirely to COGS or prorated between COGS, WIP inventory, and finished goods inventory Balanced Scorecards (BSC) Balanced Scorecard Used to gather information on multiple dimensions of an organization's performance. Describes the classifications of the critical success factors, strategic goals, tactics, and related measures. Revenue and Expense Recognition The strategy of the company must be the core of the scorecard. Performance evaluation is used to compare entities to standards and to each other. Only the most critical measures should be included (related to KPIs). Comparability may be inhibited by the following revenue and expense recognition issues: Balance needed between short-term and long-term sustainability • Non-recurring income items that distort Balanced Scorecard Perspectives Financial Measures: ROA, ROI, margins, turnover ratios, etc. profit Often linked to the four perspectives of the balanced scorecard Nonfinancial: Internal Business Processes: measures of quality and efficiency Customer Satisfaction: measures related to customer retention, repeat visits, etc. Learning and Growth: measures focused on training and development of personnel Characteristics of an Effective Balanced Scorecard Balanced scorecard should be used for measuring performance and setting rewards. Top-level managers must be committed to leading the process. Scorecard objectives should be in part based on employee feedback The scorecard should be communicated to all employees within an organization. Employees should understand the links between the different perspectives on the scorecard. Strategy Map Graphical depiction of a company's strategy Used to evaluate and review progress toward the achievement of strategic objectives Outlines overall strategic goals and helps employees see where they fit in the achievement of overall goals Critical Success Factors Performance Indicators CSFs and KPIs are complementary concepts. and Key distinct, but CSFs are the critical elements an organization must focus on to achieve its strategic objectives. KPIs are used to measure performance and progress toward strategic objectives. KPIs can be quantitative or qualitative. Both CSFs and KPIs are crucial for strategic planning, performance management, and decision making in an organization. Evaluating an Organization Using CSFs and KPIs CSFs are the fundamental areas and activities an organization must excel in to achieve its mission and strategic objectives. CSFs can be measured using KPIs. KPIs are specific metrics that are used to monitor performance and assess the effectiveness of strategies to identify areas that require adjustments. Useful KPIs provide objective evidence of progress towards the organization's CSFs. Management should link KPI and CSF identification to the four perspectives of the balanced scorecard. • • Cost Objects Cost objects (objectives) are resources or activities that serve as the basis for management decisions. Product costs (manufacturing costs) Direct materials (DM), direct labor (DL), manufacturing overhead (OH) Prime costs = DM + DL; Conversion costs = DL + OH Treated as inventory and part of cost of goods sold when sold Period costs (nonmanufacturing costs) Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses and interest expenses • Indirect materials (e.g., cleaning supplies, safety equipment) Indirect labor (e.g., QA staff, maintenance workers) Other indirect costs (e.g., rent, property taxes, insurance, utilities) Cost Behavior (Fixed vs. Variable) Fixed Costs (fixed overhead and fixed SG&A costs) Does not change as the cost driver changes (assuming within the relevant range); outside of the relevant range or over time, may change Varies per unit; total remains constant Variable Costs (direct materials, direct labor, variable overhead, and variable SG&A costs) Changes proportionally with the cost driver Treated as expenses in the period incurred Constant per unit; total varies Cost Pools and Cost Assignments Mixed Costs Cost pools are collections of cost elements assigned to cost objects using a common basis of allocation. Semi-variable costs (contain both fixed and variable components) Costs are assigned to cost pools using direct tracing (direct costs) or allocation (indirect costs). Direct costs are easily traceable to a cost pool or object. • • Direct materials (cost of materials purchased and used in production) Direct labor (cost of labor related to production) Indirect (overhead) costs are not easily traceable to a cost pool or object and are typically incurred to benefit two or more cost pools or objects. Time Frame and Cost Classifications The relevant range is the range for which cost driver assumptions are valid. When the cost driver activity is outside of the range, variable and fixed cost assumptions for that driver cannot be used to allocate costs. In the long run, most costs will be variable. Analyzing Mixed Costs Using Regression Analysis Total costs are separated into their fixed and variable components for management to: • predict future cost behavior; and/or • facilitate making. operational decision Overhead may be traditional costing allocated using Regression analysis is: one method used to separate mixed costs into their fixed and variable components; a statistical tool that explains cause and effect relationships and depicts this relationship in a linear function; and often used to depict the change in total production cost (effect) in response to a change in quantities (cause). Analyzing Mixed Costs Regression is used to estimate the relationship between the dependent variable and the independent variable or variables. Simple linear regression involves one dependent variable (total costs) and one independent variable (volume or activity). Step 1: Calculate the predetermined overhead rate (Budgeted overhead costs ÷ Estimated cost driver) Step 2: Apply overhead (Actual cost driver × Overhead rate) Activity-based costing (ABC) may also be used to allocate overhead. Variable Overhead Expenses: Allocation Bases Examples: • • • Direct labor hours or dollars Engineering or testing hours Machine hours Units produced Fixed Overhead Expenses: Allocation Bases Examples: • • • Variable Fixed Overhead Allocation Using Cost Drivers Cost Drivers and Costs Incurred Indirect costs are allocated to cost pools or objects using cost drivers (allocation bases) such as labor hours, machine hours, units produced, square footage, etc. Cost drivers should have a strong relationship to the incurrence of costs • Budgeted usage (machine hours, labor hours) Budgeted level of service or operation (units of production expected) Physical capacity (total units that may be produced) Floor space (e.g., for building depreciation and property taxes) Overhead Allocation Methods Corporate-wide overhead (single overhead rate) Applied to all departments using a volumebased cost driver Costs measured as follows: Departmental overhead (multiple overhead rates) Unique cost drivers applied to each department Most accurate measurement system Individual cost driver rate Individual rates for within a department different activities Overhead Allocation Methods: Benefits and Limitations Corporate-wide overhead (single overhead rate) • • Easy to use and allocation base is consistent across entire entity Overhead costs assigned to activities may be over- or underestimated Departmental overhead (multiple overhead rate) • • More accurate assignment of costs when there are multiple products produced in multiple departments Requires identification and tracking of cost drivers by department Individual cost driver rate • • Most accurate method of allocation Complex and time-consuming Information is not timely because actual costs are not computed until after the conclusion of the production period Not useful for strategic performance measurement planning or Underutilized capacity situations cause significant fluctuations in per-unit costs Normal Costing Uses actual costs for direct materials and labor and normal costs for overhead Normal Costs: normally incurred during manufacturing Overhead application computed by applying a predetermined overhead allocation rate cost Cost Measurement Techniques No fluctuations in overhead costs per unit Actual Costing No effect of over- or underutilized capacity on per-unit inventory costs Uses actual production costs incurred during Used when cost measurement is required for a specific job Provides timely product costs information regarding Leads to variances because actual overhead incurred will likely differ from applied overhead Standard Costing Most common measurement system used Measures the costs the company expects to incur during production Aids in cost control and reductions Provides information for performance evaluation, planning, and management by exception Time-consuming and may be subjective Differences between actual costs standard costs will produce variances and 1D. Measurement Concepts: Part 2 Absorption Approach vs. Contribution Approach Absorption Costing Contribution Margin Ratio: Contribution margin / Revenue Benefits • • • Allows separation and tracking of variable and fixed costs Greater reliability of net income as inventory is not a factor Contribution margins are isolated and useful for decision making Limitation Required for financial reporting Does not segregate fixed and variable costs All manufacturing costs are treated as product costs and included in inventory and COGS Benefit • Method required by U.S. GAAP and IFRS Limitations • • Inventory impacts net income because fixed costs are a component of product costs Net income is less reliable than under the variable costing method Variable Costing (Contribution Approach) • Not GAAP and cannot be used for financial reporting Absorption Approach vs. Contribution Approach Fixed factory overhead Absorption Costing: product cost (included in inventory and COGS when sold) Contribution Approach: period cost (expensed when incurred; COGS includes only variable manufacturing costs) Selling, general, expenses and administrative Period costs under both approaches Effect on income Production = Sales: operating income equal under both approaches Production > Sales: absorption net income > contribution net income Production < Sales: contribution net income > absorption net income Useful for internal decision making Joint Product Costing and By-product Costing (Common Cost Allocation) Key calculations Joint Product and By-product Costing Contribution Margin: Sales price – Variable costs Applied when two or more final products are produced from the same raw material or input Requires allocating the cost of a single process (joint costs) to several final products Joint Product Terminology and By-product Costing Joint Products: two or more products generated from a common input that are significant outputs of the manufacturing process By-products: minor products of relatively small value incidental to the manufacturing process Split-off Point: point in the production process at which joint products can be recognized as individual products Joint Product Costs (Joint Costs): costs incurred in producing products up to the split-off point Separable Costs: costs incurred on a product after the split-off point Product value is not considered, potentially leading to a distorted cost allocation Product profitability is not considered Relative Sales Value at Split-off Point Method Used to allocate joint costs if the sales price at the split-off point is known or can be determined Assigns costs to separate joint products based on market values at the split-off point Used when the value of joint products is an indicator of how costs should be allocated to products Considers the value of products, unlike the physical measure method Does not work if market prices cannot be determined easily or if the product cannot be sold without further processing Net Realizable Value (NRV) Method Joint Cost Allocation Methods 1 Physical measure or allocation by unit volume relationships method 2 Relative sales value at split-off point method 3 Net realizable value (NRV) method 4 Constant gross profit margin method Physical Measure or Allocation by Unit Volume Relationships Method Method where joint costs are allocated based on physical measures (quantity, volume, output in units) Useful when volume is representative of costs incurred Easy to compute and use Used when sale values at split-off are not available because there are no markets for the joint products Joint costs are allocated based on the NRV rather than on the sales value Cannot be used if NRV is negative (identifiable costs incurred after split-off > final selling price) Constant Gross Profit Margin Method Joint costs are allocated so that each joint product has the same gross profit margin Easy to use when inventory volume is high Can be used even if products require separate processing costs after the split-off point Only theoretical in nature, as each product in reality would not have the same gross profit margin Compute gross profit using the following steps: 1. Calculate gross profit margin percentage on all products 2. Calculate the target gross profit (dollars) for each product 3. Allocate joint costs using the following formula: Sales – Separate costs – Target gross profit By-products By-products are outputs of relatively minor value incidental to the manufacturing process which have relatively low sale values. Accounting for revenue from by-products can take two forms: Applied to main product as a reduction to common costs for joint product costs Miscellaneous Income 1D. Measurement Concepts: P3 Costing P1 Cost Accumulation Systems Used to assign costs to products and driven by the cost object involved Two primary options • • Job costing (when the cost object is a custom order) Process costing (when the cost object is a mass-produced, homogeneous product) Cost of Goods Manufactured and Sold Costs allocated to a specific job as it moves through the process Job-Cost Records (Sheets or Orders) Maintained for each product, service, or batch of products Include materials requisitions, labor time cards, and accumulated overhead records Job-Order Costing: Benefits and Limitations Benefits • • • Useful for customized products or services Costs and profitability for each job are accounted for separately Management can track and control costs at the job level Limitations • • Job Order Costing Strategic Value of Cost Information Understanding the true cost of production helps management set reasonable sale prices per unit. Depending on the product (unique and identifiable or mass produced), the product costing method chosen can save significant time and effort. Overhead allocations are based on the expected and actual incurrence of costs Method of product costing that identifies the job or units or batches as the cost objective Used when each unit is unique or easily identifiable and there are relatively few units Time-consuming and costly Not suitable when similar processes are repeated to produce a large volume of products Process Costing Method of costing that averages costs and applies them to a large number of homogeneous units Costs incurred are accumulated over a period of time and divided by the number of units produced to determine cost per unit Cost allocation between ending WIP and finished goods involves the following steps: • • • • • Use production report to summarize the flow of physical units Calculate "equivalent units" of output Accumulate total costs Calculate average unit costs based on total costs and equivalent units Apply average costs to units completed and units remaining in WIP inventory Process Costing: Key Terms Units Started and Completed: work is started and completed during the period Ending Work-in-Process Inventory (EWIP): incomplete units at the end of the period Equivalent Unit An equivalent unit of direct material or conversion costs (direct labor plus factory overhead) is the amount necessary to complete one unit of production. Benefits • • • Limitations • Production Report Captures costs incurred and units produced and includes beginning and ending inventory, units started, and units completed Number and amount of units and costs accounted for must equal number of units and amount of costs charged to the department Key Terms Beginning Work-in-Process Inventory (BWIP): units not completed at the end of the previous period Units Started During the Period: units on which work started during the period Units Completed/Produced/Transferred Out: units completed during the period Very useful when homogeneous products are manufactured Requires less tracking relative to joborder costing, as individual unit cost is not required Used to estimate product costs, which aids in setting prices • • • Time and effort required to estimate percentage completion for work-inprocess Not suitable for custom orders Does not always reflect true production costs and average costs may be misleading when prices fluctuate Does not capture individual department or worker productivity Spoilage (or Shrinkage) Overapplied Overhead: applied overhead > actual overhead Normal spoilage Occurs during regular operating conditions Included in the standard cost of the manufactured product Capitalized as part of inventory costs Abnormal spoilage Credit balance in overhead account the manufacturing Production greater than expected or actual overhead less than expected Misapplication of Overhead Immaterial misapplication Should not occur under normal operating conditions Excluded from the standard cost of the manufactured product Expensed separately on the income statement as a period expense Overapplied and Underapplied Overhead Difference between actual and applied overhead is closed out and offset against COGS Underapplied overhead = COGS increased Overapplied overhead = COGS decreased Material misapplication difference between actual and applied overhead results in adjustments to WIP inventory, finished goods inventory, and COGS Underapplied overhead = increases to WIP, finished goods, COGS Overapplied overhead = decreases to WIP, finished goods, COGS WIP, finished goods, and COGS are adjusted on a pro rata basis according to their relative ending balances Overhead is applied under job costing and process costing using an overhead application rate. Applied overhead is compared with actual overhead. Underapplied Overhead: applied overhead < actual overhead Debit balance in overhead account the manufacturing Production less than expected or actual overhead greater than expected 1D. Costing Systems: Part 2 Strategic Value of Cost Information Activity-Based Costing ABC improves allocation accuracy by highlighting non-value-added activities that management can eliminate and by focusing on value-added activities. Traditional Allocations vs. Activity-Based Cost Volume-Based Costing Traditional costing system with single cost pool, allocation base, and overhead application rate Cost drivers are volume-based (direct labor hours, machine hours) Can distort cost allocations to product lines Appropriate when volume is a significant and consistent driver of overhead costs Activity-Based Costing (ABC) Based on the assumption that resourceconsuming activities drive costs Indirect costs assigned to products based on product's demand for resourceconsuming activities Improves cost distortions allocation by removing Appropriate for activities with unique cost drivers and multiple overhead cost pools Using Activity-Based Costing Service companies may present a greater challenge for ABC application than manufacturing companies because service companies do not have significant inventory or direct labor/materials. Resource needs can vary significantly, making ABC's focus on multiple causes (activities) and effects (costs) a good choice. Intense competition between service companies requires a forward-looking view from a cost and pricing standpoint. ABC facilitates improved cost and pricing decisions by allocating costs using cost drivers and not volume. Whereas traditional costing provides few incentives to managers to optimize activities and resource consumption to control overhead, ABC helps companies optimize activities and resource consumption. Terminology Activity: any work performed inside a company Activity Centers: any operation necessary to produce a product Resource: an element used to perform an activity Cost Drivers: activity bases closely correlated to the incurrence of manufacturing overhead costs and often used as allocation bases for applying overhead costs to cost objects Resource Cost Driver: amount of resources used by an activity Activity Cost Driver: amount of activity a cost object will use Cost Pool: a group of costs or identified cost center in which costs are grouped, assigned, or collected Value-Added Activity: an activity that increases the overall value of the product or service Steps for Activity-Based Costing Service Costs Allocation Using ABC 1. Identify the activities (unit-level, batch-level, product-level, facilitysustaining, customer-level). 2. Identify the cost drivers. 3. Accumulate the costs into cost pools. 4. Trace indirect costs to activity centers. 5. Allocate remaining indirect cost pools. 6. Divide assigned costs by level of activity for the cost center. 7. Cost the product. Activity-Based Limitations Costing: Benefits and Benefits • • • • Produces superior information for decision making relative to traditional costing based on more accurate cost allocations Identifies activities that drive costs and value-added versus non-valueadded activities Highlights relationships between activities and contributes to process improvement and continuous quality improvement Cost/benefit analyses, make-or-buy decisions, contract bidding, and resource allocations are all more accurate Limitations • • • Cost/benefit relationship and identification of correct cost drivers may be difficult to establish Time consuming and costly to implement relative to traditional costing system Ignores nonquantifiable factors Allocations of Service Department Costs Service departments provide support to production departments and to other service departments. Service department costs (e.g., HR and IT) are an input into the production process. These costs are a part of overhead and should be allocated to the production departments that they serve. Several methods can be used to allocate service department costs: • • • • Direct method Step-down method Dual-rate method Reciprocal method Direct Method: Application Each service or support department's total costs are allocated directly to production departments No recognition of service departments' usage of other service departments Application rate calculated by taking total service department costs and dividing costs by total usage of the department Rate applied to each production department based on its usage Step-Down Method: Application Service department costs allocated to production departments and other service departments Application rate includes usage by all benefitting departments Dual-Rate Method: Application Steps include: Determine the percentage of fixed versus variable costs. Appropriate for fully capturing the total cost of a product from start to finish Calculate overhead application rates for the fixed and variable costs. Multiply the rates by the volume-based measure for the variable rate and the relative usage of capacity for the fixed rate. Reciprocal Method: Application Considers all reciprocal flows of services between service departments Equations established for all departmental costs and solved using simultaneous equations Life-Cycle Costing: Benefits and Limitations Benefits • • • Steps include: 1. Determine the percentage of the total cost driver used by each department. 2. Calculate the total reciprocal costs attributed to each service department. 3. Allocate these reciprocal costs to the appropriate departments. Life-Cycle Costing Accounts for costs incurred prior to manufacturing (upstream costs), costs incurred during the manufacturing process, and costs incurred after manufacturing (downstream costs) Beneficial for fully capturing the total cost of a product or service Expands on traditional and ABC costing by measuring costs over the entire life of the product (not just the manufacturing process) from R&D through the finished product Used as a basis for cost planning and product pricing Reports costs and profits over the entire product/service life cycle Provides information useful for cost control and pricing/bidding Useful in circumstances where upstream costs are a significant portion of the total cost Limitations • • Difficulty in estimating product life and future costs for a long period of time Requires considerable time and effort 1D. Supply Chain Management Supply Chain Management (SCM) Supply Chain: system of organizations, people, activities, resources, and information needed to transfer items from suppliers to customers Goods and Services Flow: • • • • • raw material providers manufacturers wholesalers retailers customers Functions: planning, sourcing, producing, and delivering Goals of Supply Chain Management Manage inventories at a channel-wide level and reduce investments in inventory and total costs Coordinate planning efforts within the supply chain Design and implement compatible systems between supply chain members Value Stream Mapping: identify all activities that add value to customers and reduce/eliminate those that do not Flow Design: use customer demand as a basis for resource allocation Establish Demand-Pull Systems: design work processes that reduce inventory levels Continuous Improvement: continuously measure performance to perform only value-added activities and eliminate waste Lean Resource Management: Operational Benefits Reductions in human effort, inventories, product development times, storage space needs, waste, and overall costs Increased customer satisfaction through timely production and delivery Production of customer-demanded amounts, avoiding excess storage and increasing production efficiency Reduction of non-value-added costs of reworks, scrap, and defective units Reduce the number of suppliers Improved employee morale and supplier relationships Share risks, rewards, and information More time for employee innovation Manage information technology to speed physical and information flows Improved operational income and higher profitability Lean Resource Management Techniques Lean resource management invests resources only in value-added activities Focuses on reducing inefficiencies and waste Principles Value Definition: identify what customers value Competitive advantages created through efficiency gains Just-in-Time Inventory Management A demand-pull system that consumes raw materials only when needed for production and ships finished goods on demand from the customer Requires significant coordination and information sharing among suppliers, producers, and common carriers Suppliers manage the inventory and deliver items and materials only when exactly needed for production Benefits • • • • • Reduced or eliminated storage costs and production setup time Production scheduling synchronized with customer demand Improved coordination with suppliers who can deliver quality products in a timely manner Enhanced and efficient flow of goods between warehouses and production Improved efficiency via the use of skilled employees who can perform different tasks Material Requirements Planning System (MRP) Computer-based, push-through inventory management system designed to improve productivity by scheduling production based on demand forecasts Estimated demand for finished products is the starting point, working backward to determine inventory and material needs Used to estimate quantities and schedule raw material deliveries prior to beginning production System based on what materials needed, how much, and when are Information about the materials or parts available Lead time to place the order and receive the materials Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) Cross-functional enterprise system integrating and automating business processes and systems in manufacturing, logistics, distribution, accounting, project management, finance, customer relationship management, customer services, and human resources Benefits of ERP include improvements to: • • • • • • • Outsourcing and Offshoring Outsourcing Outsourcing involves contracting services usually performed internally to an external provider. Offshore operations are outsourcing to a party in a different country. Common types offshoring: • • Information needed: Demand forecasts for the final product from the annual report Bill of materials specifying quantity of materials and parts for each unit Process efficiencies Forecasting Collaboration and connectivity Standardization and cost reductions Productivity Customer service Competitive advantage over peers without ERP • • of outsourcing and Information technology Business processes (call centers and accounting operations) Software research and development Knowledge processes Outsourcing: Benefits and Limitations Benefits • • External companies offer specialized skills and labor flexibility Operational and cost efficiencies to using an external entity Limitations and Risks • • • • • • • Lack of controls due to lack of proximity for offshore operations Quality risk (products and services) Reduced productivity, staff turnover, and labor insecurity Language skills Information security Outsource entity qualifications Capacity and Costing Theoretical Capacity Assumes the company is producing at full capacity at all times (no accounting for downtime, work stoppages, or scheduled maintenance) Practical Capacity Less than theoretical capacity, as downtime, breaks, maintenance, and holidays are taken into account Normal Capacity Average customer demand for the goods produced by the company over the last few years, taking into account fluctuations due to seasonal and cyclical factors Master Budget Capacity Reflects management expectations for the current budget period and accounts for sales and promotional campaigns, competitor market actions, and fluctuations due to market conditions Capacity Levels and Financial Statements Capacity impacts the overhead application rates, which impact the amount of overhead costs applied to units produced. Overapplied or underapplied overhead amounts are closed out to COGS or prorated to COGS, WIP inventory, and finished-goods inventory. Underapplied overhead closed to COGS only causes COGS to increase, lowering operating income. When variances are applied to all relevant accounts, operating income, inventory, and COGS have the same balance regardless of the capacity level used for the application rate Capacity Level and Costing The capacity level (the denominator of the fixed overhead application rate) is controlled by management. The practical capacity level is used most often by companies to calculate the predetermined fixed overhead application rate. Use of practical capacity motivates managers to use excess capacity to develop new products or lease unused capacity to others. With practical capacity, customers only pay for used capacity, which lowers the cost and price of the product. 1D. Business Process Improvement Value Chain Analysis Strategic tool used to analyze a company's activities to determine which ones provide the greatest value Used to enhance competitive advantage (superior performance relative to other companies in the same industry) Three major analyses: • • • Internal Costs Analysis: analyzing sources of profits and costs of activities to determine internal valuecreating ability Internal Differentiation Analysis: analyzing ability to create value through differentiation Vertical Linkage Analysis: understanding the activities of suppliers and buyers of the product to determine where value can be created outside of a company's operations Steps in Value Chain Analysis 1. 2. 3. 4. Identifying value-added activities Identifying cost drivers associated with each activity Developing a competitive advantage by reducing costs or adding value Exploiting linkages and identifying synergies among activities to gain efficiency and add value Developing a Competitive Advantage Using Value Chain Analysis Company strategy dictates the approach Cost Leadership Strategy: focus on costsaving opportunities Differentiation Strategy: opportunities for innovation focus on Cost-saving opportunities Areas where the company is not cost competitive and that cannot be fixed should be restructured, eliminated, or outsourced Opportunities for innovation Allocate time for innovation in R&D Differentiation commands higher sale prices for the differentiated products or services Activities in the Value Chain Activities in the value chain that create value are either primary activities or support activities. Primary activities enable production and transform inputs into outputs. Support activities provide administrative support to facilitate primary activities. Reducing or eliminating non-value-added activities (e.g., machine repair, rework of defective units) reduces the cost of the product or service without impacting value. Business Process Management (BPM) and Business Process Reengineering Business Process Management BPM focuses on continuous improvement of customer satisfaction (internal and external) Promotes innovation, technology integration flexibility, and Benefits are efficiency, effectiveness, and agility Business Process Management (BPM) and Activities Five categories of activities: Design: determining how existing processes should function once improved Modeling: introducing variables into the design Execution: implementing design changes and key performance indicators Monitoring: gathering information comparing actual to expected Plan: design improvement Act: continuously commit to the process and reassess the degree of improvement BPM: Selecting and Improvement Initiatives Implementing Selecting initiatives involves: • • • Strategic gap analysis Reviewing competitive priorities and production objectives Choosing and implementing an improvement program A successful implementation will involve: • • Business activities are evaluated using the following techniques: • Define: original process serves as the baseline • Measure: determine the indicators used to show a change to the process Analyze (process analysis): use simulations and models to determine target or optimal improvement implement process Check: monitor the process improvement BPM: Techniques and Framework and planned Do: implement the process improvement and Optimization: monitoring data and refining processes Improve: select improvement the the Control: use dashboards and other measurement reports to monitor improvement in real time BPM: Plan, Do, Check, Act (PDCA) PDCA: framework for process improvement Visible support from executive leadership Direction and resources from internal leadership Continual monitoring and measurement via inspections Internal process ownership and commitment Business Process Reengineering (BPR) Techniques to help organizations rethink how work is done Seeks radical change and focuses on outcomes Based on the premise of wiping the slate clean and reassessing the business from the ground up using benchmarking and best practices Linked to overaggressive downsizing and failure to achieve benefits and goals originally anticipated Continuous Improvement (Kaizen) "Kaizen" refers to continuous improvement efforts in manufacturing to improve efficiency and effectiveness through: • • • • Analysis of production processes to ensure resource usage stays within targeted costs Reduction of wasted materials and time required to perform a task Helps achieve quality goals, increases customer satisfaction, and leads to superior innovation Ideal standards used as a target for motivational purposes and means for introducing change 5. Compare performance with the benchmark. 6. Create a plan of action. 7. Implement the plan. 8. Analyze the results. Benchmarking and Competitive Advantage Benchmarking is challenging but also can be used as a source of motivation for employees. Achieving targets can create value and increase competitive advantage through: • • Best Practice Analysis Benchmarking is used to compare key operating metrics to those of other companies, with a goal of driving performance improvement to become more competitive. Best practices in benchmarking compare metrics to industry leaders. Outputs of the process include potential reductions in production costs, production time, materials needed, and processing time. Internal benchmarking involves comparisons among departments within a company to determine which ones are performing most efficiently. External benchmarking involves collecting information about a company's competitors for comparison purposes. Steps in the Benchmarking Process 1. Prioritize processes. 2. Decide the type and/or company to use as a benchmark. 3. Document the process. 4. Collect and analyze data. • • • • Improved production processes Tools to measure performance effectiveness Identification of best practices Reduced costs of production Improved quality Costs of Quality Conformance Costs and Nonconformance Conformance Costs The costs of ensuring conformance with quality standards Consist of prevention and appraisal costs Nonconformance Costs The costs of nonconformance with quality standards Consist of internal and external costs Costs of Quality: Prevention Costs • • • • • • Employee training Inspection expenses (for materials coming in) Preventive maintenance Product redesign Process redesign Search for higher-quality suppliers Costs of Quality: Appraisal Costs • • • • Statistical quality checks Testing Inspection for completed products to be shipped Laboratory maintenance Costs of Quality: Internal Failure Costs • • • • • • Rework costs Scrap (cost of lost units) Tooling changes Costs to dispose Cost of lost units Downtime Costs of Quality: External Failure Costs • • • • • Warranty costs Costs of returning the good Liability claims Lost customers Reengineering an external failure Adoption, bylaws 1E. Governance, Risk, and Compliance: Part 1 amendment, and repeal of Declare dividends Determine officer compensation Corporate Governance Hierarchy of Corporate Governance Fiduciaries (trustee) to act in the best interests of the shareholders Articles of Incorporation: filed with the state in which the company is incorporated Corporate Rights Audit Committee • • • • Name of the corporation Name/address of the corporation's registered agent Name/address of each of the incorporators Number of shares authorized to be issued • External auditor reports directly to the audit committee Serves as intermediary between internal auditors, external auditors, and management Rules to run the corporation Examples include authority of officers, how meetings are conducted, and how officers are elected Adopted by incorporators/board of directors Policies and procedures • • • Structure for day-to-day operations High-level policies (authority deleted to management) Detailed procedures (e.g., sales transaction process) Corporate Rights Board of Directors and Responsibilities: Composed of three to five outside directors Bylaws – start to set the ground rules • • and Responsibilities: Corporate Officers Rights Conduct the operation and Responsibilities: corporation's day-to-day Selected (and may be removed) by the board of directors Also serve as fiduciaries to act in corporate best interest Chief executive officer (CEO) Responsible for overall operations and performance Sets corporate vision, mission, and goals Chief financial officer (CFO) Responsible for financial operations Oversight of strategic direction Includes financial planning and analysis Oversight of obligations, including accurate financial reporting Corporate Rights and Responsibilities: Managers and Shareholders Election, officers Managers supervision, and removal of Assist with day-to-day operations Responsible for design, implementation, and maintenance of internal control • • • Design – figure out what the internal control should be Implementation – make sure it works Maintenance – make sure it keeps working, make adjustments if necessary Responsible for preparation and fair presentation of the financial statements Shareholders Right to vote and to elect/remove board members Right to vote on fundamental corporate changes (e.g., dissolution) Do not have the right to receive distributions (unless/until declared by the board – received by lenders) Creation of Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) • Section 103: Auditing, Quality Control, and Independence Standards and Rules The PCAOB is responsible for overseeing the audits of public companies ─ Sets auditing, quality control, and ethical standards to be used in preparation and issuance of audit reports Registered firms must adopt quality control standards, maintain independence from issuers under audit, and supervise all audit work Audit documentation maintained for no less than seven years Concurring or second partner review of each audit report Expanded corporate disclosures Representations required by officers Audit report must describe the scope of the testing of internal control structure and procedures (as required by Section 404) Harsher fraud penalties Significant internal control provisions Section 201: Prohibited Services for SEC Audit Clients Additional external auditor rules SOX Title I: Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) and Composed of five members (two CPAs and three non-CPAs) Subject to SEC oversight • Duty to register public accounting firms that prepare issuer audit reports Duty to establish rules for audit report preparation Duty to inspect, investigate, and discipline (when needed) firms and their work Adopted auditing standards must include: Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (SOX) Section 101: Establishment Administrative Provisions • A registered accounting firm that performs SEC audits may not provide the audit client with the following services: • • • • • Bookkeeping Financial information systems design and implementation Appraisal and valuation services Actuarial services Management functions or human resources services • • • • Internal audit outsourcing services Services as a broker, dealer, investment adviser, or investment banker Legal services or expert services unrelated to the audit Tax services are permissible if preapproved by the audit committee. Financial statements present fairly, in all material respects, the financial condition and results of operations Assume responsibility for internal controls Assert that disclosures have been made to auditors and audit committee about: • Section 203: Audit Partner Rotation Lead partner (final responsible partner) and reviewing partner must rotate off the audit engagement every five years Addresses the potential for impairment of objectivity due to familiarity Section 204: Committee Reporting to Audit All registered firms must report directly to the audit committee • • Section 404: Management Assessment of Internal Control Each annual report must contain a report that states: • Audit committee must preapprove all audit and permitted non-audit services Required reporting to audit committee Critical accounting policies and practices used (management must set, audit committee can approve) Alternative accounting treatments, ramifications of the alternatives, and the treatment the firm would prefer Material written communication between management and the audit firm Section 302: Corporate Responsibility for Financial Reports Assertions made by CEO and CFO for annual and quarterly reports: They have reviewed the report Report does not contain untrue statements or omit material information Significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in internal controls Fraud involving management or any other employee with a significant role in internal controls Represent whether there are significant internal control changes • • Management is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control structure and procedures for financial reporting Management's assessment of the effectiveness of the internal control structure and procedures for financial reporting The auditor must attest to management's assessment of internal control. Section 407: Disclosure Committee Financial Expert of Audit At least one audit committee member should be a financial expert. Financial reports must disclose existence of an expert or why committee does not have one. Financial expert is qualified by: • Education the the • • Past public accounting experience Past experience as a financial officer, accounting officer, or controller Financial expert knowledge includes: • • • • Understanding and application of GAAP Experience in preparing and auditing similar issuer financial statements Experience with internal control Understanding of audit committee functions Devising and maintaining a system of internal accounting controls sufficient to provide reasonable assurance Complying with the anti-bribery provision, which makes it unlawful for a U.S. entity or resident to make a corrupt payment to a foreign official with the intent of obtaining or retaining business A bribe does not need to actually be paid in order to violate the law, mere promise is sufficient to violate the law The Foreign Corporate Practices Act (FCPA) Overview The offer, authorization, or promise to make a corrupt payment is prohibited Compliance requires following accounting transparency guidelines. No materiality threshold Requires establishing internal controls to ensure proper reporting and disclosure of assets. Role: to provide an independent and objective assessment of a company’s practices regarding internal controls, operations, or other compliance matters The FCPA applies to • • • • • Employees of the entity corporations, partnerships, limited partnerships, business trusts, and unincorporated organizations. Must maintain objectivity and integrity Types of engagements: • Penalties for violations include up to five years in prison or up to $100,000 in fines, or both. Enforcement is shared by the Department of Justice and the SEC. Internal Audit • U.S. Internal Control Provisions of the FCPA • Issuers must comply with the specific accounting and control provisions under FCPA: • Making and keeping detailed accounting records to reflect transactions of the issuer accurately and fairly IT Audits: assess security of information systems Operational Audits: evaluate whether internal controls are effective, operating procedures are being followed, and company resources are being used efficiently and effectively Performance Audits: evaluate actual results in relation to goals and objectives set by the board Compliance Audits (compliance reviews): ensure adherence to laws, regulations, and company policies and procedures The External Audit Phases of External Auditing Overview of the External Audit The external auditor is hired to provide financial statement users with an opinion as to whether the financial statements are: • • • Presented fairly In all material respects In accordance with the applicable financial reporting framework Gives credibility to the financial statements External Auditor Responsibilities • • • • • • Maintaining professional skepticism Complying with relevant ethical requirements Exercising professional judgment Obtaining sufficient appropriate evidence Communicating with management and those charged with governance Complying with generally accepted auditing standards (GAAS) Reasonable Assurance An external audit provides high, but not absolute, assurance. Engagement Acceptance External auditor selected by those charged with governance (e.g., for issuers, the audit committee) Auditor should agree to the engagement terms with those charged with governance or management, as appropriate Agreement should be documented in an engagement letter Assess Risk and Plan Response The planning phase of the audit includes: • • The following inherent limitations of an audit prevent absolute assurance: Nature of financial reporting (e.g., financial statements include estimates made by management) • Nature of the audit procedures (e.g., the use of sampling, management may not provide complete information) Timeliness of financial reporting Determining materiality Performing procedures to gain an understanding of the entity and its environment, including the system of internal control and the applicable financial reporting framework Identifying and responding to audit risk, which is the risk that the auditor may fail to appropriately modify the auditor's opinion on financial statements that are materially misstated Audit risk comprises: • Inherent Risk: the risk inherent in certain accounts and transactions • • Control Risk: the risk that errors will not be prevented or detected and corrected by internal control Detection Risk: the risk that the auditor will conclude there was not a material misstatement when there is one Audit risk is the ultimate risk we will fail to modify our opinion because the financials are materially misstated If inherent and control risk is high, we have to do a lot of testing. Drop the detection risk acceptably low, not zero, because it is reasonable assurance not perfect assurance. Communication and Reporting Throughout the audit, the auditor should communicate with management and those charged with governance. Required communications include: • • • Matters related to the auditor's responsibilities Planned scope and timing of the audit Significant audit findings Errors and irregularities should be discussed with management at least one level above those involved. Audit Opinion Assess Risk and Plan Response In order to form an opinion on the financial statements, the auditor should consider: The auditor should obtain an understanding of the five components of internal control: Whether sufficient appropriate evidence was obtained (GAAS) • • • • • Control environment Risk assessment Information and communication Monitoring Existing control activities Perform Procedures and Obtain Evidence Audit evidence is gathered by performing: • • • • Risk assessment procedures Tests of controls Substantive procedures Other audit procedures The management representation letter is obtained at the conclusion of the audit • • • Audit prepares the letter, which is signed by the client Final piece of audit evidence Confirms oral and written representations made by management audit Whether the financial statements are prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with the requirements of an applicable financial reporting framework (e.g., GAAP) Financial statements are defined as a complete set, general purpose, including related notes Under U.S. GAAP, a complete set includes the balance sheet, statement of (comprehensive) income, statement of changes in equity, statement of cash flows, and related notes. Audit Opinion: Unmodified (Unqualified) for PCAOB for AICPA Opinion stating that the financial statements are presented fairly, in all material respects, in conformity with the applicable financial reporting framework Unmodified is applicable to non-issuers Unqualified is applicable to issuers May need to add communications to the report: additional Explanatory paragraph (issuers): Included when required by PCAOB standards or at the auditor's discretion For non-issuers, emphasis-of-matter and/or other-matter paragraphs (“PS” note) For issuers, explanatory paragraph – don’t change opinion at all Audit Opinion: Modified • • • Qualified: Opinion stating that the financial statements are presented fairly, except for the material matter to which the qualification relates (GAAP or GAAS) Adverse: Opinion stating that the financial statements are not presented fairly due to a material and pervasive accounting issue (GAAP only) Disclaimer of opinion: Does not express an opinion due to a significant and pervasive issue that prevents the completion of the audit (GAAS only) Integrated Audit Integrated Audit Overview Required for issuers, optional for nonissuers In an integrated audit, two audits are performed concurrently, resulting in two opinions rendered on: • • Emphasis-of-Matter, Other-Matter, Explanatory Paragraphs and Emphasis-of-matter paragraph (nonissuers): Refers to an appropriately presented/disclosed matter important to users' understanding of the financial statements Other-matter paragraph (non-issuers): Refers to matters outside the scope of the financial statements relevant to users' understanding of the audit The fairness of the financial statements The operating effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting Two methods to audit the operating effectiveness of internal controls: • • Top-Down (Risk-Based) Approach: required approach Bottom-Up Approach: not permitted under current auditing standards Top-Down (Risk-Based) Approach In an integrated audit, a top-down (riskbased) approach is used to select controls to test by evaluating: First, overall risks at the financial statement level Second, controls at the entity level Third, accounts, disclosures, and assertions for which there is a reasonable possibility of material misstatement Advantages More detailed examination of controls more likely to result in a material misstatement More effective at controlling risks More efficient control testing PCAOB preferred approach to auditing internal controls Top-Down (Risk-Based) Approach Identify and controls: • • • • • • • • test relevant entity-level Control environment – if the control environment is not effective, everything underneath is suspect as well where testing loses its value Management override – best controls can be undone by management Risk assessment process Centralized processing Monitoring operation results – how do they control monthly risks Monitoring other controls Period-end financial reporting Policies addressing significant business control and risk management 1E. Governance, Risk, and Compliance: Part 2 Framework Objectives Operations objectives COSO Internal Control Framework • Created by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations (COSO) • • • • • American Accounting Association (AAA) American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA) Financial Executives Institute (FEI) Institute of Internal Auditors (IIA) Institute of Management Accountants (IMA) Designed to assist organizations developing comprehensive systems internal control in of • Related to the effectiveness and efficiency of operations Include financial and operational performance goals, as well as ensuring that assets are adequately safeguarded Reporting objectives • Pertain to the reliability, timeliness, and transparency of both internal and external financial and nonfinancial reporting Compliance objectives • Framework updated in 2013 to incorporate changes in technology, business models, globalization, outsourcing and regulation Established to ensure adherence to applicable laws and regulations COSO defines internal control as: A process designed and implemented by an organization's management, board of directors, and other employees to provide reasonable assurance that the organization will achieve its operating, reporting, and compliance objectives The COSO cube depicts the relationship between entity objectives, internal control components, and organizational structure. Weak control environment control environment is weak = internal Components of Internal Control: Control Environment Processes, structures, and standards that provide a foundation for an internal control system The five principles related to the control environment are: • • • • • Commitment to ethics and integrity Board independence and oversight Organizational structure Commitment to competence Accountability Components Assessment of Internal Control: Risk The three principles related to control activities are: Entity's identification and analysis of risks to the achievement of its objectives • • The four principles assessment are: • • • • • related to risk Specify objectives Identify and analyze risks Consider potential for fraud Identify and assess changes Components of Internal Information and Communication Overview of Internal Control Risk Control: Systems support the identification, capture, and exchange of information in a timely and useful manner The three principles related to information and communication are: • • • Obtain and use information Internally communicate information Communicate with external parties Components of Internal Control: Monitoring Activities Process of assessing internal control performance over time by assessing the design and operation of controls on a timely basis and making necessary corrections The two principles related to monitoring activities are: • • Select and develop control activities Select and develop technology controls Deployment of policies and procedures Ongoing and/or separate evaluation Communication of deficiencies Components of Internal Control: (Existing) Control Activities Set forth by entity policies and procedures Controls may be preventive or detective and may include automated and manual activities Risk that internal control policies and procedures will be insufficient to support operating, reporting, and compliance objectives Limited to reasonable, not absolute, assurance due to the following inherent limitations: • • • • Management override Human error in the design or use of controls Collusion to circumvent controls External events beyond the control of the entity Risk Assessment and Mitigation Management should assess control risk and allocate resources to reduce risks to an acceptable level Risk assessment includes review of policies and procedures and testing the adequacy of internal controls Internal control risk is high when there are no internal controls or established controls are not operating effectively Risk responses and mitigation strategies include: • • • • Acceptance/retention Avoidance Reduction Sharing/transferring Internal Control Flowcharts Assessment Tools: Symbolic diagram representing the sequential flow of processes, documents, and authority System flowchart: Shows document origin, subsequent processing, and final disposition Program flow chart: IT flowchart that documents the logic and flow of a computer program Flowcharts should: • • • • Show the general flow of data and documents Be oriented top to bottom and left to right Use familiar, descriptive wording Avoid intersecting lines Internal Control Assessment Tools: Other Tools Written narratives • • • Written version of a flowchart Description of the internal control system Appropriate for less complex systems Other documentation • • • Accounting system manuals Operating system manuals Organizational charts designating authority and responsibility Monitoring the System of Internal Control Management must monitor the system of internal control to ensure the relevant components are present and functioning Monitoring can be done using separate and/or ongoing evaluations • • • Separate evaluations are performed periodically by a separate and objective party, such as an internal audit Ongoing evaluations are generally built into business processes to ensure control activities are operating as designed Both types of evaluations can be done using techniques such as inquiry, observation, inspection, and reperformance Independent checks and verification are important in: • • • Monitoring and assessing the effectiveness of internal controls Testing the adequacy of internal controls Helping prevent errors and fraud Methods to monitor and test the adequacy of internal controls: Inquiries should include individuals who perform the control procedures to confirm understanding Inquiry alone is insufficient and should be combined with other procedures Observation involves directly witnessing how employees follow established procedures Inspection entails a detailed review of the written policies, procedures, and underlying documentation and records Re-performance involves independently performing control procedures to validate their effectiveness For example, inventory counts might be reperformed to ensure accuracy Detective Controls Designed to provide reasonable assurance that errors and irregularities will be detected and corrected on a timely basis In financial reporting, normally performed after a transaction has been completed Examples • • • Safeguarding Controls Limit access to authorized personnel • • Internal Control Policies and Procedures Preventive Controls Proactive measures designed to prevent errors and fraud Generally considered the most effective Should be tailored to meet operational and industry needs Preventive controls over financial reporting are designed to provide reasonable assurance that only valid transactions are recognized, approved, and submitted Examples • • • • Employee screening and fraud training Segregation of duties Access controls via passwords and authentication tools Physical controls over company assets Financial performance review (e.g., budget vs. actual) Conducting a physical inventory count Reconciliation of accounts such as fixed assets or cash Direct controls refer to physical access to assets Indirect controls refer to authorization to acquire, use, or dispose of assets Examples • • • Lockbox system for cash receipts Direct deposit as opposed to physical paychecks Write-offs of uncollectible accounts only by credit department manager Physical Controls Security devices and limited access to programs and restricted areas Examples • • Physical segregation and security of assets, such as safe-deposit boxes and independent warehouses Authorized access to assets and records such as access codes and required signatures • Periodic counting and comparison of assets to corresponding accounting records Segregation of Duties Ensure that individuals do not perform incompatible duties Work of one individual should cross-check the work of another Critical to segregate: • • • • Transaction authorization Transaction record keeping Custody of related assets Reconciliation Any discrepancies can then be investigated Information Controls System Development Overview of Information Development Controls System Designed to enhance security and accuracy of inputted data, which strengthens the validity of system output Controls are designed to protect against internal and external threats Controls must be adaptable environment changes as the Input Controls Ensure that data entered is factually accurate and properly authorized Credentials must be entered authorized users can input data before The following second-layer controls ensure that data meets established parameters Independent Checks and Verification Verification of work performed to: • • Ensure accuracy Prevent errors and fraud Examples • • • Bank reconciliation Comparing accounting records to supporting documents Comparing physical inventory counts to related records Prenumbered Forms Used to ensure that all transactions are accounted for and no transaction is entered more than once Allows each transaction to be sequentially numbered, with any unused numbers properly voided • • • Technical structure of files Data types (e.g., text or number) Field checks (e.g., numerical upper and lower limits) Processing Controls Ensure that transformations from input to output are handled properly and that data communication is secure Audit trail: Records the steps within a process in order to be reviewed by other employees or auditors System processing security includes: • • • Credentialing for report files File encryption Secure communication Output Controls • Ensure that processing results are presented in a useful state to authorized persons. Credentialing, secure file transmission, and file encryption protect output from misuse and theft. Recommended that output is presented in industry-approved formats/standards. Output controls should also be triggered by a risk or unusual process-generated recommendation. Ensure that appropriate records are retained, retrieved, and accessed by authorized people and processes Physical controls: Secure physical location of the data Credentialing: Ensures authorized access Encryption: Protects data unauthorized retrieval and use from Duties and All systems should be designed to facilitate segregation of duties. The information system tackles record keeping Security in information systems depends on: • IT can set limits on each employee's ability to use program elements Programs maintain records of actions taken and who took them Safeguards to prevent inappropriate changes to programs and databases • • Version controls that allow one change at a time, incorporating changes sequentially Access controls that allow changes only by authorized users Validity controls that allow only permissible data types Threats to Information System Security Preventive controls over physical systems Log-in credentials Security against physical theft Servers should be in locked facilities with restricted access Version controls • Access to data linked to employee log-in credentials • • Backups Segregation of Accounting Systems Security Information System Security • Storage Controls Other functions to check for proper authorization and record keeping Proper authorization of transactions by accountable individuals Accounting employees keeping accurate transaction records • • Prevents accessing, stealing, altering, or destroying sensitive data Lack of physical labeling to make identification of specific data storage devices difficult Peripherals must also be addressed for potential vulnerabilities External Threats to Information System Security Phishing: E-mails or other communications are used to coax an employee to provide access credentials Trojan horse: Apparently benign program or application that contains malicious script or a program designed to steal data, alter files, or destroy systems Ransomware: Encryption of data by an attacker who demands payment to decrypt the data Viruses: Programs that invade host systems, replicate, and hide within the system while carrying out a mission Internet Security Risk posed by transmission through unpredictable paths even if sent between two company-owned computers. Sensitive data should be encrypted to protect it on the path. Wireless networks present an additional vulnerability due to typically weak security Data Encryption Typically through a computer algorithm that encodes data from a readable to unreadable state Accomplished through the use of one or more encryption keys providing instructions to encode/decode the data Typically sensitive data employs encryption Examples of entities that use encryption: • • • • Financial services Banks Health care providers Personal financial information users Firewalls Network security systems that monitor, control, and restrict incoming and outgoing traffic Selectively allow or deny traffic based on a set of predetermined rules May deny access based on: • • • Origin point of the incoming communication Program used to communicate Internet content Firewalls can default to either • • Allow: only exclude certain items from getting through Deny: only allow certain items through Business Continuity Planning Overview of Business Continuity Planning Process of creating plans and prepositioning assets to allow a business to function during and after a business disruption Potential disruptions include natural, social, and economic Measures • • • • Emergency planning policies Business interruption insurance Pre-positioning backup data and hardware Alternative facilities Business continuity planning is strategic; disaster recovery planning is tactical, representing a significant part of business continuity planning Objectives of a Disaster Recovery Plan Bring the business from disruption to operation as quickly and effectively as possible Timeliness can vary by business and component 24–48 hours is typical for information systems infrastructure and financial capital access Differential backup: Back up all items changed since prior full backup; more timeconsuming backup but easier to restore Longer for something like access to printers Data Backup and Recovery Procedures: Alternative Processing Facilities Data Backup and Recovery Procedures: Disaster Recovery Service Providers referred to as • • Disaster recovery as a service (DRaaS) Managed service provider (MSP) May provide simple data backup or more complex services such as • • • System file syncing Data loss prevention and recovery plan coordination Full IT environment replication Data Backup and Recovery Procedures: Internal Disaster Recovery Expensive option used by organizations that require instantaneous processing resumption Provide duplicate facilities in separate locations Provide data mirroring to update and store data in both locations Data Backup and Recovery Procedures: Multiple Data Center Backups Use of either a data center or a cloud provider for system backups Full backup: Exact copy of the entire database Incremental backup: Copying changes since prior backup; restoration starts from last full backup with each incremental backup in sequence thereafter Cold site: Off-site; electrical connections and physical data processing requirements; no actual equipment; 1–3 days to operation Hotsite: • • • • Off-site; equipped to quickly take over data processing; personnel must relocate to off-site facility to restore function Telecommunications network is often the most challenging aspect Space and equipment available reflects diversity of customers and probability of needed use Rapid effective recovery requires knowledgeable personnel Warm site • • Stocked with hardware needed to create a data center facsimile Represents a compromise between hot-site speed and cold-site cost Disaster Recovery Team Includes key operations management personnel and potentially a disaster recovery services provider. If software packages are utilized, software vendors may also play a role. If processing is distributed, vendors may also be involved. hardware Most critically, senior management must support the plan. Steps in Disaster Recovery 1. Assess risk 2. Identify mission-critical applications and data 3. Develop plans to handle missioncritical applications 4. Determine personnel responsibilities in disaster recovery 5. Test the disaster recovery plan Advantages and Disadvantages of Disaster Recovery and Business Continuity Plans Component of overall risk management Advantage: Ability to continue operations with minimal disruptions Disadvantage: Cost and effort required to establish and maintain such plans Data Backup and Recovery Procedures Copies of key files and records should be stored in safe, off-site locations Copies of files kept on-site should be stored in a fireproof room or container Backup of systems that can be shut down is relatively simple, can use incremental backup Backup of systems that do not shut down is more complex, involves logging transactions and reapplying those transactions to a point preceding the failure Mirroring requires use of a backup computer to duplicate all activity on the primary system Internal Control Deficiencies An internal control deficiency exists when the design or operation of a control does not allow management or employees, in the normal course of performing their assigned functions, to prevent, or detect and correct misstatements on a timely basis A deficiency in the design of a control occurs when a necessary control is missing or when an existing control does not achieve the desired outcome A deficiency in operation occurs when a properly designed control does not operate as designed or is performed by an unauthorized person Management may become aware of control deficiencies through an entity's own monitoring activities or through external parties, such as an external auditor Senior management is responsible for ensuring that deficiencies are identified and communicated to the appropriate parties and that remediation plans are implemented in a timely manner The board of directors, often through the audit committee, works with senior management to ensure that timely corrective actions are taken to address identified deficiencies Remediating Internal Control Deficiencies Ultimately, senior management is responsible for ensuring that policies and procedures are establishe to support an effective system of internal control When deficiencies are identified, remediation plans may include: • • • Additional training for personnel Implementation of new control activities or policies The assessment of resources needed to carry out a process more effectively Accounting Information Systems (AIS) Type of management information system with a high degree of precision and reliability needed for accounting purposes Enable companies to use data as part of strategic planning and tactical execution (detailed steps to get to plan) Often have subsystems called decision support systems (DSS) and executive information systems (EIS) Typically have three main subsystems: • • Provide predefined reports that support business decisions MIS reports may provide: • • • Feedback on daily operations Financial and nonfinancial information to support decision making across functions Both internal and external information • Transaction Processing Systems (TPS): convert economic events into financial transactions (daily transactions) Financial Reporting Systems (FRS) or General Ledger Systems (GLS): aggregate daily financial information for infrequent events to enable timely reporting Management Reporting Systems (MRS): used to solve day-to-day business problems, such as budgeting or variance analysis Objectives of an AIS The three subsystems of an AIS collectively achieve the following five objectives: Decision Support Systems (DSS) An extension of an MIS that provides interactive tools to support day-to-day decision making, widely used in the organization May provide specialized data or information specific to a given situation Facilitate the preparation of forecasts 1. Record valid transactions. 2. Properly classify those transactions. 3. Record the transactions at their correct value. 4. Record the transactions in the correct accounting period. 5. Properly present transactions in the financial statements. Allow modeling of various aspects of a decision Sequence of Events in an AIS Executive Information Systems (EIS) An AIS processes transactions in the following order: Provide senior executives immediate access to internal and external information for strategic decision making, narrowly used Consolidate information internal and 1. 2. external Provide reports in a summarized format for executives 3. Enter transaction data from source documents into the AIS. File original source documents, if they exist. Record transactions in the appropriate journal. 4. 5. 6. 7. Post transactions to the general and subsidiary ledgers. Prepare the trial balance. Enter adjustments, accruals, and corrections. Generate financial reports. AIS Audit Trail Expenditure and Cash Disbursement Cycle • • • Allows a user to trace a transaction from source documents to the ledger and to trace from the ledger back to source documents. • • • • Accounting Information System Cycles Revenue to Cash Receipt Cycle • • • • • • • • Allows real-time access to the inventory ledger Automatically approves or denies credit Concurrently records sales invoices, transmits inventory orders, and digitally sends packing slips Has a terminal for the shipping department to digitally input shipping notices upon shipment Has a terminal for the cash receipts clerk to record remittances Closes sales invoices and posts to the general ledger Updates the customer's payment record Distributes management reports • • Verifies requested purchases and displays approved vendors for competitive bidding Digitally prepares the purchase order (PO) and delivers the PO to the vendor Has a terminal for the receiving department to update receiving report file, reconcile quantities received, and close the PO • Updates the inventory and general ledger accounts Has a terminal for the accounts payable clerk to enter invoices Links invoices to PO records and receiving reports Creates a digital accounts payable voucher Automatically approves payment of invoices and sets the payment date according to the invoice terms Prints and distributes signed checks Records payments, closes the vendor invoice, and distributes transaction reports to users Production Cycle Facilitates real-time monitoring of raw materials inventory, production schedule, and work orders Generates work orders based on customer demand and material availability, enabling efficient coordination between departments Actively manages inventory, including tracking the flow of raw materials through the production stages: • • • Recording the usage of materials, labor hours, and overhead costs Minimizing excess inventory Managing finished goods inventory Updates inventory records, job cost accounts, and general ledger accounts in real time Integrates with financial institutions to facilitate loan applications, approvals, and disbursements Facilitates coordination of shipping activities by generating shipping instructions, managing shipping documentation, and interfacing with logistics and transportation systems Records the issuance and repurchase of company stock, ensuring accurate tracking of ownership changes Produces reports such as production summaries, work-in-progress reports, and variance analyses to aid management decision making Human Resources and Payroll Cycle Integrated with the human resource management system (HRMS) for real-time changes Allows employees to enter timekeeping data in real time Allocates labor costs and calculates payroll Updates employee records and produces payroll registers Creates digital journal entries Attaches the original documents to the entries Automatically updates the general ledger Fixed Asset (Property, Equipment) Cycle Plant, and Has a terminal for fixed asset groups to create records in the asset subsidiary ledger that include each asset's • • • Useful life Salvage value Depreciation location methodology and Automatically updates the general ledger Prepares journal entries and creates a depreciation schedule Automatically calculates depreciation, accumulated depreciation, and book value at the end of the period Calculates gains or losses for asset disposals and related journal entries General Ledger and Reporting System Financing Cycle Assists in financial planning by providing data on cash flows, budget variances, and financial projections Manages financial transactions related to obtaining and servicing debt, as well as handling equity transactions Ensures compliance regulations Provides analytics and insights on financial ratios, profitability, and other key metrics with financial Acts as a central repository for financial transactions, systematically recording and organizing data into the general ledger • Creates audit trails to ensure data integrity Supports the creation and maintenance of chart of accounts, ensuring accurate categorization of financial transactions Facilitates real-time posting of journal entries Automates the consolidation of financial data from various departments, streamlining the reporting process Generates comprehensive financial reports, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements Allows for customizable reports to meet specific reporting requirements or regulatory standards Enterprise Resource Planning Systems (ERP) Cross-functional enterprise system that integrates and automates business processes and systems that must work together Have multiple modules that can function independently or be integrated Information can be shared among all departments Advantages and Disadvantages of ERP Advantages • • • • • Costly implementation and ongoing maintenance Complex May be difficult to configure Enterprise (EPM) Performance Management Also known as business performance management (BPM) or corporate performance management (CPM) systems Software solutions designed to executives make strategic decisions Useful in breaking down high-level business strategies Key performance indicators assigned to monitor progress (KPI) are BPM Framework The BPM framework is a five-component model: Environment: the arena in which the company operates, defined by its industry, competitors, regulators, consumers, suppliers, and economy Systems and Technology: the infrastructure, supplies, tools, and other resources employed to ensure that the business can meet its objectives Processes: focuses on how an organization uses its systems, technology, and people to accomplish tasks that help it reach its business objective Organizational Culture: refers to the social environment within an organization that is driven by its mission, vision, and values set by senior management Single database Integrated system Faster business processes Disadvantages • Enable leaders to plan, budget, and forecast business performance help People: the primary drivers of activity in an organization and the most valuable resource; they support and cultivate the other components in this framework The BPM Spiral Each of the five components of the BPM framework can be broken down, studied, and refined by engaging in four steps explained in the BPM spiral: Human • • Database administrators End users Database Structure Overview Relational Database Structures data so that sections can be stored separately Database Management Systems (DBM) Software that simplifies the creation, access, manipulation, and management of databases Allows users to turn raw data into usable information Raw data consists of inputs that are unprocessed whereas usable information provides value by revealing patterns and enabling forecasts Database A database is a shared, integrated computer structure that has three technical components and two human components. Technical • • • Metadata: data about data including its characteristics Data Repository: the structure in which data is stored, which is governed by metadata DBMS: a collection of programs to manage the data structure Tables within the database relationally intact with each other remain Each table has a primary key, which is a unique record that can be tied to another table. Attributes are other fields within a table that can be unique or duplicates that describe characteristics of the primary key. Tables can have a foreign key, which can have duplicates. Data Warehouse and Data Warehouse and Data Mart Data warehouses store data in a format designed to provide subject-oriented or business-unit-focused information for decision support Data is often uploaded from operational systems Data analysis is transaction system separate from the Data marts are smaller portions of a data warehouse Can be used by different parts of the organization for specific needs Data warehousing is a process that involves several steps: Extract Data: from ERP systems, applications on smartphones and laptops, and hard copy (paper) Cleanse Extracted Data: remove redundancy and ensure data format consistency Normalize Data for the Data Warehouse: ensure imported data characteristics are aligned with existing data items Transform Data Into the Warehouse Model: establish key relationships across tables and reconcile data names between systems Load Data Into the Data Warehouse Database: ensure data is fully loaded and address any errors Test Updated Data Mart: perform checks on the data mart against the source systems Below is a diagram that shows how raw data is aggregated and stored in the warehouse and further organized into a data mart for us 1F. Data Governance Data Management and Data Governance Architecture: appropriately designed job roles and IT applications Data Management Refers to the practices, tools, and systems used to capture, transform, store, report, and purge data Includes: • • • • Keeping data secure Maintaining privacy Complying with regulatory requirements Administering effective data governance Data management functions summarized as follows: Availability: information is available at the right time can be Governance: Data governance includes mechanisms in place for organizations to control, protect, and manage data Life Cycle: Covers the processes for data capture, maintenance, synthesis, transformation, analytics, usage, publication, archival, and purging Architecture: Systems and applications that store data. Includes databases, data lakes, and data warehouses Security and Privacy: Keeping data secure using techniques such as data masking and encryption Visualization and Reporting: Methods data is distributed, communicated, and accessed by users Data Governance Focuses on the effective management of data availability, integrity, usability, and security Strong data governance models have the following components: Metadata: data describing other data Policy: to help companies governance into practice translate Quality: data integrity to ensure there are no anomalies Regulatory Compliance and Privacy: ensures employee and consumer information are protected Security: data is securely preserved, stored, and transmitted Data Governance Frameworks: COSO Internal Control Integrated Framework Data Governance Frameworks: COSO Internal Control—Integrated Framework The COSO Internal Control—Integrated Framework includes two categories with principles that pertain to internal control over information technology. Control Activities (Principle 11): There should be controls over technology in order to achieve organizational objectives Information and Communication (Principle 13): Organizations should acquire, create, and use quality information in order to support internal controls Information and Communication (Principle 14): Effective communication of information is necessary to support internal controls Data Life Cycle Policies regarding data quality should address data across each of the eight stages within the data life cycle. • • Segment groups of customers into categories for targeted advertising Evaluate fluctuations in costs and the variables driving costs Data Consolidation Aggregating data into a single collection or file for further processing Data Capture Data Cleansing Stage at which data is extracted, created, received, or procured Actively Captured: user consent is given Passively Captured: no user consent Technologically machines Captured: captured by Personally Captured: collected by another person in real time Involves deduplication, removal of inaccurate data, outliers, and missing data fields Involves validating data with its original point of capture Data Transformation Data Maintenance Taking data in its raw but clean form and converting it into information that gives more insight and meaning Initial processing, moving, and preparing for synthesis or further processing [extracttransfer-load (ETL) process] Achieved through appending more information, applying mathematical models, or visualizing the data Occurs before any value can be extracted from the data Data Reduction Periodic audits should be performed to ensure integrity Frequent backups should occur Data Synthesis Modification and enhancement of data through preprocessing, consolidation, and transformation Synthesized data can be used to: • • • • Predict consumer buying patterns Estimate sales figures for the coming quarter Forecast consumer saving patterns Understand relationships between products Process of eliminating variables by looking at each variable's individual value Sometimes referred to as compression or dimension reduction Reduction can also be performed on data models, such as predictive models used for forecasting, that contain multiple variables The following tests can be used to help determine which variables should be reduced or eliminated: Look for variables with too much precision; if more precision than is relevant for the analysis it may be recoded. Search for repetitive data capture; if the capture (hourly, daily, weekly, etc.) contains 80 percent identical data for each repetition, then the identical data can be removed from each capture and referenced, while the 20 percent changing data is retained in place. Variables missing from too many records should be excluded, as should records with too many missing variables Incomplete variable sets can affect the accuracy of a model, potentially making it seem as if certain variables are predictive in nature when they are not Backward variable elimination starts by including all variables in an equation, separately testing the impact of removing each variable Variables that do not contribute to the fit of the regression equation are deleted; this process is repeated until the model's minimum acceptable performance is reached. Forward variable selection adds one variable at a time using the variable that has the next highest incremental change in performance May be more efficient in terms of time and required computing power as compared to backward variable elimination because only new variables with positive incremental value are included in the model. Data Usage Stage when data benefits the organization in some way by supporting employees or consumers Data Publication Point that data is made known to internal and/or external users Data Archival Phase that stores data in a way that maintains speed of access and minimizes bottlenecks It may take extended time to gain access to archived or restricted data A balance between time to access, and data accuracy should be considered Data Purging Last phase of the data life cycle Data is removed that no longer has any organizational value or legal use Archiving and Record Retention Data is archived for organizational access and for regulatory requirements Companies should have a record retention and management policy Records should be kept of data's current form and expected deletion date Data Analytics Organizational Retention Needs Point at which questions can be answered, such as: Retention requirements should focus on records that track performance, such as financial statements, performance reports, or forecasts • • • Finding the relationship between targeted advertisements and sales Estimating projections of future sales and cost of sales Profiling consumers or projecting product performance These records help monitor and improve operational performance, and so are retained in accessible states Other records are kept in order to supply the company with defense material from regulation or prosecution Regulatory Considerations Regulatory agencies with record retention requirements include: • • • Internal Revenue Service U.S. Department of Labor U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (for public companies) State health departments and local governmental entities protection of information technology assets from outside threats or attacks. NIST Cybersecurity Framework Voluntary framework introduced by the U.S. Department of Commerce Consists of six areas of focus, which are further subdivided into: Categories: tie outcomes to activities and company needs specific Subcategories: divide categories management and technical activities into These entities may request records related to: Informative References: method to achieve subcategory outcomes Financial reporting, payroll, timekeeping, and disciplinary documentation Occupational safety and health logs, property deeds, permits, licenses, and insurance policies NIST Cybersecurity Framework: Six Areas of Focus • • Retention requirements vary by state and industry Archival Procedures Data retention policies should include appropriate data backups. Example metrics of success: • • • • • Number of failures of data backups or archive transmissions Number of successful backups Percent of successful fulfillments of legal and regulatory requests Number of violations by regulatory agency Cost of penalties and fines Information Technology Protection and Security Cybersecurity policies are a part of data governance models that focus on the Govern: establishes, communicates, and monitors the organization's cybersecurity risk management strategy Identify: develop an understanding personnel, systems, and processes of Protect: deploy safeguards and access controls Detect: administer tools to identify attacks and high-risk employee behavior Respond: counter threats and continuously improve as risks evolve Recover: contain cybersecurity mitigate losses, and restore operations events, normal Security Controls Access Controls Vulnerability Testing: proactive tactics to monitor for known vulnerabilities Physical and/or virtual security tool used to restrict access to company resources or company information Penetration Testing: or "pen" testing, is an active attempt by an organization to hack a company's network to find weaknesses Biometrics: the use of an individual's physical attributes to securely access protected information Multifactor Authentication: use of a secondary device or application to validate one's identity to access another device or account Physical restriction of access can involve the use of badges or key fobs preventing unauthorized entrance Types of access controls: Role-Based: give employees according to their job role access Firewallss Attribute-Based: also referred to as policybased controls, these grant access to data and systems based on a policy or set of conditions (such as the time of day) Software applications or hardware devices that protect network traffic by filtering it through security protocols Discretionary: give access at the discretion of a system owner or administrator based on a company's needs Basic packet-filtering mechanisms that analyze network traffic to accept or deny the data Mandatory: grant access through a clearance process managed by a central authority; are common in government, the military, or health care organizations Other types of firewalls include: Circuit-Level Gateways: control traffic by verifying the source of a packet Stateful Multilayer Inspection Firewalls: combine packet-filtering and network address translation to control traffic Network Address Translation Firewalls: assign an internal network address to specific, approved external sources so that those sources are approved to be inside the firewall Next-Generation (Advanced) Firewalls: can assign different firewall rules to different applications as well as users, giving lowthreat applications more permissions and high-security applications more restrictive rules 1F. Technology-Enabled Finance Transformation System Development Life Cycle (SDLC) A framework that organizes tasks at each phase of development and use of a business process There are two strategies for managing the SDLC in general use today: • • Waterfall model, also called the traditional method Agile development, which evolved from the waterfall model The Waterfall Model • Benefits of the new system Waterfall Model The number and names of phases in the model differ between companies, but they all contain the same general process: 1. Plan: Management evaluates the business needs of the system and whether to accept the project. 2. Analyze: Management defines key business problems and steps to address them.are not realized until complete There is no customer input and change is difficult to manage Some employees may be idle before or after their SDLC step Feasibility studies are conducted to determine whether the project is adhering to the original plan Studies begin with the Analyze stage and continue for each subsequent stage Feasibility studies may incorporate multiple elements, including: Has distinct steps involving separate groups or teams of employees Each team performs a functional specialization in a sequence Agreements are created to describe each step and their sequence The project passes to the next team when the prior team ends its work The following are some challenges associated with the waterfall model: • Requires a great deal of time to complete • • • • • Economic feasibility Technical feasibility Operational feasibility Scheduling feasibility Legal feasibility 3. Design: The technical implementation plan is created while business requirements are translated into technical design documents. Individual technologies are evaluated and selected. The design phase i divided into three parts: 1. Conceptual Design: broad translation of business requirements into technical requirements 2. Logical Design: hardware and software specification 3. Physical Design: more granular platform and product specification 4. Develop: The technical implementation and conversion plan is executed. Buildings and rooms are prepared, hardware procured, and programmers create proprietary software. The new system is completely built, with most of the project budget spent. Changes to the plan become more expensive since each step builds on the prior step. 5. Test: The system is checked for adherence to the business requirements. customers, deploying to a subset of users after successful deployment (average cost, average risk). Blue/Green (or Other Pair of Colors), or Shadow: The new system is fully deployed in parallel with the old system, deactivating the old system once the new system is handling all the traffic. 7. Maintain: Ongoing adjustments and improvements occur at this stage. Begins as soon as deployment is complete. Adaptations are made to the product to keep it optimized. The system is evaluated as it ages, repeating the SDLC when appropriate. The Agile Framework The new product is evaluated for proper functioning. Backward-looking testing is conducted, which tests against initial requirements. Forward-looking testing is conducted to see how well employees and customers can perform tasks. 6. Deploy: The new system is delivered to end users, with the following methods available for deployment: Plunge or Big Bang: The entire new system is immediately delivered to all customers and clients (lowest cost, highest risk). Ramped (Rolling, Phased) Conversion: Portions of the new system replace corresponding parts of the old system, one piece at a time (above-average cost, belowaverage risk). A/B Testing (Pilot, Canary): Subset of users gets the new system while the old system is still in use and assigned to current and new Created to address issues with the waterfall model Characterized by cross-functional teams Teams are dedicated to particular functions Frequent meetings features kept small are required, and Team sprints, usually lasting two weeks, address changes The Agile process can be characterized using the steps as shown in the graphic. Uses situational data to automate decisionmaking processes Classifies data based on results of earlier decisions through comparison to similar situations Core Values Although the items on the left are valuable, Agile promotes the items on the right. Agile Principles • • • • • Satisfy the customer with early and continuous delivery of the highestpriority features. Welcome change: A change request is an opportunity to be closer to the customer needs. Deliver working software frequently; working software is the primary measure of progress. Complete only the work requested by the customer. Conduct short, frequent, and regular meetings to maintain focus and make adjustments. Artificial Intelligence AI, machine learning, and deep learning are three similar terms, often used interchangeably, for computer programs and algorithms built to simulate characteristics of human logic and intelligence. Focuses on processing large quantities of data and learning from trends • Uses insight to automate decision-making processes Inference Engines Additional data sets with correct answers (called training data) are used to improve predictive power • Credit card companies and banks invest heavily in inference engines Business Process Analysis The automation of business processes using computer programs designed to perform repetitive tasks Allows the company to deploy human resources to tasks better suited to human skills Examines an existing business process to describe the steps taken, the exchange of information, the governance of policies for each transaction, and the knowledge needed to complete each task Done to improve the efficiency of operations or to understand the process thoroughly enough to replace it Robotic Process Automation (RPA) Programs that can extract data from user interfaces to initiate further processing based on the data extracted A refinement of general Web scraping tools that scour the Web looking for instances of specified text to collect all material surrounding it May concern employees who carry out repetitive tasks, but can make data more accessible, shifting labor to more refined skills Natural Language Software) Processing (NLP Data processing can be performed more efficiently from a single location Interprets human languages so that technology can perform tasks or interact with humans IT hardware support may be reduced throughout the company Requires the mapping of pragmatics, syntax, phonetics, pitch, and tone Necessary to build a network embedded in household devices or other Internet of Things (IoT) devices Neural Networks Modeled after neurons that facilitate the function of human or animal memory Consists of an input layer, hidden layer, and an output (results) layer Weights may initially be predetermined but the intent of the neural network is to learn from prior trends Just as a human's response changes, its reaction is refined, which yields a different outcome The computing architecture needed to make fuzzy logic decisions for inference engines, used in fraud detection Cloud Computing Renting storage space, processing power, proprietary software, or all three, on remote servers from another company When a company buys infrastructure as opposed to renting it, the company must purchase enough to cover peak usage Software as a Service (SaaS) A business model in which a company delivers subscription-based software services through licensing or service delivery Follows the idea that software is no longer thought of as a static product to be purchased, delivered, used, and replaced No requirement for ongoing costs of support and innovation in response to changes to the business environment Internally developed software incurs continued development costs in the form of IT employees When software is purchased from an outside source, costs include the upfront cost of the software as well as the cost to: • • • Maintain the software Update it Troubleshoot problems, adding to the cost of owning it Formalizes the ongoing costs of software maintenance to users by changing the price of the software from a one-time outlay into an ongoing subscription Software as a Service (SaaS) Advantages of SaaS During low-volume periods, this costly infrastructure is idle The user company enjoys continuously supported and updated software, reducing the need for on-site equipment. Excess infrastructure capacity can be leased for off-peak times or used for purpose-built infrastructure to assist customers Space needed reduced. to house hardware is Customers have access to a support team. Access to SaaS products is usually greater than those purchased or internally supported. Disadvantages of SaaS Companies have less flexibility in managing the software and labor is needed to modify other applications Companies are no longer able to stretch licenses beyond their recommended life, potentially increasing IT costs While many SaaS providers allow companies to tailor their software, there could be a lack of customization. Blockchain A control system originally designed to govern the creation and distribution of the digital currency Bitcoin Also called a cryptocurrency, Bitcoin must be "mined" in order to confirm transactions. Mining involves a person or group of people performing cryptography to validate or confirm blocks of transactions. The reward for solving (validating) the equation is both the receipt of Bitcoin and the validation of a new block. Developed to prevent Bitcoin from being replicated and to limit its initial creation Resistant to alteration, contains multiparty transaction validation, and has a decentralized nature Alteration is difficult because each block adds to all prior blocks, enabling everyone to view all blocks in the chain Because the history of prior blocks can be viewed, this serves as a form of audit trail. Blockchain Terminology Peer Network: all devices participating in the blockchain Distributed Ledger: a peer network with shared ledgers User: blockchain users or participants in processing Hash Code: an encoded record with date, time, and keys Block: an encoded record of one transaction Blockchain: a string of blocks showing all transactions Public Key: A person/company/entity who intends to spend or receive cryptocurrency or other data on a blockchain network Private Key: A password to access a blockchain account Fork: A divergence of the blockchain, changing trajectory Smart Contracts: agreements as opposed to currency transactions, validated by a blockchain Mining: the transactions validation of blockchain Blockchain Process A chain of data blocks is attached to every Bitcoin Each block contains a hash code, or digital fingerprint, for each transaction as well as all preceding hash codes Altering a transaction will alter the hash codes, making that hash code out of sync with the other blocks in the chain Blockchain uses a distributed ledger, rather than a single ledger, making alterations difficult due to transparency All blockchain participants would have to validate a false alteration in a transaction When a person holding digital currency wishes to make a payment, a new transaction is requested The user's computer stores the blockchain for the involved transaction, which is compared to other ledger copies. Any discrepancies in hash codes may constitute evidence of tampering, causing the transaction to be refused. The user's version of the blockchain is then resynchronized to match the peer network's version. Blockchain Applications Blockchain is a powerful but complex technology that may create problems with existing applications and security practices, so its limitations should be considered when adapting it to new applications. The complicated math processing mechanism for creating new blocks includes the public key of the receiver and the private key of the giver. This means that blockchain still depends on a password to authenticate. Human beings are bad at password security, and many companies are bad at cybersecurity. If these concerns can be managed, there are beneficial applications to the wide adoption of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. Can be used to make transactions more transparent and secure, even between parties without compatible banking or even legal systems Can help developing nations, which do not have the same financial infrastructure as developed nations, join the marketplace Unfortunately, blockchain technology also aids criminals and terrorists to circumvent international laws and sanctions Blockchain can also be used to create smart contracts, where the terms can be agreed on, executed, and verified automatically Can serve as a function similar to notaries, lawyers, and the courts in contract law recording when a service is complete, when payment is due, and when it has been received If both the service and the payment can be observed by the blockchain peer network, then payment can be automated, removing the need for an intermediary to officiate it The distributed ledger of blockchain is similar in architecture to nonrelational databases, which enable faster access to a database by multiple, widely dispersed users Could serve as backup data stored outside the database (therefore not slowing it down) Could represent a means to increase the speed of nonrelational databases by increasing the ability to roll back invalid changes after beginning them Could promote the integrity of relational databases 1F. Data Analytics: Part 1 Business Intelligence BI is the aggregation and transformation of data into visualizations and presentations to make business decisions. Transactional databases are used in BI and feed into data warehouses used for optimized searching. Business analysts use data warehouses to search for patterns, regional trends, or other business insights. The business analysts' toolbox starts with basic database tools, including (SQL) applications, Microsoft Excel®, or other similar analytic applications used to transform the data. Transformed data is presented in visualization software such as Power BI® or Tableau® so that business insights can be quickly and effectively communicated to management. Variety: indicates that there are multiple formats in which data can be stored Prior to the era of Big Data, the most common formats were organized text files (documents) and number-based files (spreadsheets). Advances in technology have increased the capacity to process large files quickly, increasing the variation in formats. Images were historically difficult to manage, but now can be algorithmically analyzed with today's computing. Veracity: refers to reliability of data the accuracy and Requires cleansing and maintenance, which means gathering data can be slow and expensive. In addition to companies gathering their own data, it is now common practice to purchase large streams of data from thirdparty sources. Big Data Opportunities and Challenges With Big Data The term coined in the mid-2000s refers to expanded electronic storage capacity and manipulation of large data sets Opportunities Involves running advanced calculations on millions of records Used to predict trends or solve complex business problems • • • The Four Vs Volume: the amount of data measured in bytes, which contain enough binary space to store one letter of text Velocity refers to: The speed of data transmissions How quickly the data can be processed Can increase the efficiency of business and society as a whole Helps identify common traits among customers and more accurately target prospects with relevant advertisements Provides more information about what, where, when, and how, which enables better management for supply chains Challenges • Companies know more about consumers, which causes concern among privacy advocates • • Channels must be created within an organization to protect information from theft and misuse Information must be restructured so that the origin of sensitive materials is masked and cannot lead to specific individuals Data Structure Big Data is typically classified into three classifications: Structured Data: the oldest classification of data • • • • Has an explicit organizational pattern May have segments of fixed length where each segment contains a piece of data May be segments of variable lengths where each segment contains a piece of data and a header An example is a relational database where each database table has a header that identifies the structure of rows that belong to it, regardless of where the rows are stored in memory Unstructured Data: lacks any kind of organizational structure • • A written novel would be an example; although a novel has chapters and pages, these do not define lengths or content. Other examples include images (including .pdf files), audio files, or social media text files, such as reviews and posts. Semi-Structured Data: data that does not have an organizational structure that defines lengths and content but contains elements that can provide some degree of identification • • • Comma-delimited files are one of the oldest types of semi-structured data. This kind of file has different data types in sequence, separated by a comma, so the length of each field is not known but the order of fields is known. The programming language Data Progression The value of information can be charted on a continuum, starting with raw data that is an unconnected fact Data becomes information when it conveys meaning and purpose, usually requiring connected data to provide context Example: An individual sales transaction has more value when it is connected to other pieces of data, such as the date of the sale and the customer's information Managing Data Analytics Presents businesses opportunity to operate with increased efficiency and effectiveness All employees can make better decisions about their work if they have timely access to accurate, pertinent information Can be expensive due to computing infrastructure and the need for skilled employees to run it Managers who are unfamiliar with it may be hesitant to fully use analytics If used inappropriately, or if the results are misinterpreted, then decisions can be even worse than decisions made without data Data Mining The process of investigating large data sets to discover previously unknown patterns Combines the aggregation and analysis of data by trainable artificial intelligence (AI) and machine-learning-enhanced decision support systems Requires the decision support system and the AI to be trained with data similar to the real data the AI is expected to investigate Training a model helps it to understand how to interpret certain types of information and yield meaningful results The parameters of the model have a large impact on what patterns are judged to exist Many data-mining techniques require an initial seed (or guess) value to begin the analysis For example, cluster analysis software often requires the analyst to define the number of clusters before the data-mining process begins Exploratory Data Analysis • • • • • Also called data mining, or "atheoretical" research Used to investigate existing data sets for useful patterns Unlike traditional research, the data is not used to show support for a preexisting theory or desired analytical outcome Atheoretical analysis is applicable when the target population resembles the sample, yielding high validity Cluster analysis or decision trees are examples of exploratory analysis Challenges of Data Mining Quality and Quantity of Data Required: A large quantity of data is needed to produce valid results from the data that can reliably be used for decision making. Small quantities of bad data can dramatically skew the results of data mining There may be significant outliers, or bias in the data collection process Every batch includes bad data, so a defensible method for dealing with bad data must be developed Timeliness: Data gathering and data cleaning are expensive and time-consuming activities. A company with a small or inexperienced data science team can spend too long gathering and cleaning a data set for optimal decision making Data science departments must have the scale and skill to process data quickly Expensive Employees: Highly skilled professionals with advanced programming and technical knowledge are required to work with file sizes and software packages today. Although software processes can be run without statistics expertise, only an expert can be certain that the results are valid or reliable Corporate Culture: Executives are often educated, trained, and acclimatized to trust their own judgment and that of their peers. It can be a challenge to devote enough resources for a department to competently perform data mining Even if data mining has been done, it can be a challenge for executives to understand and apply the insights Retrieving Information To perform data mining or even more everyday business tasks, analysts must first retrieve the data before they can analyze it. For example, many businesses have a customer table in their database that contains records such as the customer's name and address The products a company sells would be another category of data These tables are separate and do not duplicate information Every row in a table needs to have a unique identifier called a primary key, so the row can easily be found When information from another table needs to be referenced, the primary key of the row from the other table is included as a data item in the original table and is called a foreign key Retrieving Information Query Tools: structured query language (SQL) The programming language specifically designed to selectively retrieve (and load) information that has been stored in relational databases Invented in 1970 and was patterned on English sentences One of the most commonly used commands is SELECT, which is used to retrieve data While query tools and languages exist for various types of information retrieval, most of those languages are rooted in SQL in some form Introduction to Analytic Data Modeling One of the simpler forms of analytic modeling in data mining is a decision tree. Based on a series of decision points called nodes, decision trees are decision support tools that provide outcomes based on probability or fact. They begin with a single node, or question, with at least two possibilities. Each possibility is assigned an outcome (e.g., yes or no; A, B, C) or probability that breaks off further into additional outcomes. These outcomes have their own nodes and outcomes, continuing until all possibilities have been exhausted, with the end result resembling a tree. The parameters in the decision tree's algorithm can be adjusted based on the unique characteristics of a given data set or circumstances. Data Mining Process To begin, a substantial data set must be gathered that records the various qualities being discussed. • Often, data sets consist of many events, each of which has a binary choice such as: Fraud transaction vs. legitimate transaction Customer gives favorable rating vs. customer gives unfavorable rating Customer purchases product vs. customer does not purchase The purpose of data mining is to identify patterns among the data that will explain the binary choice. Making the First Decision The algorithm will choose where to draw a vertical (or horizontal) line so that the ratio between the choices on each side of the line is as high as possible. The data collected may not appear to have a pattern or be easy to collect. Using advanced algorithms helps draw insights on an otherwise uneventful data set. It is important to calculate all possible ratios to complete each mining step. Growth of Decision Trees in Data Analytics Decision tree algorithms could continue to expand into perpetuity and further subdivide the diagram. Further divisions create smaller boxes that are more exclusively the same color and further build the decision tree. Growing the Decision Tree This practice reaches a point of diminishing (even negative) returns. Once the first iteration is complete, the process is refined and repeated. Rules for subsequent decisions are generated by the same ratio-driven algorithmic criteria used for the first decision. The better a model fits the data from which it was constructed, the less reliable it will be when applied to other data, such as real customers in the real world. This is because the model will not be able to accommodate or interpret variation from new observations The inability to accommodate can be mitigated by testing the model against a separate data set (testing data) Testing determines how large the algorithm should grow on the decision tree, and helps choose between different candidate decision trees Growth of Decision Trees in Data Analytics A multidimensional model uses the same logic as a two-dimensional model, but more than two would be difficult. The algorithm does not have to use straight lines or planes to divide spaces. Complex curved multivariate shapes can be used if the algorithm is sophisticated enough and sufficient computing power is available. 1F. Data Analytics: Part 2 4. Prescriptive: focuses on the business relationships discovered by diagnostic analytics to recommend actions Types of Data Analytics The differences between the types of data analytics is in the intention of the analysis, rather than the techniques used. The person using the data may want to simply describe what is happening or find the cause behind what is happening The user may also be more concerned with predicting future trends instead of describing past ones The types of data analytics include: 1. Descriptive: answers questions to discover what has happened by performing some of the following tasks: • • • Data assembly and organization tasks such as cataloging daily, weekly, and monthly sales reports Usage rates and expenditures for advertisement Inventory accumulation or depletion Actions are intended to influence future events Focuses on what should change to bring about different results Prescriptive analytics are often undertaken by experienced analysts at the managerial or executive level Types of Analytic Models: Clustering and Classification Types of Analytic Models Each model has strengths and limitations Some are basic in structure and less complex in application Some require statistical knowledge and a team of analytic consultants to apply the models to consumer data Clustering to Used to determine whether a large group contains two or more cohesive subgroups Example: Diagnostic analytics may attempt to discover associations between marketing and sales, or between inventory and sales, so that management may understand the relationships between the occurring events. Each subgroup's members are more similar to members of their own subgroup than they are to other subgroups 2. Diagnostic: answers questions discover why events are happening 3. Predictive: brings together the data from descriptive and diagnostic analytics to predict expected future events This is based on what is known about current conditions and assumes that relationships remain stable Accounting analysts often use these tasks to inform managers of anticipated gains and expenses in future periods Used to identify characteristics that unite or separate the customer base Used to target prospective consumers as well as existing customers Classification Attempts to accurately label data points as belonging to an established group Binary classification is when there are two options, and analysis is used to choose the more likely of those two options Example: In conversion prediction, data is used to predict whether individual customers are likely to purchase a product. Data is gathered about known cases where existing customers purchased products, and data is gathered about many other people to analyze which people most resemble the existing customer base and may be more willing to make a purchase. Other types include: of classification analyses Imbalanced classification techniques are used to isolate anomalies in cases in which one option is rarer than the other Similar techniques are used to determine outliers during the data-cleaning phase of other analysis tasks There are multiple independent variables and multiple slopes. Logistic Regression Used for data that is either binary or categorical in nature as opposed to continuous Useful for predicting outcomes with two possibilities Yes/No or True/False Finite function ranging from 0 to 1, rather than linear, which ranges from 0 to infinity Because the range is between 0 and 1, the probability of an occurrence can be estimated Predicted values closer to 1 are considered more likely to be affirmative Types of Analytic Models: Regression Benefits of regression Regression Can make decisions An advanced mathematical analysis that produces an equation to determine the relationship between variables • Applied if there is a suspected underlying linear relationship between two or more variables more informed business By using business conditions as independent variables, the output can be predicted with statistically significant results Can also be applied in the event no previous relationship is known Improves the precision of business decision making Type of relationship that diagnostic analytics is intended to discover Limitations of regression Multiple Regression The equation has multiple independent variables. The key difference from simple regression is that multiple regression assumes more than one factor influences the dependent variable. There is only one intercept and one error term. Can only be generalized to populations that resemble the sample Making business decisions using the incorrect use of this tool may lead to poor business outcomes The accuracy of regression is limited if the sample size is small Correlation Coefficient Referred to as (r), measures how closely the regression equation fits the data β0, the intercept or value of the dependent variable when the independent variable is 0 Range of–1to1 β1, the slope of the regression line A correlation coefficient of –1 means the dependent and independent variables have a perfect negative linear relationship These estimates are not perfectly accurate unless the correlation coefficient is either – 1 or 1 A correlation coefficient of 1 means the variables have a perfect positive linear relationship A confidence interval for β0 or β1 is the probability that the actual parameter values fall between two set values Coefficient of Determination (Goodness of Fit) P-value: a statistical measure that indicates the significance of the relationship between the independent and dependent variables Also called R-squared, this measures the ability of a model to explain the outcome (the Y values or dependent variables) given the X values or independent variables used in the regression model Measures the goodness of fit of the regression line; calculated by squaring the coefficient of correlation (r) The coefficient of determination varies between zero and 1 and is read as a percentage Standard Error of the Estimate: a measure of the accuracy of the relationship predicted by the regression analysis Low p-value (< 0.05) suggests relationship is statistically significant High p-value (> relationship may significant the 0.05) suggests the not be statistically Analysts use p-values in combination with the coefficient estimates to assess the significance and strength of the regression model Types of Analytic Models: Time Series Analysis Time Series Analysis The standard deviation of all errors between actual observations and the predicted dependent value for those independent values Shows data collected over a period of time, potentially revealing patterns over time As the number of data points increases, the standard error of the estimate becomes smaller Visualizing time data can be used to separate trend lines, seasonality, and cyclicality from irregular time patterns Confidence Interval: a measure of the degree of certainty when applying statistical methods A trend line is the line that best fits the data across the time series Simple linear parameters: regression yields two Time is on the x-axis and the observed values on the y-axis This line is calculated using regression analysis The slope shows the average overall direction of the observed values on the yaxis Benefits • • Pattern identification and forecasting Separates trend lines, seasonality, and cyclicality from irregular time patterns Limitations • • • Missing data (may impact results) Assumptions of stationarity (assumes that the underlying statistical properties remain constant over time) Complex models Predictive Analytic Techniques Predictive analytics generally fall into two types: forecasting analytics and referential analytics 1. Forecasting Analytics: predicts future events based on past events, past conditions, and expected future conditions Incorporates the effects of likely changes so contingency-based recommendations can be provided 2. Referential Analytics: predicts what will happen to one group based on known data about what happened to another group Seasonality: occurs when time series data exhibits regular and predictable patterns Used for near-term events so it is less important to try to predict future conditions Occurs at time intervals that are less than a year Challenges of Fitting Analytic Models to the Data Irregular patterns: refer to unpredictable fluctuations that do not follow a distinct trend, seasonality, or cyclicality Only a fraction (from 10 percent to 30 percent) of the available data can be used to build the model (called training data) May arise due to unexpected events, external influences, or random fluctuations The remaining data is reserved for testing Can be challenging to predict Time Series Analysis A model that perfectly fits the test data is likely to be overfitted, meaning it explains the test data so well that it is less effective when used on other data Cyclicality: occurs when time series data rises and falls over periods of time that are not fixed or predictable It can be difficult to know when to stop building the model Generally, occurs over periods of more than one year Once several versions of the model have been built and trained, those versions are all run against the test data set The model that performs best is selected, unless the model can be improved If it can be improved, the training and test data sets may be shuffled back together, and a new random subset is taken The process would begin again after modifications Limitations of Data Analytics There are three categories of data analytics limitations: Technical limitations imposed by the computing hardware and software: The file sizes for data sets and the amount of computing memory necessary to run analytics software are very large and very expensive Available human capital: Data scientists have a highly specialized skill set; the quality of data analytics depends on their expert judgment The data itself: Ongoing expense and effort must be spent to continuously gather large quantities of timely, relevant, high-quality data Other Analytic Methods Sensitivity Analysis Used to investigate how the results of an analysis could change if adjustments are made to inputs or independent variables Most often used when the relationships driving dependent variables are not explicitly or reliably identified, but the effects of the variables are quantified Also called "what-if" analysis, the main benefit is that it helps management identify tipping points at which business conditions may require management action or intervention Goal-seeking analysis A subcategory of sensitivity analysis focusing on achieving a particular set of outputs Inputs can be adjusted in several ways, such as increasing sales incentives or changing advertising dollars spent, to change outcomes Each change will have possible secondary effects Attempts to discover a formula in which the examined inputs can be altered relative to one another and arrive at the intended goal Simulation Models Risk-analysis tools that perform multiple sensitivity analyses to find business conditions resulting in the most extreme, yet acceptable, business outcomes Have the same main benefit (identifying tipping points) and limitation (potential for misidentification of tipping points) as sensitivity analysis Monte Carlo Technique: a type of simulation model with both multiple variables and multiple assumptions about the distribution of the data Runs many analyses at once For each variable being studied, every possible type of distribution is presumed As the simulation processes data, highly unlikely distribution types drop from the analysis until the most likely outcomes remain Does not result in a single answer but gives a range of likely results Evaluating Data Visualization Options Data Visualization The pictorial or graphical representation of information displayed to make trends and key concepts visible Traditional charts and graphs are now applied to information on a larger scale, and then enhanced with more nuanced graphical adaptations Benefits Reduces time needed to communicate key findings and highlights otherwise unnoticeable trends or statistics Reveals subtle trends in an obvious way, simplifies complex data, and identifies patterns and relationships Limitations May lack the precision of the actual underlying data Can be limited by the viewer's ability to understand the message conveyed by the image Determining the Best Communicate Results Channel to Data visualizations are made more effective by isolating the key concept that needs to be communicated and then determining the visualization that best conveys the concept For example, in a grouping of light-blue dots, most humans can distinctly see a single red dot located in the group Likewise, for a series of bars of the same height, a bar that is double the length of all other bars stands out Visuals can have numerical overlays that supplement key findings with a percentage or an index One key in selecting the best visual is understanding the audience's background to help define the target audience The use of certain visuals may associated with different industries be For example, line graphs are used in the investment profession; anatomical or biological icons are used in health care Many visualization methods obscure precise values, either by aggregating them or rendering their value as a position against a less precise scale How quickly the audience needs to grasp the basic patterns present, along with the type of data presented, will determine the types of visualization used Tables and dashboards are a common visualization method Tables are used when finding the precise values of a limited number of observances is crucial Dashboards are used to quickly communicate key metrics to management Bar Charts and Line Charts Trends generally have a linear component and involve time as a measure Histograms, or bar charts, use the length of a bar to represent frequency or magnitude Used to visualize data when there are few important categories that encompass all the data Line charts show a frequency or a magnitude in one dimension against a metric in the other dimension Instead of multiple bars, it shows a single indicator point These points are connected with line segments or curved lines Stacked Charts A stacked chart combines the qualities of a histogram and a line chart Provides a visual of all points of the difference between variables All variables extend from their tops to the x-axis, not just the visible portion of the variable Best used when the included variables do not cross each other Dot Plots and Flowcharts A dot plot is a two-dimensional mapping of observances onto a coordinate plane One dimension represents the frequency of observations of the other dimension Used when there are discrete and repeated instances of the observations Flowcharts are best for processes that have a beginning, middle, and end that can be mapped Allow learners to see potential options that may take place during a given process Pie Charts Used to illustrate data points that sum to a whole This angular distortion can be addressed using a doughnut chart, which is a pie chart with the center removed Boxplots and Scatter Plots A boxplot displays the distribution of data, showing the minimum, quartiles, median, and maximum Can show outliers and whether data is symmetrical, widely distributed, or skewed Scatter plots illustrate correlation by mapping data observations in two dimensions Bubble Charts and Directional Charts A bubble chart is a type of scatter plot that uses the size of the dots to help the user visualize magnitude or other relational quality Directional charts highlight key events or milestones over time The earliest data or event begins on the left Pyramid Chart and Waterfall Chart A pyramid chart shows understanding underlying foundations or building blocks Most helpful when the bottom layer represents an action or a target that must first be achieved before the next layer up can take place Show the relative size of the component data sets A waterfall chart conveys the cumulative effect of each new or incremental piece of information Traditional pie charts are susceptible to distortion As each data point is added, its effect is charted against the total of all data points The proportion of obtuse-angled sections of a pie chart may cause people to overestimate the proportion of acuteangled sections Communicating Techniques Using Visualization Requires more precision than just reporting all results Can be done by modifying traditional charts using: • • • • • • • Figure overlaps Relative scaling Geographical overlays Gradient colors Colors that correlate for the same data point Sorted data Interactive visuals Best Practices To effectively communicate key findings and recommendations, there are several considerations that can help to avoid confusion Minimize Visual Noise: minimize the number of data points charted unless attempting to emphasize volume prevent distortion, and minimize cognitive overload. Avoid Absolutes: definitive language or superlatives such as "best" or "always" suggests a more likely interpretation Maintain Appropriate Scale: unless there is a compelling reason not to, scales should start at zero and be unbroken Avoid Bias: information stewards must present information in an unbiased way that does not mislead users Use the Same Time Period: when making comparisons, using different time periods may lead to misleading conclusions Faithful Representation Data visualizations should not omit data. The following two images are constructed from the same data, but a trend is apparent on the left that does not exist when all of the data is faithfully presented on the right. Faithful Representation Minimize Colors: limit colors or shades to no more than four to six to avoid distraction Three-dimensional images complicate data visualization Darken for Emphasis: use darker colors for significant details to place emphasis on the key points Three-dimensional images often use a forced perspective to create the illusion of depth Label Sparingly: use labels when accuracy is necessary for otherwise indistinguishable data points Forced perspective means that the scale does not apply to all portions of the image in the same way, which creates distortion Minimize Depth: unnecessary depth may create proportion or scale distortions or emphasize meaningless differences Forecasting Avoid Over Slicing: use pie charts with only four or five data points to avoid crowding and confusion Minimize Legends: avoid using legends with too many colors as matching the legend to the chart becomes difficult When using visualization techniques that mix actual data with projected, estimated, or predicted data, clearly indicate the difference between the data points used
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