Working capital management 1 Topics ⚫Topic 1: Overview of working capital management ⚫ Topic 2: Cash management ⚫ Topic 3: Managing account receivable ⚫ Topic 4: Managing inventory ⚫ Topic 5: Managing account payable ⚫Topic 6: Managing the working capital cycle ⚫ Topic 7: Short-term financial planning 2 Key textbooks ⚫ Sagner, J., 2014. Working capital management: Applications and case studies. John Wiley & Son. ⚫ Lorenzo Preve and Virginia Sarria-Allende, 2010. Working Capital Management, Oxford University Press. 3 Overview of working capital management 4 Objectives ⚫ Working capital ⚫ Working capital management ⚫ Working capital financing ⚫ Working capital management ratios 5 Definition ⚫Working capital refers to the cash a company requires in order to finance its day-to-day business operations or in other words, working capital refers to the amount of capital which is readily available to an organization. 6 Definition ⚫ Working capital is one of the most fundamental measures of a company’s financial strength. If a company possesses a significant value of liquid assets, it can easily fund its day-to-day business obligations. If, however, a company is under cash crunch, whether by way of a lack of cash, trouble in collecting its account receivable, or a dearth of inventory, it may face difficulties keeping up with demand for its products/ services. 7 Definition ⚫ Working capital ⚫ The definition leads to the principle that the entire amount of current assets should not be financed out of current liabilities. The other conclusion from this concept leads to the notion that the majority part of investment in working capital assets should be financed with long-term sources of finance. 8 Definition ⚫ Dangers of too much working capital - - High investment in working capital denotes idling of funds which earns no returns on its investment. High level of inventory and receivable demands more supervision and good amount of control which has its cost too. Chances of wastages in inventory and bad debt losses are more when the level of working capital is very high. Idling and accumulation of funds may bring inefficiencies in the system. High liquidity in the business results into low profitability which can shake the confidence of shareholders and the market price of share may fall. 9 Definition ⚫ Dangers of too little working capital Illiquidity is the biggest danger of inadequate working capital. A firm, which is not able to meet its short-term obligations, endangers its goodwill and long-term survival. - Inadequacy of working capital leads to frequent and regular stoppages in the production. - A firm short of liquidity cannot take short-term environmental opportunities due to lack of funds. - Advantages of bulk purchases are forgone. - In case of emergency, the firm has to resort to external borrowing which has a very high cost. - 10 Characteristics of working capital ⚫ Short life span: Current assets like cash, bank balance, marketable securities, account receivable and inventories are short lived. ⚫ Swift transformation: Swift transformation of current assets into other form of current assets. ⚫ Short-term focus: The present value of money is not significant for the purpose of analysing financial condition. 11 Characteristics of working capital ⚫ Repetitive and frequent: Working capital management involves repetitive and frequent activities. ⚫ Liquidity: The essence of working capital management is in providing liquidity all the time in business in such a way that neither the risk is very high nor the return on the investment should fall. ⚫ Inter-relation among assets: Current assets cannot be viewed in isolation. 12 Operating cycle 13 Characteristics of working capital ⚫Operating cycle: The length of time between when a firm originally purchases its inventory and when it receives the cash back from selling its product. ⚫Cash cycle: The length of time between when the firm pays cash to purchase its initial inventory and when it receives cash from the sale of the output produced from that inventory. 14 Characteristics of working capital 15 Components of working capital ⚫ Cash: is the most liquid form of current assets. After this, in order of liquidity, come cash equivalents. - Is the cash level adequate to meet current expenses as they come due? - What is the time lag between cash inflows and out flows? - When is the peak season which requires high volume of cash? - What will be the magnitude of bank borrowing required to meet any cash shortfalls? When will this borrowing be necessary and when may repayment be expected? 16 Components of working capital ⚫ Inventory: is kept in many forms - raw materials, work in progress and finished goods. - What is the reasonable level of inventory in relation to sales? - What is the inventory turn over rate? - Is there any slow moving inventory? - Is the firm losing sales due to inadequate inventory levels? - What action should be taken to increase or decrease inventory? 17 Components of working capital ⚫ Accounts receivable is the balance of money owed to a firm for goods or services delivered or used but not yet paid for by customers. - What is the amount of accounts receivable in relation to sales? - How rapidly can be accounts receivable converted into cash? - Who are the doubtful customers? - What action should be taken to speed up collects? 18 Components of working capital ⚫ Payable: Accounts Payable and Notes Payable. Accounts Payable are the suppliers of goods/services whose invoices have not yet been paid. - Is it worthwhile to delay payments and forego discounts? - What is the amount of bank borrowing employed? - When will principal and interest payments fall due? Will funds be available to meet these payments on time? 19 Assessment of working capital requirements ⚫ The investment in the operating cycle is called the working capital requirement. WCR = Inventory + Accounts Receivable Accounts Payable - Pre-paid Expenses WC = Inventory + Accounts Receivable + Cash - Accounts Payable - Pre-paid Expenses - Short-term Loans => WC = 20 Factors influencing working capital requirements ⚫ Nature of business ⚫ Seasonality of operations ⚫ Level of activity ⚫ Market conditions ⚫ Supply conditions 21 Working capital management ⚫ Working capital management refers to a company’s strategies to monitor and utilize the components of working capital to ensure the most financially efficient operation of the company. The primary purpose of working capital management is to make sure the company always maintains sufficient cash flow to meet its short-term operating costs and shortterm debt obligation. 22 Working capital financing ⚫Commercial paper: is a money-market security issued by large corporations to obtain funds to meet short-term debt obligations and is backed only by an issuing bank or company promises to pay the face amount on the maturity date specified on the note. 23 Working capital financing ⚫Inter-corporate deposits: is an unsecured borrowing by corporates and financial institutions from other corporate entities. The corporate having surplus funds would lend to another corporate in need of funds. 24 Working capital financing ⚫ Accounts receivable financing: - Pledging: A pledge of accounts receivable is the use of a firm’s receivables to secure a short-term loan. - Factoring: Factoring accounts receivable is a financial transaction and a type of debtor finance in which a business sells its accounts receivable to a third party (called a factor) at a discount. 25 Working capital financing ⚫ Spontaneous financing - Accrued expenses: Accrued expenses are periodically recurring short-term liabilities such as wages accrued but not yet paid to employees and taxes owned but not yet paid. A firm can use all the accruals it can since there is no actual cost involved. 26 Working capital financing ⚫ Spontaneous financing: The short-term spontaneous financing is the financing that arises from the normal operating cycle. - Accounts payable (Trade credit): Trade credit allows a firm to defer cash payments to its suppliers in exchange for its promise to pay them in the future. The purchasing firm pays for the goods as per the supplier’s credit terms. Credit terms usually express the amount of the cash discount, the date of its expiration, and the due date. 27 An example of credit terms ⚫ 2/10, net 30: If the firm wants to have the 2% discount then the firm should pay on 10th day. Otherwise the payment is due on the 30th day after the purchase. ⚫ Interest rate = ⚫ Time period = = ⚫ Annual interest rate = 28 Working capital financing ⚫Inventory loans: are sources of short- term secured credit. The loan is secured against the inventory. The amount of the loan that can be obtained depends on the marketability and life of the inventory. 29 Working capital financing ⚫ Bank credit - Line of credit: is an agreement between a commercial bank and a business that states an amount of short-term borrowing the bank will make available to the firm over a given period of time. - Revolving credit: is a guaranteed line of credit. - Bank overdraft: The account holder withdraws more money from a bank account than has been deposited in it. 30 Working capital issues Optimal Amount (Level) of Current Assets Assumptions ⚫ 50,000 maximum units of production ⚫ Continuous production ⚫ Three different policies for current asset levels are possible 31 Impact on liquidity Optimal Amount (Level) of Current Assets Liquidity Analysis Policy Liquidity A B C Greater current asset levels generate more liquidity; all other factors held constant. 32 Impact on Expected Profitability Optimal Amount (Level) of Current Assets Return on Investment = Net Profit Total Assets Let Current Assets = (Cash + Rec. + Inv.) Return on Investment = Net Profit Current + Fixed Assets 33 Impact on Expected Profitability Optimal Amount (Level) of Current Assets Profitability Analysis Policy Profitability A B C As current asset levels decline, total assets will decline and the ROI will rise. 34 Impact on Risk Optimal Amount (Level) of Current Assets ⚫ Decreasing cash reduces the firm’s ability to meet its financial obligations. More risk! ⚫ Stricter credit policies reduce receivables and possibly lose sales and customers. More risk! ⚫ Lower inventory levels increase stockouts and lost sales. More risk! 35 Impact on Risk Optimal Amount (Level) of Current Assets Risk Analysis Policy Risk A B C Risk increases as the level of current assets are reduced. 36 Summary of the optimal amount of current assets Summary of optimal current asset analysis Policy Liquidity Profitability Risk A B C 1. 2. 37 Permanent working capital ⚫ The amount of current assets required to meet a firm’s long-term minimum needs. 38 Temporary working capital ⚫The amount of current assets that varies with seasonal requirements. 39 Hedging (or Maturity Matching) Approach 40 Financing needs and the hedging approach ⚫Fixed assets and the non-seasonal portion of current assets are financed with long-term debt and equity. ⚫Seasonal needs are financed with short-term loans (under normal operations sufficient cash flow is expected to cover the short-term financing cost). 41 Conservative approach 42 Conservative approach ⚫ Long-term financing benefits - Less worry in refinancing short-term obligations. - Less uncertainty regarding future interest costs. ⚫ Long-term financing risks - Borrowing more than what is necessary. - Borrowing at a higher overall cost. ⚫ Results: Managers accept less expected profits in exchange for taking less risk. 43 Aggressive approach 44 Aggressive approach ⚫ Short-term financing benefits - Financing long-term needs with a lower interest cost by short-term debt. - Borrowing only what is necessary. ⚫ Short-term financing risks - Refinancing short-term obligations in the future. - Uncertain future interest costs. ⚫ Result: Managers accept greater expected profits in exchange for taking greater risk. 45 Summary of short- vs. long-term financing 46 Combining liability structure and current asset decisions ⚫The level of current assets and the method of financing those assets are interdependent. ⚫A conservative policy of “high” levels of current assets allows a more aggressive method of financing current assets. ⚫A conservative method of financing (all-equity) allows an aggressive policy of “low” levels of current assets. 47 Firm value and working capital ⚫Any reduction in working capital requirements generates a positive free cash flow that the firm can distribute immediately to shareholders. 48 Example 1: The value of working capital management ⚫ Problem: The projected net income next year for Emerald City Paints are given in the following table in $thousands: Net Income Depreciation Capital expenditures Increases in working capital 20,000 +5,000 -5,000 -1,000 49 Example 1: The value of working capital management ⚫ Problem (cont’d): Emerald City expects capital expenditures and depreciation to continue to offset each other and for both net income and increase in working capital to growth at 4% per year. Emerald City’s cost of capital is 12%. If Emerald City were able to reduce its annual increase in working capital by 20% by managing its working capital more efficiently without adversely affecting any other part of the business, what would be the effect on Emerald City’s value? 50 Example 1: The value of working capital management ⚫ Solution: A 20% decrease in required working capital increases would reduce the starting point from $1,000,000 per year to $800,000 per year. The working capital increases would still growth at 4% per year, but each increase would then be 20% smaller because of the 20% smaller starting point. 51 Example 1: The value of working capital management ⚫ We can value Emerald City using the formula for a growing perpetuity: CF1 PV = r−g ⚫ We can get to Emerald City’s free cash flow as: Net Income + Depreciation - Capital Expenditures - Increases in Working Capital 52 Example 1: The value of working capital management ⚫ Currently, Emerald City’s value is: ⚫If they can manage their working capital more efficiently, the value will be: 53 Example 1: The value of working capital management ⚫Although the change will not affect Emerald City’s earnings (net income), it will increase the free cash flow available to shareholders, increasing the value of the firm by $2.5 million. 54 Example 2: The value of working capital management ⚫ Problem: The projected net income next year for River City Games are given in the following table in $ thousands: Net Income Depreciation Capital Expenditure Increase in Working Capital 120,000 80,000 80,000 40,000 55 Example 2: The value of working capital management ⚫ River City expects capital expenditures and depreciation to continue to offset each other and for both net income and increase in working capital to grow at 6% per year. River City’s cost of capital is 8%. If River City were able to reduce its annual increase in working capital by 10% by managing its working capital more efficiently without adversely affecting any other part of the business, what would be the effect on River City’s value? 56 Working capital management - Ratio analysis ⚫ Liquidity ⚫ Asset utilization ⚫ Profitability ⚫ Leverage ⚫ Cash conversion cycle 57 Liquidity ⚫Current ratio = Current assets / Current liabilities ⚫Quick ratio = (Current assets - Current liabilities) / Current liabilities ⚫Cash ratio = Cash and cash equivalents / Current liabilities ⚫Days of cash = Cash and marketable securities / Daily expenses 58 Asset utilization ⚫ Receivables turnover = Credit sales / Accounts receivable ⚫ Average collection period (ACP) = 360 days / Receivables turnover ⚫ Inventory turnover = Cost of good sold / Inventory ⚫ Inventory conversion period = 360 days / Inventory turnover ⚫ Payables turnover = Cost of good sold / Accounts payable ⚫ Payables conversion period (DPO) = 360 days / Payable turnover 59 Profitability ⚫Profit margin (ROS) = Net income / Sales ⚫Return on equity (ROE) = Net income / Total equity ⚫Return on assets (ROA) = Net income / Total assets 60 Leverage ⚫Financial leverage = Total debt / Total equity ⚫Times interest earned = EBIT / Interest expense 61 Cash conversion cycle ⚫Cash conversion cycle = Inventory conversion period + Average collection period - Payables conversion period ⚫Low cash conversion cycle: Aggressive working capital management strategy ⚫High cash conversion cycle: Conservative working capital management strategy 62 Academic papers about working capital management ⚫Chang, C.C., 2018. Cash conversion cycle and corporate performance: Global evidence. International Review of Economics and Finance, 56, pp. 568-581. 63 Chang (2018) ⚫ Finance theory discussion is generally related to one of the following categories: Capital budgeting, capital structure, dividend policy, or working capital management. Although working capital management is vital because of its impact on a firm’s profitability and risk, and consequently its value, it has received less attention than the other aforementioned categories. 64 Chang (2018) ⚫ Related literature suggests that an aggressive working capital management policy can enhance a firm’ performance. If the accounts receivable collection period is too long, the firm may face the risk of liquidity and payment recovery. Similarly, the firm may lose its inventorycarrying cost if the inventory conversion period is excessively increase. 65 Chang (2018) ⚫Increasing the payable deferral period may result in reduced payment stress. In addition, maintaining a high level of working capital leads to an opportunity cost if the firm relinquishes more profitable investment. Therefore, several studies have indicated that a reduce cash conversion cycle (CCC) can improve operating performance. 66 Chang (2018) ⚫Other related studies have suggested a different viewpoint; that is, a firm’s performance can be improved by a conservative working capital management policy. A longer CCC may increase a firm’s sale and profitability for several reasons. 67 Chang (2018) ⚫ First, a firm can increase its sales by extending a higher trade credit that helps the firm to strengthen its relationships with its customers. Second, larger inventories can prevent interruptions in the production process and loss of business because of the scarcity of products. In terms of account payables, company may take advantage of crucial discounts for early payment. 68 Chang (2018) ⚫ Based on the aforementioned findings, empirical studies on liquidity management have yielded mixed results. Chang (2018) concludes that the reason for this mixed result is that these studies have not conducted sufficiently thorough examinations and have not considered changes in macroeconomic environments, economic developments status, financial crises, corporate governance, financial constraints. 69 Chang (2018) ⚫ Data: 46 countries, 31,612 companies from 1994 to 2011. ⚫ The results indicate that industryadjusted CCCs exhibit significantly negative relationships with industryadjusted ROAs and industry-adjusted Tobin’s Q, and that the negative relationships diminish or reverse when firms exist at the lower CCC level. ⚫ Implication: Firms should follow an aggressive working capital policy. 70 Academic papers about working capital management ⚫Gill, A.S. and Biger, N. (2012). The impact of corporate governance on working capital management efficiency of American manufacturing firms. Managerial Finance, 39(2), pp. 116-132. 71 Gill and Biger (2012) ⚫ The board of directors and the CEO are responsible for formulating policies regarding cash management, accounts receivable, inventory purchases and maintenance, accounts payable, and all other policies in the organization. Poor corporate governance can lead to an inefficient working capital management policy, which has a negative impact on shareholders’ wealth. 72 Gill and Biger (2012) ⚫Gill and Biger (2012) study the relationship between characteristics of corporate governance such as CEO tenure, CEO duality, board size, and audit committee on various characteristics of working capital components. 73 Gill and Biger (2012) ⚫Data: 180 financial reports of U.S. manufacturing companies from 2009 to 2011. ⚫A positive relationship between CEO duality and accounts receivable. ⚫A positive relationship between CEO duality and accounts payable. ⚫A negative relationship between board size and cash conversion cycle. 74 Gill and Biger (2012) ⚫A negative relationship between board size and cash conversion cycle. ⚫A positive relationships between CEO tenure and cash holdings. ⚫A positive relationship between CEO tenure and current ratio. 75 Academic papers about working capital management ⚫Dbouk, W., Moussawi-Haidar, L. and Jaber, M.Y., 2020. The effect of economic uncertainty on inventory and working capital for manufacturing firms. International Journal of Production Economics, 230. 76 Dbouk et al. (2020) ⚫Economic policy changes can transform the economic environment that firms face. Uncertainty about future government policy, for example, has the the potential to influence firm decisions. It disrupts the flow of goods and services in a supply chain and puts pressure on firms’ working capital, which may limit their access to bank credit. 77 Dbouk et al. (2020) ⚫Research question: How does uncertainty affect the development of firms in a WC management context? This question is crucial given that WC drives the financial and operational health of firms, especially for small and medium-sized ones that depend on efficient WC management to survive. 78 Dbouk et al. (2020) ⚫ Data: U.S. manufacturing firms from 1990 to 2018. ⚫ A positive relationship between uncertainty and days of inventory on hand. ⚫ A positive relationship between uncertainty and days sales outstanding. ⚫ A positive relationship between uncertainty and days payable outstanding. ⚫ A positive relationship between uncertainty and cash conversion cycle. 79 Dbouk et al. (2020) ⚫ Implications: - Uncertainty can adversely affect firm performance via the adverse effects on working capital management. - Firm should particularly pay more attention to working capital management during the episodes of high uncertainty. 80
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