Week 1 – Overview of the Global Oil and Gas Industry Learning Outcomes LO1: Understand and critically discuss relevance of the main conceptual paradigms and empirical issues pertaining to oil and gas management. LO2: Be able to demonstrate in-depth knowledge and understanding of current issues within the subject area of oil and gas management. LO3: Demonstrate critical awareness of oil and gas management through application of the study’s conceptual underpinnings to analyse and synthesise industry-related problems (IC). UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 1 Contents 1. Introduction 3 2. The Global Oil and Gas Industry in Numbers 5 3. Key Players in the Global Oil and Gas Industry 10 3.1. National Oil Companies (NOCs) 10 3.2. International Oil Companies (IOCs) 12 3.3. Hybrid Companies 14 3.4. Independent Producers 15 3.5. Service Companies 15 4. Interactions Between the Different Key Players 17 5. The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) 18 6. Summary 21 References 22 UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 2 1. Introduction Crude oil and natural gas have been the primary sources of energy throughout the world for decades. The discovery of these resources has resulted in advances in the world economy, spanning from industrial manufacturing to lighting and transportation (The Energy Institute, 2022). The oil and gas industry has grown to be one of the largest, most important and complex global industries, and has been shown to have an impact on national security, geopolitics, and international conflicts (Inkpen and Moffett, 2011). The oil and infrastructure market size exceeded 620 billion USD in 2021, and its expected growth rate between 2022 and 2030 is 6.6% (Global Market Insights, 2022). The increasing demand of oil and gas leads to the design and implementation of more exploration and production activities. Currently, more than 100 countries produce oil or gas, and these fuels are expected to be important in the following decades (The Energy Institute, 2022). The complexity of the oil and gas industry is demonstrated through the variety of different activities and processes that comprise it (Inkpen and Moffett, 2011). These activities and processes mutually contribute to the exploitation and transformation of underlying hydrocarbon resources into usable end-products, while they are inherently linked with one another, conceptually, contractually, and physically, within or across firms, and national boundaries (Tordo et al., 2011). Understanding how value is created along the oil and gas value chain is critical for the design of effective policies. The infrastructure of this industry includes a variety of resources, such as pipelines, refineries, drilling platforms, terminals, storage facilities and processing plants (Global Market Insights, 2022). Figure 1 shows the market share distribution (in USD billion) within the oil and gas industry in 2021 between the different stakeholders according to the activities they perform. Overall, the global oil and gas industry comprises thousands of firms that conduct different types of activities; these may range from specialised activities to activities spanning across various segments of the oil and gas value chain (The Energy Institute, 2022). The key players in UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 3 the industry include the National Oil Companies (NOCs), the International Oil Companies (IOCs), Hybrid companies, Independent Producers, and Service Companies. Partnerships between these players are prevalent, as oil and gas projects can become too large for a single company, or a company does not want to have full exposure to the risks associated with prospective projects (NGRI, 2015). In some cases, the resource owner (a country) may not have the technology to access its oil and gas (Inkpen and Moffett, 2011). In addition, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is a powerful player in the industry, as its member countries control around 80% of the world’s proven oil and gas reserves (NGRI, 2015). This topic overview will provide an introduction to the global oil and gas industry. It will discuss and analyse the key players and stakeholders involved in the industry and the interactions between them. Figure 1 Oil and gas infrastructure market share by category, 2021, USD billion (Global Market Insights, 2022). UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 4 2. The Global Oil and Gas Industry in Numbers Inkpen and Moffett (2011) described the oil and gas industry as one of the largest, most complex, and important global industries, affecting global livelihood with products such as transportation, heating, and electricity fuels, asphalt, lubricants, natural gas (methane), propane and butane (LPG); and thousands of petrochemical products, such as plastics, detergents, solvents, synthetic fibres, rubbers, paints, resins and many others (Speight, 2011). Furthermore, the oil and gas industry heavily impacts national security, elections, geopolitics, and international conflicts (Inkpen and Moffett, 2011). Hilyard (2012) suggested that the core of the structure of the petroleum industry are the upstream processes, which are determined by the relevant multi-national companies that search for, develop, extract and exploit oil and gas. Figure 2 shows the general structure of the petroleum industry. Besides the upstream processes, midstream (processing and transportation) and downstream processes (refining and marketing) are also vital, in which different organisations are involved. Figure 2 General structure of the petroleum industry (Hilyard, 2012). UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 5 The world proven crude oil reserves have steadily increased since 1960 (Figure 3). According to the Organisation of Oil Producing Countries (OPEC), the total crude oil reserves in 2022 were 1564.44 billion barrels of crude oil (OPEC, 2023). The breakdown of the share of these reserves by area is shown in Figure 4. The historical dominance of the Middle East in terms of proven reserves through time is demonstrated in Figure 3 while, in 2022, 871.61 billion barrels were estimated to be produced in this area, corresponding to 55.71% of the total world proven reserves (Figure 4). Figure 3 World proven crude oil in billion barrels of crude oil (left hand-side vertical axis) and percentage share of total production (right hand-side vertical axis) for the period between 1960 and 2022 (OPEC, 2023). UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 6 Figure 4 Share of world crude oil reserves in percentage for 2022 (OPEC, 2023). In line with the increase in the proven crude oil reserves, the production of crude oil also showed an increase over the period 1960-2022 (Figure 5) (OPEC, 2023). In 2022, the Middle East produced 25.09 million barrels of crude oil per day (mb/d), corresponding to a 34.47% share in the total world production. OECD Americas followed with 14.74 mb/d, corresponding to 20.25% of the total world production. UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 7 Figure 5 World crude oil production in million barrels of crude oil per day (mb/d) (left hand-side vertical axis) and percentage share of total production (right hand-side vertical axis) for the period between 1960 and 2022 (OPEC, 2023). In 2015, 29% of total global oil production came from offshore reserves (US Energy Information Administration, 2016). Five countries provided 43% of total offshore oil production, namely Saudi Arabia, Brazil, Mexico, Norway and the U.S. Offshore production has remained fairly consistent in the last decade, and growth in deepwater and ultra-deepwater production has been slow (US Energy Information Administration, 2016). Although technological advancements have made these areas more accessible, deepwater and UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 8 ultra-deepwater projects are much more expensive, so the majority of offshore production is in shallow waters. Currently, Brazil leads the world in development of deepwater and ultra-deepwater projects. The most significant recent development in onshore production is the increase in shale (tight) oil and gas production (US Energy Information Administration, 2016). This is largely a U.S. phenomenon that has shown significant growth and is not showing signs of slowing down. To date shale oil has been developed exclusively onshore, but development of offshore shale oil discoveries is being contemplated. Shale oil accounted for about 64% of total U.S. crude oil production in 2021, which corresponds to 7.23 million barrels per day, and it is expected this share will continue to increase (US Energy Information Administration, 2022). These recent increases in shale oil production from the U.S. have contributed to a rate of global onshore production that has outpaced offshore production. The geographic restriction of shale oil production to date is partly because U.S. shale projects have attracted most of the current capital investment from oil and gas companies. Start-ups in other countries would require a critical mass of activity and learning. However, Canada, UK and Argentina have developed further, and it is likely that shale oil extraction will spread to other geographies. UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 9 3. Key Players in the Global Oil and Gas Industry As per Hilyard (2012), the key players involved in the industry include the National Oil Companies (NOCs), the International Oil Companies (IOCs), Hybrid Companies, Independent Producers and Service Companies. Each of these players are defined and discussed in the following sections. 3.1. National Oil Companies (NOCs) NOCs are oil and gas companies that are partially or fully owned by national governments. NOCs were created from existing petroleum ministries or from the assets of companies operating in the country. Some examples of NOCs are Sonatrach (Algeria), Libyan National Oil, Saudi Arabian Oil (Saudi Aramco), Abu Dhabi National Oil, Petroliam Nasional Berhad (Petronas, Malaysia), Petróleos de Venezuela (PdVSA), Kuwait National Petroleum and Nigerian National Petroleum. NOCs are important players in the oil and gas industry, as they are involved in the regulation of the industry, commodity trading, fiscal expenditures, and oil and gas extraction activities. The structures of NOCs differ depending on whether they have a history of exclusive rights to oil and gas operations, partner with IOCs for certain or all ventures in their country, or choose to compete with international affiliates for oil and gas operations (Raymond and Leffler, 2017). The Natural Resource Governance Institute (NRGI) has compiled the National Oil Company Database. This provides the largest set of data reported by the various NOCs around the world, and enables the direct comparison of the performance of NOCs based on several key indicators (National Oil Company Database, 2023). Some of these indicators include oil and gas exploration and production, revenues, transfers to government, expenditures, cash flows, operational and financial performance. For instance, data collected from company reports indicated that Saudi Aramco was the largest oil and gas producing NOC in 2021, with a total of 12,300,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/day) (Table 1). As shown in Table 1, many of the NOCs are categorised as internationalized operators (for example Saudi Aramco, Gazprom, UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 10 PetroChina, etc.), or International National Oil Companies (INOCs). Other NOCs are considered large, medium or small domestic producers, for example Pemex, Petrobangla (not shown in Table 1) and ETAP (not shown in Table 1), respectively. Table 1 Oil and gas production by National Oil Companies in 2021. Production values in barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/day) (National Oil Company Database, 2023). Company Country Production Group 2021 Saudi Aramco Saudi Arabia Large domestic producers 12,300,000 Gazprom Russia Internationalized operators 9,605,643 CNPC China Internationalized operators 6,331,326 Rosneft Russia Internationalized operators 4,900,000 PetroChina China Internationalized operators 4,454,904 Sonatrach Algeria Large domestic producers 3,471,612 Petrobras Brazil Internationalized operators 2,774,000 Pemex Mexico Large domestic producers 2,515,674 Petronas Malaysia Internationalized operators 2,275,000 Equinor Norway Internationalized operators 1,932,000 Sinopec Group China Internationalized operators 1,927,672 CNOOC Limited China Internationalized operators 1,569,560 Sinopec Corp China Internationalized operators 1,186,400 Pertamina Indonesia Large domestic producers 897,000 ONGC India Internationalized operators 785,418 UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 11 3.2. International Oil Companies (IOCs) IOCs constitute the world’s largest corporations in terms of revenue, with global operations that define the entire oil and gas value chain. Initially (in the mid 60s), the global oil and gas trade was dominated by the Seven Sisters, seven publicly owned companies, namely. Esso, Socony, Socal, Gulf Oil, Texaco, Royal Dutch Shell and Anglo-Persian Oil Company. Eni joined this club at a later stage, while during the last half of the 20th century, mergers and acquisitions transformed the above companies included in the Seven Sisters group into the companies known today as ExxonMobil, Chevron, Royal Dutch Shell and BP. Nowadays, IOCs are described as major or supermajor players, while several of them are today private companies. Although IOCs are significant players, they control a significantly smaller part of the oil and gas reserves compared to NOCs. For example, Figures 6a and 6b show the distribution of oil and gas reserves, respectively, across NOCs, IOCs, majors and independents in 2018 (IEA, 2020). Majors counted 12.3% and 13.9% of oil production (Figure 6a), as well as 13.5% of gas reserves and 15.3% of gas production (Figure 6b). These shares are significantly lower than those of the NOCs. UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 12 Figure 6a: Share of oil reserves, oil production and oil upstream investment by (moving from bottom to top of the bar charts) National Oil Companies (NOCs), International Oil Companies (INOCs), Independents and Majors, 2018 (IEA, 2020). UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 13 Figure 6b: Share of oil reserves, oil production and oil upstream investment by (moving from bottom to top of the bar charts) National Oil Companies (NOCs), International Oil Companies (INOCs), Independents and Majors, 2018 (IEA, 2020). 3.3. Hybrid Companies Hybrid Companies are partly public and partly government-owned companies (hence their name), created in the early 2000’s, and they are also referred to as government-sponsored enterprises (GSE) (some of these companies may appear in Table 1). Some examples of such UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 14 companies are Petroleo Brasileiro SA (Petrobras), OMV Petrom (Romania) and Statoil-Hydro (Norway, now known as Statoil). Chinese companies on the other hand, operate with a high degree of independence from the government, while they already have control over the disposition of their share production in 20 of the 31 countries where they operate. Since Hybrid Companies are controlled by both investors and governments, they must be profitable and serve national interests (securing national energy imports and reserves) at the same time. 3.4. Independent Producers Independent Producers are smaller players gaining revenues mostly from production at the wellhead, and they play a significant role in the upstream oil and gas processes operating mainly in the United States, but in other countries as well. However, independent producers do not engage a lot in marketing or refining activities. Independent producers in the USA, for example, are considered those that refine less than 75,000 barrels per day or have retail sales less than 5 million USD per year. Through interactions with Petroleum Technology Transfer Council (PTTC) and other research organisations, independent producers have contributed in developing and evaluating new technologies, including horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing, leading to a more cost-effective oil and gas production. It has also accelerated shale oil and gas production. 3.5. Service Companies Service companies typically specialise in building and operating drilling rigs, while some others provide equipment, such as pumps, heat exchanges etc, expertise and tools to assess well performance, maintenance services, provide lubricants, working fluids, spare parts etc. Examples of service companies include Halliburton and Transocean (NGRI, 2015). Service companies have gradually become the centre of gravity for innovation and technological development, as they undertook many of the processes that were initially conducted by companies specialised in exploration and production (Raymond and Leffler, 2017). As the oil and gas prices increase, the demand for field services increases too, which makes such UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 15 companies vital with large market value. Indicatively, Table 2 shows eight service companies operating in the global petroleum industry that penetrated the annual list of the world’s biggest companies in the period from 2010 to 2011 (FT Global 500). Table 2 Petroleum industry service companies that entered the annual list of the world’s biggest companies (FT Global 500) and their market value (Hilyard, 2012). UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 16 4. Interactions Between the Different Key Players As explained earlier, IOCs control a small percentage of global oil and gas reserves today, whereas it is well acknowledged that NOCs currently control a significantly larger percentage of such reserves (Figures 6a and 6b). Therefore, varying relationships between IOCs and NOCs have developed through the years. Some NOCs and IOCs compete with each other, thus complicating the dynamics in the field, while, at the same time, other players, including service companies, private equity firms, wealth funds and third-party energy marketers, have taken a share from IOCs (Hilyard, 2012). An assessment by Ernst and Young (2009), stated that this new reality has shifted the dynamics of the global petroleum industry, and now IOCs have to convince NOCs and governments that they can provide value in multiple sectors, such as in planning and execution of exploitation and exploration projects, besides just oil and gas production. According to Ernst and Young (2009) this might include the offering to address the needs of IOCs, such as the training and employment of local workforce, developing new processes, making available infrastructure, and assisting with economic development efforts. As per the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (2009), NOCs have broadened their activities over the past 20 years, increasing in this way their influence on countries' resources, which is the main reason why the relationships between NOCs and IOCs have changed. A representative example of this change is that NOCs can now choose which IOCs should participate in Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) projects, while IOCs are trying to meet the new requirements. Most of the NOCs have nowadays developed the ability to fully implement LNG projects, including economic, organisational and physical development, which results in less IOC involvement along the LNG chain. However, this greater involvement comes with a greater risk, which some government companies are not willing to take. Therefore, there are still NOCs that seek cooperation with IOCs. UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 17 5. The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) The OPEC is a permanent, intergovernmental organisation, created at the Baghdad conference in 1960 by five founding members, namely Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela (OPEC, 2023). Subsequently, several countries joined OPEC, including Qatar (1961), Indonesia (1962), Libya (1962), the United Arab Emirates (1967), Algeria (1969), Nigeria (1971), Gabon (1975), Angola (2007), Equatorial Guinea (2017), and Congo (2018). Gabon terminated its membership in January 1995 but rejoined the Organisation in July 2016. Some other countries, such as Qatar and Indonesia, terminated their memberships. Currently, the OPEC counts 13 members (OPEC, 2023). OPEC is a major force in the global trade of crude oil and meets twice per year to assess current and projected world oil supply, demand and prices, and coordinate accordingly its members (Hilyard, 2012). As per the OPEC webpage (2023), its mission is “to coordinate and unify petroleum policies among Member Countries, in order to secure fair and stable prices for petroleum producers; an efficient, economic and regular supply of petroleum to consuming nations; and a fair return on capital to those investing in the industry”. Historically, OPEC has controlled the market by regulating pricing and production parameters in order to achieve its goals (Hilyard, 2012). According to data for 2022, 79.49% of the world's proven oil reserves (over 1243 billion barrels) were located in OPEC Member Countries (OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin, 2023). The historical increase in the OPEC members crude oil reserves are shown in Figure 7). Notable is the increase that occurred in 2018, after which a minimal change has been observed in the reserves estimated for each OPEC member through to 2022. UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 18 Figure 7 OPEC Members’ proven crude oil reserves in billion barrels for the period from 1960 to 2022 (OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin, 2023). The effective operation of the OPEC can be hindered by the unknown and varying demand in oil and gas, the access in non-OPEC sources (refer to Table 3), due to the impact caused by price changes which could take place after several years, as well as the non-alignment of the members’ interests due to population differences, oil reserves capacities and the distribution of the revenues to cover local social and development needs (Hilyard, 2012). Some members prefer to maximise their revenues through taxes, supporting higher oil prices, whereas other UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 19 members prefer more modest prices so that they do not damage an already weak global economy and dampen oil and gas demand. Table 3 OPEC and non-OPEC crude oil and liquid fuels supply at a global level (Hilyard, 2012). UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 20 6. Summary An overview of the global petroleum industry, the key players and stakeholders involved in the industry and the interactions between them were discussed in this topic overview. The evolution of the industry in terms of both proven crude oil reserves and oil production over the past 60 years has been presented, highlighting the share distribution of the oil resources and the power of the OPEC member countries in the global oil production. UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 21 References Ernst and Young (2009) The 2009 Ernst & Young business risk report, Oxford Analytica. Available at: https://www.criticaleye.com/inspiring/insights-servfile.cfm?id=861&view=1 (Accessed: 5 February 2023). Global Market Insights (2022) Oil & Gas Infrastructure Market Size By Category (Surface and Lease Equipment, Gathering & Processing, Oil, Gas & NGL Pipelines, Oil & Gas Storage, Refining & Oil Products Transport, Export Terminals), COVID-19 Impact Analysis, Regional Outlook, Growth Potential, Competitive Market Share & Forecast, 2022 – 2030. Available at: https://www.gminsights.com/industry-analysis/oil-and-gas-infrastructure-market (Accessed: 5 February 2023). Hilyard, J. F. (2012) The Oil & Gas Industry: A Non-Technical Guide, PennWell Corporation, Oklahoma, USA. Inkpen, A. and Moffett, M. H. (2011) The Global Oil & Gas Industry Management, Strategy & Finance, PennWell Corporation, Oklahoma, USA. International Energy Agency (IEA) (2020) The Oil and Gas Industry in Energy Transitions: World Energy Outlook special report. Available at: https://www.iea.org/reports/the-oil-and-gas-industry-in-energy-transitions (Accessed: 9 September 2023). Natural Resource Governance Institute (NGRI) (2015). NRGI Reader, The Oil and Gas Industry: Overview and Trends. Available at: https://resourcegovernance.org/sites/default/files/documents/nrgi_primer_oil-and-gasindustry.p df (Accessed: 9 September 2023), Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (2009) The Changing Relationship between NOCs and IOCs in the LNG Chain. Available at: UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 22 https://www.oxfordenergy.org/publications/the-changing-relationship-between-nocs-and-iocs-in -the-lng-chain/. Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (2023) Brief History. Available at: https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/about_us/24.htm (Accessed: 6 February 2023). Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (2023) Annual Statistical Bulletin 2023. Available at: https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/about_us/24.htm (Accessed: 17 September 2023). Raymond, M.S. and Leffler, W.L. (2017) Oil and Gas Production in Nontechnical Language. PennWell Books, LLC. Speight, J. G. (2011) Handbook of Industrial Hydrocarbon Processes. Elsevier. Statista (2023) Crude oil refinery capacity worldwide in 2010 and 2021, by major country. Available at: https://www.statista.com/statistics/273579/countries-with-the-largest-oil-refinery-capacity/ (Accessed: 6 February 2023). The Energy Institute (2022) Oil and natural gas remain the world's leading fuels, accounting for nearly 55% of global energy consumption. Available at: https://www.energyinst.org/exploring-energy/topic/oil-and-gas (Accessed: 12 September 2023). Tordo, S., Tracy, B. S. and Arfaa, N (2011) National Oil Companies and Value Creation, A World Bank Working Paper Series No.218, The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Washington DC, USA. US Energy Information Administration (2016) Offshore production nearly 30% of global crude oil output in 2015. Available at: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=28492, (Accessed: 6 February 2023). UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 23 US Energy Information Administration (2022) How much shale (tight) oil is produced in the United States? Available at: https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=847&t=6 (Accessed: 6 February 2023). UEL-SG-7300 Oil and Gas Management 24
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