Presidentialism versus Parliamentarism: Implications for Representativeness and Legitimacy Author(s): Fred W. Riggs Reviewed work(s): Source: International Political Science Review / Revue internationale de science politique, Vol. 18, No. 3, Contrasting Political Institutions. Institutions politiques contrastées (Jul., 1997), pp. 253-278 Published by: Sage Publications, Ltd. Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1601343 . Accessed: 27/02/2012 23:03 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. Sage Publications, Ltd. is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to International Political Science Review / Revue internationale de science politique. http://www.jstor.org InternationalPolitical ScienceReview (1997), Vol. 18, No. 3, 253-278 Presidentialism versus Parliamentarism: Implications for Representativeness and Legitimacy FRED W. RIGGS ABSTRACT. Despite optimistic expectations that the new states of the world will, increasingly, become democratic and peace-loving in the "new world system" created after the collapse of all the modern empires, we see growing signs of pervasive violence. Efforts to support the consolidation of existing democracies need to be augmented by struggles to prevent their collapse. Two crucial problems recur in these struggles: how to legitimize states that are often viewed by unwilling subjects as oppressive and lacking the authority or ability to govern effectively, and how to share power in countries where it is concentrated, unrepresentatively, in the hands of ambitious minorities. Democracies that cannot respond to the urgent needs of their citizens should expect them to resort to resistance, terrorism, and revolutionaryviolence. Two main forms of democratic governance exist on the basis of western examples: the presidentialist design illustrated by the United States, and parliamentarist forms developed in Western Europe. The argument advanced here is that the presidentialist formula is inherently less able than parliamentarism to support the degree of representativeness and legitimacy required as a minimal basis for the survival of democratic governance. Some of the exceptional reasons why, despite the high rate of collapse of other presidentialist regimes, the us constitutional system has survived so long are explained. Because it is, indeed, very difficult to transform any presidentialist regime into a parliamentary one, the us example is used to support lessons concerning the costs that must be paid for presidentialist regimes to survive. The Context of Modernity The collapse of the world's modern empires, both communist and capitalist in ideology, spawned a large number of successor states. Despite early optimism that they 0192-5121(1997/03) 18:3,253-26 ? 1997InternationalPoliticalScienceAssociation SAGE Publications(London,ThousandOaks,CAand New Delhi) 254 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism could become thriving democracies, many have, instead, become weak authoritarian states unable to govern effectively throughout their inherited domains (Jackson, 1990). Anarchic chaos prevails in many of these countries, provoking revolutionary movements, rival ethnic groups, and criminal gangs to challenge the authority of those in power. Inherited colonial bureaucracies, headed by military officers, often respond to resulting crises by seizing power in the name of peace and order-and also, of course, to protect their own rights and privileges. Nevertheless, in this context, there are growing signs of democratization (Huntington, 1991) and many states have struggled out of turmoil and authoritarianism to establish (or re-establish) democratic constitutional government. What are the prospects for success of these emergent democracies (Diamond, 1996)?How can interested outsiders best understand what is happening and help the leaders of incipient democracies succeed and sustain their fledgling democratic institutions when they come under attack? To what extent is the fate of these countries determined by forces outside their control? Perhaps they are trapped by the historic dynamics of our modern world. However, could it also be possible that if their leaders knew more about what works and what doesn't work in their situations, they would be able to make choices that might enhance the prospects for successful consolidation and maintenance of democratic institutions? More specifically, does it make a difference whether they choose to be governed by constitutional rules based on the separation-of-powersas exemplified by the us model, or by parliamentarism, based on the fusion-of-powers as we find it in Western Europe?Because the basic design of any constitutional system of governance profoundlyaffects the operation of other institutional variables, I shall focus here on the pros and cons of parliamentarismand presidentialism. Polyarchicand Hierarchic Subsystems These are the two most important components of modern democracies. To be clear about the following analysis, we need to recognize that all modern states (and membership-based non-governmental associations as well) contain two basic substructures, one polyarchic and the other hierarchic (Dahl, 1971; Riggs, 1996). No doubt modern states vary between authoritarian and democratic extremes, depending on whether their polyarchic subsystems have only one, or at least two, important political parties. Some pre-modern states also remain in the world-they typically have hierarchic but not polyarchic substructures-and some stateless societies that are polyarchic but not hierarchic can also be found in remote places. This means that although most contemporary states have a modern format, a few non-modern states also remain alive. All modern states contain linked polyarchic and hierarchic substructures. They are democratic only if there is electoral competition for seats in their elected assemblies-some modern states, accordingly, are not democracies. The modes used to link the hierarchic and polyarchic substructures of a modern state profoundlyaffect the way they work: this explains why those with parliamentarist regimes can more easily solve many modern problems than can those based on the presidentialist model, for reasons to be explained below. These preliminary assertions are conceptual, involving definitions of such key words as "democracy,""modern,""presidential," "parliamentary,""polyarchy"and "hierarchy."Such words also have other meanings but I intend to use them only in a way that conforms to the foregoing text. FREDW. RIGGS 255 To recapitulate and elaborate a bit, any modern association (whether it be a state or a non-governmental organization) contains: (1) a polyarchical system anchored in an elected assembly which I call a constitutivesystem(Riggs, 1969) and, (2) a hierarchical (managerial or bureaucratic) subsystem responsible for implementing the policies authorized by the constitutive system. The notion of an "association" used here is that of any "organization" whose constituent members share practices (structures) that enable them to make collective decisions. In this sense, all modern states are associations, but most modern associations are non-governmental organizations-the word organization is often used as a synonym and I would rather use it except for the fact that parts of an association, like its bureaucracy, or even individual bureaus, are often also called "organizations." All modern associations are, therefore, self-governing organizations that link a constitutive system with a bureaucracy; some are states but many are non-governmental bodies. Put differently, any association that lacks a constitutive system is not "modern." Many but not all modern associations are also "democratic," but when a single party monopolizes the nomination of candidates for assembly seats by effectively precluding its opponents, they are, by definition, not democratic-I call them closedconstitutive systems.By contrast, any constitutive system that enables two or more parties to compete for assembly seats may be called open. Competitive (open) elections are needed to legitimize modern associations. However, pre-modern associations lacked constitutive systems and derived their legitimacy from other sources. More specifically, pre-modern monarchies gained their legitimacy from supernatural forces, such as beliefs in the divine right of kings. Monarchic rituals and sacrifices were thought to bring welfare and health to all subjects. Such legitimacy depended, no doubt, on religious (spiritual) beliefs in the potency of supernatural forces and the capacity of crowned kings to influence their earthly impact (Hocart, 1970). The spread of secularism as an empirically oriented and typically modern way of viewing the world has undermined the legitimacy of monarchic rule and given representative governance its compelling force. I believe that all legitimate governments (i.e., states whose citizens accept their authority voluntarily) are legitimized from above by monarchic rule (a few endangered monarchies still survive in our world) or from below by democratic rule. No doubt many contemporary states are ruled by autocrats who have seized power by violence but, I think, their reliance on fear and coercion renders their rule illegitimate and precarious. Their collapse leads to new military rulers or democratic Protogovernance, typically in a precarious basic form that I call proto-democracy. democracies may evolve into consolidated stable democracies, or may again collapse into authoritarianism. Exceptionally they may become single-party dictatorships, a modern but undemocratic type of state; my guess is that although some such states remain alive today, new ones will not be created. More frequently, however, they may be torn apart by secessionist movements generated by dissatisfied ethnonational communities. The focus of this article is on the institutional variables that enhance the prospects for survival of proto-democracies, and more specifically, on their capacity to legitimize their authority and expand the representativeness of their electoral/party systems so as to meet the urgent needs of all their minority communities. States in transition often manifest formalistic compromises in which, for example, a constitutive system may exist formally but not in reality-competitive elections may be held for membership of a puppet assembly, and corrupt practices may assure the election of a "president" who had previously seized power as an 256 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism autocrat. Such formalism is typical of what I call the prismaticmodel (syndrome) where mutually contradictorypractices coexist and continuously cross-pressureeach other (Riggs, 1964). Actually, I believe, formalism exists everywhere in the world today, but it prevails more in some contexts than in others. Western observers are so accustomed to thinking that what people say largely corresponds to what they do that they often assume that constitutional charters are enforced, laws are implemented, and policies executed as they are written. More commonly, I am afraid, formally promulgated norms are effectively violated in practice-formalism is ubiquitous. The basic problems involved in achieving and sustaining democracies, therefore, may not be manifested in the formal texts of constitutional charters and laws. Rather, they hinge on the conditions that permit these norms to be implemented in practice. Ideally, I would like to talk about all these conditions but limited space permits me to review only the two conditions that I view as minimally necessary and relevant to the constitutional forms of a state: representativeness and legitimacy. These conditions can, I believe, be achieved more easily under parliamentarist than under presidentialist principles of governance and the rest of this article is devoted to a discussion of this proposition. Other conditions requisite to the consolidation of democracy also need to be considered, however, and I hope that writers dealing with them will keep in mind the fact that some polyarchicpractices that can work well under parliamentarist conditions may destroy regimes based on presidentialist structures (Riggs, 1997). Presidentialism versus Parliamentarism This claim requires, of course, a clear understanding of the distinction between presidentialism and parliamentarism. To the degree that formalism prevails, the political realities in some states are better described as authoritarian than democratic, regardless of the formal prescriptions of their constitutional charters. In the following discussion I shall assume some modest realism, that is, the formal charter describes political practice, at least approximately and not necessarily absolutely. The ideal type of a modern democracy is not based on a single formula because there are two different plans for linking open constitutive systems with bureaucracies and we may refer to them as presidentialistand parliamentarist.Although "parliamentary" and "presidential" are often used for the same concepts (Lijphart, 1992), I prefer forms that can clearly distinguish between constitutional systems and the specific institutions found in them. For example, presidentialoften refers to the office of an elected leader, and it is used in both presidentialist and parliamentarist democracies as well as single-party and autocratic regimes. Parliamentaryusually characterizes the assemblies found in parliamentarist systems; by contrast, we use congressfor the assemblies of presidentialist regimes and legislaturefor a broader concept that includes both. Non-modern states and non-democratic modern states are not characterized as "presidentialist" or "parliamentarist" even though they may, formally, have "presidents" and "elected" assemblies. We may think of some constitutional models that are neither presidentialist nor parliamentarist: the Swiss confederacy may provide an example. More importantly, there are hybrid systems that display some features of both types: the French Fifth Republic is the best-known case. Nevertheless, most democracies adhere to one of FREDW. RIGGS 257 two fundamental rules designed to link their open constitutive systems with the bureaucracy through the role of the head of government, as I shall now explain. Presidentialism The presidentialist form of constitutional democracyevolved first in the United States. This format has been widely emulated in other countries: it replaces monarchs with presidents elected for a fixed term. Most importantly, they have the authority (at least nominally) to manage the governmental bureaucracy.Some comments on the historical situation that led the founding fathers of the us Constitution to reproduce the existing powers of the king of England while rejecting monarchic principles can be found in Needler (1996: 119). Concurrently,an elected assembly was created to parallel the president on the basis of the principle of the "separationof powers."This principle has been followed in all presidentialist regimes. Two important consequences flow from the presidentialist rule that the head of government is elected for a fixed term. First, the president holds office until that term ends and cannot be discharged by parliamentary votes of no-confidence and, second, control over the bureaucracy is divided between rival centers of authority. The first result can lead to gridlock between the executive and legislative branches, impairing the accountability of the chief executive to the elected assembly and hampering the ability of a government to govern. The second effect impairs the ability of any presidentialist regime to control its appointed officials and therefore limits its capacity to manage a bureaucracy powerful enough to deal effectively with complex modern problems. The fact that the head of government also serves as head of state is a dysfunctional complication but not, I think, a basic problem for presidentialist regimes. Parliamentarism In parliamentarist regimes, by contrast, cabinet accountability to parliament produces a fused executive/legislative authority manifested in a cabinet. Such cabinets differ fundamentally from the coterie of executive appointees known, misleadingly, as a "cabinet" in presidentialist regimes. The cabinet leader, usually known as a prime minister, or premier, needs the support of a parliamentary majority to stay in power. This system has two fundamental consequences: first, because the constitutive system in such regimes is fused-that is, the cabinet is accountable to the elected assembly and can be discharged by a vote of no-confidence-deadlock between the two branches can be avoided and its ability to make public policy can be enhanced. Second, control over the bureaucracy is strengthened by the fusion of powers; officials are responsible to an integrated center of authority. This means both that they can administer more effectively because they can be more powerful, and that they can also be better controlled because the power of the regime is fused. Without claiming that presidentialism is more or less democratic than parliamentarism, or that it is a "better" system in any sense, I believe that, for structural reasons, parliamentarist democracies are more likely to survive than presidentialist democracies. Statistical data supports this deductive conclusion. The analysis of 135 countries observed annually between 1950 and 1990 by Przeworski and his associates proves that contemporary "Parliamentary regimes last longer, much longer, than presidential ones..." (Przeworski et al. 1996: 47). My own earlier 258 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism analysis also supported this conclusion (Riggs, 1993). No doubt parliamentary regimes which have too many political parties are vulnerable to frequent cabinet crises (due to "polarized pluralism"-Sartori, 1976: 131ff.), whereas presidents typically remain in office for their full terms, but cabinet crises are not regime collapses and so the inference that presidentialism is more "stable" than parliamentarism rests on two different definitions of "stability." The US Exception The long-term survival of presidentialism in the United States can be explained, I think, by practices that differ from those usually found in other presidentialist regimes (see Riggs, 1988, 1994a). I shall not try to describe them here, but they provide a basis for suggesting some of the constitutional practices that could be adopted by presidentialist regimes wishing to enhance their own prospects for survival. Many of these practices support oligarchic power. By contrast, most presidentialist regimes strive to be more democratic than the United States as measured by levels of voter turnout, by reliance on proportional representation, by limiting the terms of office of members of congress, and by compulsory voting. More concretely, the price paid by Americans for the survival of theus constitutional regime impairs both its representativeness and its legitimacy-I shall discuss these claims in more detail below, after a comment on why presidentialism persists despite its serious limitations. If it can be shown that presidentialist regimes are seriously handicapped by contrast with parliamentarist systems, especially with respect to representativeness and legitimacy, we may wonder why presidentialism is not generally rejected in favor of parliamentarism. An early draft of this essay contained historical evidence to support the proposition that although parliamentarist regimes have occasionally been transformed in favor of presidentialism, virtually no presidentialist regime has successfully become parliamentarist. The explanation rests on how the ambitions of leading politicians are affected by these two regime types. We cannot realistically expect presidentialist regimes to become parliamentarist, but we can offer advice on how to preserve presidentialist democracy from the threat of authoritarianism. Unfortunately, this advice involves accepting rules that perpetuate oligarchic democracy at the expense of more democratic procedures, notably those that would make the regime more representative. Most of the available research on democracy focuses on its consequences, what values are served by democratic processes, and how can or should these processes be sustained. The emphasis is often on public policies more than on constitutional foundations. Yet the structure of governance as prescribed in constitutional documents, basic laws and charters, greatly affects the ability of a regime to support democratic processes and achieve democratic results, especially as reflected in the problems of representativeness and legitimacy. The former involves a kind of top-down question and the latter a bottom-up perspective. From the top-down, we can look at the degree to which the "people"in a country are represented by its institutions, especially in the elected assembly (parliament, congress, or legislature) through which the polyarchic function of representing constituents is implemented. The answer to this question requires us to ask who votes, who is eligible and, among them, who actually votes? From the bottom-up point of view, we have to ask how legitimate is the authority of any regime, and do citizens view its policies as deserving of respect and obedience even when sanctions FRED W. RIGGS 259 for non-compliance are not threatened? This question applies not only to resident citizens who are, at least formally, represented in elected assemblies, but also to non-resident citizens living or travelling outside a country, and to non-citizen residents who, for any reason, are not eligible to vote. In the remaining sections of this article, I shall argue that presidentialist regimes are handicapped by comparison with parliamentarist regimes in their efforts to deal with both the top-down (representative) and the bottom-up (legitimacy) challenges. Democracy and Representativeness To answer these questions, we should, I think, recall how modern democracies were established and the basic problems they had to solve-in the context of survival, the main issues concern prerequisites rather than such ideal consequences as quality of life, freedom, justice, and security. The questions I am asking here do not focus on what democracies could or should do or become. Rather, they involve questions about what is necessary for a democracy to survive. The questions are different and they require different answers. I shall focus on two requisites for survival: representativeness and legitimacy. Western industrialized state nations, during the post-Westphalian era, have become so well established that their legitimacy is almost assured regardless of their constitutional design, and this is especially true for the United States. In the successor states of the modern empires, however, legitimacy remains problematical, consider Bosnia, Somalia, Zaire, and Nigeria as examples. How does a state become legitimate (Linz and Stepan, 1996: 14)? Does its constitutional form make a difference? As for representativeness, this has always been a crucial issue for democracies and it remains so in all countries today. Let me say something about it first, and later talk about legitimacy as a closely related issue. OligarchicDemocracy Representative governments have quite different views about the degree to which democracies must respond to the needs of all citizens or may, instead, favor some, notably the owners of property. Increasingly, today, democracies face questions that involve ethnicity, how marginalized minorities can and should be represented. No doubt, ideally, democracies ought to represent all the classes and communities found among their citizens and subjects. In practice, however, some groups are always more powerful and better represented than others. My basic argument is that it is easier to be fully representative of any population under parliamentarist than under presidentialist rules. Under a facade of representativeness, a ruling elite may actually dominate-this is carried to an extreme under single-party or even hegemonic party dominationbut one cannot easily draw a line between all citizens and those who, somehow, are entitled to preferential treatment. Whenever a small group can manipulate the machinery of government in order to create a facade of representativeness, we have oligarchic democracy, or oligocracy,as I prefer to call it. Oligocracies are democratic in form-having competitive elections, with a party system and an elected assembly, for example-but they are also oligarchic insofar as their ruling groups do not, in fact, truly represent the whole population. "Oligocracy"is, admittedly, a neologism but it is easy enough to remember and it helps us explain why a presidentialist regime can survive. 260 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism In fact, I believe, presidentialist regimes can survive only by oligarchic means, that is., they must limit the access to power of marginalized ethnic communities and lower class populations. Powerful movements to make presidentialist regimes more representative have undermined their viability, leading to catastrophic collapses and, typically, military authoritarianism. No doubt this proposition will be very unpopular and it will be stoutly resisted; to sustain it, we need to look closely at the historical record and at theoretical arguments. I have considered the statistical evidence already (Riggs, 1993) and my findings are reinforced by Przeworski et al. (1996), although they do not pinpoint the reasons why presidentialist regimes are, typically, so short-lived. The first reason is historical. Consider how movements to replace monarchic rule with representative government were driven by the gradual empowerment of bourgeois communities in western Europe and, subsequently, by European settlers in the Americas and Australia/New Zealand. Except in their own trading cities, no bourgeoisie ever dominated an imperial empire or kingdom until well after the modern states evolved in the post-Westphalian era. Subsequently, as capitalists gained power in somewhat precarious mercantilist alliances with kings, they began to demand that monarchs surrender their autocratic powers. In order to succeed, however, capitalistic merchants, the bourgeoisie, needed allies among landed aristocrats, the church, bureaucrats, and intellectuals. They formed a united front with them in order to empower the people. A classic expression of this intention can be found in the us Declaration of Independence (4 July 1776), which declared that it had become "necessary for one people to dissolve the political bonds" whereby the King of Great Britain had sought to establish "an absolute tyranny over these states [colonies]." A long catalog of alleged abuses by the king, usually omitted in references to the Declaration, follow this claim, concluding with a declaration that "in the name and by the authority of the good people of these colonies, [they] solemnly publish and declare, that these United Colonies are, and of right ought to be, FREEAND INDEPENDENTSTATES,that they are absolved from all allegiance to the British crown...." The People The word, "people," has always represented a fuzzy concept. Bourgeois activists needed enough allies to gain power but they scarcely wanted to empower peasants, poor people, slaves and "blacks,"or even the women in their lives. No sharp lines were drawn between those to be excluded and those to be enfranchised in a system of representative governance, but the term, people, served their purposes. This word may refer to such notions as: everyone in general, all citizens of a state, all members of a community who share a common culture, ordinary folks by contrast with high status persons or elites, the subjects or followers of a ruler or leader, and various other concepts. To empower the "people," in short, could mean quite different things to different people; many people would not be viewed as "people" for electoral purposes. The proponents of representative government sought to disable monarchs and, ambiguously, to empower just enough "people" to reserve power for the "respectable" and "propertied citizens." The founding fathers of the American Constitution clearly feared "democracy"as a form of populism and they thought of "representative government" as a way to legitimize an oligarchic regime in which "minority"-that is, property-rights would be protected under the authority of FRED W. RIGGS 261 elected office-holders. In the American republic, despite the emancipation of slaves and women's suffrage, oligocracy has remained in effect, primarily because so many poor and uneducated citizens fail to vote. No doubt additional factors contribute to the oligarchic results, notably campaign financing and lobbying. What the wealthy cannot achieve by suffrage they can largely accomplish by offering incentives that win the support of legislators by other means. In other presidentialist regimes, for the most part, fundamental reforms have expanded the definitions of "people" and such measures as proportional representation in multi-member electoral districts and compulsory voting have, I believe, placed an impossible strain on the political regime, leading to periodic breakdowns and authoritarianism. By contrast, in parliamentary regimes it is possible, I believe, to expand representativeness to "all the people" without overburdening the constitutional system; I will discuss the reasons below. Before doing so, however, let us acknowledge two different though overlapping reasons for oligarchic rule. One involves the failure of citizens to vote even though they are legally eligible to do so; this is what happens so much in the United States that, typically, about half of the citizens who could vote do not actually do so. The other reason arises from the presence in a polity of subjects who are not eligible to vote. This condition arises most conspicuously in empires where the metropole may be democratic but conquered territories contain subject populations who have no voice in the political system. We can think of the former as a civic oligocracy where citizens fail to exercise their rights of suffrage and the latter as an imperial oligocracy whose subject populations are not eligible to vote. In the American case, imperial oligocracy evolved toward civic oligocracy when slaves, who had previously been excluded from all rights of citizenship, became enfranchised after the Civil War but were, nevertheless, effectively excluded from voting until after the recent Civil Rights movement. Comparable changes affected the status of women, of conquered indigenous peoples, and of legal immigrants who are not naturalized citizens. The fact that many former subjects do not vote illustrates the overlap between the two concepts. We can say that subjects become pawns when they acquire the rights of citizenship but, in fact, fail to exercise those rights or experience obstacles that keep them from exercising them. Thus imperial oligocracy can merge into civic oligocracy, and it is useful to be able to use a single word, oligocracy,to refer to both conditions. Oligocracy All democracies are, at least to some degree, oligocracies. This term puts the focus on the representativeness of constitutional democracies rather than on such political consequences of democratic governance as the extent to which they achieve justice and equity, human rights, civil liberties, and social welfare. To be oligocratic is to deny some people an effective voice in their government despite institutions that promise political representation for all "citizens" living under the same regime. Can democracies afford to be fully democratic? No doubt, ideally, all democracies strive to become or ought to be more representative. However, perhaps until they become well institutionalized, new democracies need to be oligarchic; most will, in fact, be oligocracies. When unrealistic expectations for democratic governance are raised, success may be jeopardized. Responsible leaders, confronting the limits of a country's resources and capabilities, may feel reluctant to empower impoverished and uneducated people whose real needs greatly exceed the capacity 262 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism of the regime to provide social services and other benefits. Such was the reasoning behind Sun Yat Sen's famous "Three Principles" when he advocated a stage of "tutelage" to prepare the Chinese people for the exercise of democracy. When universal suffrage prevails, candidates often promise much more than they can deliver. After they have been elected, when they cannot fulfill their promises, the whole process of democratic empowerment becomes discredited. Disillusioned voters, under such conditions, may well conclude that democratic institutions are inherently fraudulent, leading them to boycott elections; extreme frustration may also lead them to support revolutionary movements, ethnonational revolts, and criminal gangs. We need to ask how representative can governance be in the new successor states of the collapsed empires. More specifically, can presidentialist regimes afford to be as democratic as parliamentarist regimes and still survive? Structure There are those who argue that the parliamentarist/presidentialist option is a tweedledum/tweedledee question, that it makes little difference which constitutional formula is embraced. Some even think that presidentialism offers a more stable framework for newly established democracies, confusing cabinet crises with regime collapses. No doubt such great variations prevail among both presidentialist and parliamentarist regimes that supplementary institutional choices and noninstitutional factors may affect regime survival more than historically determined regime types. Nevertheless, I believe that the constitutional choice makes a big difference. The reasons are counter-intuitive, however, and they require explanations. Consider, first, that the viability of presidentialism hinges on the ability of president and congress to reach agreements under the constraints of a constitutional separation-of-powersprinciple which enables each to flout the other. This means that gridlock may occur for an indefinite period of time between the executive and legislative branches or, more probably,the president, with the support of the armed forces and the civilian bureaucracy,will domesticate the legislature, forcing it into submission or even dissolving it by a coup d'etat. A puppet legislature, of course, makes a mockery of representativeness. No matter how large the citizen majority may be that voted for a president, any chief executive not subject to constraints imposed by an elected assembly can easily succumb to temptations to become an autocrat. The maintenance of a politically potent elected assembly is, therefore, crucial for the survival of any democracy, and no assembly will be powerful unless its members compete for office against rival candidates; a single party in power can compel its members to follow party dictates and render the elected assembly a mere rubber stamp for the ruler. No doubt universal suffrage and popular representation are as feasible, in principle, under presidentialism as they are in parliamentarist systems. However, the potential for gridlock undermines the capacity of presidentialist regimes to rule effectively unless political power is centripetalized by a somewhat oligarchic (limited) suffrage. The centripetalization of electoral competition in America requires a political focus on the center where two parties can compete for the support of "independents." Although outvoted centrists have not voted for winning candidates, they share the preferences of the winners on so many issues that they are willing to accept defeat. Moreover, winning candidates compromise on so many issues in order to FREDW. RIGGS 263 create a broad coalition that losers scarcely feel the difference between the rivals. In the 1996 presidential race, for example, candidates Dole and Kemp, though personally committed to the anti-abortion "Right to Life" principle, have obscured this plank in their party's platform so as to retain the support of "Pro Choice" Republicans. If this idea sounds undemocratic, perhaps it is, but the awkward system works because compromisers can win power and the marginalized people who feel most alienated by the electoral results have not actually voted. By contrast, when almost everyone votes, widely different and strongly held ideologies gain supporters in elected assemblies. This blocks agreements, not only within the assembly but also between the legislature and the executive. In parliamentarist regimes, a multiplicity of parties and positions can be harmonized (at least to some degree) by the design of coalition cabinets, but under presidentialism, uncompromising minorities can only block agreements in the assembly, leaving the president free to deny real influence to all minority (extremist!) groups. To make presidentialism work, I believe, it is necessary to centripetalize power enough so that voices of moderation based on centrist views can prevail in both the executive and legislative branches. Political leaders know that when marginalized people don't vote, it is much easier to elect moderates. Despite the pervasive rhetoric in support of increased voter participation, the fact is that when all citizens vote in a separation-of-powers regime, the survival of constitutional democracy is jeopardized. Differing Needs Maslow's hierarchy of needs (Maslow, 1970) helps us understand the psychological dynamics of this phenomenon: the lower one's income, the greater one's need for subsistence, for food, clothing, and housing, whereas the more secure one is, the more one's psychic and social needs take priority. To win the support of impoverished and uneducated constituents, politicians make wildly exaggerated and expensive promises that can scarcely be redeemed. Less needy and better educated voters suspect that such promises are unrealistic and they also feel threatened by them (since higher taxes would be needed to pay for welfare benefits). The political center, therefore, supports policies that affect their many higher level needs, at lower cost, while rejecting politicians who sponsor costly projects for the most needy. The main reason for the centripetalization of politics in America is no doubt the continued use of single-member electoral districts, another holdover from the traditional British model. Claims that the exceptional homogeneity of the American "people" can account for this phenomenon strike me as dubious. To test such claims, consider how, in the name of democratic representativeness, many presidentialist systems have adopted some form of proportional representation (PR), a structure that assuredly generates centrifugalized democracy. By enabling citizens of diverse income levels, cultural backgrounds, and ideological preferences to gain representation in an assembly, PRoffers attractive options to members of marginalized communities who would not vote in single-member districts where they can never expect to win. The motivation for marginalized people to continue to participate in elections ultimately depends on the degree to which their assembly representatives can, indeed, share in the exercise of power, helping to shape policies that respond to the practical (and expensive) interests and concerns of their supporters. In parliamentarist regimes, the cabinet system gives minority parties an opportunity, at times, 264 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism to share real power. With a popularly elected head of government, however, the principle of winner takes all, stressed by Linz (1990, 1994), prevails and minority members of congress remain as permanently marginalized at the center as they normally are on the periphery.' Parliamentarist regimes, by contrast, can afford to be more representative and yet survive. A key point involves their ability to use proportional representation without endangering the regime. Because even small minorities in parliament can participate in coalition cabinets, it is possible for them to be accommodated. Moreover, the willingness of minority leaders to compromise increases, I believe, when they consider the possibility of actually sharing power in governance. Even countries following the Westminster electoral model are able, in principle, to gain support for regional parties whose members often form local majorities. Because of the cabinet system, their members in parliament can be co-opted into a governing coalition, whereas under presidentialist rules that option is closed to them. The prospect of perpetual marginalization in a separation-of-powers congress may embitter the leaders of minority communities who win seats because of PRand compulsoryvoting; it may reinforce their incentives for remaining obdurate; and at least, they would endear themselves to their marginalized supporters without having to pay a political price for their extremism. Even when they cannot win legislative battles, they can enhance their community support and hope, eventually, to gain other prizes thereby. This risk is reduced in the United States by the single-member district system, plus widespread abstention. The resulting inability of "third party" candidates to share power leads many of their supporters to drop out, or to switch to one of the two major parties where they can at least hope for small favors. My conclusion is that, whereas high degrees of representativeness are compatible with parliamentarist constitutional democracy, they undermine presidentialist regimes which periodically collapse except in the United States, where long-term oligocracy helps to sustain the system. Democracy and Legitimacy Political legitimacy rests on sovereignty. In a way, these are two sides of the same coin: sovereignty involves the source of authority and legitimacy its acceptance. Kings Traditionally, with supernatural sanctions, kings and emperors were viewed as having sovereign powers by virtue of a divine mandate or even their incarnation as divinities (Hocart, 1970). The obligation to serve a king, to pay tribute, and to obey the king's servants, was not just based on fear and reverence but, in addition, it depended heavily on beliefs concerning spiritual forces that could be appeased and guided by royal ceremonies and rituals to bring health and welfare to the ruler's subjects. To be a subject was not to be oppressed and exploited but, rather, to be protected and strengthened. To be "His Majesty's Servant" was a badge of honor. The "divine right of kings" was, therefore, a source of legitimacy that sustained the acceptance of authority. Disobedience and disloyalty would not only lead to physical punishments but also to disorder and disasters in the world; the legitimacy of royal authority was, therefore, reinforced by a strong sense of self-interest. Subjects who wanted to prosper and be healthy, to achieve their own goals in life, felt that FREDW. RIGGS 265 loyal obedience to authority was not only a duty but a privilege and a road to success. No doubt, in the real world, actual kings were often so incompetent, selfish, or vain that they tended to invalidate their own authority. Traditionally, in China, emperors were thought to have a "Mandate from Heaven" that assured prosperity and peace to all of their subjects. When disasters occurred, they were viewed as evidence that emperors had lost this mandate and deserved to be overthrown, a rationalization accepted by all those who sought, during bad times, to overthrow and replace emperors. In Europe, during the post-Westphalian period of state formation, European kings lost the spiritual legitimacy that had somehow persisted under the Holy Roman Empire and the papacy, despite all the disorder of European feudalism. The Reformation brought national churches and reduced the sacred mystique of monarchs who came, increasingly, to be viewed as tyrants and autocrats. As anarchy grew, the need for new political foundations increased and, after the Peace of Westphalia, the notion of an independent secular state gained ground. In this context, the rising power of capitalists and the explosive forces of the Industrial Revolution evolved and produced mounting conflict between society and monarchs. The American and French revolutions shattered the surviving mystique of monarchic rule. But what should take its place? The French history of rotation between republican and monarchic rule during the nineteenth century reveals how ambivalent and fragile the transition from royal to popular sovereignty can be. A more sharply defined transition took place in North America where the revolution against the English monarchy was followed by the establishment of a republic that has now maintained itself, despite a civil war, for over two centuries. The transition from monarchic to republican states, however, requires much more than the replacement of hereditary kings by elected presidents. Instead, it involves the replacement of sovereignty, a long-term, precarious process. A completely new framework is needed to provide legitimacy for the state and to give citizens a feeling that they will, indeed, benefit from the changeover. Tories who fled their homes after the American Revolution show that not all of the colonists were happy about this change. How could they have been reassured? Three foundation stones for a constitutional democracy are, potentially, available to sustain the transformation: the head of state, an elected assembly, and a bureaucracy. Let us look at each, in turn. Presidents The traditional basis for the legitimacy of a state rested on the divine right of kings to rule, a sacred basis for sovereignty, as noted above. The transition to constitutional democracy requires the creation of a new basis for legitimizing the state. The most obvious way to achieve this goal is simply to elect a president to replace the king. Popular sovereignty based on the people might replace the divinity of kings as a basis for legitimating the authority of the state. Instead of counting on supernatural forces to sustain life and health, a government responsive to the concerns of its citizens will adopt policies designed to meet their needs. However, the founding fathers were ambivalent about this. They suspected that the "people" might elect a demagogue who would, ironically, oppress minorities, especially the propertied class whose support had driven the Revolution. To avoid such a disaster, they decided to institute an Electoral College whose members would be appointed by the governors of each state: it was hoped they would be conservative 266 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism and affluent men since property qualifications for voting prevailed in the states. Hence, although dejure sovereignty might be in the hands of the "people,"defactoit would be exercised by propertied people, forming an oligocracy. However, the new oligarchs understood that they could not claim the rights of sovereignty. They knew that the people had to be the ultimate source of authority in the new republic. Thus the myth of the "people"as sovereign was needed to legitimize the exercise of executive authority. All the benefits that, traditionally, were thought to flow from royal sovereignty were, instead, to be conferred by popular sovereignty. This was scarcely a self-evident truth. The legitimacy of the new republic was by no means universally accepted. How, then, could the rising bourgeoisie gain popular acceptance for a secular republic? Some of the founding fathers actually wanted to establish an American monarchy but feared a hereditary kingship would prove unacceptable: instead, they urged the election of a president for life. In the end, fear of autocracy prevailed and they decided to let a president hold office for only four years, but with the possibility of re-election any number of times. Moreover, the founders gave the president all the functions of an eighteenth-century king, including the right to reign as head of state plus the right to rule as head of government. The big change was to replace the sacred grounds for royal authority with the secular principle of popular sovereignty. The secular or managerial functions of a king could be assigned to a president without noticing any great difference. Actually, the founders did not distinguish between these two functions: kings and presidents, in their minds, were just chief executives. The distinction between the functions of reigning and ruling evolved only subsequently, and its evolution in England is paradigmatic. There, after the experience of the Commonwealth and the violence of parliamentary power, the Glorious Revolution of 1688 established a monarchy with curtailed powers (no doubt Magna Carta of 1215 had paved the way). But even a century later, the functional division between the reigning and ruling powers of a king were not clearly understood. Indeed, the American colonists were so angry at the king that they ignored the sacred basis of royal sovereignty. Only after it became clear, in England, that a king's prime minister and cabinet could, in fact, rule with the consent of parliament, the distinction between the ceremonial (sacred) functions of head of state, reserved to the monarch, and the cabinet's political functions as head of government became clear (Needler, 1996: 119). The constitutional history of England is a familiar story, but political scientists tend to view the ceremonial functions of a constitutional monarch as little more than a relic of tradition and a dispensable luxury, ignoring the traditional grounds of sovereignty in all kingdoms. Today, even ordinary"people"in democratic monarchies have begun to ask whether or not the royal institution costs more than it is worth and some among them are even advocating republicanism. Once monarchism has lost its charm, its ability to serve as a legitimizing force for government declines, but is it dead?2 Consider the case of Japan, whose emperor remained as a powerful symbol despite the humiliation of that country's military defeat. Although the natural instinct of MacArthur and his staff during the subsequent military occupation was to establish a presidentialist republic (as the United States did in South Korea and South Vietnam), the imperial presence was so strong that the American-designed new constitution respected the emperor's authority and established a parliamentarist system patterned, in part, on the imperial constitution which had been FREDW. RIGGS 267 granted by imperial edict following the Meiji Restoration in 1867. The remarkable stability of post-warJapan after its crushing defeat and unconditional surrender in World War II can be attributed, in part at least, to the steadying influence of its imperial institution. With these cases in mind, one has to look again at the history of Western Europe, where it appears that the countries which retained their monarchies while establishing parliamentarist regimes (Great Britain, The Netherlands, Belgium, and the Scandinavian countries) have been more stable and enjoyed more legitimacy than the European republics: France, Germany, Italy, and Spain (until the royal restoration in 1975). Switzerland may be exceptional: perhaps that hinges on its "neutrality." The fear of powerful neighbors may have done more to cement the loyalty of the Swiss people to their confederal regime than any centripetal domestic forces, and, no doubt, the radical decentralism of confederalism makes the cantons a focus of legitimacy for many Swiss people. Even if royal traditions still honored in constitutional monarchies have helped to legitimize the authority of parliamentarist regimes, can we say that parliamentarist republics can still establish the legitimacy of their states more easily than do presidentialist regimes? Does either form have an advantage over the other? In both cases, the locus of sovereignty has moved from the monarchy to the people. How has it worked out? The American Prototype In presidentialist regimes, following the American example, elected presidents have been expected to reign as well as to rule. Conventional wisdom might lead us to assume that a popular president as elected head of state could do more to legitimize a regime than a parliamentarist president who is not elected by the people and who lacks the power to rule. I believe that this opinion is misguided. It presupposes that the head of state in a republic can perform the legitimizing functions of a monarchy. I believe, by contrast, that no secular leader, regardless of the means of selection, can ever replace the "divine rights of kings" as a source of political legitimacy. Nevertheless, the American experience has supported different and more optimistic conclusions. No doubt because of his military leadership during the Revolution and his personal modesty, the charisma of George Washington facilitated the transformation of a loose confederation into a unified federal republic, thereby creating false expectations about what a president could accomplish. Moreover, in the late eighteenth century, the agenda confronting all governments was so limited that the challenges facing any president as head of government were minimal. Since then, the Industrial Revolution, an increasingly complex society shaped by geographic expansion and multi-ethnic diversity, plus growing interdependence with the world system have magnified the problems facing contemporary presidents. These increasingly complex issues have made the role of head of government so burdensome and controversial that the ability of American presidents to focus on their ceremonial functions as heads of state have now become so compromised as to make it quite difficult for them to preside effectively as such. The image of continuous controversy between the executive and the legislative branches makes the presidency seem not to be the Government, but only a vulnerable part of the governing process. The right of impeachment, though rarely exercised, often reminds citizens that their president is human and is as likely to 268 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism err as any other citizen, a far cry from the mantle of kingship where royal immunity supports the slogan, "The King can do no wrong." Contemporary presidents also face the same public image problems as other celebrities: they are exposed to ridicule and attacks by the mass media and trivial suits can be brought against them for alleged misdeeds. To the degree that presidents are humiliated and entangled in political controversies, their ability to reign as heads of state is undermined. More radically, I would argue that without a supernatural framework, no mere human can exercise the legitimizing role validated by the divinity of kings. No doubt this role seems incredible to secularized moderns but, I believe, it was truly compelling and real in pre-modern societies. The basic inability of any secular head of state to replace the charisma of traditional monarchs is starkly visible in the post-independence history of the successor states to the collapsed modern empires. Unfortunately, the only shared sentiments felt by the majority of their citizens is that of hostility to their former rulers. Perhaps if, as in Switzerland, there was any real threat that the imperialists would return, shared fears would generate a sense of patriotic loyalty to the state. Such fears are no longer important, I think, because when the modern empires collapsed, they collapsed for good. In none of them, today, can we find any of the enthusiasm for imperial conquests that emerged during the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. Indicative of this new environment is the Somalia intervention by the UN in 1992, when the great powers co-operated to try to create order in a disintegrated quasi-state without any sign that they might want to annex it as, for example, they had partitioned and annexed Poland in the late eighteenth century, or sought to partition China after the Manchu empire collapsed in 1911. If an imperial power attempted to annex Bosnia, perhaps its warring ethnonations would join forces to resist an external enemy, but surely that is a most unlikely scenario. Sometimes charismatic and able persons have been elected to lead their countries under presidentialist constitutions. Unfortunately, however, they have often been so frustrated by a recalcitrant congress that they have transformed their country into a de facto autocracy, recreating the history of France under its Second Republic which President Louis Napoleon scrapped to create his own empire. The recent history of Peru and the Philippines provides apt examples, as does Per6n's rule in Argentina. If a military group seizes power during a time of crisis, it typically imposes an authoritarian dictatorship based on fear rather than on the acceptance of legitimate authority. When, predictably, an elected head of state fails to generate genuine popular support for a democracy, an apparently easy option is for the elected head of government or a military group to seize power and rule autocratically.3 No doubt any constitutional democracy can collapse but, I think, the failure of presidentialist regimes to develop a viable framework for legitimizing their rule is a major liability. No president, as head of state, can really replace a king as the basis for that state's legitimacy; presidents can symbolize the state but they cannot invoke supernatural powers to assure the welfare of their subjects. ElectedAssemblies To learn more about this question, let us consider the legitimacy of states under parliamentarist rule. An obvious consideration might involve the fact that parliamentarist regimes have full-time heads of state, whether they be elected presidents or hereditary monarchs. This might be a factor, and the debate in these republics FRED W. RIGGS 269 between advocates of popular versus indirect election of their presidents suggests that it is an important consideration. Such debates do not, of course, occur in parliamentary monarchies, where there may well be republican movements to jettison their kings, but the heritage of monarchism can, in fact, buttress the legitimacy of the state. However, even in these countries, I think, kings can no longer assure the sacred foundations for sovereignty and the unwillingness of any republic to restore monarchism shows that traditional beliefs in the magic of kingship have almost completely vanished. Actually, therefore, no contemporary head of state can provide the sovereign basis for legitimacy that modern states need. Even parliamentarist regimes reigned over by full time presidents or kings, have experienced catastrophic collapses (for examples, see Riggs, 1993). Nevertheless, there are reasons why parliamentarist republics may well achieve higher levels of legitimacy for the state than presidentialist ones.4 When the locus of sovereignty shifts from the crown to the citizens, should we not really look to the people as the basic source of legitimacy for a state? No doubt a highly respected president might symbolize the state, especially at the inter-state level, but internally, does not an elected assembly more truly represent the popular source of authority? Even if the "people" elect a president, they elect many more legislators and, I expect, they feel much closer bonds with them. Martin Needler does not acknowledge this point but he does write-after noting the serious functional limitations of a parliament by contrast with a congress under presidentialist rule-"one of the striking features of a parliamentary system, as opposed to a presidential one, is the way that the entire political life of the country is focused on the legislature." Could it be that, even though a parliament does not "rule" in the way that a congress may, it does effectively personify the identity of a people and legitimize its government? Needler goes on to say that "new policy initiatives are usually announced in the chamber and not to news conferences or television audiences.... In a parliamentary system an opposition exists whose job it is to marshall the best arguments that can be made against the government's policies, day after day" (Needler, 1996: 125) Strikingly, the fact that oppositionists and "back-benchers" of the ruling party(ies) can debate government policies in parliament offers a voice to the people-their fears and hopes, their questions and doubts, can all be expressed and reported daily in the media as a more faithful representation of their views than the ceremonial and unified voice of a head of state. Moreover, members of parliament can take the time to speak philosophically about major issues of policy and politics that rarely come into focus in congressional debates, where more specific policy issues must take priority. Cabinets Remember, also, that cabinets are, structurally, components of parliament; they do not stand outside the congress as do the chief executives in presidentialist regimes. Quite naturally, therefore, the cabinet announces its policies to and in parliament, not in the media. Thus parliaments are simultaneously both the government and its opposition, a true mirror of the ambivalence of the people. Moreover, because of party discipline, parliamentarist governments can make decisions without the dogged uncertainties that choke presidentialist regimes. Even those in opposition may feel more respect for a government that can act than they do for one thwarted by indecision and gridlock. Permanent minorities 270 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism must derive more satisfaction from publicized parliamentary debates than they ever get from the continuous frustrations of being permanently unheard and unrepresented in policy decisions. Parliaments, moreover, do hear clever and insistent voices speaking to issues of broad public concern by contrast with a congress in which insiders make deals behind closed doors where, typically, the dominant interests of pluralities-as in "porkbarrel legislation"-reward those with power at the expense of mute minorities. Americans puzzle over the sometimes raucous conduct of English parliamentarians but they fail to consider the trade-offs involved. Members of parliament who envy the power exercised by members of congress can also enjoy the luxury of debating major issues and confronting ministers during question periods. The resulting theatrics enable parliament to retain the interest of the general public without holding the government hostage; public policy-makingcan proceed in tandem with dramatic legislative performances. Here, I feel, lies the true lodestar of identity and legitimacy for the parliamentarist state. By contrast, even when TV cameras focus briefly on legislative debates in the United States and other presidentialist regimes, they often involve quite technical and legalistic issues, rarely rising to the levels of eloquence so often heard in parliamentary debate. The public image of congress is that of an assembly whose members cannot reach agreement among themselves and persist in blocking effective executive action, or they compel the president to sign measures he does not really support, thereby compromising the governmental process and obscuring the president's image. In parliamentarist republics the true focus of sovereignty has shifted from the monarchy to the "people" as represented in parliament. A powerless king or a ceremonial president may be useful for public ceremonies when pomp and circumstance are called for, but the "head of state" cannot really legitimize the state as that function passes to the parliament. Moreover, the functions of governance in these regimes are not vested in any office outside of parliament: Americans tend to forget that the government, in parliamentarist systems, is actually an organ of parliament, a parliamentary committee known as the cabinet. Its presiding officer, a prime minister, is the first among equals and not, certainly not, a substitute for the king. A parliament is more than a legislature; it contains an assembly that can hold the government accountable, and it also contains the government. Thus parliament is not only the voice of the people but the regime itself. No doubt political parties operate as "powers behind the throne" and their own governing organs may call the shots for their members in Parliament. The extent to which this is true varies among parliamentary regimes, however, and I cannot offer any simple statement about it except to say that I doubt if any party, as such, is ever viewed as the locus of sovereignty and legitimacy. Conversely, any person or institution seen as a focus for the legitimacy of a state's system of governance is undoubtedly subject to various influences. My point here is to not to focus on the de facto locus of power but to identify the symbolic focus of authority as a basis for sustaining the legitimacy of a state. ProportionalRepresentation Because most parliamentary majorities are multi-party coalitions, it is also possible for minorities to become part of the government. Americans hear so much about the British parliament and the Westminster system, that they easily forget that its FREDW. RIGGS 271 majority party system of governance is atypical among parliamentarist regimes, just as the American polity is atypical among presidentialist regimes. Under parliamentarist rules, proportional representation can become meaningful in a way that it cannot under presidentialism simply because representatives of minority communities can not only gain assembly seats but also can share in governance, especially in coalition cabinets which often rotate rapidly, thereby enabling more citizens to feel, at least symbolically, that their voices are heard in a consociational state (to borrow Lijphart's term, 1969). The Constitution If, as shown above, neither the president nor the congress can truly epitomize popular sovereignty, as a parliament can, we may ask ourselves how, indeed, the American system has managed to survive. My answer is that, somehow, they have accepted an inanimate surrogate. Instead of looking to any living institution to serve as the basis for legitimacy and sovereignty in the United States, its citizens glamorize the Constitution and the flag. This enables them to accept malicious charges against both the elected and appointed officials, and to repudiate "government" as an enemy of the people, while reifying and deifying the Constitution. Instead of viewing the state with reverence and awe as a legitimate expression of popular sovereignty, Americans increasingly celebrate themselves in a kind of narcissistic self-adulation as "the greatest nation" on earth while simultaneously attacking the state that embodies this nation. If these difficulties confront the United States despite its achievements, how much more must the same presidentialist model undermine the viability of other democracies? A vicious circle intensifies their difficulties; one reason the American system can survive today is because it has already survived for so long. I do not accept any kind of explanation based on theories of political "inertia" or "traditionalism," namely that people automatically perpetuate whatever already exists. Rather, I would argue that the glamorization of the American Constitution works, in part at least, because of its age. In countries where new charters have frequently been adopted, it is certainly not easy to think of the Constitution as expressing a kind of divine force that makes it a sacred foundation for the state. No doubt, even the newest charters, as recently adopted in South Africa, may be taken very seriously as a practical guide for political conduct, but I wonder if they have the stature of a legitimizing source of authority for the state. At the practical level of implementation, the specific consequence of venerating the Constitution in America is the power it gives the us Supreme Court. Nine elders appointed for life by the president, with the consent of the Senate, have become in a very real sense the final arbiters for the legitimacy of the American state. Whatever they agree was the intent of the founding fathers, including subsequent amendments, becomes the ultimate source of legitimate authority. This has happened, I believe, in no other constitutional democracy, not because their courts are necessarily less powerful but only because their constitutional charters are not equally venerated. That does not mean, of course, that the will of the people is not accepted as the basis for legitimizing other states but only that in other presidentialist regimes the basis for determining the will of the people, as the final arbiter of the state's legitimacy, is even weaker than it is in the American regime. Other countries that view the American model as a viable formula for constitutional 272 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism democracy need, therefore, to understand that their success may hinge on their ability to establish a venerable constitutional charter and to accept the decisions of a supreme court whenever its stipulations become controversial. Mandarins The ultimate basis for legitimacy in presidentialist democracies cannot, I think, be understood until we add to the foregoing analysis some remarks about the role of the state bureaucracy.In addition to their normal functions as agents for the administration of public policies, bureaucrats need to be seen as, potentially, a basis for the legitimization of modern states, something only mandarins can do. The ancient Chinese mandarinate provides the basis for this claim. Under imperial rule, Chinese emperors created a powerful and prestigious apparatus of government composed of "superior men" (in the Confucian tradition) who had competed with each other by taking highly competitive examinations to test their literary, philosophical, and historical knowledge and, thereby, to enable their rulers to pick the candidates best qualified to administer the government and bring honor and prestige to the state. So successful were they that, for most Chinese subjects, the real authority of the state rested more in the austere pronouncements of mandarins than it did in imperial proclamations. Parliamentarist regimes have adopted the mandarin principle (with variations) and installed career officials who, following their appointment after taking academic tests, are rotated among posts in different locations and public agencies, becoming experienced managers of public policies and trusted advisers to members of cabinet. Thus, in fact, through long experience and dedicated service to the state, they acquire the ability not only to manage government business effectively but also to help the cabinet shape public policy and, indeed, to serve as authentic voices of the state (Campbell and Szablowski, 1979; Aberbach, Putnam, and Rockman, 1981; Dogan, 1975; Teng, 1943). When Europeans speak of the state, I believe, they often have in mind the whole body of public officials, persons who not only carry out administrative tasks but also sustain an aura or mystique that enables them to speak with authority on behalf of the state. Though cabinets rise and fall, mandarin officials remain in office. The legitimacy of the state rests, therefore, not only on parliament but also on the solid rock of governance as expressed in its state apparatus. Much of what mandarins do is carried out in secret; indeed, it is even difficult for scholars doing research on public administration to ask them probing questions. The Weberian image of modern bureaucracy as steeped in secrecy is fully justified for all mandarinates, traditional as well as modern. Such secrecy protects mandarins from the kind of public scrutiny and embarrassing disclosures that often humiliate both politicians and bureaucrats in the United States. There seems to be a growing tendency for close aides of an American president to reveal details of White House conduct and conversations to the mass media (Waldman, 1996). Such practices deeply erode the sense of legitimate authority required for any modern democracy to function effectively. My conclusion is that not only does parliament (including the government) manifest the legitimacy of the state in parliamentarist regimes but, in addition, the respected officials who represent the state in their daily contacts with citizens reinforce and uphold this sense of unquestioned authority. Moreover, in many parliamentarist regimes the government is even viewed as external to the "state," as a kind of temporary pilot. By FREDW. RIGGS contrast, the ship of state as a real entity consists of its officials-the apparatus. 273 state is its Non-mandarins Citizens in a presidentialist regime, however, are wary about the "state" because it lacks such an apparatus. For them, "state" and "government" are synonyms and may equally be blamed for their misfortunes. Although this statement may somewhat exaggerate the reality, I think that when one compares the record of mandarin officials with that of the non-mandarins who hold office as career functionaries, retainers or transients in presidentialist regimes, the contrast is striking. This contrast is not accidental; no presidentialist regime could survive if it created a mandarinate to conduct the public administration. A true mandarinate in the United States or any other separation-of-powers regime would soon gain the power to rule. Its members in the office of the president would control presidential decisions and, as staff members of legislators, it would soon control congressional decision-making also. To prevent this from happening, every president and congress must insist on the right of patronage, to name their own followers, friends, and relatives to high office. For them, personal loyalty is more important, politically, than expertise and experience. As a result, some commentators on governance in the United States claim that it is not, truly, a state, and political scientists who may admit that it actually is a state, do not like to use this term and they assign it low priority in their work on "politics." Am I overstating this point? One of the reasons why the us presidentialist regime has, exceptionally, lasted so long can be traced to the historical events that led to the Pendleton Act in 1883 and the formation of career civil services staffed by specialists recruited to fill posts on the basis of a merit system. The guidelines for establishing these services expressly prevent the formation of a mandarinate and even the recently established Senior Executive Service falls far short of creating mandarins (Riggs, 1994b). Those who identify the state with a career bureaucracy claim that the United States only became a state after the Pendleton Act had been adopted by Congress (Stillman, 1991). The creation of a functionist bureaucracy in the United States during the last century permitted enough enhancement of its administrative capabilities to enable a complex industrialized society to cope with many modern problems without falling victim to bureaucratic domination. However, these career officials are not powerful enough to legitimize the authority of the state to govern. In fact, popular attacks on the American "bureaucracy"rage and, in the mind of many Americans, public officials are seen as enemies of the Constitution rather than as its bulwarks. Retainers By contrast with the United States in other presidentialist regimes, at least those established during the nineteenth century, retainers still occupy most posts in the government. These are patronage appointees who, despite their lack of special training and expertise or of tenure guarantees have, in fact, become virtually permanent incumbents in the bureaucracy. The retention of retainers in office means that government officials in these countries are even less able than their American counterparts to sustain the legitimacy of a constitutional democracy. 274 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism Instead, in most of them the risks of insurgency facing every president are so awesome that the ambitious and frightened men who are typically elected to the office of "president"feel they must recruit loyal relatives and friends to help them rule and stay in power. All too often, however, these hangers-on cannot resist the opportunities offered by high office to enrich themselves and to abuse their authority. Inadvertently, therefore, they contribute to the instability that permits a cabal of military officers, during some subsequent crisis, to overthrow the government and establish a dictatorship. Unfortunately, the United States has also come, increasingly, to be seen by many citizens as illegitimate and its sovereign authority is questioned. Fortunately, however, the hybrid structure of its bureaucracy does enhance the administrative capabilities of the state while destroying the possibility that bureaucrats (military or civil) could seize power. The fortified capabilities of its non-mandarin career officers support the former result while the persistence of patronage at the top ensures the latter. Nevertheless, this compromise is an unhappy one, I think, because it fails to enhance the legitimacy of the state even though it keeps power from falling into the hands of appointed officials. Only parliamentarist regimes, I believe, are capable of managing a mandarin bureaucracy that can truly augment the authority of parliament as the authentic voice of the people and the source of governmental authority in a modern state. They are able to do so because the fusion of powers in a cabinet permits them to maintain effective control over an intrinsically powerful mandarinate. Such considerations reinforce my opinion that only a parliament, with strong bureaucratic support, can replace monarchyas a basis for the legitimacy of democratic states in our late-industrial age. By contrast, all presidentialist regimes are severely handicapped. The American state, exceptionally, is able to persist because of the great respect of most citizens for its Constitution, as interpreted by the Supreme Court, augmented by the competence, without much respect, that its hybrid bureaucracyhas achieved. Conclusion When governance in America and other presidential regimes is compared with governance in most parliamentary systems, it becomes evident, I think, that presidentialism faces greater obstacles than parliamentarism in creating a sense of legitimacy for the state. The historical successes of the United States and veneration for its charter as felt by most Americans could mean that its constitutional design is likely to continue indefinitely without fundamental changes. However, that model should not deceive observers in other countries, where, especially in the successor states of the modern empires, it is surely a recipe for disaster. The truth of this conclusion needs to be tested by empirical analysis as well as the theoretical explanations offered here. Such data can be found in the historical record (Riggs, 1993). One might suppose that American advisers in other countries would warn them against the dangers involved in copying the American modelexceptionally, Thomas Carothers has recently complained that a growing number of Americans who "careen around the world helping to draft constitutions" teach "a high school civics vision of democracy as a gleaming edifice..." with the us Congress as a shining example (Carothers, 1996). Unfortunately, because they do not systematically compare the American experience with that of other presidentialist regimes, they are unaware of the inherent difficulties involved in the separation-of-powers design. They prefer to think that, because the United States FREDW. RIGGS 275 Constitution has, indeed, survived with widespread applause for two centuries, it must be a model that can be emulated with advantage by other countries. When they compare different parliamentary regimes with each other, it becomes easy enough to point to cases where, for various reasons, parliamentarism has worked quite badly. When conclusions from comparative analysis are made by reference to the worst cases of parliamentarism and perhaps the most (if not only) successful case of presidentialism, how credible are these results? My own conclusion is that presidentialist regimes necessarily experience greater difficulty than parliamentary systems in solving the inherent problems of democracy. With respect to the downward problem of representativeness, the need for oligocracy to sustain a presidentialist democracy means that, despite its lip service to universal suffrage, the more democratic a presidentialist regime becomes, the more it endangers its own survival. Yet without such representativeness, growing class and ethnic conflicts in virtually all countries will surely lead to escalating violence and disorder. As for the upward problem of enhancing the legitimacy of democratic regimes as a replacement for monarchic government, presidentialist governments cannot count on either their congress or their elected presidents to inspire the sense of authority required for viable constitutionalism.5 Moreover, they can afford to establish a mandarin bureaucracy capable of inspiring genuine confidence in the integrity and ability of the state apparatus to govern democratically. The inherent difficulties experienced by presidentialist regimes in solving these modern problems does not mean that parliamentarism offers a "magic bullet," that it can assuredly solve these problems more effectively. For various historical, economic, demographic, geographic, and other reasons, many of the new states of the world will continue to live in poverty and despair, under weak authoritarianism and anarchy, experiencing violence and self-destructive behavior, genocide, "ethnic cleansing," civil wars, and terrorism. However, if any state can establish a constitutional democracy, I believe that its prospects for success will be significantly higher if its constitution prescribes parliamentarist rather than presidentialist rules for self-government. Parliamentarist regimes can more easily increase the representativeness of governance for their citizens by accommodating to the growing demands generated by electoral and party systems rooted in proportional representation, and they can enhance the legitimacy of governance by reliance on parliament (including the cabinet) to express a nation's sovereignty. They can also more safely support mandarin bureaucracies as both symbols of the state and as an effective apparatus for managing public administration. Whether or not these hypotheses are true may not yet be proven, but the arguments that support them seem strong enough to deserve serious attention. Notes 1. It is importantnot to equate centripetalismwith a two-partysystem. There are good examples of two-partysystems in presidentialistregimes like Uruguay,Colombia,and Venezuela, yet politics in these countries is highly centrifugalized-in Uruguay, for example,factionalizationand list-votingfragmentpowerwithin that country'stwo longestablishedparties.I havediscussedthis matterelsewhereand shall not repeatthe explanation here (Riggs, 1994a).Nevertheless,the two-partysystem is often viewed, rather simplistically,as an explanationfor the relative success of Americanconstitutionalism. Both centripetalismand the two-partysystem are affected by the "first-past-the-post" 276 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism (single-member plurality) electoral system. Elsewhere, this voting system has been largely rejected as essentially "undemocratic"on the premise that democracy requires a higher level of representativeness in government. The American centripetalized polity, by contrast, is quite oligarchic, an important reason for its survival.Ironically, the exceptional fact that American constitutionalism has lasted so long may hinge (in part, at least) on the unwillingness of large numbers of poor and uneducated citizens to vote. No doubt centripetalism has other costs: it not only supports oligocracy but it leads political campaigners who lack great issues to focus instead on the personal character and reputation of their opponents. Since all candidates (like the rest of us) have character faults, personal attacks are embarrassing, but ultimately one of the candidates must win-the net effect is a loss of legitimacy for the regime. Since all candidates must be moderates, with notable exceptions, of course, most American legislators are willing to compromise and, ultimately, to negotiate and adjust so as to avoid deadlock, that is, longlasting gridlocks. By contrast, in other presidentialist regimes where the democratic norms of popular representation are stronger, and where the law often requires citizens to vote, populist pressures grow, leading to the election of charismatic dogmatists who insist on their "integrity"and refuse to compromise. This tendency is reinforced by proportionalrepresentation. In short, centrifugalism polarizes parties and rewards candidates disposed to insist uncompromisingly on their party's platforms (Sartori, 1976: 136-137). They typically promise benefits they cannot deliver and oppose compromises that might enable the state to do more than it actually does. Under presidentialism, therefore, the need to be more representative endangers the long-term survival of the regime. 2. In our late-modern times, after republicanism has replaced monarchy, it is difficult to restore constitutional monarchy. However, where monarchic traditions have remained strong, they have eased the transition to democracy whenever kings have accepted their curtailed roles with good grace. A remarkable illustration occurred in 1932 in Thailand where the promoters of that country's revolutionary coup d'etat originally advocated republicanism. After the king had capitulated, however, they accepted his offer to return to the throne as a constitutional monarch. Through all the subsequent years of military dictatorship, the king has been a stabilizing force, much revered by most Thai people, and he has recently facilitated the transition to parliamentarydemocracy in that country (Riggs, 1966). 3. Many if not most of the presidents elected to office in the new states have also undermined their own prestige by succumbing to temptations to exploit power for personal advantage. Their inability, as heads of government, to manage the complexities of modern life also contributes to their debilitation. To illustrate this problem, consider the case of President Ngo Dinh Diem in South Vietnam. I met him a year or two before he was elected to this office, with American support. In our conversation, he expressed great feelings of patriotism and support for democratic values. Yet after he came to power, his regime became infamous for its corruption, much based on the misdeeds of his own relatives whom he had felt obliged to appoint to positions of power. When he was later assassinated, there was no sense of loss as though the country's identity had been affected; by contrast, consider how the assassination of PresidentJohn F. Kennedy moved most Americans, even those who disagreed with his policies, to profoundgrief and a sense of national loss. Kennedy had, actually, despite the handicaps of his office, become a focus of loyalty as the charismatic head of state, but even in America, such feelings do not attach to every president. 4. In some countries, where independence from an empire was negotiated without revolutionary violence, these agreements paved the way for successor states in which the legitimacy of the regime continued to hinge on respect for the imperial throne. This has been true, I would guess, in the anglophone dominions of the British Commonwealth. Admittedly no governor-general can perform the functions of a head of state, but is it possible for this office to become a valid surrogate for the monarchy, especially if the king or queen makes frequent ceremonial tours to reinforce the sense of legitimacy and FRED W. RIGGS 277 confidence the throne inspires? Canada might provide a good test case. However, even more significant might be the residual sense of loyalty to the throne of traditionally minded people in decolonized states where secularism has not spread to the masses. Among those without a modern secular education, monarchic sovereignty may still remain more appealing than secularized ethnic nationalism. Even in the United States, a residual feeling about the British monarchy generates a strong sentiment of solidarity or identity, at least for those who celebrate their descent from English colonists and, perhaps, for others who have somehow accepted the monarchic mystique. However, it is significant that India, upon gaining its independence, decided to become a republic and promptly elected a president, as did Ireland after its bitter struggle for independence. In both countries, the British Crown had come to be viewed with hostility rather than reverence, but may that not have been more true among secularized politicians than among traditionally minded peasants? It might be useful to compare the roles of president in countries like Austria, Finland, Iceland, Germany, Italy, Israel and, of course, France. In all these cases, the powers of the presidency have been controversial and have varied considerably. Does parliamentarism work better with stronger or weaker presidents? Should the president in a parliamentary regime be popularly elected (which typically makes the role stronger) or be chosen by parliament or a special assembly of some kind, like the electoral college in America or, indeed, India. Such a procedure may make the position weaker politically but can it assure the selection of a more prestigious and less controversial person? 5. Recent events suggest that, even in the United States, the legitimacy of presidentialist rule may not last much longer. The widely reported standoff between the FBI and the "Freemen" in Montana may be only the visible top of an iceberg of mounting efforts by "militia" movements and ethnic nationalists to discredit and nullify the regime. Increasing terrorism and the fears it engenders now provoke a mounting anti-terrorist struggle that will provoke more fear and suspicion of the regime. Even in normally patriotic homes, fear and suspicion is mounting, as indicated by the growing popularity of "Christian thrillers," an increasingly popular genre of "dragon fiction" in which the "moral and teleological doctrines of evangelical Christianity... " are used to promote the idea that "government and social institutions are evil ..." (Passaro, 1969: 65). Perhaps this is merely a temporary down-turn in public confidence generated by current crises but it may also be intensified by the growing inability of American presidents to reign while also trying to rule under mounting attacks by Congress, the courts, and the mass media. References Aberbach, J.D., R.D. Putnam, and B.A. Rockman (1981). Bureaucratsand Politiciansin Western Democracies. Cambridge, MA:Harvard University Press. StructureandBehaviorin Central Campbell, C. and GJ. Szablowski (1979). TheSuperbureaucrats: Agencies.Toronto: Macmillan. Carothers, T. (1996). "Which Democracy Should We Export?"Harper'sMagazine,293 (1756): 17-20. Dahl, R.A. (1971). Polyarchy: Participationand Opposition.New Haven: Yale University Press. Diamond, L. (1996). "Is the Third Wave Over?" TheJournal of Democracy,7 (3): 20-37 Dogan, M. (1975). "The Political Power of the Western Mandarins." In The Mandarinsof Western Europe:ThePoliticalRoleof TopCivil Servants(M. Dogan, ed.). New York:John Wiley & Sons. Hocart, A.M. (1970). Kings and Councillors.Chicago: University of Chicago Press. in theLate TwentiethCentury.Norman, Huntington, S.P. (1991). The ThirdWave:Democratization OK: University of Oklahoma Press. Jackson, R.H. (1990). Quasi-States:Sovereignty,InternationalRelations, and the Third World. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Lijphart, A. (1969). "Consociational Democracy." WorldPolitics, 21: 207-225 278 Presidentialism versusParliamentarism versusPresidentialGovernment. Oxford: Oxford University Lijphart,A. (ed.) (1992). Parliamentary Press. Linz, J. (1990). "The Perils of Presidentialism," and "The Virtues of Parliamentarism." Journalof Democracy,1: 51-69 and 84-91. Linz, J. (1994). "Presidential or Parliamentary Democracy: Does It Make a Difference?" In TheFailureof PresidentialDemocracy, II (J. Linz and A. Valenzuela, eds.). Baltimore:Johns Hopkins University Press. 7 (2): 14-33. Linz,J. andA. Stepan (1996). "TowardConsolidatedDemocracies."Journal ofDemocracy, Maslow, A. (1970). MotivationandPersonality.New York: Harper and Row. An Introduction toPolitics.Westport, CT:Praeger. Needler, M. (1996). Identity,InterestandIdeology: Passaro, V. (1969). "Dragon Fiction: The (Very Lucrative) Advent of the Christian Thriller." Harper'sMagazine,293 (1756): 64-71. Przeworski,A., M. Alvarez,J.A. Cheibub and F. Limongi (1996). "What makes Democracies Endure?"Journalof Democracy, 7 (1): 39-55. Riggs, F.W. (1964). Administrationin DevelopingCountries:Theoryof PrismaticSociety.Boston: Houghton Mifflin. Riggs, F.W. (1966). Thailand:TheModernization of a Bureaucratic Polity. Honolulu: East-West Center Press. Riggs, F.W. (1969). "The Structures of Government and Administrative Reform." In Political and AdministrativeDevelopment(R. Braibanti and Associates, eds.). Durham, NC: Duke University Press. Riggs, F.W. (1988). "The Survival of Presidentialism in America: Para-Constitutional Practices." International PoliticalScienceReview,9 (4): 247-278. Riggs, F.W. (1993). "Fragility of Third World's Regimes," InternationalSocial ScienceJournal, 136: 199-243. Riggs, F.W. (1994a). "Presidentialism in Comparative Perspective." In ComparirgNations: Concepts,Strategies,Substance(M. Dogan and A. Kazancigil, eds.). Oxford: Blackwell. Riggs, F.W. (1994b). "Bureaucracy:A Profound Perplexity for Presidentialism." In Handbook on Bureaucracy(A. Farazmand, ed.). New York: Marcel Dekker. Riggs, F.W. (1996). "Viable Constitutionalism and Bureaucracy."Journal of Behavioraland Social Sciences,2: 1-35. Riggs, F.W. (1997). "Coping with Modernity: Constitutional Implications." Draft available on author's web page at: http://www2.hawaii.edu/~fredr/6-mstza.htm Sartori, G. (1976). PartiesandPartySystems.Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. A Searchfor Themesand Direction.New Stillman, RJ. II (1991). Prefaceto PublicAdministration: York: St. Martin's Press. Teng, S.-Y. (1943). "Chinese Influence on the Western Examination System."HarvardJournal of Asiatic Studies,7: 267-312. Waldman, A. (1996). "Judas,Brutus, and 'A Senior Administration Official'." The Washington Monthly,28 (9): 30-37. Biographical Note FRED RIGGS is Professor Emeritus at the University of Hawaii. He was born in China and took his PhD at Columbia University. His chief focus of teaching and research has been on comparative governance-particularly on bureaucracy and politics in Third World countries but, more recently, also on the United States and other presidentialist regimes. He also has a major interest in ethnic nationalism as a modern phenomenon, and in the refinement of new and necessary concepts together with the terms required to designate them unambiguously. ADDRESS:Political Science Department, University of Hawaii, 2424 Maile Way, Honolulu, Hawaii 96822, USA. [e-mail: FREDR@HAWAII.EDU.]
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