BY: Ijlal Mansoor Relevant Questions to Case Studies • Define the concept of Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA). How is it measured, and why is it important in analyzing a country’s export performance? • Compare the revealed comparative advantage of Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh in the textile sector. What factors contribute to Pakistan’s comparative advantage in textiles, and how has it changed over time? • Explain the potential reasons for the decline in Pakistan's textile export share, despite maintaining a strong RCA in textiles. How have energy crises and governance issues affected this? • What is the significance of dynamic RCA analysis in understanding the competitiveness of Pakistan’s textile and clothing industries over time? What trends can be observed from 1980 to 2010? • Discuss the challenges that SMEs in Pakistan face in implementing TQM. How do these challenges differ from those faced by large enterprises? • Analyze the role of continuous improvement and employee involvement in the success of TQM in the textile sector. Why is team development emphasized in TQM practices? Export Contribution 60% of country’s total export i.e 12.81 Bln US$ GDP Contribution 8.5% Employment Contribution 38% of Workforce i.e 15 Mln Rank in World Textile Exporters 8th largest exporter Rank In Cotton Consumption 4th Largest Consumer Rank in Cotton Production 3rd largest Producer Production Capacity 670Mln units of Garments, 400Mln units of Knitwear and 53 Mln kgs of Towels Cotton Production (2013-2014) 9.2 Mln Bales* Cotton Consumption (2013-2014) 11.88 Mln Bales* Source: http://www.agrochart.com/en/news/news/030414/pakistancotton-and-products-annual-mar-2014/ INDUSTRY OVERVIEW • Supply • Due to increase in raw material prices, economic conditions and energy shortages the industry is currently working below its capacity. • Instability in raw material prices leads to fluctuation in selling prices which in turn affects the industry. • Key Players • • • • Nishat mills limited, Younus textile mills limited, Gul Ahmed textiles mills limited Kohinoor mills limited. • Trade Body All Pakistan Textile Mills Association (APTMA) • Regulatory Body Ministry of Textile, Ministry Of Commerce and Trade Global Overview • The expiry of the ATC on January 1, 2005, eliminated all textile and apparel quotas for members of the World Trade Organization (WTO). • Global cotton consumption for 2012/13 is projected at 110 million bales • World consumption led by China, India, and Pakistan, accounting for a combined two-thirds of global cotton consumption in 2012/13. 6 Textile World Trade WORLD TEXTILE AND CLOTHING EXPORTS SR.NO COUNTRY VALUE(US$BL N) SHARE IN WORLD 1 CHINA 256.125 36.125 2 EU-27 176.632 24.913 3 INDIA 29.117 4.107 4 TURKEY 25.536 3.602 5 BANGLADESH 19.881 2.804 6 US 18.941 2.672 7 VIETNAM 17.963 2.534 8 PAKISTAN 12.81 1.807 9 INDONESIA 12.19 1.719 10 KOREA 12.012 1.694 11 OTHERS 127.793 18.024 709 100% SHARE IN WORLD KOREA 2% INDONESIA 2% PAKISTAN 2% OTHERS 18% CHINA 36% VIETNAM US 2% 3% BANGLADES H 3% TURKEY 3% INDIA 4% EU-27 25% 7 WORLD TEXTILE AND CLOTHING IMPORTS SR.NO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 VALUE(US$B SHARE IN COUNTRY LN) WORLD EU-27 232.925 32.853 USA 108.769 15.341 JAPAN 41.151 5.804 CHINA 23.106 3.259 RUSSIA 13.173 1.858 CANADA 13.173 1.858 KOREA 10.498 1.481 MEXICO 8.681 1.224 VIETNAM TURKEY OTHERS 8.58 8.544 240.4 709 1.210 1.205 33.907 100% SHARE IN WORLD EU-27 33% OTHERS 34% TURKEY 1% MEXICO VIETNAM1% 1% CANADA KOREA 2% 2% JAPAN 6% USA 15% CHINA 3% RUSSIA 2% 8 9 10 History 1940’s • Two textile mills(Okara Textile Mills and Lyallpur Cotton Mills) with 80,000 spindles and 3,000 looms only which were capable of producing 8% of the domestic demand at that time 1950’s • Pakistan Industrial Development Corporation was formed in 1952 which started its operations in 1953 with the inauguration of the Valika Textile Mill at Karachi 1960’s • 180 units of textile bleaching, printing and processing units • A number of spinning units comprising of only 12,500 spindles were set up. • Newly established mills were based upon imported technology but there was lack of technical staff and shortage of capitals. 11 History 1970’s • By 1970-1971 there was 113 textile units & the industry had 2,605 thousand spindles and 30 thousand looms. • East Pakistan Cotton Export Corporation of Pakistan was established • all of the private sector was taken over by the state. and the import of machinery was made difficult due to shortages of foreign exchange. 1980’s • Till 1980-81 spinning continued to expand to 4033 thousand spindles. Machinery for producing garments and made-ups was also freed from import duty 12 History 1990’s • A huge expansion in the spinning sector took place in the first five years of the 1990s. • 8392 Thousand spindles and 9876 looms were there. • Textile exports in 1999were $5.2 billion 2000’s- up till now • Since 2002 there was an increase in 2004 showing 5%- 20% growth due to high exports to US making it seventh largest market for US cotton. • In 2004 Ministry of textile industry has established the five year textile policy 2009-2014. 13 • In 2006, Exports rose to 10.5 billion US$ with the growth rate of 16%. • During 2007- 08, Pakistan economy went through worst political, economic instability and electricity disruption. 2010 • In 2010, APTMA prepared a report projecting that the textile imports would cross 16 billion US$ as compare to the present. • Exports for 2010 were 12.5 billion dollars. 2011 • In 2011 – Exports stood at $12.5 Billion from July 2010May 2011. • Energy crises leaves Pakistan into tatters. 2012 • 10% spinning units and fabric printing units were shutdown. • Remaining plants were struggling to survive after the instability and disruption. 2013 • Textile millers on a gas protest Trend of Textile Industry during last 10 years YEARS GROWTH 2001-02 4.10% 2002-03 5.20% 2003-04 20% 2004-05 2005-06 24.50% 11.23% 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 8.40% 4.05% -0.70% -1.78% 2010-2011 2012-2013 1% 1.4% Source: Economic Survey of Pakistan 16 Trend of Textile Industry during last 10 years GROWTH 30,00% 25,00% 20,00% 15,00% 10,00% Trend of Textile Industry during last 10 years GROWTH 5,00% 0,00% -5,00% 17 Location Of Textile Units KARACHI Area No. of establishments Korangi Industrial Area 400 Landhi Industrial Area 300 S.I.T.E Karachi 300 Nazimabad 250 New Karachi 150 Domestic Overview • In addition our exports confined to raw materials to the global textile buyers and the same raw material comes back to the domestic market in form of finished value-added textile product. • The capacity utilization in textile sector is only 60 percent. • 13 billion cotton bales production. 6bln is processed and the rest goes out of the country unprocessed 19 • Bangladesh, Indonesia, Thailand & China are main buyers of Pakistani cotton. • Pakistan has emerged as one of the major cotton textile product suppliers in the world with a market share of about 28% in world yarn trade and 8% in cotton cloth. • Total textile Export 2012-2013 is $10127.6 M (6.1% growth) 20 COTTON TRADE 000 Bales 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12* Imports 5003 2456 2010 1847 704 Exports 344 458 920 871 1469 6000 5000 4000 Imports 3000 Exports 2000 1000 0 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12* 21 Estimates on Production for the Cotton Crop Year (2013-14) S. No. Province Production (million bales) 1 Punjab 8.70 2 Sindh 3.150 3 Khaber Pakhton Khawa 4 Baluchistan 0.108 5 Pakistan 11.958 0.000433 22 Performance of Textile Industry EXPORTS OF PAKISTAN TEXTILES (US$ MILLIONS) 2006-7 2007-8 2008-9 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 (Jul-Mar) Cotton and 10390 10071 9308 9754 13147 11803 9352 Cotton textiles Synthetic Textiles 430 490 319 446 608 542 278 Wool & Woolen Textiles 233 216 145 137 132 121 88 Total Textiles 11053 10777 9772 10337 13887 12466 9718 Total Exports 17011 19224 17782 19290 24810 23641 18017 Textile as 65 %age Source: Ministry of Textile 56 55 54 56 53 54 23 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 Wool & Woolen Textiles 6000 Synthetic Textiles 4000 Cotton and Cotton textiles 2000 0 24 Garments (Woven & Knitted) Cloth (Woven & Knitted) Bed Linen Yarn (Cotton & Other) Towels Other Textiles 2001-02 1,720,897 1,203,248 918,558 980,507 267,715 810,602 24,730 2002-03 2,239,281 1,405,116 1,329,064 976,464 374,839 1,007,369 49,016 2003-04 2,452,058 1,766,415 1,383,334 1,162,000 403,500 962,118 47,671 2004-05 2,722,987 2,050,044 1,449,533 1,087,451 520,480 832,833 109,957 2005-06 3,061,484 2,159,561 2,038,064 1,419,870 587,641 657,087 68,151 2006-07 3,345,822 2,089,956 1,995,899 1,495,234 610,712 1,003,097 50,226 2007-08 3,324,507 2,082,277 1,903,501 1,347,760 613,065 1,018,426 70,122 2008-09 2,971,147 1,992,772 1,709,566 1,131,715 627,679 1,090,615 87,966 2009-10 3,044,239 1,887,514 1,723,978 1,462,931 676,128 1,306,789 195,638 2010-11 4,079,215 2,623,195 2,088,898 2,249,037 762,308 1,587,429 364,802 2011-12 3,608,821 2,454,701 1,748,327 1,836,095 684,183 1,550,829 462,037 2012-13 3,847,157 2,690,941 1,783,528 2,243,594 775,809 1,523,648 153,873 2013-14 (JulNov) 1,679,279 1,138,727 882,061 915,291 289,464 1,278,710 111,973 25 Year Raw Cotton 4 500 000 Garments (Woven & Knitted) Cloth (Woven & Knitted) 4 000 000 3 500 000 3 000 000 Bed Linen 2 500 000 Yarn (Cotton & Other) 2 000 000 1 500 000 Towels 1 000 000 Other Textiles 500 000 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 0 Raw Cotton 26 Ancillary Textile Industry • The ancillary textile industry includes cotton spinning, cotton cloth, cotton yarn, cotton fabric, fabric processing, home textiles, towels, hosiery and knitwear and readymade garments. • These components are being produced both in the large scale organized sector as well as in the unorganized cottage/small and medium units. 27 Cotton Ginning Sector • Cotton is a natural fiber used primarily as a raw material for textiles • Cotton Ginning has a 2.91 percent share in overall agriculture sector. • Cotton Ginning has recorded a growth of -2.9 percent as compared to 13.8 percent growth in last year due to less production of cotton as compared to last year. 28 Cotton Spinning Sector • At present, as per record of Textile Commissioner Organization (TCO), it is comprised of 506 textile units (49 composite units and 457 spinning units) with 9.892 million spindles and 103 thousand rotors in operation with capacity utilization of 91 percent and 60 percent respectively, during July-March, 2012-13. 29 Cloth Sector (Weaving) • The power loom sector have modernized and registered a phenomenal growth over the last two decades • Knitting looms • Weaving looms 30 PRODUCTIONN & EXPORT OF CLOTHING SECTOR 2011-12 2012-13 6746.359 6830.720 1.25 Quantity (M.Sq. Mtr.) 1509.242 1438.938 -4.66 Value ( M. US$) 1784.482 1991.237 11.59 Production % Change EXPORT: Source: Ministry of Textile 31 Textile Made-up Sector The major product groups are towels, tents & canvas, cotton bags, bed-wear, hosiery & knitwear & readymade garments including fashion apparels 32 EXPORTS OF TEXTILE MADE-UPS 2011-2012 (JULY-MAR) 2012-2013 (JULY-MAR) % CHANGE HOSIERY KNITWEAR Quantity(000.Doz) 71.369 73.457 2.93 1467.064 1508.781 2.84 18.070 20.233 11.97 1195.484 1318.263 10.27 Quantity(000.Doz) 101.687 126.138 24.05 Value (M.US$) 489.135 577.690 18.10 Quantity(000.Doz) 19.273 25.248 31.00 Value (M.US$) 64.868 84.904 30.89 Quantity(000.Doz) 184.003 195.764 6.39 Value (M.US$) 1311.121 1312.315 0.09 416.653 442.948 Value (M.US$) READYMADE GARMENTS Quantity(000.Doz) Value (M.US$) TOWELS TENTS/CANVAS BED WEARS OTHER MADE-UPS Value (M.US$) 33 6.31 a) Hosiery Knitwear Industry • There are about 12,000 knitting machines spread all over the country. • Exports: 2009 – 2010 2010 – 2011 2013 – 2014 1.76 Bln US$ 2.31 Bln US$ 2.03 Bln US$ • Units Installed : In 1949 And Now Less than 5 units 973 Registered Units • Trade Partners are USA ,UK ,UAE , Germany , Spain ,Canada etc. 34 b) Readymade Garment Industry: • The garment industry has tremendous export performance in the past. • Exports : July March 2011- 2012 July-March 2012-13 $ 1.2 billion $ 1.3 billion • Raw Material is locally produced while most of the machineries are Imported or Locally Made and Assembled. • Major Trade partners are USA and European Union. 35 c) Towel Industry • There are about 7500 towel looms in the country in both organized and unorganized sector. • Exports: (2012 – 2013) $489 million (2013 – 2401) $578 million thereby showing an increase of 18.1 percent. • The market for fancy towels is very big is USA. 36 d) Canvas • Highest raw cotton consuming sector. • Its production capacity is more than 100 million Sq. meters. • The 60 percent of its production is exported while 40 percent is consumed locally. • Cheapest source of supply of tents and canvas. • Exports: 2011 – 2012 $ 64.9 million 2012-13 $ 84.9 million showing an increase of 30.9 percent. 37 e) Bed Wear Exports: • Quantity(000.Doz) 195.765 ( 6.4%) • Value (M.US$) 1312.315 (0.09%) • a lower increase in its export bill was rooted in exporters’ strategy to remain competitive 38 Art Silk and Synthetic Weaving Industry • The art silk and synthetic weaving industry mostly confined in Karachi, Faisalabad, Gujranwala, Jalalpur Jattan etc • The export performance of this sector are very miserable during the period under review on account of electricity disruption. 39 EXPORT OF SYNTHETIC TEXTILE FABRICS: 2011-2012 (JULY-MAR) 2012-2013 (JULY-MAR) % CHANGE Quantity(M.Sq.Mtr) 283.064 198.031 -30.04 Value (M.US$) 372.008 277.796 -25.33 SOURCE: Ministry of Textile 40 Woolen Industry • The main products manufactured by the woolen industry are woolen yarn, acrylic yarn, fabrics, shawls, blanket, and carpets. 41 EXPORT OF CARPETS AND RUGS(WOOLEN): 2011-2012 (JULY-MAR) 2012-2013 (JULY-MAR) % CHANGE Quantity(M.Sq.Mtr) 2.557 2.154 -15.76 Value (M.US$) 92.559 87.801 -5.14 SOURCE: Ministry of Textile 42 Imports 2011-2012 ( $ M) 2012-2013 ($ M) Textile machinery 339.1 306.6 Raw cotton 369.4 752.6 Synthetic fiber 434.6 333.9 Silk yarn 503.9 449.3 45 Prices % Change April13- April12 Cotton Cloth 14.3 Cotton Yarn 12.2 Blended Yarn 8.6 Woven Fabrics 21.8 Cotton Fabrics 1.5 Other Fabrics 5 Lawn 17.39 46 Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt. Cotton) • At the Pakistan scenario, two major types of pests are damaging our cotton crops – sucking and chewing pests. • Recent disaster resulting from the cotton leaf curl virus (CLCV) spread in Punjab and Sindh pushed our institutes like Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission (PAEC) came up with genetically modified (GM) local cotton varieties like Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt), a bacterium that is deadly to the bacterias. • In May 2005 PAEC provided 40,000.00 Kg basic seed of Bt cotton (insect resistant) varieties: which have been grown over 8,000 acres of land in season 2005-06. 47 GSP plus status to Pakistan • Pakistan got the Generalized Scheme of Preferences (GSP) plus status on 12-Dec’2013 • Under the scheme, textile exporters can sell most of their products to EU states at concessionary rates of duty or without any duty, making the goods cheaper for European importers • Textile exporters hoped that GSP plus status will help to increase textile exports to EU by 30 to 40 percent and will generate significant economic activity in the country. 48 • Major markets for Pakistan’s woven garments exports to EU are UK, Germany, Italy, France, Spain and Belgium. • This would create more opportunities in domestic industry, resulting not only in competitiveness, jobs growth, exchange of technological know how and development of skills • implemented international conventions relating to human and labor rights, environment and good governance. The GSP+ status can be suspended if a country fails to show its progress over these conventions. • EU and the USA account for 91% of Pakistan’s total garment exports. • Pakistan's textile exporters will not be able to benefit from the preferential scheme unless the government takes serious measures to resolve energy shortage that holds back the textile industry. 49 Strengths And Weaknesses Strengths • Abundance of raw material production • Availability of cheap labor • Large domestic market favorable regulatory structure • Pakistan located Between two large markets (China and India ) Weakness • High dependence on cotton • Technological obsolescence • Capital import • Law and Order situation • Energy Crisis • Low value addition • Negative country perception • Unskilled labour 50 Backward & Forward linkage BACKWARD LINKAGE: • Cotton industry • Jute industry • Banking sector • Machinery • Dyes and chemicals • Printing • Edible oil • livestock FOREWARD LINKAGE: • Shipping • Insurance • Cotton by-Products • Second hand clothes market • Fashion Industry • Other Allied Sectors 51 Challenges faced by Textile Industry: • Power and Energy Crisis • Increasing Raw Material Prices • Law & Order Situations in the Country • Lack of R&D Institutions • Lack of Technical ability • Increasing Cost of Production • International Competition • Export of raw material • Environmental issues 52 Power and Energy Crisis : • As for as Pakistani textile sector is concern it is faced 8 to 10 hours electric load shedding per day and 2 to 4 days Gas load shedding per week. • It is very difficult to continue production process without energy. 53 Increasing Raw Material Prices: • The main cause of increasing raw material prices is that the grower of cotton are not given reasonable prices and the middle man is enjoys the benefits due to that the industry is bearing the costly raw material that’s why they started to grow the substitute of cotton like sugarcane etc. 54 Law & Order Situations in the Country • Industrial activity cannot flourish in an atmosphere of disturbances and fear. • Pakistan is a country where policies are rapidly changed even in days and weeks. Without long term and consistent policies no industry, in the country, can develop properly. 55 Lack of Technical ability • Technical ability to manufacture required machinery locally is absent. Hence, it increases our import bill. 56 Increasing Cost of Production: • Production cost of textile industry has increased due to rising interest rates and rising inflation. It became a gigantic challenge for the textile industry of Pakistan to compete and survive in the international markets 57 International Competition • The industry is facing competition from other developing countries like Bangladesh, India and China in its major export markets i.e. the EU and the USA. 58 Export of raw material • US$ 8 billion of yarn and fabric are exported to three countries (i.e., Bangladesh, China and Turkey), which use these raw materials to produce finished goods that capture market share in the EU to the detriment of Pakistan. 59 Environmental issues • Water Waste in finishing processes • Industrial processes also generate wastewater containing heavy metal contaminants (polluted waste) such as zinc, carbon, iron etc. 60 Recommendations: • Adopt modern technology for harvesting of cotton crop to minimize losses. • Increasing domestic production of synthetic and man-made fibres (i.e., cotton textiles and clothing account for less than 20% of global demand) • Government should maintain law and order in country so that security of life and property will be given to business and they will feel comfortable and will be ready to invest in country. • Focus on training and education in this sector for better human capital. 61 • Value addition should be made in acquiring greater magnitude of exports and foreign exchange • Diversification of export markets and products • Awareness of Women rights 62
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