The recent Supreme Court decision in the case known as West Virginia v. Environmental Protection Agency weakened the EPA’s ability to regulate carbon emissions from power plants. At the heart of this ruling is the capacity of the U.S. federal government to regulate the release of substances that can be harmful to American people. The EPA had been using the Clean Air Act to assist utilities and power companies in the transition from fossil fuel–based electricity generation to less carbon-intensive sources, such as wind or solar power. The burning of fossil fuels like coal, oil and natural gas harms human health directly through the inhalation of microscopic particulate matter into the lungs and indirectly through climate change. We can measure the public health effect of carbon pollution through something called the mortality cost. The mortality cost of carbon estimates how many tons of carbon must be emitted into the atmosphere to cause one death that would otherwise not have occurred. It is calculated by using a climate model and analyzing the impact of carbon emissions overtime on human mortality. The mortality cost can be used to quantitatively consider the impact of carbon emitting choices upon human life. For every 4,434 tons of carbon dioxide emitted, one additional death is predicted. Using U.S. Energy Information Agency data for carbon emissions from coal-generated electricity in the U.S., I have calculated that 200,000 lives will be lost for each year the U.S. continues to use coal instead of a noncarbon dioxide emitting alternative to generate electricity. As an intensive care doctor, I may spend weeks focused on saving a single life. The opportunity to save 200,000 lives each year is so incredibly precious; it would be like preventing all deaths from Alzheimer’s disease and influenza in the U.S. for an entire year. The Supreme Court could have made a tremendously positive impact on human health, but in this case, the majority did the opposite. Since it seems to me that the Supreme Court has narrowed the scope of the federal government’s ability to protect its citizens’ health , then it is incumbent upon clinicians to speak up on behalf of our patients. As we have done with the public health crises of tobacco and opioid misuse, clinicians should take a more prominent role in the public health crises that climate change portends and pollution creates right now. Clinicians have powerful voices, as well as the science and evidence to back up their claims. These voices can rise above the din of marketing, lobbying and shareholder profits to speak for the young, the sick and the poor, whose lives will be harmed by climate change first. The combustion of fossil fuels like coal, gas and diesel creates fine particulate matter (we classify these particles by size: PM2.5 and PM10), which, once airborne, can be inhaled into our lungs. The larger particles (PM10) generally get lodged in the upper airway resulting in inflammation and irritation, which can lead to COPD and asthma exacerbations. The smaller particles (PM2.5) can be drawn into the lower airways and even absorbed into the bloodstream. PM2.5 exposure is associated with increased rates of many different diseases including heart attacks, heart failure, strokes, blood clots, lung cancer and Parkinson’s. Inhaling fossil fuel emissions contributes to 10 million premature deaths each year worldwide. Fossil fuel combustion further harms human life through its contribution to climate change. Climate change is associated with pathology affecting most organ systems, mental health and even the wellbeing of newborns. Applying the mortality cost of carbon to the 33 billion tons of carbon dioxide emitted each year from oil, natural gas and coal yields 7.4 million deaths. The fossil fuel industry has been aware of the connection between fossil fuel emissions and harm to global public health since the 1960s. In the 1990s, industry sought to delegitimize climate science and created the “Global Climate Science Team” with the intention of undermining climate-focused regulatory efforts. Notably, the messages disseminated by the “Global Climate Science Team” were in direct contradiction to actual global climate scientists’ at that time and today. The efforts of the fossil fuel industry were so successful at stigmatizing the public health crisis of climate change in the United States, that the words “climate change” were eliminated from certain federal documentation. The residual impacts are still present: despite climate change being identified in over 200 medical journals as the most pressing global public health crisis of this century, only $23 million (0.05 percent of the total National Institutes of Health budget) was allocated to research the effects of climate change on health in 2021. West Virginia is the second-leading producer of coal in the U.S. and employs around 11,000 coal miners. The Supreme Courtdecision will almost certainly prolong the usage of coal for electricity production in the U.S., which in turn will prolong coal mining. Mining is associated with asthma-related hospitalizations. By choosing coal, the justices in the majority have chosen against the nation-leading 12.4 percent (175,011) of adult West Virginians who have asthma. newsletter promo Sign up for Scientific American’s free newsletters. Sign Up I take care of patients from West Virginia, and for an anesthesiologist, asthma and asthma-related complications can turn a routine procedure into a risky one. As a physician, I will not stand idle as my patients suffer from fossil fuel combustion. Fossil fuel emissions need to be reduced to the least amount necessary. While I am disappointed by the Supreme Court’s decision to undermine the executive branch’s ability to protect public health, the movement to minimize fossil fuel emissions must continue. Today, it is possible to link approximately 17 million deaths to fossil fuel emissions each year. This is 25 percent of global deaths. The harm from climate change is expected to accelerate in the next decade if there is not a marked reduction in emissions. The damage from the fossil fuel industry prioritizing profits above human life will exist long after the mea culpashave been made and the courts have adjudicated. Clinicians, in defense of our future patients’ lives, need to proactively address the misinformation and empower patients, citizens, politicians and judges to focus on the most unalienable of human rights: the right to live a healthy life. The Supreme Court’s Latest Decision Is a Blow to Stopping Climate Change By deciding in favor of fossil-fuel interests and limited regulatory authority, the Court has hampered the EPA’s ability to mitigate power-plant carbon pollution By Rachel Cleetus on June 30, 2022 The Supreme Court's Latest Decision Is a Blow to Stopping Climate Change Credit: shaunl/Getty Images The Supreme Court’s decision in the case known as West Virginia et al. v. Environmental Protection Agency et al. is a serious blow to the EPA’s ability to fight climate change—and could have dangerous repercussions beyond this case. The timing of the decision feels especially harsh, as the nation is in the throes of the “Danger Season” for hazards such as heat waves, drought, wildfires and hurricanes, all worsened by climate change. The majority 6–3 decision sharply curtails the EPA’s authority to set standards based on a broad range of flexible options to cut carbon emissions from the power sector—options such as replacing polluting fossil fuels with cheap and widely available wind and solar power coupled with battery storage. Instead, the Court has ruled that, though the agency can still regulate carbon emissions, it must do so narrowly and set standards solely based on options available at individual power plant facilities, such as efficiency measures to improve plant-level heat rates. This decision wrongfully precludes the agency’s authority to set robust power plant carbon pollution standards in line with today’s technologies and practices adopted on a sector-wide basis. In fact, utilities are increasingly turning to these options—although not fast enough—and many had weighed in in support of EPA power plant carbon standards. The limited approach permitted by the court ruling will constrain the ability to drive the major cuts in emissions that are necessary to meet climate goals. Had the court ruled fully in favor of the EPA—or not taken the case at all—a much more meaningful dent in power plant carbon emissions would be within reach, while also delivering much greater reductions in other dangerous co-pollutants from burning fossil fuels such as particulate matter, mercury, nitrogen oxides and sulfur dioxide. The petitioners who brought this case include state-level political officials and coal companies who are single-mindedly determined to block climate action and perpetuate fossil fuel dependence to serve their narrow political or business interests. And as I wrote previously, there are strong grounds to argue that this case should never have been taken up by the Supreme Court in the first place because there is no rule on the books to challenge. Given the expressed deep skepticism of this Court’s majority for the authority and expertise of federal agencies, today’s decision is not surprising but it is deeply troubling nevertheless. After years of setbacks and delays to implementing EPA power plant carbon standards, and at a time when the climate crisis is so clearly unfolding all around us, this decision flies in the face of the urgent need for deep cuts in heat-trapping emissions to protect public health and the environment. Power plants are the second-largest source of U.S. carbon emissions today. Decarbonizing the power sector is also a linchpin of economy-wide efforts to cut emissions, through electrification of energy use for transportation, industrial purposes and in residential and commercial buildings. While clean energy progress is definitely underway, it is not happening fast enough or on the scale necessary to limit the threat from climate change. The West Virginia v. EPA decision is also harmful in a broader sense because it goes to the heart of federal agencies’ abilities to interpret existing laws based on the best available science, and to then set robust standards accordingly. Once Congress passes protective laws like the Clean Air Act, agencies have generally had deference to implement those laws based on the latest scientific evidence of harms caused by pollutants and options to limit those harms. With this decision, the Court has instead hamstrung that authority. This deeply concerning precedent could potentially put other important environmental and public health policies at risk too. This development has come about as part of a decades-long well-funded and coordinated strategy by industry interests and their political allies aimed at protecting polluters and undermining public health safeguards. The Supreme Court’s decision is out of step with legal precedent because prior court rulings have given deference to agency expertise in interpreting and implementing laws passed by Congress. It is also contrary to what the latest science shows is necessary and does not reflect the full potential to reduce heat-trapping emissions from the power sector using widely available and cost-effective technologies. As Justice Elena Kagan notes in the dissenting opinion, “Whatever else this Court may know about, it does not have a clue about how to address climate change.... The Court appoints itself—instead of Congress or the expert agency—the decision-maker on climate policy. I cannot think of many things more frightening.” Despite this deeply harmful and ideologically motivated ruling, the EPA’s authority and responsibility to curtail heat-trapping emissions still stands. The EPA must now act promptly to propose and finalize as robust a set of power plant carbon standards as possible within the scope it has. Congress, too, must act quickly to pass the months-long stalled budget reconciliation bill—with critical climate and energy components. That legislation must include tax credits to help advance renewable energy and electric vehicles; investments that will help communities become more resilient to climate change, especially low-income communities and communities of color that bear a disproportionate brunt of impacts; and strong labor and environmental justice provisions. Companies must also step up and do their part—net zero pledges on distant timelines mean little without concrete actions to make deep, absolute near-term cuts in emissions. The country needs a strong suite of policies at the federal, state and local level, across every sector of the economy, to deliver on its commitment to cut its heattrapping emissions 50 to 52 percent below 2005 levels by 2030. Every hindrance, every delay, is deeply problematic given the urgency highlighted by the latest science. With this decision, this Supreme Court has willfully made it much more difficult to make meaningful progress on climate change. Meanwhile global carbon emissions continue to rise at an alarming rate, sharply rebounding from the brief dip during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Atmospheric concentrations of heat-trapping emissions are on a relentless upward trajectory, as is the increase in global average temperatures. There is no time to waste. As the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change stated in its recent report, “Any further delay in concerted anticipatory global action on adaptation and mitigation will miss a brief and rapidly closing window of opportunity to secure a livable and sustainable future for all.” Unlike the Court’s ultraconservative majority, most people in the U.S. recognize the harm being wrought by climate change and want strong policies to address it. This decision is a warning that going forward, securing desperately needed progress on urgent priorities such as climate change will require an engaged and informed electorate and the protection of elections and voting rights. Rooting out the fossil fuel industry’s corrupting influence on our democracy is also vital. We must hold our policy makers’ feet to the fire and be willing to speak up in every venue—from corporate shareholder meetings to public utility commission hearings—where decisions about the future of our planet are being made. Who Is Liable when AI Kills? We need to change rules and institutions while still promoting innovation to protect people from faulty AI By George Maliha, Ravi B. Parikh on June 29, 2022 Who Is Liable when AI Kills? Credit: Sergeii Aremenko/Science Photo Library/ Getty Images Who is responsible when AI harms someone? A California jury may soon have to decide. In December 2019, a person driving a Tesla with an artificial intelligence driving system killed two people in Gardena in an accident. The Tesla driver faces several years in prison. In light of this and other incidents, both the National Highway Transportation Safety Administration (NHTSA) and National Transportation Safety Board are investigating Tesla crashes, and NHTSA has recently broadened its probe to explore how drivers interact with Tesla systems. On the state front, California is considering curtailing the use of Tesla autonomous driving features. Our current liability system—our system to determine responsibility and payment for injuries—is completely unprepared for AI. Liability rules were designed for a time when humans caused the majority of mistakes or injuries. Thus, most liability frameworks place punishments on the end-user doctor, driver or other human who caused an injury. But with AI, errors may occur without any human input at all. The liability system needs to adjust accordingly. Bad liability policy will harm patients, consumers and AI developers. The time to think about liability is now—right as AI becomes ubiquitous but remains underregulated. Already, AI-based systems have contributed to injury. In 2018, a pedestrian was killed by a self-driving Uber vehicle. Although driver error was at issue, the AI failed to detect the pedestrian. Recently, an AIbased mental health chatbot encouraged a simulated suicidal patient to take her own life. AI algorithms have discriminated against the resumes of female applicants. And, in one particularly dramatic case, an AI algorithm misidentified a suspect in an aggravated assault, leading to a mistaken arrest. Yet, despite missteps, AI promises to revolutionize all of these areas. Getting the liability landscape right is essential to unlocking AI’s potential. Uncertain rules and potentially costly litigation will discourage investment in, and development and adoption of, AI systems. The wider adoption of AI in health care, autonomous vehicles and in other industries depends on the framework that determines who, if anyone, ends up liable for an injury caused by artificial intelligence systems. AI challenges traditional liability. For example, how do we assign liability when a “black box” algorithm— where the identity and weighting of variables changes dynamically so no one knows what goes into the prediction—recommends a treatment that ultimately causes harm, or drives a car recklessly before its human driver can react? Is that really the doctor or driver’s fault? Is it the company that created the AI’s fault? And what accountability should everyone else—health systems, insurers, manufacturers, regulators—face if they encouraged adoption? These are unanswered questions, and critical to establishing the responsible use of AI in consumer products. Like all disruptive technologies, AI is powerful. AI algorithms, if properly created and tested, can aid in diagnosis, market research, predictive analytics and any application that requires analyzing large data sets. A recent McKinsey global survey showed that already over half of companies worldwide reported using AI in their routine operations. Yet, liability too often focuses on the easiest target: the end-user who uses the algorithm. Liability inquiries often start—and end—with the driver of the car that crashed or the physician that gave faulty treatment decision. Granted, if the end-user misuses an AI system or ignores its warnings, he or she should be liable. But AI errors are often not the fault of the end-user. Who can fault an emergency room physician for an AI algorithm that misses papilledema—a swelling of the retina? An AI’s failure to detect the condition could delay care and potentially cause a patient to go blind. Yet, papilledema is challenging to diagnose without an ophthalmologist’s examination because more clinical data, including imaging of the brain and visual acuity, are often necessary as part of the workup. Despite AI’s revolutionary potential across industries, end-users will avoid using AI if they bear sole liability for potentially fatal errors. Shifting the blame solely to AI designers or adopters doesn’t solve the issue either. Of course, the designers created the algorithm in question. But is every Tesla accident Tesla’s fault to be solved by more testing before product launch? Indeed, some AI algorithms constantly self-learn, taking their inputs and dynamically using them to change the outputs. No one can be sure of exactly how an AI algorithm arrived at a particular conclusion. The key is to ensure that all stakeholders—users, developers and everyone else along the chain from product development to use—bear enough liability to ensure AI safety and effectiveness—but not so much that they give up on AI. To protect people from faulty AI while still promoting innovation, we propose three ways to revamp traditional liability frameworks. First, insurers must protect policyholders from the excessive costs of being sued over an AI injury by testing and validating new AI algorithms prior to use, just as car insurers have been comparing and testing automobiles for years. An independent safety system can provide AI stakeholders with a predictable liability system that adjusts to new technologies and methods. Second, some AI errors should be litigated in special courts with expertise adjudicating AI cases. These specialized tribunals could develop an expertise in particular technologies or issues, such as dealing with the interaction of two AI systems (say, two autonomous vehicles that crash into each other). Such specialized courts are not new: for example, in the U.S., specialist courts have protected childhood vaccine manufacturers for decades by adjudicating vaccine injuries and developing a deep knowledge of the field. Third, regulatory standards from federal authorities like the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) or NHTSA could offset excess liability for developers and some end-users. For example, federal regulations and legislation have replaced certain forms of liability for medical devices or pesticides. Regulators should deem some AIs too risky to introduce into the market without standards for testing, retesting or validation. Federal regulators ought to proactively focus on standard processes for AI development. This would allow regulatory agencies to remain nimble and prevent AI-related injuries, rather than reacting to them too late. In contrast, although state and local consumer protection and health agencies could not erect a national regulatory system, they could help clarify industry standards and norms in a particular area. Hampering AI with an outdated liability system would be tragic: Self-driving cars will bring mobility to many people who lack transportation access. In health care, AI will help physicians choose more effective treatments, improve patient outcomes and even cut costs in an industry notorious for overspending. Industries ranging from finance to cybersecurity are on the cusp of AI revolutions that could benefit billions worldwide. But these benefits should not be undercut by poorly developed algorithms. Thus, 21st-century AI demands a 21st-century liability system. This is an opinion and analysis article, and the views expressed by the author or authors are not necessarily those of Scientific American.
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