FACULTY OF COMPUTER AND MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES INTRODUCTION TO ACTUARIAL SCIENCE (ASC302) CASE STUDY: IMPACT OF INCREASING RETIREMENT AGE ON SAVINGS FACTOR: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY FOR GOVERNMENT WORKERS IN MALAYSIA NAME: ALIMAHTUN SA’DIAH BINTI ZAINAL (2023879152) GROUP: CDCS1124B PREPARED FOR: MR. AHMAD NUR AZAM BIN MD AHMAD RIDZUAN TABLE OF CONTENTS ITEM PAGE INTRODUCTION 3 POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE IMPACTS ON RETIREMENT AGE TOWARDS GOVERNMENT WORKERS THE FINANCIAL AND SAVINGS RISK INCREMENT 4 TOWARDS 6 GOVERNMENT WORKERS RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE GOVERNMENT 9 CONCLUSION 10 REFERENCES 11 2 1.0 INTRODUCTION Malaysia is currently facing an aging population and retirement savings inadequacy. Statistics show that over half of Employees Provident Fund (EPF) members under the age of 55 hold less than RM10,000 in savings (Ministry of Finance, 2023). Additionally, studies show that only 4% of Malaysians could afford retirement, according to the Employees Provident Fund (EPF) calculations from the previous year (New Straits Times, 2024). Malaysia’s retirement system, primarily based on EPF and government pensions, is under pressure due to low individual savings and an aging demographic. Many government employees face insufficient savings to support themselves postretirement. By extending the retirement age from 60 to 65 offers a great opportunity to workers to build stronger retirement savings (FMT Media, 2025). However, this policy shift carries both advantages and disadvantages. This report explores the impact of increasing the retirement age on government workers, assesses the financial and savings risks, and provides recommendations for the government. 3 2.0 POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE IMPACTS ON INCREMENT RETIREMENT AGE TOWARDS GOVERNMENT WORKERS The decision to raise the retirement age has significant implications for government workers. Even though the extension allows for longer income-earning years and potentially higher retirement savings, it also poses challenges such as reduced job opportunities for younger entrants and concerns over declining work performance due to age-related limitations. By understands both positive and negative impacts is important to evaluate whether the policy shift aligns with the nation’s long-term socioeconomic goals or not. 2.1 POSITIVE IMPACTS ON INCREMENT RETIREMENT AGE TOWARDS GOVERNMENT WORKERS I. Longer Time to Accumulate Savings By extending the retirement age, government workers have more time to contribute to their retirement funds. For example, the Employees Provident Fund (EPF) or pension schemes. This is especially important considering that many Malaysians have insufficient savings for retirement. The additional working years allow employees to rebuild or grow their financial reserves, particularly after recent events like the COVID-19 pandemic, during which many individuals withdrew from their EPF accounts. This helps reduce the risk of outliving one’s savings postretirement. II. Delayed Pension Payouts Raising the retirement age postpones the need for the government to start paying out pension benefits. This delay can help ease the financial burden on the public pension system in the short term, especially as Malaysia’s population ages and the number of retirees increases. The government can retain funds longer, giving them more time to strategize for long-term pension sustainability. Therefore, by increase 4 retirement age allows government workers to have better financial planning and smoother cash flow management. III. Better Financial Security Post-Retirement With more years of service, government workers have the chance to secure a higher pension or retirement savings amount. This extended period of employment can help mitigate inflation impacts and rising costs of living, especially healthcare expenses that are more common in old age. Consequently, retirees will be less dependent on children or social welfare, promoting greater independence and dignity in retirement. 2.2 NEGATIVE IMPACTS ON INCREMENT RETIREMENT AGE TOWARDS GOVERNMENT WORKERS I. Fewer Opportunities for Younger Workers One of the biggest criticisms of increasing the retirement age is that it may limit job opportunities for younger individuals seeking to enter the government workforce. If older workers stay in their positions longer, fewer vacancies become available for new graduates, potentially leading to youth unemployment and dissatisfaction. This bottleneck effect could also impact career progression for younger workers already in the system, as promotions may be delayed. II. Increased Government Expenditure in the Long Term While increasing the retirement age delays pension payouts in the short run, it may also lead to higher overall costs in the long term. Longer periods of employment mean continued salary payments, annual increments, and extended healthcare and other benefits for older workers. If not properly managed, these rising expenditures may offset the benefits of delayed retirement, especially if pension formulas are based on final salary levels. 5 III. Decline in Physical and Cognitive Performance As employees age, they may experience physical limitations or cognitive decline that affect their ability to perform tasks efficiently, especially in physically demanding roles such as enforcement, healthcare, or emergency services. Without proper job redesign or support systems, older workers might struggle to meet the requirements of their roles, leading to reduced productivity and potential safety issues. 3.0 THE FINANCIAL AND SAVINGS RISK TOWARDS GOVERNMENT WORKERS Even though raising the retirement age may extend the working life of government employees, it also exposes them to several financial and savingsrelated risks. These risks, if not properly identified by the government, could undermine the long-term financial security of public sector retirees and strain national fiscal resources. This section highlights the key risks under two categories, which are financial risks and savings risks. Financial Risks I. Rising Government Pension Cost Risk Extending retirement age means the government will continue disbursing salaries and accumulating pension liabilities for a longer period. With a larger share of the public sector workforce aging, Malaysia’s pension expenditure is projected to increase to RM46.6 billion by 2025 (European Proceedings, 2020). This put added fiscal pressure on national budgets, especially without reform in pension structures. II. Fiscal Sustainability Concern Risk Prolonged government employment without systemic reform may lead to unsustainable pension funding. The Edge Malaysia (2024) emphasizes that 6 without shifting to a more balanced pension model, such as defined-contribution systems, Malaysia's financial sustainability may be under danger. . Figure 1: Growing Share of Emoluments and Retirement Charges in Government Operating Expenditure (2010–2022) The chart illustrates a rising trend in government spending on emoluments and retirement charges from 2010 to 2022. Emoluments increased from RM46.7 billion in 2010 to RM86.5 billion in 2022, while retirement charges rose from RM11.5 billion to RM28.7 billion. In Q1 2022 alone, the federal government spent RM22 billion on emoluments and RM8.4 billion on pension payments (The Edge Malaysia, 2022). This growing burden reflects a fiscal risk, as a larger portion of operating expenditure is allocated to fixed personnel and pension costs peaking at 52.3% in 2021. Without reform, raising the retirement age may increase government debt, endanger the long-term sustainability of the budget, and reduce funding accessible to development projects. III. Healthcare and Dependency Cost Risk Older employees are statistically more prone to chronic illnesses and medical conditions, resulting in higher healthcare costs. These medical expenses can become burdensome for both the government and the individual employee (HR 7 Asia, 2023). This increases dependency on public healthcare and may require increased government subsidies. Savings Risks I. EPF Savings Inadequacy Risk Despite the extension of working years, EPF savings remain a major concern. According to the Ministry of Finance, the median EPF savings of Malaysians fell by 50% following several rounds of special withdrawals during the COVID-19 pandemic. This significant drop indicates that even with longer working years, many Malaysians remain financially unprepared for retirement, prompting the government to discontinue any further special EPF withdrawals (Ministry of Finance Malaysia, 2023). II. Early Withdrawals Impact Risk The COVID-19 pandemic prompted government policies allowing EPF members to withdraw early. This resulted in a massive RM145 billion reductions in total savings (Malay Mail, 2023). Many workers approaching retirement now face depleted accounts, with limited time left to rebuild. III. Inflation and Longevity Risk Many retirees in Malaysia opt for lump-sum withdrawals upon retirement. Without financial planning, they risk outliving their savings, particularly as inflation erodes purchasing power (Pension Policy International, 2022). This raises concerns about the long-term sustainability of retirement funds. 8 4.0 RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE GOVERNMENT The following recommendations aim to ensure that any increase in retirement age is implemented effectively, considering the diverse needs of older employees, the aspirations of younger workers, and the long-term sustainability of Malaysia’s public sector and social protection systems. I. Implement Flexible Retirement Options The government should introduce phased or flexible retirement schemes, allowing workers to choose when to retire within a certain age range. For example, choose age between 60 to 65. This would accommodate both employees who wish to work longer and those who prefer to retire earlier due to health or personal reasons. It also eases job market pressure by gradually transitioning older employees out of full-time roles. II. Create Role Redesign and Supportive Work Environments Older workers may experience physical or cognitive limitations as they age. To ensure their productivity, job scopes should be redesigned to suit their capabilities. Age-friendly work environments, ergonomic tools, and reduced physical duties can extend work ability and reduce health-related absenteeism (HR Asia, 2023). III. Enhance Re-skilling and Lifelong Learning Programs The digital economy demands that even older employees adapt to evolving technologies. The government should strengthen access to lifelong learning, digital upskilling, and tailored training for older workers. Initiatives such as e-Pembelajaran and professional development grants can help older civil servants remain competitive and productive (The Edge Malaysia, 2024). IV. Introduce Generational Workforce Planning To prevent generational conflict and stagnation in the public sector, ministries and agencies must adopt strategic succession planning. Creating structured mentorship 9 programs, targeted recruitment, and opportunities for younger workers can promote balance and ensure intergenerational knowledge transfer (Pension Policy International, 2022). 5.0 CONCLUSION In conclusion, while increasing the retirement age from 60 to 65 can give government workers more time to save money, the issue of low savings remains. For example, EPF median savings dropped by 50%, showing that many Malaysians are still not ready for retirement even with longer working years. At the same time, the government faces growing pension costs, and younger workers may find it harder to get jobs if older employees stay longer. Because of these risks, the government should take careful steps, such as allowing flexible retirement, making jobs more age-friendly, offering more training for older workers, and balancing job opportunities across age groups. These actions can help make sure that raising the retirement age benefits both older and younger government workers, while also keeping the public finance system sustainable. 10 REFERENCES Official Portal of Ministry of Finance. (2023). MLN EPF Contributors Under 55 Have Less Than RM10,000 In Savings. Ministry of Finance. https://www.mof.gov.my/portal/en/news/press-citations/6-3-mln-epf-contributorsunder-55-have-less-than-rm10-000-in-savings New Straits Time. (2024). Poverty after retirement?. New Straits https://www.nst.com.my/business/corporate/2024/01/996049/povertyafter%C2%A0retirement Times. FMT Media. (2025). Malaysia’s golden opportunity: why 65 is the new 60 for retirement. Free Malaysia Today. https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/opinion/2025/05/27/malaysias-goldenopportunity-why-65-is-the-new-60-for-retirement European Proceedings. (2020). Analysis of Public Pension System in Malaysia. European Proceedings of Social and Behavioural Sciences. https://www.europeanproceedings.com/article/10.15405/epsbs.2020.12.05.63 The Edge Malaysia. (2024). Retirement https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/663623 Planning and Pension Outlook. HR Asia. (2023). Experts in Malaysia believe raising the retirement age will address low retirement savings. https://hr.asia/top-news/malaysia/experts-in-malaysia-believeraising-the-retirement-age-will-address-low-retirement-savings/ International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2024). Malaysia: 2024 Article IV ConsultationPress Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Malaysia. https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2024/073/article-A001-en.xml Ministry of Finance Malaysia. (2023). Median EPF savings of all Malaysians down 50 pct, that’s why no more special withdrawals allowed — Ahmad Maslan. https://www.mof.gov.my/portal/en/news/press-citations/median-epf-savings-of-allmalaysians-down-50-pct-that-s-why-no-more-special-withdrawals-allowed-ahmadmaslan Malay Mail. (2023). Is ageing Malaysia facing retirement time bomb with insufficient EPF savings? https://www.malaymail.com/news/malaysia/2023/10/29/report-isageing-malaysia-facing-retirement-time-bomb-with-insufficient-epf-savings/99010 Pension Policy International. (2022). Concerns Over Raising the Retirement Age. https://www.pensionpolicyinternational.com/concerns-over-raising-the-retirementage/ 11
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