5/17/2025 LEARNING OUTCOMES ❖Understand the characteristics of the forward market, future markets and options markets. Chapter 3 ❖Use forward, future and option contracts to hedge or speculate Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 1 2 2 1 5/17/2025 CURRENCY DERIVATIVES Base and Quote currencies FORWARD MARKET CURRENCY FUTURES MARKET 3. CURRENCY OPTIONS MARKET ❖What is Forex? | FXTM Learn Forex in 60 Seconds (youtube.com) Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 3 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 3 4 4 2 5/17/2025 1. FORWARD MARKET 1. FORWARD MARKET The forward market facilitates the trading of forward ❖The parties are bound by the contract and are contracts on currencies. A forward contract is an responsible for fulfilling their contractual obligations agreement between a corporation and a commercial ❖The most common forward contracts are for 30, bank to exchange a specified amount of a currency 60, 90, 180, and 360 days, although other periods at a specified exchange rate (called the forward (including longer periods) are available rate) on a specified date in the future Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 5 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 5 6 6 3 5/17/2025 1. FORWARD MARKET 1. FORWARD MARKET Forward Rate: Forward Rate: ➢Formula to calculate bid rate (tỷ giá MUA): - Used to lock in exchange rate at which they can buy or sell foreign currencies. R − R2 Fb = Sb + Sb 1 n N - It depends on: • Spot rate Fb: Forward Bid exchange rate ▪Period Sb: Spot Bid exchange rate • Interest rate of involving currency n: period N: number of a period R1: deposit interest rate of quote currency R2: loan interest rate of commodity currency Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 7 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 7 8 8 4 5/17/2025 1. FORWARD MARKET 1. FORWARD MARKET Forward Rate: Example ➢Formula to calculate ask rate (tỷ giá BÁN): : Trong đó: ➢Customer C wants to sell 20,000 EUR from an export contract in next three months, R − R2 Fa = Sa + Sa 1 n N ➢Customer D needs to buy 25,000 EUR to pay for next 6 months ➢Spot rate EUR / VND is equal to 25,940 / 26,018 ➢Interest rates for EUR and VND as follows: Fb: Forward Ask exchange rate Currency Sb: Spot Ask exchange rate 3 months period Deposit n: period N: number of a period R1: loan interest rate of quote currency 6 months period Loan Deposit Loan EUR (% per year) 3.25 4.25 3.28 4.32 VND (% per year) 7.2 9 7.8 10.2 1. Determine the 3-month forward buying rate to offer customers C R2: deposit interest rate of commodity currency 2. Determine the 6-month forward ask rate to offer customers D Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 9 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 9 10 10 5 5/17/2025 1. FORWARD MARKET Hedging for Payable: ❖Application of Forward market: ❖Payable: Payment for importing by foreign currency . →Importer: Buys foreign currency in future, be gotten risk Hedging: when future spot rate (S’) higher (>) currently spot rate (S). ❑Payable in import operation →Hedging strategy: Sign the buying Forward contract ❑Receivables in export operation ❑Investment in foreign currency Payment for importing Sign the buying Forward Contract ❑Loan in foreign currency Spot’ Spot Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 11 Buy Foreign Currency Buy Forward Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 11 12 12 6 5/17/2025 Hedging for Receivable: 1. FORWARD MARKET ❖Receivable: Receive foreign currency from exporting. ❖Application of Forward market: →Exporter: sells foreign currency in future, be gotten ➢Speculation/ Đầu cơ risk when future spot rate (S’) lower (<) currently If the trader expects a strong appreciation of spot rate (S). currency in the future. →Hedging strategy: Sign the selling Forward contract ➢→ speculation by buying forward contract of that currency. Receive from exporting Spot Sign the Selling Forward Contract Spot’ in the future. Sell Forward Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 13 ➢If the trader expects a strong devaluation of currency Sell Foreign Currency ➢→ speculation by selling the forward contract of that currency. Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 13 14 14 7 5/17/2025 2. Currency Futures Market 2. Currency Futures Market ❖Concept: Future contracts were created to overcome 3 issues Currency futures contracts are specifying a standard volume of a particular Why do we have future contract? ❖Difficulties in finding transaction partners. currency to be exchanged on a specific settlement ❖The risk of partner does not perform the contract date. ❖Difficult to remove contractual obligations. Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 15 of forward contracts: contracts Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 15 16 16 8 5/17/2025 2. Currency Futures Market 2. CURRENCY FUTURES MARKET Trading mechanism and payment process ❖Feature: ➢Standardized contract: contract size, ➢Margin Mechanism price, delivery month, delivery date … ➢Daily payment mode ➢Traded currencies on the floor ➢Mechanism of Final settlement ➢Can remove contract obligations easily Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 17 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 17 18 18 9 5/17/2025 MARGIN DAILY PAYMENT MODE ❖Initial margin: Amount of money need to have to ❖Example open future market. ❖Variation margin : BUY EUR FUTURES CONTRACT ➢Minimum amount of money need to maintain on Date 10/11/2006 the following days. Delivery month 06/2007 Exchange rate 1.253 EUR/USD ➢Minimum amount of money before investor Contract scale EUR 125,000 offered margin call Initial margin 1.5% contract value Variation margin USD 2,000 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 19 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 19 20 20 10 5/17/2025 DAILY PAYMENT MODE Deposit/ Withdrawal amount Balance at the end of the day Date 1/1/2010 2349.375 2349.375 Delivery month 09/2010 62.5 2411.875 Exchange rate 1.5088 GBP/USD 25 2436.875 Contract scale GBP 62,500 156,837.5 125 2561.875 Initial margin USD 1,755 156,750 (87.5) 2474.375 Variation margin 1.2538 156,725 (25) 2449.375 USD 1,300 17/11/2006 1.2550 156,875 150 2599.375 20/11/2006 1.2545 156,812.5 (62.5) Settlement price Contract value Sign contract 1.2530 156,625 10/11/2006 1.2535 156,687.5 13/11/2006 1.2537 156,712.5 14/11/2006 1.2547 15/11/2006 1.2540 16/11/2006 Date Profit/loss Buy GBP futures contracts (2536.875) Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 21 DAILY PAYMENT MODE Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 21 22 22 11 5/17/2025 DAILY PAYMENT MODE Contract value Deposit/ withdraw amount Account balance at the end of the day Date Payment price Sign contract 1.5088 ➢If a person is in long position (buyer) of a futures 01/01/2010 1.5076 contract, he can close this position by reselling the 02/01/2010 1.5045 03/01/2010 1.5010 04/01/2010 1.5006 ➢If a person is in a short position (seller) of a 05/01/2010 1.5050 futures contract, he can close this position by 08/01/2010 1.5072 09/01/2010 1.5091 Loss/ profit until maturity. contract in the market. buying a contract in the market. Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 23 MECHANISM OF FINAL SETTLEMENT Case 1: Future contracts are not maintained Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 23 24 24 12 5/17/2025 MECHANISM OF FINAL SETTLEMENT 2. CURRENCY FUTURES MARKET Case 2: Future contracts are maintained until Application: maturity: ❖Speculation ❖The buyer will resell the future contract to the ❖Hedging clearing company, the amount of money to buy will be bought in the spot market. ❖The seller will repurchase the futures contract from the clearing company, the money will be sold on the spot market. Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 25 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 25 26 26 13 5/17/2025 3. Currency Options Market ❖ Concept: Currency option ➢Currency options provide the right to purchase or sell currencies at specified prices. ❖ European and American style options: ➢European style: Only allow the option to be exercised at the time of maturity. ➢American style: Allows the option to be exercised at any time until the contract is due. Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 27 Currency call option Currency put option Provide the right to purchase currencies at specified prices Provide the right to sell currencies at specified prices Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 27 28 28 14 5/17/2025 Currency Call Option Quyền chọn mua Buyer - Bên mua → Obligation: Pay option fees. → Right: Buy a certain currency at a specified price 3.1 Call Option Buy Foreign Currency Buy Call Option Currency (Right to buy Currency in Spot the Future) → Right: Receive option fees. → Obligation: Sell a certain currency at a specified price, if the buyer exercises his rights Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 29 Spot’ Seller - Bên bán Call Option Currency Payment for Importing Exercise the Right Exercise Price: Exchange rate Premium: Fee per unit Spot’ > Exercise → buy at Exercise → Cost = Exercise + Premium Spot’ < Exercise → buy at Spot’ → Cost = Spot’ + Premium Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 29 30 30 15 5/17/2025 Call Option Currency: Buyer wants to buy foreign currency Spot’ Call Option Currency: Buyer wants to buy foreign currency Spot’ Exercise Exercise Spot’ Buyer: Spot’ > Exercise → Choose Exercise → exercises right to buy Spot’ > Exercise → Buyer buys currency at the Exercise price or exercises the Call option Cost of buyer = Exercise + Premium Spot’ > Exercise → Choose Exercise → exercises right to buy The Seller has to sell currency at the Exercise price and buy back currency at the Spot’ rate Profit/Loss of Seller = Exercise - Spot’+ Premium Profit/Loss of Buyer = Spot’ - Exercise - Premium (+) (-) (-) Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen (+) Premium > Exercise – Spot’ → seller earns Profit, and versa Spot’ - Exercise > Premium → Buyer earns Profit, and versa 31 Spot’ Buyer: Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 31 32 32 16 5/17/2025 Call Option Currency: Buyer wants to buy foreign currency Call Option Currency: Buyer wants to buy foreign currency Exercise Exercise Spot’ Buyer: Spot’ Spot’ Buyer: Spot’ < Exercise. → Choose Spot’ → buy currency at Spot’ rate Spot’ < Exercise → Buyer buys a currency at the Spot’ price or does not exercise the Call option Cost of buyer = Spot’ + Premium Loss = - Premium The Buyer will buy at the Spot’ rate with or without the Call option, therefore he only loses in this case. 33 Spot’ < Exercise. → Choose Spot’ → buy currency at Spot’ rate Spot’ < Exercise → Buyer buys a currency at the Spot’ price → Seller does not have to sell currency Profit of Seller = + Premium Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 33 Spot’ Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 34 34 17 5/17/2025 3. Currency Options Market 3. Currency Options Market ❖Option rate ❖In call option contract: ❖Net profit receiving in buy call option Call option contract Net profit = Spot rate – Premium paid for call option Call option rate is applied to buy foreign currency – Purchase price ➢ Call option rate is smaller than spot rate => Net profit receiving in sell call option apply Call option Net profit = Premium paid for call option - Spot rate ➢Call option rate is larger than spot rate => not + Purchase price apply Call option Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 35 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 35 36 36 18 5/17/2025 Example 1 Example 2 ❖You purchased a call option on British pounds for a ❖You sold a call option on British pounds for a premium premium of $0.045 per unit with an exercise price of $0.045 per unit with an exercise price of $4.98. The of $4.98. The option will not be exercised until the option will not be exercised until the expiration date, if expiration date, if at all. If the spot rate on the at all. If the spot rate on the expiration date is $5.17, expiration date is $5.17, calculate your net profit or calculate your net profit or loss per unit. loss per unit. ❖You sold a call option → you are Seller. ❖You purchased a call option → you are buyer. ❖Spot’ rate > Exercise price → Buyer buys at Exercise ❖Spot’ rate > Exercise price → buy at Exercise price price → Seller sells at Exercise ❖Profit/Loss = Spot’ – Exercise - Premium ❖Profit/Loss of Seller = Exercise – Spot’ + Premium Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 37 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 37 38 38 19 5/17/2025 3.2 Put Option Currency Put Option Quyền chọn bán Buyer - Bên mua → Obligation: Pay option fees. → Right: Sell a certain currency at a specified price Seller - Bên bán → Right: Receive option fees. Put Option Currency S S’ Receive from exporting Exercise the Right Exercise Price: Exchange rate Premium: Fee per unit → Obligation: Buy a certain currency at the price determined if the buyer exercises his right Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 39 Buy Put Option Currency (Right to Sell Currency in the Future) Sell Foreign Currency Spot’ < Exercise → Sell at Exercise → Receive = Ex - Premium Spot’ > Exercise → sell at Spot’ → Receive = Spot’ - Premium Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 39 40 40 20 5/17/2025 Put Option Currency: Buyer wants to sell foreign currency Put Option Currency: Buyer wants to sell foreign currency Exercise Buyer: Exercise Spot’ Spot’ Buyer: Spot’ < Exercise → Choose Exercise → exercises right to sell Spot’ < Exercise → The Buyer sells currency at the Exercise price or exercises the Put option Receive of buyer = Exercise - Premium Profit/Loss of Buyer = Exercise - Spot’ - Premium (+) Spot’ Spot’ < Exercise → Choose Exercise → exercises right to sell The Seller has to buy currency at the Exercise price and sell back currency at the Spot’ rate Profit/Loss of Seller = Spot’ - Exercise + Premium (-) (-) Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen (+) Premium > Spot’ - Exercise → seller earns Profit, and versa Exercise - Spot’ > Premium → Buyer earns Profit, and versa 41 Spot’ Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 41 42 42 21 5/17/2025 Put Option Currency: Buyer wants to sell foreign currency Spot’ Put Option Currency: Buyer wants to sell foreign currency Spot’ Exercise Exercise Spot’ Buyer: Spot’ > Exercise → Choose Spot’ → Sell currency at Spot’ rate Spot’ > Exercise → Buyer sells currency at the Spot’ rate or does not exercise the Put option Receive of buyer = Spot’ - Premium Loss of Buyer = - Premium Buyer will sell at the Spot’ rate with or without the Put option, therefore he only loses in this case. Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 43 Buyer: Spot’ Spot’ > Exercise → Choose Spot’ → Sell currency at Spot’ rate Spot’ > Exercise → Buyer sells a currency at the Spot’ price → Seller does not have to buy currency Profit of Seller = + Premium Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 43 44 44 22 5/17/2025 3. Currency Options Market 3. Currency Options Market ❖Option rate ❖In put option contract: Put option contract (chọn bán): ❖Net profit receiving in buy put option (mua quyền Put option rate is applied to sell foreign currency chọn bán) Net profit = Purchase price (giá thực hiện)- Spot rate ➢Put option rate is smaller than spot rate => not - Premium paid for put option apply Put option ❖Net profit receiving in sell put option (bán quyền ➢Put option rate is larger than spot rate => apply chọn bán) Put option Net profit = Premium paid for put option + Spot rate - Purchase price Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 45 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 45 46 46 23 5/17/2025 Example 3 Example 4 ❖You purchased a put option on British pounds for a ❖You sold a put option on British pounds for a premium premium of $0.045 per unit with an exercise price of $0.045 per unit with an exercise price of $4.98. The of $4.98. The option will not be exercised until the option will not be exercised until the expiration date, if expiration date, if at all. If the spot rate on the at all. If the spot rate on the expiration date is $5.17, expiration date is $5.17, calculate your net profit or calculate your net profit or loss per unit. loss per unit. ❖You sold a put option → you are Seller. ❖You purchased a put option → you are buyer. ❖Spot rate > Exercise price → Buyer sells at Spot price ❖Spot rate > Exercise price → sell at Spot price → Seller does not buy ❖Profit/Loss = - Premium ❖Profit/Loss of Seller = + Premium Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 47 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 47 48 48 24 5/17/2025 3. Currency Options Market 3. Currency Options Market ❖Information about USD/VND option price as On December 5th, customer A bought a call option and customer B bought an put option. follow: 1. Calculate the premium that the bank earned from Content Call option Put option Value of the contract 100,000 USD 100,000 USD Purchase price 20,830 20,850 Period 3 months 3 months options to earned profit? Style option US US 3. Assuming that the USD / VND exchange rate is 20,890 Premium 10 dong /USD 20 dong /USD on the due date, how much profit or loss will customers selling the option contracts to customers A and B? 2. How does the exchange rate of USD / VND in the market change that leads customers A and B will exercise get? Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 49 Dr. Tien Trung, Nguyen 49 50 50 25
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