Term Paper on Analyzing financing strategies for Dhaka Stock Exchange listed companies (Navana Pharma and Orion Pharma) FIN421: Principles of Corporate Finance Submitted by : Group: 05 Section: 01 Submission Date: Monday May 12, 2025 Submitted to: Abu Saad Md. Masnun Al Mahi, PhD Assistant Professor BRAC Business School SL ID Name Current Semester Contribution to Assignment 1 21205075 SAAD AMIN SAMI 11th Executive Summary, Part A, Summary of Findings, Recommendations and Conclusion saad 2 23204312 ABRAR ISLAM KASHFI 10th Part B : Navana Pharma abrar 3 SHEIKH 21203003 MOHAMMAD AL AKIB 11th Part C: Orion Pharma (4,5) akib 4 5 group Signature 21205080 MONAHIL HOSSAIN 11th Part C Navana Pharma monahil 21204070 FAZLE TASMIM KABIR 11th Part B: Orion Pharma kabir 11th Part C: (1,2,3) 6 17104097 RIDWAN RAFAT Orion Pharma rafat CONTRIBUTION 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................3 INTRODUCTION ...............................................................................4 Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC .................................................4 Orion Pharma Ltd. ...................................................................4 ANALYSIS & DISCUSSION ............................................................. 5 Dividend Policy Analysis - Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC. .............5 Dividend Policy Analysis- Orion pharma ........................................9 Financial planning of Navana Pharma............................................11 Financial Planning Orion Pharma Ltd. ...........................................15 Summary of Findings, Recommendations, and Conclusion .........24 Summary of Findings......................................................................24 Recommendations ...........................................................................25 Conclusion ...................................................................................... 26 References ....................................................................................... 26 Appendix ......................................................................................... 27 2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This term paper offers a close look at the strategic financial evaluation of two drug companies trading on Dhaka Stock Exchange – Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC and Orion Pharma Ltd are discussed. An important part of the paper is devoted to the analysis of dividend policy and the forecast of financial outcome attempting to clarify the impact these decisions have on corporate long-term stability and expansion. In the beginning, a short summary provides an overview of background, major products, mode of operations, and the management style of both companies. The following part addresses the analysis of dividend policy, both historically and in terms of core financial. Throughout it is examined the association between dividend payments and overall financial well-being; a particular emphasis is placed on the viability of effective retention of earnings to aid corporate strategy. Then, the paper systematically performs financial planning and forecasting analyses. Sales growth trends over the years are quantified and critical financial indicators, including liquidity, leverage, profitability, and market valuation are extensively discussed to describe the trajectory of each one of the companies. Through the use of forecasted (pro-forma) financial statements the group can provide a projection of future results based on exceeding sales growth estimates and allocation of capital, which would facilitate an in-depth analysis of actual versus expected financial performance. Finally, the paper recaps the overall findings, provides actionable insights created based on the elaborate analysis, and provides valuable insights into the financial approach applied by Navana Pharmaceuticals and Orion Pharma. By combining their insights, the group determines how the decisions regarding the dividend policy and the financial strategy have a direct impact on the development trajectories of these firms in long-term profitability and share attractiveness terms. 3 INTRODUCTION Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC is one of Bangladesh’s top pharmaceutical concerns, which is famed for its efforts to make and sell quality medicines to the healthcare industry. Drawing on the diversified portfolio of Navana Group, Navana Pharmaceuticals has recorded remarkable growth and is now in a position to offer a wide range of pharmaceutical products including tablets, capsules, injections, liquids, and herbal medicines. Navana Pharmaceuticals has successfully achieved a nice balancing of innovation and regulatory measures in order to maintain stringent adherence to global quality standards such as WHO GMP and ISO that have enhanced its market in both local and foreign markets. Navana Pharmaceuticals’ form of management is headed by seasoned professionals in the industry keen on developing the company through targeted expansion and branching out in their product line. The company operates modern manufacturing plants across Bangladesh, building on technology and an efficient process. Most recently, the company has introduced initiatives aimed at venturing into the sector of herbal medicine, which is a reflection of a market trend embracing its proactive effort to meet the market’s interest and customer’s interests. In fiscal year 2023-2024, Navana Pharmaceuticals achieved net sales of approximately BDT 6.9 billion, reflecting strong annual growth. The company's net profit reached BDT 404.6 million, and total equity amounted to BDT 4.56 billion, showcasing a solid financial foundation for future growth initiatives. Orion Pharma Ltd. In the Orion Group, Orion Pharma Ltd. is known as an important provider in Bangladeshi pharmaceutical manufacturing and marketing. Setting out to become a near-greatest source for healthcare solutions, Orion Pharma has expanded its market influence through its range of pharmaceutical formulations including tablets, syrups, Orion Pharma has a stable investment in R&D so that to allow innovation to continue and a broad portfolio of products serving needs in cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, respiratory, and neurological diseases. Orion Pharma’s executive leadership is committed to support continuous growth and operational excellence throughout the organization. The organization considers meticulous quality assurance as its first priority, entertaining itself thoroughly with the regulatory 4 standards of its home country and the global industry, following it very carefully. With modern production centers and a vast national distribution infrastructure, Orion Pharma is able to meet expanding healthcare needs and to seek additional therapeutic segments. In the recent past Orion Pharma has increased its investment in capacity expansion and strategy expansion plans that will enhance the competitiveness of the company as well as increasing profitability. During fiscal year 2023-2024, Orion Pharma recorded total revenue of approximately BDT 3.67 billion and net income of BDT 214.6 million. Total equity stood impressively at BDT 14.65 billion, underpinning the company's significant market presence and financial resilience. ANALYSIS & DISCUSSION Dividend Policy Analysis - Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC. Key Financial Data Particulars 2023-2024 2022-23 202122 2020-21 Net Sales 6,898,218,8 52 5,706,161,0 22 4,758,7 3,606,576,486 06,524 3,149,005,1 51 Net Profit 404,633,879 356,943,216 274,00 1,539 137,395,072 Total Equity 4,561,095,5 60 4,372,445,0 72 3,483,0 3,304,404,714 49,324 3,102,111,9 82 Retained Earnings 708,021,144 443,028,348 204,24 2,971 535,831,580 535,830,000 Dividend Paid 47,551,014 139,641,082 .10 118,15 7,838.7 0 - - Total Common Share Outstandin g 107,416,217 107,416,217 80,230, 80,230,150 150 202,292,731 2019-20 8,015 We collected these relevant financial data from Navana’s official annual report to ensure accuracy and a strong understanding for our analytical goals. 5 Ratio Formula 20232024 2022-23 2021-22 2020-21 2019-20 Dividend Payout Ratio (Total Dividend s/Net Income)* 100 11.75% 39.12% 43.12% - - Retention (1Ratio Dividend Payout Ratio)*10 0 88.25% 60.88% 56.88% 100% 100% Net Profit Margin (NPM) (Net income/S ales)*100 5.87% 6.26% 5.76% 5.61% 4.36 % Return (Net on Equity profit/Tot (ROE) al Equity)*1 00 8.87% 8.16% 8.07% 6.32% 4.43% Earnings Per Share (EPS). 3.77 3.59 3.42 2.52 1,7142 Net Profit AfterTax/ Total Of common Share Outstand ing (All calculations are shown in Excel file in Appendix 3: Part B of Navana Pharma) Dividend Payout ratio analysis: As we can see above in the table, 6 In 2023-24, the dividend payout ratio is significantly lower at 11.75%, while NPM (5.87%), ROE (8.87%) and EPS (3.77) are comparatively in a better position. This suggests that the company followed a conservative dividend policy, potentially to reinvest profits for future growth. In 2022-23 and 2021-22, the EPS and ROE were lower than 2023-24, but the dividend payout was significantly higher above 39%. This indicates that in past years, the dividend policy could have been more towards satisfying the shareholders, probably at the cost of retained profits. In 2020-21 and 2019-20, the dividend payout was zero and the NPM, ROE and EPS were the lowest. This might imply that the company experienced a downturn, leading them to retain all earnings, which could be a hint to either slow growth or limited investment opportunities. Correlations and Inconsistencies Correlations: The data shows that Navana’s dividend policy and profitability are directly correlated. During the financially healthier periods of 2021-2022 and 2022-2023, which were evidenced by greater NPM, ROE, and EPS, the company also displayed higher dividend payment ratios. On the other hand, the periods of 2020-21 and 2019-20 in which the company did not pay any dividends also had lower profitability figures. Inconsistencies: We observed that the dividend payout went down in 2023-24 even though the company was making more money (ROE and EPS went up). This is an inconsistency unless they are retaining the money for future growth. Retention ratio and Company growth Navana achieved substantial sales growth in the last five years. For instance, In fiscal year 2022-23, Navana Pharmaceuticals Limited recorded its peak revenue and profit figures to date(tbsnews.net,2023). A key factor in this success was likely the high profit retention in the 7 earlier years(2020-21, 2019-20) which provided a strong foundation for expansion. Even though they had lower retention due to high dividend payout in the middle years(202223,2021-22), healthy growth was maintained, possibly through prior retained earnings. Furthermore, the increased retention ratio in the most recent year, 2023-24, signals a continuing strategic focus on reinvesting profits, suggesting a positive outlook for future growth. In 2025, Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC's planned to invest Tk 208.5 million in a new herbal division at their present manufacturing location (thefinancialexpress.com.bd, 2025). This clarifies retaining their profits for future projects. Summary of key findings and insight of dividend policy ● Navana Pharmaceuticals dividend payout increased significantly over the past five years, ranging from 0 to high of 43.12%. ● In the early years high retention provided a boost for their amazing sales growth. ● The company also had a positive financial performance (NPM, ROE,EPS) over the five years. ● As their profitability increased, they also gave more dividends. ● The much lower dividend payout ratio in recent years(2023-24) despite high profit suggests a focus on reinvesting for future growth. Navana Pharmaceuticals' flexible dividend policy enables them to adjust distributions to the company's lifecycle, favoring bigger dividends in stable periods and increasing reinvestment during growth. Despite strong profitability in 2023-24, the reduced dividend reflects the company's strategic approach of prioritizing internal financing for expansion and capital investments. This strategy lessens their need for outside funding and improves the business's long-term financial health, demonstrating a balanced emphasis on sustainable development and shareholder value. 8 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 Total dividend 269904278 152937776 324543691 340167203 373059566 Net income 214596621 291141682 662679032 285122331 194342150 Revenue 3665507547 3056555745 2995167358 2612321217 2297740301 Equity 14652306216 14040682742 12878578498 1241219371 12367122098 9 Retained Earnings 961565844 973857096 909063184 518496227 457550939 Dividend Policy Analysis- Orion pharma Ratio analysis Formulas 2024 Dividend Payout Ratio =Dividend/ Net income Retention Ratio =Retained earnings/ne 4.4808060 3.3449593 1.3718001 1.8185044 2.3543577 t income 79 66 33 47 09 Net Profit Margin (NPM) =net income/rev enue Return on Equity (ROE) =net income/equ 0.0146459 0.0207355 0.0514559 0.0229711 0.0157144 ity 28 79 14 47 2 Earnings Per Share (EPS). given 0.92 1.24 2.83 1.22 0.83 Retention ratio another method =1dividend payout ratio -26% 47% 51% -19% -92% 126% 2023 53% 2022 49% 2021 119% 2020 192% 0.0585448 0.0952515 0.2212494 0.1091452 0.0845796 59 53 17 04 85 (All calculations are shown in Excel file in Appendix 2: Part B of Orion Pharma) Analyzing orion pharmas dividend payout ratio in relation to companies Financial performance indicators 9 In the above box we can see that in the year 2024,2021 and 2020 Orion pharma has paid more dividends than its net profit .Their dividend payout ratio was 126%,119% and 192% which seems higher than usual . In those years Orion pharmas eps ,net profit margin and roe was slightly lower. But still Orion Pharma paid more dividends to its shareholders in order to maintain investors' confidence . EPS was 0.92,1.22 & 0.83 which seems quite low compared to 2022 and 2023.Net profit margin was 5.85%, 10.91% & 8.45% and ROE was 1.46%,,2.29% &1.57%.This financial performance indicators were not good enough to such a higher dividend . In the year 2023 dividend payout ratio was 53% which seems ok . And in the year 2022 Orion Pharma had a very good year .In these 5 years of data Orion Pharma was in its strongest financial position in 2022 with a good dividend payout ratio and performance indicators . Correlations and inconsistencies We can see a positive correlation in 2022 where the dividend payout ratio was well aligning with other metrics . However we can also see inconsistencies in the 2024 , 2021 & 2020 when despite low profits the company decided to pay more dividends from its reserves which doesn't seem aligning with other metrics . Evaluation of retention ratio The company has constant growth in revenues . We can clearly see that it's increasing every year . The growth rates are 12% in 2021 ,13% in 2022,2% in 2023 and 17% in 2024 . In the year 2020 the retention ratio was 2.354 it was quite high and we can see a revenue growth of 12% in the next year . In 2021 retention was 1.81 which seems moderate and it contributed to a growth of 13% in revenue in the upcoming year . However in 2022 we can see that there was a low retention of 1.3 as a result in the next year revenue growth dropped to 2% . But again in 2023 Orion decided to retain high earnings of 3.344 as result in the very next year revenue grew to 17% . In 2024 we can see that their retention is 4.48 so we can expect their revenue growth will be higher in 2025. Analyzing 5 years data we can come to the conclusion that there is a positive relation between retention and revenue . If the retention ratio is high the revenue becomes high too and vice versa . There is another way of calculating retention ratio which gives a different result . we can clearly see it gives a negative retention ratio in 3 years . In 2020 retention was extremely negative and it gives a return of 12% in the next year . in 2021 it was again negative and gave a moderate return of 13% . In the next two following years the ratio was 51% & 47% which gives a return of 2% and 17% . however in 2024 it was -26% and it is quite hard to estimate return as this trend seems very inconsistent . Summary Summarize of key findings ● There is a positive relation between revenue and retention ratio 10 ● The company paid more dividends in the year 2024 ,2021 & 2020 than its net profit ● In 2022 the company was in its strongest financial position . Its dividend payout ratio was well aligned with other metrics . ● Roe ,NPM & EPS seems to be declining in the last 2 years . ● Dividend policy doesn't seem sustainable to me . Dividend policy plays a crucial role to the overall financial performance of the companies . An optimal dividend policy can help a firm draw investors and reinvest into the company's growth .If a company pays too much dividend it won't be able to reinvest money in the company's growth and vice versa . Paying too much dividends during low profit years is not a good sign at all. Usually a company does that in order to maintain investors' confidence which we have in the Orion pharmas case . A firm's dividends must be justified by its profit . A firm should also keep few factors such as profitability, cash flow ,debt ,investment opportunities ,tax and market conditions into consideration while paying dividends Financial planning of Navana Pharma 1)Calculation of Average Sales Growth Year Net Sales 2019-2020 3149005151 2020-2021 3606576486 2021-2022 4758706524 2022-2023 5706161022 2023-2024 6898218852 Average Sales Growth = 21.81% (using the arithmetic mean method) 2) Ratio Calculation 11 Particulars Ratio Name Formula 20232024 202223 2021-22 2020-21 2019-20 Debt Manageme nt Ratio Debt-ToAsset ratio (Total Debt/Total Asset) 0.60 0.54 0.51 0.36 0.30 Times Interest Earned (TIE) ratio (EBIT/Inte rest Expense) 2.10 2.90 2.94 4.84 3.11 Current Ratio (Times) Current Asset/ Current Liabilities 0.871 0.986 0.881 1.15 1.31 Quick Ratio (Times) (Current AssetInventory) / Current Liabilities 0.67 0.76 0.57 0.64 0.70 Profitability Net Profit (Net 5.87 Ratio Margin income/Sal es)*100 6.26 5.76 5.61 4.36 on (Net 3.58 Income/ Total Asset)*100 3.72 3.87 3.89 3.09 EPS Ratio Net Profit 3.77 AfterTax/T otal Of common Share Outstandin g 3.32 3.42 2.52 1.7 P/E Ratio Market price per share/EPS 35.1 - - - Liquidity Ratio Return Asset Market Value ratio 23.2 3) An analysis of Navana Pharmaceuticals' financial ratios over the last 5 years offers insight into the firm's operational and financial position. Over the last 5 years, the current ratio dropped from 1.31 to 0.871 and the quick ratio declined from 0.70 to 0.67. Both of the 12 liquidity ratios indicate a company's weakening ability to meet short-term obligations. The downward liquidity ratio trend indicates issues regarding short-term financial health and working capital management. Over the years, Navana's debt-to-asset ratio increased from 0.30 in 2020 to 0.60 in 2024. Thus, the company heavily relies on debt financing increasing risk exposure. At the same time, the TIE ratio decreased from 3.11 in 2020 to 2.10 in 2024 indicating diminishing capacity to service debt. Overall, the company is under increased financial stress. The company’s net profit margin rose from 4.36% in 2020 to a peak of 6.26% in 2023 before slightly decreasing to 5.87% in 2024. ROA fluctuates similarly which reflects the company's efficient use of assets with a mild decline in the ratio in 2024. Reasons for this profitability decrease can be the increase in interest expenses incurred by increased debt and higher operational costs. Still the profitability trend is relatively stable, possibly due to the company's cost control efforts and increased sales. Navana’s earnings per share (EPS) has shown an overall increasing trend over the last 5 years. However, even with an EPS decline, the P/E ratio is high in 2023 so we can tell that investors were anticipating and expecting future growth of the company's stocks. As a result, the possibility is there that the stock was relatively overvalued. But, in 2024, the P/E ratio decreased to 23.2 and EPS increased as well which showed that stock may have dropped and investors may have more realistic expectations now. Also, it is difficult to give a long-term trend analysis due to unavailability of data of market price per share and, hence, P/E ratio. Navana Pharma has shown relatively stable profitability and market confidence but the declining liquidity and rising leverage raises concern for the company's future growth. If the unfavorable trends continue, the company will face increased financial risk and will have to minimise operational flexibility. In order to ensure long term growth and maintain positive investor anticipation, Navana Pharma must manage debt levels and strengthen internal cash flow. 4) Pro Forma Financial Statements The pro forma financial statements are forecasted with a 21.81% sales growth and includes only the financial characteristics that tie up with sales. The Retained Earnings increased by BDT 216,622,784 and thus the additional funds needed is forecasted to be BDT 702,613,072. The financing is then done using short-term loan (debt financing) at the interest rate of 13.0%. The projected financial outcomes are outlined in the pro forma which can be found in Appendix Part C: Navana Pharmaceuticals. Analysis of the Forecast Particulars Ratio Name Formula Debt Manageme nt Ratio Debt-To-Asset ratio (Total Debt/Total Asset) 2023-2024 2023-2024 (actual) (forecasted) 0.58 0.80 13 Times Interest Earned (TIE) ratio Liquidity Ratio Current Ratio (Times) Quick Ratio (Times) Profitabilit y Ratio (EBIT/Interest Expense) 2.10 1.77 0.88 0.46 0.68 0.26 5.87 4.19 3.60 3.30 3.77 2.69 Current Asset/ Current Liabilities (Current AssetInventory) / Current Liabilities Net Profit Margin (Net (%) income/Sales)*100 Return on Asset (Net Income/ Total (%) Asset)*100 Market Value ratio EPS Ratio P/E Ratio Net Profit AfterTax/Total Of common Share Outstanding Market price per share/EPS 43.42 23.18 (All calculations are shown in Excel file in Appendix 1: Part C of Navana Pharma) Comparative Analysis of Actual vs. Forecasted Financial Performance (2024) We compare the actual financial ratios of Navana Pharmaceuticals for 2024 with the forecasted figures derived under the assumption of 21.81% sales growth and 13% short-term loan financing. The 2024 actual ratios are recalculated with only financial components which tie with sales to be consistent with the simpler model used in forecasting and to ensure a fair comparative analysis. Profitability declined in the forecasted scenario. Despite anticipating higher sales, the Net Profit Margin and ROA both fell due to higher costs and interest burdens associated with short-term debt. The financing decision (13% short-term loan) implemented in the forecasting scenario likely raised expenses, offsetting sales gains. The reduced profitability is further highlighted by the decline in forecasted EPS which is again because of increased financing costs. Interestingly, the forecasted P/E ratio is significantly higher so we can tell that investors are optimistic about market value despite lower EPS possibly because of inflated expectations 14 from projected sales growth. The financing in the forecasted model is done with high interest short-term debt financing which increased the debt-to-asset ratio substantially. Hence, the TIE ratio declined indicating that the firm may not be able to meet interest obligations. Liquidity worsened in the forecast because the financing increased current liabilities without a proportional increase in liquid assets. The comparative analysis shows that while the forecast anticipated higher sales, the financing strategy (13% short-term loan) negatively affected profitability, solvency, and liquidity. The simple forecasting model is only sales focused and does not consider working capital needs hence it misrepresents the short term financial health of the company. So we see the actual performance was more stable suggesting that Navana Pharma managed its operations more cautiously than the assumed simpler forecasting model. This reinforces the importance of incorporating conservative debt assumptions and ensuring realistic operational margins when preparing sales-based financial forecasts. Financial Planning Orion Pharma Ltd. 1. Average Sales Growth Year Net Sales Revenue (BDT) 2019 8,705,172,867 2020 7,647,703,031 2021 10,832,568,048 2022 9,661,609,862 2023 13,926,596,063 Average Sales Growth = 15.71% (using the Arithmetic mean method). 2. Ratio calculation 15 Particul ars Ratio Name Formula 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Debt Manage ment Ratio Debt-to- (Total Asset Debt/Total ratio Asset) 40.43% 37.90% 39.14% 36.70 % 25.70% Times Interest Earned (TIE) ratio (EBIT/Intere st Expense) 5.50 times 2.65 times 4.38 times 2.00 times 2.77 times Current Ratio (Times) Current Asset/ Current Liabilities 2.01 times 1.99 times 2.70 times 4.04 times 3.00 times Quick Ratio (Times) (Current AssetInventory) / Current Liabilities 1.84 times 1.81 times 2.47 times 3.75 times 2.78 times Profitabil Net ity Ratio Profit Margin (Net income/Sale s)*100 4.92% 9.12% 10.33% 9.55% 11.06% Return (Net on Asset Income/ Total Asset)*100 1.29% 1.83% 2.64% 1.98% 3.11% EPS Ratio Net Profit AfterTax/To tal Of common Share Outstanding 2.74 3.62 Taka per Taka per Share Share 4.01 Taka per Share 2.84 Taka per Share 4.12 Taka per Share P/E Ratio Market price per share/EPS 29.05 22.72 19.26 6.53 Liquidity Ratio Market Value ratio 22.85 3. Analyzing Orion Pharma Ltd.’s financial ratios over the past five years: 16 Over the past five years, Orion has shown a rising trend in its Debt-to-Asset ratio, increasing from 25.70% in 2019 to 40.43% in 2023, indicating a growing reliance on debt to finance its assets, which can enhance growth but also increases financial risk. Meanwhile, its Times Interest Earned (TIE) ratio, which reflects the company’s ability to meet interest obligations, has fluctuated but ultimately improved significantly from 2.77 to 5.50 over the same period. Despite a dip in both metrics in 2022, the sharp recovery in 2023 suggests Orion has effectively used debt to drive earnings and has strengthened its capacity to service that debt. Overall, while the rising leverage warrants caution, the improving TIE ratio indicates that Orion is currently managing its financial obligations well, suggesting prudent use of borrowed capital to support its operations and growth. Orion's liquidity position has shown a clear declining trend over the past five years, as reflected in both the Current and Quick (Acid Test) ratios. The Current Ratio dropped from 3.00 in 2019 to 2.01 in 2023, while the Quick Ratio declined from 2.78 to 1.84 over the same period. Although both ratios peaked in 2020—likely due to a temporary buildup of current assets— they have steadily weakened since then, indicating a reduction in Orion’s ability to meet shortterm obligations. The sharper decline in the Quick Ratio suggests that even after removing inventory from the equation, Orion’s most liquid assets have been falling, which could point to tighter cash flow or less efficient working capital management. While both ratios remain 17 above the minimum benchmark of 1.0, the downward trajectory raises concerns about the company’s short-term financial health and suggests a need for improved liquidity management moving forward. Over the past five years, Orion’s profitability has steadily declined, as shown by the downward trends in both Net Profit Margin and Return on Assets (ROA). The Net Profit Margin dropped from a strong 11.06% in 2019 to just 4.92% in 2023, indicating that Orion is earning significantly less profit from its revenues. Similarly, the ROA fell from 3.11% to 1.29%, reflecting a diminishing return on the company's total assets and suggesting reduced efficiency in utilizing its resources to generate income. Although there was a brief recovery in 2021 for both ratios, the overall trajectory points to deteriorating operational performance and profitability. These trends may signal challenges in cost control, pricing power, or asset utilization, and they raise concerns about the company’s ability to sustain long-term profitability without strategic corrective action. Orion’s financial performance shows a mixed and somewhat concerning trend when evaluating its EPS (Earnings Per Share) and Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. The EPS has generally declined from 4.12 BDT in 2019 to 2.74 BDT in 2023, signaling a downward trend in profitability, despite a temporary rebound in 2021. In contrast, the P/E ratio has sharply increased from 6.53 to 29.05 over the same period, indicating that the market is valuing Orion’s shares at 18 increasingly higher multiples of its earnings. This divergence suggests that while the company’s actual earnings performance is weakening, investor sentiment or market expectations remain optimistic or possibly overheated, potentially driven by future growth expectations or speculative factors. Such a mismatch between falling earnings and rising valuation could raise red flags about sustainability and warrants cautious interpretation by investors. PRO forma Orion Pharma PRO FORMA INCOME STATEMENT Particulars 2023 AVG GROWTH 2024 Revenue from net sales 3056555745 0.092415193 3,33,90,27,935 Cost of goods sold -1379307331 0.097313577 1,51,35,32,662 Gross profit 1677248414 0.088522261 1,82,57,22,235 Operating expenses -1184320304 0.115476982 1,32,10,82,039 Selling and distribution expenses -796211631 0.137632218 -865223738.8 General and administrative expenses -388108673 0.086675584 -441524930.49 Profit from operation 492928109 0.086164328 504,640,196 19 Financial expenses -696664249 -0.172091996 -5,76,77,390 depreciation and amortization 6011199354 0.123703513 67,54,80,582 Interest and other income 27275427 -0.212185663 2,14,87,972 Net profit from operation 450537113 0.639159793 73,85,02,321 Workers profit participation fund -21454148 0.639159787 -3,51,66,777 Net profit before tax 429082964 0.639159791 70,33,35,542 Income tax -147067082 0.579715919 -23,23,24,211 Current tax expenses -110522211 0.704355417 -18,83,69,129 Deferred tax income/(expense) -36544871 2.467147122 -12,67,06,444 Net profit after tax 282015882 0.664500135 471011331.2 20 Share of profit from associate 9125800 0.081813286 98,72,412 Net profit for the year 291141682 0.653334744 48,13,54,658 Other comprehensive income 1104471715 -3.506703324 -2,76,85,82,919 Fair value gain/(loss) of marketable securities -313672 -0.53388134 -1,46,208 Fair value gain/(losson investment in associates 1103592810 -3.720252559 -3,00,20,51,166 Share of other comprehensive income of associate 97390 -1.46153832 -44,949 Deferred tax income/(expenses) on revaluation surplus of PPE & fair value changes of marketable securities 1095187 0.667036099 Total comprehensive income attributable to ordinary shareholders 1395613398 Basic earning per share (EPS 1.24 18,25,716 0.348788994 1,88,23,87,990 0.652072772 2.01 Based on growth rates between 2019-2023, this analysis makes an outlook on Orion Pharma Bangladesh’s projected income statement for the year 2024. That year the company brought BDT 3,056.56 million in revenue but with an impressive gross margin at 54.9% (BDT 21 1,677.25 million). However, net profit after tax dropped to BDT 282.02 million for owing reasons. The COGS can be expected to increase pace at the rate of 9.73% while the revenue is expected to increase at 6.87% outpacing COGS as operating expenses increase at 11.55%, mainly due to increased selling/distribution costs (13.76 bdt 2.01). Total income is expected to undergo a large fall that the company projects to reduce to BDT -27,685.8 million, mainly due to investment losses. Tax costs are projected to show drastic increase (246.7% increase) while there is projected to be reduced upward pressure financial expenses by 17.21%. Higher expansion costs have negated the margin of profits reported. While 2024 predictions show positive trends towards revenue and bottom line improvement, they also present a high degree of sensitivity to market change and acceleration in costs. Sustainable financial strategies in combination with risk management to investments and operations optimization will be decisive in long-term prosperity. These results echo the need for in-depth monitoring of key financial risks if growth should be stimulated. AFN = Forecasted total assets ( assets tied to sales) - ( Forecasted spontaneous liabilities + long-term debt + equity) AFN= 42,300,000,000−(2,558,142,290+20,304,891,830+14,040,687,323+ 1,284,758,717) AFN= 42,300,000,000−38,188,480,160 = 4,111,519,840 (All calculations are shown in Excel file in Appendix 4: Part C of Orion Pharma) This analysis analyzes Orion Pharma Bangladesh’s estimated pro forma balance sheet for 2018–2024, estimating 2024 values based on five-year averages growth rates for the 5-year periods. Orion Pharma Bangladesh has consistently grown its total assets by a CAGR of 15.58% achieving BDT 36.596 by the end of the targeted year 2023. There has been much movement attributed to the growing amounts of non-current assets, particularly construction work in progress (compounded annually at a rate of 90.88%) and investments in associates (increasing at a rate of 112.84% CAGR). However, a high rise in liabilities has accompanied the asset expansions. Non-current liabilities grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42.73% with long-term borrowings increasing steadily over the period (43.56% CAGR) whereas current liabilities have shown unpredictable growth and ended the year at a level of BDT 2,08 Shareholders’ equity was constant but has grown slightly (4.38% CAGR), but mostly due to expanding retained earnings (31.92% CAGR) without resorting to new shares and premiums over the period. It is predicted that by 2024, total assets as well as liabilities are likely to increase to BDT 42,296 million each. The predicted expansion in retained earnings is expected to spike NAV/share at BDT 62.63. A projected growth is expected but Orion Pharma’s long-term financial plan is exposed to serious risks, mainly because of continued money loans and risks of unstable investments. It will be essential for the firm to 22 maintain financial growth in combination with leverage management, effective operating leverage, to attain long-term financial stability. With these findings, it becomes doubly important to put in place effective oversight of liabilities and financial investments to maintain consistent development in the next period. COMPONENTS 1st Pass Financing Mix 2nd Pass 100% Debt 60% Debt / 40% Equity Debt Raised 4,111,519,840 2,466,911,904 Equity Raised 1,644,607,936 Interest Expense -411,151,984 -246,691,190 Original Net Income 703,335,542 703,335,542 Revised Net Income (Pre-Tax) 292,183,558 456,644,352 Taxes (30%) -87,655,067 -136,993,306 Revised Net Income (Post-Tax) 204,528,491 319,651,046 Retained Earnings 204,528,491 319,651,046 5,186,000,000 2,842,000,000 New AFN Higher debt burden Balanced mix reduces AFN 5. RATIO Debt to Asset ratio 2023 2024( FORECASTED) CHANGE 40.43% 54.22% +13.79% TIE ratio 5.50x 2.05x -3.45x Current ratio 2.01x 2.36x +0.35x Quick Ratio 1.84 5.15x +0.31x Net profit margin 4.92% 9.57% +4.65% ROA 1.29% 0.76% -0.53% EPS 2.74 TK 1.37 TK -1.37 tk 29.05 58.1x + 29.05x This P/E RATIO analysis gives fundamental insights of where Orion Pharma is heading in terms of finances; The Debt-toAsset Ratio changed from 40.43% to 54.22% because of it, the company applied strategic 23 debt financing that increases financial risk while giving the firm the resources to grow. The TIE Ratio was compressed to 2.05x from 5.50x meaning it is less able to sustain interest payments as debt loading has risen but solvency is within harming levels. Improved liquidity is reflected in Current Ratio of 2.36x versus 2.01x and Quick Ratio of 2.15x versus 1.84x which are due to better working capital utilization and lower inventory carrying levels. Revenue expansion rose 15.71% higher than growth in cost, resulting in a dramatic rise in net profit margin to 9.57 percent (from 4.92 percent); however, ROA decreased to 0.76 percent (from 1.29 percent), which indicates a decline in profitability per asset. Due to shares being issued, EPS was down from 2.74 Taka to 1.37 Taka, so P/E Ratio was down to 58.1x (from 29.05x) which reflects investor’s uncertainty about sustainability of earnings amidst revenue growth. In their summary, these changing metrics reflect tensions between ambitious growth plans, improved cash flow, and decreasing returns on capital, requiring a reassessment of capital strategy and spending management in order to drive long term shareholder value. Summary of Findings, Recommendations, and Conclusion Summary of Findings Exploring dividend policies and financial management in Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC and Orion Pharma Ltd., some interesting facts have been discovered about each company’s economic condition and future goals. Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC: ● During the period under study dividend payout ratio experienced significant peaks and troughs with the highest point recorded being 43.12% and the lowest at 0%. High payout of dividends was correlated with improved key profitability factors, including Net Profit Margin (NPM), Return on Equity (ROE), and Earnings Per Share (EPS). ● Recent years showed a strategic reduction in dividend payouts despite high profitability, indicating a clear shift towards reinvestment to fuel future growth and reduce reliance on external financing. ● Liquidity was on the decline in the course of the study of financial ratios, leverage was on the increase and profitability was stable. High Debt-to-Asset ratios coupled with diminishing of liquidity ratios indicate that financial pressure is building up primarily as a result of increased dependence on debt. 24 ● Based on projected financial statements, the implementation of growth oriented strategy with short term high interest lending, led to undesirable changes in profitability, liquidity, and Solvency ratios even though projected growth in sales was expected. Orion Pharma Ltd.: ● Orion Pharma’s dividend payout ratio was volatile, frequently exceeding net profit (the peak was 192%); it points at the policy aimed at maintaining confidence rather than profit. ● Retention ratios exhibited a strong positive correlation with future revenues growth, thus pointing to a proper distribution of the retained funds. ● Major financial indicators showed high reliance on debt, improved debt coverage with the TIE ratio, deterioration of liquidity as well as reduced profitability marked by declining ROA and NPM over the five years hold. ● The separation between decreasing EPS and increasing P/E ratios established a rift in market valuation, which was possibly caused by investor optimism rather than actual performance Recommendations Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC: ● Optimize Capital Structure: The company is recommended to slowly shift its capital structure to long term debt and internal funding, reducing dependence on high interest, short term debt. This strategy could help preserve stable financial costs and decreased vulnerability to short-term market shocks and enhanced long-term financial health sustainability. ● Enhance Liquidity: Strategic change in working capital management is necessary to improve Navana Pharmaceuticals’ liquidity. In particular, reducing the quantity of time that inventory sits on shelves, speeding up customer payment for services/goods offered, and increasing the accuracy of cash inflow forecast can significantly turn the firm around when it comes to responding to impending financial requirements. ● Balanced Dividend Policy: It is advisable that Navana continues with the flexible yet balanced nature of dividend approach. Consequently, Navana should focus on issues of profitability and reinvestment needs for dividends, as well as meeting shareholder desires. Orion Pharma Ltd.: 25 ● Sustainable Dividend Policy: Orion Pharma should change the financial distribution practice to fit the current profitability and available cash resources better. Full payment of dividends that consistently exceeds net profits exerts undue pressure on retained earnings and cash reserves. In turn, a sustainable dividend policy is protective of its financial stability and investor confidence in the long run. ● Improve Profitability: Orion Pharma needs to prioritise cost control though increasing operational effectiveness in order to perform better. Entering high-margin therapeutic markets, embracing cost-effective manufacturing techniques, and reconsidering pricing tactics take a leading position in improving profit margins and operational results. ● Liquidity Management: It is critical for Orion Pharma to maintain a good control of their liquidity. It would be wise for Orion Pharma to look to improving stock levels, accelerate the inflow of cash and initiate appropriate methods of managing accounts payable. Through an improved management of liquidity, Orion Pharma can obtain sufficient working capital that will be used to meet operational needs and reduce the cost of short term financing. Conclusion As close analysis of the financials reveals, there is a critical need to develop strategic financial management to cater for the growth and stability of the pharmaceutical giants like Navana and Orion pharm. Though Navana exerts the restraint on reinvestment amid increasing debt burdens, Orion Pharma is constrained by sustainability which is as a result of paying out vast dividends in periods of relatively reduced profitability. In order to restore investors confidence and sustain growth, both companies should address their latent financial risks. Navana Pharmaceuticals therefore needs to be improved in their liquidity and attempts to optimize their long term debt, which is in conflict with the need to change Orion Pharma’s dividend policy and increase their earnings. The strategic alignment of fiscal manoeuvres with sustainable operating models will help both companies to increase their position in the market and increase shareholder value in the long term. References: Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC. (n.d.). https://www.navanapharma.com/page/annual-report 26 Issue-I, S. A. (2025, January 17). Navana Pharma to invest Tk 209m in new herbal division. The Financial Express. https://thefinancialexpress.com.bd/stock/bangladesh/navana-pharma-to-invest-tk209m-in-new-herbal-division Report, T. (2023, October 23). Navana Pharma posts record revenue, profit amid higher costs. The Business Standard. https://www.tbsnews.net/economy/stocks/navana-pharma-posts-record-revenueprofit-amid-higher-costs-725346 Investor-Financial Report- Annual report. (n.d.-b). https://www.orionpharmabd.com/investor/annualreport Appendix Appendix 1 Part C: Navana Pharmaceuticals All calculations are shown in the NAVANA PHARMA Excel file. NAVANA PHARMA Pro Forma Financial Statements Forecasted Income Statement for Navana Pharmaceuticals (2024) Item 2023 Actual (BDT) Forecast Basis 2024 Forecast (BDT) Sales 5,706,161,022 × 1.2181 6,898,218,852 Cost of Goods Sold 3,097,130,517 × 1.2181 3,753,374,899 (COGS) Gross Profit 2,609,030,505 Derived 3,144,843,953 Administrative 169,025,968 × 1.2181 214,916,368 Expenses Selling & 1,270,897,848 × 1.2181 1,432,848,350 Marketing Expenses Distribution 390,226,783 × 1.2181 479,428,584 Expenses Total Operating 1,830,150,600 × 1.2181 2,127,193,302 Expenses Operating Profit 778,879,904 Derived 1,017,650,651 27 Finance Expenses Other Income / (Loss) Profit before WPPF & Tax WPPF Contribution 269,132,062 (37,503,667) × 1.2181 Constant 485,147,732 -37,503,667 472,244,175 Derived 494,999,252 23,166,550 24,749,963 Profit before Tax Current Tax Deferred Tax Profit after Tax Common Dividends Addition to RE EPS Dividend per share No. of common share 449,083,625 100,367,508 (8,227,099) 356,943,215 139,593,316 217,349,899 3.32 1.30 107,379,474 5% of PBT before WPPF Derived 22.5% of PBT Constant Derived Constant Derived Derived Constant Constant 470,249,289 105,806,090 -8,227,099 356,216,100 139,593,316 216,622,784 3.32 1.30 107,379,474 Forecasted Balance Sheet for Navana Pharmaceuticals PLC (30 June 2024) Particulars Property, Plant and Equipment Capital Work in Progress Right-of-Use Asset Total Non-Current Assets Inventories Trade and Other Receivables Advances, Deposits and Prepayments Goods in Transit Cash and Cash Equivalents Total Current Assets Total Assets Paid-up Share Capital Retained Earnings Total Shareholders' Equity Loan from Directors Lease Liabilities Long Term Loan 2023 (BDT) 3,810,831,801 Forecast Basis × 1.2181 2024 (BDT) 4,641,974,217 661,659,793 × 1.2181 805,967,794 207,108,433 4,800,325,796 × 1.2181 Summed 252,278,782 5,700,220,793 1,104,799,039 801,236,634 × 1.2181 × 1.2181 1,345,755,709 975,986,344 212,659,473 × 1.2181 259,040,504 65,395,422 314,954,861 × 1.2181 × 1.2181 79,658,164 383,646,516 4,789,618,631 Summed 3,044,087,237 9,589,744,627 1,074,162,170 Summed Constant 8,744,308,030 1,074,162,170 443,020,348 1,517,182,518 + 216,622,784 Summed 659,643,132 1,733,805,302 30,000,000 Constant 30,000,000 89,596,102 90,276,317 Constant Constant 89,596,102 90,276,317 28 Bond Total Non-Current Liabilities Short Term Loan Trade and Other Payables Total Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Total Shareholders' Equity and Liabilities 200,000,000 409,872,419 Constant 200,000,000 409,872,419 4,066,051,935 1,503,953,125 Constant × 1.2181 4,066,051,935 1,831,965,302 5,569,985,060 Summed 5,898,017,237 5,979,857,479 7,497,039,997 Summed Summed 6,307,889,656 8,041,694,958 AFN = Forecasted total assets ( assets tied to sales) - ( Forecasted spontaneous liabilities + long-term debt + equity) = 8,744,308,030-8041694958 =702,613,072 4) Financing Feedback Particulars 2023 (BDT) Forecast Basis Property, Plant and Equipment Capital Work in Progress Right-ofUse Asset Total NonCurrent Assets Inventories 3,810,831,8 01 × 1.2181 4,641,974,2 17 Proforma after financing 4,641,974,2 17 661,659,793 × 1.2181 805,967,794 805,967,794 207,108,433 × 1.2181 252,278,782 252,278,782 4,800,325,7 96 Summed 5,700,220,7 93 5,700,220,7 93 1,104,799,0 39 801,236,634 × 1.2181 × 1.2181 1,345,755,7 09 975,986,344 1,345,755,7 09 975,986,344 × 1.2181 259,040,504 259,040,504 × 1.2181 79,658,164 79,658,164 × 1.2181 383,646,516 383,646,516 Trade and Other Receivables Advances, 212,659,473 Deposits and Prepayments Goods in 65,395,422 Transit Cash and 314,954,861 Cash Equivalents Proforma 2024 Financing 29 Total Current Assets Total Assets Paid-up Share Capital Retained Earnings Total Shareholder s' Equity Loan from Directors Lease Liabilities Long Term Loan Bond Total NonCurrent Liabilities Short Term Loan 4,789,618,6 31 Summed 3,044,087,2 37 3,044,087,2 37 9,589,744,6 27 1,074,162,1 70 Summed 8,744,308,0 30 1,074,162,1 70 8,744,308,0 30 1,074,162,1 70 443,020,348 + 216,622,784 Summed 659,643,132 659,643,132 1,733,805,3 02 30,000,000 1,517,182,5 18 Constant 30,000,000 Constant 1,733,805,3 02 30,000,000 89,596,102 Constant 89,596,102 89,596,102 90,276,317 Constant 90,276,317 90,276,317 200,000,000 409,872,419 Constant 200,000,000 409,872,419 200,000,000 409,872,419 4,066,051,9 35 Constant 4,066,051,9 35 Trade and Other Payables Total Current Liabilities Total Liabilities 1,503,953,1 25 × 1.2181 1,831,965,3 02 1,831,965,3 02 5,569,985,0 60 Summed 5,898,017,2 37 6,600,629,3 09 5,979,857,4 79 Summed Total Shareholder s' Equity and Liabilities AFN 7,497,039,9 97 Summed 6,307,889,6 56 8,041,694,9 58 +702,613,07 2 4,768,664,0 07 7,010,501,7 28 8,744,308,0 30 702,613,072 change in interest expense = 702,613,072 * 0.13 = 91339699 ( financing with short term loan @ 13% ) 30 Item Sales Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) Gross Profit Administrative Expenses Selling & Marketing Expenses Distribution Expenses Total Operating Expenses Operating Profit Finance Expenses Other Income / (Loss) Profit before WPPF & Tax WPPF Contribution Profit before Tax Current Tax Deferred Tax Profit after Tax Common Dividends Addition to RE Dividend per share No. of common share 1st pass 2024 (BDT) 6,898,218,852 3,753,374,899 Financing Feedback 2nd pass 2024 (BDT) 6,898,218,852 3,753,374,899 3,144,843,953 214,916,368 3,144,843,953 214,916,368 1,432,848,350 1,432,848,350 479,428,584 479,428,584 2,127,193,302 2,127,193,302 1,017,650,651 485,147,732 -37,503,667 1,017,650,651 576487431 -37,503,667 +91339699 494,999,252 403659553 24,749,963 470,249,289 105,806,090 -8,227,099 356,216,100 139,593,316 216,622,784 1.30 107,379,474 20182978 383476575 86282229 -8,227,099 288,967,247 139,593,316 149373931 1.30 107,379,474 change in RE due to feedback = 149373931-216,622,784 = -67248853 Particulars Property, Plant and Equipment Capital Work in Progress Right-ofUse Asset 1st pass 2024 4,641,974,2 17 Financing Feedback 2nd pass 2024 4,641,974,2 17 805,967,794 805,967,794 252,278,782 252,278,782 31 Total NonCurrent Assets Inventories Trade and Other Receivables Advances, Deposits and Prepayment s Goods in Transit Cash and Cash Equivalents Total Current Assets Total Assets Paid-up Share Capital Retained Earnings Total Shareholder s' Equity Loan from Directors Lease Liabilities Long Term Loan Bond Total NonCurrent Liabilities Short Term Loan Trade and Other Payables Total Current Liabilities 5,700,220,7 93 5,700,220,7 93 1,345,755,7 09 975,986,344 1,345,755,7 09 975,986,344 259,040,504 259,040,504 79,658,164 79,658,164 383,646,516 383,646,516 3,044,087,2 37 3,044,087,2 37 8,744,308,0 30 1,074,162,1 70 8,744,308,0 30 1,074,162,1 70 659,643,132 659,643,132 1,733,805,3 02 30,000,000 1,733,805,3 02 30,000,000 89,596,102 89,596,102 90,276,317 90,276,317 200,000,000 409,872,419 200,000,000 409,872,419 4,768,664,0 07 1,831,965,3 02 4,768,664,0 07 1,831,965,3 02 6,600,629,3 09 6,600,629,3 09 32 Total Liabilities Total Shareholder s' Equity and Liabilities AFN 7,010,501,7 28 8,744,308,0 30 -67248853 7,010,501,7 28 8,677,059,1 77 67248853 Appendix 2 Part B: Orion Pharma fin421 term paper (orion Pharma).xlsx Appendix 3 Part B: Navana Pharma Navana Pharma Part B 33 Appendix 4 PACT C : ORION PHARMA ORION PHARMA PRO FORMA Balance Sheet Non-current assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 11,096,2 27,931 12,040, 783,72 13,041 ,155,9 16,851 ,710,6 20,1 90,6 24,9 89,7 Ave rage 2024 29469 01166 34 Growth Rate (%) Property, plant and equipment 4,809,52 1,233 Growth Rate (%) Construction work in progress 2,836,43 1,969 Growth Rate (%) Investment in subsidiaries Growth Rate (%) 1,017,00 0,000 8.51% 8.31% 29.22 % 19.8 1% 23.7 7% 5,246,7 36,287 7,860, 572,66 0 7,746, 013,64 9 7,44 9,13 2,15 7 7,22 8,00 6,74 3 9.09% 49.82 % -1.46% 3.83 % 2.97 % 3,369,0 75,037 1,651, 460,15 6 5,584, 939,17 6 9,13 3,14 8,19 4 13,0 64,5 66,5 07 19% -51% 238% 64% 43% 1,017,0 00,000 1,017, 000,00 0 1,017, 000,00 0 1,01 7,00 0,00 0 1,01 7,00 0,00 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 17.9 2% 70134 45375 2.97 % 24938 22784 5 90.8 8% 10170 00000 0% 35 Investment in associates 260,041, 000 Growth Rate (%) Other investments 2,173,23 3,729 Growth Rate (%) Current assets 6,795,57 0,490 Growth Rate (%) Inventories 271,925, 189 254,28 2,000 319,40 3,000 303,45 5,000 386, 739, 000 1,49 0,69 5,00 0 -2.21% 25.61 % -4.99% 27.4 5% 285. 45% 2,153,6 90,397 2,142, 372,26 2 2,149, 491,39 0 2,15 5,19 3,31 1 2,14 7,81 9,56 0 -0.90% -0.53% 0.33% 0.27 % 0.34 % 7,242,1 06,413 8,207, 699,63 4 9,810, 320,51 1 10,0 70,2 89,8 90 11,6 06,4 79,5 37 6.57% 13.33 % 19.53 % 2.65 % 15.2 5% 270,58 7,251 345,17 0,358 390,68 9,523 645, 653, 974 853, 745, 233 31727 32998 112. 84% 21405 16973 0.34 % 12937 38250 2 11.4 7% 11488 00704 36 Growth Rate (%) Trade and other receivables 5,524,97 9,159 Growth Rate (%) Advances, deposits and prepayments 658,445, 869 Growth Rate (%) Fixed deposit with banks Growth Rate (%) 7,565,26 2 -0.49% 27.56 % 13.19 % 65.2 6% 32.2 3% 6,020,7 96,815 5,920, 737,95 2 7,563, 464,80 1 7,80 0,15 9,20 6 9,30 9,11 0,63 1 8.97% -1.66% 27.75 % 3.13 % 19.3 5% 907,96 5,205 1,291, 850,01 5 1,631, 943,13 0 1,50 2,22 9,49 1 1,38 0,11 6,44 1 37.90% 42.28 % 26.33 % 7.95 % 8.13 % 12,028, 336 19,583 ,098 23,616 ,354 31,8 33,5 89 38,6 79,2 52 58.99% 62.81 % 20.60 % 34.7 9% 21.5 0% 34.5 6% 10686 71925 6 14.8 0% 12679 12974 8.13 % 54050 166.56 39.7 4% 37 Cash and cash equivalents 332,655, 011 Growth Rate (%) Total assets 17,891,7 98,421 Growth Rate (%) Shareholder's equity 12,598,6 99,407 Growth Rate (%) Share capital 2,340,00 0,000 30,728, 806 630,35 8,211 200,60 6,704 90,4 13,6 30 24,8 27,9 80 -90.76% 1951.3 6% 68.18 % 54.9 3% 72.5 4% 19,282, 890,13 4 21,248 ,855,5 64 26,662 ,031,1 55 30,2 60,9 76,4 91 36,5 96,2 06,8 48 7.78% 10.20 % 25.48 % 13.5 0% 20.9 4% 12,469, 096,71 1 12,367 ,122,0 98 12,412 ,193,7 19 12,8 78,5 78,4 98 14,0 40,6 82,7 42 -1.03% -0.82% 0.36% 3.76 % 9.02 % 2,340,0 00,000 2,340, 000,00 0 2,340, 000,00 0 2,34 0,00 0,00 0 2,34 0,00 0,00 0 68177 63.308 72.5 4% 42296 37764 1 15.5 8% 14655 92037 8 4.38 % 23400 00000 38 Growth Rate (%) Share premium 8,016,89 2,026 Growth Rate (%) Reserves 1,528,86 4,782 Growth Rate (%) Retained earnings Growth Rate (%) 712,942, 599 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00 % 0.00 % 8,016,8 92,026 8,016, 892,02 6 8,016, 892,02 6 8,01 6,89 2,02 6 8,01 6,89 2,02 6 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00 % 0.00 % 1,509,1 09,947 1,552, 679,13 4 1,536, 805,46 7 1,61 2,62 3,28 8 2,70 9,93 3,62 0 -1.29% 2.89% -1.02% 4.93 % 68.0 5% 603,09 4,738 457,55 0,939 518,49 6,227 909, 063, 184 973, 857, 096 -15.41% 24.13 % 13.32 % 75.3 3% 7.13 % 0.00 % 80168 92026 0.00 % 33952 36068 25.2 9% 12847 58717 31.9 2% 39 Non-current liabilities 3,590,18 6,688 Growth Rate (%) Long term loan 3,464,68 0,591 Growth Rate (%) Finance lease obligation Growth Rate (%) 16,591,9 00 5,091,4 07,432 7,176, 991,06 3 12,651 ,282,9 36 15,4 51,0 40,0 63 20,4 68,9 43,0 10 29215 70423 8 41.81% 40.96 % 76.28 % 22.1 3% 32.4 8% 4,940,7 20,955 6,987, 470,94 12,473 ,100,0 15,2 93,5 20,2 84,8 29120 36052 5 22 28,2 11 91,8 83 6 42.60% 41.43 % 78.51 % 22.6 1% 32.6 4% 26,573, 217 46,909 ,046 39,898 ,633 35,2 65,3 95 26,3 54,9 87 60.16% 76.53 % 14.94 % 11.6 1% 25.2 7% 42.7 3% 43.5 6% 19695 081.79 25.2 7% 40 Deferred tax liability 78,995,0 50 Growth Rate (%) Current liabilities 1,702,91 2,326 Growth Rate (%) Current portion long term loan 373,490, 714 Growth Rate (%) Current portion of finance lease obligation 8,784,09 6 98,226, 477 1,704, 742,40 3 1,598, 554,50 0 122, 246, 457 157, 696, 141 24.35% 1635.5 2% -6.23% 92.3 5% 29.0 0% 1,722,3 85,991 201,88 2,832 274,32 6,280 1,93 1,35 7,93 0 2,08 6,58 1,09 6 1.14% 88.28 % 35.88 % 604. 04% 8.04 % 256,37 5,584 38,345 ,934 36,415 ,462 387, 466, 840 490, 498, 002 -31.36% 85.04 % -5.03% 964. 02% 26.5 9% 15,417, 560 565,99 5,722 564,31 7,167 31,6 64,3 04 23,9 10,3 51 10454 54941 562. 96% 54725 87048 162. 28% 62092 1420.7 26.5 9% 18054 706.04 41 Growth Rate (%) Short term loans 582,351, 265 Growth Rate (%) Trade and other payables 506,384, 796 Growth Rate (%) Accrued expenses 231,901, 455 75.52% 3571.1 1% -0.30% 94.3 9% 24.4 9% 565,28 3,464 603,50 3,932 359,22 1,873 563, 904, 269 547, 819, 343 -2.93% 6.76% - 56.9 - - 40.48 % 8% 2.85 % 2.85 % 623,06 2,003 24,728 ,858 28,113 ,432 390, 344, 399 352, 176, 815 23.04% 96.03 % 13.69 % 1288 .46 % 9.78 % 262,24 7,380 270,28 5,125 336,16 0,285 493, 591, 956 544, 099, 355 24.4 9% 53220 6491.7 19078 47733 441. 73% 65029 4556.9 42 Growth Rate (%) Total shareholder's equity and liabilities 17,891,7 98,421 Growth Rate (%) Number of shares used to compute NAV 234,000, 000 Growth Rate (%) Net asset value (NAV) including revaluation surplus Growth Rate (%) 53.84 13.09% 3.06% 24.37 % 46.8 3% 10.2 3% 19,282, 890,13 4 21,248 ,855,5 64 26,662 ,031,1 55 30,2 60,9 76,4 91 36,5 96,2 06,8 48 7.78% 10.20 % 25.48 % 13.5 0% 20.9 4% 234,00 0,000 234,00 0,000 234,00 0,000 234, 000, 000 234, 000, 000 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00 % 0.00 % 53.29 52.85 53.04 55.0 4 60 -1.02% -0.83% 0.36% 3.77 % 9.01 % 19.5 2% 42296 37764 1 15.5 8% 23400 0000 0.00 % 62.628 375 4.38 % 43 Net asset value (NAV) excluding revaluation surplus 47.81 Growth Rate (%) 47.31 46.92 47.16 49.1 9 54.1 9 -1.05% -0.82% 0.51% 4.30 % 10.1 6% 56.896 0087 4.99 % AFN = Forecasted total assets ( assets tied to sales) - ( Forecasted spontaneous liabilities + long-term debt + equity) AFN= 42,300,000,000−(2,558,142,290+20,304,891,830+14,040,687,323+ 1,284,758,717) AFN= 42,300,000,000−38,188,480,160 = 4,111,519,840 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 Five years financial performance: 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63
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