Technological Forces
How do industries evolve over time?
Reading:
Karakowsky & Guriel
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
1
Learning Objectives
1. Describe the different stages of the industry life-
cycle model, including how competitive forces
change and the various success factors for firms in
each stage of the life cycle.
2. Identify different types of innovations.
3. Understand the relationship between technological
evolution and industry evolution and describe the
key features of technology life-cycle models.
4. Describe how technology is changing the
workplace.
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
2
The Industry Lifecycle Model
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
3
Introduction phase
The introduction phase is characterized by:
high fragmentation
entrepreneurial
high degree of innovation
many small competitors
lots of R&D
customers willing to pay a premium
uncertainty about the market
lack of legitimacy
What might be some examples?
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
4
Introduction phase
The introduction phase is characterized by:
Examples:
1. A new technology - that may change the current
industry
2. A new invention - creates a new industry or changes
the old one
3. A new drug - creates a new industry or changes the old
one
4. A change in a government regulation - that
affects a new industry being created
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
5
Example
A new technology - Self-driving cars
Video: (5 min)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Zd1ByhigPU
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
6
Example:
A new technology - Just walk-out
technology?
Video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NrmMk1Myrxc
Image result for just walk out technology amazon
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
7
Example: A new technology
Using solar technology in an aircraft to bring disaster
relief by landing ‘anywhere’ for take-off and landing
The Canadian Company: Solar Ship (3 min)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HGsnSh5pfUU
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
8
Growth phase
The growth phase is characterized by:
a dominant design (i.e. standard)
shakeout (firms exiting)
products appeal to wider market
economies of scale
lower prices
growing sales
new entrants
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
9
Growth Stage:
In some cases, technical standards are specified and must be adhered to by
all firms wishing to enter the market. When a standard is legally mandated
and enforced by a government or standards organization, it is called a de jure
standard. For example, the gauge of a railroad track, a light bulb socket, and
an electrical outlet.
A de facto standard, on the other hand, arises by virtue of common usage
and is not officially sanctioned by any authority. It is a standard “in fact” or “in
practice,” rather than in law. Microsoft Windows is the de facto standard for
personal computer operating systems because over 90% of the market uses
Windows.
A shakeout often occurs as a standard has been achieved. It is a natural
process for an industry as it simply purges and weeds out the weaker
competitors. The firms remaining after the shakeout emerge as strong
competitors able to scale up production and serve the needs of a growing
market.
What might be some examples?
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
10
Growth Stage:
Examples?
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
11
Growth Stage:
Example: The Cannabis industry in Canada
Cannabis companies race to clinch an edge in pot industry’s next phase of growth: (With
the global cannabis business expected to be worth $194 billion in seven years)
Video (9 min)
https://business.financialpost.com/cannabis/cannabis-companies-race-to-clinchan-edge-in-pot-industrys-next-phase-of-growth-intellectual-property
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
12
Maturity phase
The maturity phase is characterized by:
Slow growth
Markets saturated
Competition intensifies
Profitability
Price-conscious consumers
Incremental improvements (“new and improved”)
Lots of advertising
Price wars
What might be some examples?
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
13
Maturity phase
Examples:
Furniture
Clothing and shoes
Electronics
Hardware
Groceries
Sports
Burger restaurants
Cell phones
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
14
Maturity phase
So, how do you enter and compete in a
mature industry that is already saturated
and succeed?
Eg. Differentiation strategy???
Offer the customer something truly:
different, something unexpected and
something to take notice.
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
15
Maturity phase
Example:
Indestructible pantyhose, by Sheertex, a
Canadian company.
Video:
https://www.news.com.au/technology/indestructible-sheertaxpantyhose-that-dont-run-or-tear-unveiled/newsstory/a2a55d74922cb83e6acddf2f94a786f4
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
16
Maturity phase
Example:
HotBlack Coffee, a coffee shop, in
downtown Toronto
Pays its employees above minimum wage
and offers NO wifi.
Video:
https://globalnews.ca/news/4813667/toronto-cafeminimum-wage-freeze/
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
17
Decline phase
The decline phase is characterized by:
Declining “industry sales” due to one or more of
the following:
Changes in demographics
Shifting consumer tastes
Technological substitution
(Remember: A decline in a “company” sales does not
mean the entire industry is declining)
What might be some examples?
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
18
Decline phase
The decline phase is characterized by:
Examples:
Tobacco industry
Cola (sugary pop) industry
Retail malls
Remember:
The decline stage doesn’t mean the industry is going
to die. It’s not over yet!
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
19
Example:
Retail malls?
Video:
https://globalnews.ca/video/3113870/mall-shopping-ondecline-experts-say
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
20
Characteristics of the
Industry Life-Cycle Model Stages
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
21
Alternatives to manage
the decline phase
1. Maintain a leadership stance
2. Pursue a niche strategy
3. Harvest profits
4. Exit early
5. Consolidate
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
22
Alternatives to manage the
decline phase
1. Maintain a leadership stance
Be the leader, be the best!
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
23
Alternatives to manage the
decline phase
2. Pursue a niche strategy
Example: Tobacco – From cigarettes to cigars or e-cigarettes
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
24
Alternatives to manage the
decline phase
3. Harvest profits
Cut costs (reduce staff, cut advertise and just make what
you can)
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
25
Alternatives to manage the
decline phase
4. Exit early
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
26
Alternatives to manage the
decline phase
5. Consolidate (M&A)
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
27
Innovation and Technology:
The evolution of technology
Radial innovations
Incremental innovations
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
28
Innovation and Technology:
A Cyclical Model of Technological Change
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
29
Examples:
Old Technology
New Technology
Typewriter
VHS Tape
Computer
DVD/Blue-Ray
Smart Phone
Digital imaging
Internet
Landline phone
Film
Encyclopedia
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
30
Is this the next wave of
technological change in cameras?
Example: Pixel 3 - Google Top Shot
camera feature
(New cell phone camera technology)
Video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjcQqBQVUYo
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
31
Technology and
the Changing Workplace
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
32
Question:
How do you think technology has changed
work environments over the last 25 years?
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
33
Work Technology Trends:
Video: (5 min)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BAYMc5Rkf9Q
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
34
Textbook Case:
Has soda lost its fizz?
Page 103
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
35
Questions and Answers?
Copyright 2015 Pearson Canada Inc.
36