OFFICE OF THE DIRECTOR GENERAL AUDIT POWER, LAHORE PRELIMINARY SURVEY REPORT (PSR) ON PERFORMANCE AUDIT OF POWER TRANSMISSION ENHANCEMENT PROGRAM IN NTDC (MFF-I) TRANCHE-I TO IV FOR THE PERIOD 2007-08 TO 2018-19. AUDIT YEAR 2024-25 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ADB ADF AGP BOQs COL CPS EHV EOT GSO MFF MOWP MTDF MP & M MVA NEPRA NKLTP NTDC O&M OCR PMU PPRA PTEIP PSP PSR Asian Development Bank Asian Development Fund Auditor-General of Pakistan Bill of Quantities Capital Resources Lending Country Partnership Strategy Extra High Voltage Extension of Time Grid System Operation Multitranche Financing Facility Ministry of Water and Power Medium-Term Development Framework Material Procurement and Management Mega Volt Ampere National Electric Power Regulatory Authority New Kot Lakhpat National Transmission and Dispatch Company Limited Operation and Maintenance Ordinary Capital Resources Project Management Unit Public Procurement Regulatory Authority Power Transmission Enhancement Investment Program Power System Planning Preliminary Survey Report DIRECTOR GENERAL AUDIT POWER LAHORE Preliminary survey report (PSR) for Performance Audit in respect of Power Transmission Enhancement Program in NTDC ( MFF-I) TRANCHE-I TO IV For The Period 2007-08 to 2018-19. 1. Name of the Program Power Transmission Enhancement Investment Programme (PTEIP) in National Transmission Dispatch Company NTDC. 2. Backgrounds 2.1 Corporate Background After unbundling of WAPDA, NTDC was incorporated as a Public Limited Company in Nov 06, 1998 under the Companies Ordinance 1984 (now Companies Act 2017), with its Head Office at Lahore. After having Certificate for Commencement of Business, NTDC started its commercial operations from March 01, 1999. NEPRA granted Transmission License to NTDC in December 2002 to engage in the exclusive transmission business for a term of thirty (30) years. The paid-up/share Capital of the Company (NTDC) is Rs. 52.7 Billion1 NTDC 1st tariff was determined by NEPRA in April, 2004. 2.2 NTDC Background National Transmission and Despatch Company (NTDC) links Power Generation Units with Load Centers spread all over the country (including Karachi) and thus establishes and governs one of the largest interconnected networks. The Company is responsible for evacuation of Power from the Hydroelectric Power Plants (mainly in the North), the Thermal Units of Public (GENCOs) and Private (IPPs) Sectors (mainly in the South) to the Power Distribution Companies through primary (EHV) Network. 2.3 Multitranche Financing Facility (MFF) Background The Medium-Term Development Framework (MTDF), 2005-2010, prepared by the Government of Pakistan in May 2005, established a framework for the power sector development. To facilitate efficient and effective evacuation of power from existing power stations, the National Transmission & Despatch Company (NTDC), in coordination with the Ministry of Water and Power (MoWP), prepared a Transmission Sector Road Map, 2007-2017. The road map recommended rehabilitation, augmentation, and expansion projects to address the shortcomings of the power transmission system. The multitranche financing facility (MFF) was one of the Asian Development Bank's (ADB) first interventions in Pakistan's power transmission reforms at a very critical time when the power crises were at peak and the demand was crucial. The program design was 1 National Transmission and Despatch Company Limited Balance Sheet as at 30 June 2023 1 highly relevant at both appraisal and completion. The program was consistent with ADB's country partnership strategy (CPS), 2009-2013 for Pakistan and Pakistan's development priorities in the energy sector. 2.3.1 Tranche I Tranche I comprised two loans, one for the project and the other for the MFF support component. It comprised 19 subprojects to accomplish (i) addition or augmentation of 29 transformers at existing 500-kilovolt (kV) and 220-kilovolt substations; (ii) two new 220kilovolt substations and associated transmission lines; and (iii) 287 kilometers (km) of transmission lines. 2.3.2 Tranche II Tranche II comprised a loan with nine high-priority subprojects, including (i) construction of new grid stations, (ii) installation of additional transformer capacity in two existing grid stations, and (iii) construction of five new transmission lines. 2.3.3 Tranche III Tranche III comprised a loan which was approved to (i) add approximately 600kilometer, 500-kilovolt transmission lines, (ii) commission a new 500-kilovolt grid station and expand the four existing 500-kilovolt grid substations, (iii) improve security of supply to customers by moving toward compliance with regulatory security standards governing planning and operation, and (iv) improve reliability of the primary transmission system. 2.3.4 Tranche IV Tranche IV comprised a loan from ADB ordinary capital resources (OCR) and cofinancing from Agence Francaise de Development (AFD) (L8311-PAK), with the targeted outputs of (i) line bay extension and 281 km of 500-kilovolt transmission line installation from the existing 500-kilovolt Muzaffargarh grid station for electricity evacuation from the 747-megawatt Guddu power plant; (ii) four new 220- kilovolt grid stations and associated in/out transmission lines at Chakdara, D.I. Khan, Lalian, and Nowshera; (iii) installation of static var system (SVS) at 220-/132-kilovolt Quetta industrial grid station; and (iv) extension of 500-kilovolt grid stations at Jamshoro and Gujranwala, and augmentation of 500-kilovolt grid station at Rawat. The following is the current status of loan utilization. 2 POWER TRANSMISSION ENHANCEMENT PROGRAM IN NTDC (MFF-I), TRANCHE - I TO IV FOR THE PERIOD OF 2007-08 TO 2018-19 Tranche No Original Allocation (1) Loan No Increase d (2) Cancele d (3) Last Revised Allocation (4=1+2-3) Amount Disburse d (5) Schedule d Loan Closing Date Actual Loan Closin g Date (USD million) Tranche I Project 1 (Loan 2289-PAK) – ADB 226 - 83 143 129 30-12-09 30-0612 Tranche I Project 1 (Loan 2290-PAK) – ADB 10 - - 10 4 15-06-17 - Tranche II Project 2 (Loan 2396-PAK) – ADB 220 55 110 165 157 31-12-13 29-0216 Tranche III Project 3 (Loan 2846-PAK) – ADB 243 - 23 220 164 30-06-16 30-1017 Tranche IV Project 4 (Loan 3203-PAK) – ADB 248 - 124 124 53 31-12-16 - Tranche IV Project 4 (Loan 8311-PAK) – AFD 83 - - 83 66 01-02-20 01-0520 3. Responsible Authorities i. Project Management Unit The Project Management Unit (PMU) is responsible for liaising between the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and various executing and implementing formations within NTDC. It monitors the execution of all sub-projects under the different tranches of the Multitranche Financing Facility (MFF), ensuring timely progress and compliance. The PMU also prepares quarterly status reports for ADB-funded projects and conducts environmental assessment reports as part of its oversight and reporting responsibilities. ii. Power System Planning The Power System Planning (PSP) department is responsible for forecasting power demand, planning transmission system expansion, preparing project documentation and cost estimates, expansion planning of the EHV transmission system and conducting technical studies for power evacuation and system integration. iii. Finance Directorate The Finance Directorate has overall responsibility for all financial activities of the Company and plays a key role in loan management. iv. Chief Engineer Material Procurement & Management The procurement of material, works and services are being executed through MP&M Directorate since October, 2013. From the outset of the Tranche-3 & 4, entire procurement process is being dealt in MP&M. however the supervision and execution of projects is being 3 (MP&M) done by concerned P.D EHVs. EHVs (Project Delivery) EHVs make ensure that the projects are executed according to term and conditions in the contract agreements regarding construction of new high-voltage transmission lines and substations as well as rehabilitation and augmentation works for existing system. Assets Management (GSO) Asset Management (GSO) is responsible for managing the operation and maintenance of the high voltage transmission lines and substation of grid system after the completion. 4. Program Details 4.1. Type of Program Project Type: The Power Transmission Enhancement Investment Program (PTEIP) Description: The Power Transmission Enhancement Investment Program (PTEIP) was the first intervention by ADB by Multitranche Financing Facility (MFF). Detail of tranche wise project attached as Annexure A. Sample Selected: Tranche Project Description Total cost Rs. (million) I New 220kV WAPDA TOWN Grid Station (3x160MVAPTs) with 10 KM 220 kV Lahore- NKLPT D/C IN/OUT at Transmission Line Wapda Town G/Station Lahore 1,153 II New 500 kV D.G. Khan Grid Station (2x(3x200)+ 1x200MVA SparePTs) with Transmission Line (In and out of existing Guddu Muzaffargarh 500 kV T/L at D.G. Khan 18 KM (D/C) 3.4 KM . 10,053 III 3rd 500 KV AES - Jamshoro - Moro - R.Y Khan T/L along with 500 KV Switching stations at Moro and Matiari (updated) 8,724 IV Construction of 261 km of 500-kV transmission line, addition of three 500-kV line bays, and 20 km of 500-kV in/out transmission lines at the 500-kV Muzaffargah substation. 8,470 4.2. Basis for sample selection: One Project was selected from each Tranche based on the highest value of the Project cost. With respect to Tranche-I Project amounting to Rs. 1153 million was selected based on highest cost, while Project amounting to Rs. 3789.6 million was ignored because it was shifted in tranche-II and Project amounting to Rs.1506.9 million was already selected in previous performance audit. From Tranche-II and III, Projects amounting to Rs10053 million and Rs 8724 million selected respectively based on highest project cost and these Projects were not selected in previous performance audit. 4 From Tranche-IV Project amounting to Rs. 8470 million was selected based on highest project cost. The Project amounting to Rs. 8911.9 million was neglected/ ignored because it was not financed from the loan. 4.3. Objectives of the Program Following are the objectives of the program: Rehabilitate and Expand the Power System: Rehabilitate, augment, and expand parts of the power system to meet current generation capacities. Enhance Power Transmission Capacity: Expand and augment the system to cope with future power generation stations. Operation and Maintenance: Ensure continued operation and maintenance in accordance with best international practices. Enhance the Efficiency and Management: Enhance the efficiency and management of the power transmission system in Pakistan for long-term energy sector sustainability. Reducing Transmission Losses: Ensure the delivery of adequate and reliable electricity supply by reducing transmission losses, minimizing power outages, removing transmission bottlenecks, and increasing power evacuation capacity. 4.4. Beneficiaries General Public: Improved and more reliable electricity supply for consumers. Energy Sector: Enhanced efficiency and capacity in the national electricity grid Government: Support the Government of Pakistan in meeting its endemic challenge of electricity availability to the consumers. 4.5. Time-Phasing The MFF was made available for 10 years after its approval in 2006. The MFF's availability period was extended for 3 years from 31 December 2016 to 31 December 2019. 4.6. Capital Cost Estimated Cost: The appraised program cost was $810.0 million through four tranches, consisting of $800.0 million from ordinary capital resources (OCR) and $10.0 million from the concessionary ordinary capital resources lending (COL) of the Asian Development Fund (ADF) 4.7. Source of Finance 4.8. Funding Source: The project is funded by Asian Development Bank Type of Financing Financing Structure: 5 o Investment: At program completion, ADB disbursements totaled $683.6 million (84.39%) of appraisal, and the government had contributed $151.4 million of appraisal amount. 4.9. Program Stage Implementation: The project has been implemented. Project Impact, Outcome, and Output by funding agency ADB: The program’s impact was designed as “improved power transmission infrastructure and management,” and the program’s outcome was “reliable and quality power transmitted in Pakistan and service coverage expanded.” The agreed upon performance indicators KPIs against outcome were: i. full compliance with grid code and transmission license by 2009; ii. 10.5 gigawatt-hour (GWh) of additional power annually supplied through the grid by 2011; iii. electricity outages reduced by 30% in 2011; iv. grid-connected customers increased to 70% of the population in 2019. The program had two outputs: (i) transmission networks improved through rehabilitation, augmentation, and expansion of systems; and ii) NTDC operation and management strengthened. Against both outputs, the performance indicators were (i) subprojects commissioned according to schedules indicated in the investment and expansion plan; (ii) distribution company tariffs determined and notified by 2006; (iii) NTDC restructuring completed and operational, and financial autonomy achieved by 2019; and (iv) adequate project management and information systems implemented by NTDC by 2019. 5. Data Availability The following data related to the Power Transmission Enhancement Investment Program (PTEIP) will be examined for risk measurement and project performance analysis: List of projects selected and completed under Tranches I to IV with project briefs. Total loan amount (as per audited financial statements) used on each project and procurement. List of contracts made under Tranches I to IV. List of procurement contracts made under Tranches I to IV. List of procurement contracts made under Tranches I to IV. Tranche/sub-project wise PC-I, II & IV,V NEPRA Grid Code 2005 ADB Completion report regarding projects 6 6 Contract/Purchase order documents Tranche-wise Progress Reports Monthly, quarterly progress reports of the projects Financial Statements consolidated and project wise Environmental assessment reports Material Inspection Reports Issuance of material to intended projects Repeat orders, variation orders etc. Loan Agreements with ADB. Project agreements with ADB. Land Acquisition Act 1894. Equipment and material test reports Project files. Transmission Sector Road Map, 2007-2017. PPRA rules. Risks Involved To assess the risks associated with the following risk category, risk likelihood, risk impact and risk score identifies potential risks and mitigation strategies. Risk Category Operational Risks Risk Likeliho od Inefficient construction of transmission lines, substations (grids) and extension of works Medium (2) Unreliable performance Impact Risk Scor e Mitigation Strategies High (3) 6 Implement efficient transmission technologies. 9 Conduct regular system maintenance and testing. system High (3) High (3) Non-compliance Safety rules during operation and Medium maintenance activities of (2) power system High (3) 6 Ensure compliance with safety regulations. Deficient O&M of project High (3) 9 Conduct regular system maintenance High (3) 7 and testing. Increase in due to time overruns of projects, non- High (3) deduction of LDs. High (3) 9 Implement effective allocation. Non capitalization of work, under or overstatement of cost of project. Medium (2) High (3) 6 Optimize resource utilization strategies. Loss of revenue due to non-reduction of transmission line losses or non-achievement of envisaged benefits of projects Medium (2) High (3) 6 Ensure project completion to achieve full capacity. Non-compliance with regulations, PPRA rules, ADB procurement guidelines, donor Medium agreements i.e. loan & (2) project agreement, contractor agreements, Compliance social & environmental regulations. Risks High (3) 6 Financial Risks costresource Ensure compliance with all regulations and standards. Non compliance of equipment and material testing as per agreement. Non-compliance of extension of time (EOT) policy. Environme ntal and safety risk Medium (2) High (3) Non-compliance of safety rules, tree cutting without Medium NOC, Inadequate (2) environmental impact assessment High (3) Safety clearance of transmission lines from populated areas 8 6 Conduct thorough environmental impact assessments. Strategic/ Contractual Risks Inadequate project monitoring and evaluation High (3) High (3) 9 Establish effective project monitoring and evaluation frameworks. Risk Likelihood High (3): Very likely to occur Medium (2): Possible but not certain to occur Low (1): Unlikely to occur Risk Impact High (3): Significant impact on project performance or reputation Medium (2): Moderate impact on project performance or reputation Low (1): Minimal impact on project performance or reputation Risk Score Calculation Risk Score = Likelihood x Impact High: 6 - 9 Medium: 1 - 6 Low: 1 7. Issues of Potential Significance There are several potential audit issues that could arise: Non-achievements of project objectives in terms of reduction in overloaded system by constructing new grid stations, transmission lines and extension/augmentation works. Construction of transmission lines and grid station to evacuate power effectively from new generation plants Time overrun in completion of sub-projects. Delay in selection of sites and change of site after execution of contact agreement. Increase in cost due wrong and changes in rout alignment of transmission lines. Cost overrun involved in procurement and construction of projects Bidding process right from preparation of bidding documents, technical/ commercial evaluation to award of contract as per ADB procurement guidelines Contract management by assessing contractual deviations Mis-utilization of loan based procured equipment to other projects than the intended ones Storage of procured equipment for longer period due to inordinate delay/ slowness in utilization. 9 8. Less utilization of loan amount due to delayed identification of projects, approval of PC-1 and other controllable contributory factors Lack of transparency in bidding process of Tranche-III causing re-bidding of four (04) out of five (05) procurement packages following leakage of confidential bidding information Bearing of commitment charges due to less utilization of loan proceeds Environmental impact of the completed projects Non preparation of separate project financial statement of each project. Equipment and material testing as per agreement. Non obtaining NOC from Civil authorities and department. Non execution of works as per BOQs. Audit Objectives The primary objectives of the performance audit of Power Transmission Enhancement Investment Program (PTEIP) are as under: 9. Evaluate whether financial and material resources for the PTEIP were procured and utilized at the lowest possible cost without compromising quality, including cost-effectiveness in procurement, contracting and implementation. Assess the operational efficiency of the transmission infrastructure by measuring energy losses, downtime and system capacity utilization to ensure optimal use of resources in meeting electricity demands. Determine the extent to which the project has achieved its intended outcomes, such as improved grid reliability and transmission capacity, and whether these outcomes are sustainable in the long term. Assess the program environmental sustainability by examining compliance with environmental regulations and impact on land use and local communities. Evaluate whether the project’s benefits and impacts are equitably distributed across regions, with particular attention to vulnerable populations and those affected by land acquisition and transmission infrastructure. Reasons for Selection of the project for Audit The audit of the Power Transmission Enhancement Investment Program (PTEIP) Project is essential due to its significant role in Pakistan's energy landscape The audit aims to improve implementation effectiveness, rectify operational shortcomings, and ensure that future projects fulfill their energy transmission objectives effectively. 10
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